2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
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All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Mississippi |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The elections were the first under Mississippi's new congressional map after redistricting completed by the state government.[1] All four races were considered uncompetitive in the general election[2][3] and turnout from Mississippians was the lowest out of the entire United States, measuring in at 31.5%.[4] Republican Representatives Michael Guest and Steven Palazzo faced competitive primaries, where both went to runoffs; Palazzo was ultimately ousted by Mike Ezell in the runoff, mainly in part to an investigation into Palazzo's supposed misuse of campaign funds.[5][6] Republican representative Trent Kelly was the sole representative of the Mississippi delegation to receive a Trump endorsement and faced no serious challenge.[6] The partisan composition of the delegation remained the same after the election.[2]
District 1
[edit]
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Kelly: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Black: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent was Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2020.[7]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Trent Kelly, incumbent U.S. Representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mark D. Strauss, Libertarian nominee for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2018[9]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[10]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trent Kelly (incumbent) | 27,447 | 89.8 | |
Republican | Mark D. Strauss | 3,109 | 10.2 | |
Total votes | 30,556 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dianne Black, hair salon owner[11]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dianne Black | 8,268 | 79.0 | |
Democratic | Hunter Kyle Avery | 2,203 | 21.0 | |
Total votes | 10,471 | 100.0 |
Independents
[edit]Filed paperwork
[edit]- James McCay[14]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | January 24, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | March 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | January 26, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trent Kelly (incumbent) | 122,151 | 73.0 | |
Democratic | Dianne Black | 45,238 | 27.0 | |
Total votes | 167,389 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Thompson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Flowers: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville, Natchez and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The district was expanded during the 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent was Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2020.[7] Thompson cruised to re-election in 2022 as expected, though Brian Flowers did give him his toughest race since 2004, when Clinton LeSueur achieved 41% of the vote.[24]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bennie Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative[9]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bennie Thompson (incumbent) | 49,907 | 96.3 | |
Democratic | Jerry Kerner | 1,927 | 3.7 | |
Total votes | 51,834 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Brian Flowers, nuclear plant technician, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for this district in 2020[28][13]
Eliminated in runoff
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former United States National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014) (Democratic)[29]
Organizations
- SEAL PAC [30]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Flowers | 6,087 | 43.2 | |
Republican | Ronald Eller | 4,564 | 32.4 | |
Republican | Michael Carson | 2,966 | 21.0 | |
Republican | Stanford Johnson | 487 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 14,104 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Flowers | 6,224 | 58.5 | |
Republican | Ronald Eller | 4,418 | 41.5 | |
Total votes | 10,642 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid D | January 24, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid D | March 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe D | January 26, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bennie Thompson (incumbent) | 108,285 | 60.1 | |
Republican | Brian Flowers | 71,884 | 39.9 | |
Total votes | 180,169 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Guest: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The district was reduced to include only three of the cities, plus a wealthy area of Jackson due to 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent was Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020. Guest managed to flip Kemper County, which gave Joe Biden 61.02% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.[7]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Michael Guest, incumbent U.S. Representative[9]
Eliminated in runoff
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Thomas Griffin, businessman[11]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michael Guest (incumbent) | 23,675 | 47.5 | |
Republican | Michael Cassidy | 23,407 | 46.9 | |
Republican | Thomas Griffin | 2,785 | 5.6 | |
Total votes | 49,867 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michael Guest (incumbent) | 47,007 | 67.4 | |
Republican | Michael Cassidy | 22,713 | 32.6 | |
Total votes | 69,720 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Shuwaski Young, political organizer[12]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Rahim Talley, businessman, Iraq war veteran and progressive activist[32]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | January 24, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | March 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | January 26, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michael Guest (incumbent) | 132,481 | 70.7 | |
Democratic | Shuwaski Young | 54,803 | 29.3 | |
Total votes | 187,284 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Ezell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% DuPree: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent was Republican Steven Palazzo, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020.[7]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mike Ezell, Jackson County sheriff and former Ocean Springs police chief[34]
Eliminated in runoff
[edit]- Steven Palazzo, incumbent U.S. Representative[35]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Carl Boyanton, produce store owner and candidate for this district in 2020[35][13]
- Raymond Brooks, police officer[36]
- Kidron Peterson[11]
- Clay Wagner, banker[37]
- Brice Wiggins, state senator[38]
Endorsements
[edit]Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Carl Boyanton |
Raymond Brooks |
Mike Ezell |
Steven Palazzo |
Clay Wagner |
Brice Wiggins |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[41][A] | December 11–14, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 65% | 2% | 4% | 19% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steven Palazzo (incumbent) | 16,387 | 31.5 | |
Republican | Mike Ezell | 13,020 | 25.0 | |
Republican | Clay Wagner | 11,698 | 22.5 | |
Republican | Brice Wiggins | 4,859 | 9.3 | |
Republican | Carl Boyanton | 3,224 | 6.2 | |
Republican | Raymond Brooks | 2,405 | 4.6 | |
Republican | Kidron Peterson | 449 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 52,042 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Ezell | 31,225 | 53.8 | |
Republican | Steven Palazzo (incumbent) | 26,849 | 46.2 | |
Total votes | 58,074 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Johnny DuPree, former mayor of Hattiesburg; nominee for Governor of Mississippi in 2011 and Secretary of State of Mississippi in 2019[42]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- David Sellers, pastor[32]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Labor unions
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Johnny DuPree | 9,952 | 84.9 | |
Democratic | David Sellers | 1,766 | 15.1 | |
Total votes | 11,718 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Withdrawn or disqualified
[edit]- Graham Hudson[44]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | January 24, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | March 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | January 26, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[45]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Ezell | 127,813 | 73.3 | |
Democratic | Johnny DuPree | 42,876 | 24.6 | |
Libertarian | Alden Patrick Johnson | 3,569 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 174,258 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Palazzo's campaign
References
[edit]- ^ Rakich, Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe and Nathaniel (August 9, 2021). "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State - Mississippi". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ a b Pender, Bobby Harrison, Geoff (November 9, 2022). "Mississippi election results: Three Republicans, one Democrat again win U.S. House seats". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "2022 House Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "Mississippi has lowest voter turnout in U.S. for midterm elections: data". WJTV. November 15, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ Ward, Myah. "GOP Rep. Steven Palazzo loses primary amid ethics cloud". POLITICO. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ a b Solender, Andrew (June 8, 2022). "Two more incumbent House Republicans forced into primary runoffs". Axios. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
- ^ Vance, Taylor (January 3, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Trent Kelly qualifies for reelection to U.S. House seat". www.djournal.com. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Bennett, Kelly; Mitchell, J.T.; Arbuckle, Alyssa (March 3, 2022). "Here are the candidates running for Mississippi's congressional seats". Supertalk Mississippi. Retrieved May 16, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement of Congressman Trent Kelly". June 5, 2022. Retrieved July 24, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "2022 Candidate Qualifying List" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Corder, Frank (July 15, 2021). "Mississippi Congressional Campaign Reporting Points to 2022 Mid-Term Challenges". Y'all Politics. Archived from the original on December 18, 2022. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e f "Politics1 - Online Guide to Mississippi Elections, Candidates & Politics".
- ^ "James McCay FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 26, 2022. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District One" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
- ^ "U.S. House Of Representatives / Mississippi 02". CNN. Retrieved December 3, 2022.
- ^ "Gerald Kerner FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
- ^ Corder, Frank (December 27, 2021). "MS02: Thompson draws Democratic opponent critical of own party". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2021.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ "Brian Flowers FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
- ^ Corder, Frank (April 4, 2022). "Trump's former advisor Lt. Gen. Flynn endorses Mississippi Republican 2nd Congressional District candidate Eller". Y'all Politics. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
- ^ "Accomplished Veterans Endorsed by SEAL PAC". SEAL PAC. Retrieved March 6, 2022.
- ^ "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Two" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
- ^ a b Corder, Frank (September 15, 2021). "Mississippi Democrats field candidates in all 4 Congressional Districts ahead of 2022 midterms". Y'all Politics. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
- ^ "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Three" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
- ^ "'I've got a serving heart': Mike Ezell announces bid for Congress". gulflive. April 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
- ^ a b "Candidate who triggered ethics investigation says Palazzo should resign from Congress". March 5, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
- ^ Coder, Frank (June 17, 2021). "Palazzo draws third Republican mid-term opponent". www.yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- ^ Corder, Frank (September 10, 2021). "MS04: Wagner files to run for Congress, increasing the field to 4 Republicans challenging Palazzo". Y'all Politics. Retrieved September 12, 2021.
- ^ "After 10 years in state senate, Brice Wiggins ready to take on Palazzo, others for congressional seat". October 26, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e Pender, Geoff (June 9, 2022). "Every Republican challenger of Rep. Steven Palazzo endorses his runoff opponent Mike Ezell". Mississippi Today. Nonprofit Mississippi News. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
- ^ Wagner, Clay. ""I want to thank every single one of the over 11,000 of you who supported my campaign. I ask that all of you join me in supporting Sheriff Mike Ezell to be our next Congressman. Your support means the world to me and I pray that we all help move south MS forward." - Clay Wagner". Twitter. Retrieved June 25, 2022.
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Burns, Haskel (September 29, 2021). "Former Mayor Dupree qualifies to run for Palazzo's 4th Congressional District seat". www.hubcityspokes.com. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
- ^ a b c Corder, Frank (May 16, 2022). "MS04: Democrat candidate Sellers picks up college chapter, union endorsements ahead of Primary". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
- ^ "Graham Hudson Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". www.termlimits.com. U.S. Term Limits. March 9, 2021. Retrieved August 5, 2021.
- ^ Corder, Frank (November 3, 2022). "Trump endorses Ezell ahead of MS04 Congressional Midterm Election". magnoliatribune.com. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
- ^ "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Four" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Ron Eller (R) for Congress
- Brian Flowers (R) for Congress
- Jerry Kerner (D) for Congress
- Bennie Thompson (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Michael Cassidy (R) for Congress
- Michael Guest (R) for Congress
- Rahim Talley (D) for Congress
- Shuwaski Young (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Carl Boyanton (R) for Congress
- Raymond Brooks (R) for Congress
- Johnny DuPree (D) for Congress
- Mike Ezell (R) for Congress
- Alden Patrick Johnson (L) for Congress
- Steven Palazzo (R) for Congress Archived June 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- David Sellers (D) for Congress
- Clay Wagner (R) for Congress
- Brice Wiggins (R) for Congress