2024 San Francisco mayoral election
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| Elections in California |
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The 2024 San Francisco mayoral election took place on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of San Francisco, California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide with presidential elections. The election used ranked-choice voting.
Incumbent mayor London Breed ran for re-election to a second term in office: she was considered vulnerable, as polls had consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed had also faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction.[2]
On November 7, Breed conceded the race to Daniel Lurie.[3]
Background
[edit]A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002.[4] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believe London Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating.[5][6]
Candidates
[edit]- London Breed, incumbent mayor[7]
- Mark Farrell, former San Francisco supervisor from the 2nd district and former interim mayor[8]
- Henry Flynn, security guard[9]
- Keith Freedman, teacher[9]
- Dylan Hirsch-Shell, engineer[9]
- Daniel Lurie, founder and former CEO of Tipping Point Community[10]
- Nelson Mei, software engineer[9]
- Aaron Peskin, president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[11]
- Paul Robertson, teacher and candidate for mayor in 2019[12]
- Ahsha Safaí, San Francisco supervisor from 11th district[13]
- Shahram Shariati, transportation engineer[14]
- Jon Soderstrom, tour guide[15]
- Ellen Lee Zhou, social worker and candidate for mayor in 2018 and 2019[16]
Debates and forums
[edit]| Date | Host | Moderator(s) | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| London Breed | Mark Farrell | Daniel Lurie | Aaron Peskin | Ahsha Safaí | ||||
| May 20, 2024 (cancelled)[17] |
TogetherSF Action | Karen Breslau Kim-Mai Cutler |
W | A | W | W | A | |
| June 12, 2024 | City Arts & Lectures | Heather Knight Manny Yekutiel |
Video | P | P | P | P | P |
| June 17, 2024 | San Francisco Democratic Party |
Terisa Estacio | P | P | P | P | P | |
| July 8, 2024 | Stop Crime Action Stop Crime SF ConnectedSF |
Frank Noto Amber Lee |
P | P | P | A | P | |
| Sept. 5, 2024 | District 8 Neighborhood Groups |
Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez | Video | A | P | P | P | P |
| Sept. 11, 2024 | KPIX San Francisco Examiner KCBS |
Ryan Yamamoto Doug Sovern Adam Shanks |
A | P | P | P | P | |
| Sept. 19, 2024 | KQED San Francisco Chronicle |
Joe Garofoli Marisa Lagos Scott Shafer |
Video | P | P | P | P | P |
| Sept. 26, 2024 | Asian Pacific Islander Council | Richard Lui Gia Vang |
P | P | P | P | P | |
| Sept. 28, 2024 | San Francisco Latino Parity and Equity Coalition |
Chris Iglesias Ani Rivera |
P | A | P | P | P | |
| Sept. 30, 2024 | League of Women Voters of San Francisco |
Alison Goh Darcy Brown |
Video | A | P | P | P | P |
Endorsements
[edit]London Breed
- State legislators
- Scott Wiener, state senator[18]
- Local officials
- Michela Alioto-Pier, former San Francisco supervisor[19]
- Willie Brown, former mayor of San Francisco (1996–2004)[20]
- Matt Dorsey, San Francisco supervisor[19]
- Joel Engardio, San Francisco supervisor[18]
- Brooke Jenkins, San Francisco district attorney[21]
- Jane Kim, former San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Rafael Mandelman, San Francisco supervisor[18]
- Paul Miyamoto, San Francisco Sheriff[18]
- Mano Raju, San Francisco public defender[22]
- Hillary Ronen, San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Catherine Stefani, San Francisco supervisor[23]
- Shamann Walton, San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Individuals
- Michael Bloomberg, former mayor of New York City (2002-2013)[24]
- Danny Glover, actor[18]
- Dolores Huerta, co-founder of United Farm Workers[25]
- Political parties
- San Francisco Democratic Party[26]
- Organizations
- Alice B. Toklas LGBTQ Democratic Club[27]
- Black Women Organized for Political Action[28]
- Eastern Neighborhoods Democratic Club[29]
- Edwin M. Lee Asian Pacific Democratic Club[30]
- EMILY's List[31]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[32]
- GrowSF[29]
- MomsRising[33]
- Planned Parenthood[34]
- San Francisco Bicycle Coalition[35]
- San Francisco League of Conservation Voters[36]
- San Francisco Police Officers Association[37]
- San Francisco Women's Political Committee[38]
- San Francisco YIMBY Action[39]
- San Francisco Young Democrats[40]
- United Democratic Club[29]
- Labor unions
- District Council of Plasterers & Cement Masons Northern California (OPCMIA Local 300)[29]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees Local 16[29]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 350[29]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 665[29]
- International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 10[29]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Local 3[29]
- Laborers' International Union of North America Local 261[41]
- Service Employees International Union Local 2015[42]
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters (Nor Cal Carpenters Union)[29]
- Editorial boards
- Bay Area Reporter editorial board[43]
Mark Farrell
- Local officials
- Catherine Stefani, San Francisco supervisor[23]
- Organizations
- Edwin M. Lee Asian Pacific Democratic Club[29]
- GrowSF[29]
- San Francisco Chinese American Democratic Club[44]
- TogetherSF Action[45]
- Labor unions
- Floorcoverers Local 12[29]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers (SMART) Local 104[29]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 6[29]
- International Union of Elevator Constructors Local 8[46]
- Painters and Drywall Finishers Local 913[29]
- Plumbers, Steamfitters, HVACR Local 38[29]
- San Francisco Building and Construction Trades Council[47]
- San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association[48]
- San Francisco Fire Fighters (IAFF Local 798)[44]
Daniel Lurie
- Local officials
- Frank Jordan, former mayor of San Francisco (1992–1996)[49]
- Organizations
- GrowSF[29]
- Editorial boards
- San Francisco Chronicle editorial board[50]
Aaron Peskin
- State legislators
- Local officials
- Art Agnos, former mayor of San Francisco (1988-1992)[51]
- Jane Kim, former San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Hillary Ronen, San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Shamann Walton, San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Individuals
- Dolores Huerta, co-founder of the United Farm Workers[52]
- Political parties
- San Francisco Green Party[29]
- Organizations
- California Working Families Party[29]
- Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club[29]
- San Francisco Berniecrats[29]
- San Francisco Affordable Housing Alliance[53]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers Local 2121[29]
- California Nurses Association[29]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 863[29]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 2785[29]
- National Union of Healthcare Workers[54]
- Service Employees International Union Local 1021[55]
- United Educators of San Francisco[29]
- UNITE HERE Local 2[29]
- UPTE-CWA 9119[29]
Ahsha Safaí
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers Local 2121[29]
- Carpet, Linoleum, and Soft Tile Workers Local 12
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers (SMART) Local 104[29]
- International Union of Elevator Constructors Local 8[29]
- Iron Workers Local 377[29]
- Painters and Drywall Finishers Local 913[29]
- Plumbers, Steamfitters, HVACR Local 38[29]
- San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association[56]
- San Francisco Building and Construction Trades Council[57]
- Service Employees International Union Local 87[29]
- Sprinkle Fitters Local 483[29]
- Teamsters Local 2785[29]
- United Educators of San Francisco[29]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 5, 648[29]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
London Breed |
Mark Farrell |
Daniel Lurie |
Aaron Peskin |
Ahsha Safaí |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Binder Research[A] | October 26–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | – | 23% | 17% | 26% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[B] | October 18–19, 2024 | 621 (LV) | ± 4% | – | 18% | 15% | 25% | 25% | – | 6% | 11% |
| Sextant Strategies & Research[C] | October 15–16, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 27% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 6% | 3% | – |
| 2 | 27% | 17% | 27% | 22% | 7% | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 30% | 18% | 28% | 24% | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 33% | – | 41% | 26% | – | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 44% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Lieberman Data & Insights, Inc.[D] | October 9–19, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1 | 25% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| David Binder Research[A] | September 28 – October 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1 | 23% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 10% |
| 2 | 27% | 23% | 27% | 18% | 5% | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 29% | 24% | 28% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 37% | 27% | 36% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 47% | – | 53% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[E] | September 21–26, 2024 | 415 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 1 | 38% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 4% | – | 11% |
| 2 | 39% | 19% | 21% | 21% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 43% | – | 34% | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| David Binder Research[A] | September 3–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 26% | 28% | 26% | 14% | 6% | – | – |
| 2 | 27% | 29% | 28% | 16% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 33% | 33% | 34% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 43% | – | 57% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| KRON4/Emerson College | September 5–7, 2024 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 20.3% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | – | 26.5% |
| FM3 Research (D)[A] | August 21–28, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 36% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 5% | – | – |
| 2 | 38% | 23% | 23% | 15% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 44% | 27% | 28% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Probolsky Research[F] | July 30–August 7, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 1 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 3% | – | – |
| 2 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 29% | 24% | 20% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 30% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 30% | 26% | 21% | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
| 6 | 36% | 36% | – | 28% | – | – | – | ||||
| 7 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Sextant Strategies & Research[C] | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 28% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 5% | – | 18% |
