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2020 United States presidential election in Texas

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For related races, see 2020 United States presidential election.
2020 United States presidential election in Texas
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout66.73% (of registered voters)[1] Increase
52.39% (of voting age population)[2]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 38 0
Popular vote 5,890,347 5,259,126
Percentage 52.06% 46.48%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Texas voters chose 38 electors to represent them in the Electoral College. In a popular vote the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence won all the electors against the Democratic Party's nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris.[4]

Although it was considered a vulnerable state for Trump by some pollsters and experts and a potential upset victory for Biden due to its recent demographic trends, Trump held Texas with 52.1% of the vote, roughly the same percentage he carried it with in 2016. Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 vote share by 3.24 points, giving him the largest percentage in the state by a Democratic presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter carried the state in 1976. Trump's 5.58% margin of victory was also the narrowest for a Republican since 1996. Texas was the third-narrowest of Trump's state victories, behind only Florida and North Carolina, and the ninth-closest state overall. The election was also the first time Texas placed in the top ten closest states since 1968, and the first time since 1976 that Texas voted to the left of Ohio.[5][6]

This was also the first election since 1964 that the counties containing the five largest cities in Texas, consisting of Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin, and Fort Worth, would vote Democratic at the same time. Voter turnout in the state increased to its highest level since 1992, when two Texans, George H. W. Bush and Ross Perot, were on the ballot, and the last time Texas was a battleground state.[7]

Primary elections

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]
Further information: 2020 Texas Republican presidential primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were the only declared Republican candidates, as former South Carolina Governor and U.S. Representative Mark Sanford and U.S. Representative Joe Walsh had dropped out. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declined to run against Trump, as did 2016 Republican primary candidate and current senator Ted Cruz.[8][9] The primary was won overwhelmingly by Trump with over 94% of the vote.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Texas Republican presidential primary § TXresults.[edit]
2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary[10]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Donald Trump (incumbent) 1,898,664 94.13% 117
Uncommitted 71,803 3.56% 0
Bill Weld 15,739 0.78% 0
Joe Walsh 15,824 0.78% 0
Rocky De La Fuente 7,563 0.38% 0
Bob Ely 3,582 0.37% 0
Matthew Matern 3,525 0.18% 0
Zoltan Istvan 1,447 0.07% 0
Total: 2,017,167 100% 155

Democratic primary

[edit]
Further information: 2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Michael Bloomberg and Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[11][12][13] The primary was won by Biden, with Sanders coming second.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary § TXresults.[edit]
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—<30%
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Bloomberg—<30%
  Bloomberg—30–40%
  Bloomberg—50–60%
  Sanders—<30%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
  Sanders—50–60%
  Sanders—50–60%
  Warren—<30%
  Tie
  Tie
2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary[14]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[15]
Joe Biden 725,562 34.64 113
Bernie Sanders 626,339 29.91 99
Michael Bloomberg 300,608 14.35 11
Elizabeth Warren 239,237 11.42 5
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] 82,671 3.95
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] 43,291 2.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 16,688 0.80
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] 13,929 0.67
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 10,324 0.49
Tulsi Gabbard 8,688 0.41
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 6,674 0.32
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 4,941 0.24
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 3,918 0.19
John Delaney (withdrawn) 3,280 0.16
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,304 0.06
Other candidates 6,974 0.33
Total 2,094,428 100% 228

General election

[edit]

Final predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[16] Tossup
Inside Elections[17] Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Lean R
Politico[19] Lean R
RCP[20] Tossup
Niskanen[21] Tossup
CNN[22] Lean R
The Economist[23] Lean R
CBS News[24] Lean R
270towin[25] Lean R
ABC News[26] Tossup
NPR[27] Tossup
NBC News[28] Tossup
538[29] Lean R

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]


Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270 to Win[30] Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.5% 48.8% 3.7% Trump +1.3
Real Clear Politics[31] October 20–31, 2020 November 3, 2020 46.5% 47.8% 5.7% Trump +1.3
FiveThirtyEight[32] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.4% 48.6% 4.0% Trump +1.1
Average 47.1% 48.4% 4.5% Trump +1.2

Polls

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 9,226 (LV) ± 1.5% 51%[d] 47% – – – –
Swayable[34] Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,151 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 47% 1% 0% – –
Data For Progress[35] Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 926 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 49% 1% 1% 0%[e] –
AtlasIntel[36] Oct 30–31, 2020 686 (LV) ± 4% 50% 47% – – 3% –
Emerson College[37] Oct 29–31, 2020 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 49%[f] 48% - - 2%[g] –
Morning Consult[38] Oct 22–31, 2020 3,267 (LV) ± 2% 48% 48% – – – –
Public Policy Polling[39] Oct 28–29, 2020 775 (V) – 48% 50% – – – 2%
Gravis Marketing[40] Oct 27–28, 2020 670 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 45% – – – 5%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[41] Oct 27–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50%[h] 46% – – 2%[g] 2%
48%[i] 48% – – 2%[g] 2%
52%[j] 44% – – 2%[g] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Oct 1–28, 2020 15,145 (LV) – 51% 47% – – – –
Swayable[42] Oct 23–26, 2020 552 (LV) ± 5.7% 49% 48% 3% 1% – –
YouGov/UMass Amherst[43] Oct 20–26, 2020 873 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 47% 2% 1% 0%[k] 1%
Data for Progress (D)[44] Oct 22–25, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 49% 1% 0% – 2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[45] Oct 20–25, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 43% 3% 0% 2%[l] 5%[m]
Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[46] 		Oct 17–25, 2020 758 (RV) ± 3.56% 49% 46% – – 3%[n] 2%
Citizen Data[47] Oct 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 45% 49% 1% 0% 1% 4%
YouGov/University of Houston[48] Oct 13–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 2% 0% – 3%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[49] Oct 13–20, 2020 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 47%[f] 49% 3% 1% – 1%
Morning Consult[38] Oct 11–20, 2020 3,347 (LV) ± 1.7% 47% 48% – – – –
Quinnipiac University[50] Oct 16–19, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% – – 1%[o] 5%
Data for Progress (D)[51] Oct 15–18, 2020 933 (LV) ± 3.2% 46%[f] 47% 2% 1% – 5%
Morning Consult[52][1] Oct 2–11, 2020 3,455 (LV) ± 1.7% 49% 47% – – – 3%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[53][A] Oct 7–8, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 48% – – – 1%
YouGov/CCES[54] Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 2,947 (LV) – 49% 47% – – – –
Morning Consult[55] Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2% 49% 46% – – – –
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR[56] Oct 5–6, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 51% 44% – – – –
Civiqs/Daily Kos[57] Oct 3–6, 2020 895 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 48% – – 2%[g] 1%
Data For Progress (D)[58] Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 1,949 (LV) ± 2.2% 45% 47% 2% 1% – 5%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[59] Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.25% 50% 45% 2% 2% 1%[o] –
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC[60][B] Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 848 (LV) – 49% 49% – – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Sep 1–30, 2020 13,395 (LV) – 52% 46% – – – 2%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[61][C] Sep 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 47% – – – –
Morning Consult[55] Sep 18–27, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2% 48% 47% – – – –
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[62][2] Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[D] Sep 25–26, 2020 612 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 48% – – – 4%
YouGov/UMass Lowell[63] Sep 18–25, 2020 882 (LV) ± 4.3% 49%[p] 46% 2% 1% 1%[q] 1%
50%[r] 46% – – 2%[s] 2%
Data For Progress[64][E] Sep 18–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 45% – – – 9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[65] Sep 16–22, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 43% 1% 1% 0%[t] 9%[m]
Quinnipiac University[66] Sep 17–21, 2020 1,078 (LV) ± 3% 50% 45% – – No voters 4%
YouGov/CBS[67] Sep 15–18, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% – – 2%[u] 4%
Morning Consult[55] Sep 8–17, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2% 47% 47% – – – –
Morning Consult[68] Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 2,829 (LV) ± 2% 46%[v] 46% – – – –
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[69][F] Sep 1–2, 2020 743 (V) – 48% 47% – – – 5%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[70] Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020 901 (LV) ± 3.26% 49%[f] 47% 1% 1% 1% –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Aug 1–31, 2020 12,607 (LV) – 52% 46% – – – 2%
Morning Consult[71] Aug 21–30, 2020 2,632 (LV) ± 2% 48%[v] 47% – – – –
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[72][G] Aug 20–25, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3% 44% 48% 0% – 0%[w] 5%
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance[73] Aug 20–25, 2020 2,295 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 48% – – – 8%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[74][3][H] Aug 21–22, 2020 764 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 48% – – – 5%
Morning Consult[55] Aug 13–22, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2% 48% 47% – – – –
Morning Consult[71] Aug 7–16, 2020 2,559 (LV) ± 2% 47%[x] 46% – – – –
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas[75][I] Aug 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 47% – – – –
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute[76] Aug 4–13, 2020 846 (RV) – 48% 41% 1% 1% – 10.2%
– (LV)[J] 50% 44% 1% 0% – 5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[77] Aug 1–5, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 2% – 2%[y] 3%
Morning Consult[55] Aug 3–12, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 46% – – – –
Morning Consult[78] Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 2,576 (LV) ± 2.0% 46%[v] 47% – – 2%[g] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Jul 1–31, 2020 13,721 (LV) – 52% 46% – – – 2%
Morning Consult[79] Jul 17–26, 2020 2,685 (LV) ± 1.9% 45%[x] 47% – – – –
Morning Consult[79][4] Jul 16–25, 2020 ≈2,700 (LV)[z] ± 2.0% 45% 47% – – – –
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[80][K] Jul 16–20, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% – – – 6%
Quinnipiac University[81] Jul 16–20, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 45% – – 7%[aa] 4%
Morning Consult[79] Jul 6–15, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 46% 46% – – – –
YouGov/CBS[82] Jul 7–10, 2020 1,185 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% – – 4%[ab] 6%
Gravis Marketing/OANN[83] Jul 7, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 44% – – – –
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[84] Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 43% 48% – – 4% 5%
Morning Consult[79] Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 46% 45% – – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] Jun 8–30, 2020 6,669 (LV) – 51% 46% – – – 2%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project[85] Jun 19–29, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.89% 48% 44% – – – 8%
Public Policy Polling[86][5] Jun 24–25, 2020 729 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% – – – 5%
Morning Consult[79] Jun 16–25, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 47% 44% – – – –
Fox News[87] Jun 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% – – 5%[ac] 5%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas[88][6][L] Jun 18–19, 2020 907 (V) ± 3% 48% 46% – – – 6%
Morning Consult[79] Jun 6–15, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 48% 45% – – – –
Morning Consult[79] May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 48% 43% – – – –
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[89][M] Jun 2–3, 2020 683 (V) – 48% 48% – – – 4%
Quinnipiac[90] May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 1,166 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 43% – – 6%[ad] 7%
Morning Consult[79] May 17–26, 2020 2,551 (LV) – 50%[v] 43% – – – –
Morning Consult[79] May 16–25, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 50% 42% – – – –
Morning Consult[79] May 6–15, 2020 – (LV)[z] – 49% 43% – – – –
Emerson College[91] May 8–10, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 52%[ae] 48% – – – –
Public Policy Polling[92] Apr 27–28, 2020 1,032 (V) – 46% 47% – – – 7%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[93] Apr 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.85% 43% 43% – – 5% 9%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[94] Apr 10–19, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% – – – 7%
AtlasIntel[95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 43% – – 11% –
NBC News/Marist College[96] Feb 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% – – 1% 5%
CNN/SSRS[97] Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% – – 3%[af] 2%
Univision[98] Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 46% – – – 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% – – 11% –
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 44% – – – 10%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[101] Jan 21–30, 2020 910 (LV) ± 3.24% 46% 44% – – 10%[ag] –
Data For Progress[102][N] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 54% 40% – – 3%[ah] 3%
Texas Lyceum[103] Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 46% – – – 3%
CNN/SSRS[104] Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 48% 47% – – 2%[ai] 3%
Beacon Research (R)[105] Nov 9–21, 2019 1,601 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 44% – – – –
University of Texas at Tyler[106] Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 39% – – – 16%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[107] Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% – – 9%[aj] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler[108] Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 40% – – 13% 9%
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 43% 47% – – – 10%
Climate Nexus[110] Aug 20–25, 2019 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 43% 43% – – – 9%
University of Texas at Tyler[111] Aug 1–4, 2019 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 41% – – 14% 8%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51% – – – –
University of Texas at Tyler[113] Jul 24–27, 2019 1,414 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 37% – – 12% 14%
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 48% – – 1% 4%
WPA Intelligence[115] Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 49% 42% – – – 7%
Emerson College[116] Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 50%[ae] 51% – – – –
Quinnipiac University[117] Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% – – 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[118][O] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 46% – – – 5%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 9% –
NBC News/Marist College[96] Feb 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 1% 5%
CNN/SSRS[97] Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 46% 3%[ak] 3%
Univision[98] Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 45% – 10%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 11% –
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 45% – 7%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[119] Jan 21–30, 2020 910 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 42% 12%[al] –
Data for Progress[120][N] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 55% 40% 3%[ah] 2%
Texas Lyceum[103] Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 47% – 3%
CNN/SSRS[104] Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 50% 43% 4%[am] 3%
University of Texas at Tyler[106] Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% – 16%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[121] Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 40% 9%[aj] 5%
University of Texas at Tyler[108] Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 38% 14% 8%
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 42% 48% – 10%
Climate Nexus[110] Aug 20–25, 2019 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 41% – 7%
University of Texas at Tyler[111] Aug 1–4, 2019 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 42% 13% 7%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51% – –
University of Texas at Tyler[113] Jul 24–27, 2019 1,414 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 39% 11% 12%
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 44% 1% 4%
Emerson College[116] Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 51%[ae] 49% – –
Quinnipiac University[117] Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 45% 2% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 12% –
CNN/SSRS[97] Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 47% 2%[ai] 4%
Univision[98] Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 41% – 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 37% 16% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 44% – 9%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[122] Jan 21–30, 2020 907 (LV) ± 3.24% 48% 41% 12%[al] –
Data for Progress[120][N] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 56% 38% 3%[ah] 3%
Texas Lyceum[103] Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 43% – 7%
CNN/SSRS[104] Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 51% 44% 3%[af] 2%
Beacon Research (R)[105] Nov 9–21, 2019 1,601 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 41% – –
University of Texas at Tyler[106] Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 35% – 20%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[121] Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 10%[an] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler[108] Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 37% 15% 9%
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 42% 44% – 14%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 45% 1% 5%
Emerson College[116] Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 53% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University[117] Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 2% 6%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 36% 17% –
CNN/SSRS[97] Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 3%[ak] 4%
Univision[98] Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 44% – 13%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 10% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 46% 41% – 13%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[123] Jan 21–30, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 44% 9%[ao] –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D) 		Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS[97] Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 2%[ai] 5%
Univision[98] Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% – 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 38% 17% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 46% 41% – 13%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[124] Jan 21–30, 2020 909 (LV) ± 3.24% 46% 38% 16%[ap] –

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS[97] Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 2%[ai] 4%
Univision[98] Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 40% – 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[99] Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 41% 15% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[125] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 42% – 11%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[126] Jan 21–30, 2020 905 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 37% 15%[aq] –
Data for Progress[120][N] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 56% 36% 4%[ar] 4%
Texas Lyceum[103] Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 43% – 6%
CNN/SSRS[104] Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 50% 43% 2%[ai] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler[106] Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 33% - 22%
University of Texas at Tyler[108] Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 30% 21% 10%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 44% 1% 6%
Emerson College[116] Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 54% 46% – –

Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Tom
Steyer (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[127] Jan 21–30, 2020 909 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 36% 17%[as] –

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Andrew
Yang (D) 		Other Undecided
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 45% 43% – 12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Cory
Booker (D) 		Other Undecided
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 41% 43% – 16%

with Donald Trump and Julian Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Julian
Castro (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler[106] Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 34% – 21%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[128] Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 33% 14%[at] 7%
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 41% 44% – 16%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 1% 6%
Quinnipiac University[117] Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 41% 2% 8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler[106] Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 33% - 21%
University of Texas at Tyler[108] Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 32% 19% 10%
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 44% 45% – 11%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 43% 1% 6%
Emerson College[116] Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 54% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University[117] Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 2% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[118][O] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 40% – 11%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[107] Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 41% 7%[au] 5%
University of Texas at Tyler[108] Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 42% 11% 8%
Emerson[112] Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University[114] May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 1% 3%
Emerson College[116] Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 50% – –
Quinnipiac University[117] Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 1% 4%
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[129][P] Jan 5–11, 2019 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 39% – –
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Mark Cuban

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Mark
Cuban (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[130] Dec 2017 – (V)[z] – 44% 47% –

with Donald Trump and a Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Undecided
Univision[109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 42% 47% 11%

with Donald Trump and a generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[131][7] Apr 10–19, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 50%[av] 7%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[132] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 48% 52%[av] –
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[133] Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 48% 52%[av] –
Quinnipiac[134] Sep 4–9, 2019 1,410 (RV) ± 3.1% 35% 48%[aw] 17%[ax]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[135] May 31–Jun 9, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 50% 50%[av] –
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[136] Feb 15–24, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 49% 51%[av] –

Voting access

[edit]

Matters of election administration and ease of voting during an ongoing pandemic were heavily litigated in Texas in 2020. Harris County, the most populous one in Texas, spearheaded a number of innovative approaches and was the focal point of several legal challenges.

For the 2020 elections, Harris County Commissioners approved a budget of $33 million, higher than the $4 million budget for the 2016 United States presidential election. Chris Hollins, the interim Harris County Clerk and Texas Democratic Party finance vice chairperson, created a 23-point voting access expansion program, which included promotion of voting by mail, expansion of early voting accessibility, and drive-through voting, an innovation to facilitate voting while at the same time mitigating infection risks during the COVID-19 pandemic.[137] On October 29 several voting locations in Harris County were available for 24 hours to accommodate voters whose work shifts or other responsibilities overlapped with regular voting hours.[138]

Local Republican activists and officials challenged the voter-friendly measures in multiple legal actions, with mixed success. Several lawsuits complained about early voting and about Harris County providing multiple drop-off locations for absentee ballots. Responding to pressure from within his own party, Governor Abbott then restricted the number of drop-offs to a single one per county regardless of population and size, forcing Harris County to close eleven sites at county clerk branch offices called annexes.[139]

When a legal action challenging drive-through voting was dismissed,[137] the Republican Party in Texas sought relief in the Texas Supreme Court (SCOTX), which denied the petition because the case had not been brought promptly.[140] The first lawsuit was filed on October 15 even though Harris County had obtained prior clearance from the Office of the Texas Secretary of State (which is led by a Republican appointed by Republican Governor Abbott) and had tested drive-in voting in the primary runoff elections in July without complaint.[141][142] SCOTX denied the petition and drive-thru voting continued.[143] On October 29 another action was filed seeking to invalidate drive-thru ballots based on the contention that this was a form of curbside voting that the Texas Election Code authorized only for voters with disabilities.[144] In an order issued on Sunday, November 1, the Texas Supreme Court denied the petition challenging the legality of drive-through voting, but did not resolve the legal argument one way or the other.[145][146] The next day, U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen heard an almost identical case by the same group of plaintiff, which included Republican candidates, on an emergency basis. Slate described the judge as "one of the most notoriously partisan conservatives in the federal judiciary."[142] Hanen ruled against the plaintiffs, dismissing their action for lack of standing, with the result that drive-in voting remained in effect. The Plaintiffs, which included Steve Toth,[147] immediately sought emergency relief in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, but were unsuccessful.[148] Hollins nevertheless cancelled drive-thru voting in tent structures on the eve of Election Day.[149] He reversed himself out of concern that ballots cast there might be declared invalid, should the Fifth Circuit disagree with Judge Hanen on the standing issue and agree with Judge Hanen that tents were not permissible polling places on Election Day.[150]

Some counties also set up an online system that allowed voters to check for wait times at early voting centers and make their voting plans accordingly.[151]

On October 5, Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued a proclamation under the Texas Disaster Act limiting each county to a single drop-off location for mail ballots.[152] Federal judge Robert Pitman blocked Abbott's order on October 9.[153] The next day, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton appealed to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals for an emergency stay of Pitman's ruling, which a three-judge motion panel temporarily granted on an interim basis, pending consideration of the appeal on the merits.[154] A Texas state judge also blocked Abbott's order on October 15, and a state appeals court upheld that decision on October 23. Paxton then sought emergency relief from the Texas Supreme Court, which backed the Governor and lifted the temporary injunction in an October 27 decision with no dissent.[155][156][157]

Turnout

[edit]

Voter registration in Texas ended on October 5, and the Secretary of State reported a registration total of 16,955,519 voters, an increase of 1,854,432 since the 2016 elections, and 1.2 million of which had occurred after the 2018 midterm elections.

Early voting began on October 13. Over one million ballots were received on that day,[158] and by October 15 fewer than two million ballots were counted.[159] The following day the count was 2.6 million, which meant 15.51% of the state's registered voters had already voted.[160]

For the whole early voting period, votes in the age 18-29 range were higher than the total of that age group of 2016, with 1.3 million votes.[161]

On October 13, Dallas County recorded 59,905 ballots and Tarrant County recorded 42,428 ballots, with the former setting a record for that county and the latter below the 2016 count on the first day of early voting.[162]

On October 13, Harris County had an unofficial tally of 128,186 ballots received, the highest ever first day early voting count and over 5% of the county's registered voters.[163] By the second day, the count was 287,931, 11% of the county's registered voters.[164] On the third day, over 100,000 ballots were counted, and in those three days 387,000 ballots were counted, with 44,000 of them issued through the mail.[165] On the fourth day, a similar number of ballots were cast, which meant the number of ballots cast total was about 500,000.[166] On October 23, there were 1 million ballots cast from Harris County.[167]

On October 13, Travis County received 35,873 ballots,[168] while it received 38,119 the following day,[169] and by 3 P.M. on Thursday over 26,000.[170] When voting closed on Thursday the percentage of Travis County voters who had already voted was 16.44%. On Friday 41,328 additional votes were counted.[160] Williamson County by the third day had a 64,891 votes out of 376,931 people registered to vote, which meant its turnout was already 17.25%.[171]

On October 13, Bexar County recorded 78,000 votes, with over 45,000 by mail and the remainder in person.[158]

On October 13, El Paso County recorded fewer than 34,000 votes.[158]

By October 19, Texas voters cast 50% of the votes cast in the 2016 presidential election in Texas. By October 22, 65.5% of 2016 votes were cast (or 34.65% of registered voters). By October 25, over 80% of 2016 votes were cast (or 43% of registered voters),[172] and by October 29, 50% of registered voters had cast ballots by early in-person and absentee ballot. By October 30, statewide voter turnout, as well as turnout in Harris County, had already surpassed the total of 2016.[173]

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Texas[174]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		5,890,347 52.06% −0.17%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		5,259,126 46.48% +3.24%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		126,243 1.12% −2.04%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		33,396 0.30% −0.50%
Write-in 5,944 0.04% -0.53%
Total votes 11,315,056 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

[edit]
County Donald Trump
Republican 		Joe Biden
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Anderson 15,110 78.59% 3,955 20.57% 162 0.84% 11,155 58.02% 19,227
Andrews 4,943 84.31% 850 14.50% 70 1.19% 4,093 69.81% 5,863
Angelina 25,076 72.40% 9,143 26.40% 416 1.20% 15,933 46.00% 34,635
Aransas 9,239 75.17% 2,916 23.73% 135 1.10% 6,323 51.44% 12,290
Archer 4,300 89.66% 446 9.30% 50 1.04% 3,854 80.36% 4,796
Armstrong 1,035 93.08% 75 6.74% 2 0.18% 960 86.34% 1,112
Atascosa 12,039 66.37% 5,876 32.40% 223 1.23% 6,163 33.97% 18,138
Austin 11,447 78.48% 2,951 20.23% 188 1.29% 8,496 58.25% 14,586
Bailey 1,434 77.10% 409 21.99% 17 0.91% 1,025 55.11% 1,860
Bandera 10,057 79.03% 2,505 19.68% 164 1.29% 7,552 59.35% 12,726
Bastrop 20,516 55.81% 15,474 42.09% 772 2.10% 5,042 13.72% 36,762
Baylor 1,494 87.78% 183 10.75% 25 1.47% 1,311 77.03% 1,702
Bee 6,006 63.72% 3,288 34.88% 132 1.40% 2,718 28.84% 9,426
Bell 67,893 53.17% 57,014 44.65% 2,783 2.18% 10,879 8.52% 127,690
Bexar 308,618 40.05% 448,452 58.20% 13,501 1.75% -139,834 -18.15% 770,571
Blanco 5,443 72.97% 1,911 25.62% 105 1.41% 3,532 47.35% 7,459
Borden 397 95.43% 16 3.85% 3 0.72% 381 91.58% 416
Bosque 7,469 81.84% 1,561 17.10% 96 1.06% 5,908 64.74% 9,126
Bowie 27,116 70.87% 10,747 28.09% 398 1.04% 16,369 42.78% 38,261
Brazoria 90,433 58.35% 62,228 40.15% 2,323 1.50% 28,205 18.20% 154,984
Brazos 47,530 55.71% 35,349 41.43% 2,434 2.86% 12,181 14.28% 85,313
Brewster 2,461 51.04% 2,258 46.83% 103 2.13% 203 4.21% 4,822
Briscoe 639 88.14% 78 10.76% 8 1.10% 561 77.38% 725
Brooks 998 40.18% 1,470 59.18% 16 0.64% -472 -19.00% 2,484
Brown 13,698 85.78% 2,107 13.19% 164 1.03% 11,591 72.59% 15,969
Burleson 6,743 78.33% 1,788 20.77% 78 0.90% 4,955 57.56% 8,609
Burnet 18,767 75.93% 5,639 22.81% 311 1.26% 13,128 53.12% 24,717
Caldwell 8,031 53.64% 6,672 44.56% 270 1.80% 1,359 9.08% 14,973
Calhoun 5,641 71.80% 2,148 27.34% 67 0.86% 3,493 44.46% 7,856
Callahan 6,012 87.92% 734 10.73% 92 1.35% 5,278 77.19% 6,838
Cameron 49,032 42.89% 64,063 56.04% 1,231 1.07% -15,031 -13.15% 114,326
Camp 3,626 71.66% 1,394 27.55% 40 0.79% 2,232 44.11% 5,060
Carson 2,779 89.01% 297 9.51% 46 1.48% 2,482 79.50% 3,122
Cass 11,033 79.22% 2,795 20.07% 99 0.71% 8,238 59.15% 13,927
Castro 1,602 76.91% 466 22.37% 15 0.72% 1,136 54.54% 2,083
Chambers 17,353 80.15% 3,997 18.46% 302 1.39% 13,356 61.69% 21,652
Cherokee 15,101 77.41% 4,210 21.58% 197 1.01% 10,891 55.83% 19,508
Childress 1,943 85.26% 310 13.60% 26 1.14% 1,633 71.66% 2,279
Clay 5,069 88.25% 614 10.69% 61 1.06% 4,455 77.56% 5,744
Cochran 809 80.90% 177 17.70% 14 1.40% 632 63.20% 1,000
Coke 1,586 89.15% 178 10.01% 15 0.84% 1,408 79.14% 1,779
Coleman 3,641 88.18% 451 10.92% 37 0.90% 3,190 77.26% 4,129
Collin 252,318 51.26% 230,945 46.92% 8,953 1.82% 21,373 4.34% 492,216
Collingsworth 1,048 86.04% 155 12.73% 15 1.23% 893 73.31% 1,218
Colorado 7,472 74.91% 2,420 24.26% 83 0.83% 5,052 50.65% 9,975
Comal 62,740 70.58% 24,826 27.93% 1,326 1.49% 37,914 42.65% 88,892
Comanche 5,177 85.06% 853 14.02% 56 0.92% 4,324 71.04% 6,086
Concho 1,058 83.44% 197 15.54% 13 1.02% 861 67.90% 1,268
Cooke 15,596 81.98% 3,210 16.87% 219 1.15% 12,386 65.11% 19,025
Coryell 15,438 65.71% 7,565 32.20% 490 2.09% 7,873 33.51% 23,493
Cottle 540 81.57% 113 17.07% 9 1.36% 427 64.50% 662
Crane 1,247 82.97% 241 16.03% 15 1.00% 1,006 66.94% 1,503
Crockett 1,220 77.51% 344 21.86% 10 0.63% 876 55.65% 1,574
Crosby 1,396 71.48% 527 26.98% 30 1.54% 869 44.50% 1,953
Culberson 415 48.03% 438 50.69% 11 1.28% -23 -2.66% 864
Dallam 1,389 86.33% 197 12.24% 23 1.43% 1,192 74.09% 1,609
Dallas 307,076 33.29% 598,576 64.89% 16,861 1.82% -291,500 -31.60% 922,513
Dawson 2,951 77.88% 808 21.32% 30 0.80% 2,143 56.56% 3,789
Deaf Smith 3,294 71.45% 1,264 27.42% 52 1.13% 2,030 64.03% 4,610
Delta 2,162 83.41% 403 15.55% 27 1.04% 1,759 67.86% 2,592
Denton 222,480 53.23% 188,695 45.15% 6,789 1.62% 33,785 8.08% 417,964
DeWitt 6,567 80.89% 1,494 18.40% 57 0.71% 5,073 62.49% 8,118
Dickens 853 86.34% 130 13.16% 5 0.50% 723 73.18% 988
Dimmit 1,384 37.75% 2,264 61.76% 18 0.49% -880 -24.01% 3,666
Donley 1,438 87.26% 198 12.01% 12 0.73% 1,240 75.25% 1,648
Duval 2,443 48.35% 2,575 50.96% 35 0.69% -132 -2.61% 5,053
Eastland 7,237 87.27% 983 11.85% 73 0.88% 6,254 75.42% 8,293
Ector 32,697 73.33% 11,367 25.49% 527 1.18% 21,330 47.84% 44,591
Edwards 893 83.77% 168 15.76% 5 0.47% 725 68.01% 1,066
El Paso 84,331 31.56% 178,126 66.66% 4,758 1.78% -93,795 -35.10% 267,215
Ellis 56,717 66.19% 27,565 32.17% 1,406 1.64% 29,152 34.02% 85,688
Erath 13,684 81.08% 2,916 17.28% 277 1.64% 10,768 63.80% 16,877
Falls 4,177 68.11% 1,899 30.96% 57 0.93% 2,278 37.15% 6,133
Fannin 12,171 81.10% 2,655 17.69% 181 1.21% 9,516 63.41% 15,007
Fayette 10,171 78.60% 2,661 20.56% 109 0.84% 7,510 58.04% 12,941
Fisher 1,448 79.30% 352 19.28% 26 1.42% 1,096 60.02% 1,826
Floyd 1,584 77.69% 438 21.48% 17 0.83% 1,146 56.21% 2,039
Foard 445 80.76% 99 17.97% 7 1.27% 346 62.79% 551
Fort Bend 157,718 44.01% 195,552 54.57% 5,063 1.42% -37,834 -10.56% 358,333
Franklin 4,161 83.07% 804 16.05% 44 0.88% 3,357 67.02% 5,009
Freestone 6,991 80.25% 1,635 18.77% 85 0.98% 5,356 61.48% 8,711
Frio 2,823 53.48% 2,422 45.88% 34 0.64% 401 7.60% 5,279
Gaines 5,355 89.31% 576 9.61% 65 1.08% 4,779 79.70% 5,996
Galveston 93,911 60.56% 58,842 37.95% 2,307 1.49% 35,069 22.61% 155,060
Garza 1,413 85.48% 231 13.97% 9 0.55% 1,182 71.51% 1,653
Gillespie 12,514 78.95% 3,176 20.04% 160 1.01% 9,338 58.91% 15,850
Glasscock 611 93.57% 39 5.97% 3 0.46% 572 87.60% 653
Goliad 3,085 77.22% 877 21.95% 33 0.83% 2,208 55.27% 3,995
Gonzales 5,627 73.57% 1,948 25.47% 73 0.96% 3,679 48.10% 7,648
Gray 6,840 87.90% 829 10.65% 113 1.45% 6,011 77.25% 7,782
Grayson 44,163 74.26% 14,506 24.39% 805 1.35% 29,657 49.87% 59,474
Gregg 32,493 67.72% 14,796 30.84% 693 1.44% 17,697 36.88% 47,982
Grimes 9,432 75.98% 2,833 22.82% 149 1.20% 6,599 53.16% 12,414
Guadalupe 47,553 61.16% 28,805 37.04% 1,400 1.80% 18,748 24.12% 77,758
Hale 7,177 74.87% 2,279 23.77% 130 1.36% 4,898 51.10% 9,586
Hall 995 85.12% 168 14.37% 6 0.51% 827 70.75% 1,169
Hamilton 3,616 83.11% 641 14.73% 94 2.16% 2,975 68.38% 4,351
Hansford 1,849 90.33% 166 8.11% 32 1.56% 1,683 82.22% 2,047
Hardeman 1,330 84.18% 241 15.25% 9 0.57% 1,089 68.93% 1,580
Hardin 23,858 86.33% 3,474 12.57% 303 1.10% 20,384 73.76% 27,635
Harris 700,630 42.69% 918,193 55.94% 22,434 1.37% -217,563 -13.25% 1,641,257
Harrison 21,466 72.23% 7,908 26.61% 343 1.16% 13,558 45.62% 29,717
Hartley 1,868 89.89% 195 9.38% 15 0.73% 1,673 80.51% 2,078
Haskell 1,840 83.11% 353 15.94% 21 0.95% 1,487 67.17% 2,214
Hays 47,680 43.59% 59,524 54.41% 2,191 2.00% -11,844 -10.82% 109,395
Hemphill 1,486 86.40% 206 11.98% 28 1.62% 1,280 74.42% 1,720
Henderson 28,911 79.61% 7,060 19.44% 346 0.95% 21,851 60.17% 36,317
Hidalgo 90,527 40.98% 128,199 58.04% 2,158 0.98% -37,672 -17.06% 220,884
Hill 11,926 79.87% 2,860 19.15% 145 0.98% 9,066 60.82% 14,931
Hockley 6,536 80.69% 1,482 18.30% 82 1.01% 5,054 62.39% 8,100
Hood 26,496 81.42% 5,648 17.36% 397 1.22% 20,848 64.06% 32,541
Hopkins 12,719 79.79% 3,046 19.11% 176 1.10% 9,673 60.68% 15,941
Houston 7,060 74.80% 2,314 24.52% 64 0.68% 4,746 50.28% 9,438
Howard 8,054 78.64% 2,069 20.20% 118 1.16% 5,985 58.44% 10,241
Hudspeth 779 66.87% 371 31.85% 15 1.28% 408 35.02% 1,165
Hunt 29,163 75.56% 8,906 23.07% 528 1.37% 20,257 52.49% 38,597
Hutchinson 7,681 87.55% 965 11.00% 127 1.45% 6,716 76.55% 8,773
Irion 759 85.38% 120 13.50% 10 1.12% 639 71.88% 889
Jack 3,418 90.38% 331 8.75% 33 0.87% 3,087 81.63% 3,782
Jackson 5,231 82.34% 1,033 16.26% 89 1.40% 4,198 66.08% 6,353
Jasper 12,542 80.34% 2,954 18.92% 115 0.74% 9,588 61.42% 15,611
Jeff Davis 784 60.08% 501 38.39% 20 1.53% 283 21.69% 1,305
Jefferson 47,570 50.20% 46,073 48.62% 1,116 1.18% 1,497 1.58% 94,759
Jim Hogg 833 40.91% 1,197 58.79% 6 0.30% -364 -17.88% 2,036
Jim Wells 7,453 54.52% 6,119 44.77% 97 0.71% 1,334 9.75% 13,669
Johnson 54,628 75.85% 16,464 22.86% 928 1.29% 38,164 52.99% 72,020
Jones 5,660 83.96% 999 14.82% 82 1.22% 4,661 69.14% 6,741
Karnes 3,968 75.55% 1,234 23.50% 50 0.95% 2,734 52.05% 5,252
Kaufman 37,624 66.34% 18,405 32.45% 689 1.21% 19,219 33.89% 56,718
Kendall 20,083 75.92% 6,020 22.76% 349 1.32% 14,063 53.16% 26,452
Kenedy 127 65.46% 65 33.51% 2 1.03% 62 31.95% 194
Kent 411 88.96% 47 10.17% 4 0.87% 364 78.79% 462
Kerr 20,879 75.25% 6,524 23.51% 342 1.24% 14,355 51.74% 27,745
Kimble 1,987 86.69% 284 12.39% 21 0.92% 1,703 74.30% 2,292
King 151 94.97% 8 5.03% 0 0.00% 143 89.94% 159
Kinney 1,144 71.37% 446 27.82% 13 0.81% 698 43.55% 1,603
Kleberg 5,504 50.29% 5,314 48.56% 126 1.15% 190 1.73% 10,944
Knox 1,180 81.04% 265 18.20% 11 0.76% 915 62.84% 1,456
Lamar 16,760 78.16% 4,458 20.79% 224 1.05% 12,302 57.37% 21,442
Lamb 3,521 79.84% 840 19.05% 49 1.11% 2,681 60.79% 4,410
Lampasas 8,086 77.76% 2,144 20.62% 169 1.62% 5,942 57.14% 10,399
La Salle 1,335 55.49% 1,052 43.72% 19 0.79% 283 11.77% 2,406
Lavaca 8,804 86.34% 1,333 13.07% 60 0.59% 7,471 73.27% 10,197
Lee 6,255 77.22% 1,750 21.60% 95 1.18% 4,505 55.62% 8,100
Leon 7,523 86.62% 1,072 12.34% 90 1.04% 6,451 74.28% 8,685
Liberty 23,302 79.44% 5,785 19.72% 247 0.84% 17,517 59.72% 29,334
Limestone 6,789 74.65% 2,213 24.33% 93 1.02% 4,576 50.32% 9,095
Lipscomb 1,205 89.06% 131 9.68% 17 1.26% 1,074 79.38% 1,353
Live Oak 4,199 83.08% 819 16.20% 36 0.72% 3,380 66.88% 5,054
Llano 10,079 79.61% 2,465 19.47% 116 0.92% 7,614 60.14% 12,660
Loving 60 90.91% 4 6.06% 2 3.03% 56 84.85% 66
Lubbock 78,861 65.27% 40,017 33.12% 1,939 1.61% 38,844 32.15% 120,817
Lynn 1,853 80.81% 428 18.67% 12 0.52% 1,425 64.14% 2,293
Madison 4,169 78.69% 1,088 20.54% 41 0.77% 3,081 58.15% 5,298
Marion 3,470 71.34% 1,339 27.53% 55 1.13% 2,131 43.81% 4,864
Martin 1,857 85.97% 288 13.33% 15 0.70% 1,569 72.64% 2,160
Mason 1,991 80.48% 457 18.47% 26 1.05% 1,534 62.01% 2,474
Matagorda 9,845 71.72% 3,733 27.19% 149 1.09% 6,112 44.53% 13,727
Maverick 6,881 44.84% 8,332 54.29% 133 0.87% -1,451 -9.45% 15,346
McCulloch 2,904 84.52% 490 14.26% 42 1.22% 2,414 70.26% 3,436
McLennan 59,543 60.84% 36,688 37.49% 1,641 1.67% 22,855 23.35% 97,872
McMullen 460 89.15% 53 10.27% 3 0.58% 407 78.88% 516
Medina 15,642 69.04% 6,773 29.89% 242 1.07% 8,869 39.15% 22,657
Menard 823 80.06% 197 19.16% 8 0.78% 626 60.90% 1,028
Midland 45,624 77.34% 12,329 20.90% 1,035 1.76% 33,295 56.44% 58,988
Milam 7,984 75.48% 2,496 23.60% 98 0.92% 5,488 51.88% 10,578
Mills 2,217 88.50% 271 10.82% 17 0.68% 1,946 77.68% 2,505
Mitchell 2,170 84.14% 397 15.39% 12 0.47% 1,773 68.75% 2,579
Montague 8,615 87.74% 1,097 11.17% 107 1.09% 7,518 76.57% 9,819
Montgomery 193,382 71.22% 74,377 27.39% 3,784 1.39% 119,005 43.83% 271,543
Moore 4,359 79.14% 1,062 19.28% 87 1.58% 3,297 59.86% 5,508
Morris 3,872 69.30% 1,669 29.87% 46 0.83% 2,203 39.43% 5,587
Motley 604 92.64% 46 7.06% 2 0.30% 558 85.58% 652
Nacogdoches 17,378 64.88% 9,000 33.60% 407 1.52% 8,378 31.28% 26,785
Navarro 13,800 72.16% 5,101 26.67% 222 1.17% 8,699 45.49% 19,123
Newton 4,882 80.11% 1,173 19.25% 39 0.64% 3,709 60.86% 6,094
Nolan 4,131 77.11% 1,162 21.69% 64 1.20% 2,969 55.42% 5,357
Nueces 64,617 50.75% 60,925 47.85% 1,780 1.40% 3,692 2.90% 127,322
Ochiltree 2,812 89.10% 302 9.57% 42 1.33% 2,510 79.53% 3,156
Oldham 917 90.88% 81 8.03% 11 1.09% 836 82.85% 1,009
Orange 29,186 81.09% 6,357 17.66% 451 1.25% 22,829 63.43% 35,994
