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2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election

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2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election
← 2017 27 November 2024 (2024-11-27)[1]
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Ridwan Kamil Dharma Pongrekun Pramono Anung
Party Golkar Independent PDI-P
Running mate Suswono Kun Wardana Abyoto [id] Rano Karno
Incumbent Governor

Teguh Setyabudi (Acting)
Independent



The 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election will be held on 27 November 2024 to elect both the governor and vice-governor of Jakarta for a five-year term. The election will be held as part of local elections for governors, regents, and mayors across Indonesia.[2]

Electoral system

[edit]

In prior elections, the gubernatorial election for Jakarta, uniquely for Indonesia's local elections, required a runoff should no candidates achieve a simple majority, but this runoff requirement has been removed for the 2024 election. Instead, the election will be run on a first-past-the-post system, where a candidate with the most votes wins the election even if they fail to obtain a majority.[3] It is possible for a candidate to run uncontested, in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "empty box" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.[4]

Candidates

[edit]

Under regulations, only political parties having 22 seats or more in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives (DPRD) can put forward a candidate. Following the 2024 general election, no parties won 22 or more seats in the DPRD, and so coalitions will be required to nominate a candidate.[5] Candidates may alternatively run if they have gathered at least 618,968 copies of identity cards from local residents, which will be verified by the General Elections Commission (KPU).[6]

On 25 June 2024, the Prosperous Justice Party, the largest party in the DPRD following the 2024 election, announced that the party will be endorsing Anies Baswedan (former governor of Jakarta in 2017–2022 and 2024 presidential candidate) with PKS executive and former leader Sohibul Iman as running mate.[7] The issue of Anies candidacy reportedly showed that PKS is open to be partnered with any political parties.[8] On 22 July 2024, the National Democrat Party declared its endorsement for Anies Baswedan for the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election.[9]

In August, however, both Nasdem and PKS withdrew their endorsements of Anies.[10]

On 21 August 2024, the Labour Party officially declared its stance of nominating Anies Baswedan as a prospective gubernatorial candidate in the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election. The Labor Party supports Anies pairing up with Basuki Tjahaja Purnama or more commonly known as Ahok, Rano Karno, or Hendrar Prihadi.[11]

Declared

[edit]

These are candidates who have been allegedly delegated by political parties endorsing for gubernatorial election:

1
Candidate from Golkar and PKS
Ridwan Kamil Suswono
for Governor for Vice Governor
Governor of West Java (2018–2023) Minister of Agriculture of Indonesia (2009–2014)
Parties
91 / 106 (86%)
PKS (18 seats)
Gerindra (14 seats)
NasDem (11 seats)
Golkar (10 seats)
PKB (10 seats)
PAN (10 seats)
Demokrat (8 seats)
PSI (8 seats)
PPP (1 seat)
Perindo (1 seat)

After media speculations foreshadowing his candidacy,[12] Ridwan Kamil, known popularly as Kang Emil, declared his candidacy to run for Governor of Jakarta. His candidacy was supported by the Advanced Indonesia Coalition along with other parties such as PKS, PKB, PPP, and NasDem which was dubbed as KIM plus. He will be officially announced as a gubernatorial candidate in the near future along with the deputy gubernatorial candidate who is still in the process of being selected by the coalition.[13]

Emil's candidacy is viewed as a strategic move due to his high popularity in Bandung as mayor and in West Java as governor. He had successfully ruled as mayor for 2 terms and governor for one term. In his campaign, he stressed the need for a healthy competition in a democracy, as he criticize the prospect of an election where only one candidate stands or having to face an empty ballot box.[14]

Emil was recommended by Golkar, the party he has become a member since 2021, to run for Governor. He gained a wide support within the Advanced Indonesia Coalition and outside of the coalition. However, he is still waiting for the official announcement regarding who will be his running mate as vice governor candidate.[15] When asked about his running mate, Emil told the media that his running mate will came from Advanced Indonesia Coalition plus members with the initial of 'S'.[16] It was later revealed that Ridwan Kamil had chosen former Minister of Agriculture Suswono as his running mate[17] and the pair will be declared on 19 August 2024.[18]

2
Candidate from Independent
Dharma Pongrekun Kun Wardana Abyoto
for Governor for Vice Governor
Vice Head of the National Cyber and Crypto Agency (2019–2021) Lecturer at the National Institute of Science and Technology

Five independent candidates expressed interest in registering. Only one of the five, former three-star police (comissary) general Dharma Pongrekun, who retired in 2024, submitted the required documents. According to KPU, Pongrekun submitted over 840 thousand proofs of support by the provided deadline.[19][20] Pongrekun is running with Kun Wardana Abyoto [id], an academic.[21] Their candidacy is pending their submitted documents being verified until 29 May 2024.[22] In June 2024, KPU announced the discovery of issues within Pongrekun's supporting documents, and suspended his candidacy pending fixes.[23] His candidacy was confirmed by KPU on 15 August 2024.[24]

After KPU's announcement of Pongrekun's candidacy, claims emerged on social media that identity card numbers registered as Pongrekun's supporters had been obtained without consent.[25][26]

3
Candidate from PDI-P
Pramono Anung Rano Karno
for Governor for Vice Governor
Cabinet Secretary of Indonesia (2015–2024) Governor of Banten (2015–2017)
Parties
15 / 106 (14%)
PDI-P (15 seats)

On 28 August, Pramono Anung and Rano Karno officially registered to run for governor and vice governor. Before PDI-P announced them as running governor and vice governor, they had several candidates to smoothly run against Kotak Kosong or empty ballot, such like Anies Baswedan and Basuki Tjahaja Purnama.[27]

Initially, Anies Baswedan became PDI-P's presumptive nominee as both Anies and PDI-P traded praises and interests.[28] His candidacy was further strengthened after the Constitutional Court's ruling nullifies the need of a 20% parliament threshold.[29] Rumours of his nomination became stronger as Anies visited the party headquarters and met Rano Karno on August 26, 2024.[30] The meeting then sparked a rumor that both Anies-Rano will be nominated as PDI-P's candidate.[31] Responding to such rumours, 2024 presidential candidate Ganjar Pranowo states that the party is still weighing their options but states his preference in favor of their own party cadres instead while Djarot Saiful Hidayat said that Anies was one of the considered candidates that includes Basuki Tjahaja Purnama, Pramono Anung, and Rano Karno.[32]

However, PDI-P eventually did not nominate Anies as their candidate as PDI-P nominated Cabinet Secretary Pramono Anung with Rano Karno acted as vice governor candidate.[33] This decision was officially announced by party treasurer and former Governor of North Sulawesi Olly Dondokambey, states that Pramono-Rano will be nominated as PDI-P's candidate.[34] Despite wearing red clothes that associated with the party and went to visit the party headquarters, Anies Baswedan was not present during the announcement, sparking speculations that PDI-P and Anies had parted ways.[35] Pramono-Rano then registered themselves as candidates for the election on August 28, 2024.[36]

Potential

[edit]

The following are notable individuals who have been mentioned as a potential candidate or expressed interest to run in the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election, prior to the opening of registration for the pairs of candidates for Governor and Vice Governor.

Canceled

[edit]

The following are notable individuals who had declared their candidacy in the election, but canceled their bid: 

Declined

[edit]

The following are the individuals who have been named as a potential candidate, but publicly declined to run or ran for another elected office:

Campaign

[edit]

Ridwan Kamil (RK) campaigned on a direct cash disbursement program to individual communities (Rukun Warga) in Jakarta, the expansion of community and cultural events such as festivals and car free days, programs to support senior citizens, and provision of mobile psychological counsellors.[61]

Pramono Anung promised to revitalize the city's community halls to be leasable by local residents for public activities, alongside expansion of the city's public transportation, biking, and CCTV infrastructures.[61]

Three rounds of candidate debates were scheduled by KPU, held on 6 and 27 October, and the final debate on 17 November.[62]

Political map

[edit]

Parliamentary seats

[edit]

Following the 2024 Indonesian general election, 11 political parties are represented in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives:[63]

Political parties Amount
Seat(s) % Increase Decrease (2019)
Prosperous Justice Party (PKS)
18 / 106
17.0%
 Increase 2
Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P)
15 / 106
14.2%
 Decrease 10
Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra)
14 / 106
13.2%
 Decrease 5
NasDem Party (NasDem)
11 / 106
10.4%
 Increase 4
Party of Functional Groups (Golkar)
10 / 106
9.4%
 Increase 4
National Awakening Party (PKB)
10 / 106
9.4%
 Increase 5
National Mandate Party (PAN)
10 / 106
9.4%
 Increase 1
Democratic Party (Demokrat)
8 / 106
7.5%
 Decrease 2
Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI)
8 / 106
7.5%
 Steady 0
United Development Party (PPP)
1 / 106
0.9%
 Steady 0
Perindo Party (Perindo)
1 / 106
0.9%
 New

Opinion polls

[edit]

Election polls

[edit]
Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error
Ridwan
Golkar 		Dharma
Independent 		Pramono
PDI-P
Lembaga Survei Indonesia[64] 10–17 October 2024 1,200 ± 2.9% 37.4% 6.6% 41.6%
Poltracking Indonesia[65] 10–16 October 2024 2,000 ± 2.2% 51.6% 3.9% 36.4%
Indonesia Development Monitoring[66] 7–14 October 2024 1,700 ± 2.38% 34.4% 6.4% 40.9%
Ethical Politics[67] 1–10 October 2024 1,240 ± 2.8% 30.0% 8.5% 45.6%
6 October 2024 First gubernatorial debate
Panel Survei Indonesia[68] 29 September–7 October 2024 1,800 ± 2.31% 30.4% 4.6% 37.1%
Charta Politika[69] 19–24 September 2024 1,200 ± 2.83% 48.3% 5.6% 36.5%
Poltracking Indonesia[70] 9–15 September 2024 1,200 ± 2.9% 47.5% 5.1% 31.5%
Lembaga Survei Indonesia[71] 6–12 September 2024 1,200 ± 2.9% 51.8% 3.9% 28.4%

Pre-election polls

[edit]
Poll source Date Sample size Others Lead Error margin
Anies Risma AHY RK Ahok
Litbang Kompas[72] 15–20 June 2024 400 29.8% 1.0% - 8.5% 20.0% 40.7% 9.8% ± 4.9%
Arus Survei Indonesia[73] 23–29 April 2024 400 29% 4% - 30.5% - 13.8% 0.2% N/A
Survei Proximity Indonesia[73] 16–25 May 2024 800 18.5% - - 12.5% 14% 55% 4.5% N/A
Lembaga Survei Jakarta[73] 8–15 January 2024 TBA 18.4% 19.2% - 23.4% 8.7% 30.3% 4.2% N/A
Populi Center[74] 26 January–1 February 2022 600 47.5% 3.5% 1.7% - 8.5% 38.8% 0.2% ± 4%
Jakarta Research
Center[75] 		7–14 September 2021 800 28.0% 35.5% 5.6% - - 22.2% 7.5% ± 3.4%
Jakarta Research
Center[76] 		1–10 April 2021 800 32.4% 37.1% 7.8% - - 13.6% 4.7% ± 3.4%
Nusantara Strategic
Network[77] 		20–27 February 2021 400 31.8% 34.0% 3.3% - - 20.3% 2.2% ± 4.9%
Median[78] 31 January–3 February 2021 400 40.5% 16.5% - - 8.5% 12.0% 24.0% ± 4.9%
Median[79] 31 January–3 February 2021 400 45.0% 36.0% - - - 19.0% 9.0% ± 4.9%

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[edit]
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