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2020 United States presidential election in Kansas

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Kansas
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout65.9%[1] Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 771,406 570,323
Percentage 56.14% 41.51%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Although Trump won the state, Biden's 41.51 percent vote share represented the highest for a Democratic presidential nominee since Barack Obama's performance in 2008 and among the strongest swings to Biden, relative to Hillary Clinton's performance in 2016, in the nation. His 14.65-point defeat represented the first time since 1916, and only the second time ever, that Kansas voted more Democratic than neighboring Missouri, where his margin of defeat was 15.39 points.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Kansas came from white voters, who supported Trump by 59%–38%; white voters with college degrees, however, were tied. This result included a 64% showing for Trump among Protestants and a 74% showing among other Christians. Trump's best margin was 72% in rural areas, while Biden's was 52% in suburban counties.[4]

Primary elections

[edit]

Canceled Republican primary

[edit]
Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On September 7, 2019, the Kansas Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to cancel their respective primaries and caucuses officially.[5] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[6][7] At its state convention held between January 31 and February 1, 2020, the state party voted to formally bind all 39 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[8][9]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Further information: 2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was conducted entirely by mail. Votes were counted on May 2, 2020. Joe Biden was declared the winner.[10]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary § KSresults.[edit]
2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary final results[11]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 110,041 74.92 29
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 33,142 22.57 10
Inactive votes[a] 3,690 2.51
Total 146,873 100% 39

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Likely R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[13] Lean R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Likely R July 14, 2020
Politico[15] Likely R October 16, 2020
RCP[16] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[17] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[18] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[19] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[20] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[21] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[22] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[23] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[24] Likely R August 6, 2020
538[25] Safe R November 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]


Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270 to Win[26] October 17–22, 2020 November 3, 2020 43.0% 51.7% 5.3% Trump +8.7
FiveThirtyEight[27] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 41.0% 53.9% 5.1% Trump +12.9
Average 42.0% 52.8% 5.2% Trump +10.8

Polls

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,321 (LV) ± 3% 55%[d] 44% – – –
Data For Progress[29] Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,121 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 41% 3% 2%[e] –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] Oct 1–28, 2020 3,442 (LV) ± 2.5% 51% 47% – – –
PPP/Protect Our Care[30][A] Oct 19–20, 2020 897 (V) ± 3.3% 54% 42% – – 4%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[31] Oct 18–20, 2020 755 (LV) ± 4% 48% 41% 4% 2%[f] 6%[g]
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC[32][B] Oct 18–20, 2020 2,453 (LV) ± 3.7% 56% 39% 2% – 3%
Fort Hays State University[33] Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020 306 (RV) ± 4.8% 52% 38% – 11%[h] –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] Sep 1–30, 2020 1,135 (LV) – 52% 47% – – 1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[34] Sep 26–29, 2020 677 (LV) ± 4.5% 52% 42% – 4%[i] 1%
Data For Progress (D)[35] Sep 14–19, 2020 883 (LV) ± 3.3% 48%[j] 42% 3% 1%[k] 7%
49%[l] 45% – – 6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC[36][B] Sep 15–16, 2020 794 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] Aug 1–31, 2020 922 (LV) – 54% 45% – – 1%
SurveyUSA[37] Aug 5–9, 2020 1,202 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 41% – 5%[m] 6%
Public Policy Polling[38][C] Aug 5–6, 2020 864 (V) ± 3.3% 50% 43% – – 7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] Jul 1–31, 2020 1,295 (LV) – 51% 47% – – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] Jun 8–30, 2020 466 (LV) – 53% 45% – – 2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[39] May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 699 (RV) ± 4.2% 52% 40% – 6%[n] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D)[40] Apr 15–22, 2020 1,632 (LV) ± 4.7% 51% 41% – – 8%
Public Policy Polling[41] Mar 10–11, 2020 1,567 (V) – 52% 40% – – 8%
DFM Research[42] Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 51% 43% – 3%[o] 3%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
DFM Research[42] Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 50% 43% 2%[p] 4%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D)[43] [1] Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 51% 40% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[41] Mar 10–11, 2020 1,567 (V) – 52% 40% – 7%
The Progress Campaign (D)[43] [2] Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 63% 26% – 11%
DFM Research[42] Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 53% 43% 2%[p] 1%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D)[43] [3] Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 63% 32% – 5%
DFM Research[42] Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 53% 41% 3%[o] 3%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Kansas[44][45]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		771,406 56.14% +0.11%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		570,323 41.51% +5.85%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		30,574 2.23% −2.40%
Green Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in) 		669 0.05% −1.91%
American Solidarity Brian Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in) 		579 0.04% N/A
Independent Kanye West (write-in)
Michelle Tidball (write-in) 		332 0.02% N/A
Write-in 103 0.01% N/A
Total votes 1,373,986 100%

By county

[edit]
County Donald Trump
Republican 		Joe Biden
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Allen 4,218 71.59% 1,570 26.65% 104 1.76% 2,648 44.94% 5,892
Anderson 2,929 77.24% 782 20.62% 81 2.14% 2,147 56.62% 3,792
Atchison 4,906 65.94% 2,359 31.71% 175 2.35% 2,547 34.23% 7,440
Barber 2,014 85.99% 291 12.43% 37 1.58% 1,723 73.56% 2,342
Barton 8,608 77.20% 2,340 20.99% 202 1.81% 6,268 56.21% 11,150
Bourbon 5,023 75.24% 1,541 23.08% 245 3.88% 3,482 52.16% 6,676
Brown 3,262 72.96% 1,104 24.69% 105 2.35% 2,158 48.27% 4,471
Butler 22,634 69.60% 9,181 28.23% 705 2.17% 13,453 41.37% 32,520
Chase 1,123 75.32% 345 23.14% 23 1.54% 778 52.18% 1,491
Chautauqua 1,402 85.28% 212 12.90% 30 1.82% 1,190 72.38% 1,644
Cherokee 6,766 73.94% 2,194 23.98% 191 2.08% 4,572 49.96% 9,151
Cheyenne 1,183 82.79% 224 15.68% 22 1.53% 959 67.11% 1,429
Clark 904 84.72% 143 13.40% 20 1.88% 761 71.32% 1,067
Clay 3,177 75.97% 894 21.38% 111 2.65% 2,283 54.59% 4,182
Cloud 3,242 76.05% 920 21.58% 101 2.37% 2,322 54.47% 4,263
Coffey 3,489 76.43% 964 21.12% 112 2.45% 2,525 55.31% 4,565
Comanche 762 83.19% 126 13.76% 28 3.05% 636 69.43% 916
Cowley 9,656 67.85% 4,273 30.03% 302 2.12% 5,383 37.82% 14,231
Crawford 10,045 60.08% 6,179 36.96% 494 2.96% 3,866 23.12% 16,718
Decatur 1,260 84.11% 218 14.55% 20 1.34% 1,042 69.56% 1,498
Dickinson 7,126 76.22% 2,060 22.03% 163 1.75% 5,066 54.19% 9,349
Doniphan 2,976 80.24% 686 18.50% 47 1.26% 2,290 61.74% 3,709
Douglas 17,286 28.84% 40,785 68.04% 1,870 3.12% -23,499 -39.20% 59,941
Edwards 1,141 79.73% 271 18.94% 19 1.33% 870 60.79% 1,431
Elk 1,140 83.76% 195 14.33% 26 1.91% 945 69.43% 1,361
Ellis 9,758 70.42% 3,737 26.97% 361 2.61% 6,021 43.45% 13,856
Ellsworth 2,148 75.29% 648 22.71% 57 2.00% 1,500 52.58% 2,853
Finney 7,236 61.08% 4,325 36.51% 285 2.41% 2,911 24.57% 11,846
Ford 5,803 65.09% 2,947 33.06% 165 1.85% 2,856 32.03% 8,915
Franklin 8,479 67.96% 3,690 29.57% 308 2.47% 4,789 38.39% 12,477
Geary 5,323 55.43% 3,983 41.48% 297 3.09% 1,340 13.95% 9,603
Gove 1,291 87.76% 166 11.28% 14 0.96% 1,125 76.48% 1,471
Graham 1,080 80.78% 228 17.05% 29 2.17% 852 63.73% 1,337
Grant 1,936 77.41% 518 20.71% 47 1.88% 1,418 56.70% 2,501
Gray 1,911 83.52% 341 14.90% 36 1.58% 1,570 68.62% 2,288
Greeley 549 85.65% 78 12.17% 14 2.18% 471 73.48% 641
Greenwood 2,444 79.43% 569 18.49% 64 2.08% 1,875 60.94% 3,077
Hamilton 698 81.26% 141 16.41% 20 2.33% 557 64.85% 859
Harper 2,168 80.96% 461 17.21% 49 1.83% 1,707 63.75% 2,678
Harvey 10,182 58.52% 6,747 38.78% 470 2.70% 3,435 19.74% 17,399
Haskell 1,122 79.57% 268 19.01% 20 1.42% 854 60.56% 1,410
Hodgeman 875 83.73% 154 14.74% 16 1.53% 721 68.99% 1,045
Jackson 4,517 68.61% 1,881 28.57% 186 2.82% 2,636 40.04% 6,584
Jefferson 6,334 64.75% 3,194 32.65% 254 2.60% 3,140 32.10% 9,782
Jewell 1,387 85.20% 212 13.02% 29 1.78% 1,175 72.18% 1,628
Johnson 155,631 44.54% 184,259 52.74% 9,496 2.72% -28,628 -8.20% 349,386
Kearny 1,164 80.00% 267 18.35% 24 1.65% 897 61.65% 1,455
Kingman 3,130 79.26% 752 19.04% 67 1.70% 2,378 60.22% 3,949
Kiowa 980 84.12% 156 13.39% 29 2.49% 824 70.73% 1,165
Labette 5,735 66.97% 2,655 31.01% 173 2.02% 3,080 35.96% 8,563
Lane 762 85.14% 115 12.85% 18 2.01% 647 72.29% 895
Leavenworth 21,610 59.22% 13,886 38.05% 994 2.73% 7,724 21.17% 36,490
Lincoln 1,283 81.25% 266 16.85% 30 1.90% 1,017 64.40% 1,579
Linn 4,048 80.22% 896 17.76% 102 2.02% 3,152 62.46% 5,046
Logan 1,249 85.67% 186 12.76% 23 1.57% 1,063 72.91% 1,458
Lyon 7,550 53.74% 6,055 43.10% 444 3.16% 1,495 10.64% 14,049
Marion 4,465 73.06% 1,516 24.81% 130 2.13% 2,949 48.25% 6,111
Marshall 3,729 72.92% 1,259 24.62% 126 2.46% 2,470 48.30% 5,114
McPherson 9,964 69.01% 4,134 28.63% 340 2.36% 5,830 40.38% 14,438
Meade 1,523 83.45% 263 14.41% 39 2.14% 1,260 69.04% 1,825
Miami 12,308 68.42% 5,247 29.17% 434 2.41% 7,061 39.25% 17,989
Mitchell 2,504 80.75% 558 17.99% 39 1.26% 1,946 62.76% 3,101
Montgomery 9,931 73.97% 3,228 24.04% 267 1.99% 6,703 49.93% 13,426
Morris 2,124 73.27% 729 25.15% 46 1.58% 1,395 48.12% 2,899
Morton 1,034 86.31% 150 12.52% 14 1.17% 884 73.79% 1,198
Nemaha 4,664 82.05% 927 16.31% 93 1.64% 3,737 65.74% 5,684
Neosho 4,970 72.27% 1,796 26.12% 111 1.61% 3,174 46.15% 6,877
Ness 1,339 88.50% 149 9.85% 25 1.65% 1,190 78.65% 1,513
Norton 2,007 83.11% 364 15.07% 44 1.82% 1,643 68.04% 2,415
Osage 5,705 71.00% 2,136 26.58% 194 2.42% 3,569 44.42% 8,035
