2012 United States Senate election in Arizona

2012 United States Senate election in Arizona
Turnout	52.9% (voting eligible)
	Flake: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Carmona: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes
U.S. senator before election; Jon Kyl; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Jeff Flake; Republican

The 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Jon Kyl (R), the Senate Minority Whip, decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term.^[2] U.S. Representative Jeff Flake won the open seat. As of 2024, this was the last time that a Republican won Arizona's Class 1 Senate seat. This is also the last time an Arizona Republican was elected to and served a full term in the US Senate.

Kyl later served in the Senate again in 2018 from September 5 to December 31; he was appointed to Arizona's other Senate seat after John McCain's August 2018 death and served until his resignation.

Republican primary

The filing deadline for Republican candidates was June 1, 2012, and the primary election took place on August 28, 2012.

Candidates

Declared

Wil Cardon, CEO of a real estate investment firm^[3]^[4]
Jeff Flake, U.S. Representative from the 6th district^[5]
Bryan Hackbarth, former mayor of Youngtown^[6]
Clair Van Steenwyk, conservative radio host^[7]

Withdrew

Doug McKee, businessman^[8]

Declined

Fife Symington III, former Arizona governor^[9]
Joe Arpaio, Maricopa County sheriff^[10] (running for re-election as Sheriff)
Jan Brewer, Arizona governor^[11]
Trent Franks, U.S. representative^[12]
J. D. Hayworth, former U.S. representative^[13]
Jon Kyl, incumbent U.S. senator
Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska (2006–2009) and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008^[14]
Ben Quayle, U.S. representative^[15]^[16]
David Schweikert, U.S. representative^[17]
John Shadegg, former U.S. representative^[18]

Endorsements

Jeff Flake

Former Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK)
Governor Bobby Jindal (R-LA)
Senator Jim DeMint (R-SC) & Senate Conservatives Fund^[19]
Senator Mike Lee (R-UT)
Senator Rand Paul (R-KY)
Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA)
Senator John McCain (R-AZ)
Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ)
Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI)
Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX)
Arizona Association of Realtors
Arizona Farm Bureau
Arizona Home Builders
Arizona Right to Life
Arizona Sportsmen for Wildlife
Citizens Against Government Waste
Club for Growth
FreedomWorks
GING PAC
GOProud^[20]
NRA Political Victory Fund^[21]
National Taxpayers Union

Wil Cardon

Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator (R-PA)
Congressman Trent Franks (R-AZ)
State Senator Don Shooter (R-AZ)
State Senator Steve Smith (R-AZ)
State Senator Al Melvin (R-AZ)
State Senator Judy Burges (R-AZ)
State Representative Steve Montenegro (R-AZ)
State Representative John Fillmore (R-AZ)
Mayor Scott Smith of Mesa
Mayor Elaine Scruggs of Glendale
Americans for Legal Immigration

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Wil Cardon	Jeff Flake	Bryan Hackbarth	Doug McKee	Clair Van Steenwyk	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[22]	May 17–20, 2012	421	± 4.8%	20%	42%	3%	1%	2%	—	33%
Public Policy Polling^[23]	February 17–19, 2012	412	± 4.8%	7%	56%	5%	1%	1%	—	31%
Public Policy Polling^[24]	November 17–20, 2011	400	± 4.9%	7%	53%	5%	1%	2%	—	33%
Magellan Strategies^[25]	November 14–15, 2011	722	± 3.6%	4%	52%	1%	1%	2%	8%	32%

Results

Republican primary results^[26]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeff Flake	357,360	69.3%
	Republican	Wil Cardon	110,150	21.4%
	Republican	Clair Van Steenwyk	29,159	5.6%
	Republican	Bryan Hackbarth	19,174	3.7%
	Republican	John Lyon (Write-in)	126	nil
	Republican	Luis Acle (Write-in)	56	nil
Total votes			516,025	100%

Democratic primary

Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona was the only candidate for the Democratic nomination, receiving all 289,881 votes cast in the primary election.^[27]

Candidates

Declared

Richard Carmona, former Surgeon General of the United States^[28]

Withdrew

Don Bivens, former chairman of the Arizona Democratic Party^[29]
David Ruben, physician^[30]^[31]

Declined

Dennis Burke, United States Attorney^[32]^[33]
Phil Gordon, Mayor of Phoenix^[34]
Ed Pastor, U.S. Representative^[35]
Warren Stewart, civil rights leader^[36]
Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative^[37]
Mark Kelly, astronaut and husband of Gabrielle Giffords, (later elected to Arizona's Class 3 Senate seat in 2020).^[38]
Janet Napolitano, U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security and former Arizona governor^[39]
Jim Pederson, former Arizona Democratic Party chairman and 2006 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate^[40]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dennis Burke	Rodney Glassman	Terry Goddard	Phil Gordan	Harry Mitchell	Ed Pastor	Felecia Rotellini	Other/ Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[41]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	300	± 5.7%	2%	5%	50%	8%	11%	5%	6%	14%

Results

Democratic primary results^[26]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Richard Carmona	289,881	100%
Total votes			289,881	100%

General election

Candidates

Jeff Flake (Republican), U.S. Representative
Richard Carmona (Democratic), former U.S. Surgeon General
Michael F. Meyer (independent)
Marc J. Victor (Libertarian), attorney

Debates

There were three debates before the election. The first was in Phoenix on October 10, 2012, the second in Tucson on October 15 and the last was in Yuma on October 25. External links

Complete video of debate, October 10, 2012 – C-SPAN
Complete video of debate, October 15, 2012 – C-SPAN
Complete video of debate, October 25, 2012 – C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Jeff Flake (R)	$9,026,951	$9,557,420	$97,360	$0
Richard Carmona (D)	$6,459,739	$6,373,544	$86,195	$0
Marc J. Victor (L)	$8,336	$8,334	$0	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[42]^[43]^[44]^[45]^[46]

Top contributors

Richard Carmona	Contribution	Jeff Flake	Contribution
University of Arizona	$54,100	Club for Growth	$1,000,112
League of Conservation Voters	$53,148	Senate Conservatives Fund	$176,484
Canyon Ranch	$31,400	US Airways	$54,300
Clorox Company	$25,000	Freeport-McMoRan	$53,750
Arizona State University	$22,600	Cancer Treatment Centers of America	$40,500
Banner Health	$18,500	Knight Transportation	$35,500
Lewis and Roca	$17,100	Pinnacle West Capital	$35,500
Taser International	$15,500	Marriott International	$29,750
Coca-Cola Co	$15,286	Shamrock Farms	$24,750
Pederson Group	$15,000	Services Group of America	$15,650
Source: OpenSecrets^[47]

Top industries

Richard Carmona	Contribution	Jeff Flake	Contribution	Ian Gilyeat	Contribution
Retired	$653,066	Republican/Conservative	$1,146,046	Retired	$250
Lawyers/Law Firms	$409,395	Retired	$643,260	Lawyers/Law Firms	$250
Health Professionals	$313,135	Leadership PACs	$502,352
Leadership PACs	$279,530	Real Estate	$302,572
Colleges/Universities	$189,270	Financial Institutions	$279,670
Real Estate	$145,000	Lawyers/Law Firms	$200,702
Business Services	$122,749	Misc Finance	$188,122
Financial Institutions	$118,500	Mining	$170,602
Democratic/Liberal	$111,889	Health Professionals	$164,607
Lobbyists	$105,172	Oil & Gas	$147,860
Source: OpenSecrets^[48]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[49]	Tossup	November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[50]	Lean R	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report^[51]	Tilt R	November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics^[52]	Lean R	November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Flake (R)	Richard Carmona (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[53]	November 2–3, 2012	1,080	± 3%	51%	46%	—	3%
Rasmussen Reports^[54]	October 21, 2012	500	± 4.5%	50%	44%	3%	3%
Rocky Mountain Poll^[55]	October 4–10, 2012	523	± 4.4%	40%	44%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling^[56]	October 1–3, 2012	595	± 4%	43%	45%	—	12%
HighGround/Moore^[57]	September 25–26, 2012	500	± 4%	43%	40%	5%	11%
Rasmussen Reports^[58]	September 25, 2012	500	± 4.5%	47%	41%	3%	9%
LCV/Public Policy Polling^[59]	September 7–9, 2012	993	± n/a%	44%	43%	—	13%
LCV/Public Policy Polling^[60]	July 23–25, 2012	833	± 3.4%	38%	38%	—	25%
Rasmussen Reports^[61]	June 26, 2012	500	± 4.5%	47%	31%	5%	17%
Public Policy Polling^[62]	June 4–5, 2012	791	± 3.5%	43%	41%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling^[22]	May 17–20, 2012	500	± 4.4%	48%	35%	—	17%
Magellan Strategies^[63]	April 30 – May 2, 2012	909	± 3.3%	44%	40%	—	16%
Rasmussen Reports^[64]	March 13, 2012	500	± 4.5%	47%	34%	4%	16%
NBC News/Marist^[65]	February 19–20, 2012	2,487	± 2.0%	42%	29%	—	28%
Public Policy Polling^[66]	February 17–19, 2012	743	± 3.6%	46%	35%	—	19%
Public Policy Polling^[67]	November 17–20, 2011	500	± 4.4%	40%	36%	—	24%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Wil Cardon (R)	Richard Carmona (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[67]	November 17–20, 2011	500	± 4.4%	35%	33%	—	32%
Public Policy Polling^[66]	February 17–19, 2012	743	± 3.6%	37%	33%	—	30%
Rasmussen Reports^[64]	March 13, 2012	500	± 4.5%	39%	38%	3%	20%
Magellan Strategies^[63]	April 30 – May 2, 2012	909	± 3.3%	41%	40%	—	19%
Public Policy Polling^[22]	May 17–20, 2012	500	± 4.4%	40%	37%	—	23%

Republican primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Flake	J.D. Hayworth	Sarah Palin	Gary Pierce	Marilyn Quayle	Fife Symington	Other/ Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[41]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	400	± 4.9%	33%	11%	35%	3%	2%	3%	13%

Democratic primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dennis Burke	Gabrielle Giffords	Rodney Glassman	Terry Goddard	Phil Gordan	Harry Mitchell	Ed Pastor	Felecia Rotellini	Other/ Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[41]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	300	± 5.7%	2%	46%	4%	28%	2%	5%	4%	2%	6%

with Don Bivens

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Wil Cardon (R)	Don Bivens (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[67]	November 17–20, 2011	500	± 4.4%	35%	27%	—	37%
Public Policy Polling^[66]	February 17–19, 2012	743	± 3.6%	38%	32%	—	31%
Rasmussen Reports^[64]	March 13, 2012	500	± 4.5%	42%	30%	4%	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Flake (R)	Don Bivens (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[67]	November 17–20, 2011	500	± 4.4%	42%	32%	—	26%
Public Policy Polling^[66]	February 17–19, 2012	743	± 3.6%	46%	35%	—	19%
Rasmussen Reports^[64]	March 13, 2012	500	± 4.5%	47%	30%	3%	20%

with J.D. Hayworth

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	J.D. Hayworth (R)	Gabrielle Giffords (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	31%	57%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	J.D. Hayworth (R)	Terry Goddard (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	33%	51%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	J.D. Hayworth (R)	Phil Gordon (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	36%	44%	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	J.D. Hayworth (R)	Ed Pastor (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	37%	42%	21%

with Jeff Flake

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Flake (R)	Gabrielle Giffords (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	41%	48%	11%

with Jon Kyl

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jon Kyl (R)	Terry Goddard (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[69]	January 28–30, 2011	599	± 4.0%	50%	40%	9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jon Kyl (R)	Phil Gordon (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[69]	January 28–30, 2011	599	± 4.0%	54%	33%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jon Kyl (R)	Ann Kirkpatrick (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[69]	January 28–30, 2011	599	± 4.0%	51%	35%	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jon Kyl (R)	Janet Napolitano (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[69]	January 28–30, 2011	599	± 4.0%	53%	41%	6%

with Sarah Palin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sarah Palin (R)	Gabrielle Giffords (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	36%	54%	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sarah Palin (R)	Terry Goddard (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	40%	49%	11%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sarah Palin (R)	Phil Gordon (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	41%	45%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sarah Palin (R)	Ed Pastor (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[68]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	623	± 3.9%	43%	45%	12%

Results

United States Senate election in Arizona, 2012^[70]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Jeff Flake	1,104,457	49.23%	−4.11%
	Democratic	Richard Carmona	1,036,542	46.20%	+2.70%
	Libertarian	Marc J. Victor	102,109	4.55%	+1.39%
	Independent	Steven Watts (write-in)	290	0.01%	N/A
	Independent	Don Manspeaker (write-in)	24	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			2,243,422	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

By congressional district

Despite losing, Carmona carried 5 of the 9 congressional districts.^[71]

District	Carmona	Flake	Representative
1st	49.11%	46.32%	Ann Kirkpatrick
2nd	51.52%	45.03%	Ron Barber
3rd	63.08%	32.79%	Raúl Grijalva
4th	33.36%	60.94%	Paul Gosar
5th	35.52%	60.06%	Matt Salmon
6th	40.32%	55.35%	David Schweikert
7th	71.87%	23.14%	Ed Pastor
8th	38.9%	56.29%	Trent Franks
9th	51.77%	43.39%	Kyrsten Sinema

