2024 Missouri Secretary of State election
(Redirected from Draft:2024 Missouri Secretary of State election)
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The 2024 Missouri Secretary of State election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the secretary of state of the state of Missouri. It coincided with the concurrent presidential election, as well as various state and local elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor of Missouri. The primaries took place on August 6, 2024.[1]
Incumbent Republican Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft is retiring after unsuccessfully seeking the Republican nomination in the 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Denny Hoskins, state senator from the 21st district (2017–present)[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mike Carter, attorney and former municipal judge[3]
- Mary Elizabeth Coleman, state senator from the 22nd district (2023–present)[4]
- Jamie Corley, communications professional and former press secretary for U.S. Senator Bob Corker[3]
- Valentina Gomez, financial strategist[5]
- Dean Plocher, Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives[4]
- Shane Schoeller, Greene County Clerk (2015–present), former state representative from the 139th district (2007–2013), and nominee for secretary of state in 2012[6]
- Adam Schwadron, state representative from the 106th district (2021–present)[7]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Caleb Rowden, President pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2023–present) from the 19th district (2017–present)[8]
Declined
[edit]- Jay Ashcroft, incumbent secretary of state (2017–present) (ran for governor)[9]
Endorsements
[edit]Mary Elizabeth Coleman
- Organizations
Denny Hoskins
- Organizations
- Missouri Right to Life PAC[11]
Shane Schoeller
- Newspapers
- St. Louis Post-Dispatch (primary only)[12]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of July 16, 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised |
| Jamie Corley (R) | $286,000 |
| Valentina Gomez (R) | $24,000 |
| Denny Hoskins (R) | $225,000 |
| Dean Plocher (R) | $508,000 |
| Shane Schoeller (R) | $210,000 |
| Adam Schwadron (R) | $119,000 |
| Source: Missouri Independent[13] | |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Carter |
Mary Elizabeth Coleman |
Jamie Corley |
Valentina Gomez |
Denny Hoskins |
Dean Plocher |
Caleb Rowden |
Shane Schoeller |
Adam Schwadron |
Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battleground Connect[A] | July 30–31, 2024 | 896 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 6% | – | 11% | 3% | 37% | |||
| Caleb Rowden withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Remington Research (R)[A] | February 14–15, 2024 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 10% | 12% | – | 11% | 6% | 5% | 56% | |||
| Remington Research (R)[A] | January 17–18, 2024 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | – | 11% | 6% | 5% | 59% | |||
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Denny Hoskins | 157,116 | 24.42 | |
| Republican | Shane Schoeller | 108,289 | 16.83 | |
| Republican | Mike Carter | 91,866 | 14.28 | |
| Republican | Dean Plocher | 86,659 | 13.47 | |
| Republican | Mary Elizabeth Coleman | 72,938 | 11.34 | |
| Republican | Valentina Gomez | 47,931 | 7.45 | |
| Republican | Jamie Corley | 46,314 | 7.20 | |
| Republican | Adam Schwadron | 32,335 | 5.03 | |
| Total votes | 643,448 | 100.00 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Barbara Phifer, state representative from the 90th district (2021–present)[15]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Gavin Bena, president of Saint Louis University College Democrats[16]
Results
[edit]
Phifer
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Williams
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Jacobsen
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Tie
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Phifer | 146,284 | 40.86 | |
| Democratic | Monique Williams | 123,270 | 34.43 | |
| Democratic | Haley Jacobsen | 88,491 | 24.72 | |
| Total votes | 358,045 | 100.00 | ||
Third-party and independent candidates
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Jerome Bauer (Green), university lecturer, perennial candidate, and nominee for governor in 2020[3]
- Carl Freese (Libertarian), retired security guard and nominee for secretary of state in 2020[3]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | January 31, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Denny Hoskins (R) |
Barbara Phifer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | October 8–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| ActiVote | September 6 – October 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56.5% | 43.5% | – | – |
| YouGov/Saint Louis University | August 8–16, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 54% | 36% | 1% | 9% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Denny Hoskins | ||||
| Democratic | Barbara Phifer | ||||
| Libertarian | Carl Freese | ||||
| Green | Jerome Bauer | ||||
| Total votes | |||||
Notes
[edit]- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ "Missouri Secretary of State election, 2024". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
- ^ Erickson, Kurt (June 6, 2023). "With focus on voter fraud, senator from Warrensburg launches run for top state election post". St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
- ^ a b c d e f "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
- ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (March 26, 2024). "Dean Plocher and Mary Elizabeth Coleman pivot to Missouri secretary of state's race". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
- ^ Dereuck, Kelly (October 29, 2023). "Greene County's Schoeller among crowded field of GOP candidates for MO Secretary of State". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved January 27, 2024.
- ^ Skalicky, Michele (February 11, 2023). "Greene County Clerk Shane Schoeller announces run for Missouri secretary of state". KSMU.
- ^ "St. Charles representative announces bid for Missouri Secretary of State". KOMU-TV. October 13, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
- ^ Keller, Rudi (March 18, 2024). "Caleb Rowden drops out of GOP race for Missouri Secretary of State". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (April 6, 2023). "Jay Ashcroft makes it official: He's running for Missouri governor in 2024".
- ^ "SBA Pro-Life America Candidate Fund Endorses Coleman for MO Sec. of State". sbaprolife.org. June 18, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
- ^ "MRL PAC RELEASES AUGUST 6, 2024 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). missourilifepac.org. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
- ^ "Editorial: Our endorsements in the Missouri secretary of state and attorney general primaries". July 18, 2024.
- ^ Hanshaw, Annelise (July 16, 2024). "Incumbent Missouri Treasurer faces four-way Republican primary". missouriindependent.com.
- ^ a b Missouri Secretary of State (August 6, 2024). "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 06, 2024". enr.sos.mo.gov/. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
- ^ Suntrup, Jack (February 27, 2024). "US Rep. Cori Bush defends record as Democrats file to oust her in August primary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Archived from the original on February 28, 2024. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
Democratic state Rep. Barbara Phifer of Kirkwood, along with Monique Williams and Gavin Bena of St. Louis, also filed to run for secretary of state as Democrats.
- ^ Palermo, Gregg (March 1, 2024). "Questions remain about key Missouri races as August primary filing opens". Spectrum News. Retrieved March 3, 2024.
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (January 31, 2024). "This Year's Key Attorney General and Secretary of State Races". University of Virginia Center for Politics.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites