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2012 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2012 United States Senate election in Maryland
← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout68.2%
 
Nominee Ben Cardin Dan Bongino Rob Sobhani
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Popular vote 1,474,028 693,291 430,934
Percentage 55.98% 26.33% 16.37%
County results
Cardin:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     70–80%      80–90%
Bongino:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Ben Cardin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic

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The 2012 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate, House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Dan Bongino and independent Rob Sobhani.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Cardin—80–90%
  Cardin—70–80%
  Cardin—60–70%
  Cardin—50–60%
Democratic primary results[5][6][7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 240,704 74.2
Democratic C. Anthony Muse 50,807 15.7
Democratic Chris Garner 9,274 2.9
Democratic Raymond Levi Blagmon 5,909 1.8
Democratic J. P. Cusick 4,778 1.5
Democratic Blaine Taylor 4,376 1.3
Democratic Lih Young 3,993 1.2
Democratic Ralph Jaffe 3,313 1.0
Democratic Ed Tinus 1,064 0.3
Total votes 324,218 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Bongino—40–50%
  Bongino—<40%
  Douglas—<40%
  Douglas—40–50%
Republican primary results[6][7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Bongino 68,597 33.6
Republican Richard J. Douglas 57,776 28.3
Republican Joseph Alexander 18,171 8.9
Republican Bro Broadus 11,020 5.4
Republican Rick Hoover 10,787 5.3
Republican John B. Kimble 10,506 5.1
Republican David Jones 8,380 4.1
Republican Corrogan R. Vaughn 8,158 4.0
Republican William Thomas Capps, Jr. 7,092 3.5
Republican Brian Vaeth 3,781 1.9
Total votes 204,268 100.0

General election

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Candidates

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Debates

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A candidate's forum was held on Baltimore's WOLB radio on October 24 including Senator Ben Cardin, Rob Sobhani, Dean Ahmad and Daniel Bongino.[15][16] An October 30 debate at Salisbury University to have featured those candidates and independent Ed Tinus[17] was cancelled in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.[18]

Campaign

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In 2006, then-U.S. Representative Ben Cardin defeated then-Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele 54%–44%. Eric Wargotz, the Republican nominee in 2010 had considered entering the race but ultimately did not.

In both 2009 and 2010, National Journal magazine rated Cardin as tied for most liberal senator, based on his voting record. As of June 30, Cardin had $1.8 million in his campaign account.[19]

Fundraising

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Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Ben Cardin (D) $3,758,957 $2,248,013 $1,896,329 $0
Daniel Bongino (R) $188,419 $172,509 $15,909 $0
Dean Ahmad (L) $8,565 $6,288 $2,276 $0
S. Rob Sobhani (I) $6,472,715 $6,043,030 $429,683 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[20][21][22][23]

Top contributors

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[24]

Ben Cardin Contribution Daniel Bongino Contribution
Exelon Corp $39,250 Avjet Corp $5,000
News Corp $35,375 Citizens United $5,000
Johns Hopkins University $30,300 Oheka Castle $5,000
Comcast Corp $26,123 Miller & Long Concrete Construction $4,891
Ernst & Young $26,000 Perinatal Center of Oklahoma $4,790
Gallagher, Evelius & Jones $24,250 NORPAC $21,730
Venable LLP $23,750 NYPD $3,950
DLA Piper $23,250 Fitzgerald Shamrock Restaurant $3,947
DaVita Inc. $22,000 Davidsonville Veterinary Clinic $3,250
Blue Cross & Blue Shield $20,750 Constitutional Conservatives Fund $2,500

Top industries

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[25]

Ben Cardin Contribution Daniel Bongino Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $441,242 Retired $20,152
Real Estate $354,920 General Contractors $8,641
Health Professionals $317,509 Civil Servants/Public Officials $8,135
Financial Institutions $301,161 Health Professionals $6,540
Pro-Israel $236,792 Real Estate $5,700
Retired $222,410 Republican/Conservative $5,500
Lobbyists $213,559 Lodging/Tourism $5,000
Insurance $191,300 Computers/Internet $4,110
Leadership PACs $191,000 Food industry & Beverage $3,947
Entertainment industry $188,806 Financial Institutions $3,800

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Solid D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[28] Safe D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe D November 5, 2012

