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2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

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2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota's at-large district

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
 
Nominee Julie Fedorchak Trygve Hammer
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote 248,558 108,946
Percentage 69.5% 30.5%

County results
Fedorchak:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hammer:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Julie Fedorchak
Republican

The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota were held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of North Dakota from its at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 11, 2024.

Incumbent Republican representative Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022 against an independent candidate. He is not seeking re-election in 2024, instead choosing to run for governor.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrawn

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Alex Balazs
Rick Becker
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Julie Fedorchak
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 20 state senators[17]
  • 34 state representatives[17]
Organizations

Debates

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WFZG news hosted a primary debate between Balazs, Becker, and Fedorchak on April 12, 2024.[30]

On May 11, BEK TV hosted a debate between all the candidates. However, Fedorchak and Mohr were unable to attend, leaving just Becker, Balazs, and Mund.[31]

On May 24, a third debate was hosted by KFGO news between all candidates except Mohr.[32] Again on June 6, a fourth debate was hosted by WDAY News between all candidates except Mohr.[33]

2024 North Dakota Congressional election Republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Alex Balazs Rick Becker Julie Fedorchak Sharlet Mohr Cara Mund
1 April 12, 2024 WFZG News Scott Hennen & Steve Hallstrom YouTube P P P N N
2 May 11, 2024 BEK TV Dale Wetzel BEK P P A A P
3 May 24, 2024 KFGO News Paul Jurgens, Jim Shaw,
& Amy Dalrymple
Omny P P P A P
4 June 6, 2024 WDAY News Steve Hallstrom, Scott Hennen YouTube P P P A P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Alex
Balazs
Rick
Becker
Julie
Fedorchak
Cara
Mund
Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence[A] May 20–22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 25% 32% 10% 0%[b] 28%
DFM Research (D)[B] May 6–8, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 5% 29% 26% 14% 0%[b] 26%

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Alex Balazs (R) $133,039 $81,625 $51,413
Rick Becker (R) $982,290 $633,916 $348,374
Julie Fedorchak (R) $1,388,553 $1,124,137 $264,415
Cara Mund (R) $18,933 $4,085 $30,386
Source: Federal Election Commission[34]

Results

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Primary results by county
  Fedorchak
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Becker
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Balazs
  •   30–40%
  Tie
  •   30-40%
Republican Primary Results[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Julie Fedorchak 43,424 45.9
Republican Rick Becker 27,965 29.6
Republican Cara Mund 18,460 19.5
Republican Alex Balazs 3,788 4.0
Republican Sharlet Mohr 800 0.8
Write-in 109 0.1
Total votes 94,546 100.0

Democratic-NPL primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Trygve Hammer, teacher[36]

Eliminated in primary

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Endorsements

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Trygve
Hammer
Roland
Riemers
Undecided
DFM Research (D)[B] May 6–8, 2024 104 (LV) ± 9.6% 54% 4% 42%

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Trygve Hammer (D) $560,154 $397,248 $162,905
Source: Federal Election Commission[34]

Results

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Primary results by county
  Hammer
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Riemers
  •   50–60%
Democratic-NPL primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic–NPL Trygve Hammer 14,088 73.4
Democratic–NPL Roland Riemers 5,042 26.3
Write-in 75 0.4
Total votes 19,205 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[40] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[42] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[43] Solid R November 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ[44] Solid R June 1, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Julie
Fedorchak (R)
Trygve
Hammer (D)
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[C] September 28–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 28% 19%
Public Opinion Strategies[D] June 15–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 64% 25% 10%

Results

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2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota[48]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Julie Fedorchak 248,558 69.5%
Democratic–NPL Trygve Hammer 108,946 30.5% N/A
Write-in
Total votes 357,504 100.0%
Republican hold

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ a b Sharlet Mohr with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by the North Dakota News Cooperative
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by North Dakota United, a union for teachers and public sector workers
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

References

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  1. ^ Fulton, Jacob (February 15, 2024). "North Dakota Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak to run for US House". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  2. ^ Achterling, Michael (March 12, 2024). "Cando man enters as 4th GOP candidate for North Dakota House race". North Dakota Monitor. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  3. ^ Jurgens, Paul (January 22, 2024). "Rick Becker announces run for US House of Representatives". KFGO. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  4. ^ a b c Fulton, Jacob (April 8, 2024). "Cara Mund running for US House in Republican primary". Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
  5. ^ McFeely, Mike (December 5, 2023). "McFeely: As Armstrong seeks House again, a strong signal Burgum will run for third term as governor". The Dickinson Press. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  6. ^ "Armstrong announces run for ND Governor". KFYR-TV. January 23, 2024. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
  7. ^ Leier, Joe (March 26, 2024). "Campbell drops out of race for US House of Representatives". KFGO. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  8. ^ a b c Port, Rob (January 22, 2024). "Which North Dakota Republicans are running for governor and U.S. House?". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
  9. ^ a b c d e f Port, Rob (January 28, 2024). "More names emerge for North Dakota's U.S. House race; status of governor's race unchanged". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  10. ^ Port, Rob (February 7, 2024). "Kroshus decides against U.S. House race". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  11. ^ Springer, Patrick (January 22, 2024). "Doug Burgum will not seek 3rd term; Lt. Gov. Miller expresses interest as AG Wrigley declines". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.
  12. ^ a b c d e "Sen. John Hoeven endorses Julie Fedorchak for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". April 3, 2024.
  13. ^ Jurgens, Paul (March 4, 2024). "State district judge decides against US House run". KFGO. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  14. ^ "Alex Balazs awarded ND GOP endorsement for House after Fedorchak withdraws, following pair of failed votes". April 7, 2024.
  15. ^ "Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul endorses Rick Becker for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". Grand Forks Herald. March 25, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h Rod, Marc (May 27, 2024). "North Dakota primary pits a traditional Republican against a rival skeptical of foreign engagement". Jewish Insider. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  17. ^ a b c d Port, Rob (March 13, 2024). "House candidate Julie Fedorchak wins the battle of legislative endorsements". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.
  18. ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 26, 2024). "Battle for North Dakota's sole House seat gets personal with plastic surgeon's attack website". Washington Examiner. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  19. ^ "Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz endorses Rick Becker for North Dakota's House seat". April 18, 2024.
  20. ^ a b c d e Port, Rob (February 7, 2024). "Rick Becker's House campaign is connected to a spider web of political organizations". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  21. ^ Elkind, Elizabeth (April 1, 2024). "Trump-aligned candidate for North Dakota's lone House seat gets boost from Vivek Ramaswamy". Fox News. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
  22. ^ "Big Win and Nine New Endorsements". House Freedom Fund. May 8, 2024. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
  23. ^ "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Rick Becker for Congress". Republicans for National Renewal. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  24. ^ Gick, Justin (May 30, 2024). "Trump endorses Fedorchak for U.S. House". KFYRTV. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
  25. ^ "Fedorchak Kicks-Off U.S. House Campaign During Bismarck Rally". KVRR. February 15, 2024. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  26. ^ Port, Rob (May 14, 2024). "Julie Fedorchak endorsed by House Republican caucus leader Rep. Elise Stefanik". INFORUM.
  27. ^ a b c d e "10 North Dakota elected officials endorse Julie Fedorchak for U.S. House seat". Grand Forks Herald. March 28, 2024.
  28. ^ Johnson, Jim (March 22, 2024). "Burgum endorses Fedorchak for Congress". KNOX-FM. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
  29. ^ a b "RJC Endorses Julie Fedorchak in North Dakota". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  30. ^ "ND U.S. House Republican Primary Debate".
  31. ^ "Second NDGOP House candidate debate features more issues than attacks; Fedorchak absent".
  32. ^ "Full Congressional Republican Primary Debate - News & Views with Joel Heitkamp".
  33. ^ Downs, Michael (June 6, 2024). "North Dakota U.S. House Republican Primary Debate". WDAY News. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  34. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  35. ^ "Official Results 2024 General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. June 11, 2024. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  36. ^ Hjelmstad, Gretchen (January 10, 2024). "Democrat Trygve Hammer announces run for North Dakota U.S. House seat". KVLY-TV. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  37. ^ "Trygve Hammer gets U.S. House endorsement from Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
  38. ^ "Official Results 2024 General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. June 11, 2024. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  39. ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  40. ^ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  41. ^ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
  42. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  43. ^ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  44. ^ "2024 House Forecast". May 28, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  45. ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
  46. ^ "Julie Fedorchak Earns North Dakota Small Business Community Endorsement for Election to Congress". July 30, 2024.
  47. ^ "Julie Fedorchak".
  48. ^ "North Dakota At-Large Congressional District Election Results". November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
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Official campaign websites