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Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

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2024 United States presidential election polling

← 2020 As of November 4, 2024 (2024-11-04) 2028 →

Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls.
This map only represents polling data. It is not a prediction for the election.

191
3
32
93
77
27
115

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.[1]

Limitations

[edit]

Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on last vote. This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election.[2]

Forecasts

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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

Alabama

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Alaska

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[15] October 20–22, 2024 1,703 (LV) ± 2.4% 55% 45%
Alaska Survey Research[16] October 8–9, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 2.9% 54% 46%
Cygnal (R)[17][A] August 30 – September 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 43% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[15] October 20–22, 2024 1,703 (LV) ± 2.4% 51% 43% 7%
Alaska Survey Research[16] October 8–9, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 43% 7%
Alaska Survey Research[18] September 27–29, 2024 1,182 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 43% 6%
Alaska Survey Research[19] September 11–12, 2024 1,254 (LV) 47% 42% 5% 6%

Arizona

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[d]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 46.8% 48.4% 4.8% Trump +1.6%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 46.8% 48.9% 4.3% Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 46.9% 49.3% 3.8% Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.3% 49.9% 2.8% Trump +2.6%
Average 47.0% 49.1% 3.9% Trump +2.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 875 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 52% 1%
Victory Insights[21] November 2–3, 2024 750 (LV) 48% 49% 3%[e]
Trafalgar Group (R)[22] November 1–3, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 49% 4%[f]
Patriot Polling[23] November 1–3, 2024 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[24] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% 5%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 967 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 52% 2%
Emerson College[26] October 30 – November 2, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 50% 2%[g]
48%[h] 51% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,025 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
1,025 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
ActiVote[28] October 8 – November 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
SoCal Strategies (R)[29][B] October 30–31, 2024 750 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 50% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[31] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 47% 50% 3%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 880 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 50% 1%
856 (LV) 49% 50% 1%
Morning Consult[33] October 21−30, 2024 666 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[34][D] October 25–29, 2024 803 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%[e]
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,458 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[36] October 28, 2024 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 50% 2%
RABA Research[37] October 25–27, 2024 589 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 12%[i]
Trafalgar Group (R)[38] October 24–26, 2024 1,094 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 6%[e]
CES/YouGov[39] October 1–25, 2024 2,077 (A) 49% 49% 2%
2,066 (LV) 47% 51% 2%
Marist College[40] October 17–22, 2024 1,329 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2%[j]
1,193 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 50% 1%[j]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[41] October 20–21, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%[f]
HighGround[42] October 19–20, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 47% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 915 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
861 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
University of Arizona/Truedot[44] October 12–20, 2024 846 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 45% 9%[k]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,440 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
CBS News/YouGov[46] October 11−16, 2024 1,435 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 51% 1%
Morning Consult[33] October 6−15, 2024 653 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[47] September 30 – October 15, 2024 580 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 50% 6%
580 (LV) 46% 49% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[48] October 10–13, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 6%[l]
New York Times/Siena College[49] October 7–10, 2024 808 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 51% 4%
808 (LV) 46% 51% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[50][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 49% 5%
Emerson College[51] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[g]
48%[h] 51% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 6%
ActiVote[53] September 6 – October 8, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
SoCal Strategies (R)[54][B] October 5–7, 2024 735 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
RMG Research[55][F] September 30 – October 2, 2024 783 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 50% 4%[m]
46% 50% 4%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[56][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[57][H] September 24 – October 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 50% 2%[f]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[58] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1%[f]
HighGround[59][I] September 26–29, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
National Research[60][J] September 25–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
Emerson College[62][L] September 27–28, 2024 920 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 50% 3%[g]
48%[h] 52%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 946 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 409 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 977 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%
926 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Fox News[66] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
764 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 51% 1%
Marist College[67] September 19−24, 2024 1,416 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 50% 2%[j]
1,264 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 50% 1%[j]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[68][D] September 19–22, 2024 1,030 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[e]
New York Times/Siena College[69] September 17–21, 2024 713 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 49% 6%
713 (LV) 45% 50% 5%
Emerson College[70] September 15–18, 2024 868 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 49% 3%[n]
49%[h] 50% 1%[n]
Morning Consult[33] September 9−18, 2024 862 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[71] September 11–12, 2024 1,088 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Data Orbital[72][M] September 7–9, 2024 550 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 46% 8%
Morning Consult[33] August 30 – September 8, 2024 901 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
TIPP Insights[73][N] September 3–5, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 8%
949 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
Patriot Polling[74] September 1–3, 2024 804 (RV) 47% 49% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[75] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
University of Arizona/Truedot[76] August 28–31, 2024 1,155 (RV) 42% 46% 12%[o]
Emerson College[77] August 25–28, 2024 720 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 50% 7%
48%[h] 51% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[78] August 23–26, 2024 776 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 49% 1%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[81][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,187 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Noble Predictive Insights[82] August 12–16, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Focaldata[83] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 51%
Strategies 360[84] August 7–14, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 47% 46% 7%
New York Times/Siena College[85] August 8–15, 2024 677 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 7%
677 (LV) 50% 45% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[86] August 6–8, 2024 1,092 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%
Navigator Research (D)[87] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[88] July 26 – August 8, 2024 435 (LV) 48% 46% 6%
HighGround[89] July 30 – August 5, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 42% 14%[p]
Public Policy Polling (D)[90][Q] July 29–30, 2024 618 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 49% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[91][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[92] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College[93] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 49% 7%
47%[h] 53%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[94] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[95][Q] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 44% 52% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[96] May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 51% 7%
Emerson College[97] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 48% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[98] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
603 (LV) 43% 48% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 10, 2024 October 15, 2024 46.4% 48.8% 1.0% 0.8% 3.0% Trump +2.4%
270toWin October 2 – 12, 2024 October 12, 2024 47.4% 47.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.5% 3.5% Trump +0.2%
Average 46.9% 48.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.8% 3.2% Trump +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 875 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 967 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 52% 1% 1% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,025 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 47% 3% 2% 6%
1,025 (LV) 44% 48% 2% 1% 5%
Focaldata[99] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,779 (LV) 48% 49% 1% 1% 1%
1,603 (RV) ± 2.3% 49% 47% 2% 1% 1%
1,779 (A) 49% 47% 2% 1% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 1% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[100] October 28–31, 2024 652 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 880 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
856 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 0% 4%
Noble Predictive Insights[101] October 28–30, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 0% 3%
Data for Progress (D)[102] October 25–30, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 1% 0% 4%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,458 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[36] October 28, 2024 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 50% 0% 1% 1%
Data Orbital[103] October 26–28, 2024 550 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 50% 1% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[104] October 25–27, 2024 901 (LV) 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
J.L. Partners[105] October 24–26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 49% 0% 1% 2%[e]
CNN/SSRS[106] October 21–26, 2024 781 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% 1% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[107] October 20–22, 2024 710 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 915 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 1% 2% 1%
861 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 2% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108] October 16–18, 2024 691 (LV) 46% 49% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,440 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109] October 12–14, 2024 1,141 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[49] October 7–10, 2024 808 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 49% 2% 1% 4%
808 (LV) 45% 50% 1% 0% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] September 27 – October 2, 2024 555 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[57][S] September 24 – October 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 49% 1% 0% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 946 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 0% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 409 (LV) 50% 47% 1% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 977 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 1% 2% 2%
926 (LV) 49% 46% 1% 2% 2%
Fox News[66] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
764 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 0% 1% 2%
Suffolk University/USA Today[111] September 19−24, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 1% 1% 8%
New York Times/Siena College[69] September 17–21, 2024 713 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 47% 2% 3% 6%
713 (LV) 43% 48% 2% 2% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] September 16–19, 2024 789 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113] September 6–9, 2024 765 (LV) 46% 47% 1% 1% 5%
TIPP Insights[73][N] September 3–5, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 1% 1% 6%
949 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
YouGov[114][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.2% 45% 47% 1% 1% 6%[e]
CNN/SSRS[115] August 23–29, 2024 682 (LV) ± 4.7% 44% 49% 2% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[116] August 25–28, 2024 530 (LV) 45% 46% 1% 1% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[78] August 23–26, 2024 776 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 0% 2% 2%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 0% 2% 2%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 1% 1% 2% 1%


Arizona county flips from 2020 to 2024 presidential elections

Arkansas

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Hendrix College[117][T] September 5–6, 2024 696 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 40% 1% 0% 1% 1%

California

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[118] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 64% 32% 4%
Competitive Edge Research[119] October 28–30, 2024 517 (RV) ± 4.3% 53% 38% 8%[r]
UC Berkeley IGS[120] October 22–28, 2024 4,341 (LV) ± 2.0% 57% 35% 8%
ActiVote[121] October 7–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%
Rose Institute/YouGov[122] October 7–17, 2024 1,139 (RV) ± 3.4% 60% 33% 7%[s]
63%[h] 34% 3%
1,139 (LV) 63% 34% 3%
Emerson College[123][U] October 12–14, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% 6%[n]
61%[h] 37% 2%[n]
ActiVote[124] September 22 – October 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63.5% 36.5%
ActiVote[125] August 22 – September 21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 36%
Emerson College[126] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 60% 36% 4%
61%[h] 38% 1%[t]
ActiVote[127] August 2–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 65% 35%
UC Berkeley IGS[128] July 31 – August 11, 2024 3,765 (LV) ± 2.0% 59% 34% 7%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[129][V] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 15%

Colorado

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Keating Research[130] October 28−30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% 7%[u]
YouGov[131] October 18−30, 2024 754 (LV) ± 4.54% 55% 41% 4%
ActiVote[132] October 1−30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
ActiVote[133] September 15 − October 19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 512 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 5%
Keating Research[135] September 11–14, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 42% 5%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 498 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 40% 5%

Connecticut

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[136][W] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 37% 3% 8%

Delaware

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D)[137][X] September 19–21, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 54% 37% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of Delaware[138] September 11–19, 2024 383 (LV) ± 5.8% 56% 36% 3% 1% 4%

District of Columbia

[edit]

Florida

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[v]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.6% 51.1% 4.3% Trump +6.5%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.6% 51.2% 4.2% Trump +6.6%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.8% 51.3% 3.9% Trump +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.9% 51.6% 3.2% Trump +6.7%
Average 44.7% 51.3% 4.0% Trump +6.6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[139] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 44% 5%
Victory Insights[140] November 1–2, 2024 400 (LV) 51% 47% 2%[e]
Stetson University[141][142] October 25 – November 1, 2024 452 (LV) ± 5.0% 53% 46% 1%[w]
Morning Consult[134] October 23 − November 1, 2024 2,022 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 46% 3%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[143] October 19–27, 2024 913 (RV) ± 3.2% 53% 44% 3%[x]
897 (LV) 53% 44% 3%[x]
ActiVote[144] October 11–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
St. Pete Polls[145][Y] October 23–25, 2024 1,227 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5%[k]
CES/YouGov[146] October 1–25, 2024 5,952 (A) 51% 47% 2%
5,916 (LV) 52% 46% 2%
Hunt Research[147][Z] October 16–22, 2024 1,234 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5%
Emerson College[148] October 18–20, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 44% 4%[g]
54%[h] 46%
Cherry Communications (R)[149][AA] October 10–20, 2024 614 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% 4%
ActiVote[150] October 7–20, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45%
University of North Florida[151] October 7–18, 2024 977 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 43% 4%[y]
RMG Research[152][F] October 14–17, 2024 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 45% 3%[z]
52%[h] 47% 1%
Rose Institute/YouGov[153] October 7–17, 2024 1,094 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 45% 7%[aa]
1,094 (RV) 51%[h] 46% 3%
1,076 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
The Terrance Group (R)[154][AB] October 5–8, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%
Marist College[155] October 3–7, 2024 1,410 (RV) ± 3.3% 51% 47% 2%[j]
1,257 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 47% 2%[j]
New York Times/Siena College[156] September 29 – October 6, 2024 622 (LV) ± 5.0% 55% 41% 4%
ActiVote[157] September 17 – October 6, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
Mason-Dixon[158][AC] October 1–4, 2024 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%[ab]
RMG Research[159][F] September 25–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[z]
50%[h] 48% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%
Victory Insights[161] September 22–25, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% 8%
The Bullfinch Group[162][AE] September 20–23, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 5%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 2,948 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 47% 3%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 3,182 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College[163] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%
51%[h] 48% 1%[g]
ActiVote[164] August 16–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
Cherry Communications (R)[165][AA] August 15–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 45% 3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[166][AD] August 21–22, 2024 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 47% 2%
ActiVote[167] August 5–15, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[168] August 10–11, 2024 1,055 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%[ac]
1,040 (LV) 50% 47% 3%[x]
University of North Florida[169] July 24–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 42% 9%[ad]
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[170][AF] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%[ae]
Suffolk University/USA Today[171] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 46% 44% 10%
Victory Insights[172] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Focaldata[173] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,250 (LV) 52% 45% 0% 0% 3%
1,099 (RV) ± 2.8% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
1,250 (A) 49% 47% 1% 0% 3%
Cygnal (R)[174] October 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 43% 1% 1% 7%[af]
Hunt Research[147][Z] October 16–22, 2024 1,234 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 44% 0% 0% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[175] October 16–18, 2024 1,275 (LV) 49% 45% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[176] October 12–14, 2024 1,009 (LV) 50% 44% 1% 0% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[156] September 29 – October 6, 2024 622 (LV) ± 5.0% 53% 40% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[177] September 27 – October 2, 2024 2,946 (LV) 49% 45% 1% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[178] September 16–19, 2024 1,602 (LV) 50% 45% 0% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[179] September 6–9, 2024 1,465 (LV) 50% 44% 0% 0% 6%

Georgia

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[q]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.5% 48.7% 3.8% Trump +1.2%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.5% 48.2% 4.3% Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 48.9% 3.2% Trump +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 49.6% 2.5% Trump +1.7%
Average 47.7% 48.9% 3.4% Trump +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[180] November 2–3, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 49% 3%[f]
Patriot Polling[181] November 1–3, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,174 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Emerson College[182] October 30 – November 2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 50% 1%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% 8%
1,004 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
ActiVote[184] October 15 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,212 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 984 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 50% 2%
939 (LV) 48% 50% 2%
Morning Consult[185] October 21–30, 2024 1,009 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,429 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[186][D] October 25–28, 2024 910 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 3%[e]
SoCal Strategies (R)[187][B] October 26–27, 2024 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 50% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[188] October 24–26, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 6%[f]
CES/YouGov[189] October 1–25, 2024 2,682 (A) 48% 49% 3%
2,663 (LV) 46% 51% 3%
National Public Affairs[190] October 21–24, 2024 829 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 49% 4%
Marist College[191] October 17–22, 2024 1,356 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%[j]
1,193 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 49% 2%[j]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 914 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
855 (LV) 48% 50% 2%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,411 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
ActiVote[192] October 1–17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
TIPP Insights[193][N] October 14–16, 2024 1,029 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 46% 5%
813 (LV) 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[194] October 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Morning Consult[185] October 6–15, 2024 1,002 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[195] September 30 – October 15, 2024 730 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% 44% 6%
730 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,328 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 52% 2%
RMG Research[197][F] October 7–10, 2024 731 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 49% 4%[ag]
47% 50% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[198][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 50% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[199] October 7–8, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 46% 9%[ah]
Emerson College[200] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
50%[h] 50%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 6%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[201][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 47% 9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[202] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%[f]
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 942 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 50% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 47% 6%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 989 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
913 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Fox News[204] September 20−24, 2024 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
707 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 48% 1%
CBS News/YouGov[205] September 20–24, 2024 1,441 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51%
Marist College[206] September 19−24, 2024 1,420 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 48% 3%[j]
1,220 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 50% 1%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[207][AE] September 20–23, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[208][D] September 19–22, 2024 1,152 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
47%[h] 51% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[209] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 48% 8%
682 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
TIPP Insights[210][N] September 16–18, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 7%
835 (LV) 48% 48% 9%
Emerson College[211] September 15–18, 2024 975 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 3%[n]
48%[h] 50% 2%[n]
Morning Consult[185] September 9−18, 2024 1,347 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[212] September 11–13, 2024 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 46% 9%
ActiVote[213] August 8 – September 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 969 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 49% 5%
Morning Consult[185] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,405 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[215] September 5–6, 2024 647 (RV) ± 3.9% 44% 47% 9%[ai]
567 (LV) 45% 47% 8%[aj]
Patriot Polling[216] September 1–3, 2024 814 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[217] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%[aj]
Emerson College[218] August 25–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[219] August 23–26, 2024 737 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
801 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
Focaldata[220] August 6–16, 2024 651 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 52%
New York Times/Siena College[221] August 9–14, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 51% 5%
661 (LV) 46% 50% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[222] July 26 – August 8, 2024 405 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[223][AG] July 24–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[224] July 29–30, 2024 – (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[225][Q] July 29–30, 2024 662 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[226] July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 5%
SoCal Strategies (R)[227][AH] July 25–26, 2024 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Emerson College[228] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 48% 6%
49%[h] 51%
Landmark Communications[229] July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% 5%
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[230][AI] July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 51% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[231][AJ] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 37% 47% 16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[232] July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 46% 12%
549 (LV) 43% 49% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[233] May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College[234] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
New York Times/Siena College[235] October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
629 (LV) 44% 47% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Other/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH[236] through October 22, 2024 October 22, 2024 47.4% 48.7% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% Trump +1.3%
270ToWin[237] October 16–22, 2024 October 22, 2024 45.8% 49.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 3.8% Trump +3.4%
Average 46.6% 49.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.8% 2.9% Trump +2.4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%[f]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,174 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 2% 1% 1%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 43% 2% 0% 3% 8%
1,004 (LV) 46% 46% 0% 0% 2% 6%
Focaldata[238] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,850 (LV) 48% 49% 1% 1% 1%
1,627 (RV) ± 2.3% 50% 47% 1% 1% 1%
1,850 (A) 49% 47% 1% 2% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,212 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 2% 1% 1%
East Carolina University[239] October 28–31, 2024 902 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[240] October 28–31, 2024 1,779 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
Data for Progress (D)[241] October 25–31, 2024 792 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 0% 0% 1% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 984 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
939 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 0% 5%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,429 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 1% 1%
CNN/SSRS[242] October 23–28, 2024 732 (LV) ± 4.7% 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[243] October 25–27, 2024 1,112 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
The Citadel[244] October 17–25, 2024 1,218 (RV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 1% 1% 0% 3%
1,126 (LV) 47% 49% 0% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[245] October 20–22, 2024 1,168 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 914 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 2% 3%
855 (LV) 48% 49% 0% 1% 2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[246][AI] October 7–16, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 47% 0% 0% 10%[ak]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[247] October 16–18, 2024 1,019 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,411 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 0% 0% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[248] October 12–14, 2024 637 (LV) 47% 47% 2% 1% 3%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,328 (LV) ± 2.7% 45% 52% 1% 1% 1%
East Carolina University[249] October 9–14, 2024 701 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 1% 0% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[250] October 8–9, 2024 608 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[251] September 27 – October 2, 2024 3,783 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 942 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 50% 1% 0% 1% 4%[al]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 0% 0% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 989 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 3% 2%
913 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 2% 2%
Fox News[204] September 20−24, 2024 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 1% 1% 1% 1%
707 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 48% 1% 1% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[209] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 46% 2% 2% 7%
682 (LV) 44% 47% 1% 2% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252] September 16–19, 2024 1,043 (LV) 46% 48% 1% 1% 4%
TIPP Insights[210][N] September 16–18, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 44% 2% 1% 7%
835 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[253][AI] September 9–15, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 47% 1% 0% 0% 7%[am]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[254] September 6–9, 2024 562 (LV) 47% 49% 1% 0% 3%
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 969 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 49% 1% 0% 0% 6%[al]
YouGov[255][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 47% 0% 0% 8%[f]
CNN/SSRS[256] August 23–29, 2024 617 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 47% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[257] August 25–28, 2024 699 (LV) 42% 44% 1% 0% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[219] August 23–26, 2024 737 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 1% 3% 2%
801 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 1% 4% 2%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 1% 2% 2% 1%

Hawaii

[edit]

Idaho

[edit]

Illinois

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[258] October 4–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote[259] September 3 – October 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
ActiVote[260] August 6–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%

Indiana

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[an]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[261] October 3–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote[262] August 28 – September 30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
ARW Strategies[263][AK] September 23–25, 2024 600 (LV) 55% 39% 6%
Emerson College[264] September 12–13, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 40% 3%[g]
58%[h] 41% 1%[g]
Lake Research Partners (D)[265][AL] August 26 – September 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%

Iowa

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[q]
Margin
270ToWin October 2 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 45.3% 50.0% 4.7% Trump +4.7%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 45.4% 49.8% 4.8% Trump +4.4%
Average 45.4% 49.9% 4.7% Trump +4.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[266] November 2–3, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 46% 2%[ao]
SoCal Strategies (R)[267][AM] November 2–3, 2024 501 (RV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 7%
435 (LV) 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College[268][AN] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 53% 43% 4%[g]
54%[h] 45% 1%[g]
Cygnal (R)[269][AO] September 27–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co.[270][AP] October 28–31, 2024 808 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 47% 3% 0% 6%[ap]
Selzer & Co.[271][AP] September 8–11, 2024 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 43% 6% 1% 3%[g]

Kansas

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Fort Hays State University[272] September 26 – October 16, 2024 656 (A) 46% 37% 17%[aq]
608 (A) 50% 39% 11%[ar]
517 (RV) 48% 43% 9%[as]

Kentucky

[edit]

Louisiana

[edit]

Maine

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[273] August 15–19, 2024 951 (LV) ± 3.2% 58% 41% 1%
University of New Hampshire[274] July 23–25, 2024 1,445 (LV) ± 2.6% 54% 45% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[275] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,485 (LV) ± 2.4% 52% 41% 1% 1% 1% 4%[x]
SurveyUSA[276][AQ] October 24–29, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 43% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Pan Atlantic Research[277] September 5–15, 2024 812 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 41% 1% 1% 1% 6%


Maine's 1st congressional district

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[277] September 5–15, 2024 414 (LV) 58% 32% 10%
University of New Hampshire[273] August 15–19, 2024 476 (LV) 64% 36%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[275] October 29 – November 2, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 60% 36% 0% 1% 1% 2%[x]
SurveyUSA[276][AQ] October 24–29, 2024 482 (LV) 58% 37% 1% 1% 0% 3%


Maine's 2nd congressional district

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Axis Research[278][AR] October 17–20, 2024 411 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 41% 8%[at]
Pan Atlantic Research[277] September 5–15, 2024 398 (LV) 49% 42% 9%
University of New Hampshire[273] August 15–19, 2024 432 (LV) 47% 52% 1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[275] October 29 – November 2, 2024 683 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 44% 1% 1% 1% 5%[x]
SurveyUSA[276][AQ] October 24–29, 2024 484 (LV) 49% 44% 1% 1% 1% 4%

Maryland

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[an]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Morning Consult October 22–31, 2024 490 (LV) ± 5.0% 64% 31% 5%
ActiVote October 6–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 37%
Braun Research[AS] October 17–22, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 61% 33% 7%[au]
1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 59% 34% 7%[av]
Emerson College October 19–21, 2024 865 (LV) ± 3.2% 64% 34% 2%
63% 33% 4%[aw]
Morning Consult October 10–15, 2024 490 (LV) ± 4.0% 64% 31% 4%
ActiVote September 8 – October 14, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%
Braun Research[AS] September 19–23, 2024 1,012 (LV) ± 3.5% 64% 32% 5%[ax]
1,012 (RV) ± 3.5% 62% 32% 6%[ay]
Morning Consult September 9–18, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 61% 33% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) September 16–17, 2024 543 (RV) ± 4.2% 64% 33% 3%
Emerson College September 12–13, 2024 890 (LV) ± 3.2% 65% 33% 2%
63% 32% 5%
Morning Consult August 30 – September 8, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 62% 34% 4%
Gonzales Research August 24–30, 2024 820 (RV) ± 3.5% 56% 35% 10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[AG] August 14–20, 2024 700 (LV) ± 4.0% 64% 32% 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[an]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Jill
Stein
Green
Undecided
Chism Strategies October 28–30, 2024 510 (LV) ± 4.34% 56% 33% 0% 0% 1% 10%[az]
YouGov[ba] October 23–27, 2024 500 (LV) ± 5.2% 61% 34% 0% 2% 5%
University of Maryland, Baltimore County September 23–28, 2024 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 57% 35% 2% 0% 1% 5%[bb]
Braun Research[AS] September 19–23, 2024 1,012 (LV) ± 3.5% 63% 31% 1% 1% 5%[bc]
1,012 (RV) ± 3.5% 61% 31% 1% 1% 6%[bd]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[AG] August 14–20, 2024 700 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% 29% 5% 1% 1% 5%

Massachusetts

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[279] October 2–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 66% 34%
Emerson College[280][AT] October 24–26, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 36% 5%[k]
60%[h] 37% 3%[k]
ActiVote[281] September 6 – October 16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 67% 33%
MassINC Polling Group[282][AU] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 63% 35% 2%[be]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[283] October 29 – November 2, 2024 744 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 34% 2% 1% 3%[bf]
YouGov[284][AV] October 3–10, 2024 700 (A) ± 4.8% 56% 30% 2% 1% 11%[bg]
Suffolk University[285][AW] October 1–4, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 61% 32% 1% 0% 6%[bg]
University of New Hampshire[286] September 12–16, 2024 546 (LV) ± 4.1% 62% 31% 2% 0% 5%

Michigan

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[bh]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.6% 46.8% 4.6% Harris +1.8%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.0% 47.0% 5.0% Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.4% 47.2% 4.4% Harris +1.2%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.7% 48.3% 3.0% Harris +0.4%
Average 48.4% 47.3% 4.3% Harris 1.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,113 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Research Co.[287] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 47% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[288] November 1–3, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%[e]
Patriot Polling[289] November 1–3, 2024 858 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[290] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% 6%[bi]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,198 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Emerson College[291] October 30 – November 2, 2024 790 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 48% 2%[g]
51%[h] 49%
Mitchell Research[292][AX] October 29 – November 2, 2024 585 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 48% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 998 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 45% 9%
998 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[294] October 25 – November 2, 2024 733 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 46% 6%[bj]
714 (LV) 49% 47% 4%[bk]
ActiVote[295] October 8 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[296][D] October 24 – November 1, 2024 908 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 3.0% 48.7% 49.3% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[297] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 985 (RV) ± 3.9% 50% 46% 4%
942 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Morning Consult[298] October 22−31, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Marist College[299] October 27–30, 2024 1,356 (RV) ± 3.3% 51% 48% 1%[j]
1,214 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 48% 1%[j]
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48% 4%
Mitchell Research[301][AX] October 28–29, 2024 – (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 48% 5%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 938 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[302][AY] October 26–28, 2024 844 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 49% 2%
The Washington Post[303] October 24–28, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.7% 45% 47% 8%
1,003 (LV) 47% 46% 7%
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,275 (RV) ± 2.5% 50% 48% 2%
988 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[305] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 48% 5%[l]
Emerson College[306][AZ] October 25–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49% 50%[h] 1%[g]
Susquehanna Polling & Research[307] October 23–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 47% 1%
Patriot Polling[308] October 24–26, 2024 796 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
CES/YouGov[309] October 1–25, 2024 2,347 (A) 52% 45% 3%
2,336 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[311] October 18−20, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% 10%[bi]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 756 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
705 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[312] October 11−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 45% 2%
51% 43% 6%[bl]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,529 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
RMG Research[313][F] October 10–16, 2024 789 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%[bm]
49%[h] 49% 2%
Morning Consult[298] October 6−15, 2024 1,065 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Washington Post/Schar School[314] September 30 – October 15, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 47% 7%
687 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Mitchell Research[315][AX] October 14, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[316][D] October 9–14, 2024 1,058 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[317][B] October 10–13, 2024 692 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 48% 3%
Michigan State University/YouGov[318] September 23 – October 10, 2024 845 (LV) 52% 48%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[319] October 8–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% 6%[e]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[320][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[321][AG] October 2–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%[f]
ActiVote[322] September 15 – October 9, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
Emerson College[323] October 5–8, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 49% 2%[g]
50%[h] 50%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 49% 47% 4%
Research Co.[324] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 46% 44% 10%[bn]
51%[h] 48% 1%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 51% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[326][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
Mitchell Research[327][AX] September 30, 2024 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[328] September 28–30, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 47% 9%[bi]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 49% 4%
RMG Research[329][F] September 24–27, 2024 789 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%[n]
50%[h] 47% 3%
New York Times/Siena College[330] September 21–26, 2024 688 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 8%
688 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 918 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 416 (LV) 51% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 894 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
800 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[331][BA] September 19–23, 2024 400 (LV) 51% 45% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[332][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College[333] September 15–18, 2024 875 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 47% 4%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Morning Consult[298] September 9−18, 2024 1,297 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%
Marist College[334] September 12−17, 2024 1,282 (RV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[j]
1,138 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 47% 1%[j]
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 905 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 46% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[336] September 11–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 49% 3%[f]
Mitchell Research[337][AX] September 11, 2024 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Morning Consult[298] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,368 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[338] September 4–6, 2024 931 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[339] September 3–6, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 49% 1%
Patriot Polling[340] September 1–3, 2024 822 (RV) 48% 48% 4%
Cygnal (R)[341] August 28 – September 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[342] August 28–30, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 6%
Emerson College[343] August 25–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 47% 3%[bo]
51%[h] 48% 1%[bp]
ActiVote[344] July 28 – August 28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
EPIC-MRA[345] August 23–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[346] August 23–26, 2024 651 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
702 (RV) 49% 46% 5%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[347][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.0% 44% 44% 12%[bq]
– (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 48% 5%
TIPP Insights[348][N] August 20–22, 2024 741 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46% 6%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R)[349][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 48% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[350][P] August 13–19, 2024 1,093 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Focaldata[351] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 53% 47%
The Bullfinch Group[352][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[353][AG] August 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[354] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[355] August 5–8, 2024 619 (RV) ± 4.8% 45% 48% 7%
619 (LV) 50% 46% 5%
Navigator Research (D)[356] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[357] July 26 – August 8, 2024 406 (LV) 49% 46% 6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[358][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[359] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[360][BD] July 25–26, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 5%
Fox News[361] July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[362] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% 9%
49%[h] 51%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
July 19, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[363][Q] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[364] May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[365] October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
616 (LV) 48% 46% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,113 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2% 0%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,198 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 998 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 44% 1% 2% 2% 9%
998 (LV) 45% 45% 0% 2% 1% 7%
Focaldata[366] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,092 (LV) 50% 45% 1% 1% 3%
1,941 (RV) ± 2.1% 51% 44% 1% 1% 3%
2,092 (A) 50% 44% 1% 1% 4%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[367] October 28–31, 2024 1,731 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 985 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 45% 0% 2% 6%
942 (LV) 48% 45% 0% 2% 5%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 938 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[368] October 25–27, 2024 728 (LV) 49% 48% 1% 0% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[369] October 20–22, 2024 1,115 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 0% 5%
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,136 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 46% 1% 1% 0% 3%[br]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 756 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 1% 2% 5%
705 (LV) 49% 46% 1% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[370] October 16–18, 2024 1,008 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[371] October 12–14, 2024 682 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 1% 0% 1% 1%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[372] September 27 – October 2, 2024 839 (LV) 48% 46% 0% 1% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[330] September 21–26, 2024 688 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% 2% 2% 7%
688 (LV) 46% 46% 2% 1% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 894 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 1% 2% 3%
800 (LV) 50% 46% 1% 1% 2%
Remington Research Group (R)[373][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 0% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[374] September 16–19, 2024 993 (LV) 46% 45% 0% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 905 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 45% 0% 2% 0% 3%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[375] September 6–9, 2024 556 (LV) 48% 45% 1% 1% 5%
YouGov[376][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 43% 1% 1% 7%[f]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[377] August 25–28, 2024 1,071 (LV) 47% 44% 1% 1% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[346] August 23–26, 2024 651 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 0% 2% 2%
702 (RV) 48% 46% 1% 2% 3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
[bs]
Natural Law
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 7, 2024 October 13, 2024 47.0% 46.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6% 2.7% Harris +0.1%
270toWin October 7 – 11, 2024 October 11, 2024 47.0% 46.6% 2.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% Harris +0.4%
Average 47.0% 46.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% Harris +0.2%


Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Natural Law
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[292][AX] October 29 – November 2, 2024 585 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5%
EPIC-MRA[378][BF] October 24–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 3% 1% 3%
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,275 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1%
988 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1%
CNN/SSRS[379] October 23–28, 2024 726 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 43% 3% 1% 2% 0% 3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[380] October 24–27, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3%[bt]
Glengariff Group[381][BG] October 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 4% 2% 1% 2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[382] October 16–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 45% 1% 0% 0% 1% 4%[bt]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,529 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Mitchell Research[315][AX] October 14, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 0% 0% 1% 1% 4%
Marketing Resource Group[383] October 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 3% 2% 6%[bu]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[321][AG] October 2–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 3% 0% 1% 0% 4%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Glengariff Group[384][BG] October 1–4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Mitchell Research[327][AX] September 30, 2024 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2%[bt]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 48% 2% 1% 0% 0% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 918 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 0% 2% 0% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 416 (LV) 49% 46% 0% 1% 2% 2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[385] September 11–19, 2024 650 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 2% 2% 2% 3%[bv]
Suffolk University/USA Today[386] September 16–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6%[bt]
Mitchell Research[337][AX] September 11, 2024 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 2% 0% 1% 4%[bt]
CNN/SSRS[387] August 23–29, 2024 708 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 43% 4% 1% 1% 3%
Z to A Research (D)[388][BH] August 23–26, 2024 518 (LV) 47% 47% 3% 1% 1% 1%
YouGov[347][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.0% 44% 42% 5% 1% 0% 1% 7%[bw]
– (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 46% 4% 0% 0% 0% 3%
TIPP Insights[348][N] August 20–22, 2024 741 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 45% 5% 1% 1% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[350][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,093 (LV) 47% 44% 4% 1% 1% 3%
Focaldata[351] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 51% 44% 4% 1% 0%
702 (RV) 50% 44% 4% 1% 0% 1%
702 (A) 50% 42% 5% 1% 0% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[389] August 12–15, 2024 530 (LV) 44% 45% 5% 1% 0% 5%
The Bullfinch Group[352][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 40% 7% 1% 1% 5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[353][AG] August 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% 6% 1% 1% 0% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[355] August 5–8, 2024 619 (RV) ± 4.8% 44% 43% 5% 0% 1% 0% 6%
619 (LV) 48% 43% 4% 0% 1% 0% 3%
Navigator Research (D)[356] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 5% 1% 0% 0% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[357] July 26 – August 8, 2024 406 (LV) 46% 44% 6% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[390] July 31 – August 3, 2024 771 (LV) 41% 42% 5% 1% 0% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[359] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 5% 1% 2% 2%
Fox News[361] July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 7% 1% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[391] July 22–24, 2024 512 (LV) 41% 44% 7% 0% 0% 8%
Glengariff Group[392][BG] July 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 10% 1% 1% 5%
Emerson College[362] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Glengariff Group[393][BG] August 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 5% 1% 5%
EPIC-MRA[345] August 23–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 3% 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[394][BI] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 46% 5% 1% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[349][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 43% 5% 8%
Civiqs[395][BH] July 13–16, 2024 532 (RV) ± 5.3% 46% 46% 5% 3%

Minnesota

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[bx]
Margin

270ToWin

October 16–November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.8% 43.6% 6.6% Harris +6.2%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.0% 44.2% 5.8% Harris +5.8%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 50.4% 43.9% 5.7% Harris +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 49.9% 45.5% 4.6% Harris +4.4%
Average 50.0% 44.3% 5.7% Harris +5.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,065 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Research Co.[396] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 44% 5%
ActiVote[397] October 9 – November 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 48%
SurveyUSA[398][BJ] October 24–28, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 5%[e]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[399][D] October 24–26, 2024 959 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%[e]
CES/YouGov[400] October 1–25, 2024 1,278 (A) 52% 44% 4%
1,275 (LV) 53% 43% 4%
Embold Research/MinnPost[401] October 16–22, 2024 1,734 (LV) ± 2.4% 48% 45% 7%[aa]
ActiVote[402] September 10 – October 9, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
SurveyUSA[403][BJ] September 23–26, 2024 646 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 44% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[404][D] September 19−22, 2024 993 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
Mason-Dixon[405][BK] September 16−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 43% 9%[e]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 517 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 43% 7%
Embold Research/MinnPost[406] September 4–8, 2024 1,616 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 45% 6%[by]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 501 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% 5%
SurveyUSA[407][BJ] August 27–29, 2024 635 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 43% 9%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
SurveyUSA[408][BJ] July 23–25, 2024 656 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 40% 10%[bz]
Fox News[409] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,065 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 2% 1% 1%[f]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[410] October 12–14, 2024 544 (LV) 51% 43% 1% 0% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[411] September 27 – October 2, 2024 551 (LV) 51% 43% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[412] September 16–19, 2024 703 (LV) 50% 44% 1% 0% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[413] September 6–9, 2024 617 (LV) 51% 44% 0% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Chism Strategies[414] October 28–30, 2024 534 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 43% 1% 1% 0% 7%[ca]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[415] August 12–15, 2024 592 (LV) 47% 40% 3% 0% 0% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[416] July 31 – August 3, 2024 538 (LV) 46% 41% 3% 0% 0% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[417] July 22–24, 2024 475 (LV) 44% 41% 6% 1% 0% 8%
Fox News[409] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 7% 1% 1% 3%

Mississippi

[edit]

Missouri

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[418] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 54% 39% 7%
ActiVote[419] October 6–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote[420] September 8 – October 10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
Emerson College[421] September 12–13, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 53% 43% 4%[g]
55%[h] 43% 2%[g]
Change Research (D)[422] September 11–13, 2024 1,237 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 41% 9%
GQR (D)[423] September 6–12, 2024 645 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 44% 1%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[424] July 25 – August 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
YouGov/Saint Louis University[425] August 8–16, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 41% 5%[cb]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[426] October 28–29, 2024 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% 40% 1% 1% 4%

Montana

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 752 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% 39% 2%
Emerson College[427][BL] October 23–25, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 39% 3%[n]
59%[h] 40% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[428] October 5–8, 2024 656 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 39% 4%
656 (LV) 57% 40% 3%
RMG Research[429][F] September 12–19, 2024 491 (LV) ± 4.4% 59% 38% 3%[cc]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
David Binder Research (D)[430][AG]
August 25–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 41% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
Rasmussen Reports (R)[431][P] August 13–20, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 35% 7%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
Emerson College[432] August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (RV)  3.0% 55% 40% 5%
58%[h] 43%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 752 (LV) ± 4.0% 57% 37% 2% 0% 4%[l]
New York Times/Siena College[428] October 5–8, 2024 656 (RV) ± 4.0% 56% 38% 0% 0% 6%
656 (LV) 56% 39% 0% 0% 5%
Remington Research Group (R)[433][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 39% 2% 3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Montana State University Billings[434] September 30 – October 16, 2024 760 (A) ± 3.6% 52% 34% 3% 1% 2% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[431][P] August 13–20, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 31% 7% 0% 0% 0% 4%
American Pulse Research & Polling[435][BM] August 10–12, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 38% 6% 0% 0% 2% 8%
Emerson College[432] August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 39% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
RMG Research[436][F] August 6–14, 2024 540 (RV) ± 4.2% 57% 39% 2% 2%

Nebraska

[edit]

Statewide

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)[437][BN] October 30–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.3% 57% 39% 4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[438][BO] October 25–28, 2024 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 39% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 55% 40% 5%
1,194 (LV) 55% 40% 5%
Change Research (D)[440][BN] October 18–21, 2024 815 (LV) 55% 41% 4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[441][BO] October 5–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 37% 6%
Change Research (D)[442][BN] October 3–8, 2024 895 (LV) ± 3.5% 58% 38% 4%
Impact Research (D)[443][BN] October 1–3, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 58% 38% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[444][AE] September 27 – October 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 42% 5%
48% 38% 14%[cd]
SurveyUSA[445][BN] September 20–23, 2024 558 (LV) ± 4.8% 56% 40% 5%[ce]
Global Strategy Group (D)[446][BP] August 26–29, 2024 600 (LV) 54% 37% 9%
SurveyUSA[447][BK] August 23–27, 2024 1,293 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 37% 9%[cf]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 1,206 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 40% 0% 0% 1% 4%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 53% 38% 0% 0% 1% 8%
1,194 (LV) 53% 39% 0% 0% 1% 7%



Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 408 (LV) 51% 43% 0% 0% 3% 3%[f]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 54% 42% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[449] September 24–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
680 (LV) 52% 43% 5%
SurveyUSA[447][BK] August 23–27, 2024 507 (RV) ± 5.6% 47% 42% 11%[cg]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 393 (LV) 52% 44% 0% 1% 1% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 53% 41% 0% 0% 1% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[449] September 24–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 41% 2% 2% 6%
680 (LV) 51% 42% 2% 1% 4%
CNN/SSRS[450] September 20–25, 2024 794 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 1% 1% 1% 2%


Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[448] October 21–28, 2024 404 (LV) 70% 25% 0% 0% 0% 5%

Nevada

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[q]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.6% 48.2% 4.2% Trump +0.6%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.4% 47.7% 4.8% Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 48.5% 3.6% Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.5% 49.2% 3.3% Trump +1.7%
Average 47.6% 48.3% 4.1% Trump +0.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 50% 3%
47% 50% 3%[ch]
Patriot Polling[451] November 1–3, 2024 792 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 782 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 52% 2%[ch]
46% 51% 3%
Emerson College[452] October 30 – November 2, 2024 840 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 48% 4%[ci]
49%[h] 49% 1%[ci]
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6%
1,010 (LV) 49% 46% 5%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 845 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 2%
47% 51% 2%[f]
Emerson College[453][BQ] October 29–31, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 5%[cj]
49%[h] 48% 3%[cj]
Noble Predictive Insights[454] October 28–31, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[455] October 28–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 50% 6%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 790 (RV) ± 4.6% 50% 49% 1%
773 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
Data for Progress (D)[456] October 25–30, 2024 721 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[457][D] October 25–30, 2024 767 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[f]
AtlasIntel[458] October 25–29, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
48% 48% 4%[f]
Trafalgar Group (R)[459] October 25–28, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 4%[e]
CES/YouGov[460] October 1–25, 2024 940 (A) 53% 44% 3%
933 (LV) 51% 47% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[461] October 20–21, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 449 (RV) ± 5.0% 49% 48% 3%
420 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,171 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[462][AG] October 8−15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 49% 4%[ck]
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 496 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
Washington Post/Schar School[463] September 30 – October 15, 2024 652 (RV) ± 4.8% 47% 44% 9%
652 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[464][D] October 9–14, 2024 748 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Trafalgar Group (R)[465] October 10–13, 2024 1,088 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 45% 9%[cl]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[466][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 3%
Emerson College[467] October 5–8, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 47% 5%[cm]
49%[h] 48% 3%[cn]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 49% 8%
RMG Research[468][F] September 30 – October 3, 2024 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[co]
49%[h] 49% 2%[cp]
OnMessage Inc. (R)[469][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[470] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1%[f]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
TIPP Insights[471][N] September 23−25, 2024 1,044 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 44% 8%
736 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[472][AY] September 23−25, 2024 628 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%[cq]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[473] September 19–25, 2024 409 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 574 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
516 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[474][D] September 19−22, 2024 738 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[475][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
The Tarrance Group (R)[476][BR] September 16–19, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 44% 9%[cr]
Emerson College[477] September 15–18, 2024 895 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 48% 4%[n]
49%[h] 49% 2%[n]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 474 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 47% 2%
Noble Predictive Insights[478] September 9−16, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 7%
692 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[479] September 11–13, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 44% 11%[cs]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Patriot Polling[480] September 1–3, 2024 788 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[481] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 5%[ct]
Emerson College[482] August 25–28, 2024 1,168 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 48% 3%[cu]
49%[h] 49% 1%[cv]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[483] August 23–26, 2024 416 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 46% 4%
450 (RV) 49% 45% 6%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%[f]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[484][P] August 13–18, 2024 980 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Focaldata[485] August 6–16, 2024 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 46%
New York Times/Siena College[486] August 12–15, 2024 677 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 6%
677 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[487] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) 45% 48% 7%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[488][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 46% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[489] July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 18, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[490] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 10%
July 15, 2024 Republican National Convention begins
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[491] May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[492] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 48% 13%
New York Times/Siena College[493] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 10%
611 (LV) 42% 50% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein
[cw]
Green
Cornel
West
[cw]
Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Other/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through November 2, 2024 November 3, 2024 47.9% 47.3% 1.2% 3.6% Harris +0.6%
270toWin October 22 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 47.8% 47.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 3.8% Harris +0.4%
Average 47.9% 47.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 3.7% Harris +0.5%


Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West[cw]
Independent
Jill
Stein[cw]
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[183] October 24 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 44% 3% 6%
1,010 (LV) 48% 46% 2% 4%
Focaldata[494] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,324 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
1,197 (RV) ± 2.7% 49% 45% 0% 2% 4%
1,324 (A) 48% 44% 0% 2% 1%
Noble Predictive Insights[454] October 28–31, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 0% 3%[cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[495] October 28–31, 2024 690 (LV) 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 790 (RV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 0% 0% 5%
773 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 0% 5%
Data for Progress (D)[456] October 25–30, 2024 721 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 1% 3%[cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[496] October 25–27, 2024 531 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 6%
CNN/SSRS[497] October 21–26, 2024 683 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 48% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[498] October 20–22, 2024 540 (LV) 46% 47% 0% 0% 7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[499][BS] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 50% 0% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 449 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 47% 0% 2% 3%
420 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[500] October 16–18, 2024 529 (LV) 46% 47% 1% 1% 5%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,171 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 2% 0% 2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[462][AG] October 8−15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 1% 6%[ck]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[501] October 12–14, 2024 838 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[502] September 27 – October 2, 2024 514 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
TIPP Insights[471][N] September 23−25, 2024 1,044 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 43% 1% 0% 9%
736 (LV) 50% 49% 0% 0% 1%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 574 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% 3% 4% 3%
516 (LV) 50% 44% 2% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[503] September 16–19, 2024 652 (LV) 45% 45% 0% 1% 9%
Noble Predictive Insights[478] September 9−16, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 0% 1% 10%[cy]
692 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%[cz]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[504] September 6–9, 2024 698 (LV) 45% 46% 1% 1% 7%
YouGov[505][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.7% 49% 46% 0% 1% 4%[f]
CNN/SSRS[506] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[507] August 25–28, 2024 490 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 0% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[483] August 23–26, 2024 416 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% 46% 2% 3% 1%
450 (RV) 48% 45% 2% 4% 1%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 2% 1% 1% 2%[f]

New Hampshire

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[da]
Margin
270ToWin October 24 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 50.5% 45.5% 4.0% Harris +5.0%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.3% 45.4% 4.3% Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.9% 46.3% 2.8% Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 53.3% 42.5% 4.2% Harris +10.8%
Average 51.3% 44.9% 3.8% Harris +6.4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Dartmouth College[508] November 1–3, 2024 587 (LV) ± 4.0% 62% 34% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[509][D] October 24–28, 2024 901 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%[l]
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[510] October 24–26, 2024 622 (RV) 50% 50%
CES/YouGov[511] October 1–25, 2024 380 (A) 52% 45% 3%
375 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
Emerson College[512][AT] October 21–23, 2024 915 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[n]
51%[h] 47% 2%[n]
Dartmouth College[513] October 5–18, 2024 2,211 (RV) ± 2.1% 59% 38% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[514] August 15–19, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.2% 52% 47% 1%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College[515] July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
52%[h] 48%
University of New Hampshire[516] July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 53% 46% 1%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)[517] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[518] October 29 – November 2, 2024 2,814 (LV) ± 1.9% 51% 46% 0% 1% 2%[x]
Saint Anselm College[519] October 28–29, 2024 2,791 (LV) ± 2.6% 51% 46% 0% 0% 1% 2%[g]
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[520] October 10–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 1% 1% 5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[521] October 2–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 41% 1% 1% 7%
Saint Anselm College[522] October 1–2, 2024 2,104 (LV) ± 2.1% 51% 44% 0% 1% 1% 3%[g]
University of New Hampshire[523] September 12–16, 2024 1,695 (LV) ± 2.4% 54% 43% 0% 1% 2%[x]
Saint Anselm College[524] September 11–12, 2024 2,241 (LV) ± 2.1% 51% 43% 0% 1% 1% 4%

New Jersey

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[525] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 57% 40% 3%
Rutgers-Eagleton[526] October 15–22, 2024 451 (RV) 55% 35% 10%[db]
478 (RV) 51%[dc] 37% 12%[dd]
ActiVote[527] October 2–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
Cygnal (R)[528] October 23–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%[de]
ActiVote[529] September 4 – October 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%

