2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut
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All 5 Connecticut seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Connecticut |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Connecticut, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Connecticut and the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
This election was the closest the Republican Party has gotten to gaining a seat since 2006, where the last Republican representative was elected, as well as the first time since 2006 in which any district was won by a margin lower than 1%. This was due to the very narrow margin in Connecticut's 5th district, with Rep. Jahana Hayes winning only by a margin of 0.79%.
District 1
[edit]
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Municipality results Larson 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Lazor 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses Hartford and the surrounding areas, including the north-central part of the state. The incumbent was Democrat John Larson, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2020.[1]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Larson, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Disqualified
[edit]- Muad Hrezi, educator and former U.S. Senate staffer[3][4]
Withdrawn
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[7]
Organizations
- Jewish Voice for Peace Action Fund[8]
- Sunrise Connecticut[9]
Organizations
Labor unions
Republican convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Larry Lazor, physician[14]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Green |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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John Larson | Larry Lazor | Mary Sanders | |||||
1 | Oct. 12, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting |
Ray Hardman | [15] | P | P | N |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[17] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[19] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[20] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[21] | Solid D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[22] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[23] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[24] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Larson | 144,873 | 59.4 | |
Working Families | John Larson | 4,683 | 1.9 | |
Total | John Larson | 149,556 | 61.3 | |
Republican | Larry Lazor | 91,506 | 37.5 | |
Green | Mary Sanders | 2,851 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 243,913 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Municipality results Courtney 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% France 40-50% 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd congressional district is located in eastern Connecticut and includes Enfield, Norwich, New London, and Groton. The incumbent was Democrat Joe Courtney, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2020.[1] Courtney ran for and won re-election in 2022.
Democratic convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Joe Courtney, incumbent U.S. representative[26]
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Anthony DiLizia, army veteran[27]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Labor unions
Republican convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Green | Libertarian |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Joe Courtney | Mike France | Kevin Blacker | William Hall | |||||
1 | Oct. 4, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting |
Catherine Shen | [29] | P | P | N | N |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Likely D | May 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections[17] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Likely D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[19] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[20] | Lean D | October 30, 2022 |
Fox News[21] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[22] | Likely D | July 20, 2022 |
538[23] | Solid D | October 30, 2022 |
The Economist[24] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Courtney (D) |
Mike France (R) |
William Hall (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[30] | October 23–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 29% | 5% | 2%[b] | 13% |
55% | 36% | – | – | 9% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Courtney (incumbent) | 165,946 | 58.2 | |
Republican | Mike France | 114,506 | 40.2 | |
Green | Kevin Blacker | 2,439 | 0.9 | |
Libertarian | William Hall | 2,140 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 285,031 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Municipality results DeLauro 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% DeNardis 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in the south central part of the state and takes in New Haven and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Rosa DeLauro, was re-elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2020.[1] DeLauro ran for and won re-election in 2022.
Democratic convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Rosa DeLauro, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Labor unions
Republican convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lesley DeNardis, daughter of former congressman Lawrence DeNardis and former Hamden Board of Education member[34]
Independents and third-party candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Amy Chai (independent), physician[35]
- Justin Paglino (Green), doctor and nominee for this district in 2020[36][37]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[17] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[19] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[20] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[21] | Solid D | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[22] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[23] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[24] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rosa DeLauro (incumbent) | 137,924 | 56.8 | |
Republican | Lesley DeNardis | 98,704 | 40.7 | |
Independent | Amy Chai | 4,056 | 1.7 | |
Green | Justin Paglino | 1,967 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 242,651 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Municipality results Himes 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Stevenson 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in southwestern Connecticut, stretching from Greenwich to Bridgeport. The incumbent was Democrat Jim Himes, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2020.[1] Himes ran for and won re-election in 2022.
Democratic convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Labor unions
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jayme Stevenson, former Darien First Selectman and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Connecticut in 2018[40]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Goldstein, ophthalmologist[41][42]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jayme Stevenson | 9,962 | 60.3 | |
Republican | Michael Goldstein | 6,655 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 16,517 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Jim Himes | Jayme Stevenson | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting |
Kaliliah Brown-Dean |
[44] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[17] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[19] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[20] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[21] | Solid D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[22] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[23] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[24] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Himes (D) |
Jayme Stevenson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[45] | October 23–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 37% | – | 10% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Himes (incumbent) | 140,262 | 59.4 | |
Republican | Jayme Stevenson | 93,329 | 39.5 | |
Independent Party | Jayme Stevenson | 2,493 | 1.1 | |
Total | Jayme Stevenson | 95,822 | 40.6 | |
Total votes | 236,084 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
[edit]
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Municipality results Hayes 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Logan 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in the northwestern region of the state, including the cities of Danbury, New Britain, Meriden, and most of Waterbury. The incumbent was Democrat Jahana Hayes, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] Hayes ran for and narrowly won re-election in 2022 by a margin of 0.8%.[47]
Democratic convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jahana Hayes, incumbent U.S. representative[47]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[48]
- Congressional Black Caucus[49]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[50]
- EMILY's List[51]
- Feminist Majority PAC[52]
- Giffords[53]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[54]
- League of Conservation Voters[55]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[33]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[11]
- Sierra Club[12]
Labor unions
Republican convention
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- George Logan, former state senator (2017–2021)[56][57]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. representatives
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from Louisiana's 1st congressional district (2008–)[58]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)[59]
- Bryan Steil, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (2019–present)[60]
Organizations
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Jahana Hayes | George Logan | |||||
1 | Oct. 18, 2022 | WTNH | Dennis House | [63] | P | P |
2 | Oct. 21, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting |
Frankie Graziano | [64] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[16] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections[17] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[19] | Tossup | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[20] | Tossup | October 3, 2022 |
Fox News[21] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[22] | Lean D | October 27, 2022 |
538[23] | Lean D | October 25, 2022 |
The Economist[24] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Jahana Hayes (D) |
George Logan (R) |
Undecided [c] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[65] | July 16 – October 27, 2022 | October 29, 2022 | 46.7% | 45.3% | 8.0% | Hayes +1.4 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jahana Hayes (D) |
George Logan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[66] | October 23–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
Emerson College[67] | October 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | – | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[68][A] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
RMG Research[69] | July 20–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 37% | 3% | 15% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[70][B] | July 16–24, 2022 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | – | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[71][A] | June 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[68][A] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[70][B] | July 16–24, 2022 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[71][A] | June 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jahana Hayes | 123,818 | 48.8 | |
Working Families | Jahana Hayes | 4,020 | 1.6 | |
Total | Jahana Hayes (incumbent) | 127,838 | 50.4 | |
Republican | George Logan | 123,342 | 48.6 | |
Independent Party | George Logan | 2,492 | 1.0 | |
Total | George Logan | 125,834 | 49.6 | |
Total votes | 253,672 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Logan's campaign committee
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund
References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e NBC News (March 31, 2021). "Connecticut House Election Results 2020". NBC News.
- ^ "Home". March 28, 2014.
- ^ Munson, Emilie (February 11, 2021). "CT congressman facing a rare challenge from the left". CTInsider. Retrieved February 24, 2021.
- ^ Hrezi, Maud (August 4, 2022). "Hey everyone, Some sad news to share: the court ruled to keep CT's laws in place. Despite this decision, I'll keep fighting to expand democracy at the ballot box & for values that represent CT-01. Thank you to everyone who has supported us throughout this movement". Twitter. Retrieved August 8, 2022.
- ^ Altimari, Daniela. "A pair of Connecticut progressives are planning to challenge U.S. Rep. John Larson" (PDF). www.courant.com. The Hartford Courant. Retrieved October 25, 2021.
- ^ Andrew Legnani [@AndrewLegnani] (October 19, 2021). "Yes my campaign website is down because I have left the CT-1 House Race to Support my Friend @muadhrezi I find it inappropriate to promote myself when I am trying to help my Friend win The Democratic Nomination and Election for the First District" (Tweet). Retrieved November 13, 2021 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Marianne Williamson's Endorsee Candidate Summit". Retrieved October 10, 2021.
