2025 Polish presidential election
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Presidential elections will be held in Poland on 4, 11 or 18 May 2025, though they can be held earlier should the office become vacated as a result of death, resignation or removal from office of the incumbent. Due to constitutional term limits limiting a president to serve only two terms, incumbent president Andrzej Duda is ineligible for re-election. Presidential elections in Poland must take place on a day free from work (Sunday or a holiday) between 75 and 100 days before the term ends.
Electoral system
[edit]The president is elected for a five-year term using the two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a run-off is held between the top two candidates. Presidents serve a five-year term and can be re-elected once. The second term of Andrzej Duda expires on 6 August 2025, and the president-elect will take the oath of office on that day, before the National Assembly (a joint session of Sejm and Senate).
Candidate selection
[edit]Declared candidates
[edit]Confederation Liberty and Independence
[edit]- Sławomir Mentzen – leader of the New Hope, MP for Warsaw I (2023–present)[1]
Third Way
[edit]- Szymon Hołownia – leader of Poland 2050, Marshal of the Sejm (2023–present), and candidate for president in 2020 Polish presidential election[2]
Free Republicans
[edit]- Marek Jakubiak – MP for Warsaw, candidate for president in 2020[3]
Labour Union
[edit]- Waldemar Witkowski – Leader of Labour Union, Senator for Lower Silesia (2023–present), candidate for president in 2020[4]
Repair Poland Movement
[edit]- Romuald Starosielec - Leader of the Repair Poland Movement, candidate for mayor of Warsaw, and candidate for MEP in the Masovian Constituency.[5]
Independents
[edit]- Krzysztof Stanowski – journalist[6]
- Jacek Murański – actor[7]
- Paweł Chojecki – Protestant pastor from Lublin[8][9]
Potential candidates
[edit]Civic Coalition
[edit]On November 9, the Civic Coalition announced that their presidential candidate would be selected in primary elections held on November 22. Prime Minister and party leader Donald Tusk said the party's nominee would be announced on December 7 in Silesia.[10] The following individuals will be candidates in the primary:
- Rafał Trzaskowski – Mayor of Warsaw since 2018 and candidate for president in 2020
- Radosław Sikorski – Minister of Foreign Affairs (2007–2014, 2023–present), Minister of National Defence (2005–2007) and Marshal of the Sejm (2014–2015), candidate for president in 2010 Civic Platform primary
Law and Justice
[edit]As of November 20,[11] the following are most likely candidates that the Law and Justice party will nominate:[12]
- Przemysław Czarnek – Minister of Education and Science (2020–2023), Lublin Voivode (2015–2019)[13][14]
- Karol Nawrocki – President of Institute of National Remembrance (2021–present)[15]
New Left
[edit]- Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk – Minister of Family, Labour and Social Policy (2023–present)[16]
- Magdalena Biejat – Deputy Marshal of the Senate (2023–present)[17][18]
- Krzysztof Gawkowski – Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Digital Affairs (2023–present)[19]
- Katarzyna Kotula – Minister of Equality (2023–present)[20]
- Łukasz Litewka – MP for Sosnowiec (2023–present)[20]
Left Together
- Adrian Zandberg – leader of Left Together, MP for Warsaw (2019–present)[21]
- Maciej Konieczny – MP for Katowice (2019–present)[22]
- Paulina Matysiak – MP for Sieradz (2019–present)[20]
KORWIN
[edit]PolExit
[edit]- Stanisław Żółtek – leader of PolExit, candidate for president in 2020[27]
Independents
[edit]- Jan Hartman – philosopher and opinion journalist[28]
- Sylwia Spurek – MEP for Greater Poland (2019–2024)[29][30]
Declined
[edit]Law and Justice
[edit]- Witold Bańka – President of WADA (2020–present), Minister of Sport and Tourism (2015–2019)[31][32]
Civic Platform
[edit]- Donald Tusk – Prime Minister (2007–2014, 2023–present), leader of Civic Platform, candidate for president in 2005[33]
Third Way
[edit]- Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz – Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of National Defense (2023–present), leader of Polish People's Party, candidate for president in 2020[34][35]
Independents
[edit]- Dorota Gawryluk – journalist[36]
- Lieutenant Colonel Jacek Siewiera – head of National Security Bureau (2022–present)[37]
- General Rajmund Andrzejczak – Chief of the General Staff of Polish Armed Forces (2018–2023)[38]
Opinion polls
[edit]Pre-campaign polls
[edit]Graphical Summary
[edit]
1st round
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Błaszczak PiS |
Bocheński PiS |
Czarnek PiS |
Jaki PiS |
Morawiecki PiS |
Nawrocki PiS |
Witek PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Trzaskowski PO |
Tusk PO |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Biedroń NL |
Dziemianowicz-Bąk NL |
Scheuring-Wielgus NL |
Biejat Razem |
Zandberg Razem |
Bosak Confederation |
Mentzen Confederation |
Others | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 8–10 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 27.2 | 34.8 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 10.7 | 2.2[a] | 8.0 | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||
| 27.5 | 29.4 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 11.5 | 2.0[b] | 10.6 | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 11–13 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 26.6 | 39.4 | 11.4 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 12.8 | |||||||||||||||
| 26.0 | 25.5 | 15.1 | 8.5 | 13.0 | 11.9 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita | 11–12 Oct 2024 | 1,071 | 22.2 | 34.2 | 10.2 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 3.7[c] | 13.4 | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 10 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | 26.4 | 33.0 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 8.4 | 4.1[d] | 14.3 | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||
| 23.8 | 32.9 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 7.6[e] | 14.0 | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17.2 | 34.8 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 9.2 | 7.3[f] | 17.7 | 17.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 27.6 | 32.4 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 15.6 | 5.3 | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 34.8 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 27 | 33 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 7–9 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 24.8 | 29.2 | 13.6 | 2.6 | 6.6 | 7.1[g] | 16.1 | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 24–26 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.6 | 29.2 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 7.9 | 8.2[h] | 15.5 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.5 | 29.6 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 17.4 | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||
| OGB / Stan Polityki | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 7.20 | 26.15 | 29.34 | 5.77 | 12.74 | 3.42 | 1.22 | 1.55 | 6.71 | 5.90 | 3.19 | |||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 6–7 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 22.4 | 29.0 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 8.6[i] | 11.2 | 6.6 | |||||||||||||
| IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 3[j] | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 23–25 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 25.9 | 30.8 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 11 Feb 2024 | 1,060 | 20.92 | 32.53 | 25.21 | 5.45 | 2.65 | 7.66 | 5.58[k] | 7.32 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–11 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 24.3 | 22.2 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 9.0[l] | 10.0 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Radio Zet | 9–10 Feb 2024 | 1,070 | 16.1 | 28.3 | 24.0 | 5.2[m] | 26.4 | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 26–27 Jan 2024 | 1,070 | 24.9 | 25.8 | 24.6 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 17 Dec 2023 | 1,033 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 8–10 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 2.6 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 24.5 | 0.9 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 33.1[n] | 6.6 | 12.6 | |||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 24–25 Nov 2023 | 29.9 | 34.6 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 8.9 | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||
| 21.4 | 25.6 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 11.7 | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 17–19 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | 19.0 | 33.8 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 8.3 | 18.3[o] | 2.7 | 14.8 | ||||||||||||||
2nd round
[edit]PiS candidate v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPSOS / PO | ? | ? | 36 | 53 | 8 | 17 |
Bocheński v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Bocheński PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGB / Stan Polityki | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 44.59 | 55.41 | 10.82 |
Czarnek v. Sikorski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Czarnek PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 35.3 | 46.5 | 18.3 | 11.2 |
Czarnek v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Czarnek PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 35.2 | 50.9 | 15.9 | 15.7 |
Hołownia v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 51.6 | 18.9 | 22.1 |
Jaki v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Jaki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 49 | 12 | 10 |
Morawiecki v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Morawiecki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 38 | 48 | 14 | 10 |
| Pollster | 15 Jun 2024 | 38 | 62 | 24 |
Nawrocki v. Sikorski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 36.3 | 46.7 | 16.9 | 10.4 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 38.3 | 54.1 | 7.6 | 15.8 |
Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 49.99 | 13.8 | 13.61 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 37.6 | 55.8 | 6.6 | 18.2 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Marek Jakubiak (WR) – 2.2
- ^ Marek Jakubiak (WR) – 2.0
- ^ Paulina Matysiak (Razem) – 3.7
- ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 4.1
- ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.6
- ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.3
- ^ Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 7.1
- ^ Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 8.2
- ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 8.6
- ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3
- ^ Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 1.89, Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 1.11
- ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 9.0
- ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3.2, Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 0.2
- ^ Adam Bodnar (ind.) – 1.4, Kacper Płażyński (PiS) – 1.3, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) – 1.3
- ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 7.7
References
[edit]- ^ "Konfederacja wybrała kandydata na fotel prezydenta". Business Insider Polska (in Polish). 2024-08-13. Retrieved 2024-08-13.
- ^ "Szymon Hołownia ogłosił swój start w wyborach prezydenckich". www.pap.pl. Retrieved 2024-11-13.
- ^ Bugaj, Marcin (2024-10-28). "Jakubiak: Będę startował w wyborach na prezydenta". Do Rzeczy (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-10-29.
- ^ KaT. "Poznaniak znowu chce walczyć w wyborach na prezydenta RP". epoznan.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-11-18.
- ^ "Organizacje pozaparlamentarne wybrały kandydata na Prezydenta".
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Krzysztof Stanowski chce wystartować w wyborach prezydenckich. "Nie chcę wygrać"". Rzeczpospolita. 2024-03-02. Archived from the original on 2024-02-03. Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ "KJacek Murański na PREZYDENTA. Nie, to nie żart". 4fun.tv. 2024-08-17. Retrieved 2024-08-17.
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- ^ "Lider partii Razem uderza w premiera Tuska. "Zajmuje się pisaniem sucharów"". Onet Wiadomości (in Polish). 2024-10-27. Retrieved 2024-10-29.
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- ^ "Niektórzy z nich byli w Parlamencie Europejskim 20 lat. Tych nazwisk zabraknie na listach". Onet Wiadomości (in Polish). 2024-04-30. Retrieved 2024-08-14.
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