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2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

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2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 192,576 69,508
Percentage 71.6% 25.9%

County Results

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wyoming voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wyoming has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

A sparsely populated Mountain West state, Wyoming is considered to be a deeply red state, and Donald Trump was expected to easily win the state. Wyoming was Trump's second-strongest state in 2016 and strongest state in 2020 (trading places with West Virginia), voting for Trump by more than a 40% margin in both elections. Alongside neighboring Idaho and Utah, Wyoming has voted Republican in each presidential race starting in 1968 and all but one starting in 1952. Trump's performance in the state garnering 71.6% of the vote is the highest a presidential candidate has ever received in Wyoming, surpassing Ronald Reagan's 70.51% of the vote in the 1984 presidential election.

Primary elections

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Republican primary

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The Wyoming Republican primary was held from April 18 to 20, 2024.

Wyoming Republican caucus, April 18–20, 2024[2]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 29 29
Total: 29 29

Democratic caucuses

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The Wyoming Democratic caucuses was held on April 13, 2024, alongside the Alaska primary.

Wyoming Democratic caucus, April 13, 2024[3]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 380 96.0% 13 13
Uncommitted 13 3.3%
David Olscamp 2 0.5%
Marianne Williamson 1 0.3%
Jason Palmer 0 0.0%
Armando Perez-Serrato 0 0.0%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 0 0.0%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) 0 0.0%
Total: 396 100.0% 13 4 17

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[4] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[5] Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] Safe R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[8] Solid R December 30, 2023
CNN[9] Solid R January 14, 2024
The Economist[10] Safe R June 12, 2024
538[11] Solid R June 11, 2024
RCP[12] Solid R June 26, 2024
NBC News[13] Safe R October 6, 2024

Polling

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Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[14] October 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 69% 27% 4%[b]
University of Wyoming[15] September 24 – October 27, 2024 662 (LV) ± 3.6% 63% 28% 9%[c]
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[16][A] April 13–21, 2024 249 (LV) 67% 26% 7%
Emerson College[17] October 1–4, 2023 478 (RV) ±4.5% 68% 15% 18%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[16][A] April 13–21, 2024 249 (LV) 53% 36% 11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[16][A] April 13–21, 2024 249 (LV) 67% 20% 13%

Results

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2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican 192,576 72.3% Increase 2.36%
Democratic 69,508 26.1% Decrease 0.45%
Libertarian 4,191 1.6% Decrease 0.48%
Write-in
Total votes 266,275 100.00%

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Oliver (L) with 2%
  3. ^ "Other candidate" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

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  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. ^ "Wyoming GOP presidential election results". Politico. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
  3. ^ "Wyoming Presidential Caucus". The AP. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  4. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  5. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  10. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  11. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  12. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  13. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  14. ^ "Wyoming Poll: Trump, Barrasso Dominate". The Cheyenne Post. November 1, 2024. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  15. ^ "Wyoming Election Year Survey, 2024". University of Wyoming. November 1, 2024.
  16. ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  17. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 17, 2023). "Wyoming 2024 Poll: President Biden with 13% Approval among Wyoming Residents". Emerson Polling.
  18. ^ "2024 General Election Candidate Roster" (PDF). WY SOS. Retrieved September 23, 2024.