Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Asturias)
In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Asturias are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
[edit]Avilés
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
Cambia Avilés |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 60.8 | 33.1 9 |
13.3 4 |
30.6 9 |
1.5 0 |
12.5 3 |
1.1 0 |
2.5 |
| GESOP/La Nueva España[1] | 6–15 May 2023 | 400 | ? | 34.6 9/10 |
18.0 4/5 |
21.1 6/7 |
3.5 0 |
12.9 3/4 |
– | 13.5 |
| GAD3/IU[2][3] | 1–7 Mar 2023 | 400 | ? | 36.0 10 |
18.7 5 |
32.2 9/10 |
2.2 0 |
4.8 0/1 |
1.2 0 |
3.8 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.8 | 36.4 10 |
19.9 5 |
14.7 4 |
13.4 4 |
7.5 2 |
1.7 0 |
16.5 |
Gijón
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 64.1 | 29.0 9 |
1.0 0 |
28.7 8 |
5.2 1 |
16.7 5 |
8.0 2 |
8.0 2 |
0.3 |
| GESOP/La Nueva España[4] | 2–6 May 2023 | 504 | ? | 31.7 9/10 |
1.2 0 |
30.8 9/10 |
5.8 1 |
12.8 3/4 |
7.6 2 |
6.2 1/2 |
0.9 |
| GAD3/Vocento[5] | 26–27 Apr 2023 | ? | ? | 31.6 9/10 |
1.5 0 |
22.3 6/7 |
9.2 2/3 |
19.1 6 |
6.6 2 |
5.0 0/1 |
9.3 |
| GAD3/IU[6][3] | 1–7 Mar 2023 | 601 | ? | 29.4 9 |
2.0 0 |
25.5 7 |
8.6 2 |
17.3 5 |
8.8 2 |
6.7 2 |
3.9 |
| PSOE[7] | 27 Aug 2022 | ? | ? | 32.8 10 |
– | 12.9 4 |
8.5 2 |
28.0 9 |
6.0 1 |
6.0 1 |
4.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[8] | 5 Dec 2021 | ? | ? | 28.5 8 |
? 0 |
19.6 6 |
? 3 |
14.2 4 |
14.0 4 |
? 2 |
8.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[9] | 13 May–6 Aug 2021 | 439 | ? | 32.0 10 |
2.9 0 |
16.3 5 |
9.7 3 |
15.3 4 |
12.7 3 |
7.9 2 |
15.7 |
| Asturbarómetro[10][11] | 2–20 Jul 2021 | 408 | ? | 38.1 11 |
2.7 0 |
13.1 3/4 |
5.9 1 |
20.2 6 |
13.2 4 |
6.0 1/2 |
17.9 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.6 | 34.2 11 |
13.4 4 |
12.4 3 |
11.9 3 |
11.2 3 |
7.0 2 |
6.2 1 |
20.8 |
Langreo
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
UpL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 58.4 | 29.1 7 |
– | 18.9 4 |
1.0 0 |
1.1 0 |
30.3 8 |
4.2 0 |
8.8 2 |
1.2 |
| GESOP/La Nueva España[12] | 2–16 May 2023 | 300 | ? | 34.1 8/9 |
– | 13.0 3 |
– | 2.6 0 |
27.5 6/7 |
2.6 0 |
10.0 2/3 |
6.6 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.9 | 36.6 9 |
35.1 8 |
12.2 2 |
9.9 2 |
2.7 0 |
[a] | [a] | – | 1.5 |
Llanera
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 67.0 | 42.7 8 |
29.6 6 |
7.6 1 |
– | 4.0 0 |
12.6 2 |
13.1 |
| Asturbarómetro/Vox[13] | Nov 2022 | 260 | ? | ? 8/7 |
? 5/6 |
? 1 |
? 0/1 |
? 0/1 |
? 2/3 |
? |
| Asturbarómetro[14][15] | 20–28 May 2021 | 401 | ? | 39.5 7 |
29.1 5/6 |
12.2 2 |
1.8 0 |
2.1 0 |
15.3 2/3 |
10.4 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 63.3 | 43.6 8 |
24.2 5 |
8.7 1 |
7.9 1 |
7.1 1 |
7.0 1 |
19.4 |
Mieres
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 59.1 | 55.9 14 |
14.9 3 |
15.6 3 |
2.3 0 |
5.4 1 |
40.3 | |||
| GESOP/La Nueva España[16] | 2–12 May 2023 | 300 | ? | 57.8 15 |
16.6 4 |
11.4 2 |
3.5 0 |
4.7 0 |
41.2 | |||
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 59.6 | 58.1 15 |
18.1 4 |
10.4 2 |
4.8 0 |
2.5 0 |
40.0 | |||
Oviedo
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 64.0 | 42.5 14 |
24.2 7 |
1.5 0 |
4.5 0 |
10.8 3 |
10.1 3 |
2.7 0 |
18.3 | |
| GESOP/La Nueva España[17] | 2–17 May 2023 | 502 | ? | 42.0 13/14 |
23.5 7/8 |
2.0 0 |
5.1 1 |
8.1 2 |
11.8 3 |
2.1 0 |
18.5 | |
| GAD3/Vocento[5] | 26–27 Apr 2023 | ? | ? | 44.2 13 |
25.4 8 |
2.2 0 |
5.5 1 |
11.9 3 |
6.5 2 |
– | 18.8 | |
| GAD3/IU[18][3] | 1–7 Mar 2023 | 500 | ? | 45.8 14 |
28.4 9 |
3.0 0 |
4.0* 0 |
8.8 2 |
6.2 2 |
1.9 0 |
17.8 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[19][20] | 9–15 Dec 2022 | 300 | ? | 37.8 11/12 |
27.4 9 |
4.7 0/1 |
7.5* 2 |
13.6 4 |
5.9 1/2 |
0.4 0 |
10.4 | |
| Asturbarómetro[21][22] | 12 Jun 2021 | 403 | ? | 33.6 10 |
28.3 8 |
6.3 1/2 |
5.8* 1 |
15.5 4/5 |
8.1 2 |
– | 5.3 | |
| Asturbarómetro[23][24] | 8–28 Nov 2020 | 408 | ? | 33.2 10 |
26.5 8 |
10.5 3 |
8.1* 2 |
14.3 4 |
4.7 0 |
0.4 0 |
6.7 | |
| Asturbarómetro[25] | 8–20 Jul 2020 | 404 | ? | 33.1 10 |
24.8 7 |
13.4 4 |
11.4* 3 |
7.6 2 |
6.4 1 |
0.7 0 |
8.3 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[26] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 33.8 10 |
28.4 8 |
10.3 3 |
11.3* 3 |
12.3 3 |
– | – | 5.4 | |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.9 | 31.9 9 |
26.4 8 |
16.1 5 |
11.6* 3 |
6.9 2 |
3.8 0 |
1.0 0 |
5.5 | |
| (*) Results for We Are Oviedo/Uviéu. | ||||||||||||
Siero
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PVF | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 61.1 | 43.9 13 |
23.6 7 |
6.7 1 |
0.9 0 |
5.4 1 |
8.9 2 |
2.5 0 |
6.2 1 |
20.3 |
| GESOP/La Nueva España[27] | 2–11 May 2023 | 300 | ? | 40.5 12/13 |
19.9 5/6 |
8.2 2 |
1.7 0 |
7.6 2 |
10.1 2/3 |
3.5 0 |
4.5 0/1 |
20.6 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 59.6 | 39.8 12 |
11.5 3 |
9.4 3 |
8.6 2 |
8.2* 2 |
6.2 1 |
5.7 1 |
5.3 1 |
28.3 |
| (*) Results for We Are Siero. | ||||||||||||
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "La encuesta de LNE: Monteserín se afianza en Avilés y el PP recupera el liderato de la oposición". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "Avilés: Mariví Monteserín revalida mandato con una holgada victoria". Nortes (in Spanish). 30 March 2023.
- ^ a b c "Estimación de la encuesta realizada por GAD3 para IU Asturias para Oviedo, Gijón y Avilés". GAD3 (in Spanish).
- ^ "La encuesta de LNE: El PSOE gana en Gijón, pero Moriyón acaricia la Alcaldía por el reparto de fuerzas". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ a b "El PP gana en Oviedo y en Gijón los pactos decidirán el gobierno". El Comercio (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "Foro perdería las elecciones en Gijón pero podría gobernar con PP y VOX". Nortes (in Spanish). 29 March 2023.
- ^ "El PSOE de Gijón se queda en 10 ediles y la derecha podría gobernar, según la encuesta socialista". El Comercio (in Spanish). 27 August 2022.
- ^ "La izquierda perdería Gijón, según una encuesta". MiGijón (in Spanish). 6 December 2021.
- ^ "EP Gijón/Xixón: Foro Asturias sube y se coloca segundo. Dominio de la izquierda". Electomanía (in Spanish). 9 August 2021.
- ^ "El PP necesitaría a Vox para repetir mayoría en Oviedo, según el Asturbarómetro". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 29 August 2021.
- ^ "GIJÓN. Encuesta Asturbarómetro 29/08/2021: IU-IAS 6,0% (1/2), PODEMOS-EQUO 5,9% (1), PSOE 38,1% (11), FORO 13,1% (3/4), Cs 2,7%, PP 20,2% (6), VOX 13,2% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 29 August 2021.
- ^ "La encuesta de LNE: Arbesú (PSOE) repite victoria en Langreo, Podemos y Cs desaparecen y Vox irrumpe con fuerza". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "Ciudadanos y Podemos perderán su representación en Llanera, según Asturbarómetro". El Comercio (in Spanish). 16 January 2023.
- ^ "Asturbarómetro recoge que el PSOE perdería un concejal, el PP podría ganar uno, IU obtendría 2, Podemos y Ciudadanos perderían representación y Vox ganaría entre 1 o 2". El Tapín (in Spanish). 24 June 2021.
- ^ "LLANERA (Asturias) · Encuesta Asturbarómetro 24/06/2021: IU-IAS 12,2% (2), PODEMOS 2,1%, PSOE 39,5% (7), Cs 1,8%, PP 29,1% (5/6), VOX 15,3% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 July 2021.
- ^ "La encuesta de LNE: Aníbal Vázquez apuntala su "ejército" de concejales en Mieres y vuelve a arrinconar a PSOE y PP". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "La encuesta de LNE: Canteli se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en Oviedo e IU regresa al Pleno como tercera fuerza". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 21 May 2022.
- ^ "Canteli podría lograr la mayoría absoluta y gobernar sin Vox". Nortes (in Spanish). 29 March 2022.
- ^ "El PP se hace fuerte en Oviedo pero tendrá que entenderse con Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 December 2022.
- ^ "OVIEDO. Encuesta SigmaDos 19/12/2022: IU-IAS 5,9% (1/2), SOMOS OVIEDO 7,5% (2), PSOE 27,4% (9), FORO 0,4%, Cs 4,7% (0/1), PP 37,8% (11/12), VOX 13,6% (4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 19 December 2022.
- ^ "El PP necesitaría a Vox para repetir mayoría en Oviedo, según el Asturbarómetro". La Voz de Asturias (in Spanish). 12 June 2021.
- ^ "OVIEDO. Encuesta Asturbarómetro 12/06/2021: IU-IAS 2, SOMOS OVIEDO 1, PSOE 8, Cs 1/2, PP 10, VOX 4/5". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 June 2021.
- ^ "Pronóstico intención de voto Elecciones Municipales de Oviedo Diciembre 2020". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 18 December 2020.
- ^ "OVIEDO. Encuesta Asturbarómetro 18/12/2020: IU-IAS 4,7%, SOMOS OVIEDO 8,1% (2), PSOE 26,5% (8), Cs 10,5% (3), PP 33,2% (10), VOX 14,3% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 December 2020.
- ^ "OVIEDO. Encuesta Asturbarómetro 28/08/2020: IU-IAS 6,4% (1), SOMOS UVIÉU 11,4% (3), PSOE 24,8% (7), Cs 13,4% (4), PP 33,1% (10), VOX 7,6% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 August 2020.
- ^ "Especial EP Municipal (15J'20): así ha cambiado el panorama en 14 ciudades españolas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
- ^ "La encuesta de LNE: El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en Siero, donde suben PP y Vox a costa de Foro y Cs". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
