2020 Missouri elections
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Elections in Missouri |
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Missouri state elections in 2020 were held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Aside from its presidential primaries held on March 10, its primary elections were held on August 4, 2020.[1]
In addition to the U.S. presidential race, Missouri voters will elect the Governor of Missouri, four of Missouri's other executive officers, all of its seats to the House of Representatives, all of the seats of the Missouri House of Representatives, and 17 of 34 seats in the Missouri State Senate. Neither of the state's two U.S. Senate seats are up for election this year, but there are also two ballot measures which will be voted on, in addition to one voted on in the August 4 primaries.[1]
To vote by mail, registered Missouri voters had to request a ballot by October 21, 2020.[2]
Federal offices
[edit]President of the United States
[edit]Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
United States House of Representatives
[edit]There are 7 U.S. Representatives in Missouri that will be up for election. Another seat is open after the incumbent, Lacy Clay, lost renomination in its Democratic primary.[3]
Governor
[edit]Lieutenant governor
[edit]Attorney general
[edit]Secretary of state
[edit]Treasurer
[edit]State legislature
[edit]All 163 seats of the Missouri House of Representatives and 17 of 34 seats of the Missouri State Senate are up for election. Before the election, the composition of the Missouri State Legislature was:
State senate[edit]
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House of Representatives[edit]
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After the election, the composition of the Missouri State Legislature was:
State senate[edit]
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House of Representatives[edit]
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Primary election
[edit]Senate District 3 - Republican
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joshua Barrett |
Elaine Freeman Gannon |
Kent Scism |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[4] | June 24–25, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 34% |
Senate District 5 - Democratic
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jeremiah Church |
McFarlane Duncan |
Megan Elliya Green |
William "Bill" Haas |
Peter Merideth |
Steve Roberts |
Michelle Sherod |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[5] | April 1–2, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 14% | – | 18% | 9% | 35% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[6] | December 4–5, 2019 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 3% | 24% | – | – | 24% | 4% | 45% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[7] | August 21–22, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.5% | –[d] | – | – | – | 20% | 24% | 13% | 43% |
–[e] | – | 32% | – | – | 23% | 11% | 34% | ||||
–[f] | – | – | – | – | 24% | 21% | 55% |
Senate District 13 - Democratic
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Alan Green |
Angela Mosley |
Tommie Pierson Jr. |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[8] | June 3–4, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 45% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[9] | October 16–17, 2019 | 421 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 48% |
Senate District 23 - Republican
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Bill Eigel |
Dan O'Connell |
Eric Wulff |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[10] | July 8–9, 2020 | 436 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 33% | 8% | 7% | 52% |
Senate District 25 - Republican
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jason Bean |
Stephen Carroll Cookson |
Eddy Justice |
Jeff Shawan |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[11] | July 8–9, 2020 | 436 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 26% | 11% | 23% | 17% | 23% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[12] | July 30–31, 2019 | 438 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 67% |
Senate District 27 - Republican
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Holly Rehder |
Kathy Swan |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[13] | July 16–17, 2020 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[14] | August 7–8, 2019 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 26% | 27% | 48% |
Senate District 29 - Republican
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
David Cole |
Mike Moon |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[15] | July 25–26, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 34% | 37% | 29% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[16] | April 21–23, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 15% | 25% | 60% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[17] | July 17–18, 2019 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 14% | 21% | 65% |
Senate District 31 - Republican
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jack Bondon |
Rick Brattin |
Bill Yarberry |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[18] | July 21–23, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 34% | 6% | 20% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[19] | April 15–16, 2020 | 419 (LV) | ± 4.76% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 60% |
Senate District 33 - Republican
[edit]Nominee
- Karla Eslinger, state representative for District 155[20]
Eliminated in primary
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Karla Eslinger |
Van Kelly |
Robert Ross |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[21] | July 27–29, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 24% |
Missouri Scout[22] | July 12–13, 2020 | 456 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 31% | 12% | 36% | 31% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[23] | May 6–7, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 57% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[24] | July 24–25, 2019 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 16% | 15% | 69% |
Senate District 33 - Democratic
[edit]Nominee
- Tammy Harty [25]
General election
[edit]Senate District 1
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Doug Beck (D) |
David Lenihan (R) |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[26] | September 9–10, 2020 | 646 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Democratic | Doug Beck | ||||
Republican | David Lenihan |
Senate District 15
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Andrew Koenig (R) |
Deb Lavender (D) |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[27] | October 7–8, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[28] | August 19–20, 2020 | 585 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[29] | May 29–30, 2019 | 648 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling in District 15
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with Mark Osmack
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Republican | Andrew Koenig | ||||
Democratic | Deb Lavender |
Senate District 19
[edit]Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Caleb Rowden (R) |
Judy Baker (D) |
Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[30] | October 20–22, 2020 | 489 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[31] | August 26–27, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling in District 19
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with Michela Skelton
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Republican | Caleb Rowden | ||||
Democratic | Judy Baker |
Senate District 33
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Republican | Karla Eslinger | ||||
Democratic | Tammy Harty |
Ballot measures
[edit]Missouri Amendment 2, Medicaid Expansion passed in the August 4 primary.[33]
Missouri Amendment 3, Redistricting Process and Criteria, Lobbying, and Campaign Finance Amendment is to amend the state constitution to lower thresholds for lobbyists' gifts, lower campaign contribution limits for state senate campaigns and reverse changes to the redistricting process brought about by the passage of 2018's Missouri Amendment 1, known as "Clean Missouri". That amendment (aimed to prevent gerrymandering[34]) delegated redistricting to a nonpartisan state demographer and citizens' commission as opposed to the status quo ante of it being left to a bipartisan commission appointed by the governor.
Polling
[edit]Primary election
[edit]Amendment 2
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
For Missouri Amendment 1 | Against Missouri Amendment 1 | Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[35] | April 28–29, 2020 | 1,356 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[36] | December 20–24, 2019 | 415 (RV) | ± 5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[37][38] | November 17–20, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 5% | 41% | 29% | 29% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39] | November 12–13, 2019 | 1,641 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[40] | September 16–18, 2019 | 825 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 25% | 33% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[41] | September 4–5, 2019 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 33% | 23% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[42] | June 12–13, 2019 | 986 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 37% | 23% |
General election
[edit]Amendment 1
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
For Missouri Amendment 1 | Against Missouri Amendment 1 | Undecided |
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YouGov/SLU[43] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[44] | September 20–21, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 60% | 26% | 14% |
Amendment 3
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
For Missouri Amendment 3 | Against Missouri Amendment 3 | Undecided |
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Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[45] | October 28–29, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 29% | 56% | 15% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[46] | October 14–15, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 28% | 50% | 22% |
YouGov/SLU[43] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 35% | 43% | 23% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[44] | September 20–21, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[47] | August 12–13, 2020 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 19% | 35% |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Including 2 vacancies
- ^ Including 2 vacancies
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ With Peter Meredith, Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
- ^ With Megan Green, Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
- ^ With Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ a b "Missouri elections, 2020". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
- ^ Lily Hay Newman (August 27, 2020), "How to Vote by Mail and Make Sure It Counts", Wired.com, archived from the original on October 6, 2020
- ^ Wiegel, Dave (August 5, 2020). "Longtime Rep. William Lacy Clay loses Democratic primary in Missouri". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b c "Eslinger wins Republican nomination for Missouri 33rd Senate District". Ozark County Times. August 5, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ "Certified Candidate List". Missouri Secretary of State. May 7, 2020. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Smith, Alex (August 5, 2020). "Missouri Voters Approve Medicaid Expansion Despite Resistance From Republican Leaders". NPR. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
- ^ Peters, Benjamin (November 3, 2017). "What is the Clean Missouri Initiative?". Retrieved August 20, 2020.
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Human Agency/Missouri Scout
- ^ Human Agency/Missouri Scout
- ^ "MOScout Daily Update: Schmitt to Start Testing Kits - New HA Poll - Bates for School Board - G-Men in I-City and more..." Missouri Scout.
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Human Agency/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b YouGov/SLU
- ^ a b Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Missouri", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Missouri: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Missouri". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Missouri at Ballotpedia