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2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election

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2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election

← 2020 August 9, 2022 November 2022 →

Minnesota's 1st congressional district
Turnout29.5%[1]
 
Nominee Brad Finstad Jeff Ettinger
Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote 59,788 55,155
Percentage 50.7% 46.8%


U.S. Representative before election

Jim Hagedorn
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brad Finstad
Republican

The 2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election was a special election held on August 9, 2022. The seat became vacant when incumbent Republican representative Jim Hagedorn died on February 17, 2022, from kidney cancer.[2][3]

A primary was held on May 24, 2022, with the special election being held eleven weeks later, on August 9, alongside state primaries for other races.[4][5][6] The special election was won by Republican Brad Finstad by a margin of 3.9%.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
Former Minnesota GOP chair Jennifer Carnahan finished third in the primary.

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jennifer Carnahan

Individuals

Brad Finstad

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Jeremy Munson

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Nels Pierson

State legislators

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jennifer
Carnahan
Brad
Finstad
Jeremy
Munson
Other Undecided
National Journal Hotline[35][A] April 13–14, 2022 287 (LV) ± 5.7% 37% 9% 20% 14% 20%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Finstad—70–80%
  Finstad—50–60%
  Finstad—40–50%
  Finstad—<40%
  Munson—40–50%
  Munson—50–60%
  Munson—60–70%
  Benda—40–50%
Republican primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brad Finstad 13,695 38.12
Republican Jeremy Munson 13,268 36.93
Republican Jennifer Carnahan 2,887 8.04
Republican Matt Benda 2,629 7.32
Republican Nels Pierson 1,878 5.22
Republican Kevin Kocina 960 2.67
Republican Bob Carney Jr. 193 0.54
Republican Roger Ungemach 151 0.42
Republican J. R. Ewing 142 0.40
Republican Ken Navitsky 127 0.35
Total votes 35,930 100.00

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
UMN Law School professor Richard Painter finished third in the primary.

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jeff Ettinger

State legislators

  • Kathy Brynaert, former state representative for the 19B district (2013–2015) and the 23B district (2007–2013)[21]
  • Jack Considine, former state representative for the 19B district (2015–2021)[21]
  • Gene Pelowski, state representative for the 28A district (2013–present), the 31A district (2003–2013), the 32A district (1993–2003), and the 34B district (1987–1993)[21]
  • Jeanne Poppe, former state representative for the 27B district (2005–2021)[21]
  • Dan Sparks, former state senator for the 27th district (2003–2021)[21]

Local officials

Organizations

Richard Painter

U.S. representatives

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Ettinger—>90%
  Ettinger—70–80%
  Ettinger—60–70%
  Ettinger—50–60%
  Ettinger—40–50%
Democratic (DFL) primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Jeff Ettinger 12,130 64.44
Democratic (DFL) Sarah Brakebill-Hacke 2,492 13.24
Democratic (DFL) Richard Painter 1,718 9.13
Democratic (DFL) Candice Deal-Bartell 1,158 6.15
Democratic (DFL) James Rainwater 446 2.37
Democratic (DFL) Richard DeVoe 379 2.01
Democratic (DFL) Warren Anderson 363 1.93
Democratic (DFL) George Kalberer 137 0.73
Total votes 18,823 100.00
[edit]

Candidate

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Legal Marijuana Now primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana Now Richard B. Reisdorf 363 100.00
Total votes 363 100.00

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Haroun McClellan, attorney and contracts manager[38]

Results

[edit]
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Grassroots—LC Haroun McClellan 194 100.00
Total votes 194 100.00

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Likely R July 19, 2022
Inside Elections[48] Solid R April 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Safe R February 23, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Brad Finstad (R)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Jeff Ettinger (DFL)

State officials

State legislators

  • Kathy Brynaert, former state representative for the 19B district (2013–2015) and the 23B district (2007–2013)[21]
  • Jack Considine, former state representative for the 19B district (2015–2021)[21]
  • Gene Pelowski, state representative for the 28A district (2013–present), the 31A district (2003–2013), the 32A district (1993–2003), and the 34B district (1987–1993)[21]
  • Jeanne Poppe, former state representative for the 27B district (2005–2021)[21]
  • Dan Sparks, former state senator for the 27th district (2003–2021)[21]

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brad
Finstad (R)
Jeff
Ettinger (DFL)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[52] July 26–30, 2022 544 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 38% 7% 8%
Expedition Strategies (D)[53][B] June 6–9, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%

Results

[edit]
2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brad Finstad 59,788 50.71% +2.12%
Democratic (DFL) Jeff Ettinger 55,155 46.78% +1.26%
Legal Marijuana Now Richard Reisdorf 1,536 1.30% N/A
Grassroots—LC Haroun McClellan 865 0.73% −5.08%
Write-in 548 0.46% +0.40%
Total votes 117,892 100.0%
Republican hold
By county
County Brad Finstad
Republican
Jeff Ettinger
DFL
Richard Reisdorf
LMN
Haroun McClellan
G–LC
Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # %
Blue Earth 4,284 42.68 5,501 54.81 167 1.66 85 0.85 −1,217 −12.13 10,037
Brown 3,692 69.09 1,579 29.55 48 0.90 25 0.47 2,113 39.54 5,344
Cottonwood (part) 322 79.90 75 18.61 5 1.24 1 0.25 247 61.29 403
Dodge 2,011 62.88 1,138 35.58 27 0.84 22 0.69 873 27.30 3,198
Faribault 1,455 65.99 718 32.56 19 0.86 13 0.59 737 33.42 2,205
Fillmore 2,537 55.31 1,972 42.99 41 0.89 37 0.81 565 12.32 4,587
Freeborn 3,746 57.19 2,615 39.92 123 1.88 66 1.01 1,131 17.27 6,550
Houston 1,749 54.06 1,427 44.11 36 1.11 23 0.71 322 9.95 3,235
Jackson 1,117 69.38 466 28.94 21 1.30 6 0.37 651 40.43 1,610
Le Sueur 2,929 60.29 1,760 36.23 112 2.31 57 1.17 1,169 24.06 4,858
Martin 2,143 69.24 897 28.98 30 0.97 25 0.81 1,246 40.26 3,095
Mower 2,837 42.46 3,731 55.84 63 0.94 51 0.76 −894 −13.38 6,682
Nicollet 2,995 46.01 3,356 51.55 99 1.52 60 0.92 −361 −5.55 6,510
Nobles 1,377 70.04 547 27.82 25 1.27 17 0.86 830 42.22 1,966
Olmsted 13,550 40.53 19,287 57.70 389 1.16 203 0.61 −5,737 −17.16 33,429
Rice (part) 3,150 59.50 1,967 37.16 112 2.12 65 1.23 1,138 21.50 5,294
Rock 960 67.23 452 31.65 9 0.63 7 0.49 508 35.57 1,428
Steele 3,104 56.98 2,251 41.32 60 1.10 33 0.61 853 15.66 5,448
Waseca 1,771 62.89 995 35.33 35 1.24 15 0.53 776 27.56 2,816
Watonwan 1,255 66.51 602 31.90 19 1.01 11 0.58 653 34.61 1,887
Winona 3,308 44.30 4,005 53.64 109 1.46 45 0.60 −697 −9.33 7,467
Totals 60,292 51.07 55,341 46.88 1,549 1.31 867 0.73 4,951 4.19 118,049

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Carnahan's campaign
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Ettinger's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "State Canvassing Board Certificate - Special Election for United States Representative First Congressional District". Office of Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon. Retrieved August 25, 2022.
  2. ^ "Congressman Jim Hagedorn Dies: 'He Lived His Dream By Serving Others'". WCCO-TV. February 18, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
  3. ^ Oot, Torey Van (February 19, 2022). "Minnesota Rep. Jim Hagedorn dies after cancer battle". Axios. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
  4. ^ "Sec. 204D.29 MN Statutes". www.revisor.mn.gov. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
  5. ^ "Southern Minnesota voters to decide who will fill vacancy after Rep. Jim Hagedorn's death". Duluth News Tribune. February 18, 2022. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
  6. ^ "Governor Walz Issues Writ of Special Election to Fill Vacancy in First Congressional District". mn.gov. February 22, 2022. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  7. ^ Karnowski, Steve (May 25, 2022). "Finstad, Ettinger head to special election for Hagedorn seat". KIMT. Archived from the original on May 25, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2022.
  8. ^ Stultz, Sarah (March 10, 2022). "Longtime Albert Lea attorney running for Congress". www.albertleatribune.com. Albert Lea Tribune. Retrieved March 11, 2022.
  9. ^ O'Neil, Tyler (March 14, 2022). "Jim Hagedorn's widow, Jennifer Carnahan, announces run for his open House seat". Fox News. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  10. ^ "Feehan won't run in special congressional election". March 1, 2022. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
  11. ^ a b "Who's running in Minnesota in 2022: Statewide offices and U.S. House". February 3, 2022.
  12. ^ a b "Two more file for 1st District congressional seat". The Free Press. March 8, 2022. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
  13. ^ "State rep. Jeremy Munson files paperwork to run for US Congress". KTTC. February 25, 2022. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
  14. ^ a b Croman, John (February 19, 2022). "Special election will decide Hagedorn's replacement". KARE 11.
  15. ^ "Nels Pierson announces candidacy to represent 1st Congressional District". KAAL. March 11, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2022.
  16. ^ a b c "3 more file for 1st District election". The Free Press. March 9, 2022.
  17. ^ "Former MSU kicker, monster truck show emcee joins 1st District race". March 3, 2022.
  18. ^ "Navitsky suspends campaign for MN CD 1 Special Primary". May 4, 2022.
  19. ^ Van Oot, Torey (February 28, 2022). "Candidate filing to begin in Minnesota special election for Congress". www.axios.com. Axios. Retrieved March 4, 2022.
  20. ^ Ferguson, Dana (February 21, 2022). "State Sen. Carla Nelson won't seek 1st District seat left vacant after Jim Hagedorn death". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  21. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av Orenstein, Walker; Kaul, Greta (April 18, 2022). "What fundraising and endorsements tell us about the special election in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District". MinnPost. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  22. ^ a b c d e f g "Munson loan swells fundraising for open congressional seat". MPR News. April 19, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  23. ^ a b McIntire, Mary Ellen (March 16, 2022). "Hagedorn widow faces competition for his Minnesota seat". Roll Call. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  24. ^ a b c d e f g h Kaul, Greta (May 13, 2022). "What the latest campaign finance reports tell us about the race to fill Minnesota's vacant CD 1 U.S. House seat". MinnPost. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  25. ^ a b "Candidates".
  26. ^ Cruz, Ted. "Jeremy Munson is a proven fighter who will fight to save America from the radical left. I'm proud to endorse Munson for Congress because I need his help to restore our freedoms, stand up against the establishment, and drain the swamp". Twitter. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  27. ^ Woodall, Hunter (April 24, 2022). "After hours of voting, GOP fails to endorse in First District". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
  28. ^ a b c Stolle, Matthew (April 25, 2022). "GOP district convention fails to endorse congressional candidate, but Munson claims win with most delegates". Rochester Post Bulletin. Retrieved April 26, 2022.
  29. ^ "Minnesota Holds Special Primary For Late Congressman Hagedorn's Seat". WCCO. May 20, 2022. Retrieved May 21, 2022.
  30. ^ a b c Orrick, Dave (April 5, 2022). "MN lawmaker claims per diem for day spent campaigning, but plans to pay it back". Twin Cities. Retrieved April 11, 2022.
  31. ^ a b c Drucker, David (April 19, 2022). "Ex-Minnesota GOP party leader backs state representative for open House seat". Washington Examiner.
  32. ^ Munson, Jeremy. "Thank you @timmiller_mn for your endorsement! #MN01 Let's Go!". Twitter. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  33. ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Jeremy Munson in Minnesota's First Congressional District". FreedomWorks for America. March 25, 2022. Archived from the original on March 25, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  34. ^ @RLibertyCaucus (April 28, 2022). "The Republican Liberty Caucus proudly endorses Jeremy Munson for Congress in MN-1. @jeremymunson has been a bold an…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  35. ^ National Journal Hotline
  36. ^ a b c d "Election Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. May 24, 2022. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  37. ^ "Ettinger throwing his hat into 1st District race". Austin Daily Herald. March 10, 2022.
  38. ^ a b c d e "Who's running in Minnesota in 2022: Statewide offices and U.S. House". MinnPost. February 3, 2022. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  39. ^ "CD1 race adds another potential candidate". KEYC. February 26, 2022.
  40. ^ "RCTC Student Senate provides emergency food aid". October 21, 2017.
  41. ^ Stolle, Matthew (February 22, 2022). "Special election to serve out Hagedorn's term has its first candidate". Post Bulletin. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  42. ^ "Richard Painter announces MN-01 candidacy". KEYC. February 24, 2022.
  43. ^ "Race to succeed late Rep. Jim Hagedorn begins". Star Tribune. February 26, 2022.
  44. ^ "Democrat Dan Feehan opts against First Congressional District run". Star Tribune. March 1, 2022.
  45. ^ a b "Minnesota DFL endorses Jeff Ettinger for Congress in 1st District". Albert Lea Tribune. May 14, 2022.
  46. ^ Painter, Richard. "I can't wait to run against @jeremymunson for U.S. House in #MN01. He has support from @RandPaul and I have support from @jamie_raskin. We all know which of those two has better judgment". Twitter. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  47. ^ Wasserman, Dave (July 19, 2022). "House Rating Changes: IN-01 and MN-01 Get More Competitive". Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  48. ^ Gonzalez, Nathan L. (April 7, 2022). "Minnesota Redistricting: Land of a Couple Interesting Races". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
  49. ^ Kondik, Kyle (February 23, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: Feb. 23, 2022". Retrieved February 23, 2022.
  50. ^ "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Brad Finstad in Minnesota's First Congressional District". Tea Party Express. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
  51. ^ "Gov. Walz to appear at GOTV rally in Rochester on Saturday". August 4, 2022.
  52. ^ SurveyUSA
  53. ^ Expedition Strategies (D)
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Official campaign websites