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ben
Cardin (D) 		Daniel
Bongino (R) 		Rob
Sobhani (I) 		Other Undecided
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies[30] September 17–23, 2012 813 ±3.5% 50% 22% 21% — 7%
Washington Post[31] October 11–15, 2012 843 ±4% 53% 22% 14% 2% 9%
OpinionWorks[32] October 20–23, 2012 801 ±3.5% 50% 24% 14% 2% 10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ben
Cardin (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[33] July 10–12, 2010 569 ±4.1% 51% 33% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ben
Cardin (D) 		Michael
Steele (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[33] July 10–12, 2010 569 ±4.1% 58% 28% — 14%

Results

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2012 United States Senate election in Maryland[34]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 1,474,028 55.98% +1.77%
Republican Dan Bongino 693,291 26.33% −17.86%
Independent Rob Sobhani 430,934 16.37% N/A
Libertarian Dean Ahmad 32,252 1.22% N/A
Write-in 2,729 0.10% +0.05%
Total votes 2,633,234 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
County Ben Cardin

Democratic

Dan Bongino

Republican

Rob Sobhani

Independent

Dean Ahmad

Libertarian

Other

Other

Margin Total

Votes

Cast

# % # % # % # % # % # %
Allegany 9507 33.38% 14667 51.50% 3920 14.60% 367 1.29% 18 0.06% -5160 -18.12% 28479
Anne Arundel 108328 42.62% 93804 36.90% 48503 19.08% 3320 1.31% 241 0.09% 14524 5.71% 254196
Baltimore 198290 52.55% 95297 25.25% 78887 20.91% 4434 1.18% 439 0.12% 102993 27.29% 377347
Baltimore City 189128 77.21% 16931 6.91% 35724 14.58% 2930 1.20% 232 0.09% 172197 62.63% 244945
Calvert 17296 39.36% 17272 39.31% 8806 20.04% 523 1.19% 43 0.10% 24 0.05% 43940
Caroline 4423 33.93% 5898 45.24% 2575 19.75% 122 0.94% 18 0.14% -1475 -11.31% 13036
Carroll 22837 26.69% 41795 48.86% 19733 23.07% 1118 1.31% 66 0.08% -18958 -22.16% 85549
Cecil 14994 36.41% 18452 44.81% 7137 17.33% 549 1.33% 47 0.11% -3458 -8.40% 41179
Charles 42638 58.24% 16752 22.88% 13036 17.81% 721 0.98% 58 0.08% 25886 35.36% 73205
Dorchester 6552 44.29% 5526 37.36% 2567 17.35% 132 0.89% 16 0.11% 1026 6.94% 14793
Frederick 45161 39.80% 48563 42.80% 17913 15.79% 1720 1.52% 112 0.10% -3402 -3.00% 113469
Garrett 3448 27.87% 8263 66.79% 492 3.98% 163 1.32% 6 0.05% -4815 -38.92% 12372
Harford 43274 35.04% 45404 36.77% 33148 26.84% 1535 1.24% 126 0.10% -2130 -1.72% 123487
Howard 80265 53.66% 42892 28.67% 23815 15.92% 2462 1.65% 148 0.10% 37373 24.98% 149582
Kent 4312 44.45% 3608 37.20% 1660 17.11% 88 0.91% 32 0.33% 704 7.26% 9700
Montgomery 293715 66.21% 94010 21.19% 49611 11.18% 5790 1.31% 455 0.10% 199705 45.02% 443581
Prince George's 305771 81.40% 25080 6.68% 40937 10.90% 3521 0.94% 339 0.09% 280691 70.50% 375648
Queen Anne's 7385 30.13% 12540 51.15% 4344 17.72% 217 0.89% 28 0.11% -5155 -21.03% 24514
St. Mary's 17566 38.29% 19480 42.46% 8065 17.58% 723 1.58% 42 0.09% -1914 -4.17% 45876
Somerset 4686 46.70% 3568 35.56% 1682 16.76% 86 0.86% 13 0.13% 1118 11.14% 10035
Talbot 8100 40.46% 8986 44.89% 2729 13.63% 173 0.86% 32 0.16% -886 -4.43% 20020
Washington 19702 32.56% 28161 46.53% 11788 19.48% 824 1.36% 41 0.07% -8459 -13.98% 60516
Wicomico 16974 41.41% 15072 36.77% 8426 20.56% 452 1.10% 63 0.15% 1902 4.64% 40987
Worcester 9676 36.21% 11270 42.18% 5436 20.34% 282 1.06% 56 0.21% -1594 -5.97% 26720
Total 1474028 55.98% 693291 26.33% 430934 16.37% 32252 1.22% 2729 0.10% 780737 28.90% 2633234
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

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Cardin won 7 of 8 congressional districts.[35]

District Cardin Bongino Sobhani Representative
1st 31% 43% 24% Andy Harris
2nd 53% 23% 23% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 53% 26% 19% John Sarbanes
4th 68% 17% 14% Donna Edwards
5th 57% 24% 18% Steny Hoyer
6th 46% 37% 15% John Delaney
7th 64% 18% 16% Elijah Cummings
8th 53% 30% 15% Chris Van Hollen

See also

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References

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  1. ^ a b c d e f g "Md. Former Teacher Plans Run for U.S. Senate". CBS Baltimore. Associated Press. September 21, 2011. Retrieved September 30, 2011.
  2. ^ "Maryland Politics: Cardin to kick off campaign - Politics and Policy from Baltimore, Annapolis and Washington". The Baltimore Sun.
  3. ^ "Political Notes: O'Malley receives planning award". The Capital. Annapolis, Maryland. January 12, 2012.
  4. ^ Fritze, John (January 5, 2012). "State Sen. Muse to challenge Cardin for Senate". The Baltimore Sun. Archived from the original on July 24, 2012.
  5. ^ Fritze, John (April 3, 2012). "Ben Cardin wins Senate primary". The Baltimore Sun. Archived from the original on April 29, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2012.
  6. ^ a b "Ex-agent Bongino wins Republican Senate primary; will face Sen. Benjamin Cardin in November". The Washington Post. April 4, 2012. Archived from the original on April 5, 2012. Retrieved April 4, 2012.
  7. ^ a b "Official 2012 Presidential Primary Election results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections. Retrieved May 26, 2012.
  8. ^ "Ex-Secret Service Agent To Run For Senate". CBS Baltimore. Associated Press. May 31, 2011.
  9. ^ "John Bolton says Md. is "winnable" for GOP". The Baltimore Sun. March 6, 2012. Retrieved December 1, 2014.
  10. ^ "Politics1 Online Guide to Maryland Politics". politics1.com. November 28, 2011. Retrieved December 3, 2011.
  11. ^ Farrell, Liam (December 8, 2010). "Ehrlich not interested in another office". The Capital. Archived from the original on December 10, 2010. Retrieved December 10, 2010.
  12. ^ "Maryland Politics: Murphy to chair Senate campaign, not run, in 2012 - Politics and Policy from Baltimore, Annapolis and Washington". The Baltimore Sun.
  13. ^ Fritze, John (November 3, 2011). "Wargotz forgoes Senate run". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved February 2, 2012.
  14. ^ "Facebook". Facebook.
  15. ^ Razzi, Robin (October 24, 2012). "Senatorial Debate 2012: What You Missed". WOLB. Retrieved October 25, 2012.
  16. ^ White, Brian (October 25, 2012). "Maryland Senate candidates debate on economy". Cumberland Times-News. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  17. ^ "Maryland Gazette Political Notes: Cardin, Bongino, Sobhani set first debate in Salisbury". Maryland Gazette. October 20, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  18. ^ Kunkle, Fredrick (November 2, 2012). "Rob Sobhani, independent in Maryland Senate race, makes closing argument". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 4, 2012. Hurricane Sandy forced Salisbury University to call off a debate that would have put him on the same stage with Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin (D) and Republican challenger Daniel Bongino.
  19. ^ Wagner, John; Pershing, Ben (September 28, 2011). "In Md., Anthony Muse considers primary challenge to Sen. Cardin". The Washington Post.
  20. ^ Ben Cardin
  21. ^ Daniel Bongino Campaign Finances
  22. ^ "Committee/Candidate Search".
  23. ^ S. Rob Sobhani Campaign Finances
  24. ^ "Congressional Elections: Maryland Senate Race: 2012 Cycle - OpenSecrets".
  25. ^ "Congressional Elections: New York District 01 Race: 2012 Cycle - OpenSecrets".
  26. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  27. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  28. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  29. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  30. ^ Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies
  31. ^ Washington Post
  32. ^ OpinionWorks
  33. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  34. ^ 2012 General Election Results, Maryland State Board of Elections, November 28, 2012. Retrieved January 16, 2018.
  35. ^ https://www.elections.maryland.gov/elections/2012/election_data/State_Congressional_Districts_2012_General.csv
[edit]

Daniel Bongino

Ben Cardin

Rob Sobhani

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