2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
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All 9 Indiana seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Indiana |
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The 2010 congressional elections in Indiana were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Indiana in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013, except for the winner of the 3rd District's special election, who will serve the few remaining weeks of the 111th Congress. As of 2023 this is the last time that the Democrats won more than 2 seats in Indianas house delegation .
Indiana has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census.
Overview
[edit]| United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2010[1] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Republican | 972,671 | 55.65% | 6 | +2 | |
| Democratic | 679,462 | 38.88% | 3 | -2 | |
| Libertarian | 84,289 | 4.82% | 0 | - | |
| Independents | 11,298 | 0.65% | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 1,747,720 | 100.00% | 9 | - | |
By district
[edit]Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana by district:[2]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 65,558 | 38.63% | 99,387 | 58.56% | 4,762 | 2.81% | 169,707 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 88,803 | 46.84% | 91,341 | 48.18% | 9,447 | 4.98% | 189,591 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 116,140 | 62.76% | 61,267 | 33.11% | 7,642 | 4.13% | 185,049 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 138,732 | 68.57% | 53,167 | 26.28% | 10,423 | 5.15% | 202,322 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 146,899 | 62.14% | 60,024 | 25.39% | 29,484 | 12.47% | 236,407 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 126,027 | 66.57% | 56,647 | 29.92% | 6,635 | 3.51% | 189,309 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 55,213 | 37.81% | 86,011 | 58.89% | 4,815 | 3.30% | 146,039 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 117,259 | 57.55% | 76,265 | 37.43% | 10,240 | 5.02% | 203,764 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 9 | 118,040 | 52.34% | 95,353 | 42.28% | 12,139 | 5.38% | 225,532 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| Total | 972,671 | 55.65% | 679,462 | 38.88% | 95,587 | 5.47% | 1,747,720 | 100.0% | |
Congressional districts
[edit]District 1
[edit]Democrat Pete Visclosky has represented this district since 1985. The PVI is D+8. He faced Republican activist Mark Leyva and Libertarian candidate Jon Morris. Visclosky was endorsed by the Northwest Indiana Times and the Indianapolis Star.[3][4]
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pete Visclosky (incumbent) | 99,387 | 58.56 | |
| Republican | Mark J. Leyva | 65,558 | 38.63 | |
| Libertarian | Jon Morris | 4,762 | 2.81 | |
| Total votes | 169,707 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
[edit]Democrat Joe Donnelly had represented this district since 2007 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nominee State Representative Jackie Walorski, whom he defeated.[5]
Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote in 2008.[6]
- IN - District 2 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Indiana - 2nd District from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Donnelly (D) |
Jackie Walorski (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA[7] | October 20–22, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | n/a |
| EPIC-MRA[8] | October 1–3, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 39% | 7% |
| American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune[9] | August 16–19, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 44% | n/a |
| The Polling Company[10] | July 31-August 3, 2010 | 309 | ± 5.6% | 52% | 35% | 11% |
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Donnelly (incumbent) | 91,341 | 48.18 | |
| Republican | Jackie Walorski | 88,803 | 46.84 | |
| Libertarian | Mark Vogel | 9,447 | 4.98 | |
| Total votes | 189,591 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
[edit]Republican Mark Souder represented this district from 2003 until his resignation on May 18, 2010. Fellow Republican John McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote in the 2008 presidential election.[11]
In the Republican primary, car dealer Bob Thomas gave Souder a strong challenge in the primary. An April SurveyUSA poll showed Thomas within six percentage points of Souder. Other Republican candidates included attorney Phil Troyer and Tea Party activist Greg Dickman. Souder won the primary with 48% of the vote. He was to face Democrat Fort Wayne councilman Tom Hayhurst.
However, as Souder announced his resignation from Congress and his resignation as the Republican candidate for Congress on May 18, 2010, the Governor of Indiana set a date for a special election to be held concurrently with the general election in November. A caucus was to be held to choose the Republican candidate for the special election and the general election. The Republican caucus to choose the nominee was held on June 12, 2010. State Senator Marlin Stutzman was selected as the Republican nominee for both the special and general elections.