| FM3 Research (D)[E] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1066 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[b] | 24% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 7% | – | 18% |
| 1 | 30% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 8% | – | – | ||||
| 2 | 33% | 27% | 21% | 19% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 41% | 32% | 26% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Impact Research (D)[G] | June 1–6, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA[b] | 21% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
| 5 | 43% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[H] | May 10–16, 2024 | 866 (LV) | ± 3.5% | BA[b] | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 28% |
| 5 | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[E] | April 29–May 5, 2024 | 412 (RV) | ± 4.9% | BA[b] | 21% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | 28% |
| 1 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 9% | – | – | ||||
| 2 | 30% | 26% | 24% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 39% | 31% | 30% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Probolsky Research[F] | June 16–20, 2023 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 45% |
| Sextant Strategies & Research[C] | February 14–18, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 18% | 20% | 16% | – | 8% | – | 38% |
| David Binder Research (D)[A] | January 15–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 15% | 21% | – | 10% | – | 28% |
Results
[edit]| 2024 San Francisco mayoral election | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Round 1 | |||
| Votes | % | |||
| London Breed (incumbent) | ||||
| Mark Farrell | ||||
| Henry Flynn | ||||
| Keith Freedman | ||||
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell | ||||
| Daniel Lurie | ||||
| Nelson Mei | ||||
| Aaron Peskin | ||||
| Paul Robertson | ||||
| Ahsha Safaí | ||||
| Shahram Shariati | ||||
| Jon Soderstrom | ||||
| Ellen Lee Zhou | ||||
| Total active votes | 100.00% | |||
| Source: San Francisco Department of Elections | ||||
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Lurie's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Peskin's campaign
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the San Francisco Chronicle
- ^ Poll sponsored by TogetherSF Action, which endorsed Farrell
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by GrowSF
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association
- ^ Poll sponsored by Farrell's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Neighbors for San Francisco, which endorsed Farrell and Lurie
References
[edit]- ^ "San Francisco Mayor Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- ^ Knight, Heather (December 12, 2023). "The Challengers Weighing a Run at San Francisco's Mayor". The New York Times. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ "San Francisco mayoral race: Breed concedes, Lurie's lead widens". NBC Bay Area. Associated Press. November 7, 2024. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- ^ "San Franciscans say they feel less safe than in over 20 years, city survey shows". San Francisco Chronicle. April 13, 2023. Archived from the original on August 17, 2023.
- ^ "Is S.F. Mayor Breed at risk of losing reelection? Here's what experts say". San Francisco Chronicle. July 31, 2023. Archived from the original on September 19, 2023.
- ^ "Supervisor Ahsha Safaí Wins in a Head-to-Head Election Contest with Mayor Breed". Probolsky Research. June 23, 2023. Archived from the original on September 29, 2023.
- ^ Morris, J. D.; Moench, Mallory (March 23, 2023). "S.F. Mayor Breed may have a challenger in next year's election. Here's who is looking to run". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved March 24, 2023.
- ^ Knight, Heather (February 13, 2024). "Will Voters in San Francisco Go for a Different Kind of Mayor?". The New York Times. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Dickey, Megan Rose (June 17, 2024). "What to know about San Francisco's mayoral race". Axios. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
- ^ Shanks, Adam (September 26, 2023). "Officially official: Lurie joins SF mayoral field". San Francisco Examiner. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ "Sup. Aaron Peskin says he's running for San Francisco mayor". KTVU. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ "Candidates - November 5, 2024, Consolidated General Election". SF.gov. City and County of San Francisco. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ Gaus, Annie; Ege, Mike (May 8, 2023). "Mayor London Breed Gets a Reelection Challenger". The San Francisco Standard. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
- ^ Ege, Mike (January 15, 2024). "Get To Know the Longshots Running for San Francisco Mayor". The San Francisco Standard.
- ^ Bajko, Matthew (June 19, 2024). "Gay underdogs qualify for San Francisco mayoral race". Bay Area Reporter. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
- ^ Han, Li (April 11, 2024). "This far-right, MAGA candidate could decide the race for San Francisco mayor". The San Francisco Standard.
- ^ Morris, J.D. (May 17, 2024). "More S.F. mayor's race drama as two forums canceled". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e Koehn, Josh (May 18, 2024). "Mayor Breed kicks off reelection campaign, drop-kicks foes". The San Francisco Standard. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ a b Bajko, Matthew S. (March 25, 2024). "Political Notes: With DCCC race results, Breed could have edge for SF Dems endorsement". Bay Area Reporter. Retrieved September 17, 2024.
- ^ Korte, Lara; Gardiner, Dustin (October 24, 2023). "London Breed's power play". Politico. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- ^ Morris, J.D. (October 22, 2024). "How London Breed's unpopularity and ranked-choice voting could doom her reelection bid". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved October 22, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g Rivano Barros, Joe (October 11, 2024). "D10 Supervisor Shamann Walton endorses Breed for mayor—but also Peskin". Mission Local. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
- ^ a b Shanks, Adam (July 18, 2024). "Stefani endorses Farrell, Breed in mayor's race". San Francisco Examiner. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ Har, Janie (October 4, 2024). "San Francisco's first Black female mayor is in a pricey battle for a second term". Associated Press. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ Rivano Barros, Jon (September 27, 2024). "See how they run: Dolores Huerta endorses Mayor London Breed". Mission Local. Retrieved September 27, 2024.
- ^ Aldo Toledo, S.F. Democratic Party gives sole election endorsement to Mayor Breed. Here’s why that’s a big deal, San Francisco Chronicle (July 24, 2024).
- ^ "November 5, 2024 General Election Endorsements". alicebtoklas.org/. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
- ^ "Black Women Organized For Political Action SF & BLKxSF Phone Bank for Mayor London Breed". mobilize.us. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an "2024 San Francisco Mayoral Race". Retrieved October 4, 2024.
- ^ "Nov 5, 2024, General Election Endorsements 三藩市十一月大選背書名單". Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ Chou, Lauren (July 24, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses London Breed for Reelection as Mayor of San Francisco, California". EMILYs List. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
- ^ "Your 2024 Gun Sense Candidates". gunsensevoter.org. Retrieved July 25, 2024.
- ^ "Moms' Seal of Approval on Child Care". Retrieved October 22, 2024.
- ^ "Elect Champions for Reproductive Rights". Retrieved September 8, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsing London Breed for Mayor". Retrieved September 30, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsements - San Francisco League of Conservation Voters". Retrieved September 8, 2024.
- ^ "San Francisco police union endorses Mayor Breed, but cops cry foul". Retrieved August 29, 2024.
- ^ "ENDORSEMENTS FOR THE NOVEMBER 2024 GENERAL ELECTION". Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ Johnson, Sydney (July 23, 2024). "SF Mayor London Breed Wins Key 'YIMBY' Endorsement After String of Misses". KQED-TV. Retrieved August 28, 2024.
- ^ "November 2024 Endorsements". Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ "Laborers Union Local 261 Announces Final Ranked Endorsement in San Francisco Mayor's Race". Retrieved September 17, 2024.
- ^ "Ballot Recommendations Voters Guide". Retrieved September 17, 2024.
- ^ "Editorial: Reelect SF Mayor London Breed". Bay Area Reporter. October 2, 2024. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
- ^ a b Johnson, Sydney (August 15, 2024). "In SF Mayor's Race, Farrell Flips 2 Key Endorsements That Previously Went to Breed". KQED-TV. Retrieved September 15, 2024.
- ^ "Mark Farrell for Mayor of San Francisco". July 22, 2024. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
- ^ "San Francisco Endorsements 2024" (PDF). Retrieved October 20, 2024.
- ^ "Who Are Safai and Farrell and Why Should We Vote for Them?". September 25, 2024. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
- ^ "San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association Announces Mayoral Endorsements and Denounces Current Mayor". August 23, 2024. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
- ^ Justice, Tiffany (March 28, 2024). "SF mayor candidate Daniel Lurie gets big endorsement". KRON-TV. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsement: Breed is the safe choice for mayor. But if you think S.F. needs change, only one candidate fits". San Francisco Chronicle. October 16, 2024. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2024 California Voter Guide: San Francisco Races". Retrieved October 21, 2024.
- ^ Smith, H.R. (October 24, 2024). "Dolores Huerta says she regrets endorsing London Breed, backs Peskin as No. 1". Mission Local. Retrieved November 3, 2024.
- ^ "How SF mayoral candidates plan to meet 'aggressive' state housing goals". Retrieved October 21, 2024.
- ^ "NUHW endorses Aaron Peskin for San Francisco mayor". Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Eskenazi, Joe (July 16, 2024). "SEIU 1021, SF's largest union, sole-endorses Aaron Peskin". Mission Local. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ "San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association Announces Mayoral Endorsements and Denounces Current Mayor". August 23, 2024. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
- ^ "Who Are Safai and Farrell and Why Should We Vote for Them?". September 25, 2024. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites