Regional opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish general election
In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities in Spain during the term of the 10th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.
Autonomous communities
[edit]Andalusia
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
IULV | 
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 69.1 | 29.1 21 |
31.5 22 |
5.8 0 |
0.5 0 |
16.9 10 |
13.8 8 |
2.4 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][2] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.2 19/22 |
28.6 19/22 |
6.2 0/1 |
1.1 0 |
16.9 9/11 |
16.1 9/11 |
0.4 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 902 | ? | 24.4 15 |
28.3 20 |
5.2 0 |
– | 22.3 15 |
16.6 11 |
3.9 |
| Celeste-Tel[4][5] | 1–12 Dec 2015 | 3,200 | ? | 29.5 22 |
33.6 26 |
5.3 0 |
– | 11.8 4 |
17.6 9 |
4.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 19/20 |
? 21 |
? 1/3 |
– | ? 6/7 |
? 12 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[7][8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.0 19/20 |
28.0 18/19 |
5.0 1/2 |
– | 16.0 9 |
21.0 12/13 |
Tie |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.2 19 |
29.6 20 |
? 0 |
– | 18.6 12 |
17.2 10 |
3.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón[13][14][15] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 2,300 | ? | 28.4 19 |
33.0 24 |
5.0 0 |
0.4 0 |
18.0 10 |
13.3 8 |
4.6 |
| JM&A/Público[16] | 6 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.1 21 |
26.7 17 |
? 0 |
– | ? 8 |
? 15 |
1.4 |
| diarioelectoral.com[17] | 2–4 Dec 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 27.2 17 |
39.7 26 |
4.0 0 |
– | 13.1 8 |
15.5 10 |
12.5 |
| A+M/20minutos[18][19] | 26 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 950 | ? | ? 19/22 |
? 16/18 |
? 0 |
– | ? 8 |
? 15/16 |
? |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 20/21 |
? 22 |
? 0/1 |
– | ? 6 |
? 11/13 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.0 19 |
25.9 18 |
? 0 |
– | 18.6 12 |
19.3 12 |
2.1 |
| Commentia/Grupo Joly[24] | 20–30 Nov 2015 | 850 | ? | 28.2 22 |
27.3 21 |
4.8 1 |
– | 13.0 5 |
20.7 12 |
0.9 |
| Deimos Estadística[25] | 22 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 21.9 18 |
30.6 21 |
8.0 2 |
– | 16.1 8 |
17.3 12 |
8.7 |
| JM&A/Público[26] | 19 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 28.6 21 |
26.8 17 |
? 2 |
– | 13.5 7 |
18.7 14 |
1.8 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 2,689 | ? | ? 19/21 |
? 21/25 |
? 1 |
– | ? 5 |
? 11/14 |
? |
| GAD3/ABC[28] | 19 Oct–12 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | ? 21 |
? 23 |
? 2 |
– | ? 6 |
? 9 |
? |
| JM&A/Público[29] | 22 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | 28.7 21 |
31.7 23 |
? 0 |
– | 14.0 8 |
? 9 |
3.0 |
| Celeste-Tel[30][31] | 7–26 Sep 2015 | 1,200 | ? | 28.5 22 |
33.9 25 |
5.2 0 |
– | 15.1 8 |
12.2 6 |
5.4 |
| 2015 regional election | 22 Mar 2015 | — | 62.3 | 26.7 20 |
35.4 27 |
6.9 1 |
1.9 0 |
14.9 9 |
9.3 3 |
8.7 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 41.9 | 25.9 21 |
35.1 29 |
11.6 5 |
7.1 2 |
7.1 3 |
1.7 0 |
9.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 24 |
? 26 |
? 9 |
? 1 |
– | – | ? |
| 2012 regional election[34] | 25 Mar 2012 | — | 60.8 | 40.7 30 |
39.6 26 |
11.3 4 |
3.4 0 |
– | – | 1.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 550 | ? | ? 33 |
? 24 |
? 2 |
? 1 |
– | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 68.9 | 45.6 33 |
36.6 25 |
8.3 2 |
4.8 0 |
– | – | 9.0 |
Aragon
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 72.6 | 31.3 6 |
23.0 4 |
6.2 0 |
0.8 0 |
[a] | [b] | 18.6 2 |
17.2 1 |
8.3 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][36] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.2 4/5 |
23.0 4 |
6.2 0 |
1.2 0 |
[a] | [b] | 20.6 3/4 |
18.3 1/2 |
5.2 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 316 | ? | 29.7 4 |
18.8 3 |
8.8 1 |
– | [a] | [b] | 22.1 4 |
16.8 1 |
7.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 4 |
? 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | ? 2 |
? 3 |
Tie |
| NC Report/La Razón[37][38] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 800 | ? | 33.9 7 |
23.7 4 |
5.2 0 |
0.3 0 |
[a] | [b] | 17.2 1 |
17.8 1 |
10.2 |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[39] | 26 Nov–10 Dec 2015 | 1,600 | ? | 31.4 5 |
22.8 4 |
6.6 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | 15.2 1 |
20.8 3 |
8.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.0 4 |
19.0 3/4 |
7.0 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | 18.0 1/2 |
26.0 4 |
1.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.1 5 |
18.4 3 |
? 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | 15.6 1 |
18.4 4 |
9.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 4 |
? 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | ? 2 |
? 3 |
Tie |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 29.1 4 |
22.6 4 |
? 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | 15.3 1 |
19.4 4 |
6.5 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 897 | ? | ? 6 |
? 4 |
? 0 |
– | [a] | [b] | ? 1 |
? 2 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.3 | 27.5 4 |
21.4 4 |
4.2 0 |
0.9 0 |
6.9 0 |
4.6 0 |
20.6 4 |
9.4 1 |
6.1 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 45.7 | 27.9 6 |
24.3 4 |
9.4 1 |
8.5 1 |
– | 4.5 0 |
9.5 1 |
2.9 0 |
3.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 6 |
? 1 |
– | – | [c] | – | – | Tie |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 250 | ? | ? 8 |
? 4 |
? 1 |
– | [a] | [c] | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.0 | 47.7 8 |
31.5 4 |
10.5 1 |
5.8 0 |
[a] | [c] | – | – | 16.2 |
Asturias
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 63.8 | 30.1 3 |
23.3 2 |
[a] | 8.4 0 |
0.6 0 |
21.3 2 |
13.6 1 |
6.8 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][40] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 25.3 2/3 |
21.2 2 |
[a] | 9.1 0/1 |
0.7 0 |
25.4 2/3 |
15.0 1 |
0.1 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 201 | ? | 23.5 2 |
24.5 2 |
[a] | 7.8 0 |
– | 21.8 2 |
18.1 2 |
1.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 2 |
[a] | ? 0 |
– | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.0 4 |
18.0 1/2 |
[a] | 9.0 0/1 |
– | 15.0 1 |
17.0 1 |
19.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.0 3 |
19.4 2 |
[a] | ? 0 |
– | 21.8 2 |
19.1 1 |
8.2 |
| NC Report/La Razón[41][42] | 13 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 27.8 3 |
25.1 2 |
[a] | 8.5 0 |
0.2 0 |
19.1 2 |
16.2 1 |
2.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 2 |