- ^ @JVPActionPAC (May 31, 2022). ".@muadhrezi first became determined to fix the broken systems in this country after experiencing the cruelty of the US healthcare system firsthand. He is running to build a country that funds our communities and our future, not the defense industry and our military" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "ENDORSEMENT ALERT I'm honored + excited to be endorses by Sunrise Connectict @SunriseConn. We have no other choice than urgent, decisive climate action to save our planet. I'm committed to a GND, ending oil & gas subsidies, and a steep carbon tax. Our futures depend on it". February 21, 2022. Retrieved June 23, 2022.
- ^ "DMFI PAC announces first slate of endorsements for the House of Representatives in the 2022 Midterm election cycle". DMFI PAC. January 31, 2022. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e "Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
- ^ a b c d e "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
- ^ Altimari, Daniela (May 5, 2021). "Larry Lazor believes the 2020 presidential election wasn't stolen. Now the Republican from West Hartford is running for Congress against John Larson". Hartford Courant.
- ^ YouTube
- ^ a b c d e "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 10, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 16, 2022. Retrieved February 16, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
- ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 1". Connecticut Secretary of State.
- ^ "Joe Courtney FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- ^ Spinella, Sten (July 20, 2021). "Democrat announces challenge to Rep. Joe Courtney". www.theday.com. The Day. Retrieved August 18, 2021.
- ^ "State Rep. Mike France running for Congress". The CT Mirror. February 9, 2021.
- ^ YouTube
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 2". Connecticut Secretary of State.
- ^ "Rosa DeLauro FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
- ^ Moritz, Joe (October 27, 2022). "One CT candidate spent more on pizza than opponent spent in two months: An inside look at a longshot campaign". CT Insider. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
- ^ "Amy Chai FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- ^ "Justin Paglino FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- ^ "Green Party of Connecticut - 2022 Candidates". Retrieved June 7, 2022.
- ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 3". Connecticut Secretary of State.
- ^ Emilie Munson (January 13, 2021). "Himes files for 2022 re-election run; no announcement". ctpost.
- ^ "Former Darien first selectman seeks GOP nomination for 4th Congressional District". March 6, 2022.
- ^ "Could Greenwich doctor have remedy for 4th Congressional District's ills?". February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
- ^ "Michael Goldstein FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Republican Primary Election - Representative in Congress - District 4". Connecticut Secretary of State.
- ^ YouTube
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 4". Connecticut Secretary of State.
- ^ a b Mark Pazinokas (July 20, 2021). "Prepping for challenge, Hayes banks $1.2M for re-election". ctmirror.
- ^ "AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates". AIPAC PAC.
- ^ "Candidates". Congressional Black Caucus PAC.
- ^ "DMFI PAC CANDIDATES". Democratic Majority for Israel.
- ^ "EMILY's List Endorses 17 Congresswomen for Reelection". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List. March 26, 2021. Archived from the original on April 24, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org.
- ^ "Giffords Endorses Slate of Gun Safety Champions". Giffords. March 23, 2022.
- ^ Society, Humane. "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of Incumbent House Endorsements". www.lcv.org. March 3, 2022.
- ^ Anna Elizabeth (July 19, 2021). "CT Examiner Talks Congressional Run with George Logan". The Connecticut Examiner.
- ^ Christopher Keating (July 21, 2021). "Republican George Logan to challenge Democratic U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes in Connecticut's 5th District". Hartfod Courant.
- ^ "CT-05: Logan Celebrates Scalise Endorsement Day After GOP Whip Votes Against Marriage Equality". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. July 21, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
- ^ Berry, Susan (June 4, 2022). "House Republican Conference Chair Representative Elise Stefanik Endorses Republican George Logan in Bid to Flip Connecticut's 5th Congressional District". The Tennessee Star. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
- ^ Dixon, Ken (October 5, 2022). "As Jahana Hayes meets with Kamala Harris, opponent George Logan brings Wisconsin congressman to CT". CT Insider. Retrieved October 13, 2022.
- ^ "We proudly endorse George Logan for Congress". Log Cabin Republicans. October 27, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
- ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses George Logan for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District". United States Chamber of Commerce. October 27, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
- ^ YouTube
- ^ YouTube
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ RMG Research
- ^ a b The Tarrance Group (R)
- ^ a b Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 5". Connecticut Secretary of State.
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Connecticut", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Connecticut: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Connecticut". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Connecticut at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates