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2024 United States Senate election in Maine

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2024 United States Senate election in Maine

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Reporting
95%
as of Nov. 7, 2:15 PM EST
 
Candidate Angus King Demi Kouzounas David Costello
Party Independent Republican Democratic
Popular vote 414,056 275,434 84,552
Percentage 51.8% 34.4% 10.6%


King:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Kouzonunas:      40–50%

The 2024 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Maine. Independent incumbent Angus King, who caucuses with the Democratic Party, is seeking a third term. He is being challenged by Republican former state party chair Demitroula Kouzounas, Democratic state official David Costello, and independent attorney Jason Cherry. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.[1]

This election will coincide with five referendum questions, including a referendum to change the state flag, as well as the presidential election, U.S. House elections for the state's two congressional districts, and various other state, county and local elections.

Independents

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Candidates

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Declared

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Angus King (I) $4,802,784 $2,069,527 $3,118,927
Jason Cherry (I) $110,000 $95,478 $6,011
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Demi Kouzounas (R) $300,712[a] $55,731 $244,980
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

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Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Demi Kouzounas 58,832 100.0%
Total votes 58,832 100.0%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Costello (D) $72,408[b] $13,302 $59,424
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

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Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Costello 54,537 100.0%
Total votes 54,537 100.0%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid I November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid I November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe I September 5, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[21] Safe I October 11, 2024
Elections Daily[22] Safe I May 4, 2023
CNalysis[23] Solid I November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[24] Solid I August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[25] Safe I October 23, 2024
538[26] Likely I October 23, 2024

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Angus King (I) $4,802,784 $2,069,527 $3,118,927
Demi Kouzounas (R) $503,998[c] $170,805 $333,192
David Costello (D) $109,637[d] $24,063 $85,894
Jason Cherry (I) $110,000[e] $95,478 $6,011
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Angus
King (I)
Demi
Kouzounas (R)
David
Costello (D)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 29 - November 2, 2024 1,485 (LV) ± 2.4% 50% 35% 7% 1%[g] 6%
SurveyUSA[A] October 24–29, 2024 1,079 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% 28% 8% 3%[h] 8%
Pan Atlantic Research September 5–15, 2024 812 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 23% 8% 1%[i] 16%
University of New Hampshire August 15–19, 2024 951 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 33% 9% 4%[j] 12%
Digital Research April 8–30, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 28% 12% 3%

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in Maine[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Angus King (incumbent) 414,056 51.8%
Republican Demi Kouzounas 275,434 34.4%
Democratic David Costello 84,552 10.6%
Independent Jason Cherry 20,080 2.5%
Write-in 5,638 0.7%
Total votes 799,760 100.0%
Independent hold

Notes

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  1. ^ $154,001 of this total was self-funded by Kouzounas
  2. ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Costello
  3. ^ $314,001 of this total was self-funded by Kouzounas
  4. ^ $77,000 of this total was self-funded by Costello
  5. ^ $55,000 of this total was self-funded by Cherry
  6. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. ^ Cherry (I) with 1%
  8. ^ Cherry (I) with 3%
  9. ^ Cherry (I) with 1%
  10. ^ Cherry (I) with 3%; "Another candidate" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Bangor Daily News and FairVote

References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ "Sen. Angus King facing third challenger for Senate seat". WGME-TV. May 22, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  3. ^ Robinson, Steve (June 27, 2023). "Angus King, 79, Says He's Running for Re-Election in 2024". Maine Wire. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  4. ^ Collins, Steve (June 27, 2024). "Sen. Joe Manchin donates to King, Golden reelection campaigns". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  5. ^ "'That's a big deal': Sen. Angus King, I-Maine, touts key labor endorsement". WCSH. September 23, 2024. Retrieved September 24, 2024.
  6. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  7. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  8. ^ "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections". www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  9. ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  10. ^ "Angus King". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  11. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  12. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  13. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  14. ^ a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - Maine". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 15, 2024.
  15. ^ Shepherd, Michael (January 19, 2024). "Former Maine Republican Party chair will run against Angus King". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
  16. ^ a b "June 11, 2024 State Primary Election". Maine.gov.
  17. ^ Collins, Steve (April 12, 2023). "Brunswick Democrat is first to enter the 2024 U.S. Senate race in Maine". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  18. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  19. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  20. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  21. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  22. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  23. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  24. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  25. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  26. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  27. ^ "Maine U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
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Official campaign websites