2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi
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Turnout | 60.4% | ||||||||||||||||
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Hyde-Smith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90% Espy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Mississippi |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy, in a rematch of the 2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly four to one,[1] Hyde-Smith won by a ten-point margin; however, she underperformed Republican president Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by around 6 points.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Cindy Hyde-Smith, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Declined
[edit]- Gerard Gibert, businessman and vice chairman of the Mississippi Lottery Board[3]
- Chris McDaniel, incumbent state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018[4]
- Josh Randle, former president of the Miss America Organization[5]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) | 235,463 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 235,463 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mike Espy, former United States Secretary of Agriculture, former U.S. representative for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[4][8][9]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[10]
- Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[11]
Declined
[edit]- J. P. Hughes Jr., state representative and candidate for lieutenant governor of Mississippi in 2019[12]
- Brandon Presley, member of the Mississippi Public Service Commission[12]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
- DSCC[13]
- Flip the Senate[14]
- Human Rights Campaign[15]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Espy | 250,496 | 93.12% | |
Democratic | Tobey Bartee | 11,148 | 4.14% | |
Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 7,345 | 2.74% | |
Total votes | 268,989 | 100.0% |
Other candidates
[edit]Libertarian Party
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jimmy Edwards[17]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[18] | Likely R | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[19] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[21] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[22] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[23] | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[24] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
538[25] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[26] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
[edit]- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017-2021)[27]
- Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[28]
- Huck PAC[29]
- Maggie's List[6]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[30]
- Susan B. Anthony List[31]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[32]
- Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[33]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[34]
- U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, senator from Massachusetts since 2013[35]
- U.S. representatives
- Bennie Thompson, representative from MS-2 since 1993[36]
- State officials
- Stacey Abrams, former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[37]
- Notable individuals
- Andrew Yang, former 2020 Democratic presidential primary candidate[38]
- Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[39]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[40]
- DSCC[41]
- Feminist Majority PAC[42]
- Human Rights Campaign[43]
- Unions
- Mississippi AFL-CIO[44]
- National Education Association[45]
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) |
Mike Espy (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data For Progress[46] | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 47% | 4%[a] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[47] | October 23–26, 2020 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 52% | 44% | 3%[b] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D)[48] | October 23, 2020 | – (V)[c] | – | 48% | 43% | – | – |
Tyson Group (R)[49][A] | August 28–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 40% | – | 18% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[50][B] | July 30 – August 9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 42% | 3%[d] | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][C] | May 27–28, 2020 | 871 (V) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 41% | – | 10% |
Impact Management Group (R)[52] | May 4–7, 2020 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 31% | 3%[e] | 9%[f] |
Tyson Group (R)[49][A] | March 10–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 54% | 28% | – | 18% |
The Progress Campaign (D)[53] | March 3–7, 2020 | 826 (V) | – | 52% | 44% | – | 4%[g] |
Mason-Dixon[54] | February 26–28, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 43% | – | 4% |
Chism Strategies[55] | January 3–7, 2020 | 618 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 36% | – | 20% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) | 709,511 | 54.11% | +0.48% | |
Democratic | Mike Espy | 578,691 | 44.13% | −2.24% | |
Libertarian | Jimmy Edwards | 23,152 | 1.77% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,311,354 | 100.00% | |||
Republican hold |
By county
[edit]By county
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By congressional district
[edit]Hyde-Smith won three of four congressional districts.[58]
District | Hyde-Smith | Espy | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 60% | 38% | Trent Kelly |
2nd | 33% | 66% | Bennie Thompson |
3rd | 58% | 41% | Michael Guest |
4th | 63% | 34% | Steven Palazzo |
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Consumer Energy Alliance, which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Espy's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for the Mississippi Democratic Party.
References
[edit]- ^ "Mississippi Senate 2020 Race". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 21, 2021.
- ^ "HYDE-SMITH, CINDY – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019). "Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
- ^ a b Douglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018). "Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon". McClatchy. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019). "Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary". Mississippi Today. Retrieved November 15, 2019.
- ^ a b "2020 Candidates". maggieslist.org.
- ^ "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
- ^ "ESPY, MICHAEL – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi". The Philadelphia Tribune. November 15, 2019.
- ^ "Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate". AP NEWS. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
- ^ Ulmer, Sarah (June 17, 2019). "Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run". Retrieved June 17, 2019.
- ^ a b Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
- ^ "DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". November 13, 2019.
- ^ "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
- ^ Acosta, Lucas (March 4, 2020). "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign.[dead link]
- ^ "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
- ^ Pettus, Emily (March 11, 2020). "Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith". Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ Geoff Pender (October 21, 2020). "Trump endorses Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi Senate race". Mississippi Today.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates | CWF". www.cwfpac.com. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
- ^ "Mississippi". www.huckpac.com. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "NRA-PVF | Grades | Mississippi". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "2020 Election HQ". Archived from the original on November 1, 2020.
- ^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate". www.yallpolitics.com. June 30, 2020.
Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.
- ^ "U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy receives endorsement from Joe Biden". WMC5. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
- ^ "Obama endorses Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". The Hill. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
- ^ "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senator". June 21, 2020.
- ^ Adam Ganucheau (October 22, 2020). "Rep. Bennie Thompson, Democratic kingmaker, throws full support behind Mike Espy in Senate race". Mississippi Today.
- ^ "Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate Contests". AP.
- ^ Frank Corder (October 15, 2020). "Yang's PAC endorses Espy, says it gives Democrats better chance to pass universal basic income". Y'all Politics.
- ^ "2020 Endorsements". Retrieved August 21, 2024.
- ^ "CBC Candidate: Mike Espy". Archived from the original on October 27, 2020. Retrieved October 24, 2020.
- ^ Geoff Pender (October 4, 2020). "Espy finally lands support from national Democrats in Senate race. Is it too late?". Mississippi Today.
- ^ "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
- ^ "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". HRC. March 4, 2020.
- ^ "Mississippi AFL-CIO endorses Mike Espy for Senate". April 7, 2020.
- ^ "U.S. Senate – Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
- ^ Data For Progress
- ^ Civiqs/Daily Kos
- ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
- ^ a b Tyson Group (R)
- ^ Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Impact Management Group (R) [permanent dead link]
- ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
- ^ Mason-Dixon Archived November 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Chism Strategies
- ^ "AMENDED CERTIFICATION OF VOTE FOR UNITED STATES SENATE" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. December 7, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2022.
- ^ "Total Votes Reported by Counties for 2020 General Election" (PDF). Statewide Election Management System. Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved February 13, 2022.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Mississippi", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Mississippi: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Mississippi". sState affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Mississippi at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites