2012 United States gubernatorial elections
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14 governorships 12 states; 2 territories[a] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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United States gubernatorial elections were held in 12 states (including a recall election in Wisconsin on June 5) and two territories. Of the eight Democratic and four Republican seats contested, only that of North Carolina changed party hands, giving the Republicans a net gain of one governorship. These elections (except for Wisconsin) coincided with the presidential election on November 6, 2012. As of 2024, this marked the last time in which a Democrat won the governorship in Missouri and the last time in which a Republican won the governorship in North Carolina.
Election predictions
[edit]| State | Incumbent | Last race |
Cook Nov 1, 2012[2] |
IE Nov 2, 2012[3] |
Sabato Nov 5, 2012[4] |
RCP Nov 5, 2012[5] |
Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Jack Markell | 67.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Markell 69.3% D |
| Indiana | Mitch Daniels (term-limited) |
57.8% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Pence 49.5% R |
| Missouri | Jay Nixon | 58.4% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Nixon 54.8% D |
| Montana | Brian Schweitzer (term-limited) |
65.5% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Bullock 48.9% D |
| New Hampshire | John Lynch (retired) |
52.6% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Hassan 54.6% D |
| North Carolina | Bev Perdue (retired) |
50.3% D | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | McCrory 54.6% R (flip) |
| North Dakota | Jack Dalrymple | 74.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Dalrymple 63.1% R |
| Utah | Gary Herbert | 64.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Herbert 68.4% R |
| Vermont | Peter Shumlin | 49.4% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Shumlin 57.8% D |
| Washington | Christine Gregoire (retired) |
53.0% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Inslee 51.4% D |
| West Virginia | Earl Ray Tomblin | 49.6% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tomblin 50.5% D |
Race summary
[edit]States
[edit]| State | Incumbent | Party | First elected |
Result | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Jack Markell | Democratic | 2008 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Indiana | Mitch Daniels | Republican | 2004 | Incumbent term-limited. New governor elected. Republican hold. |
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| Missouri | Jay Nixon | Democratic | 2008 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Montana | Brian Schweitzer | Democratic | 2004 | Incumbent term-limited. New governor elected. Democratic hold. |
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| New Hampshire | John Lynch | Democratic | 2004 | Incumbent retired. New governor elected. Democratic hold. |
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| North Carolina | Bev Perdue | Democratic | 2008 | Incumbent retired. New governor elected. Republican gain. |
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| North Dakota | Jack Dalrymple | Republican | 2010[b] | Incumbent elected to a full term. |
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| Utah | Gary Herbert | Republican | 2009[c] | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Vermont | Peter Shumlin | Democratic | 2010 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Washington | Christine Gregoire | Democratic | 2004 | Incumbent retired. New governor elected. Democratic hold. |
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| West Virginia | Earl Ray Tomblin | Democratic | 2010[d] | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Wisconsin (recall) |
Scott Walker | Republican | 2010 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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Territories
[edit]| Territory | Incumbent | Party | First elected |
Result | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Samoa | Togiola Tulafono | Democratic | 2003[e] | Incumbent retired. New governor elected. Independent gain. |
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| Puerto Rico | Luis Fortuño | New Progressive | 2008 | Incumbent lost re-election. New member elected. Popular Democratic gain. |
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Closest races
[edit]States where the margin of victory was under 1%:
- Puerto Rico, 0.60%
States where the margin of victory was under 5%:
- Montana, 1.56%
- Indiana, 2.93%
- Washington, 3.07%
- West Virginia, 4.84%
States where the margin of victory was under 10%:
- American Samoa, 5.88%
- Wisconsin, 6.80%
Red denotes states won by Republicans. Blue denotes states won by Democrats. Grey denotes states won by Independents.
Delaware
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Governor Jack Markell successfully ran for re-election. His Republican challenger was Jeff Cragg.[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jack Markell (incumbent) | 275,993 | 69.34 | |
| Republican | Jeff Cragg | 113,793 | 28.59 | |
| Green | Mark Perri | 4,575 | 1.15 | |
| Libertarian | Jesse McVay | 3,668 | 0.92 | |
| Total votes | 398,029 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Indiana
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Governor Mitch Daniels was term-limited in 2012.
