Opinion polling for the next Japanese general election

In the run up to the Next Japanese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 27 October 2024, to the present day.

Graphical summary

LOESS curve of the party identification polling for the next Japanese general election with a 7-day average

Party identification

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP	CDP	DPFP	KMT	JIP	REI	JCP	DIY	CPJ	SDP	Others	No party	Und./ no ans.	Lead
2–3 Nov	Sankei/FNN	1,012	25.8	13.7	10.1	3.7	5.3	2.8	3.5	3	1.6	0.4	–	28.3	1.8	2.5
1–2 Nov	JNN	1,020	24.6	12.8	9.1	3.7	4.0	3.6	2.5	0.9	0.2	0.8	0.2	31.8	5.8	7.2
28–29 Oct	Yomiuri/NNN	1,068	25	14	7	4	5	4	3	2	1	1	–	31	3	6
28–29 Oct	Kyodo News	1,063	31.8	20.3	9.8	3.4	5.3	6.7	2.1	1.7	1.7	0.6	–	15	1.6	11.5
27 Oct	Election results	53.84%	26.7	21.2	11.3	10.9	9.4	7	6.2	3.4	2.1	1.7	–	–	–	5.5

Preferred coalition

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP–KMT		CDP-led coalition	Other	Und./ no ans.
1–2 Nov 2024	JNN	1,020	44		41	–	15
28–29 Oct 2024	Yomiuri/NNN	1,068	43		40	–	17
28–29 Oct 2024	Kyodo News	1,063	18.1		24.6	31.5	25.8

Preferred prime minister

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Ishiba LDP	Noda CDP	Tamaki DPFP	Baba Ishin	NOT/ UD/NA
2–3 Nov 2024	Sankei/FNN	1,012	46.1	17.4	10.2	2.7	23.6
1–2 Nov 2024	JNN	1,020	50	35	–	–	15

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Prime Minister	Approve	Disapprove	Und. / no answer	Lead
2–3 Nov	Sankei/FNN	1,012	Shigeru Ishiba	43.8	49.8	6.4	6
1–2 Nov	JNN	1,020		38.9	57.3	3.8	18.4
28–29 Oct	Yomiuri/NNN	1,068		34	51	15	17
28–29 Oct	Kyodo News	1,063		32.1	52.2	15.7	20.1

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2024 Japanese general election
• Opinion polling for the 2021 Japanese general election