New Mexico

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Victory Insights[530] November 1–3, 2024 600 (LV) 49.6% 44.7% 5.7%[df]
SurveyUSA[531][BT] October 28–31, 2024 632 (LV) ± 5.5% 50% 44% 6%[l]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[532][D] October 24–26, 2024 749 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 44% 7%[bi]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[533][D] September 19−22, 2024 708 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 6%
SurveyUSA[534] September 12–18, 2024 619 (LV) ± 5.4% 50% 42% 8%
September 10, 2024 The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
Emerson College[535] August 20–22, 2024 956 (RV) ± 3.1% 52% 42% 6%
54%[h] 46%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[536] October 12–14, 2024 382 (LV) 49% 45% 2% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[537] September 6–9, 2024 521 (LV) 49% 44% 1% 1% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[538] August 20–22, 2024 956 (RV) ± 3.1% 51% 40% 3% 0% 0% 0% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[539] August 12–15, 2024 592 (LV) 47% 41% 6% 0% 0% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[540] July 31 – August 3, 2024 493 (LV) 44% 37% 8% 0% 0% 11%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[541][BU] October 10–18, 2024 1,024 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 41% 3% 6%
Research & Polling Inc.[542][BU] September 6–13, 2024 532 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 39% 3% 9%

New York

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[543] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 57% 41% 2%
ActiVote[544] October 7–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Siena College[545] October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 58% 39% 3%
ActiVote[546] September 4–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 39%
Emerson College[547][BV] September 23–25, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 40% 6%[dg]
Siena College[548] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 55% 42% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[549] August 1–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Siena College[550] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 39% 8%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
SoCal Strategies (R)[551][AH] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Siena College[548] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 52% 40% 1% 2% 0% 5%

North Carolina

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[dh]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.3% 48.6% 4.1% Trump +1.3%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.4% 48.3% 4.3% Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.7% 48.8% 3.5% Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 47.9% 49.4% 2.7% Trump +1.5%
Average 47.6% 48.8% 3.6% Trump +1.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,219 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
Patriot Polling[552] November 1–3, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 49%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[553] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 47% 4%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,310 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 2%
Emerson College[554] October 30 – November 2, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[555] October 28 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
1,010 (LV) 46% 48% 6%
ActiVote[556] October 17 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
Morning Consult[134] October 23 − November 1, 2024 1,056 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,373 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 987 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 49% 2%
949 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[557][D] October 25–30, 2024 751 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%[f]
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,665 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[558] October 25–28, 2024 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 46% 5%[f]
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,113 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
872 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
SurveyUSA[559][BW] October 23–26, 2024 853 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 47% 6%[e]
CES/YouGov[560] October 1–25, 2024 2,330 (A) 48% 49% 3%
2,308 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Emerson College[561] October 21–22, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 48% 2%[n]
50%[h] 48% 2%[n]
Marist College[562] October 17–22, 2024 1,410 (RV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% 3%[di]
1,226 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 48% 2%[j]
SoCal Strategies (R)[563][B] October 20–21, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[564] October 19–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[e]
High Point University/SurveyUSA[565] October 17–20, 2024 1,164 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 755 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
702 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,674 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 51%
Elon University[566] October 10–17, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 8%[dj]
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[567] September 30 – October 15, 2024 965 (RV) ± 3.9% 49% 45% 6%
965 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,031 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[568][D] October 9–14, 2024 1,042 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% 3%[f]
Trafalgar Group (R)[569] October 10–13, 2024 1,085 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 45% 6%[bi]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[570][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%
Emerson College[571] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 47% 6%
ActiVote[572] September 7 – October 6, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 51%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[573] September 29–30, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 49% 1%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 953 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post[574] September 25–29, 2024 1,001 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[g]
1,001 (LV) 50% 48% 2%[g]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
High Point University[575] September 20–29, 2024 814 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% 6%[n]
589 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% 4%[n]
Emerson College[576][BX] September 27–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 48% 3%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
RMG Research[577][F] September 25–27, 2024 780 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 46% 5%[dk]
51%[h] 47% 2%[dl]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,173 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 51% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 889 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
828 (LV) 48% 50% 2%
Fox News[578] September 20−24, 2024 991 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
787 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 49% 1%
Marist College[579] September 19−24, 2024 1,507 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[j]
1,348 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 49% 2%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[580][AE] September 20–23, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[581][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%[e]
New York Times/Siena College[582] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 47% 5%
682 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Meredith College[583] September 18−20, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%[dm]
Victory Insights[584] September 16−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
Emerson College[585] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 1,314 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[586][AG] September 11–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%[f]
TIPP Insights[587][N] September 11–13, 2024 973 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 46% 5%
Elon University[588] September 4−13, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 46% 9%[dn]
Trafalgar Group (R)[589] September 11–12, 2024 1,094 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 46% 6%[e]
Quantus Insights (R)[590][AY] September 11–12, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 47% 5%[do]
50% 48% 2%[dp]
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 940 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 50% 3%[n]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,369 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
SurveyUSA[591][BW] September 4–7, 2024 900 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 49% 5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[592] September 5–6, 2024 692 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 46% 7%[dn]
619 (LV) 48% 47% 5%[aj]
Patriot Polling[593] September 1–3, 2024 804 (RV) 50% 48% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[594] August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%[aj]
ActiVote[595] August 6–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 50%
Emerson College[596] August 25–28, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
SoCal Strategies (R)[597][B] August 26–27, 2024 612 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[598] August 23–26, 2024 645 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
700 (RV) 47% 49% 4%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 999 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 49% 1%[f]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA[599] August 19–21, 2024 1,053 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 9%
941 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 6%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata[600] August 6–16, 2024 702 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 50%
New York Times/Siena College[601] August 9–14, 2024 655 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 49% 5%
655 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[602] August 6–8, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 45% 6%
Navigator Research (D)[603] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[604] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[605] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[606] May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 40% 10%
Emerson College[607] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 41% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 2, 2024 October 15, 2024 47.1% 47.8% 1.0% 0.8% 3.3% Trump +0.8%
270toWin October 1 – 11, 2024 October 11, 2024 46.6% 47.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 4.1% Trump +0.4%
Average 47.0% 47.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 3.3% Trump +0.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,219 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 1% 0% 1%[f]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 1,310 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 1% 0% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[555] October 28 – November 2, 2024 1,010 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% 0% 0% 1% 9%
1,010 (LV) 45% 48% 0% 0% 0% 7%
Focaldata[608] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,787 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
1,785 (RV) ± 2.2% 46% 50% 1% 1% 2%
1,987 (A) 46% 48% 2% 1% 4%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,373 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 47% 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[609] October 28–31, 2024 1,123 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 987 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
949 (LV) 49% 48% 0% 1% 2%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,665 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 1% 0% 3%[f]
East Carolina University[610] October 24–29, 2024 1,250 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 0% 0% 0% 2%
CNN/SSRS[611] October 23–28, 2024 750 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 48% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[612] October 25–27, 2024 770 (LV) 48% 46% 1% 1% 4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[613] October 16–23, 2024 650 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 45% 1% 1% 0% 6%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[614] October 20–22, 2024 679 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 0% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 755 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 46% 1% 3% 1%
702 (LV) 49% 48% 1% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[615] October 16–18, 2024 843 (LV) 48% 45% 1% 0% 6%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 1,674 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 50% 0% 1% 0%
Cygnal (R)[616][BY] October 6–15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 1% 0% 1% 4%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[617] October 12–14, 2024 620 (LV) 48% 46% 0% 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University[196] October 10–14, 2024 1,031 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 49% 0% 0% 1% 3%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[618] September 27 – October 2, 2024 753 (LV) 47% 45% 1% 0% 7%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–29, 2024 953 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 47% 1% 1% 0% 2%[br]
East Carolina University[619] September 23–26, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 0% 0% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,173 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 51% 1% 1% 0%
CNN/SSRS[620] September 20–25, 2024 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 48% 1% 0% 1% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 46% 49% 1% 2% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 889 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 1% 3% 2%
828 (LV) 47% 49% 0% 2% 2%
Fox News[578] September 20−24, 2024 991 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 1% 1% 1% 2%
787 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 1% 1% 1% 1%
New York Times/Siena College[582] September 17–21, 2024 682 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 46% 0% 1% 7%
682 (LV) 47% 45% 0% 1% 7%
Meredith College[621] September 18–20, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 0% 1% 1% 2%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[622] September 16–19, 2024 868 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 0% 5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[586][AG] September 11–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Cygnal (R)[623][BY] September 15–16, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 2% 0% 1% 6%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[624] September 6–9, 2024 495 (LV) 44% 45% 0% 0% 11%
Quinnipiac University[214] September 4–8, 2024 940 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 49% 0% 1% 0% 4%[g]
YouGov[625][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 46% 0% 1% 6%[f]
East Carolina University[626] August 26–28, 2024 920 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 0% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[627] August 25–28, 2024 1,071 (LV) 45% 44% 1% 1% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[598] August 23–26, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 1% 2% 2%
645 (LV) 48% 48% 1% 2% 1%
Fox News[79] August 23–26, 2024 999 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 2% 1% 1% 1%[f]

North Dakota

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic–NPL
Other /
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D)[628][BZ] September 23–26, 2024 500 (LV) 50% 40% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic–NPL
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[629][CA] September 28–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 59% 32% 1% 8%

Ohio

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[dq]
Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.3% 52.0% 3.7% Trump +7.7%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 43.4% 52.3% 4.3% Trump +8.8%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.6% 52.2% 3.2% Trump +7.6%
Average 44.1% 52.2% 3.7% Trump +8.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[630] November 2–4, 2024 1,095 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 45% 3%[e]
Emerson College[631][CB] October 30 − November 2, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 42% 4%[dr]
54.7%[ds] 43.5% 1.9%
Morning Consult[134] October 23 − November 1, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[632][CC] October 25–28, 2024 1,127 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 46% 2%[f]
ActiVote[633] October 5−28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
CES/YouGov[634] October 1–25, 2024 3,120 (A) 52% 45% 3%
3,091 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
J.L. Partners[635] October 22−24, 2024 997 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 44% 3%
University of Akron[636] September 12 – October 24, 2024 1,241 (RV) ± 2.8% 51% 44% 5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[637] October 10−21, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 43% 5%[dt]
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 1,243 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[638][D] October 9−14, 2024 1,051 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%[e]
Washington Post[639] October 3–7, 2024 1,002 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%[du]
1,002 (LV) 51% 45% 4%[g]
Marist College[640] October 3–7, 2024 1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%[j]
1,327 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 46% 2%[j]
ActiVote[641] August 28 – September 30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[642] September 18–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 44% 5%[dv]
New York Times/Siena College[643] September 21–26, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
687 (LV) 50% 44% 6%
RMG Research[644][F] September 18−20, 2024 757 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 43% 3%[dw]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 1,488 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 43% 5%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,558 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College[645] September 3–5, 2024 945 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 43% 4%
54%[h] 45% 1%[g]
SoCal Strategies (R)[646][B] August 31 – September 1, 2024 600 (LV) 52% 43% 5%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote[647] August 2–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[648][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,267 (LV) 51% 44% 5%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[649][AG] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University[650] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 38% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 1% 0%
Focaldata[651] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,161 (LV) 53% 44% 0% 1% 2%
1,867 (RV) ± 2.1% 52% 45% 0% 2% 1%
2,161 (A) 53% 42% 0% 2% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[652][BS] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 1% 1% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[643] September 21–26, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 2% 2% 5%
687 (LV) 49% 43% 2% 2% 4%

Oklahoma

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[653] October 3–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 67% 33%
ActiVote[654] September 13 – October 19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 66% 34%
SoonerPoll[655] August 24–31, 2024 323 (LV) ± 5.5% 56% 40% 4%

Oregon

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[656][CD] October 16–17, 2024 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 53% 41% 6%
Hoffman Research[657] July 24–26, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 44% 7%

Pennsylvania

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[dx]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.2% 48.2% 3.6% Tie
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 47.9% 47.7% 4.4% Harris +0.2%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.0% 48.1% 3.9% Trump +0.1%
Real Clear Politics through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.5% 48.9% 2.6% Trump +0.4%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.0% 48.8% 3.2% Trump +0.8%
Average 48.12% 48.34% 3.8% Trump +0.22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,840 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 50% 1%
Research Co.[658] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[659] November 1–3, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%[l]
Patriot Polling[660] November 1–3, 2024 903 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[661] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 2,049 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 50% 2%
Emerson College[662] October 30 – November 2, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,527 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 47% 5%
1,527 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[663] October 25 – November 2, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 6%[dy]
699 (LV) 49% 47% 4%[dz]
ActiVote[664] October 10 – November 2, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50.5% 49.5%
SoCal Strategies (R)[665][B] October 30–31, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 48% 2%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 49% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[666] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 982 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 48% 2%
956 (LV) 51% 48% 1%
Morning Consult[134] October 22−31, 2024 1,395 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[667] October 27–30, 2024 460 (RV) ± 6.0% 49% 47% 4%[ea]
Marist College[668] October 27–30, 2024 1,558 (RV) ± 3.2% 51% 47% 2%[j]
1,400 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 48% 2%[j]
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 52% 2%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,299 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[669][D] October 25–28, 2024 849 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Fox News[304] October 24–28, 2024 1,310 (RV) ± 2.5% 50% 48% 2%
1,057 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Quinnipiac University[670] October 24–28, 2024 2,186 (LV) ± 2.1% 47% 49% 4%
CBS News/YouGov[671] October 22–28, 2024 1,273 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 1%[eb]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[672] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 5%[l]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[673] October 25–27, 2024 1,116 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% 48% 4%[e]
North Star Opinion Research (R)[486][CE] October 22–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 6%[e]
CES/YouGov[674] October 1–25, 2024 3,708 (A) 50% 47% 3%
3,685 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Emerson College[675][BQ] October 21–22, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%
49%[h] 51%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[676] October 20–22, 2024 1,586 (LV) ± 2.3% 48% 47% 5%[e]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[677][CF] October 18−22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 46% 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[678][CG] October 17−20, 2024 840 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 866 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
812 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Franklin & Marshall College[679] October 9−20, 2024 890 (RV) ± 4.3% 48% 44% 8%
583 (LV) ± 5.0% 49% 50% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[680] October 17−19, 2024 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 46% 11%[ec]
The Bullfinch Group[681] October 11−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
49% 48% 3%[ed]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 50% 3%
Rose Institute/YouGov[682] October 7–17, 2024 1,062 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 46% 6%[ee]
1,043 (LV) 50% 48% 2%
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 1,395 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Washington Post/Schar School[683] September 30 – October 15, 2024 707 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 46% 5%
707 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[684][D] October 9–13, 2024 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%[f]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[49] October 7–10, 2024 857 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 4%
857 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
American Pulse Research & Polling[685] October 2–10, 2024 1,193 (LV) ± 2.8% 49.5% 50.5%
TIPP Insights[686][CE] October 7–9, 2024 1,079 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 6%
803 (LV) 48% 49% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[687][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[688] October 7–8, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%[e]
Emerson College[689] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 46% 47% 7%
Research Co.[690] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% 5%[bn]
50%[h] 49% 1%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,412 (LV) ± 2.6% 49% 47% 4%
Hunt Research[691][CH] October 2–7, 2024 1,037 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 5%
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov[692][CI] September 24 – October 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.2% 47% 45% 8%[ef]
OnMessage Inc. (R)[693][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 46% 8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[694][CJ] September 28–29, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 47% 6%[l]
Patriot Polling[695] September 27–29, 2024 816 (RV) 49% 50% 1%
The Bullfinch Group[696][CK] September 26–29, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[697] September 26–29, 2024 1,090 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% 7%[l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College[698][BQ] September 27–28, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%[n]
49%[h] 49% 2%[n]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,775 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 51% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 474 (LV) 50% 49% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 993 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
924 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
ActiVote[699] September 1–25, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 48%
Fox News[700] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
775 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[701][AG] September 17–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[702][CL] September 19–23, 2024 400 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[703][D] September 19–22, 2024 1,202 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%[f]
50%[h] 49% 1%[f]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[704][CF] September 16–22, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 46% 8%[f]
RMG Research[705][F] September 18–20, 2024 783 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%[eg]
49%[h] 49% 3%[eh]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[706] September 16–19, 2024 450 (RV) ± 6.0% 48% 48% 4%[ei]
Emerson College[707] September 15–18, 2024 880 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 48% 5%[g]
50%[h] 49% 1%[g]
MassINC Polling Group[708][CM] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 47% 1%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 1,756 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Marist College[709] September 12−17, 2024 1,663 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%[ej]
1,476 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 49% 2%[j]
Washington Post[710] September 12−16, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 5%[eh]
1,003 (LV) 48% 48% 4%[eh]
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12−16, 2024 1,331 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 46% 2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[711] September 11−16, 2024 1,082 (RV) ± 3.8% 50% 46% 4%
1,082 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
Suffolk University/USA Today[712] September 11−16, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 46% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[713] September 14−15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 50% 2%[f]
September 10, 2024 The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,910 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[714] September 4–6, 2024 889 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[715] September 3–6, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 50%
Patriot Polling[716] September 1–3, 2024 857 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[717] August 28–30, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 47% 8%[l]
Wick Insights[718][CN] August 27–29, 2024 1,607 (LV) 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[719] August 25–28, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 48% 4%[g]
49%[h] 49% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[720] August 23–26, 2024 803 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 47% 2%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 48% 1%
SoCal Strategies (R)[721][B] August 23, 2024 713 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
800 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[722][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.1% 43% 43% 14%[ek]
– (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 47% 6%[el]
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[723] August 5–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[724][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 47% 7%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[725] August 18–19, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[648][P] August 13–17, 2024 1,312 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 7%
Focaldata[600] August 6–16, 2024 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 50%
Cygnal (R)[726] August 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 47% 5%
Emerson College[727][BQ] August 13–14, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
49%[h] 51%
Quinnipiac University[728] August 8–12, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.4% 50% 47% 3%
The Bullfinch Group[729][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[487] August 6–9, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 46% 5%
693 (LV) 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[730] August 6–8, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% 10%
Navigator Research (D)[731] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 48% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[732] July 26 – August 8, 2024 411 (LV) 49% 48% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[733][CO] July 29 – August 1, 2024 600 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[734][Q] July 29–30, 2024 627 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 48% 5%
GQR Research (D)[735] July 26–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 46% 4%[em]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[736][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 45% 7%
Quantus Insights (R)[737] July 27–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[738] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 50% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[739][CK] July 23–25, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%
Fox News[740] July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[741] July 22–23, 2024 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 6%
49%[h] 51%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
North Star Opinion Research (R)[742][CE] July 20–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 9%
SoCal Strategies (R)[743][AH] July 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
July 19, 2024 Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[744] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 47% 13%
July 15, 2024 Republican National Convention begins
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[745][Q] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 45% 51% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[746] July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% 6%
872 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[747] May 7–13, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 50% 7%
Emerson College[748] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 49% 11%
New York Times/Siena College[749] October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 47% 9%
600 (LV) 44% 48% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 28, 2024 November 2, 2024 48.0% 47.5% 1.0% 0.6% 2.9% Harris +0.5%
270toWin October 17 – 28, 2024 November 2, 2024 47.9% 47.9% 0.8% 0.7% 2.7% Tie
Average 47.95% 47.7% 0.9% 0.65% 2.8% Harris +0.25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 1,840 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 2,049 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[293] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,527 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 1% 1% 5%
1,527 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 0% 5%
Focaldata[750] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,373 (LV) 50% 48% 1% 1%
2,119 (RV) ± 2.0% 51% 47% 1% 1%
2,373 (A) 49% 47% 1% 2% 1%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
Data for Progress (D)[751] October 25–31, 2024 908 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 1% 0% 2%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 982 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 0% 1% 5%
956 (LV) 49% 46% 0% 0% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[752] October 28–31, 2024 1,596 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[753] October 27–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 49% 0% 1% 1%
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2%
Washington Post[754] October 26–30, 2024 1,204 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%[eh]
1,204 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,299 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 1% 1% 2%
Quinnipiac University[670] October 24–28, 2024 2,186 (LV) ± 2.1% 46% 47% 2% 1% 4%
CNN/SSRS[755] October 23–28, 2024 819 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 48% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[756] October 25–27, 2024 1,116 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[486][CE] October 22–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[757] October 16–23, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[758] October 20–22, 2024 1,586 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 866 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 0% 2% 2%
812 (LV) 50% 48% 0% 1% 1%
Franklin & Marshall College[679] October 9–20, 2024 890 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 45% 2% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[759] October 16–18, 2024 1,256 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 50% 2% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[760] October 12–14, 2024 1,649 (LV) 48% 48% 0% 1% 3%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[49] October 7–10, 2024 857 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 2% 1% 3%
857 (LV) 49% 45% 1% 0% 5%
American Pulse Research & Polling[685] October 2–10, 2024 1,193 (LV) 48% 49% 2% 0% 1%[f]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[761] October 8–9, 2024 707 (LV) 46% 48% 0% 1% 5%
TIPP Insights[686][CE] October 7–9, 2024 1,079 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 1% 1% 4%
803 (LV) 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[762] October 2–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 1% 0% 8%
J.L. Partners[763][CP] October 5–8, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,412 (LV) ± 2.6% 49% 46% 1% 1% 3%
Hunt Research[691][CH] October 2–7, 2024 1,037 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[764] September 27 – October 2, 2024 5,686 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[696][CK] September 26–29, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,775 (LV) ± 2.0% 48% 51% 0% 0% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 993 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 0% 4% 2%
924 (LV) 51% 45% 0% 3% 1%
Fox News[700] September 20−24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 1% 2% 3%
775 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 2% 1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[701][AG] September 17–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[765] September 16–19, 2024 1,086 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 1% 5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[766] September 11–19, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 1% 1% 4%
MassINC Polling Group[708][CM] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 46% 1% 0% 3%
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12−16, 2024 1,331 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 45% 1% 0% 3%
Franklin & Marshall College[767] September 4–15, 2024 890 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 46% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[768] September 6–9, 2024 801 (LV) 45% 45% 0% 1% 9%
YouGov[769][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 0% 1% 8%[f]
Wick Insights[718][CN] August 27–29, 2024 1,607 (LV) 47% 48% 1% 1% 3%
CNN/SSRS[770] August 23–29, 2024 789 (LV) ± 4.7% 47% 47% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[771] August 25–28, 2024 1,071 (LV) 46% 45% 1% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[720] August 23–26, 2024 803 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 46% 1% 1% 1%
758 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 45% 2% 1% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 474 (LV) 49% 47% 1% 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[772][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 1% 4%
Washington Post[710] September 12−16, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 1% 4%[eh]
1,003 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 4%

Rhode Island

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[282][CQ] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 43% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[773] September 12–16, 2024 683 (LV) ± 3.7% 58% 38% 2% 0% 2%[en]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[282][CQ] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 40% 2% 0% 1% 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
University of Rhode Island/YouGov[774] August 15 – September 8, 2024 500 (A) ± 6.0% 53% 27% 9% 11%[eo]

South Carolina

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[775] October 5–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58.5% 41.5%
ActiVote[776] September 9 – October 17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
Winthrop University[777] September 21–29, 2024 1,068 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 6%[ep]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Citadel[778] October 17–25, 2024 1,241 (RV) ± 3.6% 53% 41% 0% 0% 0% 6%
1,136 (LV) 54% 42% 0% 0% 0% 4%
East Carolina University[779] October 18–22, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 42% 1% 2%

South Dakota

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[780] October 19–22, 2024 825 (LV) ± 3.3% 62% 35% 3%[n]
62%[h] 37% 1%[g]

Tennessee

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[781] October 5−28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 62% 38%
ActiVote[782] September 24 – October 16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 62% 38%
ActiVote[783] July 26 – August 29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[784][CR] September 27 – October 8, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 54% 35% 5% 1% 1% 4%
971 (LV) 56% 35% 5% 0% 1% 3%

