2007 United States gubernatorial elections
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United States gubernatorial elections were held in October and November 2007 in three states. The final results were a net change of zero among the parties. Republicans picked up the open seat in Louisiana and reelected incumbent Haley Barbour in Mississippi, while Democrats defeated Republican incumbent Ernie Fletcher in Kentucky.
Going into the elections, the Democratic Party held 28 governors' seats, while the Republican Party held 22. Democratic and Republican candidates filed in all three states, and the Libertarian Party had ballot representation in Louisiana.
Election predictions
[edit]| State | Incumbent | Last race |
Sabato November 1, 2011[1] |
Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | Ernie Fletcher | 55.0% R | Likely D (flip) | Beshear (58.7%) |
| Louisiana | Kathleen Blanco | 51.9% D | Likely R (flip) | Jindal (53.9%) |
| Mississippi | Haley Barbour |
52.6% R | Safe R | Barbour (57.9%) |
Race summary
[edit]| State | Incumbent | Party | First elected |
Result | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | Ernie Fletcher | Republican | 2003 | Incumbent lost re-election. New governor elected. Democratic gain. |
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| Louisiana | Kathleen Blanco | Democratic | 2003 | Incumbent retired. New governor elected. Republican gain. |
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| Mississippi | Haley Barbour | Republican | 2003 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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Kentucky
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Governor Ernie Fletcher ran for reelection for a second term. Various polls indicated he had been very unpopular with an approval rating of 38%. Also, Fletcher's governorship had been embroiled in scandal due to the criminal indictment of several people in his administration for illegally hiring workers into the state merit system based on political considerations. Fletcher was challenged in the primary by Anne Northup, a former U.S. Representative who served Kentucky's 3rd congressional district from 1997 to 2007, as well as Paducah businessman Billy Harper. Underscoring the controversy over the hiring scandal, Lieutenant Governor Steve Pence chose not to run for re-election on the Fletcher ticket and publicly endorsed Northup.[2] In addition, Northup was endorsed by U.S. Senator Jim Bunning.[3] However, Fletcher won the primary, winning 101,233 votes (50%) and carrying 106 of Kentucky's 120 counties in a three-way race.[4] Northup won the state's largest county, which contains Louisville, and her former congressional district, but lacked support at large; turnout in Jefferson County was not strong enough to make up for that.[5]
A large number of Democrats ran in the primary, including State Treasurer Jonathan Miller, former Lieutenant Governors Steve Beshear and Steve Henry, businessman Bruce Lunsford and Kentucky House of Representatives Speaker Jody Richards. Lunsford spent over $4 million, much of it his own money; Miller dropped out of the race and endorsed Beshear. Beshear won the primary with 142,516 votes (41%) in the crowded field; his next closest competitor was Lunsford with 21%. Henry took 18% of the vote and Richards, 12%. In their election night concession speeches Lunsford, Henry and Richards each pledged their support to Beshear.[6]
As a result of the general election on November 7, 2007, Beshear defeated Fletcher in his bid for re-election. Beshear was inaugurated on December 11, 2007.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Beshear | 619,552 | 58.71 | |
| Republican | Ernie Fletcher (incumbent) | 435,773 | 41.29 | |
| Total votes | 1,055,325 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
Louisiana
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Governor Kathleen Blanco announced on March 20, 2007, that she would not seek a second term.[7] She had taken flak for the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and the government's ill-preparedness to deal with casualties.
Republican U.S. Representative Bobby Jindal won about 54% of the vote in the October 20 jungle primary, enough to avoid a run-off in November. His nearest opponent, Democratic State Senator Walter Boasso, won about 17% of the vote; Independent New Orleans area businessman John Georges finished third with 14% of the vote; and Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell (D) finished fourth with 12%.[8]
Former U.S. Senator John Breaux, arguably the most popular Democratic politician in Louisiana, had publicly flirted with entering the race in March and April 2007, but eventually declined to run due to the unresolved controversy over whether his recent Maryland residency made him ineligible to run.[9] After Breaux's announcement, Lieutenant Governor Mitch Landrieu also declined to run.
Jindal led in fundraising with $11 million raised up to the end of September, with $4.3 million of that left for the remainder of the campaign. Georges had put $7 million of his own money into his campaign. Boasso had spent $4.7 million of his own money and had $144,000 in the bank.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bobby Jindal | 699,672 | 53.91 | |
| Democratic | Walter Boasso | 226,364 | 17.44 | |
| Independent | John Georges | 186,800 | 14.39 | |
| Democratic | Foster Campbell | 161,425 | 12.44 | |
| Democratic | Mary Volentine Smith | 5,843 | 0.45 | |
| Independent | Belinda Alexandrenko | 4,782 | 0.37 | |
| Independent | Anthony Gentile | 3,369 | 0.36 | |
| Libertarian | T. Lee Horne III | 2,639 | 0.20 | |
| Independent | Sheldon Forest | 2,319 | 0.18 | |
| Democratic | Vinny Mendoza | 2,076 | 0.16 | |
| Democratic | Hardy Parkerson | 1,661 | 0.13 | |
| Independent | Arthur D. Nichols | 993 | 0.08 | |
| Total votes | 1,297,943 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
Mississippi
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Governor Haley Barbour ran for a second term. He was popular, with a 59% approval rating, and faced only a token primary challenge. Four Democratic candidates filed to face him in the general election, including eventual nominee attorney John Eaves.
On election day, Barbour defeated Eaves, garnering 58% of the vote.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Haley Barbour (incumbent) | 430,807 | 57.90 | |
| Democratic | John Arthur Eaves Jr. | 313,232 | 42.10 | |
| Total votes | 744,039 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
References
[edit]- ^ "2007 Gubernatorial Contests and Virginia General Assembly Update". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- ^ "Pence endorses Northup for governor". The Courier-Journal. 2007-02-26.
- ^ Collins, Michael (2007-01-22). "Bunning backs Northup for gov". The Kentucky Post. Covington, Kentucky. p. A1.
- ^ http://www.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070523/NEWS0106/70523009 [dead link]
- ^ Gerth, Joseph (2007-05-23). "Fletcher beats Northup despite scandal". Courier-Journal.
- ^ Loftus, Tim (2007-05-23). "Beshear's victory revives political career". Courier-Journal.
- ^ Louisiana's Governor Won't Seek Re-election
- ^ Louisiana Secretary of State Retrieved October 22, 2007 Archived September 19, 2008, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "Breaux's residency questioned amid rumors of possible candidacy". Archived from the original on 2007-09-27. Retrieved 2007-02-24.
- ^ "Jindal maintains wide lead in fundraising"
- ^ "Results" (PDF). www.sos.state.ms.us. 2007. Retrieved 2019-10-25.