Mike Pence, a six-term Republican in the U.S. House of Representatives, announced his candidacy for his party's nomination. Pence, whose announcement was anticipated by his resignation of a leading position in the GOP caucus in the House, was regarded as the favorite for election.[8] Indianapolis businessman and former Hamilton County Councilman Jim Wallace had announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination prior to Pence's entrance but failed to collect enough signatures to become an official candidate by the deadline in February 2012.[9][10][11]
Former state House Speaker John R. Gregg was unopposed for the Democratic Party's nomination.[12]
Former Survivor contestant and founder of the Rupert's Kids charity Rupert Boneham ran as the Libertarian Party candidate.[13]
Pence narrowly defeated Gregg with 49.9% of the vote to Gregg's 46.56%. Boneham received 3.95% of the vote.[14]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Pence | 1,275,424 | 49.49 | |
| Democratic | John R. Gregg | 1,200,016 | 46.56 | |
| Libertarian | Rupert Boneham | 101,868 | 3.95 | |
| Write-in | Donnie Harold Harris | 21 | 0.00 | |
| Total votes | 2,577,329 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Missouri
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Governor Jay Nixon sought re-election.[16]
Dave Spence, a businessman from St. Louis, won the Republican nomination over attorney Bill Randles in the August 7, 2012 primary.[17]
Jim Higgins was the Libertarian candidate.
Nixon won the general election over Spence and Higgins.
The Lieutenant Governor is elected separately.
As of 2024, this is the last time a Democrat won the governorship of Missouri to date. This is also the last time that a gubernatorial nominee and a lieutenant gubernatorial nominee of different opposite political parties were elected governor and lieutenant governor in Missouri to date as well.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Nixon (incumbent) | 1,494,056 | 54.77 | |
| Republican | Dave Spence | 1,160,265 | 42.53 | |
| Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 73,509 | 2.70 | |
| Write-in | 53 | 0.00 | ||
| Total votes | 2,727,883 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Montana
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Governor Brian Schweitzer was term-limited in 2012.
The declared Democratic primary candidates were state Senator Larry Jent[19] and state Attorney General Steve Bullock.[20]
The declared Republican primary candidates included Chouteau County commissioner Jim O'Hara,[21] former state Senators Corey Stapleton and Ken Miller, terrorism and national security analyst Neil Livingstone,[22] former Congressman Rick Hill,[23] and Truck driver Keith Winkler.[24]
Steve Bullock and Rick Hill won their respective primaries. Bullock defeated Hill and Libertarian Ron Vandevender in the general election.[25]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Bullock | 236,450 | 48.90 | |
| Republican | Rick Hill | 228,879 | 47.34 | |
| Libertarian | Ron Vandevender | 18,160 | 3.76 | |
| Total votes | 483,489 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
New Hampshire
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Governor John Lynch retired rather than running for re-election.[27]
Maggie Hassan, former Majority Leader of the New Hampshire State Senate, defeated former state senator Jackie Cilley and firefighter Bill Kennedy to become the Democratic nominee. Former Chairman of the New Hampshire Board of Education Ovide Lamontagne, who narrowly lost the Republican primary for Senate in 2010, defeated conservative activist and former state representative Kevin Smith and Bill Tarr to win the Republican nomination.[28][29] Hassan won the general election.
New Hampshire does not have a position of Lieutenant Governor.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maggie Hassan | 378,934 | 54.61 | |
| Republican | Ovide Lamontagne | 295,026 | 42.52 | |
| Libertarian | John J. Babiarz | 19,251 | 2.77 | |
| Write-in | 666 | 0.10 | ||
| Total votes | 693,877 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
North Carolina
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Governor Beverly Perdue retired rather than run for re-election.[31]
Walter Dalton and Pat McCrory won their respective primaries, and McCrory won the general election.
The Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina was elected separately.[citation needed]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pat McCrory | 2,440,707 | 54.62 | |
| Democratic | Walter H. Dalton | 1,931,580 | 43.23 | |
| Libertarian | Barbara Howe | 94,652 | 2.12 | |
| Write-in | 1,356 | 0.03 | ||
| Total votes | 4,468,295 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
North Dakota
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Governor Jack Dalrymple succeeded John Hoeven after the latter was elected Senator and ran for a full term in 2012.[33] Drew Wrigley was his running mate. Dalrymple defeated architect Paul Sorum for the nomination.
State Senate Minority leader Ryan Taylor was the Democratic nominee. Ellen Chaffee was his running mate.[34] Dalrymple won the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jack Dalrymple (incumbent) | 200,525 | 63.10 | |
| Democratic–NPL | Ryan Taylor | 109,048 | 34.31 | |
| Independent | Paul Sorum | 5,356 | 1.69 | |
| Independent | Roland C. Riemers | 2,618 | 0.82 | |
| Write-in | 267 | 0.08 | ||
| Total votes | 317,814 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Utah
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Governor Gary Herbert, who won the 2010 gubernatorial special election to finish his predecessor's unfinished term, ran for a full four-year term in 2012.[36]
Democrat Peter Cooke, a businessman and retired major general, opposed him. The Libertarian candidate was medical researcher Ken Larson, and the Constitution party candidate was Kirk D. Pearson. Herbert won the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 688,592 | 68.41 | |
| Democratic | Peter Cooke | 277,622 | 27.58 | |
| Libertarian | Ken Larsen | 22,611 | 2.25 | |
| Constitution | Kirk D. Pearson | 17,696 | 1.76 | |
| Write-in | 3 | 0.00 | ||
| Total votes | 1,006,524 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Vermont
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Governor Peter Shumlin, the victor of the Vermont gubernatorial election of 2010, ran for re-election in 2012.[38] His Republican challenger was state Senator Randy Brock.[39] Shumlin won the general election.
The Lieutenant Governor was elected separately.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin (incumbent) | 170,749 | 57.80 | |
| Republican | Randy Brock | 110,940 | 37.55 | |
| Independent | Emily Peyton | 5,868 | 1.99 | |
| Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 5,583 | 1.89 | |
| Liberty Union | Dave Eagle | 1,303 | 0.44 | |
| Write-in | 969 | 0.33 | ||
| Total votes | 295,412 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Washington
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Governor Christine Gregoire retired rather than run for re-election.[41]
U.S. Representative Jay Inslee was the Democratic nominee.[42]
State Attorney General Rob McKenna was the Republican nominee.[43][44] U.S. Representative Dave Reichert decided against a bid, and threw his support to McKenna.[45] Inslee won the general election.
The Lieutenant Governor will be elected separately.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee | 1,582,802 | 51.40% | ||
| Republican | Rob McKenna | 1,488,245 | 48.33% | ||
| Write-in | 8,592 | 0.28% | |||
| Total votes | 3,079,639 | 100.00% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
West Virginia
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The Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia ruled on January 18, 2011, that the state must hold a special gubernatorial election in 2011[47] to fill the vacancy resulting from Joe Manchin's election to the United States Senate. The special election occurred October 4, 2011 with state Senate President and acting Governor Earl Ray Tomblin won the election. Tomblin was eligible to run for a full term in 2012.
Tomblin's 2011 Republican opponent, businessman Bill Maloney, was the Republican nominee.[48] Tomblin won the election.
David Moran was the Libertarian candidate.
The Lieutenant Governor is elected by the State Senate.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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| Democratic | Earl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) | 335,468 | 50.49 | |
| Republican | Bill Maloney | 303,291 | 45.65 | |
| Mountain | Jesse Johnson | 16,787 | 2.53 | |
| Libertarian | David Moran | 8,909 | 1.34 | |
| Total votes | 664,455 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Wisconsin (recall)
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Governor Scott Walker (R) survived a recall election on June 5. Walker's disapproval ratings varied between 50 and 51% while his approval ratings varied between 47 and 49% in 2011.[50] Walker led against challenger Tom Barrett (D) in polls since March, including two post-primary polls which showed Walker with a five to twelve point lead.[51][52] Walker defeated Barrett by seven percentage points,[53] becoming the first governor in U.S. history to survive a recall election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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| Republican | Scott Walker (incumbent) | 1,335,585 | 53.08 | |
| Democratic | Tom Barrett | 1,164,480 | 46.28 | |
| Independent | Hariprasad Trivedi | 14,463 | 0.57 | |
| Write-in | 1,537 | 0.06 | ||
| Total votes | 2,516,065 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Territories
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Governor Togiola Tulafono, who had served as Governor since 2003, was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits.
