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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 9 9
Seats won 9 8
Seat change Steady Decrease 1
Popular vote 2,436,919 2,702,262
Percentage 47.30% 52.45%
Swing Decrease 2.07% Increase 1.82%
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania (reduced from 18 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).

Pennsylvania's legislature enacted new district maps in January 2022, which were promptly vetoed by Governor Tom Wolf. The state supreme court took control of the process and selected a map in February 2022. After the court rejected several legal challenges in March, the new district boundaries were used in the May 2022 primary elections.[1][2]

Despite losing the popular vote, with one Democratic and two Republican incumbents running unopposed, Democrats won the majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. As a result, Pennsylvania was one of only two states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2022, the other state being Nevada.

District 1

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Ashley Ehasz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 201,571 165,809
Percentage 54.9% 45.1%
Results
Fitzpatrick:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Ehasz:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 54.9% of the vote.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Alex Entin, procurement manager[7]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brian Fitzpatrick

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 60,502 65.6
Republican Alex Entin 31,772 34.4
Total votes 92,274 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ashley Ehasz

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ashley Ehasz Unopposed
Total votes 79,546 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]
  • Caroline Avery, personal antiquities buyer (originally ran as a Republican)[24]

Endorsements

[edit]
Caroline Avery

Organizations

Green Party

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R May 26, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Likely R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Likely R October 3, 2022
RCP[32] Lean R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Likely R August 22, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Likely R September 28, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)

Organizations

Ashley Ehasz (D)

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Brian
Fitzpatrick (R) 		Ashley
Ehasz (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[40][A] September 5–8, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 35% – 10%
RMG Research[41] July 22–29, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 35% 10% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[42][B] June 24–25, 2022 626 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 38% – 18%

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 201,571 54.9
Democratic Ashley Ehasz 165,809 45.1
Total votes 367,380 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Brendan Boyle Aaron Bashir
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 141,229 45,454
Percentage 75.7% 24.3%
County results
Boyle:      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+22 and voted for Joe Biden by 43 points in 2020. Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 75.7% of the vote.[44]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brendan Boyle

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Brendan
Boyle 		Sharif
Street 		Undecided
MuniciPoll (D)[50][C] December 4–7, 2021 939 (LV) ± 3.2% 58% 18% 24%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 53,825 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[52]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Aaron Bashir Unopposed
Total votes 11,796 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid D March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 141,229 75.7
Republican Aaron Bashir 45,454 24.3
Total votes 186,683 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Dwight Evans Christopher Hoeppner
Party Democratic Socialist Workers
Popular vote 251,115 12,820
Percentage 95.1% 4.9%
County results
Evans:      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Dwight Evans
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dwight Evans
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+40, making it the second most democratic leaning district in the nation (behind NY-13), and voted for Joe Biden by 81 points. Democrat Dwight Evans, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 95.1% of the vote.[53]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dwight Evans

Labor unions

Organizations

Alexandra Hunt

Individuals

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 97,709 75.7
Democratic Alexandra Hunt 25,712 19.9
Democratic Michael Cogbill 5,728 4.4
Total votes 129,149 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Socialist Workers Party

[edit]
Qualified for ballot
[edit]
  • Christopher Hoeppner, freight train conductor[61][62]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid D March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 251,115 95.1
Socialist Workers Christopher Hoeppner 12,820 4.9
Total votes 263,935 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Madeleine Dean Christian Nascimento
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 224,799 141,986
Percentage 61.3% 38.7%
County results
Dean:      60–70%
Nascimento:      50-60%
U.S. Representative before election

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 19 points in 2020. Democrat Madeleine Dean, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.3% of the vote in the general election.[63]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Madeleine Dean

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[65]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 96,876 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Daniel Burton

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[69]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christian Nascimento 47,192 68.8
Republican Daniel Burton 21,378 31.2
Total votes 68,570 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid D March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe D September 28, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Madeleine Dean (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Christian Nascimento (R)

Organizations
Log Cabin Republicans[76]

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 224,799 61.3
Republican Christian Nascimento 141,986 38.7
Total votes 366,785 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon David Galluch
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 205,128 110,058
Percentage 65.1% 34.9%
County results
Scanlon:      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+14 and voted for Joe Biden by 32 points in 2020. Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who had represented the district since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 65.1% of the vote in the general election.[77]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mary Gay Scanlon

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[80]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 79,816 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[82]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Galluch Unopposed
Total votes 55,770 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]
Filed paperwork
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Forum

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Mary Gay Scanlon David Galluch
1 Oct. 10, 2022 League of Women Voters
of Delaware County
League of Women Voters
of Lower Merion & Narberth 		Jamie Mogil [84] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid D March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 205,128 65.1
Republican David Galluch 110,058 34.9
Total votes 315,186 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Chrissy Houlahan Guy Ciarrocchi
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 190,386 136,097
Percentage 58.3% 41.7%
County results
Houlahan:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district

The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 58.3% of the vote in the general election.[85]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chrissy Houlahan

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[87]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 71,950 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Steve Fanelli, businessman[93]
  • Regina Mauro, businesswoman[94]
  • Ron Vogel, realtor[95]

Endorsements

[edit]
Regina Mauro

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[92]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Ciarrochi 23,369 33.1
Republican Steve Fanelli 21,146 29.9
Republican Ron Vogel 15,628 22.1
Republican Regina Mauro 10,565 14.9
Total votes 70,708 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chrissy Houlahan Guy Ciarrocchi
1 Oct. 25, 2022 Greater Reading
Unity Coalition 		Anthony Orozco [97] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid D March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Likely D March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Likely D April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Lean D October 17, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Likely D November 1, 2022
538[35] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Likely D November 1, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Chrissy Houlahan (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Guy Ciarrocchi

Statewide officials

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 190,386 58.3
Republican Guy Ciarrocchi 136,097 41.7
Total votes 326,483 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Susan Wild Lisa Scheller
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 151,364 145,527
Percentage 51.0% 49.0%
Wild:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

Scheller:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

Tied:      
U.S. Representative before election

Susan Wild
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Susan Wild
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing Stroudsburg in exchange for Carbon County.[3] This made the district more conservative, with a PVI of R+2, but it voted for Joe Biden by 0.6 points in 2020. Democrat Susan Wild, a representative since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 51.0% of the vote.[103]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of candidate Kevin Dellicker.[104]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Susan Wild

Organizations

Labor unions

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[106]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 63,817 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lisa Scheller

Executive branch officials

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[113]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lisa Scheller 34,504 51.3
Republican Kevin Dellicker 32,713 48.7
Total votes 67,217 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Susan Wild Lisa Scheller
1 Oct. 21, 2022 Lehigh Valley News
WLVR-FM
WLVT-TV 		Jen Rehill
Tom Shortell 		[120] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Tossup October 5, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Tossup March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[31] Tossup April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Lean R (flip) June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Lean R (flip) July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Tossup July 20, 2022
538[35] Tossup August 3, 2022
The Economist[36] Tossup September 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Susan
Wild (D) 		Lisa
Scheller (R) 		Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College[121] October 12–14, 2022 404 (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 46% 4% 4%
RMG Research[122] July 31 – August 5, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 47% 2% 8%

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 151,364 51.0
Republican Lisa Scheller 145,527 49.0
Total votes 296,891 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Matt Cartwright Jim Bognet
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 146,956 139,930
Percentage 51.2% 48.8%
Cartwright:      50-60%

Bognet:      50-60%      60-70%

Precinct results
Cartwright:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

Bognet:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
U.S. Representative before election

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties. The district added Stroudsburg in redistricting, making it slightly more liberal.[3] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3 points in 2020. Democrat Matt Cartwright, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 51.2% of the vote in the general election.[123]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Cartwright

Organizations

Labor unions

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[125]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 68,696 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Bognet

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[128]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Bognet 47,097 68.7
Republican Michael Marsicano 21,436 31.3
Total votes 68,533 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Tossup February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Tossup March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[31] Tossup April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Lean R (flip) June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Tossup July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Tossup October 1, 2022
538[35] Tossup November 8, 2022
The Economist[36] Tossup September 28, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Cartwright (D)

Organizations

Labor unions

Jim Bognet (R)

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 PA-8 debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Bognet Cartwright
1 October 20, 2022 WVIA-TV Larry Vojtko C-SPAN[140] P P

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Matt
Cartwright (D) 		Jim
Bognet (R) 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[141] June 23 – October 28, 2022 October 31, 2022 48.1% 45.0% 6.9% Cartwright +3.1

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Matt
Cartwright (D) 		Jim
Bognet (R) 		Undecided
Siena College/The New York Times[142] October 19–20, 2022 415 (LV) – 50% 44% 6%
Patriot Polling[143] October 7–9, 2022 289 (RV) – 40% 43% 17%
GQR Research (D)[144][D] September 12–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 3%
Cygnal (R)[145][E] September 6–8, 2022 440 (LV) – 48% 48% 4%
GQR Research (D)[146][D] August 2–9, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 46% 1%
Cygnal (R)[147][E] June 23–25, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.7% 45% 46% 9%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
GQR Research (D)[146][D] August 2–9, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 48% 3%
Cygnal (R)[148][E] June 23–25, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.7% 44% 49% 7%

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 146,956 51.2
Republican Jim Bognet 139,930 48.8
Total votes 286,886 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Dan Meuser Amanda Waldman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 209,185 92,622
Percentage 69.3% 30.7%
County results
Meuser:      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Dan Meuser (Republican)
Fred Keller (Republican)

 Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Meuser
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district

The 9th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania east of the Appalachian Divide, including Williamsport, Bloomsburg, and Lebanon. The district kept most of its territory and added much of the now defunct 12th district in redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of R+21 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Dan Meuser, who had represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[149] Meuser is running for re-election. Republican Fred Keller, who had represented the 12th district since 2019, was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020 and redistricted into the 15th district, but switched to run in the 9th district.[150] However, on February 28, Keller announced that he would retire instead of go through a primary against Meuser.[151] Meuser went on to win the general election in 2022, garnering 69.3% of the vote.[152]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan Meuser

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[154]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 102,180 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Amanda Waldman, Medicare financial representative[155][156]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[156]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amanda Waldman Unopposed
Total votes 41,622 100.0

Independents and third-party candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28][160] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe R September 28, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan Meuser (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Amanda Waldman (D)

Labor unions

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 PA-9 debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Meuser Waldman
1 October 21, 2022 WVIA-TV Larry Vojtko PAhomepage[163] P P

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 209,185 69.3
Democratic Amanda Waldman 92,622 30.7
Total votes 301,807 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Scott Perry Shamaine Daniels
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 169,331 145,215
Percentage 53.8% 46.2%
County results
Perry:      50-60%
Daniels:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Scott Perry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Perry
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district

The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4 points in 2020. Republican Scott Perry, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 53.8% of the vote.[164]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Did not file
[edit]
  • Brian Allen, clinical psychologist[166]

Endorsements

[edit]
Scott Perry

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[165]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 84,646 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[170]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shamaine Daniels 32,260 52.6
Democratic Rick Coplen 29,128 47.4
Total votes 61,388 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R May 26, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R April 19, 2022
Politico[31] Likely R November 3, 2022
RCP[32] Likely R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Likely R September 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Scott
Perry (R) 		Shamaine
Daniels (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[175][F] August 9–10, 2022 714 (LV) ± 3.7% 41% 44% 15%

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 169,331 53.8
Democratic Shamaine Daniels 145,215 46.2
Total votes 314,546 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Lloyd Smucker Robert Hollister
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 194,991 121,835
Percentage 61.5% 38.5%
County results
Smucker:      50-60%      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district

The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+14 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.5% of the vote.[176]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lloyd Smucker

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[177]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 96,886 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bob Hollister

Trade unions

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[182]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Hollister Unopposed
Total votes 46,080 100.0

Independents and other parties

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]
Failed to qualify for ballot
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe R September 28, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Lloyd Smucker (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Bob Hollister (D)

U.S. Senators

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Trade unions

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 194,991 61.5
Democratic Bob Hollister 121,835 38.5
Total votes 316,826 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Summer Lee Mike Doyle[c]
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 184,674 143,946
Percentage 56.2% 43.8%
County results
Lee:      60-70%
Doyle:      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Mike Doyle[d]
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Summer Lee
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district and Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district

The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. The district was numbered the 18th district before redistricting, with the old 12th district now eliminated. The district expanded into parts of Westmoreland County due to redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. Democrat Mike Doyle has represented the district since 1995. He was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2020.[149] Doyle announced that he will not seek re-election in 2022.[186] He was succeeded in Congress by Pennsylvania State House Representative Summer Lee who was elected with 56.2% of the vote.[187]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jerry Dickinson

Party officials

Organizations

Steve Irwin

Executive Branch officials

Governors

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Summer Lee

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Political parties

Organizations

Debates and forums

[edit]
2022 PA-12 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Dickinson Irwin Lee Parker Woodard
1[231] May 10, 2022 Pittsburgh's Action News 4 Shannon Perrine Youtube[232] P P P P P

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jerry
Dickinson 		Steve
Irwin 		Summer
Lee 		Will
Parker 		Jeff
Woodard 		Undecided
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[233] Late April 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 30% 29% – – –
GQR Research (D)[234][G] March 26–31, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 13% 38% 0% 2% 40%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[235]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Summer Lee 48,002 41.9
Democratic Steve Irwin 47,014 41.0
Democratic Jerry Dickinson 12,440 10.9
Democratic Jeff Woodard 5,454 4.8
Democratic William Parker 1,670 1.5
Total votes 114,580 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[237]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Doyle[c] Unopposed
Total votes 39,531 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Likely D June 28, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Likely D November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Likely D October 19, 2022
Politico[31] Lean D November 3, 2022
RCP[32] Lean D November 1, 2022
Fox News[33] Likely D October 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Likely D October 28, 2022
538[35] Solid D October 27, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe D November 5, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Summer Lee (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Political parties

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Summer
Lee (D) 		Mike
Doyle (R) 		Undecided
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[241][H] October 30–31, 2022 785 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 40% 6%
Summer Lee Internal Poll (D)[242] October 2022 – – 44% 40% 16%

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Summer Lee 184,674 56.2
Republican Mike Doyle[c] 143,946 43.8
Total votes 328,620 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee John Joyce
Party Republican
Popular vote 260,345
Percentage 100.0
County results
Joyce:      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

John Joyce
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Joyce
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district

The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose its territory in Somerset and Westmoreland counties in exchange for Johnstown.[3] The district has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45 points in 2020. Republican John Joyce, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 after being unopposed in the primary and general elections.[243]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[244]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 114,160 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[245]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Critz (write-in) 967 100.0
Total votes 967 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 260,345 100.0
Republican hold

District 14

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Guy Reschenthaler
Party Republican
Popular vote 230,865
Percentage 100.0%
County results
Reschenthaler:      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district

The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did have to expand eastward to take in more population.[3] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32 points in 2020. Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 having been unopposed in the primary and general elections.[248]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Guy Reschenthaler

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[249]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 81,243 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 230,865 100.0
Republican hold

District 15

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Glenn Thompson Mike Molesevich
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 213,417 91,729
Percentage 69.9% 30.1%
County results
Thompson:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
U.S. Representative before election

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district

The 15th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania west of the Appalachian Divide, including State College, Lock Haven, and Bradford. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Johnstown in exchange for the parts of State College formerly in the 12th district.[3] It has a PVI of R+20 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Glenn Thompson, who had represented the district since 2009, was most recently re-elected in 2022, receiving 69.9% of the vote.[251]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Glenn Thompson

Organizations

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[252]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 99,270 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 213,417 69.9
Democratic Mike Molesevich 91,729 30.1
Total votes 305,146 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Mike Kelly Dan Pastore
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 190,546 130,443
Percentage 59.4% 40.6%
County results
Kelly:      60-70%
Pastore      50-60%
U.S. Representative before election

Mike Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district

The 16th district is based in Northwest Pennsylvania, including all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence, and Butler counties and parts of Venango County.[3] The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 59.4% of the vote in the general election.[255]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Kelly

U.S. U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[257]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 87,028 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan Pastore

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[260]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Pastore 44,262 69.1
Democratic Rick Telesz 19,788 30.9
Total votes 64,050 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R March 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[35] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[36] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 190,546 59.4
Democratic Dan Pastore 130,443 40.6
Total votes 320,989 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Chris Deluzio Jeremy Shaffer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 193,615 169,013
Percentage 53.4% 46.6%
PA-17 2022 Results

Deluzio:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Shaffer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
U.S. Representative before election

Conor Lamb
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Deluzio
Democratic

See also: Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district

The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6 points in 2020. Democrat Conor Lamb, who represented the district since 2018, was re-elected in 2020 with 51.1% of the vote.[149] He retired to run for the U.S. Senate in 2022.[262] Lamb was succeeded by former Navy Officer Chris Deluzio, who was elected in 2022 by winning 53.4% of the vote in the general election.[263]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Deluzio

Organizations

Forum

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district democratic primary candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chris Deluzio Sean Meloy
1 Apr. 23, 2022 League of Women Voters
of Great Pittsburgh
Robert Morris University 		Kristen Davis [268] P P

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[265]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Deluzio 62,389 63.6
Democratic Sean Meloy 35,638 36.4
Total votes 98,027 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Did not appear on ballot
[edit]
  • Tricia Staible, manufacturing company president[273]
Declined
[edit]

Forum

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district republican primary candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Kathy Coder Jason Killmeyer Jeremy Shaffer
1 Apr. 23, 2022 League of Women Voters
of Great Pittsburgh
Robert Morris University 		Kristen Davis [276] P P A

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[272]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeremy Shaffer 40,965 58.7
Republican Jason Killmeyer 16,801 24.0
Republican Kathy Coder 12,079 17.3
Total votes 69,845 100.0

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chris Deluzio Jeremy Shaffer
1 Nov. 2, 2022 KDKA-TV Ken Rice [277] P P

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Deluzio (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Statewide officials

Organizations

U.S. Representatives

Jeremy Shaffer (R)

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Tossup February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Tossup August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[31] Tossup April 5, 2022
RCP[32] Lean R (flip) October 21, 2022
Fox News[33] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2022
DDHQ[34] Lean R (flip) October 31, 2022
538[35] Tossup October 25, 2022
The Economist[36] Tossup November 1, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Deluzio (D) 		Jeremy
Shaffer (R) 		Undecided
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[281][I] September 18–20, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 43% 8%
Lake Research Partners (D)[282][J] July 18–21, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 42% 15%
RMG Research[283] June 4–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 44% 12%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[284][H] May 9–10, 2022 494 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 41% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Change Research (D)[285][K] October 19, 2022 – – 45% 44% 11%

Results

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Deluzio 193,615 53.4
Republican Jeremy Shaffer 169,013 46.6
Total votes 362,628 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c No relation to Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle
  4. ^ The 18th district was eliminated in redistricting. Retiring 18th district Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle lived within the boundaries of the new 12th district. Retiring 12th district Republican incumbent Fred Keller did not live within the boundaries of the new 12th district.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Fitzpatrick's campaign committee
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Ehasz's campaign and analyzed by Global Strategy Group
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Boyle's campaign
  4. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Cartwright's campaign
  5. ^ a b c Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Bognet's campaign committee
  6. ^ This poll was sponsored by Daniels's campaign
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Lee
  8. ^ a b This poll was conducted in-house by and for the DCCC
  9. ^ This poll was sponsored by the DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Deluzio's campaign
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC

References

[edit]
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  250. ^ "Endorsement of Congressman Guy Reschenthaler". www.donaldjtrump.com. May 10, 2022. Archived from the original on May 22, 2022. Retrieved May 22, 2022.
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  259. ^ Massing, Dana. "Dan Pastore: Dem, Fairview businessman seeks Mike Kelly seat in Congress". www.goerie.com. Erie Times-News. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
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  281. ^ Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)
  282. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  283. ^ RMG Research
  284. ^ DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)
  285. ^ Change Research (D)
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