2010 Vermont gubernatorial election
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Shumlin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Dubie: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 2010 Vermont gubernatorial general election took place on November 2.[1] Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states where the governor serves a two-year term instead of four.[2] Primary elections took place on August 24.[1]
Incumbent Republican governor Jim Douglas was not a candidate for re-election.[3] Brian Dubie, the incumbent Lieutenant Governor, was the Republican nominee.[1] The Democratic nomination was won by Peter Shumlin, the President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate.[1]
The result was a 119,543 (49.5 percent) to 115,212 (47.7 percent) plurality for Shumlin.[1] Several minor candidates got between 600 and 2,000 votes each.[1] In accordance with the Vermont Constitution, if no candidate receives a majority, the contest is decided by the Vermont General Assembly.[4] In such races, the combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality.[4] Dubie indicated on November 3 that he did not intend to ask for a recount or contest the election in the legislature, and conceded to Shumlin.[5] On January 6, 2011, with 173 of 180 members voting, 87 votes were necessary for a choice.[6] The General Assembly elected Shumlin on the first ballot, 145–28.[6]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidate
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Susan Bartlett, state senator[8]
- Matt Dunne, Google executive and former state senator[9]
- Deborah Markowitz, Secretary of State of Vermont[10]
- Doug Racine, state senator, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2002[10]
- Peter Shumlin, Senate President Pro Tempore[11]
Peter Shumlin won the Democratic primary according to the uncertified tabulation of statewide votes released by the Office of the Secretary of State on August 27, 2010, by 197 votes over Doug Racine, who requested a recount.[12] The recount began September 8.[13] Racine conceded on September 10.[14]
Results
[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin | 18,276 | 24.8 | |
| Democratic | Doug Racine | 18,079 | 24.6 | |
| Democratic | Deborah Markowitz | 17,579 | 23.9 | |
| Democratic | Matt Dunne | 15,323 | 20.8 | |
| Democratic | Susan Bartlett | 3,759 | 5.1 | |
| Democratic | Write-in | 560 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 73,576 | 100 | ||
Progressive primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Martha Abbott, state party chair; Abbott won the primary, then withdrew from the election, so the party did not have a candidate on the ballot.[16] The Party had promised not to play a "spoiler" role in the election if Shumlin supported single-payer health care, which he did.[17]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive | Martha Abbott | 257 | 69.6 | |
| Progressive | Write-in | 112 | 30.4 | |
| Total votes | 369 | 100 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
[edit]- Cris Ericson, United States Marijuana Party
- Dan Feliciano, Independent
- Ben Mitchell, Liberty Union Party
- Em Payton, Independent
- Dennis Steele, Independent
General Election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[18] | Tossup | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[19] | Tilt D (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[20] | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[22] | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Brian Dubie (R) |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | October 28, 2010 | 45% | 50% |
| Vermont Public Radio[24] | October 12, 2010 | 44% | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports[25] | September 13, 2010 | 46% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports[26] | June 17, 2010 | 55% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[27] | March 18, 2010 | 51% | 33% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin | 119,543 | 49.48% | +27.8% | |
| Republican | Brian Dubie | 115,212 | 47.69% | −5.7% | |
| Independent | Dennis Steele | 1,917 | 0.79% | n/a | |
| Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 1,819 | 0.75% | n/a | |
| Independent | Dan Feliciano | 1,341 | 0.56% | n/a | |
| Independent | Emily Peyton | 684 | 0.28% | n/a | |
| Liberty Union | Ben Mitchell | 429 | 0.18% | −0.33% | |
| Write-in | 660 | 0.27% | n/a | ||
| Plurality | 4,331 | ||||
| Total votes | 241,605 | 100.00% | |||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Addison (largest municipality: Middlebury)
- Bennington (largest municipality: Bennington)
- Chittenden (largest municipality: Burlington)
- Orange (Largest city: Randolph)
- Washington (largest municipality: Barre)
- Windham (largest municipality: Brattleboro)
- Windsor (largest municipality: Hartford)
General Assembly Results
[edit]Vermont's Constitution requires the Vermont General Assembly to select if no candidate obtains a majority. The combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. The legislature officially elected Peter Shumlin on January 6, 2011.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin | 145 | 80.6% | N/A | |
| Republican | Brian Dubie | 28 | 15.6% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 173 of 180 | 96.2% | N/A | ||
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f "Vermont Gubernatorial Election, 2010". Ballotpedia. Middleton, WI: Lucy Burns Institute. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- ^ Allen, Anne Wallace (February 3, 2019). "Vermont governors are divided on question of 4-year terms". VT Digger. MOntpelier, VT.
- ^ "Vermont Governor Douglas will not seek re-election". Vermont Biz.com. South Burlington, VT: Vermont Business Magazine. August 27, 2009.
- ^ a b Dobbs, Taylor (November 6, 2014). "Wait, The Legislature Is Choosing The Governor?". Vermont Public Radio. Colchester, VT.
- ^ Galloway, Anne (November 3, 2010). "Dubie concedes; Shumlin holds victory presser at noon". VT Digger. Montpelier, VT.
- ^ a b Remsen, Nancy (January 7, 2011). "'Regular Guy' Phil Scott sworn in as lt. governor". The Burlington Free Press. Burlington, VT. p. 4 – via Newspapers.com.
- ^ Sneyd, Ross (October 1, 2009). "Dubie will run for governor". Vermont Public Radio.
- ^ "Sen. Bartlett Enters 2010 Governor's Race". WCAX News. May 4, 2009. Archived from the original on February 24, 2012. Retrieved May 4, 2009.
- ^ "Dunne will run: Times Argus Online". Timesargus.com. November 3, 2009. Archived from the original on August 21, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ a b Hallenbeck, Terri (February 24, 2009). "Democrats crowd race for governor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2009.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Sen. Shumlin Confirms He'll Run for Governor | www.rherald.com | Randolph Herald". www.rherald.com. November 19, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ a b "Shumlin wins; Racine calls for recount". The Burlington Free Press. August 27, 2010. Retrieved August 27, 2010. [dead link]
- ^ Judge will speed up Vt. primary recount Archived September 9, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, Bennington Banner, September 3, 2010
- ^ Remsen, Nancy (September 10, 2010). "Racine concedes". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 1, 2010. Retrieved August 31, 2010.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "Abbott drops out of governor's race". The Burlington Free Press. August 28, 2010. Retrieved August 29, 2010. [dead link]
- ^ Molly Worthen (April 5, 2014). "As Vermont Goes, So Goes the Nation?". The New York Times. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Vermont Public Radio
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 1, 2010. Retrieved March 13, 2015.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
External links
[edit]- Vermont Secretary of State – Elections & Campaign Finance Division
- Vermont Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Vermont Governor from Follow the Money
- Vermont Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Vermont Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Vermont Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Vermont Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Vermont Governor's Race[permanent dead link] from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Vermont League of Conservation Voters 2010 candidates Q&A from VT LCV
Official campaign websites (Archived)