2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reporting | as of 5:29 AM CST | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Wisconsin |
---|
The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A former Blue Wall state in the Upper Midwest partly located in the Rust Belt, Wisconsin is a clearly purple state today. In 2016, Donald Trump very narrowly won Wisconsin by 0.77% in his surprise sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt, becoming the first Republican since Reagan in his 1984 landslide to win the state's electoral votes; but in 2020, Democrat Joe Biden flipped Wisconsin back into the Democratic column by an even more narrow 0.63%. Given the state's competitive electoral history coupled with its nearly even partisan lean, Wisconsin was considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with almost all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup.[2]
The last presidential Republican to win Wisconsin by double digits was fellow Midwesterner Dwight D. Eisenhower, and the only presidential candidates to carry the state by double digits after 1956 were Democrats Lyndon B. Johnson, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama (the latter representing neighboring Illinois) in 1964, 1996 and 2008, respectively.
The Wisconsin Green Party has attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020.[3] Milwaukee is set to recount 34,000 ballots in the city due to a "human error" issue.[4]
Trump flipped Wisconsin back into the Republican column, winning by just under one percentage point. This result marks the first time since 1988 in which Wisconsin was the most Democratic leaning of the three Rust Belt swing states (including Michigan and Pennsylvania). Trump’s victory made him the first Republican candidate to carry Wisconsin twice since Ronald Reagan did so in 1980 and 1984. He also received nearly 1.7 million votes which was a record for votes cast for a candidate in the history of the state. With this election, Door County lost its longstanding bellwether status by voting for the losing candidate. Despite her loss in the state, this was Harris's best performance among the seven swing states losing by 0.8%
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 512,379 | 88.6% | 82 | 82 | |
Uninstructed | 48,373 | 8.4% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 17,730 | 3.1% | |||
Total: | 578,482 | 100.0% | 82 | 13 | 95 |
Republican primary
[edit]The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 477,103 | 78.97% | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 76,841 | 12.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 20,124 | 3.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Uninstructed | 13,057 | 2.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 9,771 | 1.62% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 5,200 | 0.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Write-ins | 2,081 | 0.34% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 604,177 | 100.00% | 41 | 0 | 41 |
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]Convention
[edit]The Republican Party held their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket.[7][8] This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention. The Democratic National Convention was selected for Milwaukee in 2020 but much of the convention activity was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[9]
Candidates
[edit]The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot:[10]
- Kamala Harris — Democratic
- Donald Trump — Republican
- Chase Oliver — Libertarian
- Randall Terry — Constitution
- Jill Stein — Green
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Independent[a]
- Cornel West — Independent
- Claudia De la Cruz — Independent
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
CNN[14] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis[15] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
The Economist[16] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
538[17] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
NBC News[19] | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 3.5% | Harris +1.1% |
538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 4.4% | Harris +1.0% |
Silver Bulletin | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 3.6% | Harris +1.0% |
The Hill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.4% | 48.7% | 2.9% | Trump +0.3% |
Average | 48.6% | 47.9% | 3.5% | Harris +0.7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[20] | November 3–4, 2024 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Research Co.[21] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[22] | November 1–3, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 47% | 5%[d] |
Patriot Polling[23] | November 1–3, 2024 | 835 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[24] | November 1–2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | 3%[e] |
AtlasIntel[25] | November 1–2, 2024 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Emerson College[26] | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | 2%[f] |
50%[g] | 50% | – | ||||
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[27] | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3%[h] |
786 (LV) | 49% | 48% | 3%[h] | |||
New York Times/Siena College[28] | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
1,305 (LV) | 49% | 47% | 4% | |||
ActiVote[29] | October 10 – November 1, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
AtlasIntel[30] | October 30–31, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[31] | October 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
YouGov[32][A] | October 25–31, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
876 (LV) | 51% | 47% | 2% | |||
Morning Consult[33] | October 22−31, 2024 | 540 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
TIPP Insights[34][B] | October 28–30, 2024 | 1,038 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
831 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 4% | |||
Marist College[35] | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,444 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 48% | 2%[i] |
1,330 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2%[i] | ||
Echelon Insights[36] | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
Quantus Insights (R)[37][C] | October 28–29, 2024 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
SoCal Strategies (R)[38][D] | October 28–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[39][E] | October 25–29, 2024 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3%[e] |
AtlasIntel[40] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,470 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
CNN/SSRS[41] | October 23–28, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[42] | October 26–27, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3%[e] |
CES/YouGov[43] | October 1–25, 2024 | 1,552 (A) | – | 51% | 46% | 3% |
1,542 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3% | |||
Marquette University Law School[44] | October 16–24, 2024 | 834 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
51%[g] | 49% | – | ||||
753 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 5% | |||
50%[g] | 49% | 1% | ||||
Emerson College[45][F] | October 21–22, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | 3%[f] |
49%[g] | 50% | 1%[f] | ||||
Quinnipiac University[46] | October 17–21, 2024 | 1,108 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[47] | October 18−20, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6%[e] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48] | October 16–20, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
624 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 4% | |||
The Bullfinch Group[49] | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
48% | 46% | 7%[j] | ||||
AtlasIntel[50] | October 12–17, 2024 | 932 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
RMG Research[51][G] | October 10−16, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3%[k] |
49%[g] | 50% | 1% | ||||
Morning Consult[33] | October 6−15, 2024 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Washington Post/Schar School[52] | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
695 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3% | |||