[a] | ? 0 |
– | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 29.4 3 |
22.6 2 |
[a] | ? 0 |
– | 20.0 2 |
18.8 1 |
6.8 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 419 | ? | ? 3 |
? 2 |
[a] | ? 1 |
– | ? 1 |
? 1 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.8 | 21.6 2 |
26.5 3 |
8.2 0 |
11.9 1 |
0.8 0 |
19.1 1 |
7.1 0 |
4.9 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 39.0 | 24.2 3 |
26.1 3 |
4.2 0 |
12.9 1 |
6.0 0 |
13.6 1 |
2.5 0 |
1.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 3 |
? 0 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | ? |
| 2012 regional election | 25 Mar 2012 | — | 51.1 | 21.5 2 |
32.1 3 |
24.8 2 |
13.8 1 |
3.7 0 |
– | – | 7.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 3 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | Tie |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 64.6 | 35.4 3 |
29.3 3 |
14.7 1 |
13.2 1 |
3.9 0 |
– | – | 6.1 |
Balearic Islands
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
El Pi |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 63.3 | 29.1 3 |
18.3 2 |
7.0 0 |
2.4 0 |
0.5 0 |
2.7 0 |
23.1 2 |
14.8 1 |
6.0 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][43] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.4 2/3 |
18.5 2 |
7.6 0 |
2.3 0 |
0.8 0 |
2.6 0 |
24.8 2/3 |
14.0 1 |
2.6 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 147 | ? | 27.4 3 |
17.4 1 |
9.5 1 |
3.6 0 |
– | ? 0 |
24.8 2 |
11.8 1 |
2.6 |
| Gadeso[44][45] | 13 Dec 2015 | 900 | ? | ? 2/3 |
? 2 |
? 0/1 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 2 |
? 1/2 |
? |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2/3 |
? 2 |
– | – | – | – | ? 2 |
? 1/2 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[46][47] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.0– 27.0 2/3 |
19.0– 20.0 2 |
7.0– 8.0 0 |
? 0 |
– | 4.0 0 |
18.0– 19.0 1/2 |
18.0– 20.0 2 |
7.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.0 23 |
13.0 1 |
– | 3.0 0 |
– | – | 26.0 2/3 |
16.0 1/2 |
6.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.5 3 |
21.8 1 |
– | ? 0 |
– | – | 17.7 1 |
19.7 2 |
11.7 |
| NC Report/La Razón[48][49][50] | 13 Nov–5 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 28.2 3 |
24.5 2 |
6.5 0 |
1.1 0 |
0.4 0 |
4.3 0 |
11.4 1 |
19.4 2 |
3.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | – | ? 2 |
? 2 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.4 3 |
21.9 1 |
– | ? 0 |
– | – | 13.1 1 |
20.3 2 |
12.5 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 354 | ? | ? 2/3 |
? 1/2 |
– | – | – | – | ? 2 |
? 2 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[51][52] | 2–6 Nov 2015 | 1,500 | ? | 25.0 2/3 |
22.0 2 |
7.0 0/1 |
3.0 0 |
– | 4.0 0 |
17.0 1/2 |
21.0 2 |
3.0 |
| PSOE[53] | 11 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | ? 1 |
? 1/2 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[54][55][56] | 5–9 Oct 2015 | 1,040 | ? | 26.0 2/3 |
23.0 2/3 |
[d] | 3.0 0 |
– | 5.0 0 |
21.0 1/2 |
19.0 1/2 |
3.0 |
| ? | 27.0 2/3 |
22.0 2/3 |
8.0 0 |
3.0 0 |
– | 4.0 0 |
16.0 1/2 |
18.0 1/2 |
5.0 | |||
| RegioPlus/Més[53][57] | 1–11 Sep 2015 | 1,011 | ? | 25.0– 27.0 3 |
18.0– 21.0 2 |
11.5– 12.5 1 |
3.0– 4.0 0 |
– | 2.0– 4.0 0 |
16.0– 18.0 1 |
10.5– 12.5 1 |
6.0– 7.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[58][59] | 13–17 Jul 2015 | 600 | ? | 27.0 3 |
25.0 2/3 |
9.0 0/1 |
4.0 0 |
– | 5.0 0 |
16.0 1/2 |
10.0 1 |
2.0 |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 57.1 | 28.5 3 |
19.4 2 |
15.3 1 |
2.0 0 |
0.9 0 |
7.9 1 |
14.7 1 |
6.4 0 |
9.1 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 35.6 | 27.5 3 |
22.0 3 |
– | 8.9 1 |
6.7 0 |
– | 10.3 1 |
2.3 0 |
5.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 4 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | Tie |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 150 | ? | ? 5 |
? 3 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 61.0 | 49.6 5 |
28.9 3 |
7.2 0 |
4.9 0 |
4.2 0 |
– | – | – | 20.7 |
Basque Country
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |  
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 69.0 | 24.7 6 |
15.1 2 |
13.2 3 |
11.6 2 |
2.9 0 |
0.3 0 |
26.0 5 |
4.1 0 |
1.3 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][60] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 22.9 4/5 |
18.2 3/4 |
11.5 1/2 |
8.9 1/2 |
3.4 0 |
0.7 0 |
26.0 5/6 |
5.9 0 |
3.1 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 249 | ? | 24.4 5 |
20.2 4 |
16.1 4 |
10.0 2 |
3.7 0 |
– | 16.1 3 |
6.9 0 |
4.2 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 4 |
? 2 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 4 |
? 0 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[61] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 23.0 5 |
18.0 3 |
14.0 3 |
12.0 2 |
– | – | 22.0 5 |
? 0 |
1.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.6 6 |
19.1 4 |
12.1 3 |
10.5 2 |
– | – | 12.0 2 |
8.0 1 |
7.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón[62][63][64] | 13 Nov–5 Dec 2015 | 825 | ? | 25.6 6 |
21.3 5 |
15.0 2/3 |
12.6 2 |
1.7 0 |
0.9 0 |
17.4 2/3 |
2.9 0 |
4.3 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 5 |
? 4 |
? 3 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 4 |
? 0 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 25.0 6 |
18.3 4 |
14.6 3 |
11.3 2 |
– | – | 11.5 2 |
8.3 1 |
6.7 |
| Aztiker/Gara[65][66] | 16–28 Nov 2015 | 1,650 | ? | 27.3 6 |
19.1 4 |
14.1 2 |
9.8 2 |
3.1 0 |
0.2 0 |
15.7 4 |
8.2 0 |
8.2 |
| Gizaker/Grupo Noticias[67][68] | 14–18 Nov 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 30.5 6 |
20.4 4 |
13.0 2 |
9.7 2 |
– | – | 19.2 4 |
3.7 0 |
10.1 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,283 | ? | ? 5 |
? 5/6 |
? 1/2 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 4 |
? 0 |
? |
| Ikertalde/GPS[69][70] | 13–19 Oct 2015 | 2,520 | 68.5 | 27.4 6 |
19.9 4 |
14.6 2 |
11.4 2 |
2.2 0 |
0.3 0 |
17.7 4 |
4.4 0 |
7.5 |
| 2015 foral elections | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.8 | 33.3 7 |
22.4 5 |
13.6 2 |
9.3 1 |
2.7 0 |
0.5 0 |
13.7 3 |
2.1 0 |
10.9 |
| 2015 local elections | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.8 | 33.1 | 23.4 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 9.7 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 43.1 | 27.5 7 |
23.4 6 |
13.8 3 |
10.2 2 |
5.6 0 |
3.3 0 |
6.9 0 |
0.8 0 |
4.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 7 |
? 4 |
? 4 |
? 3 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| 2012 regional election | 21 Oct 2012 | — | 64.0 | 34.2 7 |
24.7 6 |
18.9 3 |
11.6 2 |
2.7 0 |
1.9 0 |
– | – | 9.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 5 |
? 6 |
? 4 |
? 3 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 67.3 | 27.4 5 |
24.1 6 |
21.6 4 |
17.8 3 |
3.7 0 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | 3.3 |
Canary Islands
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 60.3 | 28.5 5 |
22.0 4 |
8.2 1 |
3.1 0 |
0.5 0 |
[e] | 23.3 3 |
11.4 2 |
5.2 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][71] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.9 5/6 |
22.0 4 |
6.0 0/1 |
3.1 0 |
0.5 0 |
[e] | 24.0 3/4 |
12.4 2 |
3.9 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 185 | ? | 16.5 3 |
21.8 3 |
14.3 2 |
3.6 0 |
– | [e] | 26.0 5 |
13.0 2 |
4.2 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[72][73] | 5–12 Dec 2015 | 1,600 | ? | 24.5 3/5 |
24.4 4 |
6.9 0/1 |
2.3 0 |
0.6 0 |
[e] | 16.8 2/3 |
22.4 4 |
0.1 |
| TSA/Canarias7[74][75] | 4–11 Dec 2015 | 1,802 | ? | 21.9 3/4 |
25.3 4/5 |
9.6 1 |
– | – | [e] | 17.9 2/3 |
19.8 2/4 |
3.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
– | – | [e] | ? 3 |
? 2 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.0 6 |
18.0 3 |
8.0 0/1 |
– | – | [e] | 16.0 2 |
21.0 3/4 |
11.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.2 5 |
24.5 5 |
11.5 1 |
– | – | [e] | 14.5 2 |
16.6 2 |
? |
| NC Report/La Razón[76][77] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 600 | ? | 24.3 5 |
23.0 4 |
8.4 1 |
3.6 0 |
0.8 0 |
[e] | 17.0 2 |
20.9 3 |
1.3 |
| TSA/Canarias7[78] | 25 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 21.5 3/4 |
24.8 5 |
8.5 1 |
– | – | [e] | 16.6 2 |
20.9 3/4 |
3.3 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
– | – | [e] | ? 3 |
? 2 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.9 5 |
18.2 4 |
12.9 2 |
– | – | [e] | 11.2 2 |
16.1 2 |
9.7 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 731 | ? | ? 6 |
? 3/4 |
? 1 |
– | – | [e] | ? 2/3 |
? 2 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 55.8 | 18.6 3 |
19.9 4 |
18.2 4 |
2.2 0 |
0.9 0 |
10.2 2 |
14.5 2 |
5.9 0 |
1.3 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 35.0 | 23.4 5 |
22.2 4 |
12.2 2 |
10.5 2 |
6.9 0 |
– | 11.0 2 |
1.4 0 |
1.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 7 |
? 6 |
? 2 |
– | – | [f] | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 250 | ? | ? 9 |
? 3/4 |
? 2/3 |
– | – | [f] | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 59.6 | 48.0 9 |
24.9 4 |
15.5 2 |
4.3 0 |
2.6 0 |
[f] | – | – | 23.1 |
Cantabria
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
PRC |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 71.0 | 36.9 2 |
22.4 1 |
– | 0.8 0 |
4.4 0 |
17.9 1 |
15.2 1 |
14.5 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][79] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.8 2 |
22.2 1 |
– | 1.5 0 |
5.5 0 |
18.0 1 |
16.1 1 |
11.6 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 94 | ? | 33.7 2 |
29.6 2 |
– | – | 8.2 0 |
14.9 1 |
10.7 0 |
4.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2/3 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | ? 0 |
? 1/2 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.0 2 |
20.0 1 |
– | – | 4.0 0 |
19.0 1 |
23.0 1 |
10.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.1 2 |
17.9 1 |
– | – | – | 14.2 1 |
21.5 1 |
16.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[80][81][82] | 13 Nov–5 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 35.3 2 |
25.7 1/2 |
– | 2.0 0 |
3.2 0 |
13.0 0/1 |
18.8 1 |
9.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.5 2 |
20.9 1 |
– | – | – | 13.1 1 |
21.3 1 |
16.2 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 285 | ? | ? 3 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.2 | 32.6 2 |
14.0 1 |
29.9 2 |
0.7 0 |
2.5 0 |
8.9 0 |
6.9 0 |
2.7 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 44.1 | 34.7 3 |
24.3 2 |
– | 8.2 0 |
9.0 0 |
9.2 0 |
3.0 0 |
10.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 2 |
– | – | – | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 150 | ? | ? 4 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.6 | 52.2 4 |
25.2 1 |
12.5 0 |
3.6 0 |
3.6 0 |
– | – | 27.0 |
Castile and León
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 71.2 | 39.1 17 |
22.5 9 |
0.9 0 |
4.6 0 |
15.1 3 |
15.4 3 |
16.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][83] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 35.6 15/17 |
20.6 8/9 |
1.1 0 |
4.9 0 |
17.9 4/5 |
16.4 4/5 |
15.0 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 389 | ? | 34.6 15 |
24.4 9 |
– | 3.5 0 |
15.9 3 |
16.2 5 |
10.2 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 15 |
? 7 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 9 |
? |
| NC Report/La Razón[84][85] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 2,350 | ? | 38.1 17 |
22.8 9 |
0.3 0 |
3.2 0 |
15.2 2 |
18.3 4 |
15.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.0 16 |
18.0 6/7 |
– | 4.0 0 |
15.0 1/2 |
23.0 8 |
14.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.0 16 |
18.8 5 |
– | – | 15.4 2 |
22.8 9 |
15.2 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 15/16 |
? 7 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 8/9 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.4 14 |
21.4 7 |
– | – | 14.3 2 |
22.5 9 |
14.9 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 2,245 | ? | ? 17/18 |
? 7/8 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 7 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 64.9 | 37.7 18 |
25.9 11 |
1.4 0 |
4.1 0 |
12.1 3 |
10.3 0 |
11.8 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 45.9 | 37.5 21 |
23.4 11 |
8.3 0 |
8.3 0 |
8.1 0 |
2.7 0 |
14.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 18 |
? 13 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 350 | ? | ? 21 |
? 11 |
? 0 |
– | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 71.3 | 55.4 21 |
29.2 11 |
6.1 0 |
5.6 0 |
– | – | 26.2 |
Castilla–La Mancha
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 75.3 | 38.1 10 |
28.4 7 |
3.6 0 |
0.5 0 |
13.7 1 |
13.8 3 |
9.7 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][86] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 35.0 9/10 |
26.6 6/7 |
4.3 0 |
0.9 0 |
15.3 2/3 |
15.4 2/3 |
8.4 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 548 | ? | 33.7 9 |
31.1 7 |
3.7 0 |
– | 12.3 1 |
16.1 4 |
2.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 5 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 4 |
? |
| NC Report/La Razón[87][88] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 925 | ? | 38.1 11 |
25.8 5 |
3.3 0 |
0.6 0 |
14.7 2 |
15.4 3 |
12.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.0 10 |
21.0 5 |
4.0 0 |
– | 13.0 1 |
23.0 5 |
14.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.3 10 |
19.8 4 |
– | – | 15.3 2 |
22.2 5 |
15.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 10 |
? 7 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 3 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.5 9 |
22.6 5 |
– | – | 14.0 2 |
21.8 5 |
13.9 |
| JM&A/Periódico CLM[89] | 21 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 36.1 10 |
24.5 7 |
4.2 0 |
– | 10.7 0 |
19.4 4 |
11.6 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,229 | ? | ? 10/11 |
? 5/6 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 5 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.5 | 37.5 11 |
36.1 10 |
3.1 0 |
1.0 0 |
9.7 0 |
8.6 0 |
1.4 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 46.4 | 37.7 13 |
28.8 8 |
8.7 0 |
7.2 0 |
6.4 0 |
2.2 0 |
8.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 10 |
? 11 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 14 |
? 7 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 75.8 | 55.8 14 |
30.3 7 |
5.8 0 |
5.0 0 |
– | – | 25.5 |
Catalonia
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 68.6 | – | 15.7 8 |
11.1 5 |
[g] | 16.0 9 |
0.2 0 |
13.0 5 |
– | [g] | 15.1 8 |
1.7 0 |
24.7 12 |
– | 8.7 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][90] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 15.4 7/8 |
11.6 5/6 |
[g] | 16.4 9/11 |
1.0 0 |
15.5 7/8 |
– | [g] | 11.1 6/7 |
2.0 0 |
24.9 12/13 |
– | 8.5 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 738 | ? | – | 12.7 4 |
8.6 4 |
[g] | 21.3 12 |
– | 18.3 10 |
– | [g] | 18.1 10 |
– | 15.8 7 |
– | 3.0 |
| JM&A/Público[91] | 13 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 15.2 8 |
11.0 4 |
[g] | 14.6 8 |
– | 20.0 9 |
– | [g] | 15.9 9 |
– | 19.0 9 |
– | 1.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | ? 8/9 |
? 4/6 |
[g] | ? 8 |
– | ? 7/8 |
– | [g] | ? 9 |
– | ? 9 |
– | Tie |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[92][93] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 16.0 7/8 |
11.0 4 |
[g] | 16.0 9 |
– | 18.0 7/8 |
– | [g] | 16.0 9 |
– | 20.0 10 |
– | 2.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 18.8 9 |
13.0 5 |
[g] | 14.0 8 |
– | 19.6 10 |
– | [g] | 13.2 7 |
– | 18.1 8 |
– | 0.8 |
| NC Report/La Razón[94][95][96] | 13 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 1,225 | ? | – | 16.6 8 |
9.9 5 |
[g] | 15.2 8 |
0.2 0 |
19.2 9 |
– | [g] | 14.8 7 |
2.8 0 |
19.1 9 |
– | 0.1 |
| JM&A/Público[16] | 6 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 15.3 8 |
? 4 |
[g] | ? 8 |
– | 20.6 9 |
– | [g] | ? 10 |
– | 17.6 8 |
– | ? |
| A+M/20minutos[18][97] | 26 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 800 | ? | – | ? 8/9 |
? 5 |
[g] | ? 8/9 |
– | ? 9 |
– | [g] | ? 7/8 |
– | ? 8/9 |
– | ? |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | ? 8 |
? 4/5 |
[g] | ? 8 |
– | ? 7/8 |
– | [g] | ? 9 |
– | ? 10 |
– | ? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | – | 19.4 10 |
11.0 5 |
4.5 1 |
14.7 8 |
– | 19.0 9 |
– | 15.0 7 |
13.9 7 |
– | – | – | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[98] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 800 | ? | – | 17.4 8/9 |
8.8 3/4 |
[g] | 18.1 9/11 |
– | 18.4 8/10 |
– | [g] | 14.1 7/8 |
– | 19.4 9/10 |
– | 1.0 |
| Feedback/La Vanguardia[99] | 20–27 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | ? | – | 16.5 9 |
11.8 5 |
[g] | 17.4 9 |
– | 17.7 9 |
– | [g] | 16.0 9 |
2.3 0 |
15.0 6 |
– | 0.3 |
| GESOP/CEO[100] | 16–23 Nov 2015 | 1,050 | 75 | – | 16.2 8/9 |
12.8 5 |
[g] | 17.9 9/11 |
– | 16.6 8/9 |
– | [g] | 17.5 9/10 |
– | 14.0 5/6 |
– | 0.4 |
| JM&A/Público[26] | 19 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | – | 14.3 8 |
9.7 4 |
[g] | 18.9 11 |
– | 19.5 9 |
– | [g] | 15.4 8 |
– | 17.1 7 |
– | 0.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[101][102][103] | 16–17 Nov 2015 | 800 | 73 | – | 18.4 9 |
9.1 3 |
[g] | 16.0 8 |
– | 18.0 9 |
– | [g] | 14.5 9 |
– | 17.3 9 |
– | 0.4 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,989 | ? | – | ? 7/8 |
? 4 |
[g] | ? 7 |
– | ? 9 |
– | [g] | ? 9 |
– | ? 10/11 |
– | ? |
| JM&A/Público[104] | 4 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | – | 13.0 7 |
? 4 |
? 1 |
? 8 |
– | 20.1 10 |
– | ? 4 |
20.4 13 |
– | – | – | 0.3 |
| GAD3/ABC[105] | 14 Oct–4 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | – | ? 7 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
? 10 |
– | ? 10 |
– | ? 4 |
? 9 |
? 1 |
– | – | Tie |
| 2015 regional election | 27 Sep 2015 | — | 74.9 | – | 12.7 5 |
8.5 3 |
[h] | [i] | – | 17.9 8 |
8.2 2 |
[h] | [i] | 2.5 0 |
8.9 3 |
39.6 26 |
21.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[106] | 14–16 Sep 2015 | 2,000 | 74 | – | 17.7 8 |
9.7 4 |
[h] | [i] | – | 12.7 5 |
4.0 1 |
[h] | [i] | – | 21.5 10 |
31.8 19 |
10.3 |
| 74 | – | 17.8 8 |
9.7 4 |
[h] | 16.2 8 |
– | 12.7 6 |
4.0 1 |
[h] | 15.8 8 |
– | 21.5 12 |
– | 3.7 | |||
| Opinòmetre/CEO[107] | 9 Feb–2 Mar 2015 | 2,000 | 68 | 18.8 12 |
10.8 5/6 |
11.9 5/6 |
3.7 1 |
15.1 8/9 |
– | 7.9 2/3 |
3.9 1 |
21.2 11/12 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 2.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[108] | 20–26 Feb 2015 | 800 | ? | 17.0 10 |
11.3 5/6 |
11.9 6 |
3.6 1 |
13.7 7/8 |
– | 15.7 7 |
3.6 1 |
20.5 9 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 3.5 |
| DYM/CEO[109] | 9–13 Dec 2014 | 1,100 | 70 | 18.8 11/12 |
13.3 6/7 |
10.7 4/5 |
4.6 1/2 |
17.5 8/9 |
– | 5.1 2 |
2.7 0 |
20.4 10/11 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 1.6 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[110] | 14–17 Nov 2014 | 800 | ? | 17.3 10 |
11.3 5/6 |
11.8 6/7 |
5.2 1/2 |
15.4 8/9 |
– | 10.5 4 |
3.0 0/1 |
22.8 10/12 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 5.5 |
| Opinòmetre/CEO[111] | 29 Sep–23 Oct 2014 | 2,000 | ? | 18.0 10/12 |
15.0 8/9 |
11.1 5/6 |
5.1 2 |
21.0 12/13 |
– | 2.5 0/1 |
3.8 1 |
14.0 7/8 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 3.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[112][113] | 16–18 Jun 2014 | 800 | ? | 17.5 9/10 |
11.5 5/6 |
14.1 8 |
7.9 3 |
20.0 12/13 |
– | 9.3 3 |
– | 12.6 5/6 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 2.5 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 46.2 | 21.8 14 |
14.3 6 |
9.8 4 |
10.3 4 |
23.7 15 |
1.3 0 |
6.3 2 |
– | 4.7 2 |
[j] | [j] | – | – | 1.9 |
| Feedback/La Vanguardia[114] | 30 Apr–8 May 2014 | 577 | ? | 25.1 13 |
19.5 11 |
16.3 9 |
11.3 5 |
15.5 7 |
– | 6.5 2 |
– | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 5.6 |
| Opinòmetre/CEO[115] | 24 Mar–15 Apr 2014 | 2,000 | 65 | 22.7 14/15 |
16.2 8/9 |
12.5 5/6 |
10.3 4 |
19.1 11/12 |
1.2 0 |
6.6 2/3 |
5.4 1 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 1.6 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[116][117] | 26–28 Feb 2014 | 800 | ? | 22.5 13 |
16.0 8 |
13.9 7/8 |
12.1 4/5 |
17.9 10/11 |
3.5 1 |
5.7 2 |
2.0 0 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 4.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 12 |
? 10 |
? 6 |
? 8 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | ? |
| GESOP/CEO[118] | 4–14 Nov 2013 | 2,000 | 65 | 22.2 13/14 |
17.0 8/9 |
12.7 7/8 |
9.0 3 |
20.6 11/12 |
– | 9.2 3/4 |
4.0 0/1 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 1.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[119][120][121] | 28–30 Oct 2013 | 1,000 | 60 | 21.5 14 |
17.8 9 |
15.5 9 |
12.1 5 |
16.5 8 |
– | 6.4 2 |
1.6 0 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 3.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[122][123] | 16–18 Oct 2013 | 800 | ? | 22.0 13/14 |
17.0 8/9 |
12.7 6 |
11.1 4 |
19.6 11/13 |
3.0 0/1 |
6.5 2 |
1.8 0 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 2.4 |
| Feedback/La Vanguardia[124][125] | 2–6 Sep 2013 | 300 | ? | 23.1 13 |
23.4 12 |
15.7 8 |
12.1 5 |
14.3 7 |
5.1 2 |
– | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 0.3 |
| GESOP/CEO[126] | 31 May–13 Jun 2013 | 2,000 | 65 | 23.5 13/14 |
17.4 9/10 |
12.5 6/7 |
10.5 4 |
18.8 10/11 |
– | 6.3 2 |
4.1 1 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 4.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[127] | 28–31 May 2013 | 800 | ? | 24.6 14/15 |
18.7 10/11 |
13.3 6/7 |
12.7 5 |
14.1 8/9 |
2.9 0/1 |
4.0 1 |
– | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 5.9 |
| GESOP/CEO[128] | 4–14 Feb 2013 | 2,000 | 65 | 27.3 14/16 |
19.9 10/12 |
13.2 7/8 |
10.0 4 |
14.9 8/9 |
– | 4.0 1/2 |
3.7 1 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 7.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[129] | 14–16 Jan 2013 | 800 | ? | 23.8 14/15 |
21.0 10/11 |
18.1 10/11 |
9.1 3/4 |
13.7 7/8 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 2.8 |
| 2012 regional election | 25 Nov 2012 | — | 67.8 | 30.7 20 |
14.4 7 |
13.0 5 |
9.9 4 |
13.7 7 |
0.4 0 |
7.6 3 |
3.5 1 |
– | [j] | [j] | – | – | 16.3 |
| DYM/CEO[130] | 22–30 Oct 2012 | 2,500 | 68 | 32.9 20 |
19.5 11 |
17.6 10 |
8.8 3 |
7.5 3 |
– | 2.5 1 |
– | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 13.4 |
| Feedback/La Vanguardia[131] | 21–27 Sep 2012 | 1,200 | ? | 37.1 20 |
18.5 9 |
18.2 9 |
14.0 5 |
8.1 4 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 18.6 |
| DYM/CEO[132] | 4–18 Jun 2012 | 2,500 | 70.6 | 31.0 18/19 |
24.3 13 |
16.4 8 |
10.0 4 |
8.5 3/4 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 6.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[133][134] | 7–9 May 2012 | 800 | ? | 27.0 15/16 |
28.0 15/16 |
17.0 9/10 |
8.0 3 |
9.0 3/4 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 1.0 |
| DYM/CEO[135] | 6–21 Feb 2012 | 2,500 | ? | 30.2 17/18 |
25.9 12/13 |
19.8 10/11 |
8.8 3 |
7.3 3 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 4.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 350 | ? | ? 15/16 |
? 13 |
? 11/12 |
? 4 |
? 3 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | ? |
| GESOP/El Periódico[136][137] | 16–19 Jan 2012 | 800 | ? | 24.7 15/16 |
26.5 14/15 |
22.4 11/12 |
8.1 3 |
7.4 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 1.8 |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 65.2 | 29.3 16 |
26.7 14 |
20.7 11 |
8.1 3 |
7.1 3 |
1.1 0 |
– | – | – | [j] | [j] | – | – | 2.6 |
Extremadura
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 72.2 | 34.8 4 |
36.0 5 |
3.0 0 |
0.4 0 |
12.7 1 |
11.4 0 |
1.2 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][138] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.8 4/5 |
35.2 4/5 |
4.7 0 |
0.5 0 |
13.1 0/1 |
10.9 0/1 |
2.4 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 119 | ? | 36.1 5 |
32.7 4 |
4.4 0 |
– | 13.9 1 |
10.3 0 |
3.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 5 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.0 5 |
29.0 4 |
5.0 0 |
– | 11.0 0 |
16.0 1 |
9.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.1 4 |
31.5 4 |
– | – | 16.9 1 |
17.5 1 |
1.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón[139][140] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 575 | ? | 31.9 4 |
32.2 4 |
4.2 0 |
0.4 0 |
11.6 0 |
17.5 2 |
0.3 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 5 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 32.4 4 |
26.4 3 |
– | – | 17.0 1 |
20.3 2 |
6.0 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 510 | ? | ? 4 |
? 5 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.4 | 37.0 5 |
41.5 5 |
4.2 0 |
0.6 0 |
8.0 0 |
4.4 0 |
4.5 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 44.1 | 35.6 5 |
38.7 5 |
6.3 0 |
5.5 0 |
4.8 0 |
1.0 0 |
3.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 5 |
? 5 |
– | – | – | – | Tie |
| Celeste-Tel/El Periódico[141] | 3–7 Sep 2012 | 1,100 | ? | 40.0 5 |
42.3 5 |
8.3 0 |
6.7 0 |
– | – | 2.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 6 |
? 4 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 73.9 | 51.2 6 |
37.2 4 |
5.7 0 |
3.5 0 |
– | – | 14.0 |
Galicia
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
Nós |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 61.5 | 37.1 10 |
21.3 6 |
4.3 0 |
[k] | 0.5 0 |
[k] | [k] | 9.1 1 |
25.0 6 |
12.1 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][142] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.5 9/10 |
19.3 4/5 |
5.3 0 |
[k] | 0.6 0 |
[k] | [k] | 10.7 1/2 |
27.0 7/8 |
7.5 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 34.5 11 |
12.9 2 |
7.8 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | 14.5 3 |
26.1 7 |
8.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11/12 |
? 5/6 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | ? 2 |
? 3/5 |
? |
| NC Report/La Razón[143][144] | 13 Nov–10 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | ? | 35.5 10/11 |
21.3 6 |
7.0 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | 11.4 2 |
18.3 4/5 |
14.2 |
| Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[145] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | 1,700 | ? | 38.1 11 |
17.4 4 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | 16.4 2 |
20.6 6 |
17.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.0 9 |
21.0 6 |
3.0 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | 15.0 2 |
20.0 6 |
15.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 39.6 11 |
19.2 5 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | 18.8 5 |
16.0 2 |
20.4 |
| Infortécnica[146] | 16 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 2,114 | ? | ? 10/12 |
? 4/5 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | ? 2 |
? 4/6 |
? |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 6 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | ? 2 |
? 4 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.9 10 |
21.2 6 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | 19.6 5 |
12.1 2 |
15.7 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,296 | ? | ? 10 |
? 5/6 |
? 0 |
[k] | – | [k] | [k] | ? 2 |
? 5/6 |
? |
| Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[147] | 17–23 Oct 2014 | 500 | 56.0 | 43.0 | 23.0 | 5.7 | [l] | – | 3.5 | 20.7 | – | – | 20.0 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 38.7 | 35.2 13 |
21.8 6 |
7.9 0 |
[l] | 3.3 0 |
10.5 2 |
8.4 2 |
1.6 0 |
– | 13.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 11 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | Tie |
| 2012 regional election | 21 Oct 2012 | — | 54.9 | 45.8 14 |
20.6 5 |
10.1 2 |
[l] | 1.5 0 |
13.9 2 |
– | – | – | 25.2 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 15 |
? 6 |
? 2 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 62.2 | 52.5 15 |
27.8 6 |
11.2 2 |
4.1 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | – | – | – | 24.7 |
La Rioja
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 72.4 | 38.3 2 |
23.7 1 |
0.8 0 |
4.2 0 |
15.8 1 |
15.1 0 |
14.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][148] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.6 1/2 |
21.6 1 |
0.6 0 |
4.5 0 |
20.0 1 |
15.9 0/1 |
13.0 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 175 | ? | 30.3 2 |
24.2 1 |
– | 3.4 0 |
13.5 0 |
22.3 1 |
6.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 39.0 2 |
21.0 1 |
– | 4.0 0 |
11.0 0 |
22.0 1 |
17.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.9 2 |
19.4 1 |
– | – | ? 0 |
22.9 1 |
15.0 |
| NC Report/La Razón[149][150] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 37.1 2 |
25.1 1 |
0.3 0 |
3.2 0 |
12.8 0 |
18.3 1 |
12.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| Metroscopia/El País[151][152] | 30 Nov–2 Dec 2015 | 400 | 77 | 33.6 2 |
24.1 1 |
– | 4.5 0 |
12.8 0 |
20.8 1 |
9.5 |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 37.1 2 |
22.5 1 |
– | – | ? 0 |
22.5 1 |
14.6 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 252 | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
– | – | ? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 67.3 | 38.6 2 |
26.7 2 |
1.2 0 |
4.2 0 |
11.2 0 |
10.4 0 |
11.9 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 47.5 | 38.4 3 |
23.7 1 |
9.0 0 |
8.1 0 |
7.5 0 |
2.3 0 |
14.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 2 |
? 2 |
– | – | – | – | Tie |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 150 | ? | ? 3 |
? 1 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 72.8 | 54.7 3 |
31.1 1 |
6.0 0 |
4.6 0 |
– | – | 23.6 |
Madrid
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 74.1 | 33.4 13 |
17.8 6 |
1.2 0 |
5.3 2 |
20.9 8 |
18.8 7 |
0.6 0 |
12.5 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][153] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.4 11/13 |
16.1 6/7 |
2.1 0 |
6.3 2 |
23.5 9/10 |
18.7 6/7 |
– | 6.9 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 1,593 | ? | 27.5 11 |
22.0 9 |
– | 4.6 1 |
19.5 7 |
21.6 8 |
– | 5.5 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Europa Press[154] | 9–12 Dec 2015 | 700 | ? | 34.2 13 |
16.1 6 |
2.5 0/1 |
4.6 1 |
18.0 7 |
22.5 8/9 |
– | 11.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 12/13 |
? 7 |
– | ? 1 |
? 8 |
? 7/8 |
– | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[155][156] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 600 | ? | 33.4 13 |
20.1 7 |
0.3 0 |
4.4 1 |
20.4 8 |
18.9 7 |
– | 13.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 29.0 11/12 |
18.0 7 |
– | 5.0 1 |
22.0 8 |
23.0 8/9 |
– | 6.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 34.1 13 |
17.3 7 |
– | 4.7 1 |
16.7 6 |
23.8 9 |
– | 10.3 |
| JM&A/Público[16] | 6 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 27.0 11 |
16.5 6 |
– | ? 1 |
19.0 7 |
28.1 11 |
– | 1.1 |
| A+M/20minutos[18][157] | 4 Dec 2015 | 700 | ? | ? 10/11 |
? 6/7 |
– | ? 2 |
? 8 |
? 9 |
– | ? |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 13 |
? 6/7 |
– | ? 1 |
? 7/8 |
? 8 |
– | ? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 33.8 13 |
20.0 7 |
– | 4.7 1 |
15.5 6 |
23.6 9 |
– | 10.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[158][159] | 25–26 Nov 2015 | 600 | 78 | 27.3 11 |
18.7 7 |
– | 5.1 1/2 |
19.5 7 |
24.8 9/10 |
– | 2.5 |
| JM&A/Público[26] | 19 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 27.8 11 |
? 7 |
– | ? 1 |
? 7 |
26.4 10 |
– | 1.4 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 791 | ? | ? 13/14 |
? 5 |
– | ? 1 |
? 6/7 |
? 10 |
– | ? |
| GAD3/ABC[160] | 14–29 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | ? 12 |
? 8/9 |
– | ? 2 |
? 6 |
? 7/8 |
– | ? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 65.7 | 33.1 13 |
25.4 10 |
2.0 0 |
4.2 1 |
18.6 7 |
12.2 5 |
1.2 0 |
7.7 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 46.5 | 30.0 13 |
19.0 8 |
10.6 4 |
10.6 4 |
11.4 4 |
4.8 2 |
3.7 1 |
11.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 14 |
? 10 |
? 7 |
? 5 |
– | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 350 | ? | ? 19 |
? 9/10 |
? 4/5 |
? 3/4 |
– | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 73.3 | 51.0 19 |
26.0 10 |
10.3 4 |
8.0 3 |
– | – | – | 25.0 |
Murcia
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 71.1 | 40.4 5 |
20.3 2 |
0.7 0 |
3.1 0 |
15.2 1 |
17.7 2 |
20.1 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][161] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 38.1 4/5 |
17.9 2 |
1.0 0 |
4.2 0 |
15.4 1/2 |
19.7 2 |
18.4 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 271 | ? | 38.6 5 |
18.1 2 |
– | 4.9 0 |
20.7 2 |
14.6 1 |
18.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 5 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 2 |
? |
| Celeste-Tel/PSOE[162][163] | 2–9 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | 77.2 | 36.3 4 |
24.3 3 |
4.0 0 |
3.9 0 |
14.0 1 |
16.5 2 |
12.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 36.0 4 |
19.0 2 |
– | 2.0 0 |
18.0 2 |
23.0 2 |
13.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 44.1 5 |
14.0 1 |
– | – | 12.9 1 |
23.6 3 |
20.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón[164][165] | 13 Nov–7 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 40.6 5 |
18.6 2 |
0.2 0 |
4.0 0 |
13.4 1 |
19.9 2 |
20.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 5 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 2 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 43.5 5 |
16.4 2 |
– | – | 12.0 1 |
23.3 2 |
20.2 |
| Sigma Dos/La7 TV[166][167] | 17–18 Nov 2015 | 700 | ? | 38.3 5 |
17.3 2 |
– | 3.4 0 |
13.6 1 |
22.8 2 |
15.5 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 413 | ? | ? 5 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 2 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.6 | 37.4 5 |
23.9 3 |
1.6 0 |
4.8 0 |
13.2 1 |
12.6 1 |
13.5 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 42.5 | 37.5 5 |
20.7 2 |
9.5 1 |
9.8 1 |
7.6 1 |
3.6 0 |
16.8 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 4 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 8 |
? 2 |
– | – | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 74.1 | 64.2 8 |
21.0 2 |
6.3 0 |
5.7 0 |
– | – | 43.2 |
Navarre
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 70.9 | 28.9 2 |
15.5 1 |
9.9 0 |
8.7 0 |
4.1 0 |
0.4 0 |
[a] | 23.0 2 |
7.1 0 |
5.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][168] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 26.5 2 |
15.0 1 |
10.0 0/1 |
10.9 0/1 |
4.8 0 |
0.3 0 |
[a] | 22.0 1/2 |
7.8 0 |
4.5 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 120 | ? | 30.8 2 |
14.6 1 |
18.1 1 |
15.0 1 |
3.4 0 |
– | [a] | 10.6 0 |
6.9 0 |
12.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
– | – | [a] | ? 1 |
? 0 |
? |
| NC Report/La Razón[169][170] | 13 Nov–10 Dec 2015 | 400 | ? | 28.4 2 |
16.2 1 |
12.7 1 |
11.9 0 |
3.5 0 |
0.2 0 |
[a] | 17.1 1 |
7.8 0 |
11.3 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 24.4 2 |
14.7 1 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
– | – | [a] | 14.2 1 |
13.8 1 |
9.7 |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra[171][172] | 26 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 800 | 76 | 25.2 1/2 |
13.5 1 |
12.6 1 |
12.3 0/1 |
6.8 0 |
– | [a] | 15.3 1 |
11.7 0 |
9.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
– | – | [a] | ? 1 |
? 0 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 22.8 2 |
14.0 1 |
? 0 |
12.6 1 |
– | – | [a] | ? 0 |
13.9 1 |
8.8 |
| Aztiker/Gara[65][66] | 16–28 Nov 2015 | 600 | ? | 27.5 2 |
16.1 1 |
13.2 1 |
12.1 0 |
3.3 0 |
0.4 0 |
[a] | 14.3 1 |
11.0 0 |
11.4 |
| CIES/NaTV[173] | 27 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 28.6 2 |
14.8 1 |
12.9 0 |
15.7 1 |
– | – | [a] | 14.3 1 |
– | 12.9 |
| Gizaker/Grupo Noticias[174][175] | 26–27 Nov 2015 | 800 | 69.4 | 29.2 2 |
12.2 0/1 |
12.5 0/1 |
12.9 0/1 |
5.4 0 |
– | [a] | 15.9 1 |
8.4 0 |
13.3 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 427 | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
– | – | [a] | ? 1 |
? 0 |
? |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 68.3 | 3.9 0 |
13.4 0 |
14.3 1 |
15.8 1 |
3.7 0 |
0.5 0 |
27.4 2 |
13.7 1 |
3.0 0 |
11.6 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 44.5 | 25.1 2 |
14.5 1 |
20.2 2 |
2.5 0 |
9.5 0 |
4.6 0 |
– | 9.3 0 |
1.8 0 |
4.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | – | [a] | – | – | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 200 | ? | ? 2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
– | – | [a] | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 68.9 | 38.2 2 |
22.0 1 |
14.9 1 |
12.8 1 |
5.5 0 |
2.1 0 |
[a] | – | – | 16.2 |
Valencian Community
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 74.8 | 31.3 11 |
19.8 7 |
4.2 0 |
0.6 0 |
[m] | [m] | 15.8 5 |
25.1 9 |
6.2 |
| TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][176] | 20 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 30.3 11/12 |
18.5 6/7 |
4.6 0/1 |
1.0 0 |
[m] | [m] | 17.0 5/6 |
25.5 9/10 |
4.8 |
| GIPEyOP[3] | 27 Nov–14 Dec 2015 | 7,531 | ? | 25.4 9 |
20.0 7 |
5.2 1 |
– | [m] | [m] | 17.9 7 |
26.2 8 |
0.8 |
| GAD3/ABC[6] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 7 |
? 0 |
– | [m] | [m] | ? 6 |
? 7 |
? |
| NC Report/La Razón[177][178] | 13 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 925 | ? | 32.9 13 |
21.0 7 |
4.1 0 |
0.4 0 |
[m] | [m] | 19.6 6 |
20.4 6 |
11.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[8][9] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.0 10/12 |
22.0 7 |
7.0 1 |
– | [m] | [m] | 20.0 6/7 |
20.0 6/7 |
6.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados[10][11][12] | 1–9 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.5 11 |
20.5 7 |
? 0 |
– | [m] | [m] | 25.1 8 |
18.0 6 |
3.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[20][21] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 6/7 |
? 0/1 |
– | [m] | [m] | ? 7 |
? 7 |
? |
| Redondo & Asociados[22][23] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | ? | ? | 28.9 10 |
23.6 8 |
? 0 |
– | [m] | [m] | 24.4 8 |
16.3 6 |
4.5 |
| PP[179] | 29 Nov 2015 | ? | ? | 26.7– 28.4 10/11 |
20.8– 22.5 7 |
? 0 |
– | [m] | [m] | 22.8– 24.5 8/9 |
19.8– 21.5 6 |
3.9 |
| ODEC/PSPV[180][181] | 23 Nov 2015 | 2,950 | ? | 25.6 9 |
23.3 9 |
4.9 0/1 |
– | [m] | [m] | 20.9 7 |
19.7 6/7 |
2.3 |
| CIS[27] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 1,242 | ? | ? 10/12 |
? 6/7 |
? 0/1 |
– | [m] | [m] | ? 7 |
? 7 |
? |
| GAD3/ABC[160] | 14–29 Oct 2015 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 9 |
? 0 |
– | ? 2 |
? 3 |
? 7 |
– | ? |
| Metroscopia/El País[182][183][184] | 5–7 Oct 2015 | 1,273 | 80 | 21.6 8 |
23.3 8/9 |
5.6 1 |
0.1 0 |
7.3 1 |
15.6 5 |
25.4 9/10 |
– | 2.1 |
| Invest Group/Levante-EMV[185][186] | 28 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | 1,100 | ? | 28.0 10/11 |
27.4 9/10 |
4.5 1 |
– | 7.9 1/2 |
11.3 4 |
18.2 6/7 |
– | 0.6 |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 69.6 | 26.6 11 |
20.6 8 |
4.3 0 |
1.2 0 |
18.4 7 |
11.4 3 |
12.5 4 |
– | 6.0 |
| JM&A/El Mundo[187] | 17 May 2015 | ? | ? | 27.2 11 |
20.3 7 |
3.3 0 |
? 0 |
6.1 1 |
18.5 6 |
20.2 7 |
– | 6.9 |
| Sigma Dos/Mediaset[188][189] | 9–12 Feb 2015 | ? | ? | 31.2 | 17.5 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 26.7 | 5.8 | – | 4.5 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 49.1 | 29.0 14 |
21.6 10 |
10.6 3 |
8.5 2 |
7.9 2 |
8.2 2 |
2.9 0 |
– | 7.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[32][33] | 30 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | ? 15 |
? 11 |
? 3 |
? 2 |
? 2 |
– | – | – | ? |
| ODEC/PSPV[190] | 17 Nov 2012 | 3,520 | ? | 40.8 | 27.5 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 6.9 | – | – | – | 13.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 1–17 Feb 2012 | 300 | ? | ? 20 |
? 8/9 |
? 1/2 |
? 1 |
? 1/2 |
– | – | – | ? |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 74.2 | 53.3 20 |
26.8 10 |
6.5 1 |
5.6 1 |
4.8 1 |
– | – | – | 26.5 |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am Within PP.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Within UPeC.
- ^ a b c Within IU.
- ^ Within Podemos.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Within PSOE.
- ^ a b c Within CC.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah Within ECP.
- ^ a b c d e f Within CatSíqueesPot.
- ^ a b c d Within JxSí.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd Within CiU.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj Within En Marea.
- ^ a b c Within AGE.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Within És el moment.
References
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- ^ "Encuesta de Sondaxe: Medio millón de gallegos aún están indecisos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "Las elecciones del 20-D revolucionan el mapa político de la provincia". Atlántico (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "Rajoy cae casi 10 puntos, pero sigue siendo el más votado en Galicia". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 9 November 2014. Archived from the original on 12 November 2014.
- ^ "La Rioja - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
- ^ "La Rioja: Ciudadanos acaba con el bipartidismo". La Razón (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.
- ^ "LA RIOJA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.
- ^ "Cinco provincias significativas en las que se disputan entre tres y siete escaños". El País (in Spanish). 5 December 2015.
- ^ "Reparto de escaños en cinco circunscripciones menos pobladas pero significativas". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2018.
- ^ "Madrid - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
- ^ "PP tendría 13 escaños en Madrid, según Demoscopia, que da 9 a C's, 7 a Podemos y 6 a PSOE". Europa Press (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
- ^ "Madrid: "Sorpasso" de Podemos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "COMUNIDAD DE MADRID (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP ganaría el 20-D en Madrid y el PSOE sólo sería cuarto". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
- ^ "Las cinco provincias más pobladas". El País (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
- ^ "Estimación de escaños en las cinco circunscripciones más pobladas". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2018.
- ^ a b "Elecciones Generales 2015: (incluye Madrid y Comunidad Valenciana)". GAD3 (in Spanish). 2 November 2015.
- ^ "Murcia - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
- ^ "Una encuesta da ganador al PP en la Región con 4 diputados, seguido de PSOE con 3, C's con 2 y Podemos con 1". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
- ^ "REGIÓN DE MURCIA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
- ^ "Murcia: El PP retrocede aunque sigue siendo mayoría en la región". La Razón (in Spanish). 8 December 2015.
- ^ "REGIÓN DE MURCIA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP obtendría 5 diputados y Ciudadanos se convertiría en el segundo partido de la Región". La7 TV (in Spanish). 25 November 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2018.
- ^ "REGIÓN DE MURCIA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 November 2015.
- ^ "Navarra - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
- ^ "Navarra: UPN-PP sería la fuerza más votada y Geroa Bai se queda sin escaño". La Razón (in Spanish). 11 December 2015.
- ^ "NAVARRA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 December 2015.
- ^ "UPN-PP rozan los dos diputados y Geroa Bai podría perder su escaño". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.
- ^ "NAVARRA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo CIES". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.
- ^ "Elecciones Generales 2015. Sondeo CIES". Navarra Televisión (in Spanish). 27 November 2015.
- ^ "UPN-PP logra dos escaños, Podemos uno y Geroa Bai, EH Bildu y PSN se disputan los otros dos". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 12 December 2015. Archived from the original on 19 September 2016. Retrieved 11 November 2018.
- ^ "NAVARRA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo Gizaker". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.
- ^ "C.Valenciana - Resultados estimados". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.
- ^ "Comunidad Valenciana: El PP reedita su triunfo y los emergentes entran con fuerza". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "COMUNIDAD VALENCIANA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP ganaría en la Comunidad Valenciana con Ciudadanos como segunda fuerza". ABC (in Spanish). 29 November 2015.
- ^ "Un sondeo interno da al PSPV un empate con el PP gracias al apoyo de los indecisos". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 8 December 2015.
- ^ "COMUNIDAD VALENCIANA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo ODEC". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 December 2015.
- ^ Fabra, María (9 October 2015). "Ciudadanos arrebata la supremacía al PP en la Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish).
- ^ "Encuesta en la Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos sigue captando votos #Generales #ComunidadValenciana". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 9 October 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2018.
- ^ "Empate técnico entre el PP y el PSPV y explosión de C's". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 12 October 2015.
- ^ "COMUNIDAD VALENCIANA, Octubre 2015. Sondeo Invest Group". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 October 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos empataría con el PSPV en unas generales". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
- ^ "El PP sería el partido más votado en la Comunidad Valenciana, seguido de Podemos". Telecinco (in Spanish). 22 February 2015.
- ^ "C. VALENCIANA (E. Generales), Febrero 2015. Sondeo Sigma Dos". Electograph (in Spanish). 22 February 2015.
- ^ "Un sondeo del PSPV revela que el PP se desploma al 37 % y pierde el poder". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 17 November 2012.
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