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2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee John Barrasso Scott Morrow
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 198,418 63,727
Percentage 75.11% 24.12%

County results
Barrasso:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Morrow:      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

John Barrasso
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Barrasso
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wyoming. Incumbent Senator John Barrasso was appointed to the Senate in 2007 after Craig Thomas died. Barrasso won a 2008 special election to complete Thomas' term and won full terms in 2012 and 2018. He was seeking a third full term, and has declared his intent to run for Assistant Republican Leader at the end of the year.[1] Primary elections took place on August 20, 2024. Barrasso won renomination and defeated Democrat Scott Morrow in the general election. Wyoming has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1977 and Barasso was heavily favored to win another term.[2]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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  • John Holtz, retired circuit court judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020[3]
  • Reid Rasner, financial executive[4]

Endorsements

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John Barrasso
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Reid Rasner (R) $262,251 $180,915 $81,336
John Barrasso (R) $7,171,125 $3,736,139 $7,392,759
Source: Federal Election Commission[9]

Results

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Primary results by county
  Barrasso
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 70,494 67.9%
Republican Reid Rasner 25,427 24.5%
Republican John Holtz 7,868 7.6%
Total votes 103,789 100.0%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Scott Morrow, educator[3]

Results

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Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Scott Morrow 10,088 100.0%
Total votes 10,088 100.0%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R May 3, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R January 24, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[15] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[16] Solid R November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[17] Solid R August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[18] Safe R October 23, 2024
538[19] Solid R October 23, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Barrasso
Scott
Morrow
Undecided
Cygnal (R) October 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 73% 26% 1%

Results

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United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2024[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 198,418 75.11% +8.15%
Democratic Scott Morrow 63,727 24.12% −5.98%
Write-in 2,017 0.76% +0.60%
Total votes 264,162 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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  1. ^ a b "Wyoming Sen. Barrasso Will Run for No. 2 Spot in GOP Leadership, Narrowing Race to Replace McConnell". US News & World Report. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ^ a b "Wyoming's Primary Election Is Set: 167 Candidates In 72 Contested Races". cowboystatedaily.com. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  4. ^ Rasner, Ryan (August 4, 2023). "Reid Rasner of Wyoming Announces Candidacy for United States Senate". EIN News. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
  5. ^ a b Hageman, Harriet (May 4, 2024). "I'm Endorsing Sen. John Barrasso For Re-Election And Here's Why". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  6. ^ https://goconow.com/senator-lummis-endorses-barrasso-for-reelection/
  7. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  8. ^ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Wyoming". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  10. ^ a b "Legislative Candidates Summaries" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  12. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  13. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  14. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  15. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  16. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  17. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  18. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  19. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  20. ^ Wyoming Secretary of State. "2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary" (PDF). Retrieved November 16, 2024.
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Official campaign websites