Patriot Polling[53] | October 12–14, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[54][E] | October 9–14, 2024 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[55] | October 8–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4%[d] |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56][H] | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
Emerson College[57] | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2%[f] |
49%[g] | 50% | 1%[f] | ||||
Wall Street Journal[58] | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Research Co.[59] | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 45% | 8%[l] |
50%[g] | 48% | 2%[l] | ||||
Quinnipiac University[60] | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Arc Insights[61][I] | October 2–6, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[62][J] | September 24 – October 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[63] | September 28–30, 2024 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7%[d] |
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[64][K] | September 23–29, 2024 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
ActiVote[65] | August 29 – September 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
New York Times/Siena College[66] | September 21–26, 2024 | 680 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
680 (LV) | 49% | 47% | 4% | |||
Marquette University Law School[67] | September 18–26, 2024 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
52%[g] | 48% | – | ||||
798 (LV) | 50% | 45% | 5% | |||
52%[g] | 48% | – | ||||
AtlasIntel[68] | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[69] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[70] | September 19–25, 2024 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
785 (LV) | 51% | 48% | 1% | |||
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[71][L] | September 19–23, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 51% | 45% | 4% |
RMG Research[72][G] | September 17–23, 2024 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1%[f] |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[73][E] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 1% |
Emerson College[74] | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3%[f] |
49%[g] | 50% | 1%[f] | ||||
MassINC Polling Group[75][M] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
Morning Consult[33] | September 9−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Marist College[76] | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,312 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3%[m] |
1,194 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 49% | 1%[i] | ||
Quinnipiac University[77] | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[78][N] | September 11–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[79] | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4%[n] |
Morning Consult[33] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 638 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
co/efficient (R)[80] | September 4–6, 2024 | 917 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
CBS News/YouGov[81] | September 3–6, 2024 | 946 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 49% | – |
Marquette University Law School[82] | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
52%[g] | 48% | – | ||||
738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
52%[g] | 48% | – | ||||
Patriot Polling[83] | September 1–3, 2024 | 826 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[84] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7%[d] |
Emerson College[85] | August 25–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
49%[g] | 50% | 1%[f] | ||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 44% | 3% |
701 (RV) | 52% | 44% | 4% | |||
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
YouGov[87][O] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 42% | 10%[o] |
– (LV) | ± 5.9% | 51% | 46% | 3% | ||
Democratic National Convention | ||||||
BK Strategies[88][P] | August 19–21, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)[89][Q] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Spry Strategies (R)[90][R] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[91][S] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
Focaldata[92] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 48% | – |
Quantus Insights (R)[93][C] | August 14–15, 2024 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
TIPP Insights[94][B] | August 12–14, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
976 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
The Bullfinch Group[95][T] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[96] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
Navigator Research (D)[97] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[98] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 5% |
New York Times/Siena College[99] | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
661 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 3% | |||
Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
RMG Research [100][G] | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Marquette University Law School[101] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
49%[g] | 50% | 1% | ||||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||
50%[g] | 49% | 1% | ||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[102][U] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[103] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Fox News[104] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Emerson College[105] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
51%[g] | 49% | – | ||||
Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
Republican National Convention | ||||||
Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
North Star Opinion Research (R)[107][B] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
Emerson College[109] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College[110] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
603 (LV) | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[20] | November 3–4, 2024 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 1%[n] |
AtlasIntel[25] | November 1–2, 2024 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 2%[n] |
New York Times/Siena College[28] | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
1,305 (LV) | 48% | 45% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% | |||
Focaldata[111] | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,799 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% |
1,613 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
1,799 (A) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
AtlasIntel[30] | October 30–31, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] | October 28–31, 2024 | 932 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov[32][A] | October 25–31, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 3% | – | 4% |
876 (LV) | 49% | 45% | 0% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
AtlasIntel[40] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,470 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113] | October 25–27, 2024 | 746 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[114] | October 20–22, 2024 | 557 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[115][W] | October 19–22, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 4%[n] |
Quinnipiac University[46] | October 17–21, 2024 | 1,108 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4%[p] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48] | October 16–20, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
624 (LV) | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% | |||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[116] | October 16–18, 2024 | 622 (LV) | – | 47% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[117] | October 12–14, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Quinnipiac University[60] | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4%[p] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[118] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 533 (LV) | – | 47% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College[66] | September 21–26, 2024 | 680 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | 4% |
