2024 United States Senate election in Vermont

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont
	; Sanders: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Malloy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%; No Data/Vote: ; Tie: 40–50%
U.S. senator before election; Bernie Sanders; Independent	Elected U.S. Senator ; Bernie Sanders; Independent

The 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.^[1] Incumbent three-term Senator Bernie Sanders, an Independent who caucuses with the Democratic Party, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.

Sanders filed paperwork to run for re-election in 2019. On January 8, 2024, he stated he would decide whether or not to seek re-election in the "near future".^[2] On May 6, Sanders formally announced that he will run for re-election.^[3] He faced Republican businessman and 2022 Senate nominee Gerald Malloy.

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Steve Berry, former Democratic state representative (2015–2017)^[4]
Bernie Sanders, incumbent U.S. senator (2007–present)^[5]

Endorsements

Bernie Sanders

Organizations

Labor unions

Political parties

Vermont Progressive Party^[11]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Gerald Malloy, businessman and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022^[12]

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gerald Malloy	20,383	96.4%
	Write-in		772	3.6%
Total votes			21,155	100.0%

Third-party candidates

Declared

Mark Greenstein (Epic), businessman and perennial candidate^[4]
Matt Hill (Libertarian), accountant^[4]
Justin Schoville (Green Mountain Peace and Justice), chair of the Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party^[4]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[13]	Solid I	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections^[14]	Solid I	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[15]	Safe I	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill^[16]	Safe I	June 14, 2024
Elections Daily^[17]	Safe I	May 4, 2023
CNalysis^[18]	Solid I	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics^[19]	Solid I	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket^[20]	Safe I	October 23, 2024
538^[21]	Safe I	October 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Bernie Sanders (I)	$33,701,563	$31,717,985	$10,289,572
Gerald Malloy (R)	$150,048	$60,752	$90,156
Source: Federal Election Commission^[22]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bernie Sanders (I)	Gerald Malloy (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,167 (LV)	± 2.9%	64%	27%	2%^[b]	6%
University of New Hampshire	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	66%	25%	5%^[c]	4%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont^[23]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Independent	Bernie Sanders (incumbent)	229,904	63.3%	−4.1%
	Republican	Gerald Malloy	116,522	32.1%	+4.6%
	Independent	Steve Berry	7,941	2.2%	N/A
	Libertarian	Matt Hill	4,529	1.2%	N/A
	Green Mountain Peace and Justice	Justin Schoville	3,347	0.9%	+0.5%
	E.P.I.C	Mark Stewart Greenstein	1,104	0.3%	N/A
	Write-in
Total votes			363,347
	Independent hold

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Hill (L) and Berry (I) with 1%
^ Schoville (GMPJP) with 2%; Hill (L) with 1%; Berry (I) with <1%; "Another candidate" with 2%

References

^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
^ Solender, Andrew. "Bernie Sanders to decide on Senate re-election in "near future"". Axios. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
^ Metzger, Bryan. "Bernie Sanders is running for reelection". Business Insider. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "General Election Candidates". Vermont Secretary of State. May 13, 2024.
^ Neukam, Stephen; Solender, Andrew (May 6, 2024). "Bernie Sanders will run for re-election". Axios. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
^ "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
^ https://www.progressiveparty.org/2024endorsements
^ Bradley, Pat (December 15, 2023). "2022 Senate candidate announces 2024 Senate bid". WAMC. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 14, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Vermont". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
^ "Vermont U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

[Key-23] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[24] Hill (L) and Berry (I) with 1%

[25] Schoville (GMPJP) with 2%; Hill (L) with 1%; Berry (I) with <1%; "Another candidate" with 2%

[1] "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.

[2] Solender, Andrew. "Bernie Sanders to decide on Senate re-election in "near future"". Axios. Retrieved February 19, 2024.

[3] Metzger, Bryan. "Bernie Sanders is running for reelection". Business Insider. Retrieved May 6, 2024.

[VT2024-4] "General Election Candidates". Vermont Secretary of State. May 13, 2024.

[5] Neukam, Stephen; Solender, Andrew (May 6, 2024). "Bernie Sanders will run for re-election". Axios. Retrieved May 6, 2024.

[femmajorityendorse-6] "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.

[PPAF-7] "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.

[pop-8] "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2024.

[adacwaendorse-9] "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.

[ufwendorsements-10] "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.

[11] ttps://www.progressiveparty.org/2024endorsements

[12] Bradley, Pat (December 15, 2023). "2022 Senate candidate announces 2024 Senate bid". WAMC. Retrieved January 9, 2024.

[13] "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.

[Inside_Elections-14] "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-15] "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.

[16] "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 14, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.

[17] "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.

[18] "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.

[19] "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.

[20] "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.

[21] "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.

[FEC-22] "2024 Election United States Senate - Vermont". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.

[26] "Vermont U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.

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