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2024 United States Senate election in New York

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For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 New York State Senate election.
2024 United States Senate election in New York
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
Reporting
95%
as of Nov. 6, 3:40 PM EST
 
Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Mike Sapraicone
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 4,426,901 3,117,846
Percentage 58.4% 41.1%
County results
Gillibrand:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Sapraicone:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

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The 2024 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a third term, defeating Republican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024.[1]

Gillibrand's victory was significantly closer than her previous two, and followed Chuck Schumer's narrower victory in 2022. This was the state's second consecutive Senate election in which the Republican garnered over 40% of the vote.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Disqualified

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  • Khaled Salem, nonprofit executive[3]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Kirsten Gillibrand
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand 		Andrew
Cuomo 		Undecided
American Pulse & Research Polling (R)[A] November 30 – December 1, 2023 417 (V) ± 4.8% 49% 35% 16%

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $13,181,513 $13,105,874 $10,391,040
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Mike Sapraicone, businessman and retired NYPD detective[30]

Disqualified

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Endorsements

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Mike Sapraicone
Executive branch officials
Party chapters
Cara Castronuova (disqualified)
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Individuals
Party chapters
Josh Eisen (disqualified)
Statewide officials
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Sapraicone (R) $738,958 $494,680 $244,277
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Independents

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Diane Sare, political organizer and perennial candidate[35]

Endorsements

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Diane Sare
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Diane Sare (I) $331,307 $331,025 $6,726
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[40] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[41] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[42] Solid D November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[43] Solid D August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[44] Safe D October 23, 2024
538[45] Solid D October 23, 2024

Endorsments

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Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Mike Sapraicone (R)
Executive branch officials
Party chapters

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $15,120,750 $23,896,091 $1,540,060
Michael Sapraicone (R) $1,110,275[b] $771,871 $338,403
Diane Sare (I) $457,732[c] $455,244 $8,933
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Polling

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Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Mike
Sapraicone (R) 		Undecided
[d] 		Margin
538 through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 57.2% 33.9% 8.9% Gillibrand +23.2%
RealClearPolitics September 23 – October 27, 2024 October 29, 2024 55.0% 34.3% 10.7% Gillibrand +20.7%
270ToWin September 30 - November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 55.8% 32.8% 11.4% Gillibrand +23.0%
TheHill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 58.9% 34.8% 6.3% Gillibrand +24.1%
Average 56.7% 34.0% 9.3% Gillibrand +22.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Mike
Sapraicone (R) 		Other Undecided
Research Co. November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 61% 33% 2%[e] 4%
ActiVote October 4–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – –
Cygnal (R) October 26–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 58% 39% 1%[f] 2%
Siena College October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 57% 31% 2%[g] 9%
YouGov[B] October 7–17, 2024 1,089 (RV) ± 3.41% 57% 32% – 11%
Emerson College[C] September 23–25, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 33% 1%[h] 15%
ActiVote August 24 – September 25, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – –
Siena College September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 31% 3%[i] 13%
ActiVote July 8 – August 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37% – –
Siena College July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 33% 1%[j] 10%
Hypothetical polling
Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Generic
opponent 		Undecided
Siena College June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 805 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 42% 16%
Siena College May 13–15, 2024 1,191 (RV) ± 3.9% 39% 41% 20%
Siena College April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 39% 19%
Siena College February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 39% 37% 23%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 38% 19%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023 893 (RV) ± 4.6% 40% 35% 25%
Siena College October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 39% 38% 23%
Siena College September 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 41% 37% 22%
Siena College August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 41% 19%
Siena College June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 40% 20%
Siena College May 7–11, 2023 810 (RV) ± 4.1% 43% 38% 19%
Siena College March 19–22, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 38% 19%

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in New York[54]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand
Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand
Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) 4,426,901 58.4%
Republican Mike Sapraicone
Conservative Mike Sapraicone
Total Mike Sapraicone 3,117,846 41.1%
LaRouche Diane Sare 35,717 0.5%
Total votes 7,580,464 100.0%
Democratic hold

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $550,050 of this total was self-funded by Sapraicone
  3. ^ $6,000 of this total was self-funded by Sare
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  6. ^ Sare (I) with 1%
  7. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  8. ^ Sare (I) with 1%
  9. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  10. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Save the Senate
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill and WPIX

References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023). "N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign". New York Daily News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. ^ a b c d Roy, Yancey (May 1, 2024). "NYS elections board disqualifies primary challengers for Gillibrand, Sapraicone". Newsday. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  4. ^ a b c Otterbein, Holly; Gibson, Brittany (April 30, 2023). "AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024". Politico. Retrieved April 30, 2023. Former New York Rep. Mondaire Jones, a progressive, has decided he won't run for Gillibrand's seat...Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) also told POLITICO they are not interested in the race.
  5. ^ Bocanegra, Michelle (January 25, 2024). "NY Rep. Jamaal Bowman launches re-election campaign in Yonkers, facing primary challenge". Gothamist. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
  6. ^ Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022). "Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
  7. ^ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023). "Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York". POLITICO. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  8. ^ Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023). "Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term". The New York Times. Asked by text on Wednesday if he was considering a primary, [Ritchie] Torres said, 'The answer to your question is no.'
  9. ^ a b c d Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023). "Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  10. ^ a b "District Council 37 Political Action and Legislation". District Council 37. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  11. ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  12. ^ a b "2024 Primary Election Endorsements". New York State Nurses Association. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
  13. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  14. ^ a b Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  15. ^ a b Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  16. ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection". End Citizens United. August 10, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
  17. ^ a b "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  18. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  19. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  20. ^ a b "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  21. ^ a b "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  22. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  23. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  24. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  25. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  26. ^ a b "Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC". Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  27. ^ a b "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  28. ^ Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  29. ^ a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - New York". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  30. ^ Campanile, Carl (February 18, 2024). "Retired NYC detective Mike Sapraicone winning GOP support in bid to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Post. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  31. ^ "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Coltin, Jeff (February 20, 2024). "Gillibrand vs. Who?". Politico. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  33. ^ "Former NY Gov. Pataki backs GOP hopeful Eisen in Senate race against Gillibrand". February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  34. ^ Kiprilov, Nicole (January 22, 2024). "Endorsement: Josh Eisen for United States Senate in New York". New York Young Republican Club. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  35. ^ Danielle Wallace, Houston Keene (August 31, 2023). "NYC voters explain why they're voting for RFK Jr. over Biden: 'Going to unify the nation'". Fox News. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  36. ^ "2024 TLO Endorsements: So Far, There's Only One! | The LaRouche Organization". www.laroucheorganization.com. November 8, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  37. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  38. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  39. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  40. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  41. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  42. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  43. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  44. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  45. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  46. ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  47. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  48. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  49. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  50. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  51. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  52. ^ Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  53. ^ "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  54. ^ "New York U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
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Official campaign websites
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