Opinion polling for the next Estonian parliamentary election

In the run-up to the next Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this Wikipedia page.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election held on 5 March. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Poll trackers

Trackers of voting intentions and other election-related polling:

• Europe Elects
• Politico
• Politpro
• ERR (in Estonian)
• Reitingud (in Estonian)

Graphical summary

Local regression chart of poll results

Polling results

There are 101 seats in the Riigikogu in total. Parties are denoted with an em dash if no indication is given of their level in polls.

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Ref	EKRE	Kesk	E200	SDE	Isamaa	EÜVP	Koos	Parem	EER	ERK	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
28 Oct–3 Nov	Norstat	1,000	17.1	12.6	11.7	3.6	12.8	32.7	—	1.0	5.5	1.6	1.0	0.5	15.6	33.5	66.5
24–30 Oct	Turu-uuringute AS	894	18	10	14	6	16	25	0	2	6	1	1	1	7	40	60
21–28 Oct	Norstat	1,000	16.4	12.3	14.3	3.7	12.8	30.9	—	1.1	5.1	1.2	1.3	0.9	14.5	32.9	67.1
14–21 Oct	Norstat	1,000	20.1	12.0	13.0	3.8	15.7	27.5	—	0.9	4.3	1.7	0.9	0.1	7.4	39.6	60.4
10–16 Oct	Kantar Emor	1,505	17.0	13.3	14.4	2.8	14.9	24.4	—	1.9	6.4	1.9	2.3	—	7.4	34.7	64.6
7–14 Oct	Norstat	1,000	18.2	12.4	11.1	4.7	13.7	31.4	—	0.5	4.6	1.6	1.2	0.6	13.2	36.6	63.4
1–10 Oct	Turu-uuringute AS	886	18	11	9	4	16	27	0	3	6	1	2	3	9	38	62
30 Sep–6 Oct	Norstat	1,000	18.1	13.2	14.9	4.0	13.5	27.2	—	0.7	6.0	1.3	0.8	0.3	9.1	35.6	64.4
23–29 Sep	Norstat	1,000	21.6	13.6	12.4	3.8	13.3	27.4	—	0.8	4.0	1.1	1.8	0.2	5.8	38.7	61.3
16–23 Sep	Norstat	1,000	16.7	11.7	13.9	4.2	14.3	30.3	—	1.1	4.2	1.1	2.0	0.5	13.6	35.2	64.8
12–18 Sep	Kantar Emor	1,553	18.1	9.5	13.9	3.9	16.0	24.5	—	3.2	5.3	1.3	3.6	—	6.4	38.0	61.3
9–14 Sep	Norstat	1,000	18.1	12.1	13.8	5.0	12.5	28.3	—	1.9	3.9	1.8	1.9	0.7	10.2	35.6	64.4
29 Aug–12 Sep	Turu-uuringute AS	885	18	12	13	6	16	23	0	1	6	1	3	2	5	40	60
2–8 Sep	Norstat	1,000	20.2	14.6	12.7	4.1	11.1	29.0	—	0.7	5.1	0.8	1.7	0.1	8.8	35.4	64.6
26 Aug–1 Sep	Norstat	1,000	19.9	11.0	11.0	4.3	16.4	28.3	—	1.3	3.9	1.3	2.2	0.1	8.4	40.6	59.4
19–25 Aug	Norstat	1,000	19.9	11.5	11.4	2.9	18.3	27.3	—	1.1	4.5	0.8	1.9	0.1	7.4	41.1	58.9
15–21 Aug	Kantar Emor	1,528	17.5	9.9	13.6	3.8	18.0	23.0	—	1.9	7.1	1.5	3.6	0.0	5.5	39.3	60.7
12–19 Aug	Norstat	1,000	17.4	16.0	12.7	2.9	16.2	27.4	—	0.8	2.7	1.2	2.7	3.5	10.0	36.5	63.5
5–11 Aug	Norstat	1,000	20.1	11.6	12.1	3.3	17.9	27.1	—	—	6.2	0.6	—	1.1	7.0	41.3	58.7
1–9 Aug	Turu-uuringute AS	893	16	11	12	3	17	25	0	3	6	2	3	3	8	36	64
23 Jul–4 Aug	Norstat	1,000	16.6	13.0	11.3	3.2	18.2	29.7	—	—	5.3	0.9	—	1.8	11.5	38	62
22–29 Jul	Norstat	1,000	15.2	15.0	13.0	2.7	17.8	29.4	—	—	4.5	0.9	—	1.5	11.6	35.7	64.3
15–22 Jul	Norstat	1,000	15.6	12.6	13.6	2.6	17.0	30.2	—	—	4.5	1.6	—	2.3	13.2	35.2	64.8
11–17 Jul	Kantar Emor	1,512	16.0	12.6	13.8	2.6	17.1	27.5	0.4	2.9	5.4	0.6	—	0.0	10.4	35.7	64.3
8–12 Jul	Norstat	1,000	19.4	11.2	12.5	3.8	16.4	30.3	—	—	3.8	0.5	—	2.3	10.9	39.6	60.4
1–5 Jul	Norstat	1,000	15.2	11.0	12.2	3.3	15.4	33.7	—	—	5.8	1.9	—	1.5	18.3	33.9	66.1
17–24 Jun	Norstat	1,000	16.4	13.0	13.6	3.7	16.1	30.0	—	—	4.7	1.2	—	1.3	13.6	36.2	63.8
10–17 Jun	Kantar Emor	1,557	16.0	12.8	14.1	2.6	17.5	27.1	0.4	—	8.4	1.2	—	—	9.6	36.1	64.0
10–17 Jun	Norstat	1,000	15.6	11.8	12.5	2.4	17.8	30.5	—	—	6.1	1.3	—	2.0	12.7	35.8	64.2
1–11 Jun	Turu-uuringute AS	889	20	15	11	4	17	23	0	2	5	1	—	2	3	41	59
3–10 Jun	Norstat	1,000	17.8	16.3	10.0	2.9	14.1	29.6	—	—	6.9	0.8	—	1.6	11.8	34.8	65.2
9 Jun	EP election	—	17.9	14.9	12.4	2.6	19.3	21.5	—	3.1	6.8	0.6	—	0.8	2.2	39.8	60.1
27 May–1 Jun	Norstat	1,000	19.3	13.6	10.0	5.6	14.2	29.0	—	—	5.9	0.7	—	1.7	9.7	39.1	60.9
20–27 May	Norstat	1,000	19.4	17.6	13.3	5.3	16.2	23.5	—	—	2.8	0.6	—	1.3	4.1	40.9	59.1
9–21 May	Turu-uuringute AS	897	17	16	8	6	19	22	0	2	5	2	—	3	3	42	58
13–20 May	Norstat	1,000	19.4	12.7	12.3	7.5	12.1	27.7	—	—	4.9	2.1	—	1.3	8.3	39.0	61.0
6–15 May	Kantar Emor	1,471	17.5	17.0	12.7	4.9	18.0	21.5	1.0	—	5.4	2.0	—	—	3.5	40.4	59.6
6–13 May	Norstat	1,000	18.0	15.7	12.3	6.1	14.1	29.1	—	—	2.3	1.7	—	0.7	11.1	38.2	61.8
29 Apr–6 May	Norstat	1,000	17.8	17.5	11.9	4.2	15.9	27.6	—	—	2.8	1.8	—	0.4	9.8	37.9	62.0
22–29 Apr	Norstat	1,000	19.7	19.8	8.3	4.6	14.4	26.5	—	—	3.9	2.2	—	0.6	6.7	38.7	61.3
15–22 Apr	Norstat	1,000	20.5	17.9	10.7	4.2	12.6	27.1	—	—	4.2	2.2	—	0.6	6.6	37.3	62.7
9–17 Apr	Kantar Emor	N/A	18.8	18.3	13.8	4.8	14.2	22.1	1.2	—	4.6	2.2	—	—	3.3	37.8	62.2
8–15 Apr	Norstat	1,000	15.2	16.7	10.8	7.8	16.4	28.7	—	—	2.3	1.1	—	1.0	12.0	39.4	60.6
4–11 Apr	Turu-uuringute AS	871	19	15	10	5	13	27	0	1	4	2	—	3	8	37	62
1–8 Apr	Norstat	1,000	18.6	20.2	8.9	4.9	14.3	26.9	—	—	3.8	1.3	—	1.1	6.7	37.8	62.2
25–29 Mar	Norstat	1,000	17.3	17.4	12.8	4.5	14.3	27.9	—	—	3.5	1.0	—	1.3	10.5	36.1	63.9
18–25 Mar	Norstat	1,000	18.0	19.2	11.2	4.5	15.2	28.5	—	—	1.8	1.0	—	0.6	9.3	37.7	62.3
14–20 Mar	Kantar Emor	1,567	15.0	16.1	13.9	3.6	17.6	26.7	0.6	—	4.5	1.9	—	—	9.1	36.2	63.7
11–18 Mar	Norstat	1,000	17.8	19.7	10.0	6.7	13.7	26.8	—	—	2.0	2.1	—	1.2	7.1	38.1	61.9
7–18 Mar	Turu-uuringute AS	909	17	19	10	6	15	25	0	1	3	1	—	1	6	38	60
4–8 Mar	Norstat	1,000	16.2	16.3	10.5	6.6	15.2	30.9	—	—	2.1	2.1	—	0.1	14.6	38.0	62.0
26 Feb–4 Mar	Norstat	1,000	14.9	19.8	12.8	5.8	13.0	29.3	—	—	2.0	1.4	—	1.0	9.5	33.7	66.3
19–23 Feb	Norstat	1,000	19.7	20.1	10.2	5.1	11.6	29.2	—	—	2.1	1.6	—	0.4	9.1	36.4	63.6
12–19 Feb	Norstat	1,000	16.2	18.0	13.7	5.8	13.3	28.7	—	—	2.5	1.3	—	0.5	10.7	35.3	64.7
8–19 Feb	Turu-uuringute AS	889	18	17	8	7	16	24	0	2	3	2	—	2	6	41	60
7–14 Feb	Kantar Emor	1,579	16.7	15.2	11.8	5.3	17.2	27.0	0.7	—	3.2	2.9	—	—	9.8	39.2	60.8
5–9 Feb	Norstat	1,000	20.0	16.4	8.1	3.0	17.1	31.3	—	—	2.8	0.8	—	0.5	11.3	40.1	59.9
28 Jan–2 Feb	Norstat	1,000	17.2	18.9	9.7	4.5	16.1	29.1	—	—	1.7	1.7	—	1.1	10.2	37.8	62.2
22–26 Jan	Norstat	1,000	13.5	21.5	12.5	6.5	17.1	25.3	—	—	1.5	1.1	—	1.0	3.8	37.1	62.9
18–25 Jan	Turu-uuringute AS	872	16	16	12	5	18	25	0	2	3	1	—	2	7	39	61
17–24 Jan	Kantar Emor	1,498	18.7	17.4	14.0	3.9	17.2	22.1	0.6	—	3.7	2.4	—	—	3.4	39.8	60.2
15–22 Jan	Norstat	1,000	18.8	17.9	11.0	6.8	17.5	23.5	—	—	2.3	1.5	—	0.7	4.7	43.1	56.9
8–12 Jan	Norstat	1,000	17.5	15.3	12.3	5.3	16.1	27.3	—	—	2.8	2.8	—	0.6	9.8	38.9	61.1
2-8 Jan	Norstat	1,000	19.5	17.6	15.1	5.7	11.7	26.2	—	—	2.2	1.6	—	0.4	6.7	36.9	63.1
5 March	2023 election	N/A	31.2	16.1	15.3	13.3	9.3	8.2	2.4		2.3	1.0	—	3.3	15.1	53.8	46.2
			37	17	16	14	9	8	0		0	0	—	0	19	60	41

2023

There are 101 seats in the Riigikogu in total. Parties are denoted with an em dash if no indication is given of their level in polls.

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Ref	EKRE	Kesk	E200	SDE	Isamaa	EÜVP	Koos	Parem	EER	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
18–22 Dec	Norstat	1,000	16.3	19.6	14.9	6.6	10.5	27.1	—	—	2.8	1.4	0.8	7.5	33.4	66.6
11–18 Dec	Norstat	1,000	16.4	20.4	14.2	5.8	10.7	26.7	—	—	2.8	1.6	1.4	6.3	32.9	67.1
6–13 Dec	Kantar Emor	1,497	15.2	19.8	15.2	6.1	11.8	24.9	0.4	—	4.1	2.7	—	5.1	33.1	67.1
4–8 Dec	Norstat	1,000	16.8	22.5	16.2	5.5	10.4	25.4	—	—	1.6	0.9	0.7	2.9	32.7	67.3
30 Nov–6 Dec	Turu-uuringute AS	871	18	16	12	6	13	26	0	2	4	1	3	8	37	62
27 Nov–1 Dec	Norstat	1,000	17.0	19.9	15.7	6.5	10.9	26.5	—	—	1.5	1.4	0.6	6.6	34.4	65.6
20–24 Nov	Norstat	1,000	18.2	20.8	14.0	6.9	10.6	25.8	—	—	1.5	1.7	0.5	5.0	35.7	64.3
16–22 Nov	Kantar Emor	1,494	16.1	20.6	13.4	6.3	12.9	24.8	0.4	—	3.3	2.1	—	4.2	35.3	64.6
13–17 Nov	Norstat	1,000	16.3	19.3	14.4	5.5	9.4	30.6	—	—	1.8	1.5	1.2	11.3	31.2	68.8
6–10 Nov	Norstat	1,000	17.3	24.0	10.1	6.1	11.6	26.7	—	—	2.3	1.1	0.8	2.7	35.0	65.0
30 Oct–6 Nov	Norstat	1,000	16.7	24.1	14.3	5.0	9.2	25.6	—	—	2.5	1.5	1.1	1.5	30.9	69.1
26 Oct–6 Nov	Turu-uuringute AS	899	18.0	20.5	10.9	5.1	10.0	25.9	0.5	1.9	3.7	1.1	2.3	5.0	33.1	66.8
23–27 Oct	Norstat	1,000	20.3	22.1	14.7	6.1	11.0	21.6	—	—	2.7	1.0	0.5	0.5	37.4	62.6
16–20 Oct	Norstat	1,000	18.3	24.6	13.1	6.6	10.1	22.6	—	—	2.9	1.1	0.7	2.0	35.0	65.0
13–18 Oct	Kantar Emor	1,486	19.7	17.4	14.3	7.2	14.8	18.5	1.2	—	4.1	2.8	—	1.2	41.7	58.3
10–13 Oct	Norstat	1,000	20.4	22.3	15.9	6.2	9.6	20.1	—	—	2.8	1.8	0.9	1.9	36.2	63.8
3–9 Oct	Norstat	1,000	20.4	24.0	15.1	6.2	10.9	17.0	—	—	3.4	1.8	1.2	3.6	37.5	62.5
28 Sep–6 Oct	Turu-uuringute AS	879	23	19	14	8	10	16	1	2	4	2	1	4	41	59
26 Sep–2 Oct	Norstat	1,000	23.2	21.8	14.4	6.8	10.2	18.0	—	—	3.2	1.7	0.7	1.4	40.2	59.8
18–25 Sep	Norstat	1,000	23.2	24.8	15.0	6.2	9.7	16.9	—	—	2.4	1.0	0.8	1.6	39.1	60.9
14–20 Sep	Kantar Emor	1,491	24.2	20.6	16.4	7.3	11.9	12.8	0.5	—	4.1	2.2	—	3.6	43.4	56.6
11–18 Sep	Norstat	1,000	25.1	21.2	15.5	6.1	10.7	15.2	—	—	2.7	2.3	1.1	3.9	41.9	58.0
4–11 Sep	Norstat	1,000	25.8	24.1	16.6	6.6	10.1	13.1	—	—	1.1	1.5	1.1	1.7	42.5	57.5
31 Aug–10 Sep	Turu-uuringute AS	891	23	20	18	6	10	14	1	—	4	2	1	3	39	60
29 Aug–4 Sep	Norstat	1,000	25.2	25.2	16.8	6.2	8.6	13.3	—	—	1.4	2.8	0.5	Tie	40.0	60.0
21–28 Aug	Norstat	1,000	27.2	22.5	16.6	7.6	10.5	11.2	—	—	2.7	1.0	0.8	4.7	45.3	54.8
14–21 Aug	Norstat	1,000	24.1	23.5	19.0	8.9	10.6	9.5	—	—	2.2	1.2	0.9	0.6	43.6	56.3
10–16 Aug	Kantar Emor	1,494	25.3	17.6	17.0	7.4	13.8	10.6	1.5	—	4.1	2.7	—	7.7	46.5	53.5
7–14 Aug	Norstat	1,000	24.9	25.2	17.9	8.2	9.2	9.9	—	—	2.5	1.3	1.0	0.3	44.0	56.0
3–13 Aug	Turu-uuringute AS	877	23	24	16	8	13	9	1	—	3	1	2	1	44	56
31 Jul–7 Aug	Norstat	1,000	23.8	23.8	18.1	8.5	11.1	10.0	—	—	2.5	1.2	1.0	Tie	43.4	55.6
24–31 Jul	Norstat	1,000	25.1	20.2	19.1	9.0	12.0	9.4	—	—	1.5	2.7	1.1	4.9	46.1	53.9
18–23 Jul	Norstat	1,000	29.5	21.2	17.5	8.0	9.5	9.8	—	—	2.2	1.5	0.7	8.3	47.0	52.9
10–20 Jul	Kantar Emor	1,486	26.3	20.2	16.2	9.8	11.5	8.5	1.4	—	3.5	2.6	—	6.1	47.6	52.4
11–17 Jul	Norstat	1,000	28.3	22.6	18.4	6.9	8.9	10.1	—	—	2.6	1.1	1.0	5.7	44.1	55.9
4–10 Jul	Norstat	1,000	25.7	23.8	17.7	7.3	9.8	10.1	—	—	2.1	1.4	2.1	1.9	42.8	57.2
26–30 Jun	Norstat	1,000	29.3	24.2	16.1	5.9	9.2	10.0	—	—	1.8	1.9	1.7	5.1	44.4	55.6
12–20 Jun	Norstat	1,000	28.6	20.4	15.8	9.3	8.6	12.0	—	—	2.3	2.1	1.0	8.2	46.5	53.6
8–14 Jun	Kantar Emor	1,476	24.9	21.2	16.8	9.4	11.9	9.1	0.6	—	3.9	2.4	—	3.7	46.2	54.0
7–13 Jun	Turu-uuringute AS	871	26	20	17	10	10	9	1	—	3	2	2	6	46	54
6–12 Jun	Norstat	1,000	24.0	25.4	15.4	8.3	11.7	10.0	—	—	3.1	0.9	1.1	1.4	44.0	56.0
29 May–6 Jun	Norstat	1,000	27.7	21.8	15.1	9.7	9.2	10.3	—	—	2.7	2.1	1.3	5.9	46.6	53.3
23–29 May	Norstat	1,000	25.0	26.3	18.1	8.3	9.3	8.1	—	—	1.8	1.4	1.8	1.3	42.6	57.4
15–22 May	Norstat	1,000	25.1	24.5	17.0	10.6	9.7	8.1	—	—	2.3	2.3	0.6	0.6	46.4	53.6
10–17 May	Kantar Emor	1,501	22.7	22.5	17.6	12.6	10.4	8.0	1.2	—	2.7	2.4	—	0.2	45.7	54.4
8–15 May	Norstat	1,000	23.3	27.0	20.1	8.8	7.9	7.8	—	—	2.0	1.7	1.4	3.7	40.0	60.0
4–15 May	Turu-uuringute AS	879	23	20	16	14	10	8	1	—	3	3	2	3	47	53
2–6 May	Norstat	1,000	24.0	24.0	18.6	13.5	7.7	6.9	—	—	2.1	1.1	2.0	Tie	45.2	54.7
25 Apr–1 May	Norstat	1,000	24.6	22.0	15.7	15.1	9.2	6.5	—	—	3.2	2.0	1.6	2.6	48.9	51.1
18–24 Apr	Norstat	1,000	24.4	22.1	14.7	15.8	7.8	9.0	—	—	3.2	1.7	1.4	2.3	48.0	52.0
10–19 Apr	Kantar Emor	1,495	23.2	16.5	16.5	16.5	12.1	6.6	1.0	—	4.2	3.2	—	6.7	51.8	48.2
17 Apr			Kaja Kallas' third cabinet is formed by Reform, E200 and SDE
10–17 Apr	Norstat	1,000	21.6	24.6	17.2	14.2	9.3	7.3	—	—	2.1	2.0	1.6	3.0	45.1	54.9
3-11 Apr	Turu-uuringute AS	1,174	24	19	13	17	10	8	1	—	4	1	1	5	51	49
3–10 Apr	Norstat	1,000	23.8	18.2	19.3	16.1	10.1	8.3	—	—	2.6	0.8	0.9	4.5	50.0	50.1
27 Mar–3 Apr	Norstat	1,000	26.8	18.3	18.0	14.7	8.4	8.0	—	—	2.2	1.2	2.3	8.5	49.9	50.1
20–27 Mar	Norstat	1,000	24.8	18.6	17.3	16.0	10.2	7.7	—	—	1.8	1.7	1.9	6.2	51.0	49.0
14–20 Mar	Norstat	1,000	29.3	17.1	14.2	15.5	11.9	7.5	—	—	1.9	1.0	1.7	12.2	56.7	43.3
9–17 Mar	Kantar Emor	1,586	29.3	15.7	15.4	16.3	11.6	5.9	1.5	—	2.9	1.6	—	12.7	57.2	42.8
7–13 Mar	Norstat	1,000	30.2	13.5	14.9	17.5	9.2	8.6	—	—	3.0	1.3	1.7	13.0	56.9	43.1
5 March	2023 election	N/A	31.2	16.1	15.3	13.3	9.3	8.2	2.4		2.3	1.0	3.3	15.1	53.8	46.2
			37	17	16	14	9	8	0		0	0	0	19	60	41