680 (LV) | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% | |||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[70] | September 19–25, 2024 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% |
785 (LV) | 50% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% | |||
Remington Research Group (R)[119][X] | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[120] | September 16–19, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University[77] | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3%[p] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[121] | September 6–9, 2024 | 626 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov[122][A] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 7%[e] |
CNN/SSRS[123] | August 23–29, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[124] | August 25–28, 2024 | 672 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
701 (RV) | 51% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[q] Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [r] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race to the WH | through October 7, 2024 | October 13, 2024 | 47.7% | 46.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | Harris +1.4% |
270toWin | October 2 – 11, 2024 | October 11, 2024 | 47.0% | 45.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.1% | Harris +1.3% |
Average | 47.3% | 46.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | Harris +1.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIPP Insights[34][B] | October 28–30, 2024 | 1,038 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
831 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | – | |||
Echelon Insights[36] | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
CNN/SSRS[125] | October 23–28, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Marquette University Law School[44] | October 16–24, 2024 | 834 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2%[p] |
753 (LV) | 46% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1%[p] | |||
USA Today/Suffolk University[126][127] | October 20–23, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3%[p] |
AtlasIntel[50] | October 12–17, 2024 | 932 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 1% | – | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Wall Street Journal[58] | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[64][K] | September 23–29, 2024 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
Marquette University Law School[67] | September 18–26, 2024 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3%[s] |
798 (LV) | 49% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2%[s] | |||
AtlasIntel[68] | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | – |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[69] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | 0% | 1% | 2% | – | 3% |
MassINC Polling Group[75][M] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[78][N] | September 11–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4%[t] |
Marquette University Law School[82] | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%[u] | ||
Z to A Research (D)[128][Y] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov[87][O] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9%[v] |
– (LV) | ± 5.9% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | ||
Rasmussen Reports (R)[91][S] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Focaldata[92] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
700 (RV) | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
700 (A) | 50% | 43% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | |||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129] | August 12–15, 2024 | 469 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
The Bullfinch Group[95][T] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College[99] | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
661 (LV) | 49% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | |||
Navigator Research (D)[97] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[98] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[130] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Marquette University Law School[101] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[103] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[131] | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Fox News[104] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spry Strategies (R)[90][R] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
Emerson College[105] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R)[89][Q] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 7% |
Civiqs[132][Y] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University Law School[101] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
Emerson College[133][Z] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[134][AA] | July 11–12, 2024 | 653 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[135][AB] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
North Star Opinion Research (R)[107][B] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Echelon Insights[136][AC] | July 1–8, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[137] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
SoCal Strategies (R)[138][AD] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 490 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[139][N] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
Emerson College[140][Z] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Remington Research Group (R)[141] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School[142] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
50%[g] | 50% | – | ||||
784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 9% | ||
51%[g] | 49% | – | ||||
Emerson College[143] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
49%[g] | 51% | – | ||||
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[144] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22%[w] |
290 (LV) | 40% | 41% | 19%[x] | |||
KAConsulting (R)[145][AE] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Prime Group[146][AF] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[147] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College[148] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
614 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||
Quinnipiac University[149] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Emerson College[150] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
48%[g] | 52% | – | ||||
Kaplan Strategies[151] | April 20–21, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
John Zogby Strategies[152][AG] | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
CBS News/YouGov[153] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Fox News[154] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[155] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School[156] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
49%[g] | 51% | – | ||||
736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
49%[g] | 51% | – | ||||
North Star Opinion Research (R)[157][AH] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Wall Street Journal[158] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Echelon Insights[159][AI] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Emerson College[160] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
48%[g] | 52% | – | ||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[161] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College[109] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Kaplan Strategies[163] | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
Marquette University Law School[164] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
49%[g] | 49% | 2% | ||||
808 (LV) | 44% | 46% | 10% | |||
49%[g] | 50% | 1% | ||||
Fox News[165] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Focaldata[166] | January 17–23, 2024 | 863 (A) | – | 38% | 43% | 19%[y] |
– (LV) | 42% | 46% | 12%[z] | |||
49%[g] | 51% | – | ||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[167] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[168] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