Texas

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[eq]
Margin
270ToWin October 18 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.4% 51.8% 3.8% Trump +7.4%
538 through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 43.8% 51.7% 4.5% Trump +7.9%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.3% 51.4% 4.3% Trump +7.1%
The Hill/DDHQ through October 29, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.2% 51.8% 4.0% Trump +7.6%
Average 44.2% 51.7% 4.1% Trump +7.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,434 (LV) ± 2.0% 55% 44% 1%
Morning Consult[134] October 22−31, 2024 2,120 (LV) ± 2.0% 52% 45% 3%
ActiVote[785] October 21−27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,180 (RV) ± 3.3% 52% 41% 7%
1,180 (LV) 52% 42% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[786][D] October 24–25, 2024 1,002 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 6%[f]
CES/YouGov[787] October 1–25, 2024 6,526 (A) 51% 47% 2%
6,473 (LV) 51% 47% 2%
Emerson College[788] October 18−21, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 53% 46% 1%[g]
53%[h] 46% 1%[g]
Rose Institute/YouGov[789] October 7–17, 2024 1,108 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 7%[s]
1,108 (RV) 50%[h] 45% 5%
1,075 (LV) 51% 46% 3%
ActiVote[790] September 26 − October 16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 46% 4%
Marist College[791] October 3–7, 2024 1,365 (RV) ± 3.3% 52% 46% 2%[er]
1,186 (LV) ± 3.6% 53% 46% 1%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[792] October 2–6, 2024 811 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%[aj]
775 (LV) 50% 45% 5%[aj]
New York Times/Siena College[793] September 29 – October 6, 2024 617 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 44% 6%
RMG Research[794][F] September 25–27, 2024 779 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 45% 3%[es]
53%[h] 46% 1%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 759 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 46% 3%
Emerson College[795] September 22−24, 2024 950 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 46% 3%[g]
52%[h] 47% 1%[g]
ActiVote[796] September 7−24, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 2,716 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 46% 4%
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 2,940 (LV) ± 2.0% 52% 43% 5%
Emerson College[797] September 3–5, 2024 845 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 46% 4%
51%[h] 48% 1%[et]
YouGov[798][CS] August 23–31, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% 7%[eu]
ActiVote[799] August 14–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54.5% 45.5%
Quantus Insights (R)[800] August 29–30, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 42% 9%[ev]
52% 44% 4%[ew]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)[801][AD] August 21–22, 2024 725 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 44% 6%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[802] July 31 – August 13, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov[803][CT] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 52% 39% 9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[804] May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 39% 15%[ex]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,434 (LV) ± 2.0% 54% 44% 1% 0% 1%
Cygnal (R)[805] October 26−28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 2% 2% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[439] October 23−26, 2024 1,180 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 40% 2% 2% 6%
1,180 (LV) 51% 40% 1% 1% 7%
UT Tyler[806] October 14–21, 2024 1,129 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 45% 1% 2% 1%
956 (LV) 51% 46% 1% 1% 1%
YouGov[807][CS] October 2–10, 2024 1,091 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% 2% 1%
CWS Research (R)[808][CU] October 1–4, 2024 533 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 43% 2% 1% 6%
University of Houston[809] September 26 – October 10, 2024 1,329 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 46% 1% 0% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[160][AD] September 25–26, 2024 759 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 0% 1% 6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[810] September 13–18, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 44% 1% 1% 4%
CWS Research (R)[811][CV] September 4–9, 2024 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 41% 0% 2% 6%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[812] August 24–29, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 43% 2% 2% 2%
YouGov[798][CS] August 23–31, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% 2% 0% 5%

Utah

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[813] October 7–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40%
Noble Predictive Insights[814] October 2–7, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 39% 9%
539 (LV) ± 4.2% 54% 38% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[815][CW] September 27–28, 2024 612 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 39% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[816] October 25–28, 2024 695 (LV) ± 3.7% 54% 34% 0% 0% 1% 11%[ey]
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[817] October 15–19, 2024 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 61% 30% 2% 1% 6%
63%[h] 31% 4% 2%
Noble Predictive Insights[814] October 2–7, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 37% 2% 1% 1% 8%[cx]
539 (LV) ± 4.2% 54% 36% 2% 0% 2% 6%[cx]

Vermont

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[818] August 15–19, 2024 924 (LV) ± 3.2% 70% 29% 1%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[819] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,167 (LV) ± 2.9% 63% 31% 2% 0% 0% 4%[ez]
University of New Hampshire[818] August 15–19, 2024 924 (LV) ± 3.2% 67% 27% 3% 0% 0% 3%[fa]

Virginia

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[fb]
Margin
270ToWin October 2 - November 1, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.8% 41.0% 9.2% Harris +8.8%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 49.9% 43.7% 6.4% Harris +6.2%
Silver Bulletin through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 49.5% 43.2% 7.3% Harris +6.3%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.1% 45.1% 4.8% Harris +5.0%
Average 49.8% 43.3% 6.9% Harris +6.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 46% 3%
Research Co.[820] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 45% 4%
ActiVote[821] October 2–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[822][D] October 24–25, 2024 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 6%[bi]
CES/YouGov[823] October 1–25, 2024 2,027 (A) 53% 44% 3%
2,015 (LV) 53% 44% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[824][AY] October 22−24, 2024 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 48% 3%
Braun Research[825][CX] October 19−23, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 42% 9%
1,004 (LV) 49% 43% 8%
Christopher Newport University[826] September 28 − October 4, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%[k]
Emerson College[827][CY] September 22−24, 2024 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 44% 4%[g]
53%[h] 46% 1%[g]
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 899 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[828][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,144 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
ActiVote[829] August 19 – September 17, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 45%
Research America Inc.[830][CZ] September 3−9, 2024 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 45% 45% 10%[fc]
756 (LV) ± 4.1% 48% 46% 6%[fd]
Washington Post/Schar School[831] September 4–8, 2024 1,005 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 43% 6%[eh]
1,005 (LV) 51% 43% 6%[eh]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 873 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 6%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R)[832][AY] August 20–22, 2024 629 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College[833] August 12–16, 2024 691 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 44% 10%[fe]
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
Emerson College[834] July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[835] July 14–15, 2024 301 (RV) 43% 44% 13%[ff]
265 (LV) 43% 47% 10%[dj]
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[836] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[837] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 44% 7%
SoCal Strategies (R)[838][AH] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 47% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 45% 2% 1% 1%[f]
Chism Strategies[839] October 28–30, 2024 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 45.2% 44.5% 1.3% 0.6% 8.4%[fg]
Cygnal (R)[840] October 27–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 43% 1% 1% 0% 5%[fh]
Roanoke College[841] October 25–29, 2024 851 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 41% 2% 1% 2% 3%[fi]
Virginia Commonwealth University[842] September 16–25, 2024 832 (A) ± 4.6% 43% 37% 3% 1% 16%[fj]
762 (RV) 47% 37% 2% 1% 13%[fk]
Washington Post/Schar School[831] September 4–8, 2024 1,005 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 42% 0% 1% 1% 7%[fl]
1,005 (LV) 50% 42% 0% 1% 1% 6%[fl]
Virginia Commonwealth University[843] August 26 – September 6, 2024 809 (A) ± 5.0% 46% 36% 2% 1% 15%[fm]
749 (RV) 49% 36% 1% 1% 13%[fn]

Washington

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research Co.[844] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 54% 39% 7%
ActiVote[845] October 3–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 59% 41%
Public Policy Polling (D)[846][CD] October 16–17, 2024 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 55% 40% 6%
Strategies 360[847][DA] October 11–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%[aj]
SurveyUSA[848][DB] October 9–14, 2024 703 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 35% 8%
ActiVote[849] September 7 – October 13, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40%
Elway Research[850][DC] October 8–12, 2024 401 (RV) ± 5.0% 57% 32% 11%
Elway Research[851][DC] September 3–6, 2024 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 53% 32% 11%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
DHM Research[852] July 12–17, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 40% 14%[fo]
SurveyUSA[853][DB] July 10–13, 2024 708 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 36% 13%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[854][CD] July 24–25, 2024 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 38% 6% 4%

West Virginia

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Research America[855][DD] August 21–27, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 61% 34% 5%

Wisconsin

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[fp]
Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.8% 47.7% 3.5% Harris +1.1%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.3% 47.3% 4.4% Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.7% 47.7% 3.6% Harris +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 48.4% 48.7% 2.9% Trump +0.3%
Average 48.6% 47.9% 3.5% Harris +0.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 869 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Research Co.[856] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 46% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[857] November 1–3, 2024 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 47% 5%[l]
Patriot Polling[858] November 1–3, 2024 835 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[859] November 1–2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College[860] October 30 – November 2, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 49% 2%[g]
50%[h] 50%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[861] October 25 – November 2, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%[x]
786 (LV) 49% 48% 3%[x]
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,305 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%
1,305 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
ActiVote[862] October 10 – November 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 49%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 673 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[863] October 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 889 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 47% 2%
876 (LV) 51% 47% 2%
Morning Consult[134] October 22−31, 2024 540 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 3%
TIPP Insights[864][CE] October 28–30, 2024 1,038 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6%
831 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Marist College[865] October 27–30, 2024 1,444 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 48% 2%[j]
1,330 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 48% 2%[j]
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 49% 2%
Quantus Insights (R)[866][DE] October 28–29, 2024 637 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 49% 2%
SoCal Strategies (R)[867][B] October 28–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[868][D] October 25–29, 2024 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 3%[e]
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,470 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
CNN/SSRS[869] October 23–28, 2024 736 (LV) ± 4.8% 51% 45% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[870] October 26–27, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[e]
CES/YouGov[871] October 1–25, 2024 1,552 (A) 51% 46% 3%
1,542 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Marquette University Law School[872] October 16–24, 2024 834 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
51%[h] 49%
753 (LV) 48% 47% 5%
50%[h] 49% 1%
Emerson College[873][DF] October 21–22, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[874] October 18−20, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 6%[e]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 635 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
624 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[875] October 11−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
48% 46% 7%[fq]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 932 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
RMG Research[876][F] October 10−16, 2024 787 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%[fr]
49%[h] 50% 1%
Morning Consult[134] October 6−15, 2024 527 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Washington Post/Schar School[877] September 30 – October 15, 2024 695 (RV) ± 4.6% 50% 46% 4%
695 (LV) 50% 47% 3%
Patriot Polling[878] October 12–14, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[879][D] October 9–14, 2024 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[880] October 8–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%[l]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[881][E] October 6–9, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 49% 3%
Emerson College[882] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 48% 48% 4%
Research Co.[883] October 5–7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 45% 8%[bn]
50%[h] 48% 2%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,073 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
Arc Insights[884][DG] October 2–6, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 48% 5%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[885][G] September 24 – October 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 47% 7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[886] September 28–30, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
ActiVote[887] August 29 – September 29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 48%
New York Times/Siena College[888] September 21–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
680 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Marquette University Law School[889] September 18–26, 2024 882 (RV) ± 4.4% 50% 45% 5%
52%[h] 48%
798 (LV) 50% 45% 5%
52%[h] 48%
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 849 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
785 (LV) 51% 48% 1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[890][DH] September 19–23, 2024 400 (LV) 51% 45% 4%
RMG Research[891][F] September 17–23, 2024 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 49% 1%[g]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[892][D] September 19−22, 2024 1,071 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 1%
Emerson College[893] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%[g]
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
MassINC Polling Group[894][DI] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.8% 53% 46% 1%
Morning Consult[134] September 9−18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% 6%
Marist College[895] September 12−17, 2024 1,312 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 47% 3%[fs]
1,194 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 49% 1%[j]
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[896][AG] September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 48% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[897] September 11–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 47% 4%[f]
Morning Consult[134] August 30 – September 8, 2024 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 46% 5%
co/efficient (R)[898] September 4–6, 2024 917 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% 6%
CBS News/YouGov[899] September 3–6, 2024 946 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 49%
Marquette University Law School[900] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 45% 6%
52%[h] 48%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 49% 44% 7%
52%[h] 48%
Patriot Polling[901] September 1–3, 2024 826 (RV) 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[902] August 28–30, 2024 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 7%[l]
Emerson College[903] August 25–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 49% 3%
49%[h] 50% 1%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[904] August 23–26, 2024 648 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 44% 3%
701 (RV) 52% 44% 4%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[722][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.3% 48% 42% 10%[ft]
– (LV) ± 5.9% 51% 46% 3%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies[905][DJ] August 19–21, 2024 600 (LV) 48% 45% 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[906][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 45% 6%
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[907][P] August 13–19, 2024 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%
Focaldata[908] August 6–16, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 48%
Quantus Insights (R)[909][DE] August 14–15, 2024 601 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
TIPP Insights[910][CE] August 12–14, 2024 1,015 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 7%
976 (LV) 47% 47% 6%
The Bullfinch Group[911][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 42% 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[912] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) 48% 49% 3%
Navigator Research (D)[913] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[914] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) 49% 46% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[915] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 50% 46% 4%
661 (LV) 50% 46% 3%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [916][F] July 31 – August 5, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 7%
Marquette University Law School[917] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 44% 9%
49%[h] 50% 1%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 45% 6%
50%[h] 49% 1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[918][R] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[919] July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News[920] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College[228] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 47% 6%
51%[h] 49%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[921][Q] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[922][CE] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[233] May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College[923] February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[924] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 46% 47% 7%
603 (LV) 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[20] November 3–4, 2024 869 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 1%[f]
AtlasIntel[25] November 1–2, 2024 728 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 25 – November 2, 2024 1,305 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 0% 2% 0% 5%
1,305 (LV) 48% 45% 0% 1% 0% 6%
Focaldata[925] October 3 – November 1, 2024 1,799 (LV) 50% 47% 0% 1% 2%
1,613 (RV) ± 2.3% 51% 46% 1% 1% 1%
1,799 (A) 49% 46% 1% 1% 3%
AtlasIntel[30] October 30–31, 2024 673 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 49% 1% 0% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[926] October 28–31, 2024 932 (LV) 48% 47% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[32][C] October 25–31, 2024 889 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 45% 0% 3% 4%
876 (LV) 49% 45% 0% 2% 4%
AtlasIntel[35] October 25–29, 2024 1,470 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 1% 1% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[927] October 25–27, 2024 746 (LV) 49% 47% 0% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[928] October 20–22, 2024 557 (LV) 49% 47% 0% 1% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[929][BS] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 0% 1% 4%[f]
Quinnipiac University[310] October 17–21, 2024 1,108 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 0% 0% 0% 4%[fu]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] October 16–20, 2024 635 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 47% 1% 3% 2%
624 (LV) 47% 47% 1% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[930] October 16–18, 2024 622 (LV) 47% 46% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[931] October 12–14, 2024 641 (LV) 48% 47% 1% 1% 3%
Quinnipiac University[325] October 3–7, 2024 1,073 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 0% 1% 1% 4%[fu]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[932] September 27 – October 2, 2024 533 (LV) 47% 46% 0% 1% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[888] September 21–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 1% 2% 4%
680 (LV) 48% 46% 1% 2% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] September 19–25, 2024 849 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 1% 2% 1%
785 (LV) 50% 47% 0% 1% 2%
Remington Research Group (R)[933][BE] September 16–20, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 48% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[934] September 16–19, 2024 600 (LV) 47% 47% 0% 0% 6%
Quinnipiac University[335] September 12–16, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 0% 1% 1% 3%[fu]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[935] September 6–9, 2024 626 (LV) 49% 46% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov[936][C] August 23 – September 3, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 44% 1% 1% 7%[e]
CNN/SSRS[937] August 23–29, 2024 976 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 44% 0% 2% 2% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[938] August 25–28, 2024 672 (LV) 48% 44% 0% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[904] August 23–26, 2024 648 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 1% 1% 2%
701 (RV) 51% 44% 1% 1% 3%


Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
[fv]
Independent
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Others/
Undecided
[q]
Margin
Race to the WH through October 7, 2024 October 13, 2024 47.7% 46.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% Harris +1.4%
270toWin October 2 – 11, 2024 October 11, 2024 47.0% 45.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 3.1% Harris +1.3%
Average 47.4% 46.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 2.6% Harris +1.4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
TIPP Insights[864][CE] October 28–30, 2024 1,038 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 44% 3% 1% 1% 5%
831 (LV) 48% 47% 3% 1% 1%
Echelon Insights[300] October 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3%
CNN/SSRS[939] October 23–28, 2024 736 (LV) ± 4.8% 51% 45% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Marquette University Law School[872] October 16–24, 2024 834 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 43% 5% 1% 1% 2% 2%[fu]
753 (LV) 46% 44% 5% 1% 1% 2% 1%[fu]
USA Today/Suffolk University[940][941] October 20–23, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3%[fu]
AtlasIntel[45] October 12–17, 2024 932 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 48% 1% 0% 1% 1%
Wall Street Journal[52] September 28 – October 8, 2024 600 (RV) ± 5.0% 46% 45% 3% 1% 0% 0% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[61][K] September 23–29, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 45% 2% 1% 0% 1% 5%
Marquette University Law School[889] September 18–26, 2024 882 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 44% 3% 0% 1% 1% 3%[fw]
798 (LV) 49% 44% 3% 0% 1% 1% 2%[fw]
AtlasIntel[63] September 20–25, 2024 1,077 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 0% 0% 1% 1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[64] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) 48% 46% 0% 1% 2% 3%
MassINC Polling Group[894][DI] September 12−18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 45% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[896][AG] September 11–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 45% 2% 0% 1% 0% 4%[br]
Marquette University Law School[900] August 28 – September 5, 2024 822 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 43% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1%
738 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 43% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1%[fx]
Z to A Research (D)[942][BH] August 23–26, 2024 518 (LV) 47% 47% 2% 0% 1% 3%
YouGov[722][BB] August 15–23, 2024 500 (A) ± 5.3% 45% 40% 4% 1% 1% 0% 9%[fy]
– (LV) ± 5.9% 49% 45% 1% 1% 0% 0% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[907][P] August 13–19, 2024 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 4% 1% 1% 0% 2%
Focaldata[908] August 6–16, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 44% 4% 1% 0% 1%
700 (RV) 50% 42% 5% 1% 0% 2%
700 (A) 50% 43% 5% 1% 0% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[943] August 12–15, 2024 469 (LV) 48% 44% 3% 0% 0% 5%
The Bullfinch Group[911][AE] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 40% 3% 1% 1% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[915] August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 42% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2%
661 (LV) 49% 43% 5% 0% 1% 1% 2%
Navigator Research (D)[913] July 31 – August 8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[914] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) 48% 43% 5% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[944] July 31 – August 3, 2024 597 (LV) 43% 43% 3% 0% 0% 11%
Marquette University Law School[917] July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 45% 43% 8% 0% 1% 1% 2%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 45% 6% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[919] July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 6% 0% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[945] July 22–24, 2024 523 (LV) 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 5%
Fox News[920] July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 5% 1% 1% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[80][O] August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 3% 2% 7%
Emerson College[228] July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 45% 3% 1% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[906][BC] August 19–21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 42% 4% 7%
Civiqs[946][BH] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 48% 48% 2% 2%

Wyoming

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i District boundaries have changed since the 2020 election.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai "Other" with 2%
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax "Other" with 1%
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y "Another party's candidates" with 1% Cite error: The named reference "APC1" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  11. ^ a b c d e "Someone else" with 3%
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "Other" with 3%
  13. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  14. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t "Someone else" with 2%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  19. ^ a b "Other" with 7%
  20. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  22. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  24. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Another candidate" with 1% Cite error: The named reference "AC1" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  26. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 1%
  27. ^ a b "Other" with 5%
  28. ^ "One of the other party tickets" with 2%
  29. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  30. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  31. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  32. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Peter Sonski (ASP) with 1% each; Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  33. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  34. ^ "Other" with 4%
  35. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  36. ^ a b c d e f g "Another candidate" with 2%
  37. ^ "Other candidate" with 1%
  38. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
  39. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  40. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  41. ^ "Other" with 1%
  42. ^ "Not sure" with 3%; "Don't want to say" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 0%
  43. ^ "I do not plan on voting/cannot vote" & "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7% each
  44. ^ "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7%
  45. ^ "Neither of the top two candidates" with 6%
  46. ^ "Third-party candidate" with 3%
  47. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  48. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  49. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; "Undecided" with 2%
  50. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  51. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  53. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Maryland, College Park.
  54. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  55. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  56. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
  57. ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
  58. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & "Another Candidate" with 1% each
  59. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 1% each
  60. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  61. ^ a b c d e f "Other" with 4%
  62. ^ "Another Candidate" with 3%
  63. ^ "Another Candidate" with 2%
  64. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%
  65. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  66. ^ a b c d e f "Some other candidate" with 1%
  67. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  68. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  69. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  70. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  71. ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
  72. ^ a b c d e Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each
  73. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  74. ^ Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each
  75. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  76. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  77. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  78. ^ "Other" with 4%
  79. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  80. ^ "Other" with 3%
  81. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  82. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 7%
  83. ^ "Other" with 3%; "Undecided" with 2%
  84. ^ "Other" with 4%
  85. ^ "Other" with 5%
  86. ^ a b "Blank / null / won't vote" with 1%
  87. ^ a b "Someone else" & None of these candidates with 1% each
  88. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%; None of these candidates with 1%
  89. ^ a b None of these candidates with 2%
  90. ^ "Other" with 4%
  91. ^ None of these candidates & "Someone else" with 1% each
  92. ^ None of these candidates with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  93. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  94. ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
  95. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  96. ^ "None of the above" with 4%; "Others" with 1%
  97. ^ "Other" with 8%
  98. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  99. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  100. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
  101. ^ a b c d Not on the ballot.
  102. ^ a b c d Joel Skousen (C) with 0%
  103. ^ None of these candidates with 3%
  104. ^ None of these candidates with 1%
  105. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  106. ^ "Neither/Someone else" with 6%
  107. ^ With each candidate's party affiliation excluded
  108. ^ "Neither/Someone else" with 7%
  109. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 4%
  110. ^ "Other" with 5.7%
  111. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  112. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  113. ^ "Another party's candidates" with 2%
  114. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 4%
  115. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  116. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  117. ^ "Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
  118. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
  119. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  120. ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
  121. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  122. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  123. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  124. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  125. ^ "Someone else" & "Would not vote" with 1% each
  126. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  127. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  128. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  129. ^ "Another Candidate" with 2%
  130. ^ "Another Candidate" with 1%
  131. ^ "Neither/Other" with 2%
  132. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 1%
  133. ^ "Other" with 5%
  134. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 2%
  135. ^ "Other" with 6%
  136. ^ "Another Candidate" with 3%
  137. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  138. ^ a b c d e f g "Would not vote" with 1%
  139. ^ "Neither/Other" with 4%
  140. ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  141. ^ "Will not vote" with 6%
  142. ^ "Will not vote" with 1%
  143. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  144. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Don't know/Not sure" with 1%
  145. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  146. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  147. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  148. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  149. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  150. ^ "Someone else"
  151. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  152. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  153. ^ "Would not vote" with 4%
  154. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  155. ^ Joel Skousen (C) and Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1% each
  156. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with 1%
  157. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  158. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  159. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  160. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  161. ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
  162. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
  163. ^ "Someone else" with 1.6%
  164. ^ Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  165. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  166. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  167. ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  168. ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  169. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  170. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  171. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  172. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  173. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
  174. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  175. ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  176. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
  177. ^ a b c d e f Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
  178. ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
  179. ^ a b Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  180. ^ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
  181. ^ "Will not vote" with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Nick Begich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  5. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  7. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  8. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by the Democracy Defense Project and Echo Canyon Consulting
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
  14. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  15. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  17. ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  18. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  19. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by Talk Business & Politics
  21. ^ Poll sponsored by Inside CA Politics and The Hill
  22. ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  23. ^ Poll sponsored by The Connecticut Mirror
  24. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens for Judicial Fairness
  25. ^ Poll conducted for Florida Politics
  26. ^ a b Poll conducted for Florida State University
  27. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  28. ^ Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Florida
  29. ^ Poll conducted for WTVJ & WSCV
  30. ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  31. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  32. ^ Poll conducted for WTVT
  33. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Poll commissioned by AARP
  34. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  35. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  36. ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
  37. ^ Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
  38. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
  39. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  40. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearDefense
  41. ^ Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  42. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
  43. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Bangor Daily News & FairVote
  44. ^ Poll sponsored by the NRCC
  45. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland, College Park
  46. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WHDH
  47. ^ Poll sponsored by CommonWealth Beacon and WBUR
  48. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB-TV
  49. ^ Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  50. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll commissioned by MIRS
  51. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  52. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  53. ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  54. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
  55. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  56. ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
  57. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  58. ^ Cite error: The named reference Freep was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  59. ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
  60. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  61. ^ Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  62. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  63. ^ a b c Poll commissioned by Split Ticket
  64. ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  65. ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
  66. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the campaign of Dan Osborn, an independent candidate for Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat
  67. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
  68. ^ Poll sponsored by Retire Career Politicians PAC
  69. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld Cite error: The named reference "RCPA" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  70. ^ Poll conducted for the Democracy Defense Project
  71. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
  72. ^ Poll sponsored by KOB-TV
  73. ^ a b Poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal
  74. ^ Poll sponsored by WPIX-TV
  75. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
  76. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  77. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
  78. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Katrina Christiansen, the Democratic nominee for North Dakota's Class 1 Senate seat
  79. ^ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  80. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
  81. ^ Poll sponsored by Ohio Press Network
  82. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  83. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  84. ^ a b Poll sponsored by La Torre Live
  85. ^ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  86. ^ a b Poll conducted for the University of Austin
  87. ^ Poll sponsored by Jacobin
  88. ^ Poll conducted for the Sentinel Action Fund PAC
  89. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  90. ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  91. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
  92. ^ a b Poll sponsored by 2WAY
  93. ^ Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
  94. ^ Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
  95. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Rhode Island Current
  96. ^ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  97. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  98. ^ Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  99. ^ Poll sponsored by Texans for Fiscal Responsibility
  100. ^ Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights
  101. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Brian King, the Democratic nominee for Utah's gubernatorial election
  102. ^ Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
  103. ^ Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
  104. ^ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  105. ^ Poll sponsored by KOMO-TV
  106. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
  107. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
  108. ^ Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
  109. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  110. ^ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
  111. ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  112. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
  113. ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications

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[edit]
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