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Opinion polling for the 2024 Irish general election

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Main article: 2024 Irish general election

Various organisations conduct regular opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in the lists below.

On 1 November, Coimisiún na Meán announced the lifting of the reporting moratorium that had been in place since 1997, and which had prevented election coverage from 14:00 on the day prior to the election until the close of polls. However, the agency also advised broadcasters not to report on opinion polls or exit polls while voting is underway.[1][2]

National polls

[edit]

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Irish general election, held on 8 February 2020, to the election being held on 29 November 2024.

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.
Last date
of polling 		Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size 		SF FF FG GP Lab SD PBP–S Aon II O/I[n 1]
16 November 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[3] 1,000 18 20 23 4 4 6 2 2 – [n 2] 21
13 November 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[4] 1,200 19 19 25 3 5 4 2 3 – [n 2] 20
7 November 2024 Red C/Business Post[5] 1,208 18 21 22 4 3 6 2 5 3 16
2 November 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[6] 1,832 18 20 26 4 4 6 2 3 – [n 2] 16
23 October 2024 Red C/Business Post[7][8] 1,003 17 21 22 3 4 5 3 3 5 15
16 October 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[9] 1,005 16 19 24 4 5 5 3 2 – [n 2] 22
4 October 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[10] 1,413 19 19 26 4 5 6 2 4 – [n 2] 16
19 September 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[11] 1,000 18 20 24 4 4 5 3 2 – [n 2] 20
17 September 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[12] 1,200 20 19 27 5 6 4 2 1 – [n 2] 16
10 September 2024 Red C/Business Post[13][14] 1,004 18 18 23 4 4 6 3 4 4 15
31 August 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[15] 1,423 18 21 25 4 4 4 2 3 – [n 2] 19
3 August 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[16] 1,388 19 20 24 4 4 5 2 4 – [n 2] 18
5 July 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[17] 1,394 18 20 24 4 3 4 3 4 – [n 2] 20
26 June 2024 Red C/Business Post[18] 1,000 20 19 21 5 3 5 3 3 5 15
31 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[19] 1,770 22 17 22 4 3 5 2 3 – [n 2] 23
22 May 2024 Red C/Business Post[20] 1,021 23 15 22 4 4 5 3 3 – [n 2] 21[n 3]
15 May 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[21] 1,100 27 16 19 5 3 6 3 3 – [n 2] 18
15 May 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[22] 1,500 23 20 23 4 5 3 2 1 – [n 2] 17
3 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[23] 1,316 29 16 19 4 3 6 2 3 – [n 2] 19
25 April 2024 Red C/Business Post[24] 1,027 27 14 20 3 3 6 2 4 – [n 2] 21[n 3]
17 April 2024 Opinions/The Sunday Times[25] 1,100 27 16 20 6 5 4 3 3 – [n 2] 16
6 April 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[26] 1,334 26 16 21 4 3 6 2 4 – [n 2] 17
23 March 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[27][28] 1,304 27 17 22 4 4 6 2 4 – [n 2] 14
20 March 2024 Red C/Business Post[29] 1,027 25 16 19 4 3 6 3 5 – [n 2] 19
2 March 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[30] 1,083 27 18 20 4 4 7 2 2 – [n 2] 17
21 February 2024 Red C/Business Post[31] 1,009 28 16 20 3 4 7 3 3 – [n 2] 16
6 February 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[32] 1,200 28 20 19 5 4 4 2 1 – [n 2] 17
2 February 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[33] 1,394 29 17 19 3 4 5 3 3 – [n 2] 18
24 January 2024 Red C/Business Post[34] 1,003 25 17 20 4 4 6 3 3 – [n 2] 18
6 January 2024 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[35] 1,270 30 17 20 3 3 5 3 3 – [n 2] 17
2 December 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[36] 1,306 28 19 21 3 4 5 4 3 – [n 2] 14
22 November 2023 Red C/Business Post[37] 1,021 29 16 20 4 4 6 3 2 – [n 2] 16
3 November 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[38] 1,387 31 18 21 4 3 5 4 3 – [n 4] 11
25 October 2023 Red C/Business Post[39] 1,018 32 15 20 4 5 6 3 2 – [n 4] 12
29 September 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[40] 1,196 35 17 19 4 3 5 2 3 – [n 4] 12
26 September 2023 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[41] 1,200 34 20 18 3 3 2 1 1 – [n 4] 18
12 September 2023 Red C/Business Post[42] 1,011 31 16 21 4 4 5 3 3 – [n 4] 12
12 September 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[43] 910 33 21 20 6 4 3 2 1 – [n 4] 9
1 September 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[44] 1,228 33 18 21 2 3 6 3 2 – [n 4] 10
5 August 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[45] 1,272 34 18 19 5 4 5 3 2 – [n 4] 10
12 July 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[46] 910 34 24 19 4 4 2 2 1 – [n 4] 10
1 July 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[47] 1,076 31 19 19 3 2 6 4 3 – [n 4] 13
21 June 2023 Red C/Business Post[48][49] 1,011 29 16 22 4 5 5 3 2 – [n 4] 14
13 June 2023 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[50] 1,200 31 21 18 4 4 5 2 1 – [n 4] 14
2 June 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[51] 1,136 32 19 20 3 3 6 2 3 – [n 4] 13
24 May 2023 Red C/Business Post[52] 1,011 34 15 20 4 4 6 3 1 – [n 4] 13
9 May 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[53] 906 35 22 17 5 4 3 1 1 – [n 4] 12
6 May 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[54] 1,175 31 19 20 3 4 5 4 2 – [n 4] 12
26 April 2023 Red C/Business Post[55] 1,016 31 16 22 4 4 5 2 2 – [n 4] 14
4 April 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[56] 909 37 21 15 6 4 4 2 2 – [n 4] 8
1 April 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[57] 1,102 31 16 22 4 3 7 3 3 – [n 4] 10
22 March 2023 Red C/Business Post[58] 1,005 31 15 22 3 4 6 3 2 – [n 4] 14
14 March 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[59][60] 943 32 20 23 5 5 4 2 – [n 2] – [n 4] 9
3 March 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[61] 1,162 29 19 21 4 3 9 2 3 – [n 4] 10
22 February 2023 Red C/Business Post[62] 998 31 17 21 4 4 4 3 2 – [n 4] 14
21 February 2023 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[63] 1,200 35 18 22 4 4 2 – [n 2] – [n 2] – [n 4] 16
14 February 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[64] 921 31 24 23 5 5 2 1 – [n 2] – [n 4] 9
3 February 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[65] 1,212 31 18 22 4 4 4 3 4 – [n 4] 10
25 January 2023 Red C/Business Post[66] 1,004 33 15 21 4 4 6 3 2 – [n 4] 12
17 January 2023 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[67] 936 34 25 19 5 4 2 2 1 – [n 4] 8
6 January 2023 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[68] 1,104 32 16 25 4 3 3 4 3 – [n 4] 10
6 December 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[69] 923 34 21 23 5 3 1 1 – [n 2] – [n 4] 12
2 December 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[70] 1,352 34 17 23 3 3 5 3 4 – [n 4] 9
23 November 2022 Red C/Business Post[71] >1,000 31 15 24 5 4 4 3 2 – [n 4] 11
8 November 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[72] 923 34 23 21 4 5 2 1 1 – [n 4] 9
4 November 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[73] 1,002 34 17 21 3 3 4 5 4 – [n 4] 10
25 October 2022 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[74] 1,200 35 21 22 4 3 3 2 1 – [n 4] 10
15 October 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[75] 931 34 22 21 4 6 2 2 0 – [n 4] 9
1 October 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[76] 1,254 37 17 21 4 3 3 4 3 – [n 4] 8
6 September 2022 Red C/Business Post[77] 1,004 35 17 18 5 4 4 3 2 – [n 4] 12
6 September 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[78] 905 35 24 20 5 4 3 2 0 – [n 4] 8
3 September 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[79][80] 1,127 36 16 21 2 3 4 5 3 – [n 4] 11
6 August 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[81][82] 1,180 36 17 22 4 3 4 4 3 – [n 4] 9
12 July 2022 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[83][84] 1,200 36 20 18 3 4 2 3 1 – [n 4] 14
1 July 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[85] 1,133 36 15 22 4 4 3 3 3 – [n 4] 10
22 June 2022 Red C/Business Post[86] 1,004 36 14 19 4 3 4 4 3 – [n 4] 12
7 June 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[87] ? 37 22 23 4 5 0 1 1 – [n 4] 8
4 June 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[88] 1,211 35 17 20 3 4 5 3 3 – [n 4] 8
25 May 2022 Red C/Business Post[89] 1,000+ 36 15 20 5 3 4 3 2 – [n 4] 11
10 May 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[90][91] 908 36 24 19 2 5 2 2 1 – [n 4] 9
7 May 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[92] 1,002 34 16 23 3 4 4 4 3 – [n 4] 8
27 April 2022 Red C/Business Post[93] 1,014 34 16 21 4 4 5 3 2 – [n 4] 11
1 April 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[94] 1,135 33 18 22 3 4 6 2 3 – [n 4] 10
23 March 2022 Red C/Business Post[95] 1,001 33 16 19 5 5 5 3 2 – [n 4] 12
8 March 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[96] 928 33 23 24 4 3 1 2 1 – [n 4] 9
4 March 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[97] 1,011 31 20 21 4 3 6 4 2 – [n 4] 9
23 February 2022 Red C/Business Post[98] 1,001 33 17 20 5 4 4 3 2 – [n 4] 11
8 February 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[99] 922 34 25 20 5 4 2 1 0 – [n 4] 9
5 February 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[100] 1,086 32 17 23 4 3 5 3 3 – [n 4] 10
26 January 2022 Red C/Business Post[101] 1,001 33 15 21 6 4 5 2 2 – [n 4] 12
18 January 2022 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[102] ? 34 24 22 3 4 1 2 0 – [n 4] 10
8 January 2022 Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent[103] 1,369 33 19 23 3 4 4 3 2 – [n 4] 9
12 December 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[104] ? 31 17 25 4 4 3 4 3 – [n 4] 9
8 December 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[105] 933 34 23 20 5 5 2 1 0 – [n 4] 9
8 December 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[106][107] 1,200 35 20 20 5 4 2 2 1 – [n 4] 10
25 November 2021 Red C/Business Post[108] 1,001 33 15 22 5 4 5 2 2 – [n 4] 10
14 November 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[109] ? 32 17 24 5 5 4 3 3 – [n 4] 7
9 November 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[110] 912 37 20 21 5 3 3 1 1 – [n 4] 8
22 October 2021 Red C/Business Post[111] ? 33 12 25 4 5 6 3 2 – [n 4] 10
16 October 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[112] 1,200 31 16 26 6 4 4 3 3 – [n 4] – [n 2]
12 October 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[113] 943 31 23 21 5 5 4 1 1 – [n 4] 8
5 October 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[114][115] 1,200 32 20 22 7 4 3 2 1 – [n 4] 10
18 September 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[116] 1,000 29 19 23 4 4 6 4 4 – [n 4] – [n 2]
9 September 2021 Red C/Business Post[117] 1,031 29 13 28 4 5 5 3 2 – [n 4] 10
8 September 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[118] 922 33 21 23 5 5 2 2 0 – [n 4] 8
21 August 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[119] 1,203 30 15 24 4 6 6 3 3 – [n 4] 9
17 July 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[120] 1,001 30 14 25 4 7 5 4 4 – [n 4] 7
13 July 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[121] 894 30 20 25 5 5 1 3 1 – [n 4] 10
26 June 2021 Red C/Business Post[122] 1,020 29 13 30 5 3 4 2 2 – [n 4] 12
19 June 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[123] 1,274 32 15 24 3 4 5 4 4 – [n 4] 10
15 June 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[124] 1,200 31 20 27 6 3 2 2 1 – [n 4] 8
8 June 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[125] 909 34 20 24 4 3 4 1 1 – [n 4] 9
27 May 2021 Red C/Business Post[126][127] 1,034 29 14 29 5 3 5 3 2 – [n 4] 10
18 May 2021 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[128] 914 30 22 28 5 4 2 1 – [n 2] – [n 4] 8
15 May 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[129] 1,237 30 15 25 3 4 7 3 4 – [n 4] 9
22 April 2021 Red C/Business Post[130] 1,025 27 13 30 4 5 5 2 2 – [n 4] 11