Republican primary polling
[edit]| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Mark Souder | Bob Thomas | Phil Troyer | Greg Dickman | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA (Link) | April 22–26, 2010 | 35% | 29% | 19% | 2% | 16% |
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marlin Stutzman | 115,415 | 62.65 | |
| Democratic | Thomas Hayhurst | 60,880 | 33.05 | |
| Libertarian | Scott W. Wise | 7,914 | 4.30 | |
| Total votes | 184,209 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Republican hold | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marlin Stutzman | 116,140 | 62.76 | |
| Democratic | Thomas Hayhurst | 61,267 | 33.11 | |
| Libertarian | Scott W. Wise | 7,631 | 4.12 | |
| No party | Others | 11 | 0.01 | |
| Total votes | 185,049 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3 Special
[edit]The 2010 special election for Indiana's 3rd congressional district will be held November 2, contemporaneously with the regularly scheduled general election. The special election was called to fill the vacancy left by Republican Mark Souder, who resigned after an affair with a staffer was revealed.[12]
Democratic candidates
[edit]- Dr. Tom Hayhurst, former Fort Wayne City Councilor; 2006 and 2010 Democratic nominee.
Republican candidates
[edit]Nominee
- Marlin Stutzman, State Senator and former U.S. Senate candidate[13]
Lost Nomination
- Randy Borror, State Representative[13]
- Liz Brown, Fort Wayne City Councilor[13]
- Wes Culver, state representative[14]
- Phil Troyer, attorney and opponent of Souder in the 2010 primary[13]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marlin Stutzman (R) | Tom Hayhurst (D) | Scott Wise (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riggs Research[15] | October 27–28, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | 36% | 40% | 3% | n/a |
| SurveyUSA[16] | October 21–25, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | 57% | 32% | 7% | 2% |
| American Viewpoint[17] | July 19–20, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | 56% | 29% | 2% | n/a |
District 4
[edit]Republican Steve Buyer did not run for re-election. McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote. Todd Rokita, the Republican Secretary of State of Indiana, Republican State Senator Brandt Hershman, Cheryl Denise Allen and Mark Seitz filed to run for Buyer's vacant seat.[18] Rokita won the primary and defeated Democrat David Sanders in the general election.
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Rokita | 138,732 | 68.57 | |
| Democratic | David Sanders | 53,167 | 26.28 | |
| Libertarian | John Duncan | 10,423 | 5.15 | |
| Total votes | 202,322 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
[edit]Republican Dan Burton has represented this district since 2003. John McCain carried 59% of the vote in 2008.[20]
Former Republican candidate Brose McVey, Indiana Republican Party Executive Director Luke Messer, State Representative Mike Murphy, and 2008 primary challenger John McGoff all formally announced their intention to run. Burton won the primary with just 30% of the vote. He faced Democrat Tim Crawford in the general election.[21]
Republican primary polling
[edit]| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Dan Burton | Luke Messer | Brose McVey | John McGoff | Mike Murphy | Andy Lyons | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (Link) | March 5, 2010 | 43% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 26% |
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Burton (incumbent) | 146,899 | 62.14 | |
| Democratic | Tim Crawford | 60,024 | 25.39 | |
| Libertarian | Richard Reid | 18,266 | 7.73 | |
| Independent | Jesse C. Trueblood | 11,218 | 4.75 | |
| Total votes | 236,407 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
[edit]Republican Mike Pence represented this district since 2003. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican nominee McCain carried the district with 52% of the vote. Pence faced Democratic nominee Barry Welsh,[22] a minister, and defeated him to keep his seat.
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Pence (incumbent) | 126,027 | 66.57 | |
| Democratic | Barry A. Welsh | 56,647 | 29.92 | |
| Libertarian | Talmage "T.J." Thompson, Jr. | 6,635 | 3.51 | |
| Total votes | 189,309 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 41 | |||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
[edit]Democrat André Carson has served since 2008. President Obama carried this district with 71% of the vote, considered safe or solid by most sources. He again faced perennial Republican candidate Marvin Scott, who took issue with Carson's Muslim faith during the general election.[23] However, Carson defeated Scott by a large margin to retain his seat.[24]
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | André Carson (incumbent) | 86,011 | 58.90 | |
| Republican | Marvin B. Scott | 55,213 | 37.81 | |
| Libertarian | Dav Wilson | 4,815 | 3.30 | |
| Total votes | 146,039 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | ||||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
[edit]This was an open seat as Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth ran (unsuccessfully) for the U.S. Senate. The Democratic nominee was lawyer and State Representative Trent Van Haaften. The Republican nominee was Larry Bucshon, president of Ohio Valley HeartCare.
- IN - District 8 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Indiana - 8th District from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
Bucshon received support from the National Republican Congressional Committee and was named a GOP Young Gun.[25] During the campaign, Bucshon was endorsed by several conservative interest groups and elected officials, including the Indiana Chamber of Commerce Congressional Action Committee, United States Chamber of Commerce, National Right to Life Committee, Indiana Right to Life, Indiana Manufacturers Association, Campaign for Working Families, House Minority Leader John Boehner, U.S. Congressman Mike Pence, and Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels.[26]
Bucshon received significant campaign contributions from medical groups[27]
Bucshon defeated van Haaften by a margin of 21 points, winning all 18 counties in the district.[28]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Trent Van Haaften (D) | Larry Bucshon (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies[29] | July 21–22, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 27% | 43% | n/a |
| OnMessage[30] | September 13–14, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 20% | 41% | n/a |
2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Larry Bucshon | 117,259 | 57.55 | |||
| Democratic | Trent Van Haaften | 76,265 | 37.43 | |||
| Libertarian | John Cunningham | 10,240 | 5.03 | |||
| Total votes | 203,764 | 100.00 | ||||
| Turnout | ||||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||||
District 9
[edit]Democratic incumbent Baron Hill was challenged by Republican Todd Young (campaign site, PVS, WhoRunsGov), Libertarian Greg Knott (campaign site Archived 2013-07-21 at the Wayback Machine, PVS), and Independent Jerry Lucas (campaign site, PVS). He was defeated, and was defeated by Todd Young.
- IN - District 9 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Indiana - 9th District from CQ Politics
- Race profile, nytimes.com; accessed November 9, 2016.
Primaries
[edit]Five-term Congressman Democrat Baron Hill has won in the ninth district since 1998, except for in 2004, when he lost to Republican Mike Sodrel by 1,425 votes. Hill narrowly regained his seat from Sodrel in 2006 and won another race with Sodrel in 2008 by a wider margin. McCain carried the district with only 50% of the vote. In 2010, Sodrel sought another rematch, but lost to former Marine Captain and Orange County Deputy Prosecutor Todd Young in the Republican primary.[31][32] Independent Jerry Lucas, a nurse and army veteran, has also filed to run.[33][34] Greg Knott entered the race as the Libertarian Party candidate.
Prior to the campaign season, Hill came under increasing public pressure following the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. At public meetings, Hill had to be escorted by state police for his protection and had heated verbal exchanges with the public which made local news on several occasions and leading Hill to refuse to hold additional public meetings in person.[35]
General
[edit]Hill launched a series of campaign ads beginning in mid August questioning Young's intentions for the future of Social Security and highlighting a comment made by Young referring to it as a "Ponzi scheme".[36] Local media covering the debate questioned both candidates about their ads; Hill defended his support of healthcare, stimulus, and new regulatory legislation as the correct votes for the future of the country.
Young reconfirmed his position, stating Social Security was indeed a "Ponzi scheme" and needed reform to remain financially viable and called on Hill to explain his financial plans for the nation.[37]
The last week of August, the Young campaign began running ads on radio and television pointing out Hill's record of supporting spending legislation and calling on fiscal restraint in Congress. On the night of August 30, Young's Bloomington campaign headquarters were vandalized; the air conditioner was stolen, the phone and internet lines into the building were cut, the power disconnected.[36] The Young campaign requested that Hill participate in seven town hall style debates.[38] The first scheduled debate will be held October 18 at the Buskirk-Chumley Theater in Bloomington.[39]
In a post-primary June Public Opinion Strategies poll, Hill had a 41–33 lead over Young.[40] An August poll conducted by the Young campaign suggested only 37% of voters believed Hill deserved another term.[37] During the first week of September Real Clear Politics had the race rated as a toss-up.[34]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Baron Hill (D) | Todd Young (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies[41] | May 25–26, 2010 | 300 | ±5.7% | 41% | 34% | n/a |
| Public Opinion Strategies[29] | July 26–28, 2010 | 300 | ±4.9% | 42% | 41% | n/a |
| The Hill/ANGA[42] | October 16–19, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | 46% | 44% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[29] | October 24–25, 2010 | n/a | ±5.7% | 37% | 49% | n/a |
Results
[edit]2010
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Young | 118,040 | 52.34 | |||
| Democratic | Baron Hill (incumbent) | 95,353 | 42.28 | |||
| Libertarian | Greg "No Bull" Knott | 12,070 | 5.35 | |||
| No party | Others | 69 | 0.03 | |||
| Total votes | 225,532 | 100.00 | ||||
| Turnout | ||||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||||
References
[edit]- ^ "Indiana General Election November 2, 2010". In.gov. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
- ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- ^ "EDITORIAL: We endorse Visclosky, Donnelly". October 31, 2010. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
- ^ "U.S. House endorsements | Indianapolis Star | indystar.com". www.indystar.com. Archived from the original on January 26, 2013. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
- ^ South Bend Tribune. "Walorski announces plans to run for Congress". South Bend Tribune. Retrieved August 21, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Member Profile (September 29, 1955). "Profile for Rep. Joe Donnelly, Indiana Democrat, North central - South Bend, parts of Elkhart and Kokomo". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on February 25, 2010. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ EPIC-MRA Archived October 8, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune [permanent dead link]
- ^ The Polling Company
- ^ Giroux, Greg (April 29, 2010). "Poll: Souder's Small Lead in Indiana - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on May 2, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Cilizza, Chris; Burke, Aaron (May 18, 2010). "Mark Souder to resign after affair". Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 17, 2012.
- ^ a b c d Isenstadt, Alex (May 18, 2010). "Stutzman to seek Souder seat". Politico 2010.
- ^ "State Rep. Culver enters race for Souder's seat". South Bend Tribune. May 27, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Riggs Research
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ American Viewpoint
- ^ de la Bastide, Ken (February 3, 2010). "Hershman throws hat into ring". Pharos-Tribune. Logansport, Indiana. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
- ^ Karen L. Haas (June 3, 2011). Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010 (PDF) (Report). Retrieved February 25, 2019.
- ^ Member Profile (June 21, 1938). "Profile for Rep. Dan Burton, Indiana Republican, East central - part of Indianapolis and suburbs". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on July 5, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
- ^ "Burton gets a win, but not a majority". Archived from the original on May 8, 2010. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
- ^ "The Ball State Daily News - Rep. Pence, challenger Welsh to meet again in midterm elections". Bsudailynews.com. May 4, 2010. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Tully, Matthew (September 15, 2010). "Marvin Scott's tactics are ugly, shameless, par for the course". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
- ^ King, Mason (December 22, 2010). "Leading Questions: Carson talks Congress, whips, soft rock". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
- ^ "Candidates". GOP Young Guns. NRCC. Archived from the original on 21 July 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2011.
- ^ "CQ Politics | Ellsworth's Seat Looks to Be a Difficult Hold". Archived from the original on September 18, 2010. Retrieved March 9, 2012.
- ^ Isenstadt, Alex (October 6, 2010). "Doc groups helping their own". Politico.com. Retrieved October 7, 2010.
- ^ "Election Results, United States Representative". Indiana Secretary of State. November 22, 2010. Retrieved November 30, 2010.
- ^ a b c Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ OnMessage
- ^ "Indiana poised to play major role in battle for Congress". Fwdailynews.com. January 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Todd Young Bio". Real Clear Politics.com. Archived from the original on October 1, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
- ^ "November 2, 2010 General Election" (PDF). In.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2010. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
- ^ a b "Online Guide to Indiana Politics". Politics1. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Hill's Town Hall Meeting on Healthcare". Fox41.com. Archived from the original on September 5, 2012. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
- ^ a b Shella, Jim (August 31, 2010). "Rep. Todd Young's headquarters hit by vandals". WISHTV8. Archived from the original on March 6, 2012. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
- ^ a b Arnold, Joe (July 12, 2010). "Hill and Young Spar Over Social Security". WHAS 11. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
- ^ "Young Hill Campaign debate schedule". Indiana Public Media. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
- ^ Salomon, Evie (September 20, 2010). "Questions for the Debate". Indiana Daily Student. Archived from the original on February 29, 2012. Retrieved September 22, 2010.
- ^ Howley, Brian (August 27, 2010). "Baron Hill Walks to Save His Career". Pilot News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2011. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ The Hill/ANGA
External links
[edit]- Election Division at the Indiana Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress Candidates for Indiana at Project Vote Smart
- Indiana U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Indiana from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Indiana General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- House - Indiana from the Cook Political Report
- Imagine Election look up congressional districts and candidates by zip code or address