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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 5 Connecticut seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 5 0
Seats won 5 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 721,526 526,372
Percentage 57.20% 41.73%
Swing Decrease 2.63% Increase 3.21%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Connecticut, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Connecticut and the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

This election was the closest the Republican Party has gotten to gaining a seat since 2006, where the last Republican representative was elected, as well as the first time since 2006 in which any district was won by a margin lower than 1%. This was due to the very narrow margin in Connecticut's 5th district, with Rep. Jahana Hayes winning only by a margin of 0.79%.

District 1

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 1st congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee John Larson Larry Lazor
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote 149,556 91,506
Percentage 61.3% 37.5%

Municipality results
Larson      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Lazor      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Larson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Larson
Democratic

The 1st district encompasses Hartford and the surrounding areas, including the north-central part of the state. The incumbent was Democrat John Larson, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Andrew Legnani, former EMT (endorsed Hrezi)[5][6]

Endorsements

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Republican convention

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
  • Larry Lazor, physician[14]

General election

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Debate

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2022 Connecticut's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Green
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
John Larson Larry Lazor Mary Sanders
1 Oct. 12, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Ray Hardman [15] P P N

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Solid D April 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[19] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[20] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[21] Solid D October 11, 2022
DDHQ[22] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[23] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[24] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 1st congressional district election[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Larson 144,873 59.4
Working Families John Larson 4,683 1.9
Total John Larson 149,556 61.3
Republican Larry Lazor 91,506 37.5
Green Mary Sanders 2,851 1.2
Total votes 243,913 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Joe Courtney Mike France
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 165,946 114,506
Percentage 58.2% 40.2%

Municipality results
Courtney      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
France      40-50%      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Joe Courtney
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Joe Courtney
Democratic

The 2nd congressional district is located in eastern Connecticut and includes Enfield, Norwich, New London, and Groton. The incumbent was Democrat Joe Courtney, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2020.[1] Courtney ran for and won re-election in 2022.

Democratic convention

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Failed to qualify
[edit]
  • Anthony DiLizia, army veteran[27]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joe Courtney

Organizations

Labor unions

Republican convention

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]

General election

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Debate

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2022 Connecticut's 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Green Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Joe Courtney Mike France Kevin Blacker William Hall
1 Oct. 4, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Catherine Shen [29] P P N N

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Likely D May 26, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Solid D April 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Likely D February 16, 2022
Politico[19] Likely D April 5, 2022
RCP[20] Lean D October 30, 2022
Fox News[21] Lean D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[22] Likely D July 20, 2022
538[23] Solid D October 30, 2022
The Economist[24] Likely D November 1, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Courtney (D)
Mike
France (R)
William
Hall (L)
Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[30] October 23–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 29% 5% 2%[b] 13%
55% 36% 9%

Results

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 2nd congressional district election[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Courtney (incumbent) 165,946 58.2
Republican Mike France 114,506 40.2
Green Kevin Blacker 2,439 0.9
Libertarian William Hall 2,140 0.7
Total votes 285,031 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Rosa DeLauro Lesley DeNardis
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 137,924 98,704
Percentage 56.8% 40.7%

Municipality results
DeLauro      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
DeNardis      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rosa DeLauro
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rosa DeLauro
Democratic

The 3rd district is located in the south central part of the state and takes in New Haven and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Rosa DeLauro, was re-elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2020.[1] DeLauro ran for and won re-election in 2022.

Democratic convention

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

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Republican convention

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]

Independents and third-party candidates

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Declared

[edit]
  • Amy Chai (independent), physician[35]
  • Justin Paglino (Green), doctor and nominee for this district in 2020[36][37]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Solid D April 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[19] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[20] Likely D June 9, 2022
Fox News[21] Solid D November 1, 2022
DDHQ[22] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[23] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[24] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 3rd congressional district election[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rosa DeLauro (incumbent) 137,924 56.8
Republican Lesley DeNardis 98,704 40.7
Independent Amy Chai 4,056 1.7
Green Justin Paglino 1,967 0.8
Total votes 242,651 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Jim Himes Jayme Stevenson
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Independent Party
Popular vote 140,262 95,822
Percentage 59.4% 40.6%

Municipality results
Himes      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Stevenson      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Himes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Himes
Democratic

The 4th district is located in southwestern Connecticut, stretching from Greenwich to Bridgeport. The incumbent was Democrat Jim Himes, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2020.[1] Himes ran for and won re-election in 2022.

Democratic convention

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Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Himes

Organizations

Labor unions

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jayme Stevenson 9,962 60.3
Republican Michael Goldstein 6,655 39.7
Total votes 16,517 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 4th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jim Himes Jayme Stevenson
1 Oct. 14, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Kaliliah
Brown-Dean
[44] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Solid D April 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[19] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[20] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[21] Solid D October 11, 2022
DDHQ[22] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[23] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[24] Safe D September 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Himes (D)
Jayme
Stevenson (R)
Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[45] October 23–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 37% 10%

Results

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Himes (incumbent) 140,262 59.4
Republican Jayme Stevenson 93,329 39.5
Independent Party Jayme Stevenson 2,493 1.1
Total Jayme Stevenson 95,822 40.6
Total votes 236,084 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Jahana Hayes George Logan
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Independent Party
Popular vote 127,838 125,834
Percentage 50.4% 49.6%

Municipality results
Hayes      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Logan      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jahana Hayes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jahana Hayes
Democratic

The 5th district is based in the northwestern region of the state, including the cities of Danbury, New Britain, Meriden, and most of Waterbury. The incumbent was Democrat Jahana Hayes, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] Hayes ran for and narrowly won re-election in 2022 by a margin of 0.8%.[47]

Democratic convention

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican convention

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
George Logan

U.S. representatives

Organizations

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 5th congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jahana Hayes George Logan
1 Oct. 18, 2022 WTNH Dennis House [63] P P
2 Oct. 21, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Frankie Graziano [64] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Tossup October 25, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Tossup November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[19] Tossup October 3, 2022
RCP[20] Tossup October 3, 2022
Fox News[21] Tossup November 1, 2022
DDHQ[22] Lean D October 27, 2022
538[23] Lean D October 25, 2022
The Economist[24] Tossup November 1, 2022

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Jahana
Hayes (D)
George
Logan (R)
Undecided
[c]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[65] July 16 – October 27, 2022 October 29, 2022 46.7% 45.3% 8.0% Hayes +1.4

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jahana
Hayes (D)
George
Logan (R)
Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[66] October 23–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 10%
Emerson College[67] October 19–21, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 48% 6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[68][A] October 4–6, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
RMG Research[69] July 20–26, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 37% 3% 15%
The Tarrance Group (R)[70][B] July 16–24, 2022 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[71][A] June 29–30, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 41% 13%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[68][A] October 4–6, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 47% 11%
The Tarrance Group (R)[70][B] July 16–24, 2022 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 42% 48% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[71][A] June 29–30, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 44% 12%

Results

[edit]
2022 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jahana Hayes 123,818 48.8
Working Families Jahana Hayes 4,020 1.6
Total Jahana Hayes (incumbent) 127,838 50.4
Republican George Logan 123,342 48.6
Independent Party George Logan 2,492 1.0
Total George Logan 125,834 49.6
Total votes 253,672 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Blacker with 2%
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Logan's campaign committee
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e NBC News (March 31, 2021). "Connecticut House Election Results 2020". NBC News.
  2. ^ "Home". March 28, 2014.
  3. ^ Munson, Emilie (February 11, 2021). "CT congressman facing a rare challenge from the left". CTInsider. Retrieved February 24, 2021.
  4. ^ Hrezi, Maud (August 4, 2022). "Hey everyone, Some sad news to share: the court ruled to keep CT's laws in place. Despite this decision, I'll keep fighting to expand democracy at the ballot box & for values that represent CT-01. Thank you to everyone who has supported us throughout this movement". Twitter. Retrieved August 8, 2022.
  5. ^ Altimari, Daniela. "A pair of Connecticut progressives are planning to challenge U.S. Rep. John Larson" (PDF). www.courant.com. The Hartford Courant. Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  6. ^ Andrew Legnani [@AndrewLegnani] (October 19, 2021). "Yes my campaign website is down because I have left the CT-1 House Race to Support my Friend @muadhrezi I find it inappropriate to promote myself when I am trying to help my Friend win The Democratic Nomination and Election for the First District" (Tweet). Retrieved November 13, 2021 – via Twitter.
  7. ^ "Marianne Williamson's Endorsee Candidate Summit". Retrieved October 10, 2021.
  8. ^ @JVPActionPAC (May 31, 2022). ".@muadhrezi first became determined to fix the broken systems in this country after experiencing the cruelty of the US healthcare system firsthand. He is running to build a country that funds our communities and our future, not the defense industry and our military" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  9. ^ "ENDORSEMENT ALERT I'm honored + excited to be endorses by Sunrise Connectict @SunriseConn. We have no other choice than urgent, decisive climate action to save our planet. I'm committed to a GND, ending oil & gas subsidies, and a steep carbon tax. Our futures depend on it". February 21, 2022. Retrieved June 23, 2022.
  10. ^ "DMFI PAC announces first slate of endorsements for the House of Representatives in the 2022 Midterm election cycle". DMFI PAC. January 31, 2022. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  11. ^ a b c d e "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  12. ^ a b c d e "Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  13. ^ a b c d e "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
  14. ^ Altimari, Daniela (May 5, 2021). "Larry Lazor believes the 2020 presidential election wasn't stolen. Now the Republican from West Hartford is running for Congress against John Larson". Hartford Courant.
  15. ^ YouTube
  16. ^ a b c d e "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 10, 2022.
  17. ^ a b c d e "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c d e "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 16, 2022. Retrieved February 16, 2022.
  19. ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  20. ^ a b c d e "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  21. ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  22. ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  23. ^ a b c d e "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  24. ^ a b c d e "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  25. ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 1". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  26. ^ "Joe Courtney FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  27. ^ Spinella, Sten (July 20, 2021). "Democrat announces challenge to Rep. Joe Courtney". www.theday.com. The Day. Retrieved August 18, 2021.
  28. ^ "State Rep. Mike France running for Congress". The CT Mirror. February 9, 2021.
  29. ^ YouTube
  30. ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
  31. ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 2". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  32. ^ "Rosa DeLauro FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  33. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
  34. ^ Moritz, Joe (October 27, 2022). "One CT candidate spent more on pizza than opponent spent in two months: An inside look at a longshot campaign". CT Insider. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  35. ^ "Amy Chai FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  36. ^ "Justin Paglino FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  37. ^ "Green Party of Connecticut - 2022 Candidates". Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  38. ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 3". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  39. ^ Emilie Munson (January 13, 2021). "Himes files for 2022 re-election run; no announcement". ctpost.
  40. ^ "Former Darien first selectman seeks GOP nomination for 4th Congressional District". March 6, 2022.
  41. ^ "Could Greenwich doctor have remedy for 4th Congressional District's ills?". February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
  42. ^ "Michael Goldstein FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  43. ^ "2022 Republican Primary Election - Representative in Congress - District 4". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  44. ^ YouTube
  45. ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
  46. ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 4". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  47. ^ a b Mark Pazinokas (July 20, 2021). "Prepping for challenge, Hayes banks $1.2M for re-election". ctmirror.
  48. ^ "AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates". AIPAC PAC.
  49. ^ "Candidates". Congressional Black Caucus PAC.
  50. ^ "DMFI PAC CANDIDATES". Democratic Majority for Israel.
  51. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses 17 Congresswomen for Reelection". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List. March 26, 2021. Archived from the original on April 24, 2021.
  52. ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org.
  53. ^ "Giffords Endorses Slate of Gun Safety Champions". Giffords. March 23, 2022.
  54. ^ Society, Humane. "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  55. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of Incumbent House Endorsements". www.lcv.org. March 3, 2022.
  56. ^ Anna Elizabeth (July 19, 2021). "CT Examiner Talks Congressional Run with George Logan". The Connecticut Examiner.
  57. ^ Christopher Keating (July 21, 2021). "Republican George Logan to challenge Democratic U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes in Connecticut's 5th District". Hartfod Courant.
  58. ^ "CT-05: Logan Celebrates Scalise Endorsement Day After GOP Whip Votes Against Marriage Equality". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. July 21, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  59. ^ Berry, Susan (June 4, 2022). "House Republican Conference Chair Representative Elise Stefanik Endorses Republican George Logan in Bid to Flip Connecticut's 5th Congressional District". The Tennessee Star. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  60. ^ Dixon, Ken (October 5, 2022). "As Jahana Hayes meets with Kamala Harris, opponent George Logan brings Wisconsin congressman to CT". CT Insider. Retrieved October 13, 2022.
  61. ^ "We proudly endorse George Logan for Congress". Log Cabin Republicans. October 27, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  62. ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses George Logan for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District". United States Chamber of Commerce. October 27, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  63. ^ YouTube
  64. ^ YouTube
  65. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  66. ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
  67. ^ Emerson College
  68. ^ a b Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  69. ^ RMG Research
  70. ^ a b The Tarrance Group (R)
  71. ^ a b Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  72. ^ "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 5". Connecticut Secretary of State.
[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates