2024 California Republican presidential primary
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The 2024 California Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 169 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis.[3] The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
Background
[edit]Procedure
[edit]If a candidate gets over 50% of the total statewide vote, they are awarded all of the state's delegates. Otherwise, the delegates are allocated proportionally.
Candidates
[edit]The following candidates were certified:[4]
- Nikki Haley
- David Stuckenberg
- Rachel Swift
- Donald Trump
- Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
- Chris Christie (withdrawn)[5]
- Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
- Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Campaign
[edit]Events
[edit]On June 19, 2023, Ron DeSantis held a private breakfast event at the Del Paso Country Club in Sacramento, California, hosting business leaders in the region to raise funds for his campaign. It was his first campaign stop in California since his administration in Florida transported migrants from the border with Mexico to Sacramento. The event was attended by state legislators Joe Patterson and Tom Lackey, who endorsed DeSantis after the event.[6]
The California Republican Party held its annual fall convention from September 29 to October 1, 2023, in Anaheim. Featured speakers included DeSantis, Donald Trump, Tim Scott, and Vivek Ramaswamy.[7] Trump's speech included calling on police to enact violent retribution on criminals, stating he will "immediately stop all of the pillaging and theft."[8]
Debate
[edit]The second Republican primary debate was held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, on September 27, 2023. It was hosted by Fox Business, Rumble, and Univision, and moderated by Stuart Varney, Dana Perino, and Ilia Calderón. Seven of the eight candidates who attended the first debate were present: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.[9]
Endorsements
[edit]Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
- Frank Riggs, CA-01 (1991–1993, 1995–1999)[10]
- Tom McClintock, CA-04 (2009–2023), CA-05 (2023–present)[11][12]
State assemblymen
- Joe Patterson, District 5 (2022–present)[6]
- Tom Lackey, District 34 (2014–present)[13]
Donald Trump
U.S. Representatives
- Connie Conway, CA-22 (2022–2023)[14][15]
- Darrell Issa, CA-48 (2023–present, 2001–2003), CA-50 (2021–2023) and CA-49 (2003–2019)[16]
- Doug LaMalfa, CA-01 (2013–present)[16]
- Kevin McCarthy, CA-22 (2007–2013), CA-23 (2013–2023), CA-20 (2023), and Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2023)[17]
- Jay Obernolte, CA-23 (2023–present) and CA-8 (2021–2023)[16]
- Michelle Steel, CA-45 (2023–present) and CA-48 (2021–2023)[16]
Notable individuals
- Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert[18]
- Robert Davi, actor[19]
- John Dolmayan, System of a Down drummer[20]
- Dinesh D'Souza, author and filmmaker[21]
- Larry Elder, political commentator, candidate for governor in 2021 and withdrawn candidate for president in 2024[22]
- Caitlyn Jenner, transgender Olympic gold medalist in the decathlon[23]
- Antonio Sabàto Jr., actor[19]
- Jon Voight, actor[19]
Nikki Haley
- John H. Cox, Businessman, candidate for governor in 2018[24]
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[25] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 19.0% | 73.1% | 7.9% | Trump +54.1 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Larry Elder |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[26] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 2,347 (LV) | – | 2% | 10% | – | 8% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 71% | 1%[c] | – |
| Public Policy Institute of California[27] | Nov 9–16, 2023 | 276 (LV) | – | 5% | 12% | – | 13% | 0% | – | 2% | 2% | 56% | 1%[d] | 9% |
| Emerson College[28] | Nov 11–14, 2023 | 331 (LV) | – | 4% | 11% | - | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | - | 63% | 1%[e] | 11% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[29] | Oct 24–30, 2023 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 9% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 57% | 5% | 11% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[30] | Oct 3–19, 2023 | 316 (LV) | – | 4% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 53% | 5%[f] | 1% |
| Data Viewpoint[31] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 5.5% | 17.5% | – | 15.2% | <1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 49.8% | 1.7%[g] | – |
| California's Choice[32] | Aug 27–29, 2023 | 750 (LV) | – | 4.8% | 21.6% | – | 15.6% | 0.5% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 43.4% | 2.6% | – |
| UC Berkeley IGS[33] | Aug 24–29, 2023 | 1,175 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 16% | 1% | 7% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 55% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[34] | Jun 7–29, 2023 | 267 (LV) | – | 3% | 24% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 1% | 5% | 50% | 7%[h] | 1% |
| Emerson College[35] | Jun 4–7, 2023 | 329 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 2% | 19% | – | 6% | – | 10% | 2% | 4% | 53% | 7%[i] | – |
| Public Policy Institute of California[36] | May 17–24, 2023 | 295 (LV) | ± 7% | 1% | 21% | – | 3% | – | 10% | 1% | 2% | 50% | 11%[j] | 2% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[37] | May 17–22, 2023 | 1,835 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 1% | 26% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 44% | 6%[k] | 13% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[38] | Feb 14–20, 2023 | 1,755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 37% | – | 7% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 29% | 8%[l] | 10% |
| – | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 6%[m] | 11% | ||||
| UC Berkeley IGS[39] | Aug 9–15, 2022 | 9,254 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 0% | 27% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 38% | 10%[n] | 14% |
| 0% | 53% | – | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | – | 15%[o] | 17% |
Results
[edit]| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 1,962,905 | 79.25% | 169 | 0 | 169 |
| Nikki Haley | 431,876 | 17.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 35,717 | 1.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 20,210 | 0.82% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 11,113 | 0.45% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachel Swift | 4,253 | 0.17% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 3,909 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 3,577 | 0.14% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 3,336 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 2,476,896 | 100.00% | 169 | 0 | 169 |
See also
[edit]- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 California Democratic presidential primary
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in California
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Burgum at 1%
- ^ Kristi Noem at 1%; Perry Johnson at 0% and Glenn Youngkin at 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Kristi Noem & "Would not vote" with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1.7%; Glenn Youngkin with <1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Chris Sununu with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 7%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Chris Sununu with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem, Chris Sununu with 1%; Perry Johnson and John Bolton with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Chris Sununu and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Neither with 6%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio and Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
References
[edit]- ^ "California Republican Presidential Nominating Process" (PDF). sos.ca.gov. March 5, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 13, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
- ^ "California Republican Presidential Nominating Process" (PDF). sos.ca.gov. March 5, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 13, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
- ^ "California Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Krieg, Gregory (January 10, 2024). "Chris Christie ends 2024 presidential campaign". CNN. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
- ^ a b Zavala, Ashley (June 20, 2023). "Here's What We Know About GOP Presidential Candidate Ron DeSantis' Sacramento Fundraiser". KCRA-TV. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
- ^ "Fall 2023 Convention Schedule". California Republican Party. August 22, 2023.
- ^ Blood, Michael R.; Cooper, Jonathan J. (September 29, 2023). "Trump animates California Republicans with calls to shoot people who rob stores". Associated Press.
- ^ "Scott finally showed a pulse. Ramaswamy did a 180. Here's who won and lost the second GOP debate". Politico. September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
- ^ Stone, Kevin (May 12, 2023). "Prominent Arizona Republicans Urge DeSantis to Run for President". KTAR News. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
- ^ Gligich, Daniel (March 13, 2023). "McClintock looks for a drama-free break from Trump in 2024". The San Joaquin Valley Sun. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ McCarthy, Guy (November 28, 2022). "Mother Lode congressman prefers DeSantis for GOP presidential nominee in 2024". The Union Democrat. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ Haubner, Andrew (June 19, 2023). "Florida Governor Holds Sacramento Fundraiser for 2024 Presidential Run". CBS News. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
- ^ Montvalo, Melissa (February 10, 2022). "Replacing Devin Nunes? Republican candidates take stands on Trump, schools, abortion". Cal Matters. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ Blood, Michael R. (April 6, 2022). "Stark contrast emerges in fight for California US House seat". San Diego Tribune. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Bycoffe, Aaron; Mejía, Elena; Radcliffe, Mary; Burton, Cooper; Groskopf, Christopher; Newman, Alex; Mangan, Andrew; Sweedler, Maya (April 24, 2023). "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- ^ Gans, Jared (December 8, 2023). "McCarthy declares support for Trump in 2024". The Hill.
- ^ DePaolo, Joe (January 23, 2023). "Trump Goes On 1 AM Truth Social Spree Trashing Joe and Mika and Accepting a 2024 Endorsement from Dilbert Guy". Mediaite. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ a b c Ballasy, Nicholas (December 1, 2022). "Trump picks up early 2024 endorsements from GOP lawmakers, other political figures". Just The News. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ Rhombus, Emperor (July 2022). "System of a Down's John Dolmayan Wants Trump Back In Office: "I Will Vote for Him Again If He Runs"". Metal Sucks. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ Mordowanec, Nick (February 21, 2023). "Trump Ally Admits His Attacks on DeSantis Are Backfiring". Newsweek. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ Frankel, Jillian (October 26, 2023). "Larry Elder drops out of 2024 presidential race and endorses Trump". NBC News. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Stone, Alexandra (April 28, 2023). "Caitlyn Jenner Insists the United States Needs an 'Alpha Male' Like Donald Trump After Alleged Biden Administration Failures: 'We Have Become a Joke'". OK! News. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/haley-campaign-press-release-nikki-haley-announces-california-state-leadership-team
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Data Viewpoint
- ^ California's Choice
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ "Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "California Presidential Primary - Republican". California Secretary of State. March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ "California Presidential Primary". The AP. May 9, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.