J.L. Partners[169][AJ] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[170] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Emerson College[171] | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
819 (LV) | 45% | 45% | 10% | |||
New York Times/Siena College[110] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
603 (LV) | 47% | 45% | 8% | |||
Marquette University Law School[172] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
50%[g] | 48% | 1% | ||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[173] | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College[174] | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[175][AK] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Prime Group[176][AF] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23%[aa] | ||
Marquette University Law School[177] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
52%[g] | 43% | 4% | ||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[178] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College[179] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College[180] | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[181][H] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
Marquette University Law School[182] | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[183] | July 16–18, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 6% | – | 1% | 9%[ab] |
Trafalgar Group (R)[184] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Emerson College[133][Z] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6%[ac] |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[135][AB] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[ac] |
YouGov[185][A] | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
North Star Opinion Research (R)[B] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 11% | – | 3% | 12%[ad] |
Echelon Insights[136][AC] | July 1–8, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6%[ae] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[137] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[139][N] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 9% | – | 3% | 6%[ac] |
Marquette University Law School[142] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3%[ae] |
784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2%[ac] | ||
Emerson College[143] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
J.L. Partners[186] | June 5–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
KAConsulting (R)[145][AE] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 42% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6%[af] |
Prime Group[146][AF] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[147] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College[148] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14%[ag] |
614 (LV) | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13%[ag] | |||
Quinnipiac University[149] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
Emerson College[150] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News[154] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[155] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Marquette University Law School[156] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
North Star Opinion Research (R)[157][AH] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
Wall Street Journal[158] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College[160] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[161] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[162] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Emerson College[109] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Marquette University Law School[164] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
808 (LV) | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||
Fox News[165] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[187] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[188] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
J.L. Partners[169][AJ] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12%[ah] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs[132][Y] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
P2 Insights[189][AL] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[144] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% |
290 (LV) | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% | |||
P2 Insights[190][AL] | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College[191] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
603 (LV) | 37% | 35% | 21% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[192] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/YouGov[153] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 0% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[152][AG] | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[152][AG] | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Emerson College[109] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[104] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[104] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][V] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University Law School[164] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 45% | 22% |
930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41%[g] | 57% | 2% | ||
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 46% | 19% | ||
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42%[g] | 57% | 1% | ||
New York Times/Siena College[193] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 52% | 9% |
603 (LV) | 39% | 53% | 8% | |||
Marquette University Law School[172] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 41% | 23% |
44%[g] | 53% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College[193] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
603 (LV) | 44% | 48% | 8% | |||
Marquette University Law School[172] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
48%[g] | 50% | 1% | ||||
Marquette University Law School[177] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
49%[g] | 47% | 4% | ||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[194] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||
Republican | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Green | |||||
Constitution | |||||
Socialism and Liberation | |||||
Independent | |||||
Independent |
|
||||
Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Wisconsin
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Candidate has suspended campaign, but will stay on the ballot.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c d "Other" with 3%
- ^ a b c d e "Other" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ a b "Another Candidate" with 1%
- ^ a b c "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
- ^ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b c d "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b c d e f Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
- ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
- ^ Randall Terry (C) with 0%
- ^ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 12%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 13%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 9%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ a b c d Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ a b Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Trending Politics
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by American Thinker
- ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
- ^ Poll conducted for the Article III Project
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ a b Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
- ^ a b Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ a b Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ D'Andrea, Robert (February 9, 2024). "Green Party candidate will appear on Wisconsin's presidential ballot". WPR. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ Treisman, Rachel (November 5, 2024). "Milwaukee is recounting about 34,000 ballots due to human error". NPR. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential Primary". The AP. May 7, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential Primary". Dave Leip's Atlas. May 7, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ Baker, Graeme (July 15, 2024). "JD Vance named as Trump's running mate". BBC (Digital). Retrieved August 12, 2024.
