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2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote 4 1
Popular vote 558,389 362,300
Percentage 59.85% 38.83%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Nebraska has five electoral votes.

A sparsely populated Great Plains state, Nebraska has voted Republican in nearly every presidential election since its statehood, making exceptions only for favorite son William Jennings Bryan; Woodrow Wilson; Franklin D. Roosevelt in his first two terms; and landslide winner Lyndon B. Johnson. Democratic presidential candidates have not been able to come within single digits of carrying the state since Johnson carried the state in his 1964 landslide, and the only Democrat to win more than 40% of the statewide vote since then was Barack Obama, who garnered 41.60% in 2008.

Nebraska is one of two states — the other being Maine — that allocates their electoral votes separately by congressional district. The first district is considered to favor Republicans, with Trump carrying it by 15 points in 2020; the third district is even more heavily Republican, backing Trump by 53 points in 2020. However, the 2nd congressional district, which contains Omaha and some of its suburbs, has been competitive since 2008, and in recent years has leaned Democatic. Obama narrowly won the district in 2008, marking the first time in 44 years that a Democrat won any of the state's electoral votes. In 2020, the district flipped back to the Democratic column, backing Joe Biden by 6.5%, despite the state at-large voting Republican by a landslide margin. In 2024, Trump lost the district again, as Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris carried it by four percentage points.[1] This marked the first time that a Democrat had carried the district in consecutive elections since Nebraska started using the congressional district method in 1992, and by extension, the first time since 1936 that Democrats won electoral votes from the state in consecutive elections. Tim Walz, the running mate of Kamala Harris and governor of Minnesota, was born and raised in Nebraska.[2]

This was the first presidential election since 2012 when Nebraska's 2nd congressional district failed to back the winner of the Electoral College, the first time that a Republican candidate won the presidency without carrying the district, and the first time since 1908 that a Republican won the presidency without sweeping all of the state's electoral votes. It was also the sole electoral vote that Trump won in 2016, but failed to reclaim in 2024.[3]

In April 2024, there was a failed push from some Republicans to replace the split Electoral College voting with a winner-takes-all system. A second attempt failed in September. The change to winner-take-all had been supported by Trump, Governor Jim Pillen, 2nd district congressman Don Bacon,[4] and Turning Point USA founder Charlie Kirk.[5][6][7]

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

The Nebraska Democratic primary was held on May 14, 2024.

Nebraska Democratic primary, May 14, 2024[8]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 84,677 90.2% 28 28
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 9,199 9.8% 1
Total: 93,876 100.0% 29 5 34

Republican primary

[edit]

The Nebraska Republican primary was held on May 14, 2024.

Nebraska Republican primary, May 14, 2024[9]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 167,968 79.3% 36
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 38,246 18.1%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) 3,902 1.8%
Write-in votes[10] 1,671 0.8%
Total: 211,787 100.0% 36 36

Libertarian primary

[edit]
Primary results by county:
  Oliver
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   >90%
  Ballay
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  •   >90%
  Hornberger
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Mapstead
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
  •   >90%
  Rectenwald
  •   40–50%
  Tie
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  No Votes

The Nebraska Libertarian primary was held on May 14, 2024. Six candidates were on the ballot.[11]

Nebraska Libertarian primary, May 14, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage
Chase Oliver 309 27.6%
Charles Ballay 237 21.2%
Jacob Hornberger 204 18.2%
Lars Mapstead 180 16.1%
Michael Rectenwald 120 10.7%
Mike ter Maat 69 6.2%
Total: 1,119 100.0%
Source:[12]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Nebraska:[13]

In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. successfully made it on the ballot, but took his name off of it when he withdrew.

Proposal to change to winner-take-all

[edit]

In April 2024, there was a failed push from some Republicans to replace the split Electoral College voting with a winner-takes-all system. The change was prompted by a possible scenario where if Joe Biden carried the blue wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, but no other swing states, the second district could give him the decisive 270th electoral vote.[14] While Republicans control the state legislature, the attempt failed due to internal opposition. Only eight legislators voted to advance the proposal when it was brought forward at the end of the legislative session. Republican Senator Mike McDonnell, who had given the caucus a filibuster-proof majority when he switched his affiliation from Democratic, stated, "I am not voting for cloture on winner-take-all, and I am not supporting winner-take-all."[15]

Governor Jim Pillen said he would call a special session to adopt a winner-take-all system if it were to get the necessary support for passage. As bills in Nebraska normally take effect three months after being signed, it would need to be passed with an emergency clause and the support of two-thirds of 50 senators – meaning all 33 Republicans – in order to be effective for the election. Maureen Terry, a Democratic leader in Maine, responded to the efforts by signaling that if they were successful, the Maine legislature would also adopt a winner-take-all system to negate any benefit given to Republicans.[16]

After Kamala Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate, a second push to change to a winner-take-all system began in September after Republican nominee Donald Trump and several of his allies spoke to Republican legislators and Pillen about instituting the change. Pillen stated he would call a special session for the change if supporters could give him commitments from the 33 legislators needed to overcome a Democratic filibuster; at the time, three of the 33 Republicans in the legislature, including McDonnell, who was expected to be the last holdout, had not committed to supporting the change.[17][18] Due to restrictions in Maine law, Maine would not have been able to counter such a change in time for the November election, meaning the change would almost certainly have secured an extra Republican electoral vote.[19] McDonnell stated on September 23 that he would not vote to change the system before the election, preferring that the issue be decided by the state's voters.[20] The following day, Pillen stated he would not call a special session.[21]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking (1st) Ranking (2nd) Ranking (3rd) Ranking (statewide) As of
Cook Political Report[22] Solid R Likely D Solid R Solid R November 1, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Likely R Likely D Solid R Safe R November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] Solid R Likely D Solid R Safe R August 26, 2024
CNalysis[25] Solid R Solid D Solid R Solid R November 4, 2024
CNN[26] Solid R Lean D Solid R Solid R October 1, 2024
The Economist[27] Safe R Likely D Solid R Safe R October 3, 2024
538[28] Solid R Likely D Solid R Solid R September 13, 2024
Inside Elections[29] Solid R Lean D Solid R Solid R August 29, 2024
NBC News[30] Safe R Lean D Safe R Safe R October 6, 2024
YouGov[31] Safe R Tossup Safe R Safe R October 16, 2024
Split Ticket[32] Solid R Likely D Solid R Solid R November 1, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Statewide

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)[33][A] October 30–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.3% 57% 39% 4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[34][B] October 25–28, 2024 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 39% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[35] October 23−26, 2024 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 55% 40% 5%
1,194 (LV) 55% 40% 5%
Change Research (D)[36][A] October 18–21, 2024 815 (LV) 55% 41% 4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[37][B] October 5–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 37% 6%
Change Research (D)[38][A] October 3–8, 2024 895 (LV) ± 3.5% 58% 38% 4%
Impact Research (D)[39][A] October 1–3, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 58% 38% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[40][C] September 27 – October 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 42% 5%
48% 38% 14%[b]
SurveyUSA[41][A] September 20–23, 2024 558 (LV) ± 4.8% 56% 40% 5%[c]
Global Strategy Group (D)[42][D] August 26–29, 2024 600 (LV) 54% 37% 9%
SurveyUSA[43][E] August 23–27, 2024 1,293 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 37% 9%[d]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[44] October 21–28, 2024 1,206 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 40% 0% 0% 1% 4%[e]
New York Times/Siena College[35] October 23−26, 2024 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 53% 38% 0% 0% 1% 8%
1,194 (LV) 53% 39% 0% 0% 1% 7%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[45][B] July 8–11, 2024 698 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 33% 15%[f]
Public Policy Polling (D)[46][A] April 24–25, 2024 737 (V) ± 3.6% 57% 34% 9%
John Zogby Strategies[47][F] April 13–21, 2024 307 (LV) 50% 39% 11%
Change Research (D)[48][G] November 13–16, 2023 1,048 (LV) 53% 35% 12%
Emerson College[49] October 1–4, 2023 423 (RV) ± 4.7% 47% 31% 23%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[47][F] April 13–21, 2024 307 (LV) 47% 39% 14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[47][F] April 13–21, 2024 307 (LV) 50% 38% 12%

Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[44] October 21–28, 2024 408 (LV) 51% 43% 0% 0% 3% 3%[e]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[35] October 23−26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 54% 42% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[50] September 24–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
680 (LV) 52% 43% 5%
SurveyUSA[43][E] August 23–27, 2024 507 (RV) ± 5.6% 47% 42% 11%[g]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[44] October 21–28, 2024 393 (LV) 52% 44% 0% 1% 1% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[35] October 23−26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 53% 41% 0% 0% 1% 5%
New York Times/Siena College[50] September 24–26, 2024 680 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 41% 2% 2% 6%
680 (LV) 51% 42% 2% 1% 4%
CNN/SSRS[51] September 20–25, 2024 794 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[52][H] August 14–17, 2024 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 42% 2% 1% 1% 0% 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)[53][I] August 10–17, 2024 437 (LV) 47% 42% 5% 6%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[45][B] July 8–11, 2024 300 (LV) 42% 42% 16%[h]
Public Policy Polling (D)[46][A] April 24–25, 2024 43% 46% 11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[46][A] April 24–25, 2024 34% 37% 9% 4% 4% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Iron Light Intelligence[54][J] May 17–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 42% 37% 13% 8%

Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[44] October 21–28, 2024 404 (LV) 70% 25% 0% 0% 0% 5%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska[55]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican 551,550 60.2% Increase 2.0%
Democratic 353,158 38.5% Decrease 0.67%
Libertarian 6,116 0.7% Decrease 1.42%
Legal Marijuana Now 2,885 0.3% N/A
Green 2,706 0.3% N/A
Write-in
Total votes 916,415 100.00%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 7%
  3. ^ "Other" with 3%; "Undecided" with 2%
  4. ^ "Other" with 4%
  5. ^ a b "Other" with 1%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 11%
  7. ^ "Other" with 5%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 12%
  9. ^ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
  10. ^ Replacement for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Poll sponsored by the campaign of Dan Osborn, an independent candidate for Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat
  2. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
  3. ^ Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Retire Career Politicians PAC
  5. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Split Ticket
  6. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Examiner
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Future Majority
  10. ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
  2. ^ Searcey, Dionne (August 6, 2024). "Walz Grew Up in Rural Nebraska, Where Finding a Date 'Was Kind of a Problem'". The New York Times.
  3. ^ https://www.270towin.com/states/Nebraska
  4. ^ Montellardo, Zach (April 10, 2024). "Nebraska Republicans float special session to revive Trump-backed election rule change". Politico. Retrieved May 2, 2024.
  5. ^ Pengelly, Martin (April 3, 2024). "Far-right podcaster prompts Nebraska move to change electoral system". The Guardian.
  6. ^ Kerr, Nicholas (April 3, 2024). "Lawmakers skeptical of enacting Trump-backed bill in Nebraska that could give him edge over Biden". ABC News.
  7. ^ Kamisar, Ben; Bowman, Bridget; Smith, Allan (April 3, 2024). "Trump and GOP leaders push to change Nebraska electoral votes to winner-take-all". NBC News.
  8. ^ "Nebraska Presidential Primary". AP News. June 17, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
  9. ^ Evnen, Robert (May 14, 2020). "The Nebraska Board of State Canvassers Official Report" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
  10. ^ "Nebraska Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  11. ^ "Statewide Candidate List List as of 3/18/2024 10:41:21 AM" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
  12. ^ "Nebraska Secretary of State – Election Night Results – May 14th, 2024". Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved June 22, 2024.
  13. ^ "The Green Papers: 2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
  14. ^ Zeleny, Jeff (September 21, 2024). "Trump presses to change Nebraska election law, in fight for a sole electoral vote | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved September 22, 2024.
  15. ^ "State Sen. Mike McDonnell now a Republican: Does he support 'winner-take-all'?". KMTV 3 News Now Omaha. April 4, 2024. Retrieved September 21, 2024.
