2024 United States Senate election in Montana
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Reporting | as of Nov. 14, 4:28 PM MST | ||||||||||||||||
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County results Sheehy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tester: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Montana |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Tim Sheehy. Sheehy's victory gave Republicans control of both of Montana's Senate seats for the first time since 1911. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[1]
This race was one of two 2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators sought re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the other being Ohio. Tester's re-election was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[2]
Background
[edit]Montana has generally been considered a red state at the federal executive level, voting for Republican candidates in each presidential election starting in 1996, when Bob Dole beat Bill Clinton by nearly 3 percentage points in a three-way race with Ross Perot. Since then, GOP candidates have won the White House race in the state by double digits in every race except in 2008. In the most recent presidential election, in 2020, Donald Trump beat Joe Biden in Montana by 56.92% to 40.55%. Republicans have also won all of the state's U.S. House elections since 1996. Within this time frame, Democrats have been more successful in elections for state offices and the U.S. Senate, with its governorship, state legislature, and Senate seats alternating between Democratic and Republican control. Leading up to the 2024 election, Republicans controlled both of Montana's U.S. House seats, the other U.S. Senate seat, the governorship, and had supermajority control of both houses of the state legislature.
Despite the state's heavy partisan lean in favor of the Republican Party, Tester remained popular among his constituents. Because of this and Montana's historical inclination to ticket-split, the race was considered to be competitive. Early polling showed Tester to be leading or nearly even, but Sheehy had since gained an edge. Tester was widely seen as being the most vulnerable incumbent running for re-election, due to Montana's strong Republican lean and the decline of split-ticket voting. He has refused to endorse fellow Democrat Kamala Harris for president, a contributing factor towards the Senate race not being nationalized. In 2012, the last election that featured Tester on the same ballot as the presidential election, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney won by 13.64%, while Tester won by 3.72% without receiving a majority (50%) of the vote.[3][4][5][6]
Top-two primary proposal
[edit]On April 4, 2023, Montana's State Senate passed a bill to institute a top-two primary system, but only for the 2024 U.S. Senate race. The bill's sponsor, Republican Greg Hertz, said it would require the winner of the 2024 Senate race to receive a majority of the vote. Incumbent Democrat Jon Tester won with a plurality of the vote in his 2006 and 2012 Senate campaigns, though he won a majority in 2018. Both Democrats and Libertarians alleged the bill was intended to prevent the Libertarian Party from placing a nominee on the general election ballot in the Senate race who could potentially pull votes away from the Republican nominee, with Democratic state senator Ryan Lynch calling it a "partisan power grab."[7][8]
After the bill received backlash, Hertz introduced an amendment to make the use of a top-two primary for U.S. Senate elections permanent rather than sunsetting it after the 2024 race.[9] The Montana House of Representatives State Administration Committee tabled the bill on April 19.[10] An attempt to revive the bill failed, and the legislature adjourned without passing it, conclusively ending the push for a top-two primary.[11]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jon Tester, incumbent U.S. senator (2007–present)[12]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Hummert, retired remodeling contractor[13]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. senators
- Joe Manchin, U.S. senator from West Virginia (2010–present) (Independent)[14]
- Statewide officials
- Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[15]
- Brian Schweitzer, Governor of Montana (2005–2013)[16]
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[17]
- Council for a Livable World[18]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[19]
- End Citizens United[20]
- Feminist Majority Foundation PAC[21]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[22]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[23]
- League of Conservation Voters[24]
- National Organization for Women PAC[25]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[26]
- Peace Action[27]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Population Connection Action Fund[29]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[30]
- Swing Left[31]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jon Tester (D) | $37,330,566 | $26,017,759 | $11,793,381 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[34] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jon Tester (incumbent) | 104,279 | 96.96% | |
Democratic | Michael Hummert | 3,272 | 3.04% | |
Total votes | 107,551 | 100.00% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tim Sheehy, founder and former CEO of Bridger Aerospace[36]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Brad Johnson, former chair of the Montana Public Service Commission (2015–2023) and former Montana Secretary of State (2005–2009)[37]
- Charles Walkingchild Sr., environmental contractor and candidate for Montana's 2nd congressional district in 2022[13]
Withdrew
[edit]- Jeremy Mygland, construction company owner (endorsed Rosendale, running for state senate)[38]
- Matt Rosendale, U.S. representative from Montana's 2nd congressional district (2023–present) and at-large district (2021–2023); nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (endorsed Sheehy)[39]
Declined
[edit]- Greg Gianforte, governor of Montana (2021–present) (endorsed Sheehy, running for re-election)[40]
- Ryan Zinke, U.S. representative from Montana's 1st congressional district (2023–present) and at-large district (2015–2017); former U.S. secretary of the interior (2017–2019) (endorsed Sheehy, running for re-election)[41][42]
Endorsements
[edit]- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[43]
- U.S. senators
- John Barrasso, U.S. senator from Wyoming (2007–present)[44]
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[45]
- Ted Budd, U.S. senator from North Carolina (2023–present)[46]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[47]
- Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present)[48]
- Bill Hagerty, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2021–present)[49]
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, U.S. senator from Mississippi (2018–present)[49]
- Markwayne Mullin, U.S. senator from Oklahoma (2023–present)[50]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present)[46]
- Eric Schmitt, U.S. senator from Missouri (2023–present)[51]
- John Thune, U.S. senator from South Dakota (2005–present)[52]
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. senator from Alabama (2021–present)[53]
- Governors
- Doug Burgum, governor of North Dakota (2016–present)[54]
- Greg Gianforte, governor of Montana (2021–present)[40]
- Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota (2019–present)[55]
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Banks, U.S. representative from Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)[56]
- Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995−1999) from Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979−1999)[57]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. representative from Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021−present)[58]
- Matt Rosendale, U.S. representative from Montana's 2nd congressional district (2021−present)[59]
- Ryan Zinke, U.S. representative from Montana's 1st congressional district (2023–present) and at-large district (2015–2017); former U.S. secretary of the interior (2017–2019)[41]
- Individuals
- Organizations
- U.S. senators
- Mike Lee, U.S. senator from Utah (2011–present)[67]
- U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–2024)[68]
- State legislators
- Jason Ellsworth, president of the Montana Senate (2023−present) from the 43rd district (2019–present)[69]
- Matt Regier, speaker of the Montana House of Representatives (2023–present) from the 4th district (2017–present)[69]
- Individuals
- Steve Bannon, former White House chief strategist (2017) and former executive chair of Breitbart News[68]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Brad Johnson (R) | $42,967[a] | $39,697 | $3,270 |
Tim Sheehy (R) | $10,547,437[b] | $8,324,164 | $2,223,272 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[34] |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Brad Johnson |
Matt Rosendale |
Tim Sheehy |
Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
co/efficient (R) | November 12–14, 2023 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.28% | – | 24% | 40% | 36% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | October 23–25, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 35% | 38% | 21%[d] |
0% | 41% | 44% | 15% | ||||
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ? | – | 52% | 21% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | June 19–20, 2023 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 64% | 10% | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Russell Fagg |
Brad Johnson |
Matt Rosendale |
Tim Sheehy |
Corey Stapleton |
Ryan Zinke |
Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OnMessage Inc. (R) | February 18–21, 2023 | 600 (LV)[e] | ± 4.0% | 2% | – | 36% | 2% | 6% | 26% | 28% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Sheehy | 139,857 | 73.60% | |
Republican | Brad Johnson | 36,926 | 19.43% | |
Republican | Charles Walkingchild Sr. | 13,229 | 6.96% | |
Total votes | 190,012 | 100.00% |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Sid Daoud, Kalispell city councilor and chair of the Montana Libertarian Party[71]
Green primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Withdrew after nomination
[edit]- Michael Downey, drought program coordinator[13]
Replacement nominee
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Michael Downey | 679 | 62.4% | |
Green | Robert Barb | 410 | 37.6% | |
Total votes | 1,089 | 100.0% |
Aftermath
[edit]Michael Downey, the winner of the Green Party primary election, dropped out of the race on August 12, citing the possibility that he might be a spoiler candidate in a close race.[73] The Green Party of Montana selected the runner-up, Robert Barb, to replace Downey. The Montana Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that the Montana Green Party did not follow its procedure for designating a replacement candidate and asking for Barb to be removed from the ballot.[74] Kathy Seeley, the district court judge hearing the case, denied the request. The Montana Democratic Party appealed to the Montana Supreme Court, but the justices refused to take the case.[75]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[76] | Lean R (flip) | September 12, 2024 |
Inside Elections[77] | Tilt R (flip) | September 12, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] | Lean R (flip) | September 6, 2024 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[79] | Lean R (flip) | October 20, 2024 |
Elections Daily[80] | Lean R (flip) | August 9, 2024 |
CNalysis[81] | Tilt R (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
RealClearPolitics[82] | Lean R (flip) | September 12, 2024 |
Split Ticket[83] | Lean R (flip) | October 23, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]- U.S. representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021)[84]
- U.S. senators
- John Thune, Senate Minority Whip (2021–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)[85]
- Statewide officials
- Individuals
- Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA[87]
- Organizations
- Statewide officials
- Bob Brown, former Montana Secretary of State (2001–2005) (Republican)[89]
- Marc Racicot, former Governor of Montana (1993–2001) (Republican)[89]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[90]
- State senators
- Terry Vermeire, state senator from the 39th district (2023–present) (Republican)[91]
- State representatives
- Mallerie Stromswold, former state representative from the 50th district (2021–2023) (Republican)[91]
- Dan Hurwitz, former state representative from the 83rd district (2003–2005) (Republican)[91]
- Individuals
- Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer[92]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jon Tester (D) | $88,163,151 | $84,499,372 | $4,144,352 |
Tim Sheehy (R) | $26,161,679[f] | $22,284,629 | $3,877,050 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[34] |
Debates
[edit]Dates | Host | Tester | Sheehy | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
June 10, 2024 | Montana Broadcasters Association | Participant | Participant | YouTube |
September 30, 2024 | Montana PBS | Participant | Participant | YouTube |
Polling
[edit]- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Tim Sheehy (R) |
Jon Tester (D) |
Undecided [g] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics | October 5 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 50.7% | 43.0% | 6.3% | Sheehy +7.7 |
538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.7% | 42.7% | 7.6% | Sheehy +7.0% |
270toWin | October 10–27, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 51.0% | 45.0% | 4.0% | Sheehy +6.0% |
TheHill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 50.0% | 43.1% | 6.9% | Sheehy +6.9% |
Average | 50.4% | 43.5% | 6.1% | Sheehy +6.9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jon Tester (D) |
Tim Sheehy (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | November 1–4, 2024 | 752 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 50% | 5%[h] | 6% |
Emerson College[A] | October 23–25, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 51% | 2%[i] | – |
46% | 50% | 2%[i] | 3% | ||||
MSU Billings | September 30 – October 16, 2024 | 760 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 43% | 6%[j] | 8% |
NYT/Siena College | October 5–8, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | – | 4% |
656 (RV) | 44% | 51% | – | 4% | |||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | September 29 – October 1, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 51% | 2%[k] | 2% |
Remington Research Group (R)[C] | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | – | 4% |
RMG Research[D] | September 12–19, 2024 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 50% | 2% | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D)[E] |
August 25–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | – | 4% |
41% | 49% | 5%[l] | 5% | ||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | August 18–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 3%[m] | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[F] | August 13–20, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% |
RMG Research[D] | August 6–14, 2024 | 540 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 44% | 2% | 4% |
American Pulse Research & Polling[G] | August 10–12, 2024 | 538 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 51% | – | 4% |
Emerson College[A] | August 5–6, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – | 5% |
Expedition Strategies[H] | June 24 – July 8, 2024 | 251 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 4% |
Remington Research Group (R)[C] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | – | 5% |
Torchlight Strategies (R)[I] | June 22–26, 2024 | 649 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 47% | 5%[m] | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | June 11–13, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 46% | 4%[n] | 4% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[J] | June 3–5, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% |
43% | 46% | 4%[o] | 7% | ||||
J.L. Partners | March 26–29, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% |
Emerson College[A] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
SurveyUSA[K] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 7% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 35% | 6% | 21% |
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | – | 12% |
- Jon Tester vs. Greg Gianforte
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jon Tester (D) |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Political Company (R) | January 30 – February 1, 2023 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
- Jon Tester vs. Brad Johnson
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jon Tester (D) |
Brad Johnson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[K] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 35% | 4% | 11% |
- Jon Tester vs. Matt Rosendale
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jon Tester (D) |
Matt Rosendale (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[K] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 40% | 4% | 7% |
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | ? | 43% | 46% | – | 11% |
OnMessage Inc. (R) | February 18–21, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 7% |
Political Company (R) | January 30 – February 1, 2023 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | – | 15% |
- Jon Tester vs. Ryan Zinke
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Jon Tester (D) |
Ryan Zinke (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Political Company (R) | January 30 – February 1, 2023 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Sheehy | 312,548 | 52.79% | +6.01% | |
Democratic | Jon Tester (incumbent) | 268,375 | 45.42% | −4.91% | |
Libertarian | Sid Daoud | 6,983 | 1.2% | N/A | |
Green | Robert Barb | 3,847 | 0.7% | N/A | |
Total votes | 591,753 | 100.0% | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Notes
[edit]- ^ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Johnson
- ^ $2,050,000 of this total was self-funded by Sheehy
- ^ a b c d e f g Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Jeremy Mygland with 1%
- ^ Oversample of 100 likely Republican primary voters
- ^ $2,450,000 of this total was self-funded by Sheehy
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b Daoud (L) with 1%; Barb (G) with 1%
- ^ Daoud (L) with 4%; Barb (G) with 2%
- ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 1%
- ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 4%; Michael Downey with 1%
- ^ a b Sid Daoud (L) with 2%; Michael Downey (G) with 1%
- ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 2%; Michael Downey (G) with 2%
- ^ Sid Daoud (L) with 4%
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Hill.
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by the Napolitan Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
- ^ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA, a conservative group
- ^ Poll commissioned by KULR-TV
- ^ Poll Sponsored by Progressive Policy Institute
- ^ Poll commissioned by Common Sense for America PAC, which supports Republican candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by More Jobs, Less Government, a super PAC "with ties to" U.S. Senator Steve Daines, who is supporting Sheehy.[94]
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
References
[edit]- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (August 2, 2022). "GOP eyes 2024 payback for Manchin's Dems-only deal". Politico. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- ^ Yokley, Eli (April 19, 2023). "Red-State Voters Give Democrats Tester, Manchin Opposite Marks Ahead of 2024". Morning Consult. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
- ^ Coleman, J. Miles (July 11, 2024). "The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 27, 2023..
- ^ Draeger, Jonathan (April 19, 2023). "GOP Poised To Regain Senate Majority, Polls Indicate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ Press, CARLY GRAF Lee Newspapers and Associated (August 23, 2024). "On final day of the DNC, Tester says he won't endorse a candidate for president". Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Retrieved September 28, 2024.
- ^ Kimbel-Sannit, Arren (April 3, 2023). "Senate passes bill creating top-two primary in Tester's 2024 U.S. Senate race".
- ^ "Republicans seek to change Montana primary to thwart Tester". AP News. April 5, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ^ Corasaniti, Nick (April 14, 2023). "Facing Tough Senate Race, Montana G.O.P. Looks to Change the Rules". The New York Times.
- ^ Brown, Matthew (April 19, 2023). "Montana shelves GOP proposal to alter US Senate primary". Associated Press.
- ^ Singer, Jeff. "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/3". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
The end of Montana's legislative session Tuesday night means that the GOP proposal to conduct the 2024 Senate election using top-two rules in order to weaken Democratic incumbent Jon Tester is officially dead...it passed the state Senate last month. A state House committee, though, tabled the measure weeks later, and an attempt to resurrect the top-two also failed a short time later.
- ^ Concepcion, Summer (February 22, 2023). "Sen. Jon Tester to seek re-election in 2024". NBC News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
- ^ a b c "FEDERAL PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". prodcandidatefiling.mt.gov. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (April 7, 2023). "Montana beef: Bad blood intensifies between Tester and Daines". Politico. Retrieved April 8, 2023.
Manchin is backing Tester and has tried to stop senator-vs.-senator campaign appearances, even previously endorsing two moderate Republicans.
- ^ Autry, Lisa (March 26, 2024). "Beshear's PAC issues first wave of endorsements". WKU Public Radio. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
- ^ Browning, Kellen; Irvine, Tailyr (May 17, 2024). "Montana's Senate Race Could Come Down to One Question: Do I Trust You?". The New York Times. Retrieved May 18, 2024.
- ^ Rod, March (March 16, 2023). "AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats". Jewish Insider. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Archived from the original on September 6, 2023. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
- ^ Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
- ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Tester for Reelection". endcitizensunited.org (Press release). March 30, 2023. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
- ^ "JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Meet Our 2024 Candidates". Peace Action. Retrieved July 28, 2023.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Sen. Jon Tester for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Montana". Reproductive Freedom for All. December 13, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
- ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
- ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
- ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2024 Election United States Senate - Montana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Montana Secretary of State". electionresults.mt.gov. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
- ^ Warren, Bradley (June 27, 2023). "Tim Sheehy announces run for U.S. Senate in Montana". KULR-8 Local News. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
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One other Republican has decided not to stay in the race for U.S. Senate. Jeremy Mygland, who owns a construction business...announced last week that he would instead run for the Montana Senate. In his statement, he praised Rosendale and encouraged him to enter the race to challenge Tester.
- ^ Zanona, Melanie (March 8, 2024). "GOP Rep. Matt Rosendale of Montana says he is not running for reelection | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ a b Vakil, Carolin (June 29, 2023). "Montana governor backs Tim Sheehy in Senate race". The Hill.
- ^ a b Warren, Bradley (July 5, 2023). "Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate". Nonstop Local—ABC FOX.
There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.
- ^ Corrin, Noah; Warren, Bradley (July 10, 2023). "Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress". KTMF. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.
- ^ "Trump backs Sheehy in Montana Senate race". www.thehill.com. February 9, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
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- ^ "Tom Cotton Endorses Tim Sheehy in Montana Senate Race". National Review. June 27, 2023.
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- ^ a b "Tim Sheehy receives another major endorsement in Montana Senate bid to unseat Democrat Tester | Fox News". www.foxnews.com. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ^ "Senate Republicans try to stop messy Montana primary". Politico. June 28, 2023.
- ^ "PUNCHBOWL NEWS: Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.) is endorsing Tim Sheehy for Senate in Montana - Tim Sheehy". timformt.com. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
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- ^ Gick, Justin (February 4, 2024). "Gov. Burgum endorses Tim Sheehy for Montana's Senate race". www.kfyrtv.com. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ^ "Popular GOP governor announces endorsement in key battleground Senate race: 'Accomplishes missions'". Fox News. February 9, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "I'm proud to endorse Tim Sheehy for United States Senate!". Twitter. January 22, 2024.
- ^ Gillespie, Brandon. "Former Navy SEAL seeking to oust three-term Democratic senator builds momentum with more big-name support". Fox News.
- ^ "Marjorie Taylor Green Endorses Tim Sheehy for Senate". NonStop Local.
- ^ "Rosendale seeking reelection to Montana House seat after dropping out of Senate race". The Hill.
- ^ "The moral duty leaders owe is to the citizens of this nation, not another one. Public service should be about serving the public, not yourself. Today I'm endorsing @SheehyforMT for U.S. Senate. He's a Navy SEAL, businessman, and patriot who understands what America-First is really about". X. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
- ^ Action, A. F. P. (November 2, 2023). "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tim Sheehy for U.S. Senate". AFP Action. Retrieved November 2, 2023.
- ^ Action, G.O.A. (October 4, 2024). "GOA Grades". GOA Victory Fund. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
- ^ Action, N. R. S. C. (July 28, 2023). "NRSC-backed GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy makes first ad buy in Montana". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 28, 2023.
- ^ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Montana". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ Stacy, Nicole (January 30, 2024). "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Tim Sheehy for U.S. Senate". SBA Pro-Life America. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
- ^ Sivak, David (February 9, 2024). "Rosendale mounts lonely quest for Senate in Montana". Washington Examiner. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ a b Bender, Michael (February 9, 2024). "G.O.P. Primary Fight for Senate Begins in Montana, a Top Battleground". The New York Times. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ a b Tully-McManus, Katherine; Mutnick, Ally (August 17, 2023). "Matt Rosendale nabbed two big Montana statehouse endorsements ahead of a potential Senate run". www.politico.com. Politico.
- ^ "GOA Endorses Matt Rosendale in Montana Senate Race | GOA". Retrieved February 10, 2024.
- ^ Sagnor, Denali (November 14, 2023). "Kalispell Libertarian Sid Daoud Announces Third-Party Senate Run". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
- ^ Lutey, Tom (August 21, 2024). "Green Party candidate files to join U.S. Senate race". Montana Free Press. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
- ^ Lutey, Tom (August 21, 2024). "Green Party candidate files to join U.S. Senate race". Montana Free Press. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
He told Montana Free Press last week that he didn't want to be considered the spoiler in what's expected to be a tight race between Tester and Sheehy.
- ^ Miller, Blair (August 26, 2024). "Montana Democratic Party sues to keep Green Party off U.S. Senate ballot • Daily Montanan".
- ^ "Montana Supreme Court denies Democratic Party's request for control of Green Party case".
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
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- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. May 25, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ Lee, Bobby (June 14, 2024). "Tulsi Gabbard endorses Tim Sheehy". NonStop Local. Retrieved October 7, 2024.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally (October 15, 2024). "John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader". Politico. Retrieved October 17, 2024.
- ^ "Ron DeSantis doubles down on Montana Senate endorsement". September 18, 2024. Retrieved September 18, 2024.
- ^ Messer, Emily (October 2, 2024). "Tim Sheehy and Charlie Kirk rally at UM". Montana Kaimin. Retrieved October 7, 2024.
- ^ "U.S. Senate candidate from Montana Tim Sheehy endorsed by the National Rifle Association". Retrieved August 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Vakil, Caroline (August 6, 2024). "Jon Tester's campaign launches "Republicans for Tester" group". The Hill. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
- ^ "Fight Like Hell PAC". Fight Like Hell PAC. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Tester campaign unveils list of "Republicans for Tester" in Senate race". KTVH. August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
- ^ Kurtz, Josh (July 10, 2024). "Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks". Maryland Matters. Maryland Matters. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
- ^ NCPSSM. "National Seniors' Group Proudly Endorses Tester, Tranel in Montana". NCPSSM. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally (June 26, 2024). "Pro-Sheehy super PAC launches $4M ad buy in Montana Senate race". Politico. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ "Montana U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites