2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
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| Turnout | 41.7% | |||||||||||||||||||
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  Corbett: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Onorato: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Pennsylvania |
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 Government |
The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.
Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin. As of 2024, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of Pennsylvania and the only time in the 21st century. This is also the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Allegheny, Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Dan Onorato, Allegheny County Chief Executive (from Pittsburgh)
- Jack Wagner, Auditor General (from Pittsburgh)
- Anthony Williams, State Senator (from Philadelphia)
- Joe Hoeffel, Montgomery County Commissioner and former U.S. Representative (from Abington Township, Montgomery County)
Dropped Out
[edit]- Chris Doherty, Mayor of Scranton
- Tom Knox, healthcare executive (from Philadelphia)
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Dan Onorato |
Jack Wagner |
Joe Hoeffel |
Anthony Williams |
Chris Doherty |
Tom Knox |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg/Morning Call[1] | May 7, 2010 | 35% | 8% | 11% | 10% | — | — | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[2] | May 6, 2010 | 34% | 17% | 9% | 17% | — | — | 17% |
| Quinnipiac[3] | April 28 – May 5, 2010 | 36% | 8% | 9% | 8% | — | — | 37% |
| Muhlenberg/Morning Call[4] | May 2, 2010 | 41% | 5% | 6% | 8% | — | — | 40% |
| Quinnipiac[5] | March 31 – April 5, 2010 | 20% | 13% | 15% | 5% | — | — | 47% |
| Research 2000[6] | March 8–10, 2010 | 19% | 10% | 12% | 3% | — | — | 56% |
| Franklin and Marshall[7] | February 23, 2010 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 4% | — | 72% |
| Rasmussen Reports[8] | October 13, 2009 | 19% | 14% | 11% | — | 6% | 4% | 37% |
| Quinnipiac[9] | September 30, 2009 | 14% | 7% | 12% | — | 5% | 4% | 46% |
Results
[edit]
Onorato—70–80%
Onorato—60–70%
Onorato—50–60%
Onorato—40–50%
Onorato—30–40%
Wagner—30–40%
Wagner—40–50%
Wagner—50–60%
Hoeffel—50–60%
Williams—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Onorato | 463,575 | 45.1 | |
| Democratic | Jack Wagner | 248,338 | 24.1 | |
| Democratic | Anthony Williams | 185,784 | 18.1 | |
| Democratic | Joe Hoeffel | 130,799 | 12.7 | |
| Total votes | 1,028,496 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Tom Corbett, attorney general (from Shaler Township)
- Sam Rohrer, state representative (from Robeson Township)
Dropped Out
[edit]- Jim Gerlach, U.S. Representative
- Pat Meehan, Former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania[11] (Ran for and won race for U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district)
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Jim Gerlach |
Tom Corbett |
Sam Rohrer |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac[5] | March 31 – April 5, 2010 | — | 58% | 7% | 35% |
| Franklin and Marshall[7] | February 23, 2010 | — | 26% | 4% | 65% |
| Rasmussen Reports[12] | October 13, 2009 | 10% | 54% | — | 30% |
| Quinnipiac[9] | September 30, 2009 | 13% | 42% | — | 43% |
Results
[edit]
Corbett—80–90%
Corbett—70–80%
Corbett—60–70%
Corbett—50–60%
Rohrer—50–60%
Rohrer—70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Corbett | 589,249 | 68.7 | |
| Republican | Sam Rohrer | 267,893 | 31.3 | |
| Total votes | 857,142 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Tom Corbett (R), Pennsylvania Attorney General
- Dan Onorato (D), Allegheny County Executive
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Lean R (flip) | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[15] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Tom Corbett (R) |
Dan Onorato (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac[18] | October 25–30, 2010 | 52% | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports[19] | October 28, 2010 | 52% | 43% |
| Muhlenberg/Morning Call[20] | October 28, 2010 | 52% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[19] | October 21, 2010 | 50% | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling[21] | October 17–18, 2010 | 48% | 46% |
| Quinnipiac[22] | October 13–17, 2010 | 49% | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports[19] | October 15, 2010 | 54% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports[19] | October 2, 2010 | 53% | 41% |
| Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster[23] | September 29, 2010 | 36% | 32% |
| Suffolk University[24] | September 24–27, 2010 | 47% | 40% |
| Muhlenberg/Morning Call[25] | September 18–23, 2010 | 46% | 37% |
| CNN/Time[26] | September 17–21, 2010 | 52% | 44% |
| Quinnipiac[27] | September 15–19, 2010 | 54% | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports[19] | September 13, 2010 | 49% | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports[28] | August 30, 2010 | 50% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[29] | August 16, 2010 | 48% | 38% |
| Public Policy Polling[30] | August 14–16, 2010 | 48% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports[31] | July 28, 2010 | 50% | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports[32] | July 14, 2010 | 48% | 38% |
| Quinnipiac[33] | July 6–11, 2010 | 44% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[34] | June 29, 2010 | 49% | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[35] | June 19–21, 2010 | 45% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports[36] | June 2, 2010 | 49% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports[37] | May 19, 2010 | 49% | 36% |
| Quinnipiac[38] | May 4–10, 2010 | 43% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[39] | April 15, 2010 | 45% | 36% |
| Quinnipiac[40] | March 30 – April 5, 2010 | 45% | 33% |
| Public Policy Polling[41] | March 29 – April 1, 2010 | 45% | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports[39] | March 16, 2010 | 46% | 29% |
| Research 2000[6] | March 8–10, 2010 | 40% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports[42] | February 10, 2010 | 52% | 26% |
| Rasmussen Reports[39] | December 10, 2009 | 44% | 28% |
| Quinnipiac[9] | September 30, 2009 | 47% | 28% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Corbett | 2,172,763 | 54.49% | |
| Democratic | Dan Onorato | 1,814,788 | 45.51% | |
| Total votes | 3,987,551 | 100.00% | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Allegheny (Largest city: Pittsburgh)
- Beaver (largest city: Beaver)
- Berks (largest borough: Reading)
- Bucks (largest municipality: Bensalem)
- Cambria (largest municipality: Johnstown)
- Carbon (largest municipality: Lehighton)
- Centre (largest municipality: State College)
- Chester (largest municipality: West Chester)
- Clearfield (Largest city: DuBois)
- Clinton (Largest city: Lock Haven)
- Columbia (Largest city: Bloomsburg)
- Elk (Largest city: St. Marys)
- Erie (largest municipality: Erie)
- Fayette (largest borough: Uniontown)
- Greene (largest municipality: Waynesburg)
- Lawrence (largest municipality: New Castle)
- Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
- Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)
- Mercer (largest municipality: Hermitage)
- Monroe (largest borough: Stroudsburg)
- Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)
- Northumberland (largest borough: Sunbury)
- Pike (largest municipality: Matamoras)
- Schuylkill (Largest city: Pottsville)
- Susquehanna (largest municipality: Forest City)
- Warren (Largest city: Warren)
- Washington (largest municipality: Peters Township)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Honesdale)
- Wyoming (largest municipality: Tunkhannock)
See also
[edit]- 2010 Pennsylvania lieutenant gubernatorial election
- 2010 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
- 2010 United States gubernatorial elections
References
[edit]- ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call
- ^ a b Quinnipiac
- ^ a b Research 2000
- ^ a b Franklin and Marshall
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ a b c Quinnipiac
- ^ a b "Pennsylvania Governor Primary Results". PA Secretary of State. May 18, 2010. Archived from the original on December 10, 2011. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
- ^ "Meehan quits governor's race".
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call Archived January 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster
- ^ Suffolk University Archived September 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call [permanent dead link]
- ^ CNN/Time
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Quinnipiac [permanent dead link]
- ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ "2010 General Election". Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on May 21, 2012. Retrieved November 2, 2010.
External links
[edit]- Pennsylvania Department of State Archived February 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
- Official election results Archived December 10, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
- Official general information for voting, no candidate lists
- Pennsylvania Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Pennsylvania Governor from Follow the Money
- 2010 Pennsylvania Governor General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Pennsylvania Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Pennsylvania Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Pennsylvania Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign websites
- Dan Onorato for Governor (Archived)
- Tom Corbett for Governor (Archived)