Palo Pinto 10,179 81.50% 2,178 17.44% 132 1.06% 8,001 64.06% 12,489
Panola 9,326 81.44% 2,057 17.96% 68 0.60% 7,269 63.48% 11,451
Parker 62,045 81.50% 13,017 17.10% 1,066 1.40% 49,028 64.40% 76,128
Parmer 2,135 80.57% 488 18.42% 27 1.01% 1,627 62.15% 2,650
Pecos 3,215 68.87% 1,382 29.61% 71 1.52% 1,833 39.26% 4,668
Polk 18,573 76.79% 5,387 22.27% 226 0.94% 13,186 54.52% 24,186
Potter 22,820 68.45% 9,921 29.76% 596 1.79% 12,899 38.69% 33,337
Presidio 721 32.52% 1,463 65.99% 33 1.49% -742 -33.47% 2,217
Rains 5,155 85.16% 842 13.91% 56 0.93% 4,313 71.25% 6,053
Randall 50,796 78.54% 12,802 19.79% 1,076 1.67% 37,994 58.75% 64,674
Reagan 942 83.81% 172 15.30% 10 0.89% 770 68.51% 1,124
Real 1,643 82.90% 320 16.15% 19 0.95% 1,323 66.75% 1,982
Red River 4,517 77.80% 1,246 21.46% 43 0.74% 3,271 56.34% 5,806
Reeves 2,254 61.10% 1,395 37.82% 40 1.08% 859 23.28% 3,689
Refugio 2,210 65.66% 1,108 32.92% 48 1.42% 1,102 32.74% 3,366
Roberts 529 96.18% 17 3.09% 4 0.73% 512 93.09% 550
Robertson 5,646 69.71% 2,374 29.31% 79 0.98% 3,272 40.40% 8,099
Rockwall 36,726 68.15% 16,412 30.45% 753 1.40% 20,314 37.70% 53,891
Runnels 3,807 86.35% 552 12.52% 50 1.13% 3,255 73.83% 4,409
Rusk 16,534 77.34% 4,629 21.65% 214 1.01% 11,905 55.69% 21,377
Sabine 4,784 87.12% 669 12.18% 38 0.70% 4,115 74.94% 5,491
San Augustine 3,007 75.14% 980 24.49% 15 0.37% 2,027 50.65% 4,002
San Jacinto 10,161 80.39% 2,337 18.49% 142 1.12% 7,824 61.90% 12,640
San Patricio 16,516 63.79% 8,988 34.71% 387 1.50% 7,528 29.08% 25,891
San Saba 2,308 88.70% 287 11.03% 7 0.27% 2,021 77.67% 2,602
Schleicher 940 81.10% 211 18.21% 8 0.69% 729 62.89% 1,159
Scurry 4,983 84.89% 818 13.94% 69 1.17% 4,165 70.95% 5,870
Shackelford 1,484 91.15% 130 7.99% 14 0.86% 1,354 83.16% 1,628
Shelby 7,975 79.06% 2,068 20.50% 44 0.44% 5,907 58.56% 10,087
Sherman 886 89.31% 91 9.17% 15 1.52% 795 80.14% 992
Smith 69,080 68.85% 29,615 29.52% 1,639 1.63% 39,465 39.33% 100,334
Somervell 4,105 82.98% 768 15.52% 74 1.50% 3,337 67.46% 4,947
Starr 8,247 47.06% 9,123 52.06% 155 0.88% -876 -5.00% 17,525
Stephens 3,385 88.96% 397 10.43% 23 0.61% 2,988 78.53% 3,805
Sterling 584 91.39% 51 7.98% 4 0.63% 533 83.41% 639
Stonewall 615 83.56% 116 15.76% 5 0.68% 499 67.80% 736
Sutton 1,222 78.48% 322 20.68% 13 0.84% 900 57.80% 1,557
Swisher 1,845 78.34% 478 20.30% 32 1.36% 1,367 58.04% 2,355
Tarrant 409,741 49.09% 411,567 49.31% 13,389 1.60% -1,826 -0.22% 834,697
Taylor 39,547 71.73% 14,588 26.46% 1,000 1.81% 24,959 45.27% 55,135
Terrell 334 72.93% 119 25.98% 5 1.09% 215 46.95% 458
Terry 2,812 77.85% 757 20.96% 43 1.19% 2,055 56.89% 3,612
Throckmorton 806 90.16% 82 9.17% 6 0.67% 724 80.99% 894
Titus 7,570 71.81% 2,856 27.09% 115 1.10% 4,714 44.72% 10,541
Tom Green 32,313 71.47% 12,239 27.07% 658 1.46% 20,074 44.40% 45,210
Travis 161,337 26.43% 435,860 71.41% 13,152 2.16% -274,523 -44.98% 610,349
Trinity 5,579 80.41% 1,323 19.07% 36 0.52% 4,256 61.34% 6,938
Tyler 8,194 84.82% 1,403 14.52% 63 0.66% 6,791 70.30% 9,660
Upshur 15,809 83.56% 2,877 15.21% 233 1.23% 12,932 68.35% 18,919
Upton 1,178 86.11% 170 12.43% 20 1.46% 1,008 73.68% 1,368
Uvalde 6,174 59.69% 4,073 39.38% 97 0.93% 2,101 20.31% 10,344
Val Verde 8,284 54.21% 6,771 44.31% 225 1.48% 1,513 9.90% 15,280
Van Zandt 22,270 85.56% 3,516 13.51% 243 0.93% 18,754 72.05% 26,029
Victoria 23,358 68.25% 10,380 30.33% 488 1.42% 12,978 37.92% 34,226
Walker 15,375 65.12% 7,884 33.39% 353 1.49% 7,491 31.73% 23,612
Waller 14,260 62.73% 8,191 36.03% 283 1.24% 6,069 26.70% 22,734
Ward 3,241 79.83% 764 18.82% 55 1.35% 2,477 61.01% 4,060
Washington 12,959 74.27% 4,261 24.42% 229 1.31% 8,698 49.85% 17,449
Webb 25,898 37.80% 41,820 61.05% 788 1.15% -15,922 -23.25% 68,506
Wharton 11,926 71.15% 4,694 28.01% 141 0.84% 7,232 43.14% 16,761
Wheeler 2,159 92.38% 168 7.19% 10 0.43% 1,991 85.19% 2,337
Wichita 32,069 69.65% 13,161 28.59% 810 1.76% 18,908 41.06% 46,040
Wilbarger 3,524 77.90% 956 21.13% 44 0.97% 2,568 56.77% 4,524
Willacy 2,441 43.99% 3,108 56.01% 0 0.00% -667 -12.02% 5,549
Williamson 139,729 48.15% 143,795 49.56% 6,644 2.29% -4,066 -1.41% 290,168
Wilson 18,463 73.76% 6,350 25.37% 219 0.87% 12,113 48.39% 25,032
Winkler 1,753 82.46% 358 16.84% 15 0.70% 1,395 65.62% 2,126
Wise 27,032 83.52% 4,973 15.37% 360 1.11% 22,059 67.15% 32,365
Wood 19,049 83.63% 3,509 15.40% 221 0.97% 15,540 68.23% 22,779
Yoakum 2,174 82.63% 420 15.96% 37 1.41% 1,754 66.67% 2,631
Young 7,110 86.30% 1,034 12.55% 95 1.15% 6,076 73.75% 8,239
Zapata 2,033 52.48% 1,826 47.13% 15 0.39% 207 5.35% 3,874
Zavala 1,490 34.03% 2,864 65.40% 25 0.57% -1,374 -31.37% 4,379
Totals 5,890,347 52.01% 5,259,126 46.44% 175,813 1.55% 631,221 5.57% 11,325,286
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won 22 out of the 36 congressional districts in Texas, while Biden won 14, including one held by a Republican.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 71.6% 27.2% Louie Gohmert
2nd 50.9% 48.6% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 50.2% 48.7% Van Taylor
4th 74.4% 24.4% Vacant
Pat Fallon
5th 60.9% 37.9% Lance Gooden
6th 50.8% 47.8% Ron Wright
7th 45.1% 53.6% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 70.6% 28.1% Kevin Brady
9th 23.3% 75.7% Al Green
10th 50% 48.4% Michael McCaul
11th 79.2% 19.7% Mike Conaway
August Pfluger
12th 60.5% 37.9% Kay Granger
13th 79.8% 18.9% Mac Thornberry
Ronny Jackson
14th 59% 39.6% Randy Weber
15th 48.5% 50.4% Vicente Gonzalez
16th 32% 66.4% Veronica Escobar
17th 54.6% 43.6% Bill Flores
Pete Sessions
18th 23% 75.7% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 72.2% 26.3% Jodey Arrington
20th 34.7% 63.7% Joaquín Castro
21st 50.6% 47.9% Chip Roy
22nd 50.8% 48.9% Pete Olson
Troy Nehls
23rd 50.3% 48.5% Will Hurd
Tony Gonzales
24th 46.5% 51.9% Kenny Marchant
Beth Van Duyne
25th 54% 44.4% Roger Williams
26th 56.3% 42.1% Michael Burgess
27th 61.2% 37.5% Michael Cloud
28th 47.2% 51.6% Henry Cuellar
29th 32.9% 65.9% Sylvia Garcia
30th 19.4% 79.1% Eddie Bernice Johnson
31st 50.4% 47.6% John Carter
32nd 44% 54.4% Colin Allred
33rd 25.6% 73% Marc Veasey
34th 47.5% 51.5% Filemon Vela Jr.
35th 30.5% 67.7% Lloyd Doggett
36th 71.9% 26.9% Brian Babin

Analysis

[edit]

While Biden still won Latino voters in Texas with 58%[175] and Latinos of Mexican heritage with 63%,[176] Trump significantly improved his numbers among Hispanic voters in the state, particularly in the Rio Grande Valley.[177] Trump flipped Jim Wells County and La Salle County which had not voted Republican since 1972. He also flipped Frio County, Kleberg County, Reeves County, Val Verde County, and Kenedy County; the first 4 having last voted Republican in 2004 and the last having last voted Republican in 2012. He also became the first Republican to win Zapata County since Warren G. Harding in 1920, flipping it by five points after losing it by 33 points in 2016. Trump's total of eight counties flipped in South Texas was the most flipped by any candidate in any state in 2020, and he flipped more counties in South Texas than he did in the rest of the nation combined. While Biden's lead in the Rio Grande Valley shrunk significantly compared to Hillary Clinton's in 2016, he overwhelmingly won the Latino vote in the state's urban areas.[178]

Biden significantly outperformed Clinton in Greater Austin, which was a significant contributor to Trump's relatively weak performance statewide. He flipped Hays County and Williamson County, both of them suburban counties located outside of the state capital that a Democrat had not won since 1992 and 1976, respectively. This is also the first election since 1956 when the latter voted for the statewide loser.[179] Biden also became the first Democratic candidate to garner at least 50,000 votes in Bell County, a county just outside of Greater Austin and had the center of Texas population within it in the 2010 census. At 44.76%, he outperformed Obama's record for the highest percentage of votes a Democratic presidential nominee received in Bell County since 1976, the last time the county voted for a Democrat.

Also, Biden became the first Democrat to ever win the White House without Jefferson County.[180] Biden also became the first Democrat to win without Frio County since it was formed in 1871, the first to win without La Salle County since it was formed in 1880, the first to win without Reeves County since it was formed in 1883, the first to win without Val Verde County since it was formed in 1885, the first to win without Jim Wells County since it was founded in 1911, the first to win without Kleberg County since it was founded in 1913, and the first Democrat to win the White House without winning Zapata County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916.[181] Because of Trump's substantial gains in heavily Hispanic areas, Biden's best performance in Texas came not from the southern border region, but Travis County, encompassing the college-educated, cosmopolitan, liberal bastion of Austin, home to the University of Texas at Austin, where he won the highest percentage for a Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948.

Biden also improved throughout the three most significant metropolitan areas in Texas. While not significantly outperforming Clinton in Harris and Bexar counties, he did make considerable inroads into their surrounding suburbs, thus eking out narrow wins in Greater Houston and Greater San Antonio,[182][183] the first time a Democratic presidential nominee had accomplished such a feat in the 21st century. However, in the former, gains were incredibly mixed. Trump saw substantial growth in Houston's north and east, home to large concentrations of Latinos. He also improved in diverse Alief, along Harris County's southwest border, which is heavily Hispanic, Filipino, and Vietnamese. On the other hand, Biden continued Clinton's gains in the wealthy college-educated "Houston Arrow" suburbs in the city's west, though his improvements were significantly more minor.[184]

Perhaps the biggest reason for Biden narrowing the Lone Star State's margin of victory was the surge of Democratic support in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, the largest metropolitan area in the state, which he also narrowly won. He scored nearly 65% of the vote in Dallas County, the highest percentage won by a Democrat since 1940. Additionally, Biden narrowly flipped Tarrant County, winning by fewer than 2,000 votes. Tarrant County is home to the fifth-largest city in Texas, Fort Worth, and had not been won by a Democrat since 1964, when favorite son Lyndon B. Johnson carried it. His growth in the heavily Republican Fort Worth suburbs, which historically kept Democratic candidates from capturing Tarrant, was a critical factor in winning the county and the Metroplex as a whole. Biden improved substantially in the large DFW suburbs of Collin County and Denton County, which have rapidly grown and diversified in the past decade, narrowing Trump's victory margins from 16.57% and 20% in 2016, down to 4.37% and 8.08%, respectively. Both of their county seats (the two suburban cities of McKinney and Denton, respectively) have trended leftward since 2016 due to the influx of younger professionals and families in the past decade, which shifted to the Democrats in this election. Biden also won the city of Plano, the largest city in Collin County, and narrowly won the city of Allen.[185][186]

In 2021, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton stated on Steve Bannon's podcast War Room that without blocking Harris County from sending out applications for mail-in ballots to registered voters, Trump would have lost the state.[187]

Edison exit polls

[edit]
2020 presidential election in Texas by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[188][189]
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump % of

total vote

Total vote 46.48 52.06 100
Ideology
Liberals 88 11 17
Moderates 66 32 38
Conservatives 13 86 45
Party
Democrats 96 4 30
Republicans 5 94 41
Independents 51 45 29
Gender
Men 40 57 45
Women 51 48 55
Race/ethnicity
White 33 66 60
Black 90 9 12
Latino 58 41 23
Asian 63 30 3
Other 42 56 2
Age
18–24 years old 58 38 8
25–29 years old 55 42 6
30–39 years old 50 47 14
40–49 years old 47 51 15
50–64 years old 43 56 30
65 and older 41 58 26
Sexual orientation
LGBT 72 27 5
Not LGBT 43 56 95
Education
High school or less 40 59 17
Some college education 42 57 28
Associate degree 51 47 16
Bachelor's degree 48 50 24
Postgraduate degree 54 44 15
Income
Under $30,000 52 47 12
$30,000–49,999 63 35 16
$50,000–99,999 44 55 35
$100,000–199,999 43 56 26
Over $200,000 54 42 10
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 93 5 18
Coronavirus 88 10 14
Economy 15 84 40
Crime and safety 16 83 10
Health care 78 21 11
Region
East 26 72 14
Dallas/Ft. Worth 54 45 24
Houston area 53 46 21
South Central 51 48 15
West 22 76 11
Southwest 57 42 16
Area type
Urban 56 42 42
Suburban 41 57 51
Rural 25 74 7
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago 22 76 46
Worse than four years ago 89 11 18
About the same 70 29 35

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  2. ^ The Blue Texas PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  3. ^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  6. ^ Giffords' founder, Gabby Giffords, endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  7. ^ The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  8. ^ The Texas Democratic Party exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Chrysta Castañeda's campaign
  10. ^ Size of "extremely likely to vote" sample not yet released
  11. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Texas, an organisation promoting progressive policies
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas Democratic Party
  14. ^ a b c d By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
  15. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  16. ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

Samples

  1. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary after early voting had already started.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  6. ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  7. ^ a b c d e f "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ^ Standard VI response
  9. ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  10. ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  11. ^ "Another candidate" with no voters
  12. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  13. ^ a b Includes "Refused"
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  15. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
  16. ^ Standard IV response
  17. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  18. ^ With only Biden, Trump and "another candidate" as options
  19. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  20. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  21. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  22. ^ a b c d Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  23. ^ "Refused" with 0%
  24. ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
  25. ^ "Another party candidate" with 2%
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h i Not yet released
  27. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  28. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  29. ^ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  30. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  31. ^ a b c Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  32. ^ a b Other with 1%; neither with 2%
  33. ^ "Neither-other" with 10%
  34. ^ a b c Would not vote with 3%
  35. ^ a b c d e Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  36. ^ a b "Someone else" with 9%
  37. ^ a b Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  38. ^ a b "Neither-other" with 12%
  39. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  40. ^ "Someone else" with 10%
  41. ^ "Neither-other" with 9%
  42. ^ "Neither-other" with 16%
  43. ^ "Neither-other" with 15%
  44. ^ Would not vote with 4%
  45. ^ "Neither-other" with 17%
  46. ^ "Someone else" with 14%
  47. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  48. ^ a b c d e Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  49. ^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 48%
  50. ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "Don't know/no answer" with 3%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Official Canvass Report - 2020 November 3rd General Election" (PDF). Texas Secretary of State. November 2020.
  2. ^ "Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)".
  3. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  5. ^ Leip, Dave. "Ohio Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  6. ^ Leip, Dave. "Texas Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  7. ^ Ramsey, Ross (November 6, 2020). "Analysis: Texas voters elect to stay the course". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
  8. ^ "Governor Greg Abbott for President in 2020?". News/Talk 95.1 & 790 KFYO. November 8, 2016.
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Further reading

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