Leadership opinion polling for the 2016 Spanish general election
In the run up to the 2016 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 December 2015, to the day the next election was held, on 26 June 2016.
Preferred prime minister
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become prime minister.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg)
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Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Sánchez PSOE |
Iglesias Podemos |
Rivera C's |
Garzón IU | ||||||
| InvyMark/laSexta[1] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 25.1 | 21.3 | 28.0 | 12.3 | – | – | 13.3 | 2.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia[2] | 13–19 Jun 2016 | 500 | 20.5 | 17.5 | 16.0 | 15.6 | – | 9.9 | 20.5 | 3.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[3] | 15–16 Jun 2016 | ? | 25.7 | 23.2 | 25.6 | 12.9 | – | – | 12.6 | 0.1 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[4] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,502 | 14.7 | 16.4 | 26.0 | 20.5 | – | – | 22.4 | 5.5 |
| TNS Demoscopia[5] | 6–12 Jun 2016 | 500 | 19.3 | 18.9 | 18.2 | 16.6 | – | 8.0 | 18.9 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[6] | 3–7 Jun 2016 | 1,816 | 23.0 | 17.5 | 21.5 | 16.7 | – | 15.9 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| GAD3/La Vanguardia[7] | 6–9 Jun 2016 | 1,016 | 23.2 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 11.3 | – | 27.9 | 4.4 | 6.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 21.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 21.0 | – | – | 15.0 | 3.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[9] | 9–13 May 2016 | ? | 24.5 | 23.6 | 25.5 | 14.5 | – | – | 11.9 | 1.0 |
| IMOP/Llorente & Cuenca[10] | 6–10 Apr 2016 | 1,027 | 23.4 | 27.1 | 11.9 | 21.9 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 3.7 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[11] | 5–8 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | 20.5 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 18.9 | 11.0 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[12] | 21–23 Dec 2015 | ? | 27.0 | 20.3 | 26.3 | 12.8 | – | – | 13.6 | 0.7 |
Predicted prime minister
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become prime minister.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Sánchez PSOE |
Iglesias Podemos |
Rivera C's | ||||||
| InvyMark/laSexta[1] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 45.3 | 13.7 | 10.8 | 1.6 | – | 28.6 | 31.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia[2] | 13–19 Jun 2016 | 500 | 40.5 | 19.4 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 22.5 | 21.1 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[3] | 15–16 Jun 2016 | ? | 47.1 | 14.7 | 7.5 | 1.1 | – | 29.6 | 32.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[13] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,400 | 38.3 | 10.1 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 41.8 | 28.2 | |
| TNS Demoscopia[5] | 6–12 Jun 2016 | 500 | 42.7 | 15.7 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 24.9 | 27.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 46.0 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | – | 15.0 | 19.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[13] | 23–26 May 2016 | 1,000 | 37.6 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 43.5 | 24.2 | |
| Encuestamos[14] | 2–22 May 2016 | 2,000 | 35.2 | 28.6 | 29.5 | 4.8 | 6.8 | – | 5.7 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[9] | 9–13 May 2016 | ? | 54.0 | 18.4 | 7.1 | 1.6 | – | 18.9 | 35.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[15] | 26–29 Apr 2016 | 800 | 33.7 | 17.4 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 10.3 | 34.3 | 16.3 |
| Encuestamos[16] | 1–20 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 35.2 | 35.1 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 10.9 | – | 0.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 6–7 Apr 2016 | 800 | 26.8 | 33.2 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 10.3 | 24.8 | 6.4 |
| Encuestamos[18] | 1–20 Mar 2016 | 2,000 | 28.5 | 36.1 | 13.1 | 6.0 | 16.3 | – | 7.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[19] | 7–10 Mar 2016 | 800 | 25.3 | 28.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 17.3 | 22.0 | 3.5 |
| Encuestamos[20] | 1–17 Feb 2016 | 1,800 | 9.2 | 49.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 34.0 | – | 40.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[21] | 8–11 Feb 2016 | 800 | 21.1 | 40.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 21.2 | 18.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[22] | 15–21 Jan 2016 | 802 | 32.5 | 31.7 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 10.3 | 17.9 | 0.8 |
Approval ratings
[edit]The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Spain.
