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2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election

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2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election

← 2007 November 8, 2011 2015 →
 
Nominee Phil Bryant Johnny DuPree
Party Republican Democratic
Electoral vote 82 40
Popular vote 544,851 348,617
Percentage 60.98% 39.02%

County results
Bryant:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
DuPree:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Haley Barbour
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Bryant
Republican

The 2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011. Incumbent Republican Governor of Mississippi Haley Barbour was unable to run for a third term due to term limits.

Republican nominee Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant defeated the Democratic nominee, Hattiesburg Mayor Johnny DuPree. Sworn in on January 10, 2012, Bryant became only the third Republican governor of Mississippi since Reconstruction. This is the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was also the first time that Issaquena County and Benton County voted Republican since Reconstruction.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant
Dave
Dennis
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[1] March 24–27, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 63% 14% 3%[2] 20%

Results

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Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Phil Bryant 172,300 59.46
Republican Dave Dennis 74,546 25.72
Republican Ron Williams 25,555 8.82
Republican Hudson Holliday 13,761 4.75
Republican James Broadwater 3,626 1.25
Total votes 289,788 100.00

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Results by county
  DuPree
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Luckett
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Shaw
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Johnny DuPree 179,748 43.57
Democratic Bill Luckett 161,833 39.23
Democratic William Bond Compton, Jr. 40,452 9.81
Democratic Guy Dale Shaw 30,497 7.39
Total votes 412,530 100.00

Runoff results

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Results by county
  DuPree
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Luckett
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Tie
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary runoff results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Johnny DuPree 177,767 54.99
Democratic Bill Luckett 145,517 45.01
Total votes 323,284 100.00

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Rothenberg Political Report[6] Safe R November 4, 2011
Governing[7] Safe R November 4, 2011
Cook[8] Safe R November 4, 2011
Sabato[9] Safe R November 4, 2011

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Johnny
DuPree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[10] November 4–6, 2011 796 ± 3.5% 54% 40% 6%
Public Policy Polling[11] March 24–27, 2011 817 ± 3.4% 56% 25% 19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dave
Dennis (R)
Johnny
DuPree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11] March 24–27, 2011 817 ± 3.4% 41% 28% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hudson
Holliday (R)
Johnny
DuPree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11] March 24–27, 2011 817 ± 3.4% 37% 28% 35%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Bill
Luckett (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11] March 24–27, 2011 817 ± 3.4% 53% 27% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dave
Dennis (R)
Bill
Luckett (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11] March 24–27, 2011 817 ± 3.4% 43% 27% 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hudson
Holliday (R)
Bill
Luckett (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[11] March 24–27, 2011 817 ± 3.4% 38% 28% 34%

Results

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CandidatePartyPopular voteElectoral vote
Votes%Votes%
Phil BryantRepublican Party544,85160.988267.21
Johnny DuPreeDemocratic Party348,61739.024032.79
Total893,468100.00122100.00
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ Public Policy Polling
  2. ^ Hudson Holliday 2%, James Broadwater 1%, Ron Williams 0%
  3. ^ "Certified Republican Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
  4. ^ "Certified Democrat Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
  5. ^ "Certified Democrat Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
  6. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
  7. ^ "An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests". Governing. July 25, 2011. Archived from the original on August 1, 2011.
  8. ^ "2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS". The Cook Political Report. September 15, 2011. Archived from the original on October 7, 2011.
  9. ^ "2012 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  10. ^ Public Policy Polling
  11. ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
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Candidates (Archived)

Information