2024 Montana House of Representatives election
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All 100 seats in the Montana House of Representatives 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent New Seat | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Montana |
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The 2024 Montana House of Representatives election was held on November 5, 2024, alongside the 2024 United States elections.[1]
This was the first election under new legislative lines adopted by an independent, bipartisan commission in 2023.[2]
Partisan background
[edit]In Montana's 2020 Presidential Election, Donald Trump won the 61 House districts, while Joe Biden won 39. Going into the 2024 House elections, Democrats held District 27 in Havre (Trump +16%) and Majority-Minority District 42 in Big Horn County (Trump +2%). Republicans held Districts 41, 46, 57, 60, 91, and 92, where Biden won in 2020. Redistricting created two new competitive districts, 65 and 66 in Gallatin County, both favoring Biden.
- 40–50%50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Retirements
[edit]Thirty-four incumbents will not seek re-election.[1]
Democrats
[edit]- District 5: Dave Fern is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 15: Marvin Weatherwax Jr. is retiring.
- District 32: Jonathan Windy Boy is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 42: Sharon Stewart-Peregoy is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 60: Laurie Bishop is term-limited.
- District 61: Jim Hamilton is term-limited.
- District 63: Alice Buckley is retiring.
- District 74: Derek J. Harvey is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 79: Laura Smith is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 83: Kim Abbott is term-limited.
Republicans
[edit]- District 1: Steve Gunderson is term-limited.
- District 4: Matt Regier is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 10: Bob Keenan is retiring.
- District 11: Tanner Smith is retiring to run for Governor.
- District 14: Denley Loge is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 17: Ross Fitzgerald is term-limited.
- District 20: Fred Anderson is term-limited.
- District 22: Lola Sheldon-Galloway is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 23: Scot Kerns is retiring.
- District 27: Joshua Kassmier is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 29: Edward Butcher is retiring.
- District 33: Casey Knudsen is term-limited.
- District 34: Rhonda Knudsen is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 36: Bob Phalen is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 41: Gayle Lammers is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 50: Naarah Hastings is retiring.
- District 51: Mike Yakawich is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 54: Terry Moore is retiring.
- District 56: Sue Vinton is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 72: Tom Welch is term-limited.
- District 78: Gregory Frazer is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 88: Wayne Rusk is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 92: Mike Hopkins is term-limited.
- District 93: Joe Read is term-limited.
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| CNalysis[3] | Solid R | June 13, 2024 |
Incumbents defeated
[edit]In primary election
[edit]Five incumbent representatives, all Republicans, were defeated in the June 4 primary election.[4]
Republicans
[edit]- District 8: Tony Brockman lost renomination to Lukas Schubert.
- District 20: Steven Galloway lost renomination to Melissa Nikolakakos.
- District 68: Jennifer Carlson lost a redistricting race to Caleb Hinkle.
- District 78: James Bergstrom lost renomination to Randyn Gregg.
- District 85: Michele Binkley lost renomination to Kathy Love.
Results summary
[edit]Election
[edit]
| |||||||
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 274,897 | 63.82 | 59 |  9
| |||
| Democratic | 151,477 | 35.17 | 41 |  9
| |||
| Libertarian | 2,572 | 0.60 | 0 | ||||
| Independents | 1,505 | 0.35 | 0 | ||||
| Green | 259 | 0.06 | 0 | ||||
| Totals | 430,710 | 100 | 100 | — | |||
Close races
[edit]Districts where the margin of victory was under 10%:
- District 4, 4.03%
- District 45, 5.84% gain
- District 27, 5.22% gain
- District 42, 4.34%
- District 46, 5.96% gain
- District 58, 7.96% gain
- District 19, 9.21% gain
- District 91, 8.25%
- District 20, 7%
- District 3, 3.66% gain
- District 57, 0.76%
- District 15, 2.73%
- District 60, 4.82% gain
- District 47, 5.74%
- District 63, 7.24%
- District 80, 7.57% gain
- District 62, 2.42%
Detailed results
[edit]Districts 1-20
[edit]District 1
[edit]Incumbent Republican Steve Gunderson was inelligible to run for re-election due to term limits. He originally intended to run in the Republican primary for Montana State Auditor, but withdrew.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neil Duram | 5,472 | 79.95% | |
| Democratic | Dakota Adams | 1,372 | 20.05% | |
| Total votes | 6,844 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
[edit]Incumbent Republican Neil Duram had represented the district since 2019 and will now represent the 1st district due to redistricting.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Millett | 4,555 | 78.67% | |
| Democratic | Brad Simonis | 1,235 | 21.33% | |
| Total votes | 5,790 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
[edit]Incumbent Republican Braxton Mitchell had represented the district since 2021 and will now represent the 5th district due to redistricting. Democrat Debo Powers had represented the 3rd district between 2019 and 2021.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debo Powers | 3,494 | 51.83% | |
| Republican | Cathy Mitchell | 3,247 | 48.17% | |
| Total votes | 6,741 | 100% | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 4
[edit]Incumbent Republican Matt Regier, incumbent Speaker of the House, was inelligible to run for re-election due to term limits, and will now represent Senate District 5.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lyn Bennett | 3,094 | 52.02% | |
| Democratic | Lindsey Jordan | 2,854 | 47.98% | |
| Total votes | 5,948 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
[edit]Incumbent Democrat Dave Fern was inelligible to run for re-election due to term limits, and will now represent Senate District 2.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Braxton Mitchell | 4,614 | 73.82% | |
| Democratic | Steve Paugh | 1,636 | 26.18% | |
| Total votes | 6,250 | 100% | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
District 6
[edit]Incumbent Republican Amy Regier has represented the district since 2021.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Amy Regier (incumbent) | 5,041 | 69.48% | |
| Democratic | Velvet Phillips-Sullivan | 2,214 | 30.52% | |
| Total votes | 7,255 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
[edit]Incumbent Republican Courtenay Sprunger has represented the district since 2023.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Courtenay Sprunger (incumbent) | 3,012 | 65.34% | |
| Democratic | Arthur Fretheim | 1,598 | 34.66% | |
| Total votes | 4,610 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 8
[edit]Incumbent Republican Terry Falk had represented the district since 2023, and will now represent district 10 due to redistricting.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lukas Schubert | 3,960 | 70.46% | |
| Democratic | Beth Sibert | 1,660 | 29.54% | |
| Total votes | 5,620 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9
[edit]Incumbent Republican Tony Brockman lost his primary to Steven C. Kelly.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steven C. Kelly | 4,722 | 74.43% | |
| Democratic | Joanne Morrow | 1,622 | 25.57% | |
| Total votes | 6,344 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
[edit]Incumbent Republican Bob Keenan did not file for re-election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terry Falk | 4,270 | 74.96% | |
| Democratic | Devin T. Marconi | 1,426 | 25.04% | |
| Total votes | 5,696 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11
[edit]Incumbent Republican Tanner Smith unsuccessfully ran in the Republican primary to be the Governor of Montana.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Byrne | 5,144 | 75.74% | |
| Democratic | Jennifer Allen | 1,648 | 24.26% | |
| Total votes | 6,792 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
[edit]Incumbent Republican Linda Reksten had represented the district since 2021 and will now represent the 13th district due to redistricting.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tracy A. Sharp | 5,040 | 70.90% | |
| Democratic | Barry Olson | 2,069 | 29.10% | |
| Total votes | 7,109 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 13
[edit]Incumbent Republican Paul Fielder had represented the district since 2021 and will now represent the 14th district due to redistricting.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Linda Reksten | 3,544 | 60.71% | |
| Democratic | Shirley Azzopardi | 2,294 | 39.29% | |
| Total votes | 5,838 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 14
[edit]Incumbent Republican Denley Loge was inelligible to run for re-election due to term limits, and will now represent Senate District 45.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Fielder | 5,075 | 74.95% | |
| Democratic | Colleen Hinds | 1,696 | 25.05% | |
| Total votes | 6,771 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 15
[edit]Incumbent Democrat Marvin Weatherwax Jr. did not file for re-election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Thedis Crowe | 2,007 | 51.37% | |
| Republican | Ralph Foster | 1,900 | 48.63% | |
| Total votes | 3,907 | 100% | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 16
[edit]Incumbent Democrat Tyson Running Wolf has represented the district since 2019.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tyson Running Wolf (incumbent) | 2,413 | 59.23% | |
| Republican | Elaine Utterback Mitchell | 1,661 | 40.77% | |
| Total votes | 4,074 | 100% | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 17
[edit]Incumbent Republican Ross Fitzgerald was inelligible to run for re-election due to term limits.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Zachary Wirth | 4,698 | 75.41% | |
| Democratic | Leonard Bates | 1,532 | 24.59% | |
| Total votes | 6,230 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 18
[edit]Incumbent Republican Llew Jones has represented the district since 2019.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Llew Jones (incumbent) | 3,967 | 73.48% | |
| Democratic | David Arends | 1,432 | 26.52% | |
| Total votes | 5,399 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 19
[edit]Incumbent Republican Russ Miner had represented the district since 2023 and will now represent district 26 due to redistricting.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jane Weber | 1,787 | 54.61% | |
| Republican | Hannah Trebas | 1,485 | 45.39% | |
| Total votes | 3,272 | 100% | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 20
[edit]Incumbent Republican Fred Anderson was inelligible to run for re-election due to term limits.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Melissa Nikolakakos | 2,665 | 53.51% | |
| Democratic | Rina Fontana Moore | 2,315 | 46.49% | |
| Total votes | 4,980 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Districts 21-40
[edit]Districts 41-60
[edit]Districts 61-80
[edit]Districts 81-100
[edit]See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b "Montana House of Representatives elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
- ^ Arren Kimbel-Sannit (February 13, 2023). "Explaining the why and the where of Montana's new legislative districts". Montana Free Press.
- ^ "24 MT Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
- ^ Ambarian, Jonathon (June 6, 2024). "Legislative shake-up as incumbents lose primaries following Montana redistricting". KTVH-DT. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
- ^ a b "Montana Secretary of State". electionresults.mt.gov. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Candidate Filing List: Legislative". Christi Jacobsen, Montana Secretary of State. February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
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