Mariano Rajoy
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Mariano Rajoy (PP) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 26.2 | 66.2 | 7.6 | −40.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 70.0 | 0.0 | −40.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 28.0 | 71.0 | 1.0 | −43.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 23.0 | 70.3 | 6.6 | −47.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.0 | −50.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 22.6 | 73.9 | 3.5 | −51.3 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 27.0 | 73.0 | 0.0 | −46.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 25.0 | 74.0 | 1.0 | −49.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 28.0 | 72.0 | 0.0 | −44.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 25.4 | 71.9 | 2.6 | −46.5 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 27.3 | 69.6 | 3.1 | −42.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 34.0 | 65.0 | 1.0 | −31.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 30.0 | 69.0 | 1.0 | −39.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 33.0 | 66.0 | 1.0 | −33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 1.0 | −33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 35.0 | 64.0 | 1.0 | −29.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 30.3 | 65.5 | 4.2 | −35.2 |
Pedro Sánchez
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pedro Sánchez (PSOE) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 20.8 | 68.6 | 10.5 | −47.8 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 68.0 | 1.0 | −37.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 2.0 | −38.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 24.1 | 67.6 | 8.4 | −43.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 68.0 | 1.0 | −37.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 25.7 | 68.0 | 6.3 | −42.3 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 36.0 | 62.0 | 2.0 | −26.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 2.0 | −20.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 46.0 | 52.0 | 2.0 | −6.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 35.4 | 59.9 | 4.7 | −24.5 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 27.2 | 66.3 | 6.5 | −39.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 50.0 | 47.0 | 3.0 | +3.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 50.0 | 46.0 | 4.0 | +4.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 44.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 | −8.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 5.0 | −33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 6.0 | −20.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 23.2 | 69.1 | 7.7 | −45.9 |
Pablo Iglesias
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pablo Iglesias (Podemos) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 20.5 | 69.1 | 10.4 | −48.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 27.0 | 72.0 | 1.0 | −45.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 29.0 | 69.0 | 2.0 | −40.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 21.0 | 71.5 | 7.6 | −50.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 24.0 | 75.0 | 1.0 | −51.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 22.8 | 72.9 | 4.3 | −50.1 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 26.0 | 72.0 | 2.0 | −46.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 2.0 | −38.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 1.0 | −35.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 30.8 | 65.5 | 3.7 | −34.7 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 27.5 | 66.7 | 5.9 | −39.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 3.0 | −25.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 2.0 | −20.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 33.0 | 64.0 | 3.0 | −31.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 37.0 | 59.0 | 4.0 | −22.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 5.0 | −17.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 7.0 | −25.0 |
Albert Rivera
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Albert Rivera (C's) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 40.1 | 49.5 | 10.3 | −9.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 2.0 | ±0.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 52.0 | 45.0 | 3.0 | +7.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 42.7 | 48.4 | 8.9 | −5.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 51.0 | 48.0 | 1.0 | +3.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 44.5 | 49.8 | 5.7 | −5.3 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 56.0 | 42.0 | 2.0 | +14.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 56.0 | 37.0 | 7.0 | +19.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 65.0 | 33.0 | 2.0 | +32.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 52.8 | 42.9 | 4.3 | +9.9 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 51.1 | 42.0 | 6.9 | +9.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 65.0 | 32.0 | 3.0 | +33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 63.0 | 35.0 | 2.0 | +28.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 62.0 | 35.0 | 3.0 | +27.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 56.0 | 38.0 | 6.0 | +18.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 53.0 | 41.0 | 6.0 | +12.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 47.4 | 45.5 | 7.1 | +1.9 |
Alberto Garzón
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Alberto Garzón (IU) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 29.7 | 58.1 | 12.2 | −28.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 | −8.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 37.7 | 50.4 | 11.9 | −12.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 47.0 | 48.0 | 5.0 | −1.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 37.3 | 52.4 | 10.3 | −15.1 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 51.0 | 45.0 | 4.0 | +6.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 55.0 | 42.0 | 3.0 | +13.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 55.0 | 41.0 | 4.0 | +14.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 46.7 | 46.2 | 7.1 | +0.5 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 37.3 | 50.2 | 12.5 | −12.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 55.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | +17.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 49.0 | 43.0 | 8.0 | +6.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 39.9 | 47.7 | 12.4 | −7.8 |
References
[edit]- ^ a b "El PP ganaría las elecciones con el 30% de los votos y Unidos Podemos superaría claramente al PSOE". laSexta (in Spanish). 20 June 2016.