Six candidates vied to succeed outgoing Governor Tulafono – former President of American Samoa Community College, Salu Hunkin-Finau; businessman Timothy Jones; former Attorney General Afoa Moega Lutu; former President of the Development Bank of American Samoa, Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga; Lieutenant Governor Faoa Aitofele Sunia; and former High Court of American Samoa justice Save Liuato Tuitele.[55][56][57] Moliga won the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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| Nonpartisan | Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga | 4,372 | 33.5 | |
| Nonpartisan | Faoa Aitofele Sunia | 4,315 | 33.1 | |
| Nonpartisan | Afoa Moega Lutu | 2,521 | 19.3 | |
| Nonpartisan | Salu Hunkin-Finau | 893 | 6.8 | |
| Nonpartisan | Save Liuato Tuitele | 763 | 5.8 | |
| Nonpartisan | Timothy Jones | 189 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 13,053 | 100 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonpartisan | Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga | 6,645 | 52.9 | |
| Nonpartisan | Faoa Aitofele Sunia | 5,908 | 47.1 | |
| Total votes | 12,553 | 100 | ||
Puerto Rico
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Governor Luis Fortuño (PNP/R) ran for re-election.
Fortuño had been mentioned as a long-shot potential Republican nominee for president or vice president in 2012.[58] However, he announced on June 26, 2011, that he would run for re-election instead of seeking the Presidency.
Senator Alejandro García Padilla (PPD) was the net biggest challenger out of six challengers, and won the general election.
Puerto Rico does not have a position of Lieutenant Governor.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popular Democratic | Alejandro García Padilla | 896,060 | 47.73 | |
| New Progressive | Luis Fortuño | 884,775 | 47.13 | |
| Independence | Juan Dalmau Ramírez | 47,331 | 2.52 | |
| Worker's People Party of Puerto Rico | Rafael Bernabe | 18,312 | 0.98 | |
| Movimiento Unión Soberanista | Arturo Hernández | 10,523 | 0.56 | |
| Puerto Ricans for Puerto Rico | Rogelio Figueroa | 6,668 | 0.36 | |
| Write-in | 13,562 | 0.73 | ||
| Total votes | 1,877,179 | 100.00 | ||
| Popular Democratic gain from New Progressive | ||||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Including a recall election in Wisconsin
- ^ Dalrymple took office after his predecessor (John Hoeven) resigned.
- ^ Herbert took office after his predecessor (Jon Huntsman Jr.) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2010 Utah gubernatorial special election.
- ^ Tomblin took office after his predecessor (Joe Manchin) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election.
- ^ Tulafono took office after his predecessor (Tauese Pita Fiti Sunia) died. He was subsequently elected in the 2004 American Samoa gubernatorial election.
References
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- ^ "Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid". Vermont Public Radio. June 12, 2012. Retrieved June 12, 2012.
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- ^ Marley, Patrick (September 20, 2011). "New poll reflects divide on bargaining limits". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved January 21, 2012.
- ^ bnovak@madison.com, BILL NOVAK | The Capital Times. "Post-primary poll: Walker leads Barrett by 5 points". The Cap Times.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Turnout | weaskamerica.com Archived May 28, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "Gov. Walker Survives Recall Election; Defeats Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett | C-SPAN". Archived from the original on June 18, 2013. Retrieved June 18, 2012.
- ^ "G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System Canvass Results for 2012 June 5 Recall Election - 6/5/2012" (PDF). Wisconsin Elections Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 2, 2016.
- ^ "6 candidates vie to be American Samoa's governor". Real Clear Politics. Associated Press. September 4, 2012. Retrieved November 1, 2012.
- ^ "Territorial elections will be the main event of 2012". Talanei. January 3, 2012. Retrieved February 28, 2012.[permanent dead link]
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