Jump to content

Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 United States presidential election polling

← 2020 As of November 4, 2024 (2024-11-04) 2028 →

Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls.
This map only represents polling data. It is not a prediction for the election.

191
3
32
93
77
27
115

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.[1]

Limitations

[edit]

Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on last vote. This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election.[2]

Forecasts

[edit]

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

Alabama

[edit]

Alaska

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[15] October 20–22, 2024 1,703 (LV) ± 2.4% 55% 45%
Alaska Survey Research[16] October 8–9, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 2.9% 54% 46%
Cygnal (R)[17][A] August 30 – September 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 43% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[15] October 20–22, 2024 1,703 (LV) ± 2.4% 51% 43% 7%
Alaska Survey Research[16] October 8–9, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 43% 7%
Alaska Survey Research[18] September 27–29, 2024 1,182 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 43% 6%
Alaska Survey Research[19] September 11–12, 2024 1,254 (LV) 47% 42% 5% 6%

Arizona

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[d]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 46.8% 48.4% 4.8% Trump +1.6%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 46.8% 48.9% 4.3% Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 46.9% 49.3% 3.8% Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.3% 49.9% 2.8% Trump +2.6%
Average 47.0% 49.1% 3.9% Trump +2.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 875 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 52% 1%
Victory Insights[21] November 2–3, 2024 750 (LV) 48% 49% 3%[e]
Trafalgar Group (R)[22] November 1–3, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 49% 4%[f]
Patriot Polling[23] November 1–3, 2024 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[24] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% 5%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 967 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 52% 2%
Emerson College[26] October 30 – November 2, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 50% 2%[g]
48%[h] 51% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,025 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
1,025 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
ActiVote[28] October 8 – November 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
SoCal Strategies (R)[29][B] October 30–31, 2024 750 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 50% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[31] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 47% 50% 3%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 880 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 50% 1%
856 (LV) 49% 50% 1%
Morning Consult[33] October 21−30, 2024 666 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[34][D] October 25–29, 2024 803 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%[e]
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,458 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[36] October 28, 2024 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 50% 2%
RABA Research[37] October 25–27, 2024 589 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 12%[i]
Trafalgar Group (R)[38] October 24–26, 2024 1,094 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 6%[e]
CES/YouGov[39] October 1–25, 2024 2,077 (A) 49% 49% 2%
2,066 (LV) 47% 51% 2%
Marist College[40] October 17–22, 2024 1,329 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2%[j]
1,193 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 50% 1%[j]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[41] October 20–21, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%[f]
HighGround[42] October 19–20, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 47% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 915 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
861 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
University of Arizona/Truedot[44] October 12–20, 2024 846 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 45% 9%[k]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,440 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
CBS News/YouGov[46] October 11−16, 2024 1,435 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 51% 1%
Morning Consult[33] October 6−15, 2024 653 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[47] September 30 – October 15, 2024 580 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 50% 6%
580 (LV) 46% 49% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[48] October 10–13, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 6%[l]
New York Times/Siena College[49] October 7–10, 2024 808 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 51% 4%
808 (LV) 46% 51% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[50][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 49% 5%
Emerson College[51] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[g]
48%[h] 51% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 6%
ActiVote[53] September 6 – October 8, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
SoCal Strategies (R)[54][B] October 5–7, 2024 735 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
RMG Research[55][F] September 30 – October 2, 2024 783 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 50% 4%[m]
46% 50% 4%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[56][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[57][H] September 24 – October 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 50% 2%[f]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[58] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1%[f]
HighGround[59][I] September 26–29, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
National Research[60][J] September 25–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
Emerson College[62][L] September 27–28, 2024 920 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 50% 3%[g]
48%[h] 52%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 946 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 409 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 977 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%
926 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Fox News[66] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
764 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 51% 1%
Marist College[67] September 19−24, 2024 1,416 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 50% 2%[j]
1,264 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 50% 1%[j]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[68][D] September 19–22, 2024 1,030 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[e]
New York Times/Siena College[69] September 17–21, 2024 713 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 49% 6%
713 (LV) 45% 50% 5%
Emerson College[70] September 15–18, 2024 868 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 49% 3%[n]
49%[h] 50% 1%[n]
Morning Consult[33] September 9−18, 2024 862 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[71] September 11–12, 2024 1,088 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Data Orbital[72][M] September 7–9, 2024 550 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 46% 8%
Morning Consult[33] August 30 – September 8, 2024 901 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
TIPP Insights[73][N] September 3–5, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 8%
949 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
Patriot Polling[74] September 1–3, 2024 804 (RV) 47% 49% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[75] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
University of Arizona/Truedot[76] August 28–31, 2024 1,155 (RV) 42% 46% 12%[o]
Emerson College[77] August 25–28, 2024 720 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 50% 7%
48%[h] 51% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[78] August 23–26, 2024 776 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 49% 1%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[81][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,187 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Noble Predictive Insights[82] August 12–16, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Focaldata[83] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 51%
Strategies 360[84] August 7–14, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 47% 46% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[85] August 8–15, 2024 677 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 7%
677 (LV) 50% 45% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[86] August 6–8, 2024 1,092 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%
Navigator Research (D)[87] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[88] July 26 – August 8, 2024 435 (LV) 48% 46% 6%
HighGround[89] July 30 – August 5, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 42% 14%[p]
Public Policy Polling (D)[90][Q] July 29–30, 2024 618 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 49% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[91][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[92] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College[93] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 49% 7%
47%[h] 53%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[94] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[95][Q] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 44% 52% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[96] May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 51% 7%
Emerson College[97] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 48% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[98] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
603 (LV) 43% 48% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 10, 2024 October 15, 2024 46.4% 48.8% 1.0% 0.8% 3.0% Trump +2.4%
270toWin October 2 – 12, 2024 October 12, 2024 47.4% 47.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.5% 3.5% Trump +0.2%
Average 46.9% 48.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.8% 3.2% Trump +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 875 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 967 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 52% 1% 1% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,025 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 47% 3% 2% 6%
1,025 (LV) 44% 48% 2% 1% 5%
Focaldata[99] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,779 (LV) 48% 49% 1% 1% 1%
1,603 (RV) ± 2.3% 49% 47% 2% 1% 1%
1,779 (A) 49% 47% 2% 1% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 1% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[100] October 28–31, 2024 652 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 880 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
856 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 0% 4%
Noble Predictive Insights[101] October 28–30, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 0% 3%
Data for Progress (D)[102] October 25–30, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 1% 0% 4%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,458 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[36] October 28, 2024 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 50% 0% 1% 1%
Data Orbital[103] October 26–28, 2024 550 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 50% 1% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[104] October 25–27, 2024 901 (LV) 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
J.L. Partners[105] October 24–26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 49% 0% 1% 2%[e]
CNN/SSRS[106] October 21–26, 2024 781 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% 1% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[107] October 20–22, 2024 710 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 915 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 1% 2% 1%
861 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 2% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108] October 16–18, 2024 691 (LV) 46% 49% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,440 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109] October 12–14, 2024 1,141 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[49] October 7–10, 2024 808 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 49% 2% 1% 4%
808 (LV) 45% 50% 1% 0% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] September 27 – October 2, 2024 555 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[57][S] September 24 – October 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 49% 1% 0% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 946 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 0% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 409 (LV) 50% 47% 1% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 977 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 1% 2% 2%
926 (LV) 49% 46% 1% 2% 2%
Fox News[66] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
764 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 0% 1% 2%
Suffolk University/USA Today[111] September 19−24, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 1% 1% 8%
New York Times/Siena College[69] September 17–21, 2024 713 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 47% 2% 3% 6%
713 (LV) 43% 48% 2% 2% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] September 16–19, 2024 789 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113] September 6–9, 2024 765 (LV) 46% 47% 1% 1% 5%
TIPP Insights[73][N] September 3–5, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 1% 1% 6%
949 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
YouGov[114][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.2% 45% 47% 1% 1% 6%[e]
CNN/SSRS[115] August 23–29, 2024 682 (LV) ± 4.7% 44% 49% 2% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[116] August 25–28, 2024 530 (LV) 45% 46% 1% 1% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[78] August 23–26, 2024 776 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 0% 2% 2%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 0% 2% 2%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 1% 1% 2% 1%

Arkansas

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Hendrix College[117][T] September 5–6, 2024 696 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 40% 1% 0% 1% 1%

California

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[118] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 64% 32% 4%
Competitive Edge Research[119] October 28–30, 2024 517 (RV) ± 4.3% 53% 38% 8%[r]
UC Berkeley IGS[120] October 22–28, 2024 4,341 (LV) ± 2.0% 57% 35% 8%
ActiVote[121] October 7–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%
Rose Institute/YouGov[122] October 7–17, 2024 1,139 (RV) ± 3.4% 60% 33% 7%[s]
63%[h] 34% 3%
1,139 (LV) 63% 34% 3%
Emerson College[123][U] October 12–14, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% 6%[n]
61%[h] 37% 2%[n]
ActiVote[124] September 22 – October 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63.5% 36.5%
ActiVote[125] August 22 – September 21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 36%
Emerson College[126] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 60% 36% 4%
61%[h] 38% 1%[t]
ActiVote[127] August 2–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 65% 35%
UC Berkeley IGS[128] July 31 – August 11, 2024 3,765 (LV) ± 2.0% 59% 34% 7%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[129][V] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 15%

Colorado

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Keating Research[130] October 28−30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% 7%[u]
YouGov[131] October 18−30, 2024 754 (LV) ± 4.54% 55% 41% 4%
ActiVote[132] October 1−30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
ActiVote[133] September 15 − October 19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 512 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 5%
Keating Research[135] September 11–14, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 42% 5%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 498 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 40% 5%

Connecticut

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[136][W] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 37% 3% 8%

Delaware

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D)[137][X] September 19–21, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 54% 37% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of Delaware[138] September 11–19, 2024 383 (LV) ± 5.8% 56% 36% 3% 1% 4%

District of Columbia

[edit]

Florida

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[v]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.6% 51.1% 4.3% Trump +6.5%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.6% 51.2% 4.2% Trump +6.6%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.8% 51.3% 3.9% Trump +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.9% 51.6% 3.2% Trump +6.7%
Average 44.7% 51.3% 4.0% Trump +6.6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[139] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 44% 5%
Victory Insights[140] November 1–2, 2024 400 (LV) 51% 47% 2%[e]
Stetson University[141][142] October 25 – November 1, 2024 452 (LV) ± 5.0% 53% 46% 1%[w]
Morning Consult[134] October 23 − November 1, 2024 2,022 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 46% 3%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[143] October 19–27, 2024 913 (RV) ± 3.2% 53% 44% 3%[x]
897 (LV) 53% 44% 3%[x]
ActiVote[144] October 11–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
St. Pete Polls[145][Y] October 23–25, 2024 1,227 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5%[k]
CES/YouGov[146] October 1–25, 2024 5,952 (A) 51% 47% 2%
5,916 (LV) 52% 46% 2%
Hunt Research[147][Z] October 16–22, 2024 1,234 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5%
Emerson College[148] October 18–20, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 44% 4%[g]
54%[h] 46%
Cherry Communications (R)[149][AA] October 10–20, 2024 614 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% 4%
ActiVote[150] October 7–20, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45%
University of North Florida[151] October 7–18, 2024 977 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 43% 4%[y]
RMG Research[152][F] October 14–17, 2024 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 45% 3%[z]
52%[h] 47% 1%
Rose Institute/YouGov[153] October 7–17, 2024 1,094 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 45% 7%[aa]
1,094 (RV) 51%[h] 46% 3%
1,076 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
The Terrance Group (R)[154][AB] October 5–8, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%
Marist College[155] October 3–7, 2024 1,410 (RV) ± 3.3% 51% 47% 2%[j]
1,257 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 47% 2%[j]
New York Times/Siena College[156] September 29 – October 6, 2024 622 (LV) ± 5.0% 55% 41% 4%
ActiVote[157] September 17 – October 6, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
Mason-Dixon[158][AC] October 1–4, 2024 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%[ab]
RMG Research[159][F] September 25–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[z]
50%[h] 48% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%
Victory Insights[161] September 22–25, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% 8%
The Bullfinch Group[162][AE] September 20–23, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 5%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 2,948 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 47% 3%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 3,182 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College[163] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%
51%[h] 48% 1%[g]
ActiVote[164] August 16–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
Cherry Communications (R)[165][AA] August 15–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 45% 3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[166][AD] August 21–22, 2024 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 47% 2%
ActiVote[167] August 5–15, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[168] August 10–11, 2024 1,055 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%[ac]
1,040 (LV) 50% 47% 3%[x]
University of North Florida[169] July 24–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 42% 9%[ad]
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[170][AF] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%[ae]
Suffolk University/USA Today[171] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 46% 44% 10%
Victory Insights[172] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Focaldata[173] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,250 (LV) 52% 45% 0% 0% 3%
1,099 (RV) ± 2.8% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
1,250 (A) 49% 47% 1% 0% 3%
Cygnal (R)[174] October 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 43% 1% 1% 7%[af]
Hunt Research[147][Z] October 16–22, 2024 1,234 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 44% 0% 0% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[175] October 16–18, 2024 1,275 (LV) 49% 45% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[176] October 12–14, 2024 1,009 (LV) 50% 44% 1% 0% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[156] September 29 – October 6, 2024 622 (LV) ± 5.0% 53% 40% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[177] September 27 – October 2, 2024 2,946 (LV) 49% 45% 1% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[178] September 16–19, 2024 1,602 (LV) 50% 45% 0% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[179] September 6–9, 2024 1,465 (LV) 50% 44% 0% 0% 6%

Georgia

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[q]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.5% 48.7% 3.8% Trump +1.2%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.5% 48.2% 4.3% Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 48.9% 3.2% Trump +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 49.6% 2.5% Trump +1.7%
Average 47.7% 48.9% 3.4% Trump +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[180] November 2–3, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 49% 3%[f]
Patriot Polling[181] November 1–3, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,174 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Emerson College[182] October 30 – November 2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 50% 1%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% 8%
1,004 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
ActiVote[184] October 15 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,212 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 984 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 50% 2%
939 (LV) 48% 50% 2%
Morning Consult[185] October 21–30, 2024 1,009 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,429 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[186][D] October 25–28, 2024 910 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 3%[e]
SoCal Strategies (R)[187][B] October 26–27, 2024 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 50% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[188] October 24–26, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 6%[f]
CES/YouGov[189] October 1–25, 2024 2,682 (A) 48% 49% 3%
2,663 (LV) 46% 51% 3%
National Public Affairs[190] October 21–24, 2024 829 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 49% 4%
Marist College[191] October 17–22, 2024 1,356 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%[j]
1,193 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 49% 2%[j]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 914 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
855 (LV) 48% 50% 2%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,411 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
ActiVote[192] October 1–17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
TIPP Insights[193][N] October 14–16, 2024 1,029 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 46% 5%
813 (LV) 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[194] October 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Morning Consult[185] October 6–15, 2024 1,002 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[195] September 30 – October 15, 2024 730 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% 44% 6%
730 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,328 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 52% 2%
RMG Research[197][F] October 7–10, 2024 731 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 49% 4%[ag]
47% 50% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[198][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 50% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[199] October 7–8, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 46% 9%[ah]
Emerson College[200] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
50%[h] 50%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 6%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[201][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 47% 9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[202] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%[f]
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 942 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 50% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 47% 6%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 989 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
913 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Fox News[204] September 20−24, 2024 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
707 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 48% 1%
CBS News/YouGov[205] September 20–24, 2024 1,441 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51%
Marist College[206] September 19−24, 2024 1,420 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 48% 3%[j]
1,220 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 50% 1%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[207][AE] September 20–23, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[208][D] September 19–22, 2024 1,152 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
47%[h] 51% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[209] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 48% 8%
682 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
TIPP Insights[210][N] September 16–18, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 7%
835 (LV) 48% 48% 9%
Emerson College[211] September 15–18, 2024 975 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 3%[n]
48%[h] 50% 2%[n]
Morning Consult[185] September 9−18, 2024 1,347 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[212] September 11–13, 2024 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 46% 9%
ActiVote[213] August 8 – September 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 969 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 49% 5%
Morning Consult[185] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,405 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[215] September 5–6, 2024 647 (RV) ± 3.9% 44% 47% 9%[ai]
567 (LV) 45% 47% 8%[aj]
Patriot Polling[216] September 1–3, 2024 814 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[217] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%[aj]
Emerson College[218] August 25–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[219] August 23–26, 2024 737 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
801 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
Focaldata[220] August 6–16, 2024 651 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 52%
New York Times/Siena College[221] August 9–14, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 51% 5%
661 (LV) 46% 50% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[222] July 26 – August 8, 2024 405 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[223][AG] July 24–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[224] July 29–30, 2024 – (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[225][Q] July 29–30, 2024 662 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[226] July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 5%
SoCal Strategies (R)[227][AH] July 25–26, 2024 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Emerson College[228] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 48% 6%
49%[h] 51%
Landmark Communications[229] July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% 5%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[230][AI] July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 51% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[231][AJ] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 37% 47% 16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[232] July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 46% 12%
549 (LV) 43% 49% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[233] May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College[234] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
New York Times/Siena College[235] October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
629 (LV) 44% 47% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Other/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH[236] through October 22, 2024 October 22, 2024 47.4% 48.7% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% Trump +1.3%
270ToWin[237] October 16–22, 2024 October 22, 2024 45.8% 49.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 3.8% Trump +3.4%
Average 46.6% 49.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.8% 2.9% Trump +2.4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%[f]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,174 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 2% 1% 1%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 43% 2% 0% 3% 8%
1,004 (LV) 46% 46% 0% 0% 2% 6%
Focaldata[238] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,850 (LV) 48% 49% 1% 1% 1%
1,627 (RV) ± 2.3% 50% 47% 1% 1% 1%
1,850 (A) 49% 47% 1% 2% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,212 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 2% 1% 1%
East Carolina University[239] October 28–31, 2024 902 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[240] October 28–31, 2024 1,779 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
Data for Progress (D)[241] October 25–31, 2024 792 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 0% 0% 1% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 984 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
939 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 0% 5%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,429 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 1% 1%
CNN/SSRS[242] October 23–28, 2024 732 (LV) ± 4.7% 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[243] October 25–27, 2024 1,112 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
The Citadel[244] October 17–25, 2024 1,218 (RV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 1% 1% 0% 3%
1,126 (LV) 47% 49% 0% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[245] October 20–22, 2024 1,168 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 914 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 2% 3%
855 (LV) 48% 49% 0% 1% 2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[246][AI] October 7–16, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 47% 0% 0% 10%[ak]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[247] October 16–18, 2024 1,019 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,411 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 0% 0% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[248] October 12–14, 2024 637 (LV) 47% 47% 2% 1% 3%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,328 (LV) ± 2.7% 45% 52% 1% 1% 1%
East Carolina University[249] October 9–14, 2024 701 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 1% 0% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[250] October 8–9, 2024 608 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[251] September 27 – October 2, 2024 3,783 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 942 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 50% 1% 0% 1% 4%[al]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 0% 0% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 989 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 3% 2%
913 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 2% 2%
Fox News[204] September 20−24, 2024 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 1% 1% 1% 1%
707 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 48% 1% 1% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[209] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 46% 2% 2% 7%
682 (LV) 44% 47% 1% 2% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252] September 16–19, 2024 1,043 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
TIPP Insights[210][N] September 16–18, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 44% 2% 1% 7%
835 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[253][AI] September 9–15, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 47% 1% 0% 0% 7%[am]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[254] September 6–9, 2024 562 (LV) 47% 49% 1% 0% 3%
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 969 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 49% 1% 0% 0% 6%[al]
YouGov[255][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 47% 0% 0% 8%[f]
CNN/SSRS[256] August 23–29, 2024 617 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 47% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[257] August 25–28, 2024 699 (LV) 42% 44% 1% 0% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[219] August 23–26, 2024 737 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 1% 3% 2%
801 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 1% 4% 2%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 1% 2% 2% 1%

Hawaii

[edit]

Idaho

[edit]

Illinois

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[258] October 4–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote[259] September 3 – October 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
ActiVote[260] August 6–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%

Indiana

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[an]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[261] October 3–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote[262] August 28 – September 30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
ARW Strategies[263][AK] September 23–25, 2024 600 (LV) 55% 39% 6%
Emerson College[264] September 12–13, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 40% 3%[g]
58%[h] 41% 1%[g]
Lake Research Partners (D)[265][AL] August 26 – September 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%

Iowa

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[q]
Margin
270ToWin October 2 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 45.3% 50.0% 4.7% Trump +4.7%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 45.4% 49.8% 4.8% Trump +4.4%
Average 45.4% 49.9% 4.7% Trump +4.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[266] November 2–3, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 46% 2%[ao]
SoCal Strategies (R)[267][AM] November 2–3, 2024 501 (RV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 7%
435 (LV) 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College[268][AN] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 53% 43% 4%[g]
54%[h] 45% 1%[g]
Cygnal (R)[269][AO] September 27–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co.[270][AP] October 28–31, 2024 808 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 47% 3% 0% 6%[ap]
Selzer & Co.[271][AP] September 8–11, 2024 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 43% 6% 1% 3%[g]

Kansas

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Fort Hays State University[272] September 26 – October 16, 2024 656 (A) 46% 37% 17%[aq]
608 (A) 50% 39% 11%[ar]
517 (RV) 48% 43% 9%[as]

Kentucky

[edit]

Louisiana

[edit]

Maine

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[273] August 15–19, 2024 951 (LV) ± 3.2% 58% 41% 1%
University of New Hampshire[274] July 23–25, 2024 1,445 (LV) ± 2.6% 54% 45% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[275] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,485 (LV) ± 2.4% 52% 41% 1% 1% 1% 4%[x]
SurveyUSA[276][AQ] October 24–29, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 43% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Pan Atlantic Research[277] September 5–15, 2024 812 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 41% 1% 1% 1% 6%


Maine's 1st congressional district

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[277] September 5–15, 2024 414 (LV) 58% 32% 10%
University of New Hampshire[273] August 15–19, 2024 476 (LV) 64% 36%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[275] October 29 – November 2, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 60% 36% 0% 1% 1% 2%[x]
SurveyUSA[276][AQ] October 24–29, 2024 482 (LV) 58% 37% 1% 1% 0% 3%


Maine's 2nd congressional district

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Axis Research[278][AR] October 17–20, 2024 411 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 41% 8%[at]
Pan Atlantic Research[277] September 5–15, 2024 398 (LV) 49% 42% 9%
University of New Hampshire[273] August 15–19, 2024 432 (LV) 47% 52% 1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[275] October 29 – November 2, 2024 683 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 44% 1% 1% 1% 5%[x]
SurveyUSA[276][AQ] October 24–29, 2024 484 (LV) 49% 44% 1% 1% 1% 4%

Maryland

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[an]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Morning Consult October 22–31, 2024 490 (LV) ± 5.0% 64% 31% 5%
ActiVote October 6–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 37%
Braun Research[AS] October 17–22, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 61% 33% 7%[au]
1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 59% 34% 7%[av]
Emerson College October 19–21, 2024 865 (LV) ± 3.2% 64% 34% 2%
63% 33% 4%[aw]
Morning Consult October 10–15, 2024 490 (LV) ± 4.0% 64% 31% 4%
ActiVote September 8 – October 14, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%
Braun Research[AS] September 19–23, 2024 1,012 (LV) ± 3.5% 64% 32% 5%[ax]
1,012 (RV) ± 3.5% 62% 32% 6%[ay]
Morning Consult September 9–18, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 61% 33% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) September 16–17, 2024 543 (RV) ± 4.2% 64% 33% 3%
Emerson College September 12–13, 2024 890 (LV) ± 3.2% 65% 33% 2%
63% 32% 5%
Morning Consult August 30 – September 8, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 62% 34% 4%
Gonzales Research August 24–30, 2024 820 (RV) ± 3.5% 56% 35% 10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[AG] August 14–20, 2024 700 (LV) ± 4.0% 64% 32% 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[an]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Jill
Stein
Green
Undecided
Chism Strategies October 28–30, 2024 510 (LV) ± 4.34% 56% 33% 0% 0% 1% 10%[az]
YouGov[ba] October 23–27, 2024 500 (LV) ± 5.2% 61% 34% 0% 2% 5%
University of Maryland, Baltimore County September 23–28, 2024 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 57% 35% 2% 0% 1% 5%[bb]
Braun Research[AS] September 19–23, 2024 1,012 (LV) ± 3.5% 63% 31% 1% 1% 5%[bc]
1,012 (RV) ± 3.5% 61% 31% 1% 1% 6%[bd]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[AG] August 14–20, 2024 700 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% 29% 5% 1% 1% 5%

Massachusetts

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[279] October 2–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 66% 34%
Emerson College[280][AT] October 24–26, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 36% 5%[k]
60%[h] 37% 3%[k]
ActiVote[281] September 6 – October 16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 67% 33%
MassINC Polling Group[282][AU] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 63% 35% 2%[be]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[283] October 29 – November 2, 2024 744 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 34% 2% 1% 3%[bf]
YouGov[284][AV] October 3–10, 2024 700 (A) ± 4.8% 56% 30% 2% 1% 11%[bg]
Suffolk University[285][AW] October 1–4, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 61% 32% 1% 0% 6%[bg]
University of New Hampshire[286] September 12–16, 2024 546 (LV) ± 4.1% 62% 31% 2% 0% 5%

Michigan

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[bh]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.6% 46.8% 4.6% Harris +1.8%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.0% 47.0% 5.0% Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.4% 47.2% 4.4% Harris +1.2%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.7% 48.3% 3.0% Harris +0.4%
Average 48.4% 47.3% 4.3% Harris 1.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,113 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Research Co.[287] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 47% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[288] November 1–3, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%[e]
Patriot Polling[289] November 1–3, 2024 858 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[290] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% 6%[bi]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,198 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Emerson College[291] October 30 – November 2, 2024 790 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 48% 2%[g]
51%[h] 49%
Mitchell Research[292][AX] October 29 – November 2, 2024 585 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 48% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 998 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 45% 9%
998 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[294] October 25 – November 2, 2024 733 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 46% 6%[bj]
714 (LV) 49% 47% 4%[bk]
ActiVote[295] October 8 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[296][D] October 24 – November 1, 2024 908 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 3.0% 48.7% 49.3% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[297] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 985 (RV) ± 3.9% 50% 46% 4%
942 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Morning Consult[298] October 22−31, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Marist College[299] October 27–30, 2024 1,356 (RV) ± 3.3% 51% 48% 1%[j]
1,214 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 48% 1%[j]
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48% 4%
Mitchell Research[301][AX] October 28–29, 2024 – (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 48% 5%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 938 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[302][AY] October 26–28, 2024 844 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 49% 2%
The Washington Post[303] October 24–28, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.7% 45% 47% 8%
1,003 (LV) 47% 46% 7%
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,275 (RV) ± 2.5% 50% 48% 2%
988 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[305] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 48% 5%[l]
Emerson College[306][AZ] October 25–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49% 50%[h] 1%[g]
Susquehanna Polling & Research[307] October 23–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 47% 1%
Patriot Polling[308] October 24–26, 2024 796 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
CES/YouGov[309] October 1–25, 2024 2,347 (A) 52% 45% 3%
2,336 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[311] October 18−20, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% 10%[bi]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 756 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
705 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[312] October 11−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 45% 2%
51% 43% 6%[bl]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,529 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
RMG Research[313][F] October 10–16, 2024 789 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%[bm]
49%[h] 49% 2%
Morning Consult[298] October 6−15, 2024 1,065 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Washington Post/Schar School[314] September 30 – October 15, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 47% 7%
687 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Mitchell Research[315][AX] October 14, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[316][D] October 9–14, 2024 1,058 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[317][B] October 10–13, 2024 692 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 48% 3%
Michigan State University/YouGov[318] September 23 – October 10, 2024 845 (LV) 52% 48%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[319] October 8–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% 6%[e]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[320][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[321][AG] October 2–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%[f]
ActiVote[322] September 15 – October 9, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
Emerson College[323] October 5–8, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 49% 2%[g]
50%[h] 50%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 49% 47% 4%
Research Co.[324] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 46% 44% 10%[bn]
51%[h] 48% 1%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 51% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[326][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
Mitchell Research[327][AX] September 30, 2024 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[328] September 28–30, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 47% 9%[bi]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 49% 4%
RMG Research[329][F] September 24–27, 2024 789 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%[n]
50%[h] 47% 3%
New York Times/Siena College[330] September 21–26, 2024 688 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 8%
688 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 918 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 416 (LV) 51% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 894 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
800 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[331][BA] September 19–23, 2024 400 (LV) 51% 45% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[332][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College[333] September 15–18, 2024 875 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 47% 4%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Morning Consult[298] September 9−18, 2024 1,297 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%
Marist College[334] September 12−17, 2024 1,282 (RV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[j]
1,138 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 47% 1%[j]
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 905 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 46% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[336] September 11–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 49% 3%[f]
Mitchell Research[337][AX] September 11, 2024 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Morning Consult[298] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,368 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[338] September 4–6, 2024 931 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[339] September 3–6, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 49% 1%
Patriot Polling[340] September 1–3, 2024 822 (RV) 48% 48% 4%
Cygnal (R)[341] August 28 – September 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[342] August 28–30, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 6%
Emerson College[343] August 25–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 47% 3%[bo]
51%[h] 48% 1%[bp]
ActiVote[344] July 28 – August 28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
EPIC-MRA[345] August 23–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[346] August 23–26, 2024 651 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
702 (RV) 49% 46% 5%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[347][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.0% 44% 44% 12%[bq]
– (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 48% 5%
TIPP Insights[348][N] August 20–22, 2024 741 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46% 6%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R)[349][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 48% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[350][P] August 13–19, 2024 1,093 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Focaldata[351] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 53% 47%
The Bullfinch Group[352][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[353][AG] August 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[354] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[355] August 5–8, 2024 619 (RV) ± 4.8% 45% 48% 7%
619 (LV) 50% 46% 5%
Navigator Research (D)[356] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[357] July 26 – August 8, 2024 406 (LV) 49% 46% 6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[358][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[359] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[360][BD] July 25–26, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 5%
Fox News[361] July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[362] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% 9%
49%[h] 51%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
July 19, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[363][Q] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[364] May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[365] October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
616 (LV) 48% 46% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,113 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2% 0%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,198 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 998 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 44% 1% 2% 2% 9%
998 (LV) 45% 45% 0% 2% 1% 7%
Focaldata[366] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,092 (LV) 50% 45% 1% 1% 3%
1,941 (RV) ± 2.1% 51% 44% 1% 1% 3%
2,092 (A) 50% 44% 1% 1% 4%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[367] October 28–31, 2024 1,731 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 985 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 45% 0% 2% 6%
942 (LV) 48% 45% 0% 2% 5%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 938 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[368] October 25–27, 2024 728 (LV) 49% 48% 1% 0% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[369] October 20–22, 2024 1,115 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 0% 5%
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 46% 1% 1% 0% 3%[br]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 756 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 1% 2% 5%
705 (LV) 49% 46% 1% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[370] October 16–18, 2024 1,008 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[371] October 12–14, 2024 682 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 1% 0% 1% 1%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[372] September 27 – October 2, 2024 839 (LV) 48% 46% 0% 1% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[330] September 21–26, 2024 688 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% 2% 2% 7%
688 (LV) 46% 46% 2% 1% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 894 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 1% 2% 3%
800 (LV) 50% 46% 1% 1% 2%
Remington Research Group (R)[373][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 0% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[374] September 16–19, 2024 993 (LV) 46% 45% 0% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 905 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 45% 0% 2% 0% 3%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[375] September 6–9, 2024 556 (LV) 48% 45% 1% 1% 5%
YouGov[376][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 43% 1% 1% 7%[f]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[377] August 25–28, 2024 1,071 (LV) 47% 44% 1% 1% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[346] August 23–26, 2024 651 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 0% 2% 2%
702 (RV) 48% 46% 1% 2% 3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
[bs]
Natural Law
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 7, 2024 October 13, 2024 47.0% 46.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6% 2.7% Harris +0.1%
270toWin October 7 – 11, 2024 October 11, 2024 47.0% 46.6% 2.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% Harris +0.4%
Average 46.9% 46.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% Tie


Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Natural Law
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[292][AX] October 29 – November 2, 2024 585 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5%
EPIC-MRA[378][BF] October 24–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 3% 1% 3%
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,275 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1%
988 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1%
CNN/SSRS[379] October 23–28, 2024 726 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 43% 3% 1% 2% 0% 3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[380] October 24–27, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3%[bt]
Glengariff Group[381][BG] October 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 4% 2% 1% 2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[382] October 16–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 45% 1% 0% 0% 1% 4%[bt]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,529 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Mitchell Research[315][AX] October 14, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 0% 0% 1% 1% 4%
Marketing Resource Group[383] October 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 3% 2% 6%[bu]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[321][AG] October 2–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 3% 0% 1% 0% 4%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Glengariff Group[384][BG] October 1–4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Mitchell Research[327][AX] September 30, 2024 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2%[bt]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 48% 2% 1% 0% 0% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 918 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 0% 2% 0% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 416 (LV) 49% 46% 0% 1% 2% 2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[385] September 11–19, 2024 650 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 2% 2% 2% 3%[bv]
Suffolk University/USA Today[386] September 16–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6%[bt]
Mitchell Research[337][AX] September 11, 2024 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 2% 0% 1% 4%[bt]
CNN/SSRS[387] August 23–29, 2024 708 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 43% 4% 1% 1% 3%
Z to A Research (D)[388][BH] August 23–26, 2024 518 (LV) 47% 47% 3% 1% 1% 1%
YouGov[347][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.0% 44% 42% 5% 1% 0% 1% 7%[bw]
– (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 46% 4% 0% 0% 0% 3%
TIPP Insights[348][N] August 20–22, 2024 741 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 45% 5% 1% 1% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[350][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,093 (LV) 47% 44% 4% 1% 1% 3%
Focaldata[351] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 51% 44% 4% 1% 0%
702 (RV) 50% 44% 4% 1% 0% 1%
702 (A) 50% 42% 5% 1% 0% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[389] August 12–15, 2024 530 (LV) 44% 45% 5% 1% 0% 5%
The Bullfinch Group[352][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 40% 7% 1% 1% 5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[353][AG] August 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% 6% 1% 1% 0% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[355] August 5–8, 2024 619 (RV) ± 4.8% 44% 43% 5% 0% 1% 0% 6%
619 (LV) 48% 43% 4% 0% 1% 0% 3%
Navigator Research (D)[356] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 5% 1% 0% 0% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[357] July 26 – August 8, 2024 406 (LV) 46% 44% 6% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[390] July 31 – August 3, 2024 771 (LV) 41% 42% 5% 1% 0% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[359] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 5% 1% 2% 2%
Fox News[361] July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 7% 1% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[391] July 22–24, 2024 512 (LV) 41% 44% 7% 0% 0% 8%
Glengariff Group[392][BG] July 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 10% 1% 1% 5%
Emerson College[362] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Glengariff Group[393][BG] August 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 5% 1% 5%
EPIC-MRA[345] August 23–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 3% 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[394][BI] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 46% 5% 1% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[349][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 43% 5% 8%
Civiqs[395][BH] July 13–16, 2024 532 (RV) ± 5.3% 46% 46% 5% 3%

Minnesota

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[bx]
Margin

270ToWin

October 16–November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.8% 43.6% 6.6% Harris +6.2%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.0% 44.2% 5.8% Harris +5.8%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 50.4% 43.9% 5.7% Harris +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 49.9% 45.5% 4.6% Harris +4.4%
Average 50.0% 44.3% 5.7% Harris +5.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,065 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Research Co.[396] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 44% 5%
ActiVote[397] October 9 – November 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 48%
SurveyUSA[398][BJ] October 24–28, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 5%[e]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[399][D] October 24–26, 2024 959 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%[e]
CES/YouGov[400] October 1–25, 2024 1,278 (A) 52% 44% 4%
1,275 (LV) 53% 43% 4%
Embold Research/MinnPost[401] October 16–22, 2024 1,734 (LV) ± 2.4% 48% 45% 7%[aa]
ActiVote[402] September 10 – October 9, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
SurveyUSA[403][BJ] September 23–26, 2024 646 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 44% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[404][D] September 19−22, 2024 993 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
Mason-Dixon[405][BK] September 16−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 43% 9%[e]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 517 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 43% 7%
Embold Research/MinnPost[406] September 4–8, 2024 1,616 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 45% 6%[by]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 501 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% 5%
SurveyUSA[407][BJ] August 27–29, 2024 635 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 43% 9%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
SurveyUSA[408][BJ] July 23–25, 2024 656 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 40% 10%[bz]
Fox News[409] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,065 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 2% 1% 1%[f]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[410] October 12–14, 2024 544 (LV) 51% 43% 1% 0% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[411] September 27 – October 2, 2024 551 (LV) 51% 43% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[412] September 16–19, 2024 703 (LV) 50% 44% 1% 0% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[413] September 6–9, 2024 617 (LV) 51% 44% 0% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Chism Strategies[414] October 28–30, 2024 534 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 43% 1% 1% 0% 7%[ca]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[415] August 12–15, 2024 592 (LV) 47% 40% 3% 0% 0% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[416] July 31 – August 3, 2024 538 (LV) 46% 41% 3% 0% 0% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[417] July 22–24, 2024 475 (LV) 44% 41% 6% 1% 0% 8%
Fox News[409] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 7% 1% 1% 3%

Mississippi

[edit]

Missouri

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[418] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 54% 39% 7%
ActiVote[419] October 6–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote[420] September 8 – October 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
Emerson College[421] September 12–13, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 53% 43% 4%[g]
55%[h] 43% 2%[g]
Change Research (D)[422] September 11–13, 2024 1,237 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 41% 9%
GQR (D)[423] September 6–12, 2024 645 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 44% 1%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[424] July 25 – August 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
YouGov/Saint Louis University[425] August 8–16, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 41% 5%[cb]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[426] October 28–29, 2024 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% 40% 1% 1% 4%

Montana

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 752 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% 39% 2%
Emerson College[427][BL] October 23–25, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 39% 3%[n]
59%[h] 40% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[428] October 5–8, 2024 656 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 39% 4%
656 (LV) 57% 40% 3%
RMG Research[429][F] September 12–19, 2024 491 (LV) ± 4.4% 59% 38% 3%[cc]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
David Binder Research (D)[430][AG]
August 25–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 41% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
Rasmussen Reports (R)[431][P] August 13–20, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 35% 7%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
Emerson College[432] August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (RV)  3.0% 55% 40% 5%
58%[h] 43%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 752 (LV) ± 4.0% 57% 37% 2% 0% 4%[l]
New York Times/Siena College[428] October 5–8, 2024 656 (RV) ± 4.0% 56% 38% 0% 0% 6%
656 (LV) 56% 39% 0% 0% 5%
Remington Research Group (R)[433][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 39% 2% 3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Montana State University Billings[434] September 30 – October 16, 2024 760 (A) ± 3.6% 52% 34% 3% 1% 2% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[431][P] August 13–20, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 31% 7% 0% 0% 0% 4%
American Pulse Research & Polling[435][BM] August 10–12, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 38% 6% 0% 0% 2% 8%
Emerson College[432] August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 39% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
RMG Research[436][F] August 6–14, 2024 540 (RV) ± 4.2% 57% 39% 2% 2%

Nebraska

[edit]

Statewide

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)[437][BN] October 30–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.3% 57% 39% 4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[438][BO] October 25–28, 2024 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 39% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 55% 40% 5%
1,194 (LV) 55% 40% 5%
Change Research (D)[440][BN] October 18–21, 2024 815 (LV) 55% 41% 4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[441][BO] October 5–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 37% 6%
Change Research (D)[442][BN] October 3–8, 2024 895 (LV) ± 3.5% 58% 38% 4%
Impact Research (D)[443][BN] October 1–3, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 58% 38% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[444][AE] September 27 – October 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 42% 5%
48% 38% 14%[cd]
SurveyUSA[445][BN] September 20–23, 2024 558 (LV) ± 4.8% 56% 40% 5%[ce]
Global Strategy Group (D)[446][BP] August 26–29, 2024 600 (LV) 54% 37% 9%
SurveyUSA[447][BK] August 23–27, 2024 1,293 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 37% 9%[cf]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 1,206 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 40% 0% 0% 1% 4%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 53% 38% 0% 0% 1% 8%
1,194 (LV) 53% 39% 0% 0% 1% 7%



Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 408 (LV) 51% 43% 0% 0% 3% 3%[f]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 54% 42% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[449] September 24–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
680 (LV) 52% 43% 5%
SurveyUSA[447][BK] August 23–27, 2024 507 (RV) ± 5.6% 47% 42% 11%[cg]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 393 (LV) 52% 44% 0% 1% 1% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 53% 41% 0% 0% 1% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[449] September 24–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 41% 2% 2% 6%
680 (LV) 51% 42% 2% 1% 4%
CNN/SSRS[450] September 20–25, 2024 794 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 1% 1% 1% 2%


Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 404 (LV) 70% 25% 0% 0% 0% 5%

Nevada

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[q]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.6% 48.2% 4.2% Trump +0.6%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.4% 47.7% 4.8% Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 48.5% 3.6% Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.5% 49.2% 3.3% Trump +1.7%
Average 47.6% 48.3% 4.1% Trump +0.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 50% 3%
47% 50% 3%[ch]
Patriot Polling[451] November 1–3, 2024 792 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 782 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 52% 2%[ch]
46% 51% 3%
Emerson College[452] October 30 – November 2, 2024 840 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 48% 4%[ci]
49%[h] 49% 1%[ci]
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6%
1,010 (LV) 49% 46% 5%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 845 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
47% 51% 2%[f]
Emerson College[453][BQ] October 29–31, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 5%[cj]
49%[h] 48% 3%[cj]
Noble Predictive Insights[454] October 28–31, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[455] October 28–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 50% 6%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 790 (RV) ± 4.6% 50% 49% 1%
773 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
Data for Progress (D)[456] October 25–30, 2024 721 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[457][D] October 25–30, 2024 767 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[f]
AtlasIntel[458] October 25–29, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
48% 48% 4%[f]
Trafalgar Group (R)[459] October 25–28, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 4%[e]
CES/YouGov[460] October 1–25, 2024 940 (A) 53% 44% 3%
933 (LV) 51% 47% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[461] October 20–21, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 449 (RV) ± 5.0% 49% 48% 3%
420 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,171 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[462][AG] October 8−15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 49% 4%[ck]
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 496 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
Washington Post/Schar School[463] September 30 – October 15, 2024 652 (RV) ± 4.8% 47% 44% 9%
652 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[464][D] October 9–14, 2024 748 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Trafalgar Group (R)[465] October 10–13, 2024 1,088 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 45% 9%[cl]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[466][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 3%
Emerson College[467] October 5–8, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 47% 5%[cm]
49%[h] 48% 3%[cn]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 49% 8%
RMG Research[468][F] September 30 – October 3, 2024 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[co]
49%[h] 49% 2%[cp]
OnMessage Inc. (R)[469][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[470] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1%[f]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
TIPP Insights[471][N] September 23−25, 2024 1,044 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 44% 8%
736 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[472][AY] September 23−25, 2024 628 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%[cq]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[473] September 19–25, 2024 409 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 574 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
516 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[474][D] September 19−22, 2024 738 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[475][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
The Tarrance Group (R)[476][BR] September 16–19, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 44% 9%[cr]
Emerson College[477] September 15–18, 2024 895 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 48% 4%[n]
49%[h] 49% 2%[n]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 474 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 47% 2%
Noble Predictive Insights[478] September 9−16, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 7%
692 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[479] September 11–13, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 44% 11%[cs]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Patriot Polling[480] September 1–3, 2024 788 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[481] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 5%[ct]
Emerson College[482] August 25–28, 2024 1,168 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 48% 3%[cu]
49%[h] 49% 1%[cv]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[483] August 23–26, 2024 416 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 46% 4%
450 (RV) 49% 45% 6%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%[f]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[484][P] August 13–18, 2024 980 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Focaldata[485] August 6–16, 2024 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 46%
New York Times/Siena College[486] August 12–15, 2024 677 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 6%
677 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[487] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) 45% 48% 7%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[488][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 46% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[489] July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 18, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[490] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 10%
July 15, 2024 Republican National Convention begins
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[491] May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[492] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 48% 13%
New York Times/Siena College[493] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 10%
611 (LV) 42% 50% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein
[cw]
Green
Cornel
West
[cw]
Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Other/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through November 2, 2024 November 3, 2024 47.9% 47.3% 1.2% 3.6% Harris +0.6%
270toWin October 22 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 47.8% 47.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 3.8% Harris +0.4%
Average 47.9% 47.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 3.7% Harris +0.5%


Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West[cw]
Independent
Jill
Stein[cw]
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 44% 3% 6%
1,010 (LV) 48% 46% 2% 4%
Focaldata[494] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,324 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
1,197 (RV) ± 2.7% 49% 45% 0% 2% 4%
1,324 (A) 48% 44% 0% 2% 1%
Noble Predictive Insights[454] October 28–31, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 0% 3%[cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[495] October 28–31, 2024 690 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 790 (RV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 0% 0% 5%
773 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 0% 5%
Data for Progress (D)[456] October 25–30, 2024 721 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 1% 3%[cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[496] October 25–27, 2024 531 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 6%
CNN/SSRS[497] October 21–26, 2024 683 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 48% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[498] October 20–22, 2024 540 (LV) 46% 47% 0% 0% 7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[499][BS] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 50% 0% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 449 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 47% 0% 2% 3%
420 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[500] October 16–18, 2024 529 (LV) 46% 47% 1% 1% 5%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,171 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 2% 0% 2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[462][AG] October 8−15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 1% 6%[ck]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[501] October 12–14, 2024 838 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[502] September 27 – October 2, 2024 514 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
TIPP Insights[471][N] September 23−25, 2024 1,044 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 43% 1% 0% 9%
736 (LV) 50% 49% 0% 0% 1%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 574 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% 3% 4% 3%
516 (LV) 50% 44% 2% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[503] September 16–19, 2024 652 (LV) 45% 45% 0% 1% 9%
Noble Predictive Insights[478] September 9−16, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 0% 1% 10%[cy]
692 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%[cz]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[504] September 6–9, 2024 698 (LV) 45% 46% 1% 1% 7%
YouGov[505][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.7% 49% 46% 0% 1% 4%[f]
CNN/SSRS[506] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[507] August 25–28, 2024 490 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 0% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[483] August 23–26, 2024 416 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 2% 3% 1%
450 (RV) 48% 45% 2% 4% 1%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 2% 1% 1% 2%[f]

New Hampshire

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[da]
Margin
270ToWin October 24 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 50.5% 45.5% 4.0% Harris +5.0%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.3% 45.4% 4.3% Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.9% 46.3% 2.8% Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 53.3% 42.5% 4.2% Harris +10.8%
Average 51.3% 44.9% 3.8% Harris +6.4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Dartmouth College[508] November 1–3, 2024 587 (LV) ± 4.0% 62% 34% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[509][D] October 24–28, 2024 901 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%[l]
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[510] October 24–26, 2024 622 (RV) 50% 50%
CES/YouGov[511] October 1–25, 2024 380 (A) 52% 45% 3%
375 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
Emerson College[512][AT] October 21–23, 2024 915 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[n]
51%[h] 47% 2%[n]
Dartmouth College[513] October 5–18, 2024 2,211 (RV) ± 2.1% 59% 38% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[514] August 15–19, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.2% 52% 47% 1%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College[515] July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
52%[h] 48%
University of New Hampshire[516] July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 53% 46% 1%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)[517] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[518] October 29 – November 2, 2024 2,814 (LV) ± 1.9% 51% 46% 0% 1% 2%[x]
Saint Anselm College[519] October 28–29, 2024 2,791 (LV) ± 2.6% 51% 46% 0% 0% 1% 2%[g]
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[520] October 10–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 1% 1% 5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[521] October 2–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 41% 1% 1% 7%
Saint Anselm College[522] October 1–2, 2024 2,104 (LV) ± 2.1% 51% 44% 0% 1% 1% 3%[g]
University of New Hampshire[523] September 12–16, 2024 1,695 (LV) ± 2.4% 54% 43% 0% 1% 2%[x]
Saint Anselm College[524] September 11–12, 2024 2,241 (LV) ± 2.1% 51% 43% 0% 1% 1% 4%

New Jersey

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[525] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 57% 40% 3%
Rutgers-Eagleton[526] October 15–22, 2024 451 (RV) 55% 35% 10%[db]
478 (RV) 51%[dc] 37% 12%[dd]
ActiVote[527] October 2–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
Cygnal (R)[528] October 23–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%[de]
ActiVote[529] September 4 – October 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%

New Mexico

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Victory Insights[530] November 1–3, 2024 600 (LV) 49.6% 44.7% 5.7%[df]
SurveyUSA[531][BT] October 28–31, 2024 632 (LV) ± 5.5% 50% 44% 6%[l]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[532][D] October 24–26, 2024 749 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 44% 7%[bi]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[533][D] September 19−22, 2024 708 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 6%
SurveyUSA[534] September 12–18, 2024 619 (LV) ± 5.4% 50% 42% 8%
September 10, 2024 The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
Emerson College[535] August 20–22, 2024 956 (RV) ± 3.1% 52% 42% 6%
54%[h] 46%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[536] October 12–14, 2024 382 (LV) 49% 45% 2% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[537] September 6–9, 2024 521 (LV) 49% 44% 1% 1% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[538] August 20–22, 2024 956 (RV) ± 3.1% 51% 40% 3% 0% 0% 0% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[539] August 12–15, 2024 592 (LV) 47% 41% 6% 0% 0% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[540] July 31 – August 3, 2024 493 (LV) 44% 37% 8% 0% 0% 11%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[541][BU] October 10–18, 2024 1,024 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 41% 3% 6%
Research & Polling Inc.[542][BU] September 6–13, 2024 532 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 39% 3% 9%

New York

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[543] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 57% 41% 2%
ActiVote[544] October 7–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Siena College[545] October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 58% 39% 3%
ActiVote[546] September 4–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 39%
Emerson College[547][BV] September 23–25, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 40% 6%[dg]
Siena College[548] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 55% 42% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[549] August 1–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Siena College[550] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 39% 8%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
SoCal Strategies (R)[551][AH] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Siena College[548] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 52% 40% 1% 2% 0% 5%

North Carolina

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[dh]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.3% 48.6% 4.1% Trump +1.3%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.4% 48.3% 4.3% Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.7% 48.8% 3.5% Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 49.4% 2.7% Trump +1.5%
Average 47.6% 48.8% 3.6% Trump +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,219 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
Patriot Polling[552] November 1–3, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 49%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[553] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 47% 4%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,310 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 2%
Emerson College[554] October 30 – November 2, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[555] October 28 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
1,010 (LV) 46% 48% 6%
ActiVote[556] October 17 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
Morning Consult[134] October 23 − November 1, 2024 1,056 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,373 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 987 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 49% 2%
949 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[557][D] October 25–30, 2024 751 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%[f]
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,665 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[558] October 25–28, 2024 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 46% 5%[f]
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,113 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
872 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
SurveyUSA[559][BW] October 23–26, 2024 853 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 47% 6%[e]
CES/YouGov[560] October 1–25, 2024 2,330 (A) 48% 49% 3%
2,308 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Emerson College[561] October 21–22, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 48% 2%[n]
50%[h] 48% 2%[n]
Marist College[562] October 17–22, 2024 1,410 (RV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% 3%[di]
1,226 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 48% 2%[j]
SoCal Strategies (R)[563][B] October 20–21, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[564] October 19–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[e]
High Point University/SurveyUSA[565] October 17–20, 2024 1,164 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 755 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
702 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,674 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 51%
Elon University[566] October 10–17, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 8%[dj]
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[567] September 30 – October 15, 2024 965 (RV) ± 3.9% 49% 45% 6%
965 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,031 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[568][D] October 9–14, 2024 1,042 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% 3%[f]
Trafalgar Group (R)[569] October 10–13, 2024 1,085 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 45% 6%[bi]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[570][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%
Emerson College[571] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 47% 6%
ActiVote[572] September 7 – October 6, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[573] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 49% 1%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 953 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post[574] September 25–29, 2024 1,001 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[g]
1,001 (LV) 50% 48% 2%[g]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
High Point University[575] September 20–29, 2024 814 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% 6%[n]
589 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% 4%[n]
Emerson College[576][BX] September 27–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
RMG Research[577][F] September 25–27, 2024 780 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 46% 5%[dk]
51%[h] 47% 2%[dl]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,173 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 889 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
828 (LV) 48% 50% 2%
Fox News[578] September 20−24, 2024 991 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
787 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 49% 1%
Marist College[579] September 19−24, 2024 1,507 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[j]
1,348 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 49% 2%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[580][AE] September 20–23, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[581][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%[e]
New York Times/Siena College[582] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 47% 5%
682 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Meredith College[583] September 18−20, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%[dm]
Victory Insights (R)[584] September 16−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
Emerson College[585] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 1,314 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[586][AG] September 11–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%[f]
TIPP Insights[587][N] September 11–13, 2024 973 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 46% 5%
Elon University[588] September 4−13, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 46% 9%[dn]
Trafalgar Group (R)[589] September 11–12, 2024 1,094 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 46% 6%[e]
Quantus Insights (R)[590][AY] September 11–12, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 47% 5%[do]
50% 48% 2%[dp]
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 940 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 50% 3%[n]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,369 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
SurveyUSA[591][BW] September 4–7, 2024 900 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 49% 5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[592] September 5–6, 2024 692 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 46% 7%[dn]
619 (LV) 48% 47% 5%[aj]
Patriot Polling[593] September 1–3, 2024 804 (RV) 50% 48% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[594] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%[aj]
ActiVote[595] August 6–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
Emerson College[596] August 25–28, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
SoCal Strategies (R)[597][B] August 26–27, 2024 612 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[598] August 23–26, 2024 645 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
700 (RV) 47% 49% 4%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 999 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 49% 1%[f]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA[599] August 19–21, 2024 1,053 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 9%
941 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 6%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata[600] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 50%
New York Times/Siena College[601] August 9–14, 2024 655 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 49% 5%
655 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[602] August 6–8, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 45% 6%
Navigator Research (D)[603] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[604] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[605] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[606] May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 40% 10%
Emerson College[607] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 41% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 2, 2024 October 15, 2024 47.1% 47.8% 1.0% 0.8% 3.3% Trump +0.8%
270toWin October 1 – 11, 2024 October 11, 2024 46.6% 47.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 4.1% Trump +0.4%
Average 47.0% 47.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 3.3% Trump +0.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,219 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 1% 0% 1%[f]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,310 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 1% 0% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[555] October 28 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% 0% 0% 1% 9%
1,010 (LV) 45% 48% 0% 0% 0% 7%
Focaldata[608] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,787 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
1,785 (RV) ± 2.2% 46% 50% 1% 1% 2%
1,987 (A) 46% 48% 2% 1% 4%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,373 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[609] October 28–31, 2024 1,123 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 987 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
949 (LV) 49% 48% 0% 1% 2%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,665 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 1% 0% 3%[f]
East Carolina University[610] October 24–29, 2024 1,250 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 0% 0% 0% 2%
CNN/SSRS[611] October 23–28, 2024 750 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 48% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[612] October 25–27, 2024 770 (LV) 48% 46% 1% 1% 4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[613] October 16–23, 2024 650 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 45% 1% 1% 0% 6%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[614] October 20–22, 2024 679 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 0% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 755 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 46% 1% 3% 1%
702 (LV) 49% 48% 1% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[615] October 16–18, 2024 843 (LV) 48% 45% 1% 0% 6%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,674 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 50% 0% 1% 0%
Cygnal (R)[616][BY] October 6–15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 1% 0% 1% 4%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[617] October 12–14, 2024 620 (LV) 48% 46% 0% 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,031 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 49% 0% 0% 1% 3%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[618] September 27 – October 2, 2024 753 (LV) 47% 45% 1% 0% 7%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 953 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 47% 1% 1% 0% 2%[br]
East Carolina University[619] September 23–26, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 0% 0% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,173 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 1% 1% 0%
CNN/SSRS[620] September 20–25, 2024 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 48% 1% 0% 1% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 46% 49% 1% 2% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 889 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 1% 3% 2%
828 (LV) 47% 49% 0% 2% 2%
Fox News[578] September 20−24, 2024 991 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 1% 1% 1% 2%
787 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 1% 1% 1% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[582] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 46% 0% 1% 7%
682 (LV) 47% 45% 0% 1% 7%
Meredith College[621] September 18–20, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 0% 1% 1% 2%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[622] September 16–19, 2024 868 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 0% 5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[586][AG] September 11–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Cygnal (R)[623][BY] September 15–16, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 2% 0% 1% 6%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[624] September 6–9, 2024 495 (LV) 44% 45% 0% 0% 11%
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 940 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 49% 0% 1% 0% 4%[g]
YouGov[625][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 46% 0% 1% 6%[f]
East Carolina University[626] August 26–28, 2024 920 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 0% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[627] August 25–28, 2024 1,071 (LV) 45% 44% 1% 1% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[598] August 23–26, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 1% 2% 2%
645 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 2% 1%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 999 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 2% 1% 1% 1%[f]

North Dakota

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic–NPL
Other /
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D)[628][BZ] September 23–26, 2024 500 (LV) 50% 40% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic–NPL
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[629][CA] September 28–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 59% 32% 1% 8%

Ohio

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[dq]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.3% 52.0% 3.7% Trump +7.7%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 43.4% 52.3% 4.3% Trump +8.8%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.6% 52.2% 3.2% Trump +7.6%
Average 44.1% 52.2% 3.7% Trump +8.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[630] November 2–4, 2024 1,095 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 45% 3%[e]
Emerson College[631][CB] October 30 − November 2, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 42% 4%[dr]
54.7%[ds] 43.5% 1.9%
Morning Consult[134] October 23 − November 1, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[632][CC] October 25–28, 2024 1,127 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 46% 2%[f]
ActiVote[633] October 5−28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
CES/YouGov[634] October 1–25, 2024 3,120 (A) 52% 45% 3%
3,091 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
J.L. Partners[635] October 22−24, 2024 997 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 44% 3%
University of Akron[636] September 12 – October 24, 2024 1,241 (RV) ± 2.8% 51% 44% 5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[637] October 10−21, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 43% 5%[dt]
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 1,243 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[638][D] October 9−14, 2024 1,051 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%[e]
Washington Post[639] October 3–7, 2024 1,002 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%[du]
1,002 (LV) 51% 45% 4%[g]
Marist College[640] October 3–7, 2024 1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%[j]
1,327 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 46% 2%[j]
ActiVote[641] August 28 – September 30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[642] September 18–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 44% 5%[dv]
New York Times/Siena College[643] September 21–26, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
687 (LV) 50% 44% 6%
RMG Research[644][F] September 18−20, 2024 757 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 43% 3%[dw]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 1,488 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 43% 5%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,558 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College[645] September 3–5, 2024 945 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 43% 4%
54%[h] 45% 1%[g]
SoCal Strategies (R)[646][B] August 31 – September 1, 2024 600 (LV) 52% 43% 5%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote[647] August 2–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[648][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,267 (LV) 51% 44% 5%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[649][AG] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University[650] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 38% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 1% 0%
Focaldata[651] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,161 (LV) 53% 44% 0% 1% 2%
1,867 (RV) ± 2.1% 52% 45% 0% 2% 1%
2,161 (A) 53% 42% 0% 2% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[652][BS] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 1% 1% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[643] September 21–26, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 2% 2% 5%
687 (LV) 49% 43% 2% 2% 4%

Oklahoma

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[653] October 3–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 67% 33%
ActiVote[654] September 13 – October 19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 66% 34%
SoonerPoll[655] August 24–31, 2024 323 (LV) ± 5.5% 56% 40% 4%

Oregon

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[656][CD] October 16–17, 2024 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 53% 41% 6%
Hoffman Research[657] July 24–26, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 44% 7%

Pennsylvania

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[dx]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.2% 48.2% 3.6% Tie
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.9% 47.7% 4.4% Harris +0.2%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.0% 48.1% 3.9% Trump +0.1%
Real Clear Politics through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.5% 48.9% 2.6% Trump +0.4%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.0% 48.8% 3.2% Trump +0.8%
Average 48.12% 48.34% 3.8% Trump +0.22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,840 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 50% 1%
Research Co.[658] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[659] November 1–3, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%[l]
Patriot Polling[660] November 1–3, 2024 903 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[661] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 2,049 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 50% 2%
Emerson College[662] October 30 – November 2, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,527 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 47% 5%
1,527 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[663] October 25 – November 2, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 6%[dy]
699 (LV) 49% 47% 4%[dz]
ActiVote[664] October 10 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50.5% 49.5%
SoCal Strategies (R)[665][B] October 30–31, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 48% 2%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 49% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[666] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 982 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 48% 2%
956 (LV) 51% 48% 1%
Morning Consult[134] October 22−31, 2024 1,395 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[667] October 27–30, 2024 460 (RV) ± 6.0% 49% 47% 4%[ea]
Marist College[668] October 27–30, 2024 1,558 (RV) ± 3.2% 51% 47% 2%[j]
1,400 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 48% 2%[j]
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 52% 2%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,299 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[669][D] October 25–28, 2024 849 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,310 (RV) ± 2.5% 50% 48% 2%
1,057 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Quinnipiac University[670] October 24–28, 2024 2,186 (LV) ± 2.1% 47% 49% 4%
CBS News/YouGov[671] October 22–28, 2024 1,273 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 1%[eb]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[672] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 5%[l]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[673] October 25–27, 2024 1,116 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% 48% 4%[e]
North Star Opinion Research (R)[486][CE] October 22–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 6%[e]
CES/YouGov[674] October 1–25, 2024 3,708 (A) 50% 47% 3%
3,685 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Emerson College[675][BQ] October 21–22, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%
49%[h] 51%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[676] October 20–22, 2024 1,586 (LV) ± 2.3% 48% 47% 5%[e]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[677][CF] October 18−22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 46% 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[678][CG] October 17−20, 2024 840 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 866 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
812 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Franklin & Marshall College[679] October 9−20, 2024 890 (RV) ± 4.3% 48% 44% 8%
583 (LV) ± 5.0% 49% 50% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[680] October 17−19, 2024 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 46% 11%[ec]
The Bullfinch Group[681] October 11−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
49% 48% 3%[ed]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 50% 3%
Rose Institute/YouGov[682] October 7–17, 2024 1,062 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 46% 6%[ee]
1,043 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 1,395 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[683] September 30 – October 15, 2024 707 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 46% 5%
707 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[684][D] October 9–13, 2024 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%[f]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[49] October 7–10, 2024 857 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 4%
857 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
American Pulse Research & Polling[685] October 2–10, 2024 1,193 (LV) ± 2.8% 49.5% 50.5%
TIPP Insights[686][CE] October 7–9, 2024 1,079 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 6%
803 (LV) 48% 49% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[687][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[688] October 7–8, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Emerson College[689] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 46% 47% 7%
Research Co.[690] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 5%[bn]
50%[h] 49% 1%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,412 (LV) ± 2.6% 49% 47% 4%
Hunt Research[691][CH] October 2–7, 2024 1,037 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 5%
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov[692][CI] September 24 – October 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.2% 47% 45% 8%[ef]
OnMessage Inc. (R)[693][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 46% 8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[694][CJ] September 28–29, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 47% 6%[l]
Patriot Polling[695] September 27–29, 2024 816 (RV) 49% 50% 1%
The Bullfinch Group[696][CK] September 26–29, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[697] September 26–29, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% 7%[l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College[698][BQ] September 27–28, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%[n]
49%[h] 49% 2%[n]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,775 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 51% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 474 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 993 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
924 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
ActiVote[699] September 1–25, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 48%
Fox News[700] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
775 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[701][AG] September 17–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[702][CL] September 19–23, 2024 400 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[703][D] September 19–22, 2024 1,202 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%[f]
50%[h] 49% 1%[f]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[704][CF] September 16–22, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 46% 8%[f]
RMG Research[705][F] September 18–20, 2024 783 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%[eg]
49%[h] 49% 3%[eh]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[706] September 16–19, 2024 450 (RV) ± 6.0% 48% 48% 4%[ei]
Emerson College[707] September 15–18, 2024 880 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 48% 5%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
MassINC Polling Group[708][CM] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 47% 1%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 1,756 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Marist College[709] September 12−17, 2024 1,663 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%[ej]
1,476 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 49% 2%[j]
Washington Post[710] September 12−16, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 5%[eh]
1,003 (LV) 48% 48% 4%[eh]
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12−16, 2024 1,331 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 46% 2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[711] September 11−16, 2024 1,082 (RV) ± 3.8% 50% 46% 4%
1,082 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
Suffolk University/USA Today[712] September 11−16, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 46% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[713] September 14−15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 50% 2%[f]
September 10, 2024 The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,910 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[714] September 4–6, 2024 889 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[715] September 3–6, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 50%
Patriot Polling[716] September 1–3, 2024 857 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[717] August 28–30, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 47% 8%[l]
Wick Insights[718][CN] August 27–29, 2024 1,607 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[719] August 25–28, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 48% 4%[g]
49%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[720] August 23–26, 2024 803 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 47% 2%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
SoCal Strategies (R)[721][B] August 23, 2024 713 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
800 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[722][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.1% 43% 43% 14%[ek]
– (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 47% 6%[el]
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[723] August 5–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[724][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 47% 7%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[725] August 18–19, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[648][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,312 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 7%
Focaldata[600] August 6–16, 2024 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 50%
Cygnal (R)[726] August 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 47% 5%
Emerson College[727][BQ] August 13–14, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
49%[h] 51%
Quinnipiac University[728] August 8–12, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.4% 50% 47% 3%
The Bullfinch Group[729][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[487] August 6–9, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 46% 5%
693 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[730] August 6–8, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% 10%
Navigator Research (D)[731] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 48% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[732] July 26 – August 8, 2024 411 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[733][CO] July 29 – August 1, 2024 600 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[734][Q] July 29–30, 2024 627 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 48% 5%
GQR Research (D)[735] July 26–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 46% 4%[em]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[736][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 45% 7%
Quantus Insights (R)[737] July 27–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[738] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 50% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[739][CK] July 23–25, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%
Fox News[740] July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[741] July 22–23, 2024 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 6%
49%[h] 51%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
North Star Opinion Research (R)[742][CE] July 20–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 9%
SoCal Strategies (R)[743][AH] July 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
July 19, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[744] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 47% 13%
July 15, 2024 Republican National Convention begins
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[745][Q] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 45% 51% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[746] July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% 6%
872 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[747] May 7–13, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 50% 7%
Emerson College[748] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 49% 11%
New York Times/Siena College[749] October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 47% 9%
600 (LV) 44% 48% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 28, 2024 November 2, 2024 48.0% 47.5% 1.0% 0.6% 2.9% Harris +0.5%
270toWin October 17 – 28, 2024 November 2, 2024 47.9% 47.9% 0.8% 0.7% 2.7% Tie
Average 47.95% 47.7% 0.9% 0.65% 2.8% Harris +0.25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,840 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 2,049 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,527 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 1% 1% 5%
1,527 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 0% 5%
Focaldata[750] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,373 (LV) 50% 48% 1% 1%
2,119 (RV) ± 2.0% 51% 47% 1% 1%
2,373 (A) 49% 47% 1% 2% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
Data for Progress (D)[751] October 25–31, 2024 908 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 1% 0% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 982 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 0% 1% 5%
956 (LV) 49% 46% 0% 0% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[752] October 28–31, 2024 1,596 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[753] October 27–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 49% 0% 1% 1%
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2%
Washington Post[754] October 26–30, 2024 1,204 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%[eh]
1,204 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,299 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
Quinnipiac University[670] October 24–28, 2024 2,186 (LV) ± 2.1% 46% 47% 2% 1% 4%
CNN/SSRS[755] October 23–28, 2024 819 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[756] October 25–27, 2024 1,116 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[486][CE] October 22–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[757] October 16–23, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[758] October 20–22, 2024 1,586 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 866 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 0% 2% 2%
812 (LV) 50% 48% 0% 1% 1%
Franklin & Marshall College[679] October 9–20, 2024 890 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 45% 2% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[759] October 16–18, 2024 1,256 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 50% 2% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[760] October 12–14, 2024 1,649 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[49] October 7–10, 2024 857 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 2% 1% 3%
857 (LV) 49% 45% 1% 0% 5%
American Pulse Research & Polling[685] October 2–10, 2024 1,193 (LV) 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%[f]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[761] October 8–9, 2024 707 (LV) 46% 48% 0% 1% 5%
TIPP Insights[686][CE] October 7–9, 2024 1,079 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 1% 1% 4%
803 (LV) 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[762] October 2–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 1% 0% 8%
J.L. Partners[763][CP] October 5–8, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,412 (LV) ± 2.6% 49% 46% 1% 1% 3%
Hunt Research[691][CH] October 2–7, 2024 1,037 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[764] September 27 – October 2, 2024 5,686 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[696][CK] September 26–29, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,775 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 51% 0% 0% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 993 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 0% 4% 2%
924 (LV) 51% 45% 0% 3% 1%
Fox News[700] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 1% 2% 3%
775 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 2% 1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[701][AG] September 17–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[765] September 16–19, 2024 1,086 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[766] September 11–19, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 1% 1% 4%
MassINC Polling Group[708][CM] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12−16, 2024 1,331 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 45% 1% 0% 3%
Franklin & Marshall College[767] September 4–15, 2024 890 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 46% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[768] September 6–9, 2024 801 (LV) 45% 45% 0% 1% 9%
YouGov[769][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 0% 1% 8%[f]
Wick Insights[718][CN] August 27–29, 2024 1,607 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
CNN/SSRS[770] August 23–29, 2024 789 (LV) ± 4.7% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[771] August 25–28, 2024 1,071 (LV) 46% 45% 1% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[720] August 23–26, 2024 803 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 46% 1% 1% 1%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 45% 2% 1% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 474 (LV) 49% 47% 1% 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[772][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 1% 4%
Washington Post[710] September 12−16, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 1% 4%[eh]
1,003 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 4%

Rhode Island

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[282][CQ] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 43% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[773] September 12–16, 2024 683 (LV) ± 3.7% 58% 38% 2% 0% 2%[en]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[282][CQ] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 40% 2% 0% 1% 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
University of Rhode Island/YouGov[774] August 15 – September 8, 2024 500 (A) ± 6.0% 53% 27% 9% 11%[eo]

South Carolina

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[775] October 5–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58.5% 41.5%
ActiVote[776] September 9 – October 17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
Winthrop University[777] September 21–29, 2024 1,068 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 6%[ep]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Citadel[778] October 17–25, 2024 1,241 (RV) ± 3.6% 53% 41% 0% 0% 0% 6%
1,136 (LV) 54% 42% 0% 0% 0% 4%
East Carolina University[779] October 18–22, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 42% 1% 2%

South Dakota

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[780] October 19–22, 2024 825 (LV) ± 3.3% 62% 35% 3%[n]
62%[h] 37% 1%[g]

Tennessee

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[781] October 5−28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 62% 38%
ActiVote[782] September 24 – October 16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 62% 38%
ActiVote[783] July 26 – August 29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[784][CR] September 27 – October 8, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 54% 35% 5% 1% 1% 4%
971 (LV) 56% 35% 5% 0% 1% 3%

Texas

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[eq]
Margin
270ToWin October 18 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.4% 51.8% 3.8% Trump +7.4%
538 through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 43.8% 51.7% 4.5% Trump +7.9%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.3% 51.4% 4.3% Trump +7.1%
The Hill/DDHQ through October 29, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.2% 51.8% 4.0% Trump +7.6%
Average 44.2% 51.7% 4.1% Trump +7.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,434 (LV) ± 2.0% 55% 44% 1%
Morning Consult[134] October 22−31, 2024 2,120 (LV) ± 2.0% 52% 45% 3%
ActiVote[785] October 21−27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,180 (RV) ± 3.3% 52% 41% 7%
1,180 (LV) 52% 42% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[786][D] October 24–25, 2024 1,002 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 6%[f]
CES/YouGov[787] October 1–25, 2024 6,526 (A) 51% 47% 2%
6,473 (LV) 51% 47% 2%
Emerson College[788] October 18−21, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 53% 46% 1%[g]
53%[h] 46% 1%[g]
Rose Institute/YouGov[789] October 7–17, 2024 1,108 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 7%[s]
1,108 (RV) 50%[h] 45% 5%
1,075 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
ActiVote[790] September 26 − October 16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 46% 4%
Marist College[791] October 3–7, 2024 1,365 (RV) ± 3.3% 52% 46% 2%[er]
1,186 (LV) ± 3.6% 53% 46% 1%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[792] October 2–6, 2024 811 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%[aj]
775 (LV) 50% 45% 5%[aj]
New York Times/Siena College[793] September 29 – October 6, 2024 617 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 44% 6%
RMG Research[794][F] September 25–27, 2024 779 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 45% 3%[es]
53%[h] 46% 1%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 759 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 46% 3%
Emerson College[795] September 22−24, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 46% 3%[g]
52%[h] 47% 1%[g]
ActiVote[796] September 7−24, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 2,716 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 46% 4%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 2,940 (LV) ± 2.0% 52% 43% 5%
Emerson College[797] September 3–5, 2024 845 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 46% 4%
51%[h] 48% 1%[et]
YouGov[798][CS] August 23–31, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% 7%[eu]
ActiVote[799] August 14–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54.5% 45.5%
Quantus Insights (R)[800] August 29–30, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 42% 9%[ev]
52% 44% 4%[ew]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)[801][AD] August 21–22, 2024 725 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 44% 6%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[802] July 31 – August 13, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov[803][CT] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 52% 39% 9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[804] May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 39% 15%[ex]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,434 (LV) ± 2.0% 54% 44% 1% 0% 1%
Cygnal (R)[805] October 26−28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 2% 2% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,180 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 40% 2% 2% 6%
1,180 (LV) 51% 40% 1% 1% 7%
UT Tyler[806] October 14–21, 2024 1,129 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 45% 1% 2% 1%
956 (LV) 51% 46% 1% 1% 1%
YouGov[807][CS] October 2–10, 2024 1,091 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% 2% 1%
CWS Research (R)[808][CU] October 1–4, 2024 533 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 43% 2% 1% 6%
University of Houston[809] September 26 – October 10, 2024 1,329 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 46% 1% 0% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 759 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 0% 1% 6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[810] September 13–18, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 44% 1% 1% 4%
CWS Research (R)[811][CV] September 4–9, 2024 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 41% 0% 2% 6%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[812] August 24–29, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 43% 2% 2% 2%
YouGov[798][CS] August 23–31, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% 2% 0% 5%

Utah

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[813] October 7–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40%
Noble Predictive Insights[814] October 2–7, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 39% 9%
539 (LV) ± 4.2% 54% 38% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[815][CW] September 27–28, 2024 612 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 39% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[816] October 25–28, 2024 695 (LV) ± 3.7% 54% 34% 0% 0% 1% 11%[ey]
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[817] October 15–19, 2024 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 61% 30% 2% 1% 6%
63%[h] 31% 4% 2%
Noble Predictive Insights[814] October 2–7, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 37% 2% 1% 1% 8%[cx]
539 (LV) ± 4.2% 54% 36% 2% 0% 2% 6%[cx]

Vermont

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[818] August 15–19, 2024 924 (LV) ± 3.2% 70% 29% 1%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[819] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,167 (LV) ± 2.9% 63% 31% 2% 0% 0% 4%[ez]
University of New Hampshire[818] August 15–19, 2024 924 (LV) ± 3.2% 67% 27% 3% 0% 0% 3%[fa]

Virginia

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[fb]
Margin
270ToWin October 2 - November 1, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.8% 41.0% 9.2% Harris +8.8%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.9% 43.7% 6.4% Harris +6.2%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 49.5% 43.2% 7.3% Harris +6.3%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.1% 45.1% 4.8% Harris +5.0%
Average 49.8% 43.3% 6.9% Harris +6.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 46% 3%
Research Co.[820] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 45% 4%
ActiVote[821] October 2–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[822][D] October 24–25, 2024 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 6%[bi]
CES/YouGov[823] October 1–25, 2024 2,027 (A) 53% 44% 3%
2,015 (LV) 53% 44% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[824][AY] October 22−24, 2024 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 48% 3%
Braun Research[825][CX] October 19−23, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 42% 9%
1,004 (LV) 49% 43% 8%
Christopher Newport University[826] September 28 − October 4, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%[k]
Emerson College[827][CY] September 22−24, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 44% 4%[g]
53%[h] 46% 1%[g]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 899 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[828][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,144 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
ActiVote[829] August 19 – September 17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45%
Research America Inc.[830][CZ] September 3−9, 2024 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 45% 45% 10%[fc]
756 (LV) ± 4.1% 48% 46% 6%[fd]
Washington Post/Schar School[831] September 4–8, 2024 1,005 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 43% 6%[eh]
1,005 (LV) 51% 43% 6%[eh]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 873 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 6%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R)[832][AY] August 20–22, 2024 629 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College[833] August 12–16, 2024 691 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 44% 10%[fe]
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
Emerson College[834] July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[835] July 14–15, 2024 301 (RV) 43% 44% 13%[ff]
265 (LV) 43% 47% 10%[dj]
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[836] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[837] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 44% 7%
SoCal Strategies (R)[838][AH] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 47% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 45% 2% 1% 1%[f]
Chism Strategies[839] October 28–30, 2024 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 45.2% 44.5% 1.3% 0.6% 8.4%[fg]
Cygnal (R)[840] October 27–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 43% 1% 1% 0% 5%[fh]
Roanoke College[841] October 25–29, 2024 851 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 41% 2% 1% 2% 3%[fi]
Virginia Commonwealth University[842] September 16–25, 2024 832 (A) ± 4.6% 43% 37% 3% 1% 16%[fj]
762 (RV) 47% 37% 2% 1% 13%[fk]
Washington Post/Schar School[831] September 4–8, 2024 1,005 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 42% 0% 1% 1% 7%[fl]
1,005 (LV) 50% 42% 0% 1% 1% 6%[fl]
Virginia Commonwealth University[843] August 26 – September 6, 2024 809 (A) ± 5.0% 46% 36% 2% 1% 15%[fm]
749 (RV) 49% 36% 1% 1% 13%[fn]

Washington

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[844] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 54% 39% 7%
ActiVote[845] October 3–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Public Policy Polling (D)[846][CD] October 16–17, 2024 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 55% 40% 6%
Strategies 360[847][DA] October 11–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%[aj]
SurveyUSA[848][DB] October 9–14, 2024 703 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 35% 8%
ActiVote[849] September 7 – October 13, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40%
Elway Research[850][DC] October 8–12, 2024 401 (RV) ± 5.0% 57% 32% 11%
Elway Research[851][DC] September 3–6, 2024 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 53% 32% 11%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
DHM Research[852] July 12–17, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 40% 14%[fo]
SurveyUSA[853][DB] July 10–13, 2024 708 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 36% 13%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[854][CD] July 24–25, 2024 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 38% 6% 4%

West Virginia

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Research America[855][DD] August 21–27, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 61% 34% 5%

Wisconsin

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[fp]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.8% 47.7% 3.5% Harris +1.1%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.3% 47.3% 4.4% Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.7% 47.7% 3.6% Harris +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.4% 48.7% 2.9% Trump +0.3%
Average 48.6% 47.9% 3.5% Harris +0.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 869 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Research Co.[856] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 46% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[857] November 1–3, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 47% 5%[l]
Patriot Polling[858] November 1–3, 2024 835 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[859] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College[860] October 30 – November 2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 49% 2%[g]
50%[h] 50%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[861] October 25 – November 2, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%[x]
786 (LV) 49% 48% 3%[x]
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,305 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%
1,305 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
ActiVote[862] October 10 – November 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 673 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[863] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 889 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 47% 2%
876 (LV) 51% 47% 2%
Morning Consult[134] October 22−31, 2024 540 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%
TIPP Insights[864][CE] October 28–30, 2024 1,038 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6%
831 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Marist College[865] October 27–30, 2024 1,444 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 48% 2%[j]
1,330 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 48% 2%[j]
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 49% 2%
Quantus Insights (R)[866][DE] October 28–29, 2024 637 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 49% 2%
SoCal Strategies (R)[867][B] October 28–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[868][D] October 25–29, 2024 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,470 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
CNN/SSRS[869] October 23–28, 2024 736 (LV) ± 4.8% 51% 45% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[870] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[e]
CES/YouGov[871] October 1–25, 2024 1,552 (A) 51% 46% 3%
1,542 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Marquette University Law School[872] October 16–24, 2024 834 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
51%[h] 49%
753 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
50%[h] 49% 1%
Emerson College[873][DF] October 21–22, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[874] October 18−20, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 6%[e]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 635 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
624 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[875] October 11−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
48% 46% 7%[fq]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 932 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
RMG Research[876][F] October 10−16, 2024 787 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[fr]
49%[h] 50% 1%
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 527 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Washington Post/Schar School[877] September 30 – October 15, 2024 695 (RV) ± 4.6% 50% 46% 4%
695 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Patriot Polling[878] October 12–14, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[879][D] October 9–14, 2024 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[880] October 8–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%[l]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[881][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
Emerson College[882] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 48% 4%
Research Co.[883] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 45% 8%[bn]
50%[h] 48% 2%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,073 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
Arc Insights[884][DG] October 2–6, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 48% 5%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[885][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 47% 7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[886] September 28–30, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
ActiVote[887] August 29 – September 29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 48%
New York Times/Siena College[888] September 21–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
680 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Marquette University Law School[889] September 18–26, 2024 882 (RV) ± 4.4% 50% 45% 5%
52%[h] 48%
798 (LV) 50% 45% 5%
52%[h] 48%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 849 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
785 (LV) 51% 48% 1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[890][DH] September 19–23, 2024 400 (LV) 51% 45% 4%
RMG Research[891][F] September 17–23, 2024 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 49% 1%[g]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[892][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,071 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 1%
Emerson College[893] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
MassINC Polling Group[894][DI] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.8% 53% 46% 1%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% 6%
Marist College[895] September 12−17, 2024 1,312 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[fs]
1,194 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 49% 1%[j]
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[896][AG] September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[897] September 11–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[f]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[898] September 4–6, 2024 917 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[899] September 3–6, 2024 946 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 49%
Marquette University Law School[900] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 45% 6%
52%[h] 48%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 49% 44% 7%
52%[h] 48%
Patriot Polling[901] September 1–3, 2024 826 (RV) 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[902] August 28–30, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Emerson College[903] August 25–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 49% 3%
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[904] August 23–26, 2024 648 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 44% 3%
701 (RV) 52% 44% 4%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[722][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.3% 48% 42% 10%[ft]
– (LV) ± 5.9% 51% 46% 3%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies[905][DJ] August 19–21, 2024 600 (LV) 48% 45% 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[906][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 45% 6%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[907][P] August 13–19, 2024 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Focaldata[908] August 6–16, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 48%
Quantus Insights (R)[909][DE] August 14–15, 2024 601 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
TIPP Insights[910][CE] August 12–14, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 7%
976 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
The Bullfinch Group[911][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 42% 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[912] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) 48% 49% 3%
Navigator Research (D)[913] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[914] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) 49% 46% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[915] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 50% 46% 4%
661 (LV) 50% 46% 3%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [916][F] July 31 – August 5, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 7%
Marquette University Law School[917] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 44% 9%
49%[h] 50% 1%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 45% 6%
50%[h] 49% 1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[918][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[919] July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News[920] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College[228] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 47% 6%
51%[h] 49%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[921][Q] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[922][CE] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[233] May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College[923] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[924] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 46% 47% 7%
603 (LV) 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 869 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 1%[f]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,305 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 0% 2% 0% 5%
1,305 (LV) 48% 45% 0% 1% 0% 6%
Focaldata[925] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,799 (LV) 50% 47% 0% 1% 2%
1,613 (RV) ± 2.3% 51% 46% 1% 1% 1%
1,799 (A) 49% 46% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 673 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[926] October 28–31, 2024 932 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 889 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 45% 0% 3% 4%
876 (LV) 49% 45% 0% 2% 4%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,470 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[927] October 25–27, 2024 746 (LV) 49% 47% 0% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[928] October 20–22, 2024 557 (LV) 49% 47% 0% 1% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[929][BS] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%[f]
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 0% 0% 0% 4%[fu]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 635 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 1% 3% 2%
624 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[930] October 16–18, 2024 622 (LV) 47% 46% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[931] October 12–14, 2024 641 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,073 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 0% 1% 1% 4%[fu]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[932] September 27 – October 2, 2024 533 (LV) 47% 46% 0% 1% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[888] September 21–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 1% 2% 4%
680 (LV) 48% 46% 1% 2% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 849 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 1% 2% 1%
785 (LV) 50% 47% 0% 1% 2%
Remington Research Group (R)[933][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[934] September 16–19, 2024 600 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 0% 6%
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 1% 1% 3%[fu]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[935] September 6–9, 2024 626 (LV) 49% 46% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[936][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 44% 1% 1% 7%[e]
CNN/SSRS[937] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 44% 0% 2% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[938] August 25–28, 2024 672 (LV) 48% 44% 0% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[904] August 23–26, 2024 648 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 1% 1% 2%
701 (RV) 51% 44% 1% 1% 3%


Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
[fv]
Independent
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 7, 2024 October 13, 2024 47.7% 46.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% Harris +1.4%
270toWin October 2 – 11, 2024 October 11, 2024 47.0% 45.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 3.1% Harris +1.3%
Average 47.3% 46.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 2.5% Harris +1.0%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
TIPP Insights[864][CE] October 28–30, 2024 1,038 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 44% 3% 1% 1% 5%
831 (LV) 48% 47% 3% 1% 1%
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3%
CNN/SSRS[939] October 23–28, 2024 736 (LV) ± 4.8% 51% 45% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Marquette University Law School[872] October 16–24, 2024 834 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 43% 5% 1% 1% 2% 2%[fu]
753 (LV) 46% 44% 5% 1% 1% 2% 1%[fu]
USA Today/Suffolk University[940][941] October 20–23, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3%[fu]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 932 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 1% 0% 1% 1%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 46% 45% 3% 1% 0% 0% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 45% 2% 1% 0% 1% 5%
Marquette University Law School[889] September 18–26, 2024 882 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 44% 3% 0% 1% 1% 3%[fw]
798 (LV) 49% 44% 3% 0% 1% 1% 2%[fw]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 0% 0% 1% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 48% 46% 0% 1% 2% 3%
MassINC Polling Group[894][DI] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 45% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[896][AG] September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 2% 0% 1% 0% 4%[br]
Marquette University Law School[900] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 43% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 43% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1%[fx]
Z to A Research (D)[942][BH] August 23–26, 2024 518 (LV) 47% 47% 2% 0% 1% 3%
YouGov[722][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.3% 45% 40% 4% 1% 1% 0% 9%[fy]
– (LV) ± 5.9% 49% 45% 1% 1% 0% 0% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[907][P] August 13–19, 2024 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 4% 1% 1% 0% 2%
Focaldata[908] August 6–16, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 44% 4% 1% 0% 1%
700 (RV) 50% 42% 5% 1% 0% 2%
700 (A) 50% 43% 5% 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[943] August 12–15, 2024 469 (LV) 48% 44% 3% 0% 0% 5%
The Bullfinch Group[911][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 40% 3% 1% 1% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[915] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 42% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2%
661 (LV) 49% 43% 5% 0% 1% 1% 2%
Navigator Research (D)[913] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[914] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) 48% 43% 5% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[944] July 31 – August 3, 2024 597 (LV) 43% 43% 3% 0% 0% 11%
Marquette University Law School[917] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 45% 43% 8% 0% 1% 1% 2%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 45% 6% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[919] July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 6% 0% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[945] July 22–24, 2024 523 (LV) 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 5%
Fox News[920] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 5% 1% 1% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 3% 2% 7%
Emerson College[228] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 45% 3% 1% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[906][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 42% 4% 7%
Civiqs[946][BH] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 48% 48% 2% 2%

Wyoming

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i District boundaries have changed since the 2020 election.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai "Other" with 2%
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax "Other" with 1%
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y "Another party's candidates" with 1% Cite error: The named reference "APC1" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  11. ^ a b c d e "Someone else" with 3%
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "Other" with 3%
  13. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  14. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t "Someone else" with 2%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  19. ^ a b "Other" with 7%
  20. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  22. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  24. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Another candidate" with 1% Cite error: The named reference "AC1" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  26. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 1%
  27. ^ a b "Other" with 5%
  28. ^ "One of the other party tickets" with 2%
  29. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  30. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  31. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  32. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Peter Sonski (ASP) with 1% each; Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  33. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  34. ^ "Other" with 4%
  35. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  36. ^ a b c d e f g "Another candidate" with 2%
  37. ^ "Other candidate" with 1%
  38. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
  39. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  40. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  41. ^ "Other" with 1%
  42. ^ "Not sure" with 3%; "Don't want to say" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 0%
  43. ^ "I do not plan on voting/cannot vote" & "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7% each
  44. ^ "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7%
  45. ^ "Neither of the top two candidates" with 6%
  46. ^ "Third-party candidate" with 3%
  47. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  48. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  49. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; "Undecided" with 2%
  50. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  51. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  53. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Maryland, College Park.
  54. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  55. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  56. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  57. ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
  58. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & "Another Candidate" with 1% each
  59. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 1% each
  60. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  61. ^ a b c d e f "Other" with 4%
  62. ^ "Another Candidate" with 3%
  63. ^ "Another Candidate" with 2%
  64. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%
  65. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  66. ^ a b c d e f "Some other candidate" with 1%
  67. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  68. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  69. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  70. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  71. ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
  72. ^ a b c d e Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each
  73. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  74. ^ Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each
  75. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  76. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  77. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  78. ^ "Other" with 4%
  79. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  80. ^ "Other" with 3%
  81. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  82. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 7%
  83. ^ "Other" with 3%; "Undecided" with 2%
  84. ^ "Other" with 4%
  85. ^ "Other" with 5%
  86. ^ a b "Blank / null / won't vote" with 1%
  87. ^ a b "Someone else" & None of these candidates with 1% each
  88. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%; None of these candidates with 1%
  89. ^ a b None of these candidates with 2%
  90. ^ "Other" with 4%
  91. ^ None of these candidates & "Someone else" with 1% each
  92. ^ None of these candidates with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  93. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  94. ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
  95. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  96. ^ "None of the above" with 4%; "Others" with 1%
  97. ^ "Other" with 8%
  98. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  99. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  100. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
  101. ^ a b c d Not on the ballot.
  102. ^ a b c d Joel Skousen (C) with 0%
  103. ^ None of these candidates with 3%
  104. ^ None of these candidates with 1%
  105. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  106. ^ "Neither/Someone else" with 6%
  107. ^ With each candidate's party affiliation excluded
  108. ^ "Neither/Someone else" with 7%
  109. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 4%
  110. ^ "Other" with 5.7%
  111. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  112. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  113. ^ "Another party's candidates" with 2%
  114. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 4%
  115. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  116. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  117. ^ "Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
  118. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
  119. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  120. ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
  121. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  122. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  123. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  124. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  125. ^ "Someone else" & "Would not vote" with 1% each
  126. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  127. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  128. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  129. ^ "Another Candidate" with 2%
  130. ^ "Another Candidate" with 1%
  131. ^ "Neither/Other" with 2%
  132. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 1%
  133. ^ "Other" with 5%
  134. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 2%
  135. ^ "Other" with 6%
  136. ^ "Another Candidate" with 3%
  137. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  138. ^ a b c d e f g "Would not vote" with 1%
  139. ^ "Neither/Other" with 4%
  140. ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  141. ^ "Will not vote" with 6%
  142. ^ "Will not vote" with 1%
  143. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  144. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Don't know/Not sure" with 1%
  145. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  146. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  147. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  148. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  149. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  150. ^ "Someone else"
  151. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  152. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  153. ^ "Would not vote" with 4%
  154. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  155. ^ Joel Skousen (C) and Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1% each
  156. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with 1%
  157. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  158. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  159. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  160. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  161. ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
  162. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
  163. ^ "Someone else" with 1.6%
  164. ^ Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  165. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  166. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  167. ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  168. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  169. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  170. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  171. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  172. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  173. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
  174. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  175. ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  176. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  177. ^ a b c d e f Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
  178. ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
  179. ^ a b Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  180. ^ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
  181. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Nick Begich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  5. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  7. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  8. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by the Democracy Defense Project and Echo Canyon Consulting
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
  14. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  15. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  17. ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  18. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  19. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by Talk Business & Politics
  21. ^ Poll sponsored by Inside CA Politics and The Hill
  22. ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  23. ^ Poll sponsored by The Connecticut Mirror
  24. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens for Judicial Fairness
  25. ^ Poll conducted for Florida Politics
  26. ^ a b Poll conducted for Florida State University
  27. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  28. ^ Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Florida
  29. ^ Poll conducted for WTVJ & WSCV
  30. ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  31. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  32. ^ Poll conducted for WTVT
  33. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Poll commissioned by AARP
  34. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  35. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  36. ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
  37. ^ Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
  38. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
  39. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  40. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearDefense
  41. ^ Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  42. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
  43. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Bangor Daily News & FairVote
  44. ^ Poll sponsored by the NRCC
  45. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland, College Park
  46. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WHDH
  47. ^ Poll sponsored by CommonWealth Beacon and WBUR
  48. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB-TV
  49. ^ Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  50. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll commissioned by MIRS
  51. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  52. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  53. ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  54. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
  55. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  56. ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
  57. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  58. ^ Cite error: The named reference Freep was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  59. ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
  60. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  61. ^ Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  62. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  63. ^ a b c Poll commissioned by Split Ticket
  64. ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  65. ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
  66. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the campaign of Dan Osborn, an independent candidate for Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat
  67. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
  68. ^ Poll sponsored by Retire Career Politicians PAC
  69. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld Cite error: The named reference "RCPA" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  70. ^ Poll conducted for the Democracy Defense Project
  71. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
  72. ^ Poll sponsored by KOB-TV
  73. ^ a b Poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal
  74. ^ Poll sponsored by WPIX-TV
  75. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
  76. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  77. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
  78. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Katrina Christiansen, the Democratic nominee for North Dakota's Class 1 Senate seat
  79. ^ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  80. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
  81. ^ Poll sponsored by Ohio Press Network
  82. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  83. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  84. ^ a b Poll sponsored by La Torre Live
  85. ^ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  86. ^ a b Poll conducted for the University of Austin
  87. ^ Poll sponsored by Jacobin
  88. ^ Poll conducted for the Sentinel Action Fund PAC
  89. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  90. ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  91. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
  92. ^ a b Poll sponsored by 2WAY
  93. ^ Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
  94. ^ Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
  95. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Rhode Island Current
  96. ^ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  97. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  98. ^ Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  99. ^ Poll sponsored by Texans for Fiscal Responsibility
  100. ^ Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights
  101. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Brian King, the Democratic nominee for Utah's gubernatorial election
  102. ^ Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
  103. ^ Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
  104. ^ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  105. ^ Poll sponsored by KOMO-TV
  106. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
  107. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
  108. ^ Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
  109. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  110. ^ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
  111. ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  112. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
  113. ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (2024-08-26). "Harris' momentum continues as she ties with Trump in these swing states". NPR. Retrieved 2024-08-27.
  2. ^ Nate Cohn (October 6, 2024). "How One Polling Decision Is Leading to Two Distinct Stories of the Election". The New York Times.
  3. ^ "2024 Election Poll Closing Times - 270toWin". www.270towin.com.
  4. ^ "The Green Papers: 2024 Poll Closing Times for Statewide offices and Congress Electoral College Chronologically". www.thegreenpapers.com.
  5. ^ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
  6. ^ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
  7. ^ Gonzales, Nathan. "2024 Presidential Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 3, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  10. ^ Kondik, Kyle. "2024 Electoral College ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  11. ^ "Road to 270". CNN.
  12. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
  13. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (11 June 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  14. ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  15. ^ a b "Alaska Survey Research - October 20-22, 2024". X. October 27, 2024.
  16. ^ a b "Alaska Survey Research - Oct 8-9, 2024". X. October 15, 2024.
  17. ^ Downs, James (September 5, 2024). "As Weather Cools, Alaska Race Heats Up - Republican poll shows close race in the Last Frontier". National Journal.
  18. ^ "Alaska Survey Research - September 27-29, 2024". X. September 30, 2024.
  19. ^ "2024 Presidential Poll Results - Alaska". X. September 13, 2024.
  20. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w "Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. November 4, 2024. Cite error: The named reference "AtlasNov3-4" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  21. ^ "TRUMP LEADS HARRIS BY 0.8% IN FINAL ARIZONA POLL OF 2024" (PDF). Victory Insights. November 4, 2024.
  22. ^ "Arizona Statewide Presidential Survey - November 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. November 4, 2024.
  23. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  24. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
  25. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - November 2, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. November 2, 2024.
  26. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  27. ^ a b c d Lerer, Lisa; Igielnik, Ruth (November 3, 2024). "Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  28. ^ Allis, Victor (2 November 2024). "Trump leads in Arizona". ActiVote. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  29. ^ "SoCal Strategies National, Pennsylvania, and Arizona Polls". Substack. November 1, 2024.
  30. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 31, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 31, 2024.
  31. ^ Weigel, David (November 1, 2024). "The view from the swing states". Semafor.
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "The Times / SAY Poll: October 25-31, 2024" (PDF). YouGov. November 1, 2024.
  33. ^ a b c d Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
  34. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads in Georgia, Arizona; Harris +5 in New Mexico". Rasmussen Reports. October 31, 2024.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 29, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 29, 2024.
  36. ^ a b "MITCHELL POLL of ARIZONA" (PDF). Mitchell Research & Communications. Retrieved 3 November 2024.
  37. ^ "A Survey of Arizona Voters" (PDF). RABA Research. October 28, 2024.
  38. ^ "Arizona Statewide Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 27, 2024.
  39. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  40. ^ "Marist Arizona Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Arizona, October 2024". Marist Poll. October 24, 2024.
  41. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: Trump Leads by Three Points in Arizona; Nevada is Tied". InsiderAdvantage. October 22, 2024.
  42. ^ "Trending Trump Takes Narrow Lead in Arizona". HighGround. October 22, 2024.
  43. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Korte, Gregory; Cook, Nancy (October 23, 2024). "Two Weeks Out, Trump and Harris Are Locked in a Dead Heat". Bloomberg.
  44. ^ "Results of Survey of Arizona Registered Voters" (PDF). University of Arizona. October 25, 2024.
  45. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 19, 2024.
  46. ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred; Khanna, Kabir (October 17, 2024). "CBS News Trump-Harris poll finds Trump with slight edge in close race in Arizona". CBS News.
  47. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  48. ^ "Arizona Statewide Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 14, 2024.
  49. ^ a b c d Bender, Michael; Igielnik, Ruth (October 12, 2024). "Trump Leads in Arizona as Harris Holds an Edge in Pennsylvania, New Polls Show". The New York Times.
  50. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  51. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  52. ^ a b c d e f g h i Zitner, Aaron (October 11, 2024). "Battle for Swing States Is Tied, Trump Has Edge on Top Issues, WSJ Poll Shows". The Wall Street Journal.
  53. ^ Allis, Victor (October 9, 2024). "Trump has small lead in Arizona". ActiVote.
  54. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Arizona Poll". Substack. October 8, 2024.
  55. ^ "ARIZONA: Trump 50% Harris 46%". Napolitan Institute. October 7, 2024.
  56. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc.
  57. ^ a b "Arizona Voter Survey, October 2024" (PDF). AARP. October 8, 2024.
  58. ^ "InsiderAdvantage 'Sunbelt Battleground' Surveys: Trump Enjoys Slim Lead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina; Georgia Tied". InsiderAdvantage. October 1, 2024.
  59. ^ Welch, Dennis (October 2, 2024). "Poll: Harris and Trump still in dead heat in Arizona; GOP winning independents". Arizona's Family.
  60. ^ "Arizona Poll Briefing - October 2, 2024". National Research. October 2, 2024.
  61. ^ a b c d e f g h i "PGPF Battleground Poll Topline Results by State" (PDF). Peter G. Peterson Foundation. October 9, 2024.
  62. ^ "September 2024 Arizona and North Carolina Polls: Harris and Trump Neck-and-Neck in Key Swing States". Emerson College Polling. October 1, 2024.
  63. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - September 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. September 28, 2024.
  64. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Walter, Amy; Taylor, Jessica (October 2, 2024). "Swing State Polling Finds Deadlocked Presidential Contest, 'Blue Wall' Senate Races Tighten". Cook Political Report.
  65. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Korte, Gregory; Niquette, Mark (September 26, 2024). "Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race". Bloomberg.
  66. ^ a b Balara, Victoria; Blanton, Dana (September 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Voters' choice has flipped in Arizona since last month". Fox News.
  67. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Arizona, September 2024 - Marist Arizona Poll". Marist Poll. September 26, 2024.
  68. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +2 in Arizona, Tied With Harris in Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. September 26, 2024.
  69. ^ a b Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 23, 2024). "Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
  70. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  71. ^ "Arizon Presidential General Election Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. September 14, 2024.
  72. ^ "Exclusive AZ Free News Poll: Trump Holds Narrow Lead In Arizona As Economy, Border Dominate". Data Orbital. September 17, 2024.
  73. ^ a b "Arizona a Dead Heat Between Trump & Harris, Trump Leads on Issues and Authenticity". American Greatness. September 6, 2024.
  74. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  75. ^ "Arizona: Trump Leads by One Point; Gallego Up by Four; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)". InsiderAdvantage. August 31, 2024.
  76. ^ Klar, Samara (October 29, 2024). "University of Arizona - August 28-31, 2024" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight.
  77. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  78. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  79. ^ a b c d e f g h Balara, Victoria; Blanton, Dana (August 28, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris closes gap with Trump in Sun Belt states". Fox News.
  80. ^ a b c d e f "New APP Polling: Trump Leads in 3 of 5 Swing States, Voters Reject Democrats' Cultural Extremism". American Principles Project. August 29, 2024.
  81. ^ Draeger, Jonathan (August 18, 2024). "No Frontrunner in Swing States Before Democratic Convention". RealClearPolling.
  82. ^ "Harris Shakes Up Key Demographics in 2024 Presidential Race". Noble Predictive Insights. August 27, 2024.
  83. ^ Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  84. ^ "AZ Battleground survey Toplines" (PDF). Strategies 360. August 28, 2024.
  85. ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Arizona". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
  86. ^ "Arizona Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 10, 2024.
  87. ^ Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
  88. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  89. ^ Bentz, Paul (August 8, 2024). "Democrats Take Early 'Top of the Ticket' Lead Following Arizona's Primary Election". HighGround.
  90. ^ Vakil, Caroline (July 30, 2024). "Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling".
  91. ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "KEY FINDINGS FROM A RECENT POLL OF VOTERS IN FIVE PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES". Politico.
  92. ^ Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  93. ^ Mumford, Camille (July 25, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin". Emerson Polling.
  94. ^ "Three More Battleground Polls: Trump Leads in PA, NV, AZ; No Post-Shooting Bump, but Large Enthusiasm Gap; Harris Trails Trump". InsiderAdvantage. July 18, 2024.
  95. ^ "PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump". Google Docs. July 12, 2024.
  96. ^ Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  97. ^ Mumford, Camille (February 22, 2024). "Arizona 2024 Poll: Trump 46%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
  98. ^ "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds ..." archive.ph. November 6, 2023. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  99. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  100. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  101. ^ "AZ POLL OF RECORD: Trump +1, Gallego +4". Noble Predictive Insights. October 31, 2024.
  102. ^ "Final Data for Progress Swing State Polls Show Harris and Trump in Close Race: Harris Ahead by 2 in PA and NV, 1 in GA; Trump Up by 1 in AZ". Data for Progress. November 1, 2024.
  103. ^ "New Data Orbital Arizona 2024 General Election Statewide Poll". Data Orbital. October 29, 2024.
  104. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  105. ^ "ARIZONA LIKELY VOTERS POLLING". J.L. Partners. November 4, 2024.
  106. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 29, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris and Trump locked in close races in Arizona and Nevada as pool of persuadable voters shrinks". CNN.
  107. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  108. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  109. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  110. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  111. ^ Morin, Rebecca (September 27, 2024). "Donald Trump holds lead over Kamala Harris in Arizona, exclusive poll finds". USA Today.
  112. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  113. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  114. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Arizona" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  115. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  116. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  117. ^ "Poll: Trump has commanding lead over Harris in Arkansas". Talk Business & Politics. September 13, 2024.
  118. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  119. ^ "California Statewide Election Poll 2024". Competitive Edge Research. Retrieved 6 November 2024.
  120. ^ DiCamillo, Mark (November 1, 2024). "Harris holds comfortable lead in her home state". eScholarship. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  121. ^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Harris Stays Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
  122. ^ Sinclair, J. Andrew; Miller, Kenneth P. (October 30, 2024). "Harris and Schiff Cruising to Victory in Deep Blue California" (PDF). Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
  123. ^ "October 2024 California Poll: Harris 59%, Trump 35%". Emerson College. October 16, 2024. Retrieved October 16, 2024.
  124. ^ Allis, Victor (October 12, 2024). "Harris Stays Far Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
  125. ^ Allis, Victor (September 21, 2024). "Harris Again Far Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote. Retrieved September 21, 2024.
  126. ^ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
  127. ^ Allis, Victor (August 19, 2024). "Harris Far Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote.
  128. ^ Rainey, James (August 14, 2024). "Poll: Harris and Walz build huge lead among likely California voters". Los Angeles Times.
  129. ^ Mumford, Camille (November 17, 2023). "California 2024: Tight Race for U.S. Senate Nomination Between Schiff, Porter, Garvey, and Lee; Plurality Remain Undecided". Emerson Polling.
  130. ^ "Kamala Harris is set to secure double-digit victory in Colorado" (PDF). Keating Research. 31 October 2024. Retrieved 1 November 2024.
  131. ^ "Colorado Political Climate Survey 2024 Report". University of Colorado Boulder American Politics Research Lab. 4 November 2024. Retrieved 5 November 2024.
  132. ^ Allis, Victor (20 October 2024). "Harris Comfortably Ahead in Colorado". ActiVote. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  133. ^ Allis, Victor (20 October 2024). "Harris Leads in Colorado". ActiVote. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  134. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult. Cite error: The named reference "MCTracking" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  135. ^ Keating, Chris; Martin, Jake; Keating, Spencer (September 25, 2024). "Keating Research Colorado Presidential Election Polling Memo - 09/25/24" (PDF). Keating Research.
  136. ^ Pazniokas, Mark (September 23, 2024). "CT Mirror poll shows Harris leading Trump by 16 points in state". The Connecticut Mirror.
  137. ^ "Citizens for Judicial Fairness Poll: New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer Well Positioned for Victory in Race for Delaware Governor, Vice President Kamala Harris Favorability Ratings Pass Biden". Business Wire. September 24, 2024.
  138. ^ Bothum, Peter (September 27, 2024). "New poll shows gender gap and independents fueling large lead for Delaware Democrats". University of Delaware.
  139. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  140. ^ "TRUMP LEADS HARRIS BY 4.3% IN FINAL FLORIDA POLL OF 2024" (PDF). Victory Insights. November 4, 2024.
  141. ^ Smallpage, Steven (1 November 2024). "Trump Holds 7-point Lead Over Harris in Florida, New CPOR Poll Finds". Stetson University. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  142. ^ "November Poll Crosstabs" (PDF). Stetson University. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  143. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Florida" (PDF). FAU Polling. October 29, 2024.
  144. ^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Trump extends lead in Florida". ActiVote.
  145. ^ Ogles, Jacob (October 28, 2024). "Poll shows abortion rights measure falling just short of passage in Florida; will need undecided voters to break its way". Florida Politics.
  146. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  147. ^ a b "IGC Statewide Survey of Florida" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. October 25, 2024.
  148. ^ "October 2024 Florida Poll: Trump 52%, Harris 44%". Emerson College Polling. October 23, 2024.
  149. ^ "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Donald Trump & Rick Scott Closing the 2024 General Election Campaign in Florida Leading Their Democratic Opponents, While Governor Ron DeSantis Remains Popular with Floridians". Florida Chamber of Commerce. October 25, 2024.
  150. ^ Allis, Victor (October 21, 2024). "Trump extends lead in Florida". ActiVote.
  151. ^ "UNF Poll shows Trump ahead by double digits in Florida" (PDF). University of North Florida. October 21, 2024.
  152. ^ "FLORIDA Trump 52% Harris 47%". Napolitan Institute. 18 October 2024. Retrieved 18 October 2024.
  153. ^ Sinclair, J. Andrew; Miller, Kenneth P. (October 30, 2024). "Trump, Scott on track to win in Florida" (PDF). Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
  154. ^ Leonard, Kimberly (October 15, 2024). "Trump's headed to Florida for Hispanic town hall". Politico.
  155. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Florida, October 2024 - Marist Florida Poll". Marist Poll. October 10, 2024.
  156. ^ a b Cohn, Nate (October 8, 2024). "A Florida Poll That Should Change the Way You Look at the Election". The New York Times.
  157. ^ Allis, Victor (October 7, 2024). "Trump has steady lead in Florida". ActiVote. Retrieved October 7, 2024.
  158. ^ Vela, Hatzel (October 13, 2024). "EXCLUSIVE: Trump leads Harris in Florida, new poll shows". NBC Miami.
  159. ^ "FLORIDA: Trump 50% Harris 48%". Napolitan Institute. October 3, 2024.
  160. ^ a b c d "Latest Polls Show Competitive Senate Races in TX and FL" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. September 29, 2024.
  161. ^ "FLORIDA POLL: TRUMP & SCOTT NARROWLY LEAD; AMENDMENTS 3 & 4 HEAVILY FAVORED" (PDF). Victory Insights. September 30, 2024.
  162. ^ "Independent Center September 2024 SE Swing Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. September 24, 2024.
  163. ^ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
  164. ^ Allis, Victor (31 August 2024). "Trump has a solid lead in Florida". ActiVote. Retrieved 31 August 2024.
  165. ^ "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Donald Trump & Rick Scott Begin 2024 General Election Campaigns in Florida Leading Their Democratic Opponents, While Governor Ron DeSantis Remains Popular with Floridians". Florida Chamber of Commerce. August 29, 2024.
  166. ^ "New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. August 27, 2024.
  167. ^ Allis, Victor (August 15, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris in Florida". ActiVote.
  168. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Florida" (PDF). FAU Polling. August 14, 2024.
  169. ^ "UNF Poll: Trump has seven-point lead on Harris in home state of Florida" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 30, 2024.
  170. ^ Patrick, Craig (July 17, 2024). "Trump holds 6-point lead over Biden in Florida: FOX 13 Tampa Bay/InsiderAdvantage Poll". FOX 13 News.
  171. ^ "9-21-2022 Florida Midterms with USA TODAY Network marginals" (PDF). Suffolk University. September 18, 2022.
  172. ^ "FLORIDA PRESIDENTIAL POLL: BIDEN, TRUMP, DESANTIS, HARRIS EACH HAVE A SHOT" (PDF). Victory Insights. September 18, 2021.
  173. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  174. ^ "Florida Poll: Death Knell for Democrats Among Hispanics, Trump Captures More Than Half, Leads Harris Among Puerto Ricans; Scott in Solid Position". Cygnal. October 30, 2024.
  175. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  176. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  177. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  178. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  179. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  180. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Georgia Survey: Trump Leads by One in Potentially Chaotic Georgia Election". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
  181. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  182. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  183. ^ a b c d Lerer, Lisa; Igielnik, Ruth (November 3, 2024). "Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  184. ^ Allis, Victor (November 3, 2024). "Trump Increases Lead in Georgia". ActiVote.
  185. ^ a b c d Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
  186. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads in Georgia, Arizona; Harris +5 in New Mexico". Rasmussen Reports. October 31, 2024.
  187. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Georgia Poll". Substack. October 29, 2024.
  188. ^ "Georgia General Statewide Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 27, 2024.
  189. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  190. ^ Clark, Justin (October 31, 2024). "Georgia – Presidential Election Survey" (PDF). National Public Affairs.
  191. ^ "Marist Georgia Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Georgia, October 2024". Marist Poll. October 24, 2024.
  192. ^ Allis, Victor (18 October 2024). "Trump Narrowly Ahead in Georgia". ActiVote. Retrieved 18 October 2024.
  193. ^ "Trump Leads in Georgia, New Polling". American Greatness. October 18, 2024.
  194. ^ "New InsiderAdvantage poll shows Trump with slight lead in Georgia". James Magazine. October 15, 2024.
  195. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  196. ^ a b c d "Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia, North Carolina: Trump Holds Lead In GA, Harris On Upside Of Tight Race In NC, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Gubernatorial Race: Stein Leads Robinson By Double Digits". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 16, 2024.
  197. ^ "GEORGIA Trump 50% Harris 47%". Napolitan Institute. October 14, 2024.
  198. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  199. ^ "Georgia General Statewide Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 9, 2024.
  200. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  201. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc.
  202. ^ "InsiderAdvantage 'Sunbelt Battleground' Surveys: Trump Enjoys Slim Lead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina; Georgia Tied". InsiderAdvantage. October 1, 2024.
  203. ^ a b c d "Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia, North Carolina: Trump Ahead In GA, On Upside Of Tight Race In NC, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor Race: More Voters Say Robinson Should Stay In Race". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 1, 2024.
  204. ^ a b Balara, Victoria; Blanton, Dana (September 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris is ahead of Trump by 3 points in Georgia". Fox News.
  205. ^ Khanna, Kabir (September 25, 2024). "CBS News poll finds tight race in Georgia, where Trump has 2-point edge over Harris". CBS News.
  206. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Georgia, September 2024 - Marist Georgia Poll". Marist Poll. September 26, 2024.
  207. ^ "Independent Center September 2024 SE Swing Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. September 24, 2024.
  208. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in Georgia, Tied With Harris in Pennsylvania". Rasmussen Reports. September 23, 2024.
  209. ^ a b Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 23, 2024). "Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
  210. ^ a b "Georgia Presidential Race a Dead Heat: Voters Doubt Authenticity of Harris & Media". American Greatness. September 16, 2024.
  211. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  212. ^ "Georgia General Statewide Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. September 16, 2024.
  213. ^ Allis, Victor (September 10, 2024). "Trump Narrowly Ahead in Georgia". ActiVote.
  214. ^ a b c d "Swing State Poll 2024: North Carolina: Harris vs. Trump Too Close To Call, Georgia: Trump Has Slight Edge In Tight Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 51% - 41%". Quinnipiac University Poll. September 9, 2024.
  215. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Georgia" (PDF). FAU Polling. September 9, 2024.
  216. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  217. ^ "Georgia: Harris and Trump Tied at 48%; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)". InsiderAdvantage. August 31, 2024.
  218. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  219. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  220. ^ Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  221. ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Georgia". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
  222. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  223. ^ "Georgia Voter Survey 2024" (PDF). AARP. August 8, 2024.
  224. ^ "Trump Leads in Georgia by Two Points". PollingPlus. August 2, 2024.
  225. ^ Vakil, Caroline (July 30, 2024). "Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling". The Hill.
  226. ^ Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  227. ^ "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Georgia Survey". Google Docs. July 26, 2024.
  228. ^ a b c Mumford, Camille (July 25, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin". Emerson Polling.
  229. ^ "Statewide Presidential Poll of Georgia July 22, 2024". Landmark Communications. July 23, 2024.
  230. ^ Baruchman, Michelle; Hallerman, Tamar; Bluestein, Greg (July 21, 2024). "EXCLUSIVE: New AJC poll finds Trump leads Harris in Georgia matchup". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution – via AJC.com.
  231. ^ "New FOX 5 Atlanta/InsiderAdvantage Poll: Trump leads Biden in Georgia". FOX 5 Atlanta. July 16, 2024.
  232. ^ "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. July 17, 2024.
  233. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  234. ^ Mumford, Camille (February 21, 2024). "Georgia 2024 Poll: Trump 48%, Biden 42%". Emerson Polling.
  235. ^ "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds". The New York Times. November 6, 2023 – via archive.today.
  236. ^ "2024 Presidential Election Polls". Race to the WH. Retrieved October 15, 2024.
  237. ^ "Georgia 2024 Presidential Election Polls". 270toWin. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
  238. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  239. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (November 4, 2024). "Georgia Remains a Tossup as Election Day Nears". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  240. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  241. ^ "Final Data for Progress Swing State Polls Show Harris and Trump in Close Race: Harris Ahead by 2 in PA and NV, 1 in GA; Trump Up by 1 in AZ". Data for Progress. November 1, 2024.
  242. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 31, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris and Trump remain neck and neck in Georgia and North Carolina". CNN.
  243. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  244. ^ "The Citadel Poll" (PDF). The Citadel. October 31, 2024.
  245. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  246. ^ Bluestein, Greg (October 22, 2024). "Trump has a slight edge in Georgia over Harris, latest AJC poll finds". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on October 22, 2024.
  247. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  248. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  249. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (October 18, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris by Three Points in Georgia". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  250. ^ "Pennsylvania & Georgia Voting Intention (8 – 9 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 11, 2024.
  251. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  252. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  253. ^ Bluestein, Greg (18 September 2024). "AJC poll finds Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are locked in a tight race in Georgia". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on 19 September 2024. Retrieved 19 September 2024.
  254. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  255. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Georgia" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  256. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  257. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  258. ^ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Harris's Steady Lead in Illinois". ActiVote.
  259. ^ Allis, Victor (October 6, 2024). "Harris Extends Lead in Illinois". ActiVote. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
  260. ^ Allis, Victor (August 29, 2024). "Harris Leads by Double Digits in Illinois". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
  261. ^ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
  262. ^ Allis, Victor (October 1, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
  263. ^ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 29, 2024). "GOP Leads In Statewide Polling, But Braun's is the Smallest". Indy Politics.
  264. ^ "Indiana September 2024 Poll: Trump 57%, Harris 40%". Emerson College Polling. September 17, 2024.
  265. ^ Carden, Dan (September 12, 2024). "Poll finds Indiana attorney general, governor races are close". The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  266. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Iowa Survey". InsiderAdvantage. November 4, 2024.
  267. ^ "SoCal Strategies Iowa Poll". Substack. November 3, 2024.
  268. ^ "November 2024 Iowa Poll: Trump 53%, Harris 43%". Emerson College Polling. November 2, 2024.
  269. ^ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters" (PDF). Cygnal. October 1, 2024. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  270. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (November 2, 2024). "Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how". The Des Moines Register.
  271. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (September 15, 2024). "Trump's Iowa lead shrinks significantly as Kamala Harris replaces Biden, Iowa Poll shows". The Des Moines Register.
  272. ^ "Kansas Speaks - Fall 2024 Statewide Public Opinion Survey" (PDF). Fort Hays State University. October 28, 2024.
  273. ^ a b c McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (August 21, 2024). "Harris Ahead in Maine, CD2 Too-Close-to-Call". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  274. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (July 25, 2024). "Harris Holds Small Lead Over Trump in Maine After Biden Withdraws From Race". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  275. ^ a b c McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (November 3, 2024). "Harris Leads Statewide in Maine but Trump Has Small Lead in CD2". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  276. ^ a b c Kobin, Billy (November 1, 2024). "New poll finds Jared Golden and Donald Trump leading Maine's 2nd District". Bangor Daily News.
  277. ^ a b c Cover, Susan (September 18, 2024). "New Maine polls shows Harris leading Trump in race for president". Spectrum News.
  278. ^ "State Of The Race Maine CD-2". Axis Research. Retrieved 23 October 2024.
  279. ^ Allis, Victor (31 October 2024). "Harris Has Huge Lead in Massachusetts". ActiVote. Retrieved 1 November 2024.
  280. ^ "October 2024 Massachusetts Poll: Harris 59%, Trump 36%". Emerson College Polling. October 29, 2024.
  281. ^ Allis, Victor (October 17, 2024). "Harris Easily Leads in Massachusetts". ActiVote.
  282. ^ a b c Wuthmann, Walter (September 23, 2024). "New WBUR poll finds strong support for Harris, Warren in Mass". WBUR. Cite error: The named reference "MassINCSept12-18" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  283. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (November 3, 2024). "Harris Maintains Lead Over Trump in MA; Large Differences in Confidence of Accurate Vote Count". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  284. ^ "UMass Amherst/WCVB Poll Finds Bay State Residents Evenly Split on 'Psychedelics,' Majority Support Eliminating MCAS as High School Graduation Requirement and Other Ballot Questions". University of Massachusetts Amherst. October 15, 2024.
  285. ^ Stout, Matt; Huynh, Anjali (October 8, 2024). "Mass. voters overwhelmingly back Harris over Trump, eliminating MCAS graduation requirement, Suffolk/Globe poll finds". The Boston Globe.
  286. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (September 18, 2024). "Harris Enjoys High Marks on Debate, Commanding Lead Among Massachusetts Voters". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  287. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  288. ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey - November 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. November 3, 2024.
  289. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  290. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
  291. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  292. ^ a b "MI NEWS SOURCE – MIRS MITCHELL POLL OF MICHIGAN - Harris leads by 2% in 2-Way/by 1% in 8-Way Contest" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. November 3, 2024.
  293. ^ a b c d Lerer, Lisa; Igielnik, Ruth (November 3, 2024). "Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  294. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Michigan" (PDF). FAU Polling. November 4, 2024.
  295. ^ Allis, Victor (November 3, 2024). "Trump Leads in Michigan". ActiVote.
  296. ^ "Election 2024: Harris 49%, Trump 48% in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. November 2, 2024.
  297. ^ Weigel, David (November 1, 2024). "The view from the swing states". Semafor.
  298. ^ a b c d Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
  299. ^ "Marist Michigan Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Michigan, November 2024". Marist Poll. November 1, 2024.
  300. ^ a b c d e f "Trump and Harris are tied on the full ballot in Michigan — 47-47". Echelon Insights. October 31, 2024. Cite error: The named reference "EIOct27-30" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  301. ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Rogers Leads Slotkin by 2 Points, Trump Leads Harris". Michigan News Source. October 31, 2024.
  302. ^ "Quantus Insights Polling: Wisconsin and Michigan in Dead Heat". Quantus Insights. October 31, 2024.
  303. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Balz, Dan (October 31, 2024). "Michigan voters near evenly split between Harris and Trump, Post poll finds". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on October 31, 2024.
  304. ^ a b c d Balara, Victoria (October 30, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris erases Trump's lead on the economy in Michigan". Fox News. Cite error: The named reference "FoxOct24-28" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  305. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Michigan Survey: Trump Leads by One Point; Slotkin and Rogers Tied in U.S. Senate Race". InsiderAdvantage. October 28, 2024.
  306. ^ "October 2024 Michigan Poll: Trump 49%, Harris 48%". Emerson College Polling. October 29, 2024.
  307. ^ "Michigan Statewide ~ Voter Attitude Survey" (PDF). Susquehanna Polling & Research. October 29, 2024.
  308. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (October 27, 2024). "Trump and Slotkin lead narrowly in Michigan". Patriot Polling.
  309. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  310. ^ a b c d "Swing State Poll 2024: Michigan, Wisconsin: Gender Divide Defines Tight Races In Rust Belt Battlegrounds, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Dem Holds Lead In MI, Very Close In WI". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 23, 2024.
  311. ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 21, 2024.
  312. ^ "Your Election Guide for the Midrust Battlegrounds". The Bullfinch Group. October 18, 2024.
  313. ^ "MICHIGAN Trump 49% Harris 49%". Napolitan Institute. October 17, 2024.
  314. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  315. ^ a b "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trump and Harris Still in Dead Heat in Michigan, Demographic Breakdown Tells Real Story". Michigan News Source. October 17, 2024.
  316. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads Harris in Wisconsin, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. October 17, 2024.
  317. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Michigan Poll". Substack. October 15, 2024.
  318. ^ "MSU Survey: Harris Leading in Michigan". Michigan State University. October 24, 2024.
  319. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: Trump Leads by Two Points in Michigan; Race All Tied Up in Wisconsin". Polling Plus. October 10, 2024.
  320. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  321. ^ a b "Michigan Voter Survey, October 2024" (PDF). AARP. October 15, 2024.
  322. ^ Allis, Victor (October 11, 2024). "Harris With Small Lead in Michigan". ActiVote.
  323. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  324. ^ Canseco, Mario (October 8, 2024). "Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Lean Blue in 2024 Race" (PDF). Research Co.
  325. ^ a b c d e f "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Blue Wall Shows Cracks As Race Tightens, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Michigan Moves To Toss-Up, Dems Lead In PA & WI". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 9, 2024.
  326. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc.
  327. ^ a b "Trump leads by 1% in 2-Way Contest Trump - Harris tied at 47% in an 8-Way Contest" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. October 3, 2024.
  328. ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 2, 2024.
  329. ^ "MICHIGAN: Harris 50% Trump 47%". Napolitan Institute. October 1, 2024.
  330. ^ a b Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find". The New York Times.
  331. ^ Link, Jeff (October 2, 2024). "Focus on Rural America: New Polling Shows Harris Leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, Tied with Trump in Pennsylvania". Focus on Rural America.
  332. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
  333. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  334. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest in Michigan, September 2024 - Harris +5 Over Trump in Michigan". Marist Poll. September 19, 2024.
  335. ^ a b c d e f "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Harris Ahead In 2 Key Battleground States, 3rd State Up For Grabs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Democrats Have Leads In All 3 States". Quinnipiac University Poll. September 18, 2024.
  336. ^ "Michigan Survey: Trump Leads Harris by One Point; Within Margin of Error (See Story Below Chart)". InsiderAdvantage. September 12, 2024.
  337. ^ a b "Trump – Harris Remain Tied in 2-Way Harris Leads by 1% in a 8-Way - Post Debate" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. September 13, 2024.
  338. ^ "Michigan IVF Poll Results". co/efficient. September 6, 2024.
  339. ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred (September 8, 2024). "Harris v. Trump CBS News poll finds Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin race tight ahead of debate". CBS News.
  340. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  341. ^ "Michigan Statewide Poll: Rogers within striking distance of Slotkin as Republicans gain ground across the state". Cygnal. September 12, 2024.
  342. ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 31, 2024.
  343. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  344. ^ Allis, Victor (August 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump essentially tied in Michigan". ActiVote. Retrieved August 28, 2024.
  345. ^ a b "EPIC-MRA STATEWIDE POLL OF ACTIVE & LIKELY 2024 NOVEMBER VOTERS" (PDF). WOOD-TV. August 30, 2024.
  346. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  347. ^ a b Ekins, Emily (September 9, 2024). "New Poll: WI, PA, & MI Voters Believe US Is Too Involved in Foreign Wars and World Affairs, Most Worry WWIII Approaching". Cato Institute.
  348. ^ a b "New Polling: A Slight Harris Lead in Michigan, But Issues Favor Trump". American Greatness. August 23, 2024.
  349. ^ a b "Blue Wall Survey – August 2024" (PDF). Pinpoint Policy Institute. August 29, 2024.
  350. ^ a b Draeger, Jonathan (August 18, 2024). "No Frontrunner in Swing States Before Democratic Convention". RealClearPolling.
  351. ^ a b Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  352. ^ a b "Independent Center Battleground States Poll" (PDF). The Independent Center. August 11, 2024.
  353. ^ a b "Michigan Voter Survey" (PDF). AARP. August 11, 2024.
  354. ^ "PollingPlus Exclusive: Top Two Presidential Cycle Pollsters Towery and Cahaly Release Battleground Polls". PollingPlus. August 9, 2024.
  355. ^ a b "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Michigan". The New York Times. August 10, 2024.
  356. ^ a b Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
  357. ^ a b Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  358. ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "Key Findings from a Recent Poll of Voters in Five Presidential Battleground States". Politico.
  359. ^ a b Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg.
  360. ^ "Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Research Michigan Survey" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 26, 2024.
  361. ^ a b Blanton, Dana (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Dead heat between Harris and Trump in Michigan". Fox News.
  362. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 25, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin". Emerson Polling.
  363. ^ "PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump.pdf". Google Docs. July 22, 2024.
  364. ^ Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg.
  365. ^ "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds ..." The New York Times. November 6, 2023.
  366. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  367. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  368. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  369. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  370. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  371. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  372. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  373. ^ "Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies" (PDF). American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers. October 1, 2024.
  374. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  375. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  376. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Michigan" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  377. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  378. ^ Spangler, Todd (November 1, 2024). "Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Michigan by 3 points in final Detroit Free Press poll". Detroit Free Press.
  379. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 30, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania". CNN.
  380. ^ Collins, Terry (October 30, 2024). "Harris, Trump deadlocked in battleground Michigan, new exclusive poll shows". USA Today.
  381. ^ Mauger, Craig (October 28, 2024). "Presidential poll in Michigan shows stark divide between male and female voters". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on October 28, 2024.
  382. ^ "UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of Michigan Likely Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 31, 2024.
  383. ^ "Top of the Ticket: Presidential Race Remains a Dead Heat - Harris Leads Trump by 1%" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. October 15, 2024.
  384. ^ Mauger, Craig (October 7, 2024). "Kamala Harris gains slight lead over Donald Trump in Michigan, poll shows". The Detroit News.
  385. ^ "Poll: Harris Slightly Leads Trump 48% to 43% in Great Lakes State". University of Massachusetts Lowell. September 26, 2024.
  386. ^ Collins, Michael; Collins, Terry (September 24, 2024). "Kamala Harris holds small lead over Donald Trump in Michigan, exclusive poll finds". USA Today.
  387. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  388. ^ McCue, Dan (September 4, 2024). "Post-DNC Polls Shows Harris, Trump Tied in Three Battleground States". The Well News.
  389. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 19, 2024.
  390. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
  391. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024.
  392. ^ Burke, Beth LeBlanc and Melissa Nann (July 25, 2024). "Trump, Harris race tight in Michigan as Kennedy pulls votes from both, poll finds". The Detroit News.
  393. ^ Mauger, Craig (September 3, 2024). "Presidential race is a tossup in Michigan with 2 months to go, poll finds". The Detroit News.
  394. ^ "New MI & PA surveys show Democrats have multiple paths to win". Politico. July 18, 2024.
  395. ^ "Rust Belt Rising Michigan Survey July 2024" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 19, 2024.
  396. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  397. ^ Allis, Victor (2 November 2024). "Harris Leads in Minnesota". ActiVote. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  398. ^ "At the Buzzer, One Week Until Votes Are Counted, Harris 8 Points Atop Trump in Minnesota, Gaining Ground Among Economy-Focused Voters". SurveyUSA. October 29, 2024.
  399. ^ "Election 2024: Harris +1 in New Hampshire, +3 in Minnesota". Rasmussen Reports. October 30, 2024.
  400. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  401. ^ Radelat, Ana (October 28, 2024). "Poll: Harris, Trump remain in tight race in Minnesota as finish line nears". MinnPost.
  402. ^ Allis, Victor (11 October 2024). "Harris Has Significant Lead in Minnesota". ActiVote. Retrieved 12 October 2024.
  403. ^ "As Voting Begins, Harris Leads Trump by 6 pts in Latest MN Polling; Harris Voters 12 pts More Enthusiastic Than Trump's; Vance a Drag on Ticket". SurveyUSA. August 30, 2024.
  404. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +1 in Nevada; Harris +3 in Minnesota, +6 in New Mexico". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
  405. ^ Olson, Rochelle (September 23, 2024). "Minnesota Poll: Harris leads Trump in close presidential race". The Star Tribune.
  406. ^ Radelat, Ana (September 13, 2024). "MinnPost poll shows Harris has narrow lead over Trump in Minnesota". MinnPost.
  407. ^ "Conventions and Primary Over, Campaign Season Underway, GOP Gains Back Some Ground in Minnesota, But Democrats and Democratic Remain On Top". SurveyUSA. August 30, 2024.
  408. ^ "Democrats' Pivot To Kamala Produces Immediate Results in Minnesota, Where VP Harris Now Leads Former President Trump By 10 Points; Klobuchar Widens Leads in Likely Senate Match-Ups, Democratic Candidates Increase Odds in MN House Races; JD Vance Not Seen As Great VP Choice". SurveyUSA. July 25, 2024.
  409. ^ a b Balara, Victoria (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris bests Trump by 6 points in Minnesota". Fox News.
  410. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  411. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  412. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  413. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  414. ^ "Minnesota Presidential Survey" (PDF). Chism Strategies. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  415. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 19, 2024.
  416. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
  417. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024.
  418. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  419. ^ Allis, Victor (28 October 2024). "Trump Leads in Missouri". ActiVote. Retrieved 28 October 2024.
  420. ^ Allis, Victor (October 11, 2024). "Trump Leads in Missouri". ActiVote.
  421. ^ "Missouri September 2024 Poll: Republican Candidates Lead in President, Governor, Senate Races". Emerson College Polling. September 17, 2024.
  422. ^ Clermont, Stephen (September 17, 2024). "Missouri Memo - September 17, 2024" (PDF). Change Research.
  423. ^ Lemon, Jason (September 13, 2024). "Lucas Kunce Within Striking Distance of Josh Hawley—Internal Poll". Newsweek.
  424. ^ Allis, Victor (August 22, 2024). "Trump Leads with Expected Margin in Missouri". ActiVote. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  425. ^ Rogers, Steven; Burle, Ashley; Ritter, Gary; Warren, Kenneth (August 29, 2024). "Top Line Results for August 2024 SLU/YouGov Poll" (PDF). Saint Louis University.
  426. ^ "MOScout Weekender: Trump up 14 in MO - Hallway Picks Their Upset Guesses - Who Won the Week and more..." Missouri Scout. November 2, 2024.
  427. ^ "October 2024 Montana Poll: Sheehy 50%, Tester 46%". Emerson College. 27 October 2024. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
  428. ^ a b Goldmacher, Shane (October 10, 2024). "Republicans Appear Poised to Take Control of Senate, New Poll Shows". The New York Times.
  429. ^ "Montana: Trump 59% Harris 38%". Napolitan Institute. September 23, 2024.
  430. ^ Bridges, Kate (September 5, 2024). "Sheehy Leads Tester by 16 Points in Montana Senate Race". AARP. doi:10.26419/res.00813.034.
  431. ^ a b "Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Montana". Rasmussen Reports. August 30, 2024.
  432. ^ a b "Montana 2024 Poll: Trump 55%, Harris 40%". Emerson College Polling. August 8, 2024.
  433. ^ "Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies" (PDF). American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers. October 1, 2024.
  434. ^ "Mountain States Poll - October 2024" (PDF). Montana State University Billings. October 30, 2024.
  435. ^ "Poll shows strong Montana support for Trump over Harris". KULR8. August 14, 2024.
  436. ^ "Montana Senate: Tester 49% Sheehy 44%". Napolitan Institute. August 15, 2024.
  437. ^ App, Betsy (October 31, 2024). "Nebraska U.S. Senate Poll Results" (PDF). Change Research.
  438. ^ Wegley, Andrew (November 1, 2024). "Exclusive: Nebraska Sen. Deb Fischer leads Dan Osborn by 7.5 points in new poll". Lincoln Journal Star.
  439. ^ a b c d e f Weisman, Jonathan; Baker, Camille (October 28, 2024). "Republicans Cling to Slim Leads in Nebraska and Texas Senate Races". The New York Times.
  440. ^ Grim, Ryan (October 23, 2024). "New poll has an independent populist upending the Senate with a Nebraska upset". Drop Site.
  441. ^ Desiderio, Andrew; Zanona, Melanie (October 11, 2024). "Fischer rebounds after sluggish start triggered GOP panic". Punchbowl News.
  442. ^ Bade, Rachael; Daniels, Eugene (October 10, 2024). "Playbook: The battle for the bros". Politico.
  443. ^ "Dan Osborn Leading Deb Fischer Roughly One Month from Election Day". Impact Research. October 7, 2024.
  444. ^ "Toplines: Independent Center Oct 2024 Online Survey of Likely Voters in Nebraska" (PDF). Independent Center. October 2, 2024. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  445. ^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27302". SurveyUSA. 24 September 2024. Retrieved 25 September 2024.
  446. ^ Pollock, Jefrey (September 19, 2024). "NE US SEN — More positive polling for Osborn, Fischer goes hard negative" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight.
  447. ^ a b Jain, Lakshya; McCall, Max; Lavelle, Harrison; Sit, Leon (August 31, 2024). "We Polled Nebraska (And Its Second District). Here's What We Found". Split Ticket.
  448. ^ a b c d "Economist Poll – October 21-28, 2024" (PDF). The Economist. October 30, 2024.
  449. ^ a b Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find". The New York Times.
  450. ^ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (September 27, 2024). "CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District". CNN.
  451. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  452. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  453. ^ "October 2024 Nevada Poll: Harris 48%, Trump 47%". Emerson College Polling. November 1, 2024.
  454. ^ a b "NEVADA POLL OF RECORD: Harris +1, Rosen +2". Noble Predictive Insights. November 1, 2024.
  455. ^ "Nevada Statewide ~ Voter Attitude Survey" (PDF). Susquehanna Polling & Research. November 1, 2024.
  456. ^ a b "Final Data for Progress Swing State Polls Show Harris and Trump in Close Race: Harris Ahead by 2 in PA and NV, 1 in GA; Trump Up by 1 in AZ". Data for Progress. November 1, 2024.
  457. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads in Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina". Rasmussen Reports. November 1, 2024.
  458. ^ "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 29, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 29, 2024.
  459. ^ "Nevada Statewide Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 29, 2024.
  460. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  461. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: Trump Leads by Three Points in Arizona; Nevada is Tied". InsiderAdvantage. October 22, 2024.
  462. ^ a b "Nevada Voter Survey, October 2024" (PDF). AARP. October 22, 2024.
  463. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  464. ^ "Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 47% in Nevada". Rasmussen Reports. October 19, 2024.
  465. ^ "Nevada Statewide Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 15, 2024.
  466. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  467. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  468. ^ "NEVADA Harris 49% Trump 49%". Napolitan Institute. October 8, 2024.
  469. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc.
  470. ^ "InsiderAdvantage 'Sunbelt Battleground' Surveys: Trump Enjoys Slim Lead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina; Georgia Tied". InsiderAdvantage. October 1, 2024.
  471. ^ a b "Nevada Nearly Tied: Kamala Harris with a Slight Lead, but Voters Reject California Model". American Greatness. September 26, 2024.
  472. ^ "Quantus Insights: Trump Holds a Slim One-Point Lead Over Harris". Quantus Insights. September 26, 2024.
  473. ^ Walter, Amy; Taylor, Jessica (October 2, 2024). "Swing State Polling Finds Deadlocked Presidential Contest, 'Blue Wall' Senate Races Tighten". Cook Political Report.
  474. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +1 in Nevada; Harris +3 in Minnesota, +6 in New Mexico". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
  475. ^ "Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies" (PDF). American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers. October 1, 2024.
  476. ^ Aldrete, Isabella (October 4, 2024). "GOP pollster: Harris and Rosen up in Nevada, voter ID in landslide". The Nevada Independent.
  477. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  478. ^ a b "Presidential Race Tight in Nevada". Noble Predictive Insights. September 24, 2024.
  479. ^ "Nevada Statewide Presidential Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. September 16, 2024.
  480. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  481. ^ "Nevada: Trump Leads by One Point; Rosen Holds Substantial Lead in Senate Contest; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)". InsiderAdvantage. August 31, 2024.
  482. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  483. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  484. ^ "Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Nevada". Rasmussen Reports. August 27, 2024.
  485. ^ Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  486. ^ a b c "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Nevada". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com. Cite error: The named reference "auto1" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  487. ^ a b Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report. Cite error: The named reference "auto" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  488. ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "KEY FINDINGS FROM A RECENT POLL OF VOTERS IN FIVE PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES". Politico.
  489. ^ Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  490. ^ "Three More Battleground Polls: Trump Leads in PA, NV, AZ; No Post-Shooting Bump, but Large Enthusiasm Gap; Harris Trails Trump". InsiderAdvantage. July 18, 2024.
  491. ^ Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  492. ^ Mumford, Camille (February 22, 2024). "Nevada 2024 Poll: Trump 46%, Biden 40%". Emerson Polling.
  493. ^ "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds ..." archive.ph. November 6, 2023.
  494. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  495. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  496. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  497. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 29, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris and Trump locked in close races in Arizona and Nevada as pool of persuadable voters shrinks". CNN.
  498. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  499. ^ "Senate Opportunity Fund - Battleground Polling" (PDF). Senate Opportunity Fund. October 25, 2024.
  500. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  501. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  502. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  503. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  504. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  505. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Nevada" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  506. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  507. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  508. ^ "The Dartmouth Poll - November 2024 Pre-Election Survey" (PDF). Dartmouth College. November 4, 2024.
  509. ^ "Election 2024: Harris +1 in New Hampshire, +3 in Minnesota". Rasmussen Reports. October 30, 2024.
  510. ^ Graham, Michael (October 27, 2024). "POLL SHOCKER: Trump Leads Harris in New Hampshire". New Hampshire Journal.
  511. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  512. ^ "October 2024 New Hampshire Poll: Harris 50%, Trump 47%". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2024.
  513. ^ "The Dartmouth Poll - Mid-October 2024 Survey" (PDF). Dartmouth College. October 25, 2024.
  514. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (August 21, 2024). "Harris Maintains Lead Over Trump in NH; Walz Inspires Enthusiasm Among Harris Supporters". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  515. ^ Mumford, Camille (July 31, 2024). "New Hampshire 2024 Poll: Harris 50%, Trump 46%". Emerson Polling.
  516. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (July 25, 2024). "NH Democrats Line Up Behind Harris, Who Holds Small Lead Over Trump". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  517. ^ "New Hampshire Statewide Survey - December 2021" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. December 13, 2021.
  518. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (November 3, 2024). "Harris' Lead Over Trump Narrows in NH; Likely Voters Split on Expected Winner Nationally". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  519. ^ Levesque, Neil; Sisco, Tauna (October 30, 2024). "New Poll by the Saint Anselm College Survey Center shows Kamala Harris Holding a Solid Lead in New Hampshire". Saint Anselm College.
  520. ^ "UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of New Hampshire Likely Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 31, 2024.
  521. ^ "UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of New Hampshire Likely Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 17, 2024.
  522. ^ Levesque, Neil; Sisco, Tauna (October 3, 2024). "A Survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). Saint Anselm College.
  523. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (September 18, 2024). "Near Unanimous Support for Harris Among NH Democrats Fuels Wider Lead Over Trump". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  524. ^ "Saint Anselm College Survey Center New Poll: Partisan Intensity Drives Harris's Ballot Strength". Saint Anselm College. September 13, 2024.
  525. ^ Canseco, Mario (2024-11-04). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  526. ^ "New Jersey Voters Are "True Blue" to Democrats, But Loyalty Fades and Uncertainty Rises in the Absence of Partisanship Down Ballot" (PDF). Rutgers-Eagleton. 2024-10-30.
  527. ^ Allis, Victor (2024-10-29). "Harris Leads in New Jersey". ActiVote.
  528. ^ "New Jersey Statewide Poll: Harris Underperforms Compared to Past Democratic Nominees". Cygnal. 2024-10-26. Retrieved 2024-10-27.
  529. ^ Allis, Victor (2024-10-03). "Harris leads by double digits in New Jersey". ActiVote. Retrieved 2024-10-03.
  530. ^ "HARRIS LEADS TRUMP BY 4.8% IN FINAL NEW MEXICO POLL OF 2024" (PDF). Victory Insights. 4 November 2024. Retrieved 5 November 2024.
  531. ^ "Democrat Kamala Harris 6 Points Atop Republican Donald Trump in New Mexico As Former President Campaigns in Albuquerque". SurveyUSA. October 31, 2024. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  532. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads in Georgia, Arizona; Harris +5 in New Mexico". Rasmussen Reports. October 31, 2024.
  533. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +1 in Nevada; Harris +3 in Minnesota, +6 in New Mexico". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
  534. ^ "Kamala Harris 8 Points Atop Donald Trump in Land of Enchantment, Poised To Keep New Mexico Blue For 5th Consecutive Presidential Election". SurveyUSA. September 19, 2024. Retrieved September 24, 2024.
  535. ^ "New Mexico 2024: Harris 52%, Trump 42%". Emerson College Polling. August 23, 2024.
  536. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  537. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  538. ^ "New Mexico 2024: Harris 52%, Trump 42%". Emerson College Polling. August 23, 2024.
  539. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 19, 2024.
  540. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
  541. ^ Boyd, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Journal Poll: Kamala Harris maintains advantage over Donald Trump in New Mexico". The Albuquerque Journal.
  542. ^ Boyd, Dan (September 15, 2024). "Journal Poll: Kamala Harris comfortably ahead of Donald Trump in New Mexico". The Albuquerque Journal.
  543. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  544. ^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Harris leads in New York". ActiVote.
  545. ^ "Siena College Poll Conducted by the Siena College Research Institute October 13-17, 2024" (PDF). Siena College. October 22, 2024.
  546. ^ Allis, Victor (October 1, 2024). "Harris has comfortable lead in New York". ActiVote.
  547. ^ Mueller, Julia (September 27, 2024). "Harris holds wide lead over Trump in New York: Poll". The Hill.
  548. ^ a b "Siena College Poll Conducted by the Siena College Research Institute September 11 - 16, 2024" (PDF). Siena College. September 19, 2024.
  549. ^ Allis, Victor (August 21, 2024). "Harris has a Smaller Lead in New York than in Previous Presidential Elections". ActiVote.
  550. ^ "Siena College Poll Conducted by the Siena College Research Institute July 28 - August 1, 2024" (PDF). Siena College. September 19, 2024.
  551. ^ "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Empire State Survey". Google Docs. July 19, 2024.
  552. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  553. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
  554. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  555. ^ a b Lerer, Lisa; Igielnik, Ruth (November 3, 2024). "Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  556. ^ Allis, Victor (November 3, 2024). "Trump takes the lead in North Carolina". ActiVote.
  557. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads in Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina". Rasmussen Reports. November 1, 2024.
  558. ^ "North Carolina Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 29, 2024.
  559. ^ "One Week Out, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Dead Even in North Carolina, With 16 Critical Electoral Votes Hanging in the Balance". SurveyUSA. October 29, 2024.
  560. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  561. ^ "October 2024 Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Race". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2024.
  562. ^ "Marist North Carolina Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in North Carolina, October 2024". Marist Poll. October 24, 2024.
  563. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll". Substack. October 22, 2024.
  564. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Survey: Trump Leads Harris by Two points in North Carolina". InsiderAdvantage. October 22, 2024.
  565. ^ "HPU Poll: North Carolina Presidential Race Remains Close". High Point University. October 22, 2024.
  566. ^ "Elon Poll: Hurricane Helene factors into dead-even presidential election in N.C." Elon University. October 29, 2024.
  567. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  568. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Now +5 in North Carolina". Rasmussen Reports. October 15, 2024.
  569. ^ "North Carolina Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 15, 2024.
  570. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  571. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  572. ^ Allis, Victor (October 7, 2024). "Harris has small lead in North Carolina". ActiVote.
  573. ^ "InsiderAdvantage 'Sunbelt Battleground' Surveys: Trump Enjoys Slim Lead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina; Georgia Tied". InsiderAdvantage. October 1, 2024.
  574. ^ Guskin, Emily; Clement, Scott; Balz, Dan (October 1, 2024). "N.C. presidential race close as Helene recovery begins, Post poll finds". The Washington Post.
  575. ^ "HPU Poll: Presidential Race Remains Close for North Carolina Voters". High Point University. October 3, 2024.
  576. ^ "September 2024 Arizona and North Carolina Polls: Harris and Trump Neck-and-Neck in Key Swing States". Emerson College Polling. October 1, 2024.
  577. ^ "NORTH CAROLINA: Trump 51% Harris 47%". Napolitan Institute. October 4, 2024.
  578. ^ a b Balara, Victoria (September 27, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump in close race in North Carolina". Fox News.
  579. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: North Carolina, September 2024 - Marist North Carolina Poll". Marist Poll. September 26, 2024.
  580. ^ "Independent Center September 2024 SE Swing Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. September 24, 2024.
  581. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
  582. ^ a b Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 23, 2024). "Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
  583. ^ "An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues" (PDF). Meredith College. Retrieved 30 September 2024.
  584. ^ Galbraith, Ben (September 19, 2024). "NORTH CAROLINA POLL: DONALD TRUMP LEADS, MARK ROBINSON TRAILS". Google Drive.
  585. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  586. ^ a b "NORTH CAROLINA VOTER SURVEY - Sep 2024" (PDF). AARP. September 25, 2024.
  587. ^ "New Battleground Poll – Trump Pulls Ahead, Post Debate". American Greatness. 13 September 2024. Retrieved 14 September 2024.
  588. ^ "Elon Poll finds Harris, Trump too close to call in N.C., and Stein with double-digit lead in governor's race". Elon University. September 24, 2024.
  589. ^ "North Carolina Presidential Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. September 13, 2024.
  590. ^ "2024 Presidential Election Survey: A Tight Race in North Carolina". Substack. September 13, 2024.
  591. ^ Doran, Will (September 9, 2024). "Harris has slight edge in neck-and-neck race with Trump in NC, WRAL News Poll shows". WRAL.
  592. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - North Carolina" (PDF). FAU Polling. September 9, 2024.
  593. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  594. ^ "North Carolina: Trump Leads Harris by One Point; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)". InsiderAdvantage. August 31, 2024.
  595. ^ Allis, Victor (August 31, 2024). "Trump and Harris exactly tied in North Carolina". ActiVote.
  596. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  597. ^ "On Point/On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll". Substack. August 27, 2024.
  598. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  599. ^ "HPU Poll: North Carolina Presidential Race Remains Close". High Point University. August 22, 2024.
  600. ^ a b Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  601. ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
  602. ^ "North Carolina Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 10, 2024.
  603. ^ Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
  604. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  605. ^ Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  606. ^ "Bloomberg Election Tracking Wave 8 Toplines Crosstabs" (PDF). Morning Consult. May 22, 2024.
  607. ^ Mumford, Camille (February 21, 2024). "North Carolina 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44%". Emerson Polling.
  608. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  609. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  610. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (November 4, 2024). "Trump Up 2 Points over Harris in North Carolina as Election Day Nears; Josh Stein Maintains Comfortable Lead Over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  611. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 31, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris and Trump remain neck and neck in Georgia and North Carolina". CNN.
  612. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  613. ^ "UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of North Carolina Likely Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 31, 2024.
  614. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  615. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  616. ^ Bass, David (October 17, 2024). "Trump, Harris neck-and-neck in NC as presidential race enters closing weeks". The Carolina Journal.
  617. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  618. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  619. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 30, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris by Two in North Carolina; Josh Stein Opens Large Lead over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  620. ^ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (September 27, 2024). "CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District". CNN.
  621. ^ "Latest Meredith Poll Illustrates N.C.'s 2024 Battleground Status". Meredith College. September 27, 2024.
  622. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  623. ^ Bass, David (September 19, 2024). "Trump, Harris tied in new CJ poll of likely voters in North Carolina". The Carolina Journal.
  624. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  625. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: North Carolina" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  626. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 3, 2024). "North Carolina Election Heats Up: Trump leads Harris by 1 point in North Carolina; Stein widens advantage over Robinson in race for Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  627. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  628. ^ "Katrina Christiansen for Senate - November 2024 General Election" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. October 1, 2024.
  629. ^ Standaert, Michael (October 2, 2024). "Poll: Republicans look set for sweep of top races". North Dakota News Cooperative.
  630. ^ "Ohio Statewide Presidential Survey - November 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. November 4, 2024.
  631. ^ "November 2024 Ohio Poll: Trump 54%, Harris 42%". Emerson College. 4 November 2024. Retrieved 4 November 2024.
  632. ^ "Ohio Statewide Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 29, 2024.
  633. ^ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Trump Leads in Ohio". ActiVote.
  634. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  635. ^ "OHIO LIKELY VOTERS POLLING". J.L. Partners. November 4, 2024.
  636. ^ "Bliss Institute Reveals 2024 Buckeye Poll Findings on Ohio Voter Preferences". University of Akron. October 29, 2024.
  637. ^ Alexander, Robert (October 24, 2024). "Survey of Ohio Likely Voters 18+, October 2024 Toplines". Bowling Green State University.
  638. ^ "Election 2024: Moreno 45%, Sherrod 44% in Ohio Senate Race". Rasmussen Reports. October 18, 2024.
  639. ^ Clement, Scott; Wang, Amy; Guskin, Emily (October 10, 2024). "Ohio voters dismiss false claims about Haitians, but Trump has slight lead, Post poll finds". The Washington Post.
  640. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Ohio, October 2024 - Marist Ohio Poll". Marist Poll. October 10, 2024.
  641. ^ Allis, Victor (October 1, 2024). "Trump Leads in Ohio". ActiVote.
  642. ^ Alexander, Robert (October 3, 2024). "Survey of Ohio Likely Voters 18+, September 2024 Toplines". Bowling Green State University.
  643. ^ a b Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find". The New York Times.
  644. ^ "Ohio: Trump 54% Harris 43%". Napolitan Institute. September 24, 2024. Retrieved September 24, 2024.
  645. ^ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
  646. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Ohio Poll". Substack. September 1, 2024.
  647. ^ Allis, Victor (August 22, 2024). "Trump Has Double-Digit Lead in Ohio". ActiVote. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  648. ^ a b Draeger, Jonathan (August 18, 2024). "No Frontrunner in Swing States Before Democratic Convention". RealClearPolling.
  649. ^ "Ohio Voter Survey" (PDF). AARP. August 1, 2024.
  650. ^ "March Ohio Primary Poll". Google Docs. March 13, 2024.
  651. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  652. ^ "Senate Opportunity Fund - Battleground Polling" (PDF). Senate Opportunity Fund. October 25, 2024.
  653. ^ Allis, Victor (October 30, 2024). "Trump Has Large Lead in Oklahoma". ActiVote.
  654. ^ Allis, Victor (20 October 2024). "Trump Has Large Lead in Oklahoma". ActiVote. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  655. ^ Grady, Madison (September 4, 2024). "Trump leads Harris by 16 points; between 12 and 73 percent of Harris voters disapprove of her views". SoonerPoll. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
  656. ^ Villeneuve, Andrew (October 17, 2024). "Kamala Harris has a fifteen point lead over Donald Trump in Washington and a twelve point lead in Oregon, NPI polls find". Northwest Progressive Institute.
  657. ^ Jaquiss, Nigel (July 30, 2024). "New Poll Shows Harris With 5–Point Lead Over Trump in Oregon". Willamette Week.
  658. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  659. ^ "Pennsylvania General Presidential Survey - November 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. November 3, 2024.
  660. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  661. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
  662. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  663. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Pennsylvania" (PDF). FAU Polling. November 4, 2024.
  664. ^ Allis, Victor (November 3, 2024). "Harris Stays Ahead in Keystone State". ActiVote.
  665. ^ "SoCal Strategies National, Pennsylvania, and Arizona Polls". Substack. November 1, 2024.
  666. ^ Weigel, David (November 1, 2024). "The view from the swing states". Semafor.
  667. ^ "Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Presidential Election Survey - October 2024" (PDF). Muhlenberg College. November 3, 2024.
  668. ^ "Marist Pennsylvania Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Pennsylvania, November 2024". Marist Poll. November 1, 2024.
  669. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads in Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina". Rasmussen Reports. November 1, 2024.
  670. ^ a b "Pennsylvania 2024: In Tight Presidential Race, Trump Gets Boost From Men, U.S. Senate Race Tightens, Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Poll Finds; Reps And Dems Agree: 2024 Presidential Election Is Single Most Important Of Their Lifetimes". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 30, 2024.
  671. ^ Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred (October 29, 2024). "CBS News Harris-Trump poll: All tied up in Pennsylvania". CBS News.
  672. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Pennsylvania Survey: Trump Leads by One Point; Casey Jr. and McCormick Tied in Senate Contest". InsiderAdvantage. October 27, 2024.
  673. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  674. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  675. ^ "October 2024 Pennsylvania Poll: Trump 49%, Harris 48%". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2024.
  676. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. 2024-10-25. Retrieved 2024-10-26.
  677. ^ "PA Statewide Omnibus Poll ~ Voter Attitude Survey" (PDF). Susquehanna Polling and Research. October 30, 2024.
  678. ^ "Quantus Insights: Pennsylvania 2024 Election Survey Analysis". Quantus Insights. October 21, 2024.
  679. ^ a b Yost, Berwood (October 24, 2024). "Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: October 2024". Franklin & Marshall College Poll.
  680. ^ "Pennsylvania General Presidential Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 20, 2024.
  681. ^ "Your Election Guide for the Midrust Battlegrounds". The Bullfinch Group. October 18, 2024.
  682. ^ Sinclair, J. Andrew; Miller, Kenneth P. (October 30, 2024). "Presidential Race Remains Close with Wide Partisan Divide on Confidence in Vote Count" (PDF). Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
  683. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  684. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Now +3 in Pennsylvania". Rasmussen Reports. October 14, 2024.
  685. ^ a b "Top Line Results - Survey of Pennsylvania Likely Voters" (PDF). American Pulse Research & Polling. October 15, 2024.
  686. ^ a b "Trump Leads in Pennsylvania, Dave McCormick Charges". American Greatness. October 10, 2024.
  687. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  688. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Pennsylvania Survey: Trump Leads by Two Points". InsiderAdvantage. October 8, 2024.
  689. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  690. ^ Canseco, Mario (October 8, 2024). "Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Lean Blue in 2024 Race" (PDF). Research Co.
  691. ^ a b "University of Austin (UATX) October 2024 Pennsylvania Survey Results" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. October 9, 2024.
  692. ^ "New Poll: Despite Blue-Collar Troubles, Harris Has Slight Lead Over Trump in Pennsylvania". Jacobin. October 9, 2024.
  693. ^ "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc. October 11, 2024.
  694. ^ Anderson, Jessica (October 3, 2024). "SAF PA Statewide Survey Memo" (PDF). Sentinel Action Fund.
  695. ^ "Trump and Casey lead narrowly in Pennsylvania". Patriot Polling. September 30, 2024.
  696. ^ a b "New Poll Finds Pa. Voters Pessimistic About Direction of Country and Economic Future". Commonwealth Foundation. October 8, 2024.
  697. ^ "Pennsylvania General Presidential Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. September 29, 2024.
  698. ^ "September 2024 Pennsylvania Poll: Trump 48%, Harris 48%". Emerson College Polling. October 1, 2024.
  699. ^ Allis, Victor (September 26, 2024). "Harris Maintains Narrow Lead in Key(stone) Swing State Pennsylvania". ActiVote.
  700. ^ a b Balara, Victoria (September 27, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump locked in tight race in battleground Pennsylvania". Fox News.
  701. ^ a b "Pennsylvania Voter Survey, September 2024" (PDF). AARP. October 1, 2024.
  702. ^ Link, Jeff (October 2, 2024). "Focus on Rural America: New Polling Shows Harris Leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, Tied with Trump in Pennsylvania". Focus on Rural America.
  703. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in Georgia, Tied With Harris in Pennsylvania". Rasmussen Reports. September 23, 2024.
  704. ^ "PA Statewide Topline Results Fall 2024 SP&R Omnibus Poll" (PDF). Susquehanna Polling and Research. September 25, 2024.
  705. ^ "PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 49% Trump 49%" (PDF). Napolitan Institute. September 25, 2024.
  706. ^ "Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Presidential Election Survey - September 2024" (PDF). Muhlenberg College. September 25, 2024.
  707. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  708. ^ a b Hughes, Sarah (September 20, 2024). "Democrats Kamala Harris, Bob Casey lead Donald Trump, Dave McCormick in new Pennsylvania poll". SpotlightPA.
  709. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Pennsylvania, September 2024 - Harris & Trump Tied Among Likely Voters in Pennsylvania". Marist Poll. September 19, 2024.
  710. ^ a b Balz, Dan; Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily (September 19, 2024). "Harris and Trump essentially tied in Pennsylvania, Post poll finds". The Washington Post.
  711. ^ "Toplines: September 2024 Inquirer/Times/Siena Poll of Pennsylvania Registered Voters". The New York Times. September 19, 2024.
  712. ^ Garrison, Joey; Collins, Michael (September 16, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in Pennsylvania — and two bellwether PA counties — exclusive poll finds". USA Today.
  713. ^ "Pennsylvania Survey: Trump Leads 50%-48; Casey Ahead of McCormick by Four Points". InsiderAdvantage. September 16, 2024.
  714. ^ "Pennsylvania IVF Poll Results". co/efficient. September 6, 2024.
  715. ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred (September 8, 2024). "Harris v. Trump CBS News poll finds Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin race tight ahead of debate". CBS News.
  716. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  717. ^ "Pennsylvania Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 31, 2024.
  718. ^ a b "Harris/Trump: Top Pollsters Talk a New PA Poll and More - Mark Halperin". YouTube. August 30, 2024.
  719. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  720. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  721. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Pennsylvania Poll". Substack. August 24, 2024.
  722. ^ a b c Ekins, Emily (September 9, 2024). "New Poll: WI, PA, & MI Voters Believe US Is Too Involved in Foreign Wars and World Affairs, Most Worry WWIII Approaching". Cato Institute.
  723. ^ Allis, Victor (August 22, 2024). "Harris has Narrow Lead in Key(stone) Swing State Pennsylvania". ActiVote.
  724. ^ "Blue Wall Survey – August 2024" (PDF). Pinpoint Policy Institute. August 29, 2024.
  725. ^ "PollingPlus Exclusive: InsiderAdvantage Survey of Pennsylvania". PollingPlus. August 19, 2024.
  726. ^ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters Pennsylvania Statewide" (PDF). Cygnal. August 16, 2024.
  727. ^ "Pennsylvania 2024 Poll: Trump 49%, Harris 48%". Emerson College Polling. August 16, 2024.
  728. ^ "Pennsylvania 2024: Harris Has Slight Edge Over Trump In Tight Race, Gets Boost From Women, Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Poll Finds; Senate Race: Casey Up 8 Points Over McCormick" (PDF). Quinnipiac University Poll. August 14, 2024.
  729. ^ "Independent Center - Battleground States Poll 2024" (PDF). The Independent Center. August 12, 2024.
  730. ^ "Pennsylvania Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 8, 2024.
  731. ^ Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
  732. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  733. ^ Lee, David (August 4, 2024). "Pennsylvania Survey Results - Harris Messaging". X.
  734. ^ Vakil, Caroline (July 30, 2024). "Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling".
  735. ^ "Report on Pennsylvania Auditor General's Race". Scribd. August 5, 2024.
  736. ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "KEY FINDINGS FROM A RECENT POLL OF VOTERS IN FIVE PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES". Politico.
  737. ^ "Trump Edges Harris With Small Lead In Pennsylvania". Quantus Polls and News. July 29, 2024.
  738. ^ Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  739. ^ "New Swing State Poll: PA Voters Evenly Divided, Presidential Election a Toss Up". Commonwealth Foundation. July 26, 2024.
  740. ^ Balara, Victoria (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump tied in Pennsylvania". Fox News.
  741. ^ Mumford, Camille (July 25, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin". Emerson Polling.
  742. ^ "Survey of Pennsylvania Likely Voters July 20-23, 2024" (PDF). American Greatness. July 24, 2024.
  743. ^ "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Keystone State Survey". Google Docs. July 21, 2024.
  744. ^ "Three More Battleground Polls: Trump Leads in PA, NV, AZ; No Post-Shooting Bump, but Large Enthusiasm Gap; Harris Trails Trump". InsiderAdvantage. July 18, 2024.
  745. ^ "PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump.pdf". Google Docs. July 12, 2024.
  746. ^ Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth (July 15, 2024). "Biden Facing Challenges in Two Must-Win States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
  747. ^ Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
  748. ^ Mumford, Camille (February 20, 2024). "Pennsylvania 2024 Poll: Trump at 45%, Biden at 43%". Emerson Polling.
  749. ^ Goldmacher, Shane (November 6, 2023). "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds". The New York Times – via archive.ph.
  750. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  751. ^ "Final Data for Progress Swing State Polls Show Harris and Trump in Close Race: Harris Ahead by 2 in PA and NV, 1 in GA; Trump Up by 1 in AZ". Data for Progress. November 1, 2024.
  752. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  753. ^ Mayes-Osterman, Cybele; Waddick, Karissa (November 1, 2024). "Exclusive poll: Harris, Trump tied in Pennsylvania as election day approaches". USA Today.
  754. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Balz, Dan (November 1, 2024). "Harris and Trump nearly even in Pennsylvania in campaign's final days, Post poll finds". The Washington Post.
  755. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 30, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania". CNN.
  756. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  757. ^ "UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of Pennsylvania Likely Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 31, 2024.
  758. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  759. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  760. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  761. ^ "Pennsylvania & Georgia Voting Intention (8 – 9 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 11, 2024.
  762. ^ "UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of Pennsylvania Likely Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 17, 2024.
  763. ^ "PENNSYLVANIA LIKELY VOTERS POLLING". J.L. Partners. October 13, 2024.
  764. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  765. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  766. ^ "Poll: Trump and Harris Remain Close in Keystone State". University of Massachusetts Lowell. September 26, 2024.
  767. ^ Yost, Berwood (September 19, 2024). "Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: September 2024". Franklin & Marshall College Poll.
  768. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  769. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Pennsylvania" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  770. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  771. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  772. ^ "Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies" (PDF). American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers. October 1, 2024.
  773. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (September 18, 2024). "Harris Seen as Debate Victor, Holds Comfortable Lead Over Trump in Rhode Island". University of New Hampshire. Retrieved September 19, 2024.
  774. ^ "The Rhode Island Survey Initiative, 2024" (PDF). University of Rhode Island. October 15, 2024.
  775. ^ Allis, Victor (October 30, 2024). "Trump has large lead in South Carolina". ActiVote.
  776. ^ Allis, Victor (October 18, 2024). "Trump has large lead in South Carolina". ActiVote. Retrieved October 18, 2024.
  777. ^ "September 2024 Winthrop Poll". Winthrop University. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  778. ^ "The Citadel Poll" (PDF). The Citadel. October 31, 2024.
  779. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (October 27, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris by Thirteen Points in South Carolina". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  780. ^ "October 2024 South Dakota Poll: Trump 62%, Harris 35%". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2024.
  781. ^ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Trump Stays Far ahead in Tennessee". ActiVote.
  782. ^ Allis, Victor (October 17, 2024). "Trump again far ahead in Tennessee". ActiVote.
  783. ^ Allis, Victor (August 30, 2024). "Trump far ahead in Tennessee". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
  784. ^ "Beacon Poll: October 2024 Results". Beacon Center of Tennessee. October 15, 2024.
  785. ^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Trump has double digit lead in Texas". ActiVote.
  786. ^ "Election 2024: Harris 48%, Trump 46% in Virginia; Cruz +4 in Texas". Rasmussen Reports. October 28, 2024.
  787. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  788. ^ "October 2024 Texas Poll: Trump 53%, Harris 46%". Emerson College Polling. October 23, 2024.
  789. ^ Sinclair, J. Andrew; Miller, Kenneth P. (October 30, 2024). "Texas Continues to Lean Red as Trump, Cruz Mantain Narrow Leads" (PDF). Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
  790. ^ Allis, Victor (October 17, 2024). "Trump has double digit lead in Texas". ActiVote.
  791. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Texas, October 2024 - Marist Texas Poll". Marist Poll. October 10, 2024.
  792. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Texas" (PDF). FAU Polling. October 8, 2024.
  793. ^ "Cross-Tabs: October 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Texas". The New York Times. October 8, 2024.
  794. ^ "TEXAS: Trump 53% Harris 46%". Napolitan Institute. October 1, 2024.
  795. ^ "September 2024 Texas Poll: Trump 51%, Harris 46%". Emerson College Polling. September 26, 2024.
  796. ^ Allis, Victor (September 25, 2024). "Trump stays comfortably ahead in Texas". ActiVote. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
  797. ^ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
  798. ^ a b "University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll - Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). University of Texas. September 6, 2024.
  799. ^ Allis, Victor (August 31, 2024). "Trump extends lead in Texas". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
  800. ^ "Trump and Cruz Lead Comfortably in Texas". Substack. August 30, 2024.
  801. ^ "New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. August 27, 2024.
  802. ^ Allis, Victor (August 13, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris in Texas". ActiVote. Retrieved August 14, 2024.
  803. ^ "Texas Primary Election 2024 Presidential Candidates" (PDF). University of Houston. January 30, 2024.
  804. ^ "The TxHPF TEGNA 2023 Texas Legislative Session Issues Report" (PDF). Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation. May 17, 2023.
  805. ^ "Texas Poll: Harris Drags Allred Down as Democrats' White Whale Disappears". Cygnal. October 29, 2024.
  806. ^ "Topline Report of Texas Voters" (PDF). University of Texas at Tyler. October 29, 2024.
  807. ^ Henson, Jim; Blank, Joshua (October 18, 2024). "With voting about to start in Texas, Trump and Cruz maintain single-digit leads in new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll". University of Texas.
  808. ^ "Press Release: TFR Poll Reveals Texans Believe Harris Will Raise Taxes; Support Fiscal Restraint". Texans for Fiscal Responsibility. October 21, 2024.
  809. ^ "Texas Votes 2024 - Statewide Races, Issues & Favorability October 2024" (PDF). University of Houston. October 15, 2024.
  810. ^ "Ted Cruz, Colin Allred virtually tied in race for U.S. Senate, according to new poll". WFAA. September 23, 2024.
  811. ^ Cacciatore, Luca (October 3, 2024). "Poll: Texas Voters Believe Colin Allred, Kamala Harris Will Restrict Gun Rights". Texas Scorecard.
  812. ^ Warford, Luke (September 13, 2024). "Introducing Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR)!". Substack.
  813. ^ Allis, Victor (31 October 2024). "Trump Leads in Utah". ActiVote. Retrieved 1 November 2024.
  814. ^ a b "Trump Surges Ahead of Harris in Utah Showdown". Noble Predictive Insights. October 16, 2024.
  815. ^ Gehrke, Robert (October 9, 2024). "King campaign points to new poll, says it is within striking distance of Cox in Utah governor;s race". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  816. ^ "UTAH POLL OF RECORD: Republicans Lead by Double Digits Up and Down the Ballot". Noble Predictive Insights. October 30, 2024.
  817. ^ Bates, Suzanne (October 25, 2024). "Trump way ahead of Harris among Utah voters in presidential race". Deseret News.
  818. ^ a b "Harris Holds Wide Lead Over Trump in Vermont, Many Worried About Peaceful Transfer of Power". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository. August 21, 2024.
  819. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (November 3, 2024). "Harris Maintains Wide Lead Over Trump in Vermont, Fears of Political Violence Widespread". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  820. ^ Canseco, Mario (2024-11-04). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  821. ^ Allis, Victor (2024-10-29). "Harris With Smaller Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
  822. ^ "Election 2024: Harris 48%, Trump 46% in Virginia; Cruz +4 in Texas". Rasmussen Reports. 2024-10-28.
  823. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. 2024-10-29.
  824. ^ "New Virginia 2024 Poll: Harris Holds Slight Edge Over Trump". Quantus Insights. 2024-10-25.
  825. ^ "Washington Post-Schar School poll" (PDF). The Washington Post. Retrieved 2024-10-26.
  826. ^ "Harris Leads Trump by 11 points Among Virginia Likely Voters; Kaine Leads Cao by 20 points in U.S. Senate Contest". Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership. 2024-10-07.
  827. ^ "September 2024 Virginia Poll: Harris 52%, Trump 44%". Emerson College Polling. 2024-09-26.
  828. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. 2024-09-27.
  829. ^ Allis, Victor (2024-09-18). "Harris Has Double Digit Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
  830. ^ "UMW Center for Leadership and Media Studies Survey Zooms in on Presidential Election in Virginia". University of Mary Washington. 2024-09-20.
  831. ^ a b Schneider, Gregory; Vozzella, Laura; Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily (2024-09-10). "Harris leads among Virginia voters, Post-Schar School poll finds". The Washington Post.
  832. ^ "Analysis of the 2024 General Election Survey in Virginia". Substack. 2024-08-23.
  833. ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Harris holds slim lead over Trump in Virginia". Roanoke College. 2024-08-20.
  834. ^ Mumford, Camille (2024-07-18). "Virginia 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
  835. ^ "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. 2024-07-17.
  836. ^ "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. 2024-07-17.
  837. ^ Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth (2024-07-15). "Biden Facing Challenges in Two Must-Win States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
  838. ^ "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Old Dominion State Survey". Google Docs. 2024-07-11.
  839. ^ "Virginia Presidential Survey" (PDF). Chism Strategies. Retrieved 2024-11-02.
  840. ^ Shucard, Ryan (2024-11-01). "Virginia Poll: Harris Flatlines as Trump Gains Ground Among Non-College Voters". Cygnal. Retrieved 2024-11-01.
  841. ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Final poll before 2024 Elections". Roanoke College. 2024-11-01.
  842. ^ "Kamala Harris' edge over Donald Trump slips slightly as she leads 43% to 37% in Virginia". Google Drive. 2024-10-02.
  843. ^ "September 2024 Wilder School Commonwealth Poll". Google Drive. 2024-09-11.
  844. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  845. ^ Allis, Victor (October 30, 2024). "Harris Has Large Lead in Washington". ActiVote.
  846. ^ Villeneuve, Andrew (October 17, 2024). "Kamala Harris has a fifteen point lead over Donald Trump in Washington and a twelve point lead in Oregon, NPI polls find". Northwest Progressive Institute.
  847. ^ "KOMO-S360 STATEWIDE POLL" (PDF). Strategies 360. October 24, 2024.
  848. ^ "Evergreen State's 12 Electoral Votes Remain Ever-Blue for 10th Consecutive Election, With Harris Safely Atop Trump, More Trusted on Top Issues". SurveyUSA. 15 October 2024. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  849. ^ Allis, Victor (14 October 2024). "Harris Has Large Lead in Washington". ActiVote. Retrieved 14 October 2024.
  850. ^ Sowersby, Shauna (October 17, 2024). "WA voters are sticking with party lines and paying attention". Crosscut.
  851. ^ "2024 Election: 2 months out - An independent nonpartisan analysis of public opinion trends in Washington and the Pacific Northwest" (PDF). Crosscut. September 13, 2024.
  852. ^ "DHM Panel Washington July 2024 Toplines" (PDF). DHM Research. July 22, 2024.
  853. ^ "Washington State Voters Ready to Give Joe Biden a Second Term by 14-Point Margin; Should Biden Not Run, Kamala Harris Wins WA By 15 Points". SurveyUSA. July 15, 2024.
  854. ^ Villeneuve, Andrew (July 26, 2024). "Vice President Kamala Harris enjoys a fourteen point lead over Donald Trump among likely Washington Top Two voters". Northwest Progressive Institute.
  855. ^ McElhinny, Brad (August 30, 2024). "West Virginia Poll: solid leads for Morrisey and Justice in upcoming election". West Virginia MetroNews.
  856. ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  857. ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - November 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. November 3, 2024.
  858. ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
  859. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
  860. ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
  861. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Wisconsin" (PDF). FAU Polling. November 4, 2024.
  862. ^ Allis, Victor (2 November 2024). "Harris Has Small Lead in Wisconsin". ActiVote. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  863. ^ Weigel, David (November 1, 2024). "The view from the swing states". Semafor.
  864. ^ a b "Wisconsin Headed for a Photo Finish, Hovde Charging, Per Polling". American Greatness. October 31, 2024.
  865. ^ "Marist Wisconsin Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Wisconsin, November 2024". Marist Poll. November 1, 2024.
  866. ^ "Quantus Insights Polling: Wisconsin and Michigan in Dead Heat". Quantus Insights. October 31, 2024.
  867. ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Wisconsin Poll". Substack. October 30, 2024.
  868. ^ "Election 2024: Trump 50%, Harris 47% in Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. November 2, 2024.
  869. ^ Wu, Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Edward (2024-10-30). "CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved 2024-10-31.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  870. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Wisconsin Survey: Trump Leads by One Point; Hovde Leads by One in Tight Senate Race". InsiderAdvantage. October 29, 2024.
  871. ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  872. ^ a b Franklin, Charles (October 30, 2024). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – October 16 – 24, 2024". Marquette University Law School.
  873. ^ "October 2024 Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Race". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2024.
  874. ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 21, 2024.
  875. ^ "Your Election Guide for the Midrust Battlegrounds". The Bullfinch Group. October 18, 2024.
  876. ^ "WISCONSIN: Trump 50% Harris 49%". Napolitan Institute. October 17, 2024.
  877. ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
  878. ^ "Trump and Baldwin hold narrow leads in Wisconsin". Patriot Polling. October 15, 2024.
  879. ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads Harris in Wisconsin, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. October 17, 2024.
  880. ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: Trump Leads by Two Points in Michigan; Race All Tied Up in Wisconsin". Polling Plus. October 10, 2024.
  881. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
  882. ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
  883. ^ Canseco, Mario (October 8, 2024). "Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Lean Blue in 2024 Race" (PDF). Research Co.
  884. ^ "Fields of Freedom Alliance: New Wisconsin poll: Rural voters give Trump lead over Harris". Wispolitics. October 9, 2024.
  885. ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc.
  886. ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 1, 2024.
  887. ^ Allis, Victor (September 30, 2024). "Harris Leads in Wisconsin". ActiVote.
  888. ^ a b Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find". The New York Times.
  889. ^ a b Franklin, Charles (October 2, 2024). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – September 18-26, 2024". Marquette University Law School.
  890. ^ Link, Jeff (October 2, 2024). "Focus on Rural America: New Polling Shows Harris Leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, Tied with Trump in Pennsylvania". Focus on Rural America.
  891. ^ "WISCONSIN: Harris 50% Trump 49%". Napolitan Institute. September 23, 2024.
  892. ^ "Election 2024: Trump +2 in Arizona, Tied With Harris in Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. September 25, 2024.
  893. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
  894. ^ a b Kelly, Jack (September 23, 2024). "Kamala Harris has largest post-debate lead yet over Donald Trump in new Wisconsin Watch poll". Wisconsin Watch.
  895. ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest in Wisconsin, September 2024 - One Point Separates Harris & Trump Among Wisconsin Likely Voters". Marist Poll. September 19, 2024.
  896. ^ a b Bridges, Kate (September 18, 2024). "In September, Trump Has Narrow Lead Among WI Voters 50-Plus". AARP. doi:10.26419/res.00813.019.
  897. ^ "Wisconsin Survey: Harris Leads by Two Points; Senior Voters are Issue for Trump (See Story Below Chart)". InsiderAdvantage. September 14, 2024.
  898. ^ "Wisconsin IVF Poll Results". co/efficient. September 6, 2024.
  899. ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred (September 8, 2024). "Harris v. Trump CBS News poll finds Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin race tight ahead of debate". CBS News.
  900. ^ a b Franklin, Charles (September 11, 2024). "Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin finds 52% of registered voters support Harris, 48% support Trump". Marquette University Law School.
  901. ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  902. ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 31, 2024.
  903. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  904. ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  905. ^ "Badger Battleground Poll Results" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. September 6, 2024.
  906. ^ a b "Blue Wall Survey – August 2024" (PDF). Pinpoint Policy Institute. August 29, 2024.
  907. ^ a b "Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. August 27, 2024.
  908. ^ a b Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  909. ^ "2024 Wisconsin Presidential Race: Harris and Trump Neck and Neck in Crucial Battleground State". Quantus Polls and News. August 17, 2024.
  910. ^ "New Battleground Polling: Dead Heat in Wisconsin, Issues Favor Trump". American Greatness. August 15, 2024.
  911. ^ a b "Independent Center Battleground States Poll" (PDF). The Independent Center. August 11, 2024.
  912. ^ "PollingPlus Exclusive: Top Two Presidential Cycle Pollsters Towery and Cahaly Release Battleground Polls". PollingPlus. August 9, 2024.
  913. ^ a b Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
  914. ^ a b Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  915. ^ a b "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Michigan". The New York Times. August 10, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
  916. ^ "Wisconsin – Harris 48% Trump 45%". Napolitan Institute. August 8, 2024.
  917. ^ a b Franklin, Charles (August 7, 2024). "Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds very close race between Harris and Trump and Democratic enthusiasm for voting in presidential race now matching Republican levels". Marquette University Law School.
  918. ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "KEY FINDINGS FROM A RECENT POLL OF VOTERS IN FIVE PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES". Politico.
  919. ^ a b "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg. July 30, 2024 – via www.bloomberg.com.
  920. ^ a b Blanton, Dana (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Trump hits 50% in Wisconsin, edges Harris by just 1 point". Fox News.
  921. ^ "PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump". Google Docs. July 22, 2024.
  922. ^ "Battleground Poll: Trump Leads a Tight Race in Wisconsin". American Greatness. July 12, 2024.
  923. ^ Mumford, Camille (February 27, 2024). "Wisconsin 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 42%". Emerson Polling.
  924. ^ "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds". archive.ph. November 6, 2023.
  925. ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
  926. ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
  927. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
  928. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
  929. ^ "Senate Opportunity Fund - Battleground Polling" (PDF). Senate Opportunity Fund. October 25, 2024.
  930. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
  931. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
  932. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
  933. ^ "Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies" (PDF). American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers. October 1, 2024.
  934. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
  935. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  936. ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Wisconsin" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
  937. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  938. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  939. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 30, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania". CNN.
  940. ^ Morin, Rebecca (28 October 2024). "Harris, Trump locked in dead heat in battleground Wisconsin, new exclusive poll says". USA Today. Retrieved 28 October 2024.
  941. ^ "Wisconsin Statewide" (PDF). Suffolk University. Retrieved 28 October 2024.
  942. ^ McCue, Dan (September 4, 2024). "Post-DNC Polls Shows Harris, Trump Tied in Three Battleground States". The Well News.
  943. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". August 19, 2024.
  944. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
  945. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024.
  946. ^ "Rust Belt Rising Wisconsin Survey July 2024" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 19, 2024.