- ^ a b "Barómetro Electoral de TNS Demoscopia. 20 de junio, 2016". TNS (in Spanish). 20 June 2016.
- ^ a b "InvyMark/@laSextaTV: ¿Quién cree que será presidente? ¿A quién prefiere? #26J". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 June 2016.
- ^ "El ObSERvatorio de la Cadena SER (17/ 6/ 2016)" (PDF). MyWord (in Spanish). 17 June 2016.
- ^ a b "Barómetro Electoral de TNS Demoscopia. 13 de junio, 2016". TNS (in Spanish). 13 June 2016.
- ^ "Encuesta Preelectoral en España: Las elecciones generales del 26J (Junio de 2016)" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 13 June 2016.
- ^ "¿A quién prefiere como presidente?". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 June 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Estimación de voto en junio de 2016". El País (in Spanish). 4 June 2016.
- ^ a b "Unidos Podemos confirma el 'sorpasso' al PSOE con una ventaja de cinco puntos en unas elecciones que ganaría el PP". laSexta (in Spanish). 15 May 2016.
- ^ "Previsión de resultados ante unas elecciones anticipadas en España" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 21 April 2016.
- ^ "Barómetro Político de España (Marzo de 2016)" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
- ^ "¿Quién preferiría Ud. que fuera ahora mismo Presidente del Gobierno?". laSexta (in Spanish). 24 December 2015.
- ^ a b "Cuatro de cada diez creen que Rajoy será el próximo presidente". ABC (in Spanish). 19 June 2016.
- ^ "Quién será presidente de España". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 26 May 2016.
- ^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Mayo 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 30 April 2016.
- ^ "Quién sería Presidente del Gobierno tras las elecciones". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 26 April 2016.
- ^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Abril 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 8 April 2016.
- ^ "Quién sería hoy el próximo presidente". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 31 March 2016.
- ^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Marzo 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
- ^ "A quién vemos como el próximo Presidente del Gobierno". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 25 February 2016.
- ^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Febrero 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 12 February 2016.
- ^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Enero 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 22 January 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes (junio 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 20 June 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Sondeo preelectoral de Metroscopia". El País (in Spanish). 10 June 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Negociación, intención de voto y valoración de líderes (mayo 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 13 May 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Barómetro electoral: mayo 2016". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 1 May 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes (abril 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 15 April 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Pulso electoral (I): el cuatripartidismo se reinventa". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 7 April 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Estimación de resultado electoral". El País (in Spanish). 2 April 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Intención de voto ante unas elecciones generales". El País (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Formación de Gobierno, intención de voto y valoración de líderes". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes (febrero 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 12 February 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "El momento de Pedro Sánchez". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 4 February 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Barómetro electoral: febrero 2016". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 8 February 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Barómetro electoral: enero 2016". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 19 January 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Resultado de las Elecciones, intención de voto y valoración de líderes (enero 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 29 January 2016.
