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2022 Georgia gubernatorial election

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2022 Georgia gubernatorial election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout57.02% Increase 0.22pp
 
Nominee Brian Kemp Stacey Abrams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,111,572 1,813,673
Percentage 53.41% 45.88%

Kemp:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Abrams:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data

Governor before election

Brian Kemp
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Kemp
Republican

The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night.[1] The primary occurred on May 24, 2022.[2] Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 9, 2023.

Kemp was endorsed by former vice president Mike Pence and former president George W. Bush. He faced a primary challenge from former U.S. Senator David Perdue, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump after Kemp refused to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump ultimately gave Kemp a last-minute endorsement in the general election.[3]

Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and founder of Fair Fight Action who was narrowly defeated by Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election, was once again the Democratic nominee for the governorship. This was Georgia's first gubernatorial rematch since 1950.[4]

Libertarian Shane T. Hazel, the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, also declared he would run.[5] This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.

Kemp won his first term by a narrow 55,000-vote margin (1.4%) in 2018, which was Georgia's closest gubernatorial election since 1966. In 2022, however, pre-election forecasting showed a solid lead for Kemp throughout and he ultimately won re-election by nearly 300,000 votes (7.5%) - the largest raw vote victory for a Georgia governor since 2006. The race was seen as a potential benefit to Herschel Walker, who ran in the concurrent Senate race, as it was speculated Kemp's strong performance could help Walker avoid a runoff. He underperformed compared to Kemp, however, and narrowly lost to incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock in the December 6 runoff election. That made 2022 the first time since 1998 that Georgia voted for different parties for U.S. senator and governor.[6]

Republican primary

[edit]

Incumbent governor Brian Kemp faced criticism from former president Donald Trump for his refusal to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election. Kemp was booed at the Georgia Republican Convention in June 2021,[7] and in December former senator David Perdue announced a primary challenge to Kemp and was promptly endorsed by Trump. Initial polling showed a competitive race, however, Kemp significantly outraised his opponent and signed conservative legislation such as permitless carry of firearms and a temporary suspension of the gas tax that shored up his position among voters, and on election day, he won by over 50 points, a margin far larger than predicted.[8][9][10]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
Former U.S. Senator David Perdue finished second in the primary.

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Catherine Davis, HR professional[13]
  • David Perdue, former U.S. senator from Georgia (2015–2021)[14][15][16][3]
  • Kandiss Taylor, conservative commentator, host of the "Jesus, Guns, and Babies" show, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[17]
  • Tom Williams, civil service retiree[18]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary election debates
No. Date Organizer Location  P  Participant  A  Absent (invited)  I  Invited  N  Not invited Source
Catherine Davis Brian Kemp David Perdue Kandiss Taylor Tom Williams
1 April 24, 2022 WSB-TV Atlanta N P P N N [24]
2 April 28, 2022 WTOC-TV Savannah N P P N N [25]
3 May 2, 2022 Atlanta Press Club,
Georgia Public Broadcasting
Atlanta P P P P P [18][26]

Endorsements

[edit]
Vernon Jones (withdrew)

Executive Branch officials

Local officials

Individuals

Brian Kemp

Executive Branch officials

U.S. Governors

State officials

Municipal officials

Organizations

David Perdue

Executive Branch officials

Governors

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Kandiss Taylor

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 30, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Kemp (R) $22,427,829 $11,687,287 $10,740,541
David Perdue (R) $3,475,864 $2,577,546 $898,318
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission[46]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Brian
Kemp
David
Perdue
Kandiss
Taylor
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[47] May 20–23, 2022 May 24, 2022 54.7% 35.3% 5.3% 4.7% Kemp +19.4
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp
Vernon
Jones
David
Perdue
Kandiss
Taylor
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[48] May 21–23, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 38% 5% 1%[c] 4%
Landmark Communications (R)[49] May 22, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 30% 5% 1%[d] 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[50] May 20–21, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 38% 6% 1%[e] 4%
Fox News[51] May 12–16, 2022 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 60% 28% 6% 2%[f] 3%
ARW Strategies (R)[52] April 30 – May 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% 22% 7% 2%[g] 11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[53] April 28 – May 1, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% 38% 4% 2%[h] 2%
SurveyUSA[54] April 22–27, 2022 559 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 31% 3% 2%[i] 8%
University of Georgia[55] April 10–22, 2022 886 (LV) ± 3.3% 53% 27% 4% 1%[j] 15%
Guidant Polling & Strategy (R)[56][A] April 18–21, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 57% 31% 12%
Landmark Communications (R)[57] April 9–10, 2022 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 28% 10% 1%[k] 10%
Spry Strategies (R)[58] April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 35% 3% 1%[l] 14%
University of Georgia[59] March 20 – April 8, 2022 ~329 (LV) ± 5.4% 48% 37% 2% 1%[m] 12%
Emerson College[60] April 1–3, 2022 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 32% 2% 6%[n] 17%
Cygnal (R)[61][B] March 30–31, 2022 825 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 33% 5% 1%[o] 12%
BK Strategies (R)[62] March 6–8, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 33% 4% 14%
Fox News[63] March 2–6, 2022 914 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 39% 4% 6%
American Viewpoint (R)[64] March 1–3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 35% 6% 8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[65] February 28 – March 1, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 35% 3% 3%[p] 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[66] February 11–13, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 3% 1%[q] 8%
February 7, 2022 Jones withdraws from the race
Quinnipiac University[67] January 19–24, 2022 666 (LV) ± 3.8% 43% 10% 36% 4% 1%[r] 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[68] December 6, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 11% 22% 4% 23%
American Viewpoint (R)[69][C] December 1–6, 2021 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 12% 22% 3% 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[70] September 2–4, 2021 1,076 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 25% 7% 1%[s] 19%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[71][D] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 19% 16% 3% <1%[t] 20%
Hypothetical polling

Runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Brian Kemp

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 29% 48% 23%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[73] December 25–27, 2020 – (LV) 53% 32% 16%

Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Brian Kemp

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marjorie Taylor
Greene
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 14% 60% 26%

Brian Kemp vs. David Perdue

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp
David
Perdue
Undecided
Emerson College[60] April 1–3, 2022 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 39% 16%
Cygnal (R)[61][B] March 30–31, 2022 825 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 37% 10%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[74][E] December 7–9, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 47% 9%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[71][D] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 40% 14%

Brian Kemp vs. Herschel Walker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp
Herschel
Walker
Undecided
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 50% 25% 25%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Kemp
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[75]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Kemp (incumbent) 888,078 73.72%
Republican David Perdue 262,389 21.78%
Republican Kandiss Taylor 41,232 3.42%
Republican Catherine Davis 9,778 0.81%
Republican Tom Williams 3,255 0.27%
Total votes 1,204,742 100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Stacey Abrams

U.S. senators

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[75]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stacey Abrams 727,168 100.0%
Total votes 727,168 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]
The Libertarian nominee, Shane Hazel

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[90] Lean R July 22, 2022
Inside Elections[91] Lean R November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[92] Likely R November 7, 2022
Politico[93] Lean R October 3, 2022
RCP[94] Lean R September 20, 2022
Fox News[95] Lean R September 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[96] Likely R October 27, 2022
Elections Daily[97] Likely R November 7, 2022

Debates

[edit]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Brian Kemp Stacey Abrams Shane Hazel
1 Oct. 17, 2022 11 Alive P P P
2 Oct. 30, 2022 WSB-TV P P N

Endorsements

[edit]
Brian Kemp (R)
Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

State officials

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Stacey Abrams (D)

Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Kemp (R) $44,593,500 $40,666,892 $3,926,608
Stacey Abrams (D) $54,021,428 $53,951,027 $70,400
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission[46]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other
[u]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[133] November 1–7, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.8% 44.5% 2.7% Kemp +8.3
FiveThirtyEight[134] February 6 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.2% 44.4% 3.4% Kemp +7.8
270ToWin[135] November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.2% 45.0% 4.5% Kemp +6.3
Average 52.4% 44.6% 3.0% Kemp +7.8

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other Undecided
Landmark Communications[136] November 4–7, 2022 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 46% 2%[v] 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[137] November 6, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 45% 1%[w] 4%
Research Co.[138] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 44% 1%[x] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[139] November 4–6, 2022 1,103 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 44% 2%[y] 1%
Data for Progress (D)[140] November 2–6, 2022 1,474 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 2%[z]
Targoz Market Research[141] November 2–6, 2022 579 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 42% 3%[aa]
East Carolina University[142] November 2–5, 2022 1,077 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 46% 1%[ab] 1%
Amber Integrated (R)[143] November 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% 1%[ac] 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[144] November 1–2, 2022 1,150 (LV) ± 2.8% 55% 41% 1%[ad] 3%
Echleon Insights[145] October 31 – November 2, 2022 550 (LV) ± 5.4% 50% 43% 3%[ae] 4%
Marist College[146] October 31 – November 2, 2022 1,168 (RV) ± 3.9% 51% 45% <1%[af] 4%
1,009 (LV) ± 4.2% 53% 45% 2%
SurveyUSA[147] October 29 – November 2, 2022 1,171 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 45% 1%[ag] 2%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[148][F] October 30 – November 1, 2022 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 47% 2%[ah] 2%
Emerson College[149] October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%[ai] 1%
52% 46% 2%[aj]
Seven Letter Insight[150] October 24–31, 2022 762 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 44% 4%[ak] 4%
Fox News[151] October 26–30, 2022 1,002 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 3%[al] 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[152] October 27, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 43% 1%[am] 5%
Siena College/NYT[153] October 24–27, 2022 604 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 45% 1%[an] 4%
University of Georgia[154] October 16–27, 2022 1,022 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 44% 2%[ao] 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[155] October 23–24, 2022 1,053 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 41%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[156][G] October 21–23, 2022 1,076 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 45% 3%[ap]
East Carolina University[157] October 13–18, 2022 905 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 44% 2%[aq] 3%
Landmark Communications[158] October 15–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 45% 2%[ar] 2%
Data for Progress (D)[159] October 13–17, 2022 984 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 43% 1%[as] 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[160] October 16, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 43% 2%[at] 5%
Wick Insights[161] October 8–14, 2022 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 43% 2%[au] 3%
Civiqs[162] October 8–11, 2022 717 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 46% 1%[av] 1%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[163] October 8–11, 2022 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 44% 2%[aw] 2%
Quinnipiac University[164] October 7–10, 2022 1,157 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 49% 1%[ax] 1%
Emerson College[165] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% 1%[ay] 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[166] October 4, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 45% 2%[az] 3%
SurveyUSA[167] September 30 – October 4, 2022 1,076 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 45% 3%[ba] 5%
University of Georgia[168] September 25 – October 4, 2022 1,030 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 41% 2%[bb] 6%
Fox News[169] September 22–26, 2022 1,011 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 4%[bc] 4%
Data for Progress (D)[170] September 16–20, 2022 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 3%[bd] 2%
YouGov/CBS News[171] September 14–19, 2022 1,178 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 46% 2%[be] 0%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[172][F] September 14–18, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 2% 2%
University of Georgia[173] September 5–16, 2022 861 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 42% 2% 6%
Marist College[174] September 12–15, 2022 1,202 (RV) ± 3.6% 50% 44% 2%[bf] 4%
992 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 2%[bg] 2%
Survey Monkey (D)[175][H] September 9–12, 2022 949 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 9%
542 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 5%
Quinnipiac University[176] September 8–12, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 2.7% 50% 48% 1% 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[177] September 6–7, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 42% 2%[bh] 6%
Echelon Insights[178] August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 5%
Emerson College[179] August 28–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 44% 6% 2%
TargetSmart (D)[180][I] August 22–29, 2022 2,327 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 2%[bi] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[163] August 24–27, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 44% 2%[bj] 4%
Phillips Academy[181] August 3–7, 2022 971 (RV) ± 3.1% 51% 44% 5%
Research Affiliates (D)[182][J] July 26 – August 1, 2022 420 (LV) ± 4.8% 47% 47% 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[183] July 26–27, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 44% 5%[bk] 2%
Fox News[184] July 22–26, 2022 901 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 1% 7%
SurveyUSA[185] July 21–24, 2022 604 (LV) ± 5.3% 45% 44% 4% 7%
University of Georgia[186] July 14–22, 2022 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 43% 2%[bl] 7%
Beacon Research (D)[187][K] July 5–20, 2022 1,003 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 44% 1% 7%
602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 1% 5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[188] July 5–11, 2022 1,197 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 45% 3%
Cygnal (R)[189][C] July 5–7, 2022 1,200 (LV) ± 2.7% 50% 45% 5%
Data for Progress (D)[190] July 1–6, 2022 1,131 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% 3%
Change Research (D)[191][L] June 24–27, 2022 704 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 47% 4%
Quinnipiac University[192] June 23–27, 2022 1,497 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 48% 1% 3%
Moore Information Group (R)[193][M] June 11–16, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%
East Carolina University[194] June 6–9, 2022 868 (RV) ± 3.9% 51% 45% 2% 2%
TargetSmart (D)[195][I] Late May 2022 – (LV) 51% 43% 2% 4%
SurveyUSA[196] April 22–27, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%
Cygnal (R)[197][B] April 6–9, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 44% 6%
Emerson College[60] April 1–3, 2022 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%
Wick[198] February 2–6, 2022 1,290 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 44% 7%
Quinnipiac University[67] January 19–24, 2022 1,702 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 47% 3%
University of Georgia[199] January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 41% 1% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[200] November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 41% 3% 6%
733 (LV) 47% 44% 3% 4%
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 40% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Vernon Jones vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Vernon
Jones (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[200] November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 42% 2% 12%
733 (LV) 40% 45% 2% 9%

Doug Collins vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% 14%

David Perdue vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[196] April 22–27, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 46% 5%
Cygnal (R)[197][B] April 6–9, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% 5%
Emerson College[60] April 1–3, 2022 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 44% 7%
Wick[198] February 2–6, 2022 1,290 (LV) ± 2.7% 47% 45% 8%
Quinnipiac University[67] January 19–24, 2022 1,702 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 48% 1% 3%
University of Georgia[199] January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 43% 2% 6%

Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marjorie Taylor
Greene (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% 16%

Herschel Walker vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Herschel
Walker (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
UNLV Business School[72] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 41% 16%

Results

[edit]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial election[201]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brian Kemp (incumbent) 2,111,572 53.41% +3.19%
Democratic Stacey Abrams 1,813,673 45.88% −2.95%
Libertarian Shane T. Hazel 28,163 0.71% −0.24%
Total votes 3,953,408 100.00%
Turnout 3,964,926 57.02%
Registered electors 6,953,485
Republican hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Brian Kemp
Republican
Stacey Abrams
Democratic
Shane Hazel
Libertarian
Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Appling 5,552 82.83 1,131 16.87 20 0.30 4,421 65.96 6,703
Atkinson 1,767 78.67 467 20.79 12 0.53 1,300 57.88 2,246
Bacon 3,312 89.01 393 10.56 16 0.43 2,919 78.45 3,721
Baker 755 60.02 500 39.75 3 0.24 255 20.27 1,258
Baldwin 7,987 53.24 6,913 46.08 102 0.68 1,074 7.16 15,002
Banks 6,651 90.79 607 8.29 68 0.93 6,044 82.50 7,326
Barrow 21,833 74.19 7,309 24.84 288 0.98 14,524 49.35 29,430
Bartow 31,528 78.83 8,137 20.34 332 0.83 23,391 58.49 39,997
Ben Hill 3,412 66.67 1,680 32.83 26 0.51 1,732 33.84 5,118
Berrien 5,209 86.54 772 12.83 38 0.63 4,437 73.71 6,019
Bibb 22,396 41.32 31,514 58.14 290 0.54 -9,118 16.82 54,200
Bleckley 3,886 80.87 883 18.38 36 0.75 3,003 62.49 4,805
Brantley 5,416 92.44 393 6.71 50 0.85 3,023 85.73 5,859
Brooks 3,644 64.59 1,959 34.72 39 0.69 1,683 29.87 5,642
Bryan 12,188 71.67 4,676 27.50 142 0.83 7,512 69.17 17,006
Bulloch 16,067 68.11 7,352 31.16 172 0.73 8,715 36.95 23,591
Burke 4,685 55.33 3,720 43.94 62 0.73 965 11.39 8,467
Butts 7,223 74.50 2,420 24.96 52 0.54 4,803 49.54 9,695
Calhoun 793 46.24 919 53.59 3 0.17 -126 7.35 1,715
Camden 12,494 69.62 5,264 29.33 187 1.04 7,230 40.29 17,945
Candler 2,666 74.85 885 24.85 11 0.31 1,781 50.00 3,562
Carroll 32,095 73.40 11,258 25.75 374 0.86 20,837 47.65 43,727
Catoosa 20,009 81.66 4,255 17.37 239 0.98 15,754 64.29 24,503
Charlton 2,654 77.94 728 21.38 23 0.68 1,926 56.56 3,405
Chatham 46,593 43.82 58,978 55.47 758 0.71 -12,385 11.65 106,329
Chattahoochee 583 57.16 427 41.86 10 0.98 156 15.30 1,020
Chattooga 6,471 83.91 1,192 15.46 49 0.64 5,279 68.45 7,712
Cherokee 89,322 74.20 29,893 24.83 1,159 0.96 59,429 49.37 120,374
Clarke 13,091 32.47 26,901 66.73 324 0.80 -13,810 34.26 40,316
Clay 570 50.62 553 49.11 3 0.27 17 1.51 1,126
Clayton 11,306 13.44 72,399 86.05 431 0.51 -61,093 72.61 84,136
Clinch 1,668 78.90 433 20.48 13 0.61 1,235 58.42 2,114
Cobb 147,698 47.31 161,872 51.85 2,645 0.85 -14,174 4.54 312,215
Coffee 8,818 74.07 3,021 25.38 66 0.55 5,797 48.69 11,905
Colquitt 9,860 78.27 2,684 21.30 54 0.43 7,176 56.97 12,598
Columbia 43,437 67.27 20,617 31.93 518 0.80 22,820 35.34 64,572
Cook 4,138 74.46 1,387 24.96 32 0.58 2,751 49.50 5,557
Coweta 45,376 71.20 17,847 28.01 503 0.79 27,529 43.19 63,726
Crawford 3,633 75.14 1,171 24.22 31 0.64 2,462 50.92 4,835
Crisp 4,296 67.95 2,013 31.84 13 0.21 2,283 36.11 6,322
Dade 4,969 85.03 807 13.81 68 1.16 4,162 71.22 5,844
Dawson 12,010 85.92 1,827 13.07 141 1.01 10,183 72.85 13,978
Decatur 5,659 63.71 3,191 35.92 33 0.37 2,468 27.79 8,883
DeKalb 54,522 18.28 241,901 81.11 1,806 0.61 -187,379 62.83 298,229
Dodge 5,087 76.73 1,518 22.90 25 0.38 3,569 53.83 6,630
Dooly 1,860 56.60 1,416 43.09 10 0.30 444 13.51 3,286
Dougherty 8,524 31.91 18,091 67.73 94 0.35 -9,567 35.82 26,709
Douglas 19,719 37.25 32,858 62.08 353 0.67 -13,139 24.83 52,930
Early 2,321 59.39 1,576 40.33 11 0.28 745 19.06 3,908
Echols 956 89.77 94 8.83 15 1.41 862 80.94 1,065
Effingham 19,553 76.99 5,603 22.06 242 0.95 13,950 54.93 25,398
Elbert 5,369 73.31 1,916 26.16 39 0.53 3,453 47.15 7,324
Emanuel 5,505 72.80 2,024 26.77 33 0.44 3,481 46.03 7,562
Evans 2,467 73.40 882 26.24 12 0.36 1,585 47.16 3,361
Fannin 10,752 85.08 1,796 14.21 89 0.70 8,956 70.87 12,637
Fayette 34,116 56.53 25,769 42.70 461 0.76 8,347 13.83 60,346
Floyd 23,930 74.60 7,855 24.49 293 0.91 16,075 50.11 32,078
Forsyth 74,116 72.35 27,434 26.78 896 0.87 46,682 45.57 102,446
Franklin 7,734 88.50 948 10.85 57 0.65 6,786 77.65 8,739
Fulton 128,167 30.52 289,085 68.85 2,632 0.63 -160,918 38.33 419,884
Gilmer 11,952 84.85 2,010 14.27 124 0.88 9,942 70.58 14,086
Glascock 1,211 92.80 89 6.82 5 0.38 1,122 85.98 1,305
Glynn 22,245 66.84 10,779 32.39 255 0.77 11,466 34.45 33,279
Gordon 16,003 84.64 2,743 14.51 161 0.85 13,260 70.13 18,907
Grady 5,884 70.54 2,422 29.04 35 0.42 3,462 41.50 8,341
Greene 7,402 70.44 3,060 29.12 46 0.44 4,342 41.32 10,508
Gwinnett 133,076 44.44 164,051 54.78 2,355 0.79 -30,975 10.34 299,482
Habersham 14,513 85.42 2,322 13.67 155 0.91 12,191 71.75 16,990
Hall 56,573 76.95 16,299 22.17 644 0.88 40,274 54.78 73,516
Hancock 1,073 31.54 2,313 67.99 16 0.47 -1,240 36.45 3,402
Haralson 10,398 89.25 1,166 10.01 87 0.75 9,232 79.24 11,651
Harris 12,924 75.85 4,008 23.52 107 0.63 8,916 52.33 17,039
Hart 8,426 79.79 2,039 19.31 95 0.90 6,387 60.48 10,560
Heard 3,858 86.44 568 12.73 37 0.83 3,290 73.71 4,463
Henry 36,392 38.08 58,643 61.36 533 0.56 -22,251 23.28 95,568
Houston 34,842 58.84 23,928 40.41 440 0.74 10,914 18.43 59,210
Irwin 2,695 78.85 702 20.54 21 0.61 1,993 58.31 3,418
Jackson 26,223 82.25 5,420 17.00 238 0.75 20,803 65.25 31,881
Jasper 5,237 79.66 1,286 19.56 51 0.78 3,951 60.10 6,574
Jeff Davis 3,865 85.08 646 14.22 32 0.70 3,219 70.86 4,543
Jefferson 3,162 50.37 3,089 49.20 27 0.43 73 1.17 6,278
Jenkins 1,893 68.24 871 31.40 10 0.36 1,022 36.84 2,774
Johnson 2,504 74.02 867 25.63 12 0.35 1,637 48.39 3,383
Jones 8,583 69.71 3,657 29.70 72 0.58 4,926 40.01 12,312
Lamar 5,736 73.97 1,963 25.31 56 0.72 3,773 48.66 7,755
Lanier 1,932 73.24 691 26.19 15 0.57 1,241 47.05 2,638
Laurens 12,508 67.43 5,973 32.20 69 0.37 6,535 35.23 18,550
Lee 10,094 74.29 3,413 25.12 80 0.59 6,681 49.17 13,587
Liberty 6,069 39.37 9,235 59.91 111 0.72 -3,166 20.54 15,415
Lincoln 2,966 74.49 992 24.91 24 0.60 1,974 49.58 3,982
Long 2,944 66.52 1,443 32.60 39 0.88 1,501 33.92 4,426
Lowndes 21,256 61.15 13,275 38.19 229 0.66 7,981 22.96 34,760
Lumpkin 10,525 82.63 2,070 16.25 142 1.11 8,455 66.38 12,737
Macon 1,551 41.05 2,209 58.47 18 0.48 -658 17.42 3,778
Madison 9,955 79.30 2,500 19.91 99 0.79 7,455 59.39 12,554
Marion 1,868 65.64 954 33.52 24 0.84 914 32.12 2,846
McDuffie 5,283 63.52 2,978 35.81 56 0.67 2,305 27.71 8,317
McIntosh 3,570 64.71 1,923 34.86 24 0.44 1,647 29.85 5,517
Meriwether 5,704 64.03 3,160 35.47 44 0.49 2,544 28.56 8,908
Miller 1,689 78.05 462 21.35 13 0.60 1,227 56.70 2,164
Mitchell 4,197 59.52 2,829 40.12 26 0.37 1,368 19.40 7,052
Monroe 10,314 75.19 3,315 24.17 89 0.65 6,999 51.02 13,718
Montgomery 2,545 78.89 670 20.77 11 0.34 1,875 58.12 3,226
Morgan 7,764 75.19 2,473 23.95 89 0.86 5,291 51.24 10,326
Murray 10,290 89.22 1,160 10.06 83 0.72 9,130 79.16 11,533
Muscogee 23,925 40.24 35,149 59.11 388 0.65 -11,224 18.87 59,462
Newton 19,094 44.53 23,531 54.88 251 0.59 -4,437 10.35 42,876
Oconee 16,553 73.64 5,783 25.73 142 0.63 10,770 47.91 22,478
Oglethorpe 4,998 73.38 1,766 25.93 47 0.69 3,232 47.45 6,811
Paulding 43,992 65.66 22,427 33.47 585 0.87 21,565 32.19 67,004
Peach 5,542 55.20 4,431 44.14 66 0.66 1,111 11.06 10,039
Pickens 12,937 85.76 2,041 13.53 108 0.72 10,896 72.23 15,086
Pierce 6,462 90.04 674 9.39 41 0.57 5,788 80.65 7,177
Pike 8,303 88.04 1,075 11.40 53 0.56 7,228 76.64 9,431
Polk 11,117 81.50 2,427 17.79 96 0.70 8,690 63.71 13,640
Pulaski 2,452 72.67 905 26.82 17 0.50 1,547 45.85 3,374
Putnam 7,689 75.11 2,497 24.39 51 0.50 5,192 50.72 10,237
Quitman 555 61.26 350 38.63 1 0.11 205 22.63 906
Rabun 6,766 81.89 1,415 17.13 81 0.98 5,351 64.76 8,262
Randolph 1,243 48.46 1,317 51.35 5 0.19 -74 2.89 2,565
Richmond 21,602 33.67 42,130 65.67 424 0.66 -20,528 32.00 64,156
Rockdale 9,938 28.47 24,756 70.92 214 0.61 -14,818 42.45 34,908
Schley 1,526 81.34 339 18.07 11 0.59 1,187 63.27 1,876
Screven 3,422 64.41 1,872 35.23 19 0.36 1,550 29.18 5,313
Seminole 2,255 74.06 773 25.39 17 0.56 1,482 48.67 3,045
Spalding 15,090 61.86 9,146 37.49 159 0.65 5,944 24.37 24,395
Stephens 7,818 83.17 1,501 15.97 81 0.86 6,317 67.20 9,400
Stewart 673 42.78 895 56.90 5 0.32 -222 14.12 1,573
Sumter 4,921 51.23 4,650 48.41 34 0.35 271 2.82 9,605
Talbot 1,214 42.39 1,628 56.84 22 0.77 -414 14.45 2,864
Taliaferro 327 40.52 477 59.11 3 0.37 -150 18.59 807
Tattnall 5,123 78.49 1,359 20.82 45 0.69 3,764 57.67 6,527
Taylor 2,137 66.45 1,069 33.24 10 0.31 1,068 33.21 3,216
Telfair 2,433 71.29 960 28.13 20 0.59 1,473 43.16 3,413
Terrell 1,795 49.10 1,840 50.33 21 0.57 -45 1.23 3,656
Thomas 11,062 63.99 6,138 35.51 87 0.50 4,924 28.48 17,287
Tift 9,418 72.20 3,546 27.18 80 0.61 5,872 45.02 13,044
Toombs 6,522 76.86 1,920 22.63 44 0.52 4,602 54.23 8,486
Towns 6,066 84.48 1,052 14.65 62 0.86 5,014 69.83 7,180
Treutlen 1,764 72.03 677 27.64 8 0.33 1,087 44.39 2,449
Troup 14,864 63.91 8,262 35.53 130 0.56 6,602 28.38 23,256
Turner 1,994 64.34 1,083 34.95 22 0.71 911 29.39 3,099
Twiggs 1,980 55.93 1,542 43.56 18 0.51 438 12.37 3,540
Union 12,123 84.71 2,070 14.46 119 0.83 10,053 70.25 14,312
Upson 7,096 70.01 2,969 29.29 70 0.69 4,127 40.72 10,135
Walker 18,414 83.26 3,505 15.85 198 0.90 14,909 67.41 22,117
Walton 32,567 76.71 9,573 22.55 312 0.73 22,994 54.16 42,452
Ware 7,855 73.06 2,828 26.30 69 0.64 5,027 46.76 10,752
Warren 1,063 49.28 1,081 50.12 13 0.60 -18 0.84 2,157
Washington 4,098 52.58 3,665 47.02 31 0.40 433 5.56 7,794
Wayne 8,170 81.50 1,796 17.92 59 0.59 6,374 63.58 10,025
Webster 708 62.32 425 37.41 3 0.26 283 24.91 1,136
Wheeler 1,318 72.18 501 27.44 7 0.38 817 44.74 1,826
White 10,999 86.40 1,618 12.71 113 0.89 9,381 73.69 12,730
Whitfield 20,919 77.44 5,874 21.74 221 0.82 15,045 55.70 27,014
Wilcox 1,998 76.23 613 23.39 10 0.38 1,385 52.84 2,621
Wilkes 2,545 61.35 1,583 38.16 20 0.48 962 23.19 4,148
Wilkinson 2,366 58.33 1,673 41.25 17 0.42 693 17.08 4,056
Worth 5,649 76.39 1,716 23.20 30 0.41 3,933 53.19 7,395
Totals 2,111,572 53.41 1,813,673 45.88 28,163 0.71 297,899 7.53 3,953,408

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Kemp won 9 of 14 congressional districts.[202]

District Kemp Abrams Representative
1st 60% 39% Buddy Carter
2nd 48% 52% Sanford Bishop
3rd 68% 31% Drew Ferguson
4th 23% 77% Hank Johnson
5th 19% 80% Nikema Williams
6th 63% 36% Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th 41% 58% Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th 68% 32% Austin Scott
9th 74% 25% Andrew Clyde
10th 65% 35% Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th 62% 37% Barry Loudermilk
12th 59% 40% Rick Allen
13th 19% 80% David Scott
14th 72% 28% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Analysis

[edit]

Voter demographics

[edit]

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.[203]

2022 Georgia gubernatorial election (CNN)[203]
Demographic subgroup Kemp Abrams % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 6 93 18
Moderates 37 61 41
Conservatives 90 10 41
Party
Democrats 4 96 35
Republicans 98 1 41
Independents 49 48 24
Age
18–24 years old 33 66 6
25–29 years old 44 55 6
30–39 years old 46 53 14
40–49 years old 47 51 17
50–64 years old 58 42 32
65 and older 62 37 25
Gender
Men 58 40 47
Women 48 51 53
Marital status
Married 60 39 62
Unmarried 39 59 38
Race/ethnicity
White 74 25 62
Black 9 90 28
Latino 43 55 6
Asian 46 54 2
Other 47 47 3
Gender by race
White men 76 23 31
White women 72 27 30
Black men 14 84 11
Black women 6 93 17
Latino men 44 55 3
Latino women 43 55 4
Other racial/ethnic groups 47 50 4
Education
Never attended college 61 38 16
Some college education 53 47 27
Associate degree 52 47 16
Bachelor's degree 55 43 23
Advanced degree 43 56 17
Education by race
White college graduates 63 36 27
White no college degree 83 17 34
Non-white college graduates 23 75 13
Non-white no college degree 17 82 25
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees 60 39 13
White women without college degrees 81 18 17
White men with college degrees 66 33 14
White men without college degrees 84 16 18
Non-white 19 79 38
Issue regarded as most important
Crime 52 47 13
Inflation 77 22 36
Immigration 86 13 7
Gun policy 42 57 10
Abortion 24 74 26
Abortion should be
Legal 28 71 53
Illegal 89 10 43
2020 presidential vote
Biden 6 94 42
Trump 97 2 48
Confident your state's elections are accurate
Very confident 43 56 34
Somewhat confident 57 42 42
Not very confident 69 30 15
Not at all confident 79 19 6
Biden legitimately won in 2020
Yes 24 74 58
No 94 5 38
Area type
Urban 34 65 20
Suburban 53 46 53
Rural 67 32 27

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Davis with 1%
  4. ^ Davis with 1%
  5. ^ Davis with 1%
  6. ^ Davis with 1%, "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  7. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  8. ^ Davis and Williams with 1%
  9. ^ Davis and Williams with 1%
  10. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  11. ^ Davis with 1%
  12. ^ Davis with 1%
  13. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  14. ^ Davis with 5% and Williams with 1%
  15. ^ Davis with 1% and Williams with 0%
  16. ^ "Other" with 2%, Davis with 1%
  17. ^ Garcia with 1%
  18. ^ Davis with 1%
  19. ^ Garcia with 1%
  20. ^ Garcia with <1%
  21. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  22. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  23. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  24. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  25. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  26. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  27. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%
  28. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  29. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  30. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  31. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  32. ^ "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  33. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  34. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  35. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  36. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  37. ^ Hazel (L) with 4%
  38. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  39. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  40. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  41. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  42. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  43. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  44. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  45. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  46. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  47. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  48. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  49. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  50. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  51. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  52. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  53. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  54. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  55. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  56. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  57. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  58. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  59. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  60. ^ Hazel with 3%
  61. ^ Hazel and "Other" with 1%
  62. ^ Hazel with 2%; "Other" with 0%
  63. ^ Hazel with 3%, "Other" with 2%
  64. ^ Bartell and Hazel with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Georgia Leadership Coalition.
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Hardworking Georgians, which supports Kemp.
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Kemp's campaign.
  4. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC.
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by Perdue's campaign.
  6. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
  7. ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire.
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Kemp.
  9. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Abrams's campaign.
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor.
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund.
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Walker's campaign for U.S. Senate

References

[edit]
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[edit]

Official campaign websites