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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Reporting
99%
as of 11:30 PM CST
 
Nominee Roger Wicker Ty Pinkins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 688,640 400,024
Percentage 63.3% 36.7%

County results
Wicker:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Pinkins:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Roger Wicker
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Roger Wicker
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Senator Roger Wicker took office on December 31, 2007 as an interim appointee after fellow Republican Trent Lott resigned 13 days prior. Wicker retained his Senate seat in the subsequent 2008 special election, won full terms in 2012 and 2018, and is seeking a third full term. Primary elections took place on March 12, 2024.

No Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election in Mississippi since John C. Stennis in 1982. Wicker won reelection to a third full term. [1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ghannon Burton (R) $212,429[a] $207,927 $4,501
Dan Eubanks (R) $52,717[b] $52,717 $0
Roger Wicker (R) $8,139,009 $6,397,660 $3,593,927
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

Results

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Results by county
Map legend
  •   Wicker—40-50%
  •   Wicker—50–60%
  •   Wicker—60–70%
  •   Wicker—70–80%
  •   Wicker—80–90%
  •   Wicker—≥90%
  •   Burton—50–60%
  •   Burton—60–70%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 152,086 61.40%
Republican Ghannon Burton 61,387 24.78%
Republican Dan Eubanks 34,238 13.82%
Total votes 247,711 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ty Pinkins (D) $324,980 $189,792 $135,188
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

Results

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Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ty Pinkins 82,264 100.0%
Total votes 82,264 100.0%

Independents

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Filed paperwork

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[20] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe R November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[22] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[23] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[24] Solid R November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[25] Solid R August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[26] Safe R October 23, 2024
538[27] Solid R October 23, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Roger
Wicker (R)
Ty
Pinkins (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] September 29 – October 3, 2024 565 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 35% 7%[d] 10%

Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R) $8,610,740 $6,794,208 $3,669,111
Ty Pinkins (D) $499,484 $447,377 $52,107
Source: Federal Election Commission[28]

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent)
Democratic Ty Pinkins
Total votes

Notes

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  1. ^ $27,560 of this total was self-funded by Burton
  2. ^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Eubanks
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Would not vote" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Pinkins's campaign

References

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  1. ^ "2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
  2. ^ Vance, Taylor (January 4, 2023). "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker". Daily Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2023. Phillip Waller, the communications director for Wicker, said in a statement that Wicker will also run for re-election next year.
  3. ^ Wolf, Stephen (November 14, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/14". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 14, 2023. Wicker recently drew a primary challenge from retired Marine Col. Ghannon Burton, but there's little indication yet whether the 16-year incumbent is actually in danger of losing renomination in this solidly red state.
  4. ^ Corder, Frank (June 19, 2023). "Senate 2024: Eubanks files to challenge Wicker". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  5. ^ a b Corder, Frank (February 29, 2024). "Trump Endorses Wicker for Re-Election". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  6. ^ a b "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  7. ^ a b "National Right to Life Endorses U.S. Senator Roger Wicker for Re-Election in Mississippi - National Right to Life". February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  8. ^ a b "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Roger Wicker for U.S. Senate in Mississippi". www.uschamber.com. February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  9. ^ a b "2024 Candidates". With Honor Fund. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  10. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Mississippi". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  11. ^ "Mississippi Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Mississippi. March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  12. ^ DiNatale, Sara (January 3, 2023). "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 3, 2023.
  13. ^ Vance, Taylor (January 8, 2024). "Brandon Presley, courted by national Democrats to run for U.S. Senate, will not run against Sen. Roger Wicker". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  14. ^ a b "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Archived from the original on August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  15. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  16. ^ a b "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  17. ^ "2024 Democratic Primary". Mississippi Secretary of State.
  18. ^ "TAGGART, JON M MR. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  19. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  20. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  21. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  22. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  23. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  24. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  25. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  26. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  27. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  28. ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
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Official campaign websites