2024 United States presidential election in California
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County results
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Elections in California |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.[2]
The most populous state in the union and one of the most Democratic, California is a deeply blue state that voted Democratic in every presidential election starting in 1992. It did so by double digits in each of them excluding 2004, when John Kerry won it by 9.95 points. It was widely expected that California would continue its streak, with Vice President Kamala Harris – a native Californian who served as the state's attorney general from 2011 to 2017 and later represented it in the U.S. Senate from 2017 to 2021 before assuming the vice presidency – being the Democratic nominee for president. Harris was the first Californian to appear on a major party presidential ticket since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
With 95% of the vote in, Harris is winning California by just over 20 points with over 8.9 million votes. Despite it being her home state, her performance is noticeably poorer than Joe Biden's 29 point win in 2020. If it holds, Harris's performance in California will be the worst for a Democratic candidate since 2004.[3]
Trump flipped eight counties that were won by Biden in 2020: Butte, Fresno, Inyo, Merced, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus. Of these eight, all except Butte and Inyo were also won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump’s win in Riverside, San Bernardino, Fresno, San Joaquin, Merced and Stanislaus marked the first time they voted for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The California Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won all 424 pledged delegates with nearly 90% of the vote, the largest share of delegates awarded by any contest in the 2024 primaries.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 3,207,687 | 89.1% | 424 | 424 | |
Marianne Williamson | 146,356 | 4.1% | |||
Dean Phillips | 100,284 | 2.8% | |||
Armando Perez-Serrato | 43,105 | 1.2% | |||
Gabriel Cornejo | 41,390 | 1.2% | |||
"President" R. Boddie | 25,455 | 0.7% | |||
Stephen P. Lyons | 21,062 | 0.6% | |||
Eban Cambridge | 12,758 | 0.3% | |||
Total (including write-ins): | 3,598,126 | 100.00% | 424 | 73 | 497 |
The electors of the Democratic Party are chosen by the candidates who received the most votes in the primary election in their respective congressional district.[6]
Republican primary
[edit]The California Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 60 points and earning all 169 delegates.
The state was the site of the second Republican primary debate, held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library on September 27, 2023.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 1,962,905 | 79.25% | 169 | 0 | 169 |
Nikki Haley | 431,876 | 17.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 35,717 | 1.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 20,210 | 0.82% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 11,113 | 0.45% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rachel Swift | 4,253 | 0.17% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
David Stuckenberg | 3,909 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 3,577 | 0.14% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 3,336 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 2,476,896 | 100.00% | 169 | 0 | 169 |
The electors of the Republican Party are their nominees for the main offices of the State of California and for Senator at the last two elections, as well as their leaders in the state legislature and party committee.[6]
Libertarian primary
[edit]Charles Ballay was the only candidate to qualify for the Libertarian Party primary ballot.[10] Chase Oliver later qualified as a write-in candidate.[11]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
Charles Ballay | 21,906 | 98.6% |
Chase Oliver (write-in) | 313 | 1.4% |
Total: | 22,219 | 100.0% |
Th electors of the Libertarian party were elected by the state party convention.[6]
Green primary
[edit]Jill Stein, the Green Party's nominee for president in 2012 and 2016, was the only candidate on the California primary ballot, although she was followed by three write-in candidates.[10][11] Stein won the primary and earned all 59 of the state's delegates.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Jill Stein | 15,801 | 99.96% | 59 |
Matthew Pruden (write-in) | 3 | 0.02% | |
Jorge Zavala (write-in) | 3 | 0.02% | |
Davi (write-in) | 1 | 0.00% | |
Total: | 15,808 | 100.0% | 59 |
Peace and Freedom primary
[edit]Three candidates successfully achieved ballot access in the Peace and Freedom Party non-binding presidential primary: Claudia de la Cruz, the nominee for the Party for Socialism and Liberation; Cornel West, who is running an independent campaign after withdrawing from the Green nomination; and Jasmine Sherman.[13] The party's presidential nominee will be chosen by the state central committee in August.[14]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
Claudia de la Cruz | 6,430 | 47.0% |
Cornel West | 5,455 | 39.9% |
Jasmine Sherman | 1,795 | 13.1% |
Total: | 13,680 | 100.0% |
American Independent Party
[edit]The sole candidate of the American Independent Party primary was James Bradley, who was simultaneously running for the U.S. Senate as a Republican in the blanket primary held on the same day.[10][15] Andrew George Rummel also qualified as an official write-in candidate.[11]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
James Bradley | 45,565 | 99.96% |
Andrew George Rummel (write-in) | 16 | 0.04% |
Total: | 45,581 | 100.0% |
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]In California, six political parties have qualified for ballot access in the 2024 election. On August 29, 2024, California secretary of state Shirley Weber published the certified list of candidates for the general election:[16]
- Kamala Harris / Tim Walz — Democratic
- Donald Trump / JD Vance — Republican
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. / Nicole Shanahan — American Independent[a]
- Jill Stein / Butch Ware — Green
- Chase Oliver / Mike ter Maat — Libertarian
- Claudia De la Cruz / Karina Garcia — Peace and Freedom[b]
Weber's office published the list of write-in candidates on October 25, in which Peter Sonski was the only certified candidate listed, alongside his running mate Lauren Onak.[17]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[18] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[19] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[21] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[22] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[23] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[24] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
538[25] | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
NBC News[26] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co.[27] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 64% | 32% | 4% |
Competitive Edge Research[28] | October 28–30, 2024 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 38% | 8%[d] |
UC Berkeley IGS[29] | October 22–28, 2024 | 4,341 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
ActiVote[30] | October 7–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Rose Institute/YouGov[31] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 60% | 33% | 7%[e] |
63%[f] | 34% | 3% | ||||
1,139 (LV) | 63% | 34% | 3% | |||
Emerson College[32][A] | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 35% | 6%[g] |
61%[f] | 37% | 2%[g] | ||||
ActiVote[33] | September 22 – October 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63.5% | 36.5% | – |
ActiVote[34] | August 22 – September 21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 64% | 36% | – |
Emerson College[35] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 60% | 36% | 4% |
61%[f] | 38% | 1%[h] | ||||
ActiVote[36] | August 2–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 65% | 35% | – |
UC Berkeley IGS[37] | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 3,765 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 34% | 7% |
Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[39] | October 27–30, 2024 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 31% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 7%[i] |
Public Policy Institute of California[40] | October 7–15, 2024 | 1,137 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 59% | 33% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 4%[j] |
UC Berkeley IGS[41] | September 25 – October 1, 2024 | 3,045 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 57% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
University of Southern California/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona[42] | September 12–25, 2024 | 1,685 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 58% | 36% | 2% | – | 2% | 0% | 2%[k] |
Capitol Weekly[43] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,054 (LV) | – | 59% | 34% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 2%[i] |
Capitol Weekly[44] | August 23–26, 2024 | 3,154 (LV) | – | 58% | 36% | 4% | 0% | 2% | – | – |
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[45] | August 13–15, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | – | 57% | 37% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | – |
Capitol Weekly[46] | July 25–27, 2024 | 1,904 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 2% | – | – |
Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[47] | July 19–22, 2024 | 2,121 (LV) | – | 54% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 4% | – | 2%[i] |
Capitol Weekly[48] | July 12–14, 2024 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 54% | 35% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 2%[i] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
Public Policy Institute of California[49] | June 24 – July 2, 2024 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 30% | 15%[l] |
Public Policy Institute of California[50] | May 23 – June 2, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 31% | 14%[m] |
The Bullfinch Group[51][C] | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 59% | 34% | 7% |
John Zogby Strategies[52][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 740 (LV) | – | 56% | 38% | 6% |
Public Policy Institute of California[53] | March 19–25, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 31% | 14% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[54] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 740 (RV) | – | 54% | 36% | 10%[n] |
692 (LV) | 56% | 37% | 7%[o] | |||
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[55][B] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS[56] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[57][B] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California[58] | February 6–13, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[59][B] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
UC Berkeley IGS[60] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Public Policy Institute of California[61] | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
UC Berkeley IGS[62] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Public Policy Institute of California[63] | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% |
Data Viewpoint[64] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – |
Public Policy Institute of California[65] | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17%[p] |
UC Berkeley IGS[66] | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
Public Policy Institute of California[67] | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[68][B] | June 4–7, 2023 | 1,056 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Public Policy Institute of California[69] | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% |
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[70] | February 14–20, 2023 | 7,512 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 57% | 27% | 16% |
5,149 (LV) | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Weekly[43] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,054 (LV) | – | 51% | 34% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 8%[i] |
Capitol Weekly[44] | August 23–26, 2024 | 3,154 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 5%[i] |
Capitol Weekly[45] | August 13–15, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | – | 51% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5%[j] |
Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||||
Capitol Weekly[47] | July 19–22, 2024 | 2,121 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 3%[q] |
Capitol Weekly[48] | July 12–14, 2024 | 1,044 (LV) | – | 51% | 33% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 5%[r] |
The Bullfinch Group[51][C] | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 48% | 28% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[55][B] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS[56] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[57][B] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona[71] | January 21–29, 2024 | 1,416 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 53% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 9%[s] |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[59][B] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
UC Berkeley IGS[60] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
UC Berkeley IGS[62] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 29% | 9% | 4% | – | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[52][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 740 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[52][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 740 (LV) | – | 47% | 35% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[68][B] | June 4–7, 2023 | 1,056 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 28% | 18% |
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[70] | February 14–20, 2023 | 7,512 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 31% | 15% |
5,149 (LV) | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Viewpoint[64] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 42% | – |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[38][B] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probolsky Research[72] | August 4–9, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 9,077,796 | 58.7% | 4.49% | ||
Republican | 5,899,130 | 38.1% | 3.78% | ||
American Independent |
|
192,392 | 1.2% | 0.86% | |
Green | 163,317 | 1.1% | 0.54% | ||
Peace and Freedom |
|
70,515 | 0.5% | 0.11% | |
Libertarian | 65,296 | 0.4% | 0.67% | ||
Write-In |
|
||||
Total votes | 15,486,446 | 100.0% |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in California
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b Kennedy suspended his campaign on August 23, after the deadline for ballot access had passed, and thus will remain on the ballot.
- ^ a b De la Cruz and Garcia are affiliated with the Party for Socialism and Liberation on a national level.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 7%
- ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 2%
- ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 13%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 3%
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 4%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
References
[edit]- ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ Mathis, Joel; published, The Week US (November 13, 2024). "Where did Democratic voters go?". theweek. Retrieved November 14, 2024.
- ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "California Presidential Primary". Associated Press. March 5, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Electors and the Electoral College" (PDF). California Secretary of State. November 5, 2024.
- ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "California Presidential Primary - Republican". California Secretary of State. March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ "California Presidential Primary". The AP. May 9, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Certified List of Candidates" (PDF). California Secretary of State. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Certified List of Presidential Write-In Candidates" (PDF). Office of the Secretary of State of California. February 23, 2024. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "STATEMENT OF VOTE MARCH 5, 2024, PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY RESULTS" (PDF). California Secretary of State. April 12, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 13, 2024. Retrieved April 12, 2024.
- ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Winger, Richard (December 3, 2023). "Peace & Freedom Presidential Primary Ballot Will Contain Three Names". Retrieved December 3, 2023.
- ^ Frisk, Garrett (September 22, 2023). "California Senate Candidate Roundup: September 22, 2023". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
- ^ "Certified List of Candidates for the November 5, 2024, General Election" (PDF). Sacramento: Secretary of State of California. August 29, 2024. Retrieved September 8, 2024.
- ^ "Certified List of Presidential Write-In Candidates for the November 5, 2024, General Election" (PDF). Sacramento: Secretary of State of California. October 25, 2024. Retrieved October 25, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
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- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
- ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
- ^ "California Statewide Election Poll 2024". Competitive Edge Research. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
- ^ DiCamillo, Mark (November 1, 2024). "Harris holds comfortable lead in her home state". eScholarship. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Harris Stays Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
- ^ Sinclair, J. Andrew; Miller, Kenneth P. (October 30, 2024). "Harris and Schiff Cruising to Victory in Deep Blue California" (PDF). Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
- ^ "October 2024 California Poll: Harris 59%, Trump 35%". Emerson College. October 16, 2024. Retrieved October 16, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (October 12, 2024). "Harris Stays Far Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (September 21, 2024). "Harris Again Far Ahead in Her Home State". ActiVote. Retrieved September 21, 2024.
- ^ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
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