15 April 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[131] 1,087 27 16 26 3 5 6 3 4 – [n 4] 10
25 March 2021 Red C/Business Post[132] 1,000 29 11 30 5 4 5 2 2 – [n 4] 11
20 March 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[133] 1,026 31 14 27 2 5 7 3 3 – [n 4] 8
25 February 2021 Red C/Business Post[134][135] 1,000 29 13 29 3 4 6 2 2 – [n 4] 12
23 February 2021 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[136] 1,200 28 14 30 6 3 3 1 1 – [n 4] 14
12 February 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[137] 1,068 28 15 26 5 5 6 3 4 – [n 4] 9
28 January 2021 Red C/Business Post[138][139] 1,000 27 16 29 5 3 5 3 2 – [n 4] 10
17 January 2021 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[140] 1,247 29 15 28 3 5 5 3 4 – [n 4] 7
15 December 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[141] 916 32 22 27 3 5 1 2 0 – [n 4] 7
29 November 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[142] 1,044 28 17 28 4 4 5 2 4 – [n 4] 9
25 November 2020 Red C/Business Post[143] 1,000 30 12 33 5 3 4 3 2 – [n 4] 8
24 October 2020 Red C/Business Post[144][145] 1,000 27 11 37 6 3 3 2 2 – [n 4] 9
17 October 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[146] 931 30 19 31 5 4 2 2 1 – [n 4] 5
6 October 2020 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times[147] 1,200 29 17 35 4 4 2 1 – [n 2] – [n 4] 8
26 September 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[148] 1,200 28 14 32 4 4 5 3 3 – [n 4] 7
15 September 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[149] 900 32 19 30 5 3 1 1 0 – [n 4] 9
9 September 2020 Red C/Business Post[150] 1,000 27 10 35 6 3 4 2 2 – [n 4] 10
22 August 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[151] 1,000 30 11 35 3 5 5 2 2 – [n 4] 7
28 July 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[152] 921 30 20 29 6 3 1 1 0 – [n 4] 11
18 July 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[153] 1,000 26 12 38 5 4 3 2 – [n 2] – [n 4] 10
20 June 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[154] 1,000 27 13 34 8 4 3 2 – [n 2] – [n 4] 10
14 June 2020 Ipsos MRBI/|Irish Times[155] 1,200 25 13 37 12 2 [n 5] [n 5] [n 5] – [n 4] 10[n 5]
27 May 2020 Red C/Business Post[156][157] 1,000 27 15 35 5 3 4 2 1 – [n 4] 8
23 May 2020 Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday[158] 1,012 27 16 36 6 4 3 2 – [n 2] – [n 4] 6
29 April 2020 Red C/Business Post[159][160] 1,019 27 14 35 7 3 3 2 1 – [n 4] 8
25 March 2020 Red C/Business Post[161][162] 1,062 28 18 34 5 3 3 2 2 – [n 4] 5
10 March 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[163][164] 912 35 19 21 6 3 1 3 0 – [n 4] 11
25 February 2020 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times[165][166] 917 35 20 18 6 3 2 3 1 – [n 4] 12
16 February 2020 Amárach Research/Extra.ie[167][168] 1,040 35 17 18 9 3 5 3 – [n 2] – [n 4] 10
8 February 2020 General election – 24.5 22.2 20.9 7.1 4.4 2.9 2.6 1.9 – [n 4] 13.5

Constituency polling

[edit]

Donegal

[edit]
Last date
of polling 		Polling firm /
Commissioner 		Sample
size 		SF FF FG GP PBP–S Aon 100%R IF Pringle McConnell Lead
16 November 2024 TG4/Ipsos MRBI[169] 543 35 25 12 2 1 4 6 1 11 2 10
8 February 2020 General election 45.1 20.4 13.8 2.1 – 3.1 – – 7.1 0.8 24.7

Galway West

[edit]
Last date
of polling 		Polling firm /
Commissioner 		Sample
size 		SF FF FG GP Lab SD PBP–S Aon II Connolly Grealish Cubbard Lead
12 November 2024 TG4/Ipsos MRBI[170] 531 9 14 23 5 4 4 2 2 8 13 12 3 9
8 February 2020 General election 14.0 22.7 18.1 6.0 2.6 6.0 1.5 1.8 – 9.0 13.3 4.4 4.6

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Not specifically mentioned in the report.
  3. ^ a b Includes 19% for 'Independent' and 2% for 'Other Party'.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj Party did not exist.
  5. ^ a b c d The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. In the MRBI Poll conducted up to 14 June this figure appears to include all independents as well as all of PBP/S, Aontú and the SocDems.

References

[edit]
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