  16. ^ Marley, Patrick; Dawsey, Josh; Scherer, Michael (September 20, 2024). "Trump ramps up push for Nebraska to change electoral vote allocation". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 21, 2024.
  17. ^ Sanderford, Aaron (September 20, 2024). "Sen. Mike McDonnell says he's a no on winner-take-all 'as of today' • Nebraska Examiner". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved September 21, 2024.
  18. ^ "How One Man's Vote in Nebraska Could Change the Presidential Election". The New York Times. September 20, 2024.
  19. ^ "Maine Democrats have likely run out of time to change Electoral College laws if Nebraska GOP acts". NBC News. September 20, 2024.
  20. ^ Sanderford, Aaron (September 23, 2024). "State Sen. Mike McDonnell deflates GOP hopes for Nebraska winner-take-all in 2024 • Nebraska Examiner". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
  21. ^ "In a blow to Trump, Nebraska governor won't call a special session to change state's electoral votes". NBC News. September 24, 2024. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report.
  23. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics.
  24. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". The Hill.
  25. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". CNalysis.
  26. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN.
  27. ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist.
  28. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight.
  29. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  30. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  31. ^ "2024 Presidential Election Polls". YouGov.
  32. ^ "2024 Presidential Forcast". Split Ticket. June 2, 2023.
  33. ^ App, Betsy (October 31, 2024). "Nebraska U.S. Senate Poll Results" (PDF). Change Research.
  34. ^ Wegley, Andrew (November 1, 2024). "Exclusive: Nebraska Sen. Deb Fischer leads Dan Osborn by 7.5 points in new poll". Lincoln Journal Star.
  35. ^ a b c d Weisman, Jonathan; Baker, Camille (October 28, 2024). "Republicans Cling to Slim Leads in Nebraska and Texas Senate Races". The New York Times.
  36. ^ Grim, Ryan (October 23, 2024). "New poll has an independent populist upending the Senate with a Nebraska upset". Drop Site.
  37. ^ Desiderio, Andrew; Zanona, Melanie (October 11, 2024). "Fischer rebounds after sluggish start triggered GOP panic". Punchbowl News.
  38. ^ Bade, Rachael; Daniels, Eugene (October 10, 2024). "Playbook: The battle for the bros". Politico.
  39. ^ "Dan Osborn Leading Deb Fischer Roughly One Month from Election Day". Impact Research. October 7, 2024.
  40. ^ "Toplines: Independent Center Oct 2024 Online Survey of Likely Voters in Nebraska" (PDF). Independent Center. October 2, 2024. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  41. ^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27302". SurveyUSA. September 24, 2024. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
  42. ^ Pollock, Jefrey (September 19, 2024). "NE US SEN — More positive polling for Osborn, Fischer goes hard negative" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight.
  43. ^ a b Jain, Lakshya; McCall, Max; Lavelle, Harrison; Sit, Leon (August 31, 2024). "We Polled Nebraska (And Its Second District). Here's What We Found". Split Ticket.
  44. ^ a b c d "Economist Poll – October 21-28, 2024" (PDF). The Economist. October 30, 2024.
  45. ^ a b Sanderford, Aaron (July 19, 2024). "Fischer, Trump lead statewide in Fischer's new Nebraska poll". Nebraska Examiner.
  46. ^ a b c Patterson, Katherine (May 6, 2024). "Osborn Trails Senator Fischer by Just 4 Points in Nebraska's Senate Race; Fischer Underwater in Favorability" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight.
  47. ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  48. ^ "Nebraska Survey Toplines - November 2023" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. December 6, 2023.
  49. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023). "Nebraska Poll: Trump Maintains Lead but Biden Cuts into 2020 Vote". Emerson Polling.
  50. ^ a b Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find". The New York Times.
  51. ^ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (September 27, 2024). "CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District". CNN.
  52. ^ Sanderford, Aaron (August 20, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in new Nebraska 2nd District poll". Nebraska Examiner.
  53. ^ Riddle, Mark (August 21, 2024). "Governing Landscape and Messaging" (PDF). Future Majority.
  54. ^ "League of American Workers NE-02 Poll of Likely Voters". League of American Workers. May 23, 2024. Archived from the original on May 29, 2024.
  55. ^ "Statewide Candidate List" (PDF). NE SOS. Retrieved September 23, 2024.