References

^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
^ Catanese, David; Epstein, Jennifer (February 10, 2011). "Sen. Jon Kyl announces his retirement from Senate". Politico. Retrieved February 10, 2011.
^ Catanese, David; Scott Wong (August 5, 2011). "Self funder to primary Jeff Flake". Politico. Retrieved August 8, 2011.
^ Trygstad, Kyle (August 8, 2011). "Flake Draws Wealthy GOP Primary Opponent". Roll Call. Archived from the original on September 16, 2011. Retrieved August 8, 2011.
^ "Jeff Flake announces he'll run for Kyl seat". Associated Press. February 14, 2011. Retrieved February 14, 2011.
^ "Paid for by Bryan Hackbarth for United States Senate". brian4senate.com. Archived from the original on January 11, 2012. Retrieved April 12, 2018.
^ Nowicki, Dan (October 16, 2011). "Senate hopefuls' fundraising revealed for 3rd quarter". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 26, 2011.
^ "Local man launches U.S. Senate campaign". Mohave Valley Daily News. June 3, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ Burns, Alexander (February 10, 2011). "Fife eyes Senate, floats NFL star Kurt Warner". Politico. Retrieved February 10, 2011.
^ "Battling DOJ, Arpaio to run again". politico.com. Retrieved April 12, 2018.
^ Sullivan, Sean (February 11, 2011). "Brewer Won't Run for Kyl's Seat". National Journal. Archived from the original on March 19, 2011. Retrieved February 11, 2011.
^ Sullivan, Sean (April 1, 2011). "Franks not running for Senate in Arizona". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 15, 2011. Retrieved April 1, 2011.
^ King, James (April 28, 2011). "Rumor Mill: J.D. Hayworth Will NOT Run For Senate -- Again". Phoenix New Times. Retrieved November 15, 2011.
^ staff, CBS Interactive (June 6, 2011). "Palin denies new Ariz. home is for Senate run - CBS News". www.cbsnews.com. Retrieved January 28, 2024.
^ Drucker, David M. (February 12, 2011). "Early, Long Whip Race Will Test GOP Cohesion". Roll Call. Archived from the original on February 14, 2011. Retrieved February 13, 2011.
^ Bedard, Paul (February 11, 2011). "Ben Quayle Staying Put in House". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved February 13, 2011.
^ Bodfield, Rhonda; Kelly, Andrea (February 13, 2011). "With Kyl leaving, we at least know some who won't be seeking his seat". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved February 13, 2011.
^ Sunnucks, Mike (February 11, 2011). "Shadegg won't run for Kyl's Senate seat, Trent Franks looking at run". Phoenix Business Journal. Retrieved February 11, 2011.
^ Trygstad, Kyle (April 30, 2012). "Arizona: Jim DeMint Endorses Jeff Flake in Senate Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved April 12, 2018.
^ "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements – GOProud, Inc". October 25, 2012. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012. Retrieved April 12, 2018.
^ "NRA-PVF Endorses Jeff Flake for U.S. Senate in Arizona". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. September 27, 2012. Archived from the original on August 12, 2014. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c Public Policy Polling
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Magellan Strategies ^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ ^a ^b "Official Election Canvass of Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 12, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2014.
^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 12, 2013. Retrieved January 6, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
^ Sullivan, Sean (November 10, 2011). "Carmona Will Run in Arizona". National Journal. Archived from the original on November 12, 2011. Retrieved November 10, 2011.
^ Livingston, Abby (March 28, 2012). "Arizona: Bivens Drops Out, Democratic Field Clears". Roll Call. Retrieved April 12, 2018.
^ Sanders, Rebekah (May 21, 2012). "U.S. Rep. Jeff Flake files signatures for primary". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved May 24, 2012.
^ McCombs, Brady (June 9, 2012). "Democrat Ruben ends US Senate campaign". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved June 16, 2012.
^ Haque, Fahima (February 11, 2011). "Arizona U.S. Attorney for Senate?". Main Justice. Archived from the original on August 16, 2011. Retrieved February 14, 2011.
^ Cillizza, Chris (February 10, 2011). "Gabrielle Giffords was planning possible Senate run before shooting". WashingtonPost.com. Archived from the original on September 14, 2012. Retrieved February 10, 2011.
^ Sunnucks, Mike (February 10, 2011). "Phoenix mayor ponders a run for Kyl's seat; Luis Gonzalez not interested". Phoenix Business Journal. Retrieved February 10, 2011.
^ Miller, Sean J. (March 2, 2011). "Arizona Democrat considering Senate run in absence of Rep. Giffords". The Hill. Retrieved July 23, 2011.
^ Nowicki, Dan (November 20, 2011). "Arizona civil-rights leader weighs Senate run". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 21, 2011.
^ [1] Archived January 31, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
^ "Mark Kelly: I'm not running for office – Jennifer Epstein". Politico.Com. Retrieved July 11, 2011.
^ King, James (February 18, 2011). "Janet Napolitano No-Go on Senate Run; Wants to Focus on Border Security". Phoenix New Times. Archived from the original on February 19, 2011. Retrieved February 18, 2011.
^ Nowicki, Dan (February 16, 2011). "Pederson won't run for Kyl's Senate seat". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved February 16, 2011.
^ ^a ^b ^c Public Policy Polling
^ "Carmona Campaign Finances". fec.gov. Retrieved April 12, 2018.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ "Flake Campaign Finances". fec.gov. Retrieved April 12, 2018.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ "Kansas District 04 2012 Race". OpenSecrets.
^ "Victor Campaign Finances". fec.gov. Retrieved April 12, 2018.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ "Meyer Campaign Finances". fec.gov. Retrieved April 12, 2018.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Arizona Senate". OpenSecrets.
^ "Top Industries 2012 Race: Arizona Senate". OpenSecrets.
^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
^ "2012 Elections Map – Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rocky Mountain Poll
^ Public Policy Polling
^ HighGround/Moore Archived October 3, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ LCV/Public Policy Polling
^ LCV/Public Policy Polling
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b Magellan Strategies
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Rasmussen Reports
^ NBC News/Marist
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Public Policy Polling
^ 2012 Election. State of Arizona. Official Canvass
^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

[VEP12-1] Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.

[politico01-2] Catanese, David; Epstein, Jennifer (February 10, 2011). "Sen. Jon Kyl announces his retirement from Senate". Politico. Retrieved February 10, 2011.

[3] Catanese, David; Scott Wong (August 5, 2011). "Self funder to primary Jeff Flake". Politico. Retrieved August 8, 2011.

[4] Trygstad, Kyle (August 8, 2011). "Flake Draws Wealthy GOP Primary Opponent". Roll Call. Archived from the original on September 16, 2011. Retrieved August 8, 2011.

[5] "Jeff Flake announces he'll run for Kyl seat". Associated Press. February 14, 2011. Retrieved February 14, 2011.

[6] "Paid for by Bryan Hackbarth for United States Senate". brian4senate.com. Archived from the original on January 11, 2012. Retrieved April 12, 2018.

[7] Nowicki, Dan (October 16, 2011). "Senate hopefuls' fundraising revealed for 3rd quarter". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 26, 2011.

[8] "Local man launches U.S. Senate campaign". Mohave Valley Daily News. June 3, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[9] Burns, Alexander (February 10, 2011). "Fife eyes Senate, floats NFL star Kurt Warner". Politico. Retrieved February 10, 2011.

[10] "Battling DOJ, Arpaio to run again". politico.com. Retrieved April 12, 2018.

[11] Sullivan, Sean (February 11, 2011). "Brewer Won't Run for Kyl's Seat". National Journal. Archived from the original on March 19, 2011. Retrieved February 11, 2011.

[rc01-12] Sullivan, Sean (April 1, 2011). "Franks not running for Senate in Arizona". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 15, 2011. Retrieved April 1, 2011.

[13] King, James (April 28, 2011). "Rumor Mill: J.D. Hayworth Will NOT Run For Senate -- Again". Phoenix New Times. Retrieved November 15, 2011.

[14] staff, CBS Interactive (June 6, 2011). "Palin denies new Ariz. home is for Senate run - CBS News". www.cbsnews.com. Retrieved January 28, 2024.

[rc02-15] Drucker, David M. (February 12, 2011). "Early, Long Whip Race Will Test GOP Cohesion". Roll Call. Archived from the original on February 14, 2011. Retrieved February 13, 2011.

[16] Bedard, Paul (February 11, 2011). "Ben Quayle Staying Put in House". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved February 13, 2011.

[17] Bodfield, Rhonda; Kelly, Andrea (February 13, 2011). "With Kyl leaving, we at least know some who won't be seeking his seat". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved February 13, 2011.

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v t e (2011 ←) 2012 United States elections (→ 2013)
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U.S. House (Election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona 8th sp Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois 2nd sp Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky 4th sp Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan 11th 11th sp Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey 10th sp New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon 1st sp Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington 1st sp West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Lt. Gov Indiana Missouri Lt. Gov Montana New Hampshire North Carolina Lt. Gov North Dakota Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia Wisconsin (recall)
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