- ^ "RNC 2024: Dates, which city has hosted the most conventions, and how Wisconsin impacts the presidential race". NBC 5 Chicago (Digital). July 2, 2024. Retrieved August 12, 2024.
- ^ Glauber, Bill; Spicuzza, Mary (March 11, 2019). "Milwaukee wins tight race to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (Digital). Retrieved August 12, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin's 2024 Presidential ballot is set — here are the eight sets of candidates". WTMJ. August 27, 2024. Retrieved September 4, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". The Hill.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. CNalysis. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". Inside Elections.
- ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. November 4, 2024.
- ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - November 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. November 3, 2024.
- ^ Ruggieri, Lucca (November 3, 2024). "Final 2024 Presidential Poll". Patriot Polling.
- ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC". InsiderAdvantage. November 3, 2024.
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - November 2, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. November 2, 2024.
- ^ "November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President". Emerson College Polling. November 4, 2024.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Wisconsin" (PDF). FAU Polling. November 4, 2024.
- ^ a b Lerer, Lisa; Igielnik, Ruth (November 3, 2024). "Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times.
- ^ Allis, Victor (November 2, 2024). "Harris Has Small Lead in Wisconsin". ActiVote. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 31, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 31, 2024.
- ^ Weigel, David (November 1, 2024). "The view from the swing states". Semafor.
- ^ a b "The Times / SAY Poll: October 25-31, 2024" (PDF). YouGov. November 1, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
- ^ a b "Wisconsin Headed for a Photo Finish, Hovde Charging, Per Polling". American Greatness. October 31, 2024.
- ^ "Marist Wisconsin Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Wisconsin, November 2024". Marist Poll. November 1, 2024.
- ^ a b "Trump and Harris are in a dead heat in Wisconsin — 48-48". Echelon Insights. October 31, 2024.
- ^ "Quantus Insights Polling: Wisconsin and Michigan in Dead Heat". Quantus Insights. October 31, 2024.
- ^ "On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Wisconsin Poll". Substack. October 30, 2024.
- ^ "Election 2024: Trump 50%, Harris 47% in Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. November 2, 2024.
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 29, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 29, 2024.
- ^ Wu, Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Edward (October 30, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved October 31, 2024.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "InsiderAdvantage Wisconsin Survey: Trump Leads by One Point; Hovde Leads by One in Tight Senate Race". InsiderAdvantage. October 29, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Franklin, Charles (October 30, 2024). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – October 16 – 24, 2024". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ "October 2024 Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Race". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2024.
- ^ a b "Swing State Poll 2024: Michigan, Wisconsin: Gender Divide Defines Tight Races In Rust Belt Battlegrounds, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Dem Holds Lead In MI, Very Close In WI". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 23, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - October 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 21, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory; Cook, Nancy (October 23, 2024). "Two Weeks Out, Trump and Harris Are Locked in a Dead Heat". Bloomberg.
- ^ "Your Election Guide for the Midrust Battlegrounds". The Bullfinch Group. October 18, 2024.
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. October 19, 2024.
- ^ "WISCONSIN: Trump 50% Harris 49%". Napolitan Institute. October 17, 2024.
- ^ Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily; Keating, Dan; Balz, Dan (October 21, 2024). "Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding". The Washington Post.
- ^ "Trump and Baldwin hold narrow leads in Wisconsin". Patriot Polling. October 15, 2024.
- ^ "Election 2024: Trump Leads Harris in Wisconsin, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. October 17, 2024.
- ^ "InsiderAdvantage Surveys: Trump Leads by Two Points in Michigan; Race All Tied Up in Wisconsin". Polling Plus. October 10, 2024.
- ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 10, 2024). "Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite.
- ^ "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat". Emerson College Polling. October 10, 2024.
- ^ a b Zitner, Aaron (October 11, 2024). "Battle for Swing States Is Tied, Trump Has Edge on Top Issues, WSJ Poll Shows". The Wall Street Journal.
- ^ Canseco, Mario (October 8, 2024). "Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Lean Blue in 2024 Race" (PDF). Research Co.
- ^ a b "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Blue Wall Shows Cracks As Race Tightens, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Michigan Moves To Toss-Up, Dems Lead In PA & WI". Quinnipiac University Poll. October 9, 2024.
- ^ "Fields of Freedom Alliance: New Wisconsin poll: Rural voters give Trump lead over Harris". Wispolitics. October 9, 2024.
- ^ Schorr, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Battleground Survey & Media Findings" (PDF). OnMessage Inc.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - September 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. October 1, 2024.
- ^ a b "PGPF Battleground Poll Topline Results by State" (PDF). Peter G. Peterson Foundation. October 9, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (September 30, 2024). "Harris Leads in Wisconsin". ActiVote.
- ^ a b Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find". The New York Times.
- ^ a b Franklin, Charles (October 2, 2024). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – September 18-26, 2024". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Swing States - September 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. September 28, 2024.
- ^ a b Walter, Amy; Taylor, Jessica (October 2, 2024). "Swing State Polling Finds Deadlocked Presidential Contest, 'Blue Wall' Senate Races Tighten". Cook Political Report.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory; Niquette, Mark (September 26, 2024). "Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race". Bloomberg.
- ^ Link, Jeff (October 2, 2024). "Focus on Rural America: New Polling Shows Harris Leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, Tied with Trump in Pennsylvania". Focus on Rural America.
- ^ "WISCONSIN: Harris 50% Trump 49%". Napolitan Institute. September 23, 2024.
- ^ "Election 2024: Trump +2 in Arizona, Tied With Harris in Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. September 25, 2024.
- ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024.
- ^ a b Kelly, Jack (September 23, 2024). "Kamala Harris has largest post-debate lead yet over Donald Trump in new Wisconsin Watch poll". Wisconsin Watch.
- ^ "U.S. Presidential Contest in Wisconsin, September 2024 - One Point Separates Harris & Trump Among Wisconsin Likely Voters". Marist Poll. September 19, 2024.
- ^ a b "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Harris Ahead In 2 Key Battleground States, 3rd State Up For Grabs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Democrats Have Leads In All 3 States". Quinnipiac University Poll. September 18, 2024.
- ^ a b Bridges, Kate (September 18, 2024). "In September, Trump Has Narrow Lead Among WI Voters 50-Plus". AARP. doi:10.26419/res.00813.019.
- ^ "Wisconsin Survey: Harris Leads by Two Points; Senior Voters are Issue for Trump (See Story Below Chart)". InsiderAdvantage. September 14, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin IVF Poll Results". co/efficient. September 6, 2024.
- ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred (September 8, 2024). "Harris v. Trump CBS News poll finds Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin race tight ahead of debate". CBS News.
- ^ a b Franklin, Charles (September 11, 2024). "Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin finds 52% of registered voters support Harris, 48% support Trump". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 31, 2024.
- ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
- ^ a b Ekins, Emily (September 9, 2024). "New Poll: WI, PA, & MI Voters Believe US Is Too Involved in Foreign Wars and World Affairs, Most Worry WWIII Approaching". Cato Institute.
- ^ "Badger Battleground Poll Results" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. September 6, 2024.
- ^ a b "Blue Wall Survey – August 2024" (PDF). Pinpoint Policy Institute. August 29, 2024.
- ^ a b "New APP Polling: Trump Leads in 3 of 5 Swing States, Voters Reject Democrats' Cultural Extremism". American Principles Project. August 29, 2024.
- ^ a b "Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Wisconsin". Rasmussen Reports. August 27, 2024.
- ^ a b Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
- ^ "2024 Wisconsin Presidential Race: Harris and Trump Neck and Neck in Crucial Battleground State". Quantus Polls and News. August 17, 2024.
- ^ "New Battleground Polling: Dead Heat in Wisconsin, Issues Favor Trump". American Greatness. August 15, 2024.
- ^ a b "Independent Center Battleground States Poll" (PDF). The Independent Center. August 11, 2024.
- ^ "PollingPlus Exclusive: Top Two Presidential Cycle Pollsters Towery and Cahaly Release Battleground Polls". PollingPlus. August 9, 2024.
- ^ a b Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
- ^ a b Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
- ^ a b "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Michigan". The New York Times. August 10, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ "Wisconsin – Harris 48% Trump 45%". Napolitan Institute. August 8, 2024.
- ^ a b c Franklin, Charles (August 7, 2024). "Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds very close race between Harris and Trump and Democratic enthusiasm for voting in presidential race now matching Republican levels". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "KEY FINDINGS FROM A RECENT POLL OF VOTERS IN FIVE PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES". Politico.
- ^ a b "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg. July 30, 2024 – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b c d Blanton, Dana (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Trump hits 50% in Wisconsin, edges Harris by just 1 point". Fox News.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 25, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b c d e f g "PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump". Google Docs. July 22, 2024.
- ^ a b "Battleground Poll: Trump Leads a Tight Race in Wisconsin". American Greatness. July 12, 2024.
- ^ a b c Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b c d Mumford, Camille (February 27, 2024). "Wisconsin 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 42%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds". archive.ph. November 6, 2023.
- ^ "Our final report on the US presidential election". Focaldata. November 4, 2024.
- ^ "Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. November 1, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 29, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 25, 2024.
- ^ "Senate Opportunity Fund - Battleground Polling" (PDF). Senate Opportunity Fund. October 25, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 21, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 16, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 7, 2024.
- ^ "Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies" (PDF). American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers. October 1, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 23, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
- ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Wisconsin" (PDF). YouGov. September 5, 2024.
- ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
- ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (October 30, 2024). "CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania". CNN.
- ^ Morin, Rebecca (October 28, 2024). "Harris, Trump locked in dead heat in battleground Wisconsin, new exclusive poll says". USA Today. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Statewide" (PDF). Suffolk University. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
- ^ McCue, Dan (September 4, 2024). "Post-DNC Polls Shows Harris, Trump Tied in Three Battleground States". The Well News.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024.
- ^ a b "Rust Belt Rising Wisconsin Survey July 2024" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 19, 2024.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Plascencia, Cesar (July 16, 2024). "Healthcare Is an Important Issue for Wisconsin Voters; Strong Concerns About Possible Outcomes of Repealing the Affordable Care Act" (PDF). Protect Our Care.
- ^ a b "Toplines 2 - Heartland - Battleground July 2024 - ALL RACE DATA". Rasmussen Reports. July 19, 2024.
- ^ a b "NetChoice June 2024 Antitrust Survey Topline" (PDF). NetChoice. July 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory; Niquette, Mark (July 6, 2024). "Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Wisconsin Poll 6/30-7/2". Google Docs. July 2, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Wisconsin Voter Survey" (PDF). AARP. July 9, 2024.
- ^ King, Ryan (July 8, 2024). "Biden lags behind in all of the key battleground states by 4-point average: new poll". The New York Post.
- ^ Pearce, Tim (July 3, 2024). "Exclusive: Battleground Poll Shows Biden Tanking In Key States After Disastrous Debate". The Daily Wire.
- ^ a b Franklin, Charles (June 26, 2024). "Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds Biden and Trump tied among registered voters, Biden 51% to Trump 49% among likely voters". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (June 20, 2024). "June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b "Mainstreet Research Survey - Wisconsin" (PDF). FAU Polling. June 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "Vapor Technology Association Wisconsin Crosstabs" (PDF). Vapor Technology Association. July 8, 2024.
- ^ a b "Swing State Poll: Biden and Trump in a Tight Race, Kennedy Struggles to Qualify for Debate" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. May 22, 2024.
- ^ a b Walter, Amy; Wasserman, David (May 24, 2024). "A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue". Cook Political Report.
- ^ a b Cohn, Nate (May 13, 2024). "Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ a b "Wisconsin 2024: Biden Leads Trump In 2-Way Race, It's Neck And Neck When Ballot Includes Third-Party Candidates, Quinnipiac University Wisconsin Poll Finds; Voters 50 - 38% Oppose Campus Protests Over Israel's Actions In Gaza" (PDF). Quinnipiac University Poll. May 8, 2024.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (April 30, 2024). "Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Kaplan, Doug (April 26, 2024). "DONALD TRUMP IN A STRONG POSITION TO WIN KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES" (PDF). Kaplan Strategies.
- ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
- ^ a b Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De (May 30, 2024). "CBS News poll finds Biden-Trump race tight in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin". CBS News.
- ^ a b Blanton, Dana (April 18, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Biden and Trump remain deadlocked in Wisconsin". Fox News.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (April 24, 2024). "Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b Franklin, Charles (April 17, 2024). "Marquette Law School Poll finds very close presidential, U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ a b McHenry, Jon; Judy, Dan (April 10, 2024). "Key Findings from Survey of Wisconsin Likely Voters". League of American Workers. Archived from the original on April 17, 2024.
- ^ a b "Wall Street Journal Targeted Presidential States Multimodal Survey" (PDF). The Wall Street Journal. April 2, 2024.
- ^ "The Heritage Foundation Focus 2024 Survey" (PDF). The Heritage Foundation. April 15, 2024.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (March 21, 2024). "Wisconsin 2024: Trump 46%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (March 26, 2024). "Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (February 29, 2024). "Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ "Trump-Noem Ticket is Preferred Presidential Pairing Among Wisconsin Voters in New Poll" (PDF). Dropbox. February 26, 2024.
- ^ a b c Franklin, Charles (February 7, 2024). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll-Jan 24 – 31, 2024". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ a b Blanton, Dana (February 1, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Biden and Trump tie in Wisconsin head-to-head matchup". Fox News.
- ^ Kanagasooriam, James (February 20, 2024). "Bi_Focal #12: How Biden can still beat Trump". Focaldata.
- ^ Fabian, Jordan; Korte, Gregory (January 31, 2024). "Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Cook, Nancy; Haque, Jennah; Korte, Gregory; Lu, Denise; Mejía, Elena (December 14, 2023). "Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b "Swing state polling" (PDF). J.L. Partners. December 4, 2023.
- ^ Korte, Gregory; Marlow, Iain (November 9, 2023). "Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (November 9, 2023). "Swing State 2024 Polling: Biden Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Leads Trump in Michigan". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b c Franklin, Charles (November 8, 2023). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll-Oct 26 – Nov 2, 2023" (PDF). Marquette University Law School.
- ^ Cook, Nancy; Korte, Gregory (October 19, 2023). "Trump Is Winning Over Swing-State Voters Wary of Biden's Economic Plan". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (October 12, 2023). "Wisconsin 2024 Poll: Trump and Biden on Track for Another Close Election". Emerson Polling.
- ^ "NEW POLLING: Biden Leading Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; Impeachment of Biden Unpopular with Voters". Save My Country Action Fund. September 28, 2023.
- ^ "Survey of Registered Voters Nationwide AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI" (PDF). Prime Group. July 13, 2023.
- ^ a b Franklin, Charles (June 28, 2023). "Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll-June 8-13, 2023". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ Glauber, Bill (April 24, 2023). "Early poll sizes up the 2024 strengths of Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump in Wisconsin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (November 2, 2022). "Wisconsin 2022: Johnson Maintains Four Point Edge on Barnes; Evers and Michels in One-Point Race for Governor". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (September 20, 2022). "Wisconsin 2022: Voters Splitting Tickets in US Senate and Gubernatorial Elections". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Fabrizio, Tony; Lee, David; Tunis, Travis (November 21, 2021). "TRUMP "RUNNING THE TABLE" AGAINST BIDEN IN FIVE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES; BIDEN INFRASTRUCTURE AND BBB PLANS FLOP WITH THESE VOTERS". Politico.
- ^ Franklin, Charles (November 3, 2021). "Detailed results of the Marquette law school poll-October 26-31, 2021". Marquette University Law School.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16-18 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 21, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey July 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. July 18, 2024.
- ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Wisconsin" (PDF). YouGov. July 15, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin deck FINAL.pdf" (PDF). Squarespace. June 13, 2024.
- ^ "Swing States Tracking Poll #2401055 January 16-22, 2024" (PDF). Morning Consult. January 31, 2024.
- ^ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Swing State Polling" (PDF). Morning Consult. December 14, 2023.
- ^ Lim, Naomi (June 27, 2024). "Age and economy top concerns of battleground state voters in pre-debate poll". The Washington Examiner.
- ^ "Trump's Lead Expands in Battlegrounds as Voters View Biden as Too Old" (PDF). Building America's Future. June 26, 2024.
- ^ Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (November 7, 2023). "What's Behind Kennedy's Poll Numbers? Voters Dread a Trump-Biden Rematch". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines" (PDF). Morning Consult. November 9, 2023.
- ^ a b "Likely Electorate Cross-Tabs: October 2023 Times/Siena Poll of the 2024 Battlegrounds". The New York Times. November 5, 2023.
- ^ "Poll favors DeSantis over Trump head to head with Biden in Wisconsin". archive.ph. April 24, 2023.
- ^ Carter, Dylan Hunter (August 27, 2024). "Wisconsin's 2024 Presidential ballot is set". WTMJ. Retrieved September 23, 2024.