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2024 United States Senate election in New York

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For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 New York State Senate election.
2024 United States Senate election in New York
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Reporting
95%
as of Nov. 6, 3:40 PM EST
 
Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Mike Sapraicone
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 4,426,901 3,117,846
Percentage 58.4% 41.1%
County results
Gillibrand:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Sapraicone:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

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The 2024 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a third term, defeating Republican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024.[1]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Disqualified

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  • Khaled Salem, nonprofit executive[3]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Kirsten Gillibrand
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand 		Andrew
Cuomo 		Undecided
American Pulse & Research Polling (R)[A] November 30 – December 1, 2023 417 (V) ± 4.8% 49% 35% 16%

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $13,181,513 $13,105,874 $10,391,040
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Mike Sapraicone, businessman and retired NYPD detective[30]

Disqualified

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Endorsements

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Mike Sapraicone
Executive branch officials
Party chapters
Cara Castronuova (disqualified)
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Individuals
Party chapters
Josh Eisen (disqualified)
Statewide officials
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Sapraicone (R) $738,958 $494,680 $244,277
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Independents

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Diane Sare, political organizer and perennial candidate[35]

Endorsements

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Diane Sare
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Diane Sare (I) $331,307 $331,025 $6,726
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[40] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[41] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[42] Solid D November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[43] Solid D August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[44] Safe D October 23, 2024
538[45] Solid D October 23, 2024

Endorsments

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Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Mike Sapraicone (R)
Executive branch officials
Party chapters

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $15,120,750 $23,896,091 $1,540,060
Michael Sapraicone (R) $1,110,275[b] $771,871 $338,403
Diane Sare (I) $457,732[c] $455,244 $8,933
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Polling

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Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Mike
Sapraicone (R) 		Undecided
[d] 		Margin
538 through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 57.2% 33.9% 8.9% Gillibrand +23.2%
RealClearPolitics September 23 – October 27, 2024 October 29, 2024 55.0% 34.3% 10.7% Gillibrand +20.7%
270ToWin September 30 - November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 55.8% 32.8% 11.4% Gillibrand +23.0%
TheHill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 58.9% 34.8% 6.3% Gillibrand +24.1%
Average 56.7% 34.0% 9.3% Gillibrand +22.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Mike
Sapraicone (R) 		Other Undecided
Research Co. November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 61% 33% 2%[e] 4%
ActiVote October 4–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – –
Cygnal (R) October 26–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 58% 39% 1%[f] 2%
Siena College October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 57% 31% 2%[g] 9%
YouGov[B] October 7–17, 2024 1,089 (RV) ± 3.41% 57% 32% – 11%
Emerson College[C] September 23–25, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 33% 1%[h] 15%
ActiVote August 24 – September 25, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – –
Siena College September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 31% 3%[i] 13%
ActiVote July 8 – August 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37% – –
Siena College July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 33% 1%[j] 10%
Hypothetical polling
Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Generic
opponent 		Undecided
Siena College June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 805 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 42% 16%
Siena College May 13–15, 2024 1,191 (RV) ± 3.9% 39% 41% 20%
Siena College April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 39% 19%
Siena College February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 39% 37% 23%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 38% 19%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023 893 (RV) ± 4.6% 40% 35% 25%
Siena College October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 39% 38% 23%
Siena College September 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 41% 37% 22%
Siena College August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 41% 19%
Siena College June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 40% 20%
Siena College May 7–11, 2023 810 (RV) ± 4.1% 43% 38% 19%
Siena College March 19–22, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 38% 19%

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in New York[54]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand
Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand
Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) 4,426,901 58.4%
Republican Mike Sapraicone
Conservative Mike Sapraicone
Total Mike Sapraicone 3,117,846 41.1%
LaRouche Diane Sare 35,717 0.5%
Total votes 7,580,464 100.0%
Democratic hold

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $550,050 of this total was self-funded by Sapraicone
  3. ^ $6,000 of this total was self-funded by Sare
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  6. ^ Sare (I) with 1%
  7. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  8. ^ Sare (I) with 1%
  9. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  10. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Save the Senate
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill and WPIX

References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023). "N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign". New York Daily News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. ^ a b c d Roy, Yancey (May 1, 2024). "NYS elections board disqualifies primary challengers for Gillibrand, Sapraicone". Newsday. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  4. ^ a b c Otterbein, Holly; Gibson, Brittany (April 30, 2023). "AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024". Politico. Retrieved April 30, 2023. Former New York Rep. Mondaire Jones, a progressive, has decided he won't run for Gillibrand's seat...Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) also told POLITICO they are not interested in the race.
  5. ^ Bocanegra, Michelle (January 25, 2024). "NY Rep. Jamaal Bowman launches re-election campaign in Yonkers, facing primary challenge". Gothamist. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
  6. ^ Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022). "Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
  7. ^ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023). "Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York". POLITICO. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  8. ^ Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023). "Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term". The New York Times. Asked by text on Wednesday if he was considering a primary, [Ritchie] Torres said, 'The answer to your question is no.'
  9. ^ a b c d Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023). "Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  10. ^ a b "District Council 37 Political Action and Legislation". District Council 37. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  11. ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  12. ^ a b "2024 Primary Election Endorsements". New York State Nurses Association. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
  13. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  14. ^ a b Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  15. ^ a b Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  16. ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection". End Citizens United. August 10, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
  17. ^ a b "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  18. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  19. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  20. ^ a b "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  21. ^ a b "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  22. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  23. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  24. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  25. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  26. ^ a b "Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC". Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  27. ^ a b "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  28. ^ Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  29. ^ a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - New York". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  30. ^ Campanile, Carl (February 18, 2024). "Retired NYC detective Mike Sapraicone winning GOP support in bid to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Post. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  31. ^ "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Coltin, Jeff (February 20, 2024). "Gillibrand vs. Who?". Politico. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  33. ^ "Former NY Gov. Pataki backs GOP hopeful Eisen in Senate race against Gillibrand". February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  34. ^ Kiprilov, Nicole (January 22, 2024). "Endorsement: Josh Eisen for United States Senate in New York". New York Young Republican Club. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  35. ^ Danielle Wallace, Houston Keene (August 31, 2023). "NYC voters explain why they're voting for RFK Jr. over Biden: 'Going to unify the nation'". Fox News. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  36. ^ "2024 TLO Endorsements: So Far, There's Only One! | The LaRouche Organization". www.laroucheorganization.com. November 8, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  37. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  38. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  39. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  40. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  41. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  42. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  43. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  44. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  45. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  46. ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  47. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  48. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  49. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  50. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  51. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  52. ^ Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  53. ^ "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  54. ^ "New York U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
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Official campaign websites
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