Osborne 1,629 83.75% 281 14.45% 35 1.80% 1,348 69.30% 1,945
Ottawa 2,610 81.79% 506 15.86% 75 2.35% 2,104 65.93% 3,191
Pawnee 2,045 74.66% 643 23.48% 51 1.86% 1,402 51.18% 2,739
Phillips 2,418 86.95% 318 11.43% 45 1.62% 2,100 75.52% 2,781
Pottawatomie 9,452 72.25% 3,313 25.32% 318 2.43% 6,139 46.93% 13,083
Pratt 3,108 75.13% 933 22.55% 96 2.32% 2,175 52.58% 4,137
Rawlins 1,261 83.84% 214 14.23% 29 1.93% 1,047 69.61% 1,504
Reno 18,443 65.73% 8,886 31.67% 731 2.60% 9,557 34.06% 28,060
Republic 2,182 82.12% 424 15.96% 51 1.92% 1,758 66.16% 2,657
Rice 3,262 75.53% 965 22.34% 92 2.13% 2,297 53.19% 4,319
Riley 11,610 46.12% 12,765 50.71% 796 3.17% -1,155 -4.59% 25,171
Rooks 2,325 86.14% 339 12.56% 35 1.30% 1,986 73.58% 2,699
Rush 1,350 80.50% 295 17.59% 32 1.91% 1,055 62.91% 1,677
Russell 2,790 80.47% 600 17.31% 77 2.22% 2,190 63.16% 3,467
Saline 15,722 63.85% 8,214 33.36% 688 2.79% 7,508 30.49% 24,624
Scott 2,014 85.56% 299 12.70% 41 1.74% 1,715 72.86% 2,354
Sedgwick 122,416 54.44% 95,870 42.64% 6,576 2.92% 26,546 11.80% 224,862
Seward 3,372 63.69% 1,833 34.62% 89 1.69% 1,539 29.07% 5,294
Shawnee 40,443 46.96% 43,015 49.95% 2,664 3.09% -2,572 -2.99% 86,122
Sheridan 1,282 88.72% 147 10.17% 16 1.11% 1,135 78.55% 1,445
Sherman 2,269 83.20% 396 14.52% 62 2.28% 1,873 68.68% 2,727
Smith 1,763 82.81% 336 15.78% 30 1.41% 1,427 67.03% 2,129
Stafford 1,645 80.88% 357 17.55% 32 1.57% 1,288 63.33% 2,034
Stanton 614 79.12% 148 19.07% 14 1.81% 466 60.05% 776
Stevens 1,760 86.66% 237 11.67% 34 1.67% 1,523 74.99% 2,031
Sumner 8,105 74.17% 2,591 23.71% 232 2.12% 5,514 50.46% 10,928
Thomas 3,130 82.15% 625 16.40% 55 1.45% 2,505 65.75% 3,810
Trego 1,363 83.62% 242 14.85% 25 1.53% 1,121 68.77% 1,630
Wabaunsee 2,845 72.91% 964 24.71% 93 2.38% 1,881 48.20% 3,902
Wallace 770 93.33% 44 5.33% 11 1.34% 726 88.00% 825
Washington 2,363 81.96% 475 16.48% 45 1.56% 1,888 65.48% 2,883
Wichita 808 83.47% 149 15.39% 11 1.14% 659 68.08% 968
Wilson 3,153 79.74% 723 18.29% 78 1.97% 2,430 61.45% 3,954
Woodson 1,228 79.43% 294 19.02% 24 1.55% 934 60.41% 1,546
Wyandotte 18,934 33.18% 36,788 64.46% 1,349 2.36% -17,854 -31.28% 57,071
Totals 771,406 56.00% 570,323 41.40% 35,755 2.60% 201,083 14.60% 1,377,484

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won three of Kansas' four congressional districts.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 69.7% 28.1% Roger Marshall
Tracey Mann
2nd 56.3% 41.3% Steve Watkins
Jake LaTurner
3rd 43.7% 54.3% Sharice Davids
4th 59.7% 38% Ron Estes

Analysis

[edit]

Biden's gains relative to Hillary Clinton were powered by significant improvement in Kansas' suburbs and college towns: he became the first Democrat to carry Johnson County, the state's most populous and home to Overland Park and Olathe, since Woodrow Wilson in 1916.[46] It was also the first since 1896 that Democrats received a majority in the county. Biden was also the first Democrat ever to win Riley County, anchored by the Fort Riley military installation and Kansas State University;[47] and the first to win Shawnee County, home to the state capital of Topeka, since Bill Clinton's narrow plurality in 1992.[48]

While he failed to break the 56-year Republican winning streak in Sedgwick County, the second most populous in the state and home to the state's largest city Wichita, his 42.9 percent of the vote there was the strongest for a Democrat since Jimmy Carter received 46.5 percent of the vote in 1976.[49] Biden would also build upon Hillary Clinton's share (32.31%) and even break Carter's record at Seward County of 33.96%. At 34.62%, this was the highest percentage of votes a Democratic presidential candidate has won in the county since Lyndon B. Johnson won 46.14% in 1964. This was also the first election since the three-way contest of 1992 in which a Democratic candidate won at least five counties, along with it being the smallest margin of victory for a Republican nominee since George Bush in 1992.

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Votes which had all its 5 ranked vote-choices allocated towards eliminated candidates who did not reach the threshold of 15%.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ Hawkins (G) and "Other candidate/write-in" with 1%
  6. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  7. ^ Includes "Refused"
  8. ^ "Neither of the two candidates" with 11%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  10. ^ Standard VI response
  11. ^ Hawkins (G) with 1%
  12. ^ If only Trump and Biden were candidates
  13. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  15. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
  16. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  2. ^ a b Keep Kansas Great PAC endorsed Marshall prior to this poll's sampling period
  3. ^ Poll for EMILY's List, a Democratic PAC which seeks to elect pro-choice Democratic women to office

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Voter turnout in United States elections". Ballotpedia. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Kansas Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. ^ Kinnard, Meg (September 7, 2019). "Nevada, SC, Kansas GOP drop presidential nomination votes". AP NEWS.
  6. ^ Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". The Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  7. ^ Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  8. ^ "Kansas GOP won't hold a caucus in 2020". KAKE. September 6, 2019. Archived from the original on February 9, 2020. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
  9. ^ "Kansas Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
  10. ^ Hanna, John (May 3, 2020). "Joe Biden Wins Kansas Primary Conducted Exclusively By Mail". HuffPost. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
  11. ^ "KSDEMS: 2020 Primary Results.xlsx". Google Docs. Kansas Democratic Party. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
  12. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  15. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  16. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  17. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  18. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  19. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  22. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  24. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  26. ^ "Kansas 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin". 270toWin.com.
  27. ^ Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018). "Kansas : President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight.
  28. ^ a b c d e f "Candidate preference". www.tableau.com.
  29. ^ "Data For Progress" (PDF).
  30. ^ "PPP/Protect Our Care" (PDF).
  31. ^ "Siena College/NYT Upshot" (PDF).
  32. ^ "co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC". Politico.
  33. ^ "Fort Hays State University".
  34. ^ "Civiqs/Daily Kos" (PDF).
  35. ^ "Data For Progress (D)" (PDF).
  36. ^ co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC
  37. ^ "SurveyUSA Election Poll #25471". www.surveyusa.com.
  38. ^ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF).
  39. ^ "Civiqs/Daily Kos" (PDF).
  40. ^ The Progress Campaign (D) Archived May 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  41. ^ a b "Public Policy Polling" (PDF).
  42. ^ a b c d DFM Research Archived February 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  43. ^ a b c "The Progress Campaign (D)" (PDF).
  44. ^ "Candidates for the 2020 General". Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  45. ^ "Kansas Releases Write-in Totals for Declared Presidential Write-in Candidates | Ballot Access News". February 5, 2021.
  46. ^ Lowry, Bryan (November 8, 2020). "Johnson County shifted blue under Trump. Is the color durable or will it wash out?". Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  47. ^ Pierce, Charles P. (November 9, 2020). "Down-Ballot Was Big Trouble for Democrats, But There Are Some Rainbows Out There". Retrieved December 3, 2020.
  48. ^ "Letter to the editor: Some Kansas counties went for Biden". November 12, 2020. Retrieved December 3, 2020.
  49. ^ "2020 Presidential General Election Results - Sedgwick County, KS". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.

Further reading

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