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Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

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Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.

Opinion polls

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Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		Lula
PT 		Haddad
PT 		Tarcísio
Republicanos 		J. Bolsonaro[a]
PL 		Marçal
PRTB 		M. Bolsonaro
PL 		Ciro
PDT 		Zema
NOVO 		Ratinho
PSD 		Moro
UNIÃO 		Caiado
UNIÃO 		Leite
PSDB 		Barbalho
MDB 		Tebet
MDB 		Cristina
PP 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[1] 21–25 November 2024 2,014 33.6% — — 37.6% — — 7.9% — — — 3.7% — — 7.7% — 9.6% 4%
34.2% — — — — 27.5% 10.2% — — — 6.4% — — 8.2% — 13.5% 6.7%
34.7% — 24.1% — — — 11.5% — — — 5.3% — — 8.4% — 16.1% 10.6%
34.4% — — — — — 12.8% — 15.3% — 8.9% — — 8.7% — 19.9% 19.1%
34.7% — — — — — 13.4% 12.2% — — 8% — — 9.5% — 22.2% 21.3%
— 14.5% — 38.3% — — 14.2% — — — 4.4% — — 13% — 15.6% 23.8%
— 14.9% — — — 27.6% 17% — — — 7.1% — — 13.5% — 19.9% 10.6%
CNT/MDA[2] 7–10 November 2024 2,002 35.2% — — 32.2% 8.4% — 6.2% — — — — — — 8% — 10% 3%
34.1% — — — 14.1% 20.5% 9.3% — — — — — — 9.2% — 12.8% 13.6%
35.2% — 15% — 16.9% — 9.4% — — — — — — 9.5% — 14% 18.3%
Paraná Pesquisas[3] 18–22 July 2024 2,026 38.3% — — 36.9% — — 7.9% — — — 3% 1.9% 0.5% — — 11.6% 1.4%
38.7% — — — — 30.3% 9.1% — — — 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% — — 14.5% 8.4%
38.9% — 24.4% — — — 11.8% — — — 4% 2.7% 0.6% — — 17.6% 14.5%
39% — — — — — 12.4% — 14.2% — 7.5% 3.3% 0.7% — — 22.8% 24.8%
38.8% — — — — — 13.3% 13.1% — — 6.7% 3.5% 0.8% — — 23.9% 25.5%
Genial/Quaest[4] 02–06 May 2024 2,045 46% — 40% — — — — — — — — — — — — 14% 6%
Paraná Pesquisas[5] 27 April–1 May 2024 2,020 36% — — 38.8% — — 8.4% — — — — 3.4% 1.0% — — 12.3% 2.8%
36.6% — — — — 33% 10.1% — — — — 3.8% 1.4% — — 15.0% 3.6%
36.9% — 25.6% — — — 11.8% — — — — 3.8% 1.3% — — 20.7% 11.3%
37.2% — — — — — 14.7% — — — 10.9% 5.6% 1.7% — — 29.8% 22.5%
36.9% — — — — — 15.2% — — — — 6.5% 1.9% — 15.2% 31.0% 21.7%
36.3% — — — — — 13.8% — 17.6% — — 4.9% 1.6% — — 25.9% 18.7%
37.2% — — — — — 14.8% 14.9% — — — 5.1% 1.8% — — 26.3% 22.3%
Paraná Pesquisas[6] 24–28 January 2024 2,026 37.6% — — — — 23% 9.3% 6.5% 5.1% — 1.9% — 0.9% — — 15.6% 14.6%
37.4% — 17.4% — — — 10.3% 5.8% 6.2% — 2.1% — 1.1% — — 19.6% 20%
36.9% — — 33.8% — — 7.8% 3.9% 3.9% — 1.2% — 0.8% — — 11.7% 3.1%
Paraná Pesquisas[7] 29 September – 3 October 2023 2,020 36.6% — 12.7% — — — 6.3% 5.7% 4.6% 6.7% 1.2% 2.1% — 7.4% 1.9% 14.9% 23.9%
37.6% — 18.9% — — — 8.7% — — — — 3.7% — 9.0% — 22.2% 18.7%
37.6% — — — — — 8.8% 15.3% — — — 4.0% — 8.8% — 25.5% 22.3%
37.7% — — — — — 9.2% — 12.8% — — 4.1% — 8.7% — 27.4% 24.9%

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Ineligible.

References

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  1. ^ "O desempenho de Bolsonaro, Michelle, Tarcísio, Ratinho e Zema em eventuais disputas contra Lula em 2026". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 27 November 2024. Retrieved 4 December 2024.
  2. ^ "Pesquisa testa cenários com Lula, Marçal, Tarcísio, Bolsonaro e Michelle para 2026; veja os números". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 November 2024. Retrieved 14 November 2024.
  3. ^ Aguiar, Victor. "Pesquisa simula eleição com Lula contra Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio; veja cenários". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 30 July 2024.
  4. ^ "Poll 02–06 May 2024" (PDF).
  5. ^ "Lula venceria Tarcísio, mas casal Bolsonaro mantém força para 2026". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 24 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024.
  6. ^ "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública Nacional - Janeiro de 2024" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 February 2024. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
  7. ^ "Pesquisa: Lula lidera com folga, e Tarcísio é nome mais forte da oposição". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
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