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2027 South Korean presidential election

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2027 South Korean presidential election
← 2022 3 March 2027 2032 →
 
Party People Power Democratic
Incumbent President

Yoon Suk Yeol
People Power



This article is part of a series on
Politics of South Korea
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in South Korea in 2027. They will be the ninth presidential elections since democratization and the establishment of the Sixth Republic. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is restricted to a single five-year term in office, meaning incumbent president Yoon Suk Yeol is ineligible for a second term.[1]

Electoral system

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Main article: Presidential elections in South Korea

The president of South Korea is elected via a single-round plurality voting system, for a term of five years. Incumbent and former presidents are ineligible to seek re-election.[2]

Potential candidates

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Democratic Party

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People Power Party

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Rebuilding Korea Party

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New Reform Party

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New Future Party

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Opinion polls

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Polling before nominees finalized

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LOESS curve for the 2027 South Korean presidential election with a 7-day average
Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error 		Polling firm DPK PPP RKP NRP NFP Others Und./
no ans. 		Lead
Lee Jae-myung
4-5 Nov 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.0 4.2 16.7 8.5 6.3 — — 2.2 6.6 — — 7.2[a] 7.1 24.3
1-2 Nov 2024 1,002 ±3.1 KSOI / Ohmynews 37.3 4.1 15.3 7.1 5.8 — — — 8.2 3.9 — 8.7[b] 9.7 22.0
26-28 Oct 2024 2,000 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.0 3.2 18.6 5.2 4.3 — 3.5 2.1 5.6 4.8 — 1.5 6.2 26.4
22 Oct 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.6 3.9 19.2 6.4 4.6 — — 2.2 6.0 — — 6.4[c] 8.7 23.4
12-14 Oct 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.3 4.1 19.7 4.9 4.6 — 3.6 2.1 6.5 4.0 — 2.7 4.3 23.6
7-8 Oct 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.5 2.9 21.4 6.3 4.1 — — 1.2 7.5 — — 7.9[d] 8.1 19.1
4-5 Oct 2024 1,007 ±3.1 Flower Research 35.1 2.0 15.4 5.7 5.0 — — 2.4 5.1 2.1 — 2.1 24.9 19.7
28-30 Sep 2024 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.8 3.1 20.7 5.0 4.7 — 3.7 1.5 6.0 4.4 — 2.4 5.3 22.1
28-29 Sep 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 41.2 3.1 19.3 2.9 3.8 — 1.6 2.1 7.1 4.5 — 6.7[e] 7.7 21.9
24-26 Sep 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 25 2 15 1 2 — 1 — 4 3 — 6[f] 40 10
23-24 Sep 2024 1,005 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.0 2.4 21.1 6.5 4.6 — — 2.2 7.3 — — 6.7[g] 7.2 20.9
11-12 Sep 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 29 2 18 5 6 1 1 3 5 3 — 4[h] 22 11
10-12 Sep 2024 2,004 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 44.5 2.9 22.0 4.7 3.2 — 3.6 1.3 6.3 4.4 — 2.0 5.0 22.5
10 Sep 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.4 2.8 20.7 7.1 5.0 — — 2.3 6.6 — — 5.7[i] 7.5 21.7
3-5 Sep 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 26 1 14 2 1 — — 1 5 3 — 5[j] 40 12
31 Aug-2 Sep 2024 2,003 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.1 3.1 20.9 3.7 3.3 — 4.1 1.5 6.2 5.9 — 2.2 7.0 21.2
26-27 Aug 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.7 2.5 24.2 7.3 3.9 — — 1.6 6.0 — — 6.2[k] 7.8 16.5
20-21 Aug 2024 1,004 ±3.1 KOPRA / Kihoilbo 39.4 2.5 25.2 4.7 3.5 — 3.4 — 6.3 4.6 — 2.5[l] 8.0 14.2
17-19 Aug 2024 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.2 3.0 25.6 3.6 3.5 — 3.2 1.6 4.7 4.7 — 2.3 4.7 17.6
12-13 Aug 2024 1,007 ±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 43.9 2.1 26.1 6.0 3.8 — — — 6.5 3.3 — 5.1[m] 3.1 17.8
12-13 Aug 2024 1,006 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 28.5 4.9 19.8 7.4 6.2 — — 3.3 8.7 — — 14.1[n] 7.1 8.7
9-10 Aug 2024 1,009 ±3.1 Flower Research 36.1 1.9 17.9 5.2 4.7 — — 1.7 5.1 3.1 — 1.1 23.3 18.2
3-5 Aug 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.0 3.1 27.8 3.4 4.1 — 3.9 2.1 5.4 5.5 — 1.1 4.6 11.2
29-30 Jul 2024 1,009 ±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 42.7 — 33.4 — — — — — 7.5 4.4 — 8.1 3.9 9.3
29-30 Jul 2024 1,005 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.9 3.1 29.5 5.0 4.1 — — 1.6 6.8 3.8 — 3.3 4.9 8.4
23-25 Jul 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 — 19 2 3 — 3 1 5 3 — 4 38 3
20-22 Jul 2024 4,029 ±1.5 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.5 2.9 26.9 5.0 3.2 — 5.8 1.4 6.1 5.1 — 1.3 3.8 11.6
7-8 Jul 2024 2,003 ±2.2 Embrain Public / YTN 27 1 17 7 5 1 — 2 5 2 1 2 28 10
6-8 Jul 2024 2,008 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.2 3.5 24.6 3.6 3.9 — 6.9 1.8 6.8 4.7 — 1.5 4.7 13.6
5-6 Jul 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Flower Research 34.3 1.9 18.5 5.9 4.5 — — 1.8 5.8 2.2 — 2.0 23.1 15.8
2-4 Jul 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 — 17 3 3 — 2 1 5 2 — 5 38 6
1-2 Jul 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.9 4.5 24.6 7.9 5.4 — — 1.7 7.2 4.5 — 3.2 5.0 11.3
22-24 Jun 2024 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.1 3.0 21.6 4.2 3.9 — 6.4 1.3 7.7 5.3 — 1.8 4.5 18.5
17-18 Jun 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.8 3.9 24.7 5.9 3.7 — — 2.3 7.9 4.8 — 3.4 5.5 13.1
14-15 Jun 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / News1 28 — 17 1 3 1 1 1 7 3 — 3 35 11
11-13 Jun 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 1 15 2 3 — 1 1 5 3 — 5 42 7
9-10 Jun 2024 2,005 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.7 2.3 23.3 4.3 3.7 — 4.5 1.8 6.8 5.3 — 1.8 5.3 17.4
3-4 Jun 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.6 2.8 25.9 6.5 4.1 — — 2.0 6.5 5.5 — 3.9 7.2 9.7
1-3 Jun 2024 2,005 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 41.0 2.1 22.0 4.0 4.4 — 5.0 1.8 8.0 5.4 — 1.7 4.6 19.0
28-30 May 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Research View / PSPD 38 3 24 4 4 2 — 1 8 3 2 6[o] 5 14
25-27 May 2024 2,004 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.6 2.5 22.8 3.9 4.4 — 4.6 1.8 7.5 6.3 — 1.5 5.1 16.8
20-21 May 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 36.8 2.4 24.5 5.5 5.2 — — 2.3 7.4 5.2 — 6.5 4.3 12.3
11-13 May 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.6 2.6 25.1 3.9 4.2 — 4.6 1.6 7.7 4.1 — 1.4 6.1 13.5
7-9 May 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 — 17 2 3 — — 2 7 3 — 6 38 7
6-7 May 2024 1,003 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.3 3.5 26.0 5.3 4.7 — — 2.1 7.7 4.2 — 3.1 5.9 11.3
27-29 Apr 2024 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.3 3.7 21.9 4.5 4.7 — 5.0 1.6 8.1 5.7 — 1.8 4.2 17.4
16-18 Apr 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 24 — 15 1 3 — 2 1 7 3 — 5 39 9
13-15 Apr 2024 2,013 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.8 — 23.9 — — — — 4.4 10.1 5.7 — 11.1[p] 7.1 13.9
2-3 Apr 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 27 1 23 3 4 2 5 2 5 2 2 1[q] 24 4
28-29 Mar 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 31.5 4.3 21.8 5.9 6.7 — 4.1 1.5 6.2 — 3.9 2.7 11.3 9.7
28-29 Mar 2024 1,011 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 27 — 20 1 2 — 1 — 4 1 2 3 38 7
26-27 Mar 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 32 2 24 3 4 2 2 2 5 1 3 1[r] 19 8
5–7 Mar 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 1 24 2 2 — 1 — 3 2 2 5[s] 35 1
20 Feb 2024 1,012 ±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 35.8 3.6 35.3 4.2 4.1 — — — — 3.4 4.1 3.8 5.6 0.5
13–14 Feb 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 37 5 34 3 4 — 3 2 — 4 4 1 3 3
6–7 Feb 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 26 4 23 5 5 3 3 2 — 3 3 1[t] 21 3
30 Jan–1 Feb 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 26 1 23 2 2 — — — — 4 4 4 35 3
9–11 Jan 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 1 22 1 3 — — 1 — 3 3 5 38 1
1–2 Jan 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 39 4 35 4 3 — 2 1 — — 4 4[u] 5 4
29–30 Dec 2023 1,005 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 27 3 22 4 7 2 3 3 — 3 5 1[v] 21 5
28–29 Dec 2023 1,017 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 22 1 24 1 2 1 1 1 — 3 2 5[w] 36 2
26–27 Dec 2023 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Research / HankookIlbo 23 3 21 5 6 3 3 2 2 2 4 3[x] 26 2
25–26 Dec 2023 1,015 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.6 4.7 27.2 6.3 — — 5.9 2.3 — — 4.8 1.4[y] 11.8 8.4
23–24 Dec 2023 1,024 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 36.9 2.5 35.8 2.8 3.3 — 1.4 — — 4.2 4.3 1.8 6.9 1.1
5–7 Dec 2023 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 19 2 16 2 4 1 2 — — 2 3 5 43 3
7–9 Nov 2023 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 21 2 13 4 4 — 1 2 — 3 2 4 44 8
10–12 Oct 2023 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 1 14 4 3 — 1 2 — 1 1 6[z] 46 8
5–7 Sep 2023 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 19 2 12 2 3 1 2 2 — 1 3 5[aa] 48 7
30 May–1 Jun 2023 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 1 11 4 5 1 — 2 — 1 2 5[ab] 46 11
11–13 Mar 2023 1,020 ±3.1 Kookmin Research Group, Ace Research / Newsis 37.3 — 16.4 7.1 7.2 3.5 5.6 4.2 — — 4.1 5.7[ac] 9.0 20.9
29 Feb–2 Mar 2023 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 20 — 11 3 5 1 2 4 — 2 3 5 44 9
26–27 Jan 2023 1,006 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 24.6 — 11.1 2.7 4.9 3.8 — 6.9 — 1.4 2.1 4.8 37.7 13.5
1–2 Jan 2023 1,020 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 33.7 1.5 18.1 9.0 8.3 5.4 — 3.8 — — 6.4 2.6 11.2 15.6
26–27 Dec 2022 1,015 ±3.1 Global Research / The Hankyoreh 24.4 2.4 9.9 8.2 11.9 4.5 — 5.6 — 2.1 4.1 4.5[ad] 22.5 12.5
16–17 Dec 2022 1,016 ±3.1 Flower Research 31.4 2.4 10.2 9.1 — — 3.5 4.5 — — 5.1 6.1[ae] 27.9 21.2
4–6 Dec 2022 1,030 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 37.3 — 18.6 7.9 7.4 8.0 3.3 4.1 — — 5.2 1.0 7.3 18.7
4–5 Dec 2022 1,024 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 37.8 2.3 18.9 7.1 9.3 4.4 — 3.1 — — 5.8 1.6 9.7 18.9
3-5 Dec 2022 1,002 ±3.1 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.0 3.3 19.1 9.8 8.2 — — 3.9 — — 6.9 5.5[af] 6.1 17.9
29 Nov–1 Dec 2022 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 — 10 2 4 2 — 3 — 2 3 6 44 13
5–7 Nov 2022 1,023 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 38.3 2.4 18.0 10.8 8.6 4.1 — 3.6 — — 5.0 1.6[ag] 7.6 20.3
8–10 Oct 2022 1,021 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 41.1 3.2 17.1 10.8 7.3 — — 4.1 — — 6.0 3.3 7.0 24.0
10–12 Sep 2022 1,014 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 40.1 2.9 18.5 11.7 8.0 — — 4.3 — — 4.5 3.0 7.1 21.6
30 Aug–1 Sep 2022 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 27 — 9 4 4 2 — 4 — 3 2 4 41 18
6–8 Aug 2022 1,025 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 39.6 3.4 12.8 13.3 8.3 — — 3.8 — — 8.2 3.0 7.6 26.3
9–12 Jul 2022 1,045 ±3.0 Rnsearch / Mewspim 38.5 4.7 12.4 15.1 6.3 — — 5.6 — — 5.5 3.0 8.8 23.4
11–13 Jun 2022 1,025 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 29.3 5.6 9.4 23.9 — — 3.5 6.9 — — 5.0 4.4 6.2 5.4
7–9 Jun 2022 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 15 4 4 10 5 — — 6 — 1 3 4 46 5
29–31 Mar 2022 1,000 ±3.1 ResearchView 28 2 — 13 7 4 10 10 — 5 7 7[ah] 5 15
9 Mar 2022 2022 election 47.8 — — — — — — — — — — 3.6[ai] 0.9 0.7

Hypothetical polling

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Lee Jae-myung vs. Han Dong-hoon

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Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error 		Polling firm Lee Jae-myung Han Dong-hoon Others Und./
no ans. 		Lead
23-24 Aug 2024 1,010 ±3.1 Flower Research 45.6 28.0 2.9 23.6 17.6
19-20 Aug 2024 1,008 ±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 54.6 36.0 8.6 0.7 18.6
17-19 Aug 2024 1,025 ±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 50.7 30.4 7.3 11.5 20.3

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.2, Others 6.0
  2. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.7, Others 7.0
  3. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.2, Others 5.2
  4. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 2.0, Others 5.9
  5. ^ Kim Moon-soo 4.3, Kim Kyoung-soo 1.6, Kim Boo-kyum 0.8
  6. ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 4
  7. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.0, Others 5.7
  8. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Kim Kyoung-soo 1, Others 2
  9. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.3, Others 4.4
  10. ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 3
  11. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 0.9, Others 5.3
  12. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.5, Kim Boo-kyum 1.0
  13. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.3, Others 3.8
  14. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 5.4, Others 8.7
  15. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 2, Choo Mi-ae 2, Others 2
  16. ^ Na Kyung-won 3.7, Others 7.4
  17. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  18. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  19. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  20. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  21. ^ Park Yong-jin 1, Others 3
  22. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  23. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  24. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2, Others 1
  25. ^ Sim Sang-jung 1.4
  26. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 5
  27. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  28. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  29. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.6, Others 4.1
  30. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.2, Kim Kyoung-soo 0.6, Im Jong-seok 0.5, Others 1.2
  31. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.0, Others 4.1
  32. ^ Park Yong-jin 1.0, Others 4.5
  33. ^ Park Yong-jin 0.3, Others 1.3
  34. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 2, Song Young-gil 2, Park Yong-jin 1, Others 2
  35. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.4, Others 1.2

References

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  1. ^ Republic of Korea: Election for President IFES
  2. ^ "IFES Election Guide | Elections: South Korea President 2017". www.electionguide.org. 2017. Retrieved 2022-03-05.
  3. ^ Kwon, Hye-jin (2024-04-11). ""경쟁자가 없다"…이재명, 총선 민의 힘입어 대권 가도 '탄력'". Kukinews (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  4. ^ Choi, Dae-ho (2024-06-22). "김동연 여의도 스킨십에 친문까지 품어…대권행보 '주목'". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  5. ^ Nam, Seung-ryeol (2024-07-12). "한동훈 "3년 후 대선 이길 수 있는 후보가 저라면 나간다"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  6. ^ Lee, Jun-hee (2024-05-14). "오세훈 국민의힘 지지층 외연 확장 나서, '대선 잠룡' 존재감 서서히 드러낸다". Business Post (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  7. ^ Hong, Min-seong (2023-09-13). "홍준표 "내가 특이해 보이는 이유? 한국 정치판이 비정상이라"". hankyung.com (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  8. ^ Han, Sang-hee (2024-05-07). "유승민 "남은 도전 27년 대선 딱 하나…당대표 출마 깊이 고민"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  9. ^ Bae, Jae-sung (2024-04-29). "차기 대통령은 누구죠? 질문에…안철수 "접니다!" 손 번쩍". The JoongAng (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  10. ^ Lee, Jae-ho (2024-03-31). "조국혁신당 총선 돌풍 대선까지? 조국, 차기 대통령 여론조사 3위". Pressian (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  11. ^ Kim, Hyung-jun (2024-04-11). "동탄서 살아난 이준석, '분열의 아이콘' 극복하고 차기 대선주자 위상 찾나". Hankookilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
  12. ^ Park, Soon-bong (2024-01-12). "총선 출마 선그은 이낙연, 대선엔 "지금은…" 여지". Kyunghyang Shinmun (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
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