Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election
(Redirected from Opinion polling for the Next Czech legislative election)
Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election started immediately after the 2021 parliamentary election.
Polling aggregations
[edit]The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations
Vote share
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| Seznam Zprávy | 17 September 2024 | 20.5 | 32.1 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 7.1 | – | – | 7.2 | 2.9 | 4.6 | – | – | 11.6 | |||
| Politico | 11 October 2024 | 13.0 | 3.0 | – | 33.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | – | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 |
| Europe Elects | October 2024 | 13.3 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 32.8 | 11.2 | 6.6 | 7.5 | – | 1.9 | – | – | 3.2 | 4.5 | 1.8 | – | 19.5 |
| Programy do voleb | 17 November 2024 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 34.5 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 19.8 |
Seat projection
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| Programy do voleb | 8 November 2024 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 104 | 28 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 122 | 70 |
| Mandáty.cz | 7 December 2024 | 47 | 83 | 25 | 15 | 16 | – | – | 14 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 87 | 113 | 36 | |||
| 33–60 | 70–96 | 18–35 | 0–22 | 0–24 | – | – | 0–21 | 0–9 | 0–15 | – | – | 10–63 | |||||||
Party and election coalition polling
[edit]The polls in this section are done by individual party.
Graphical summary
[edit]
Polls
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
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| Phoenix Research[b] | 1 – 13 Dec 2024 | 1,052 | 12.8 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 28.5 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 9.1 | – | – | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 5.0 | – | 1.0 | 15.4 | 15.7 | 29.0 | 41.7 | 29.3 |
| NMS | 3 – 9 Dec 2024 | 1,001 | 18.3 | 33.6 | 11.2 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 15.3 | 29.5 | 47.4 | 23.1 | ||
| Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia announces it will lead the Stačilo! list.[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| NMS | 5 – 12 Nov 2024 | 1,306 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 35.3 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 24.2 | 33.4 | 42.3 | 24.3 |
| Phoenix Research | 1 – 10 Nov 2024 | 1,078 | 16.0 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 32.4 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 10.6 | – | – | 4.5 | – | 1.8 | 6.2 | – | 1.0 | 4.2 | 16.4 | 39.3 | 43.0 | 17.8 |
| STEM | 31 Oct – 8 Nov 2024 | 1,081 | 21.1 | 33.7 | 8.4 | 5.9 | 8.9 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 12.6 | 29.5 | 48.5 | 22.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 21 Oct – 8 Nov 2024 | 1,200 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | – | – | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | – | 6.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 16.0 | ||
| 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 37.0 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | – | – | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | – | 5.5 | 22.0 | 33.5 | 51.0 | 15.5 | |||
| Median | 1 – 31 Oct 2024 | 1,018 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 33.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 5.0 | – | – | 3.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | – | 2.0 | 3.0 | 21.5 | 30.5 | 45.0 | 24.5 |
| The leaders of ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 sign an agreement to run in the next election as SPOLU again.[2] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| STEM | 2 – 11 Oct 2024 | 1,093 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 32.1 | 10.6 | 5.9 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 1.1 | – | 1.9 | 17.9 | 37.1 | 41.5 | 21.4 |
| Kantar CZ | 30 Sep – 11 Oct 2024 | 1,019 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 35.5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | – | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | – | – | 4.5 | 21.0 | 40.5 | 42.0 | 17.5 |
| NMS | 4 – 9 Oct 2024 | 1,301 | 12.2 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 32.9 | 12.0 | 6.8 | 7.5 | – | – | 4.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 2.0 | – | 4.7 | 20.7 | 37.5 | 40.4 | 22.1 |
| Czech Pirate Party leaves the Government. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Median | 1 – 30 Sep 2024 | 1,020 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 8.5 | 7.0 | – | – | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 21.5 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 22.5 |
| NMS | 3 – 10 Sep 2024 | 1,297 | 11.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 32.1 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 20.8 | 32.8 | 39.8 | 27.4 |
| STEM | 29 Aug – 8 Sep 2024 | 1,095 | 14.9 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 33.4 | 6.8 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 18.5 | 38.6 | 40.8 | 20.6 |
| Phoenix Research[b] | 1 – 8 Sep 2024 | 1,005 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 26.5 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 7.0 | – | – | 5.1 | – | 1.4 | 5.1 | – | 1.0 | 14.8 | 11.7 | 33.5 | 39.1 | 27.4 |
| Median | 1 – 31 Aug 2024 | 1,011 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 32.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 11.0 | – | – | 3.5 | – | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 19.5 | 40.0 | 43.5 | 16.5 |
| NMS | 1 – 8 Aug 2024 | 1,291 | 14.3 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 29.3 | 9.6 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 35.3 | 25.7 |
| Median | 1 – 31 July 2024 | 1,013 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | – | 5.0 | – | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 19.0 | 37.5 | 41.0 | 21.5 |
| Phoenix Research[b] | Jul 2024 | ? | 14.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 26.9 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 5.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.1 | – | – | 24.5 | 12.4 | 38.7 | 32.7 | 28.6 |
| NMS | 4 – 12 Jul 2024 | 1,307 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 28.2 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 7.2 | – | 3.2 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 16.9 | 38.9 | 35.0 | 26.1 |
| Median | 1 – 30 Jun 2024 | 1,003 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 30.5 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | – | 5.0 | – | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 18.5 | 41.0 | 39.0 | 20.0 |
| Kantar CZ | 10 – 21 Jun 2024 | 1,035 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 6.0 | – | 2.5 | 4.5 | – | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | – | 4.5 | 18.0 | 42.5 | 40.5 | 17.0 |
| 2024 European Parliament Election | 7–8 Jun 2024 | N/A | 22.3 | 26.1 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 37.2 | 31.8 | 31.0 | ||||
| STEM | Jun 2024 | 1,609 | 14.8 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 32.9 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 18.1 | 37.3 | 40.2 | 22.5 |
| Median | 6 – 31 May 2024 | 1,031 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 33.0 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | – | 3.0 | – | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 18.5 | 40.5 | 40.5 | 19.0 |
| Sanep | 15–23 May 2024 | 2,300 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 32.1 | 6.5 | 11.1 | 10.1 | – | 4.0 | 3.8 | – | 3.7 | 3.3 | – | 6.1 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 34.1 | 42.2 | 23.7 |
| Kantar CZ | 22 Apr – 10 May 2024 | 1,008 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 7.5 | 11.0 | 9.0 | – | – | 3.5 | – | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | 5.0 | 16.5 | 42.5 | 41.0 | 16.5 |
| Sanep | 18–24 Apr 2024 | 1,900 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 32.6 | 5.8 | 10.7 | 10.3 | – | 3.6 | 3.2 | – | 3.1 | 3.8 | – | 5.8 | 3.1 | 20.5 | 34.5 | 42.9 | 22.6 |
| Median | 5 Mar – 3 Apr 2024 | 1,041 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | – | 3.5 | – | 4.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 37.5 | 39.0 | 23.5 |
| Kantar CZ | 18 Mar – 5 Apr 2024 | 1,015 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 34.5 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 8.0 | – | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18.5 | 40.5 | 42.5 | 17.0 |
| Sanep | 25–31 Mar 2024 | 1,700 | 10.1 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 33.5 | 7.1 | 11.3 | 11.1 | – | 3.5 | 3.4 | – | 2.3 | 3.5 | – | 5.3 | 3.2 | 21.6 | 34.2 | 44.6 | 21.2 |
| STEM | 15–25 Mar 2024 | 1,096 | 14.5 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 32.9 | 6.6 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.8 | – | 3.6 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 18.4 | 41.3 | 42.2 | 17.6 |
| Median | 1 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 1006 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 9.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 4.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 18.5 | 41.0 | 40.5 | 18.5 |
| Kantar CZ | 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,015 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 38.5 | 7.0 | 9.5 | 9.0 | – | – | – | – | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 9.5 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 47.5 | 14.5 |
| Sanep | 22–28 Feb 2024 | 1,560 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 33.1 | 6.4 | 11.2 | 11.5 | – | 3.7 | 3.5 | – | 2.5 | 3.2 | – | 5.5 | 3.1 | 21.6 | 33.9 | 44.6 | 21.5 |
| Kantar CZ | 15 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 | 1,013 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 35.0 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | – | 2.5 | 3.5 | – | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 2.5 | 19.5 | 40.0 | 44.5 | 15.5 |
| Median | 15 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1019 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 31.5 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 10.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 18.5 | 40.5 | 42.0 | 16.0 |
| Sanep | 22–29 Jan 2024 | 1,427 | 10.5 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 33.4 | 6.1 | 10.5 | 11.7 | – | 2.7 | 3.6 | – | 2.4 | 2.9 | – | 5.3 | 4.9 | 21.7 | 33.1 | 45.1 | 21.8 |
| STEM | 18 – 27 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 13.2 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 33.4 | 7.0 | 11.3 | 10.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.6 | – | 3.1 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 20.2 | 39.2 | 43.4 | 17.4 |
| Median | 29 Nov – 30 Dec 2023 | 988 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 35.0 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 9.0 | – | – | 2.5 | – | 4.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 38.5 | 44.0 | 17.5 |
| Sanep | 23–29 Nov 2023 | 1,756 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 33.0 | 5.8 | 9.9 | 11.2 | – | 2.7 | 2.6 | – | 2.8 | 3.1 | – | 5.8 | 5.1 | 21.7 | 34.3 | 44.2 | 21.5 |
| STEM | Nov 2023 | 1,097 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 33.2 | 6.4 | 10.2 | 12.0 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | – | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 21.2 | 36.9 | 45.2 | 17.8 |
| Sanep | 19–25 Oct 2023 | 1,826 | 11.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 33.1 | 5.6 | 8.9 | 10.3 | – | 2.4 | 2.7 | – | 3.1 | 2.9 | – | 5.2 | 5.3 | 21.5 | 34.4 | 43.4 | 22.2 |
| Kantar CZ | 16 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 32.5 | 7.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | 2.5 | – | 3.5 | 3.5 | – | 2.0 | 5.5 | 17.0 | 40.0 | 43.0 | 17.0 |
| Median | 3 – 31 Oct 2023 | 1,016 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 10.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 21.5 | 38.0 | 45.5 | 16.5 |
| Median | 5 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | 1,017 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 34.0 | 6.5 | 11.5 | 9.5 | – | – | – | – | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 40.5 | 43.5 | 16.0 |
| Sanep | 21–27 Sep 2023 | 1,632 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 32.9 | 5.2 | 9.1 | 10.2 | – | 2.2 | 2.8 | – | 2.7 | 3.2 | – | 5.7 | 5.9 | 21.1 | 34.4 | 43.1 | 22.5 |
| Kantar CZ | 11–29 Sep 2023 | 982 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 33.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | 3.0 | 4.0 | – | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 21.5 | 36.5 | 43 | 20.5 |
| STEM | 7–17 Sep 2023 | 1,123 | 13.1 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 30.8 | 5.3 | 9.6 | 10.9 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 3.2 | – | 4.0 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 17.7 | 38.4 | 41.7 | 19.9 |
| Median | 1 Jul – 8 Aug 2023 | 1,019 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 33.0 | 6.5 | 12.0 | 8.0 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 18.0 | 43.0 | 41.0 | 15.5 |
| Median | 12–30 Jun 2023 | 1,007 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 35.5 | 5.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 21.5 | 37.5 | 45.5 | 17.0 |
| Kantar CZ | 15 May – 2 Jun 2023 | 962 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 11.5 | 8.0 | – | – | 2.5 | – | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 16.5 | 42.5 | 41.5 | 16.0 |
| Median | 1 May – 2 Jun 2023 | 1,012 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 34.5 | 6.0 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | 3.5 | – | – | 4.0 | 19.5 | 41.0 | 43.0 | 16.0 |
| STEM | 18–29 May 2023 | 1,141 | 14.6 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 33.5 | 5.8 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.9 | – | 4.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 18.9 | 39.3 | 42.8 | 18.1 |
| Kantar CZ | 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 | 981 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 30.5 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | – | – | 2.5 | – | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 13.5 | 44.0 | 39.5 | 16.5 |
| Median | 1 Apr – 2 May 2023 | 1,015 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 31.0 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | – | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | 16.0 | 43.0 | 39.5 | 17.5 |
| Sanep | 20 – 26 Apr 2023 | 1,543 | 13.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 33.5 | 4.7 | 10.1 | 9.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.7 | 14.4 | 20.3 | 36.0 | 42.9 | 21.5 |
| Phoenix Research[b] | Apr 2023 | – | 14.2 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 31.5 | 7.8 | 8.9 | 9.6 | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | – | – | 5.2 | 12.8 | 17.3 | 39.3 | 41.1 | 19.6 |
| Kantar CZ | 20 Mar – 6 Apr 2023 | 970 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | – | – | 3.5 | – | 5.0 | 2.5 | – | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.5 | 43.5 | 37.5 | 19.0 |
| Median | 2 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 1,006 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 34.5 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | 1.5 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 44.5 | 15.5 |
| Sanep | 23 – 29 Mar 2023 | 1,432 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 33.1 | 4.3 | 9.9 | 9.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.4 | 15.9 | 19.8 | 35.0 | 42.7 | 22.3 |
| Median | 12 Feb – 7 Mar 2023 | 1,011 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | – | 2.5 | 17.5 | 41.5 | 41.5 | 17.0 |
| Kantar CZ | 13 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 | 951 | 21.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 29.5 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 8.5 | – | – | 2.5 | – | 4.5 | 2.0 | – | – | 6.5 | 8.0 | 46.5 | 38.0 | 15.5 |
| Phoenix[b] | Feb – Mar 2023 | 1,022 | 14.1 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 27.6 | 5.6 | 8.9 | 9.5 | – | – | – | – | 2.2 | 1.2 | – | 4.3 | 14.3 | 13.5 | 40.9 | 37.1 | 22.0 |
| Sanep | 9–12 Feb 2023 | 1,536 | 13.5 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 32.7 | 4.6 | 7.9 | 9.3 | – | – | – | – | 3.0 | – | – | 6.1 | 15.9 | 19.2 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 25.0 |
| STEM | 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | 2,005 | 13.9 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 30.8 | 6.4 | 9.4 | 12.4 | – | – | – | – | 4.0 | 4.2 | – | – | 9.5 | 16.9 | 39.2 | 43.2 | 17.7 |
| Kantar CZ | 17 Oct – 4 Nov 2022 | 1,200 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 26.5 | 6.0 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | – | 2.5 | – | 3.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 4.0 | 5.0 | 48.0 | 37.5 | 14.5 |
| Median | 1–31 Oct 2022 | 1,005 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 1.5 | – | 2.0 | – | 5.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | 2.5 | 18.0 | 41.0 | 43.5 | 15.5 |
| Kantar CZ | 12–30 Sep 2022 | 997 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 29.5 | 7.5 | 9.0 | 11.5 | – | – | 4.0 | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | 11.5 | 44.5 | 41.0 | 14.5 |
| Median | 1–30 Sep 2022 | 1,010 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 30.5 | 5.5 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 2.0 | – | 3.0 | – | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | – | 2.5 | 14.5 | 41.0 | 42.0 | 16.5 |
| Sanep | 8–14 Sep 2022 | 1,678 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 29.9 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 12.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.5 | – | 5.3 | 16.4 | 15.7 | 32.3 | 42.5 | 25.2 |
| STEM | 1–8 Sep 2022 | 2,003 | 14.2 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 9.4 | 14.3 | – | – | 3.5 | – | 4.0 | – | – | – | 10.1 | 15.7 | 38.1 | 44.3 | 17.6 |
| Kantar CZ | 15 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 | 893 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 30.5 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 11.0 | – | 2.0 | 3.0 | – | 3.0 | 3.5 | – | – | 4.0 | 11.0 | 43.0 | 41.5 | 15.5 |
| Median | 1 – 31 Aug 2022 | 1,005 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 11.5 | 14.0 | 2.0 | – | 3.5 | – | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | – | 2.5 | 13.0 | 38.5 | 43.0 | 18.5 |
| Sanep | 25–30 Aug 2022 | 1,632 | 13.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 31.1 | 4.2 | 7.2 | 13.1 | – | – | – | – | 3.1 | – | – | 3.9 | 16.5 | 17.2 | 32.3 | 44.2 | 23.5 |
| STEM | 4 – 11 Aug 2022 | 2,093 | 15.5 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 31.1 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 11.9 | – | – | – | – | 4.8 | 3.4 | – | – | 9.6 | 15.6 | 39.3 | 43.0 | 17.8 |
| Median | 8 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 | 1,005 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 12.5 | 2.5 | – | 3.0 | – | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | – | 1.5 | 14.5 | 41.0 | 42.5 | 16.5 |
| Median | 20 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 | 1,543 | 16.1 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 29.0 | 4.8 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | – | 5.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 | – | 1.8 | 12.9 | 42.5 | 41.5 | 15.8 | |
| Sanep | 23–27 Jun 2022 | 1,543 | 16.1 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 29.2 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 13.7 | – | 3.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | – | – | 16.7 | 13.1 | 33.9 | 42.9 | 23.2 |
| Kantar CZ | 16 May – 2 Jun 2022 | 962 | 22.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 11.0 | – | – | 2.0 | – | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | – | 5.0 | 5.5 | 45.0 | 39.0 | 16.0 |
| Median | 1 May – 2 Jun 2022 | 1,018 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 28.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 11.5 | 2.5 | – | 3.0 | – | 5.5 | 3.0 | – | – | 3.0 | 12.0 | 43.0 | 40.0 | 17.0 |
| Sanep | 26–30 May 2022 | 1,429 | 19.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 30.1 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 14.3 | – | 3.6 | – | – | 2.3 | – | 1.0 | – | 9.4 | 10.5 | 39.3 | 44.4 | 16.3 |
| Kantar CZ | 8–29 Apr 2022 | 1,200 | 26.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 27.5 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | 3.5 | 1.0 | 48.5 | 38.5 | 13.0 |
| Sanep | 13–20 Apr 2022 | 1,631 | 19.8 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 28.1 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 12.9 | – | 3.3 | – | – | 2.6 | – | 0.8 | – | 8.9 | 8.3 | 43.4 | 41.0 | 15.6 |
| Kantar CZ | 14 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 | 1,200 | 22.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 27.5 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 2.0 | – | 3.5 | – | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 3.5 | 5.0 | 49.0 | 37.0 | 14.0 |
| Sanep | 10–16 Mar 2022 | 1,673 | 19.1 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 27.9 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 12.7 | – | 3.4 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 0.9 | – | 6.8 | 8.8 | 45.3 | 40.6 | 14.1 |
| Kantar CZ | 14 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 | 1,200 | 21.0 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 11.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 4.0 | 4.0 | 51.5 | 36.5 | 12.0 |
| Sanep | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,673 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 28.7 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 11.2 | – | 2.1 | – | – | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | – | 7.7 | 11.4 | 43.0 | 39.9 | 17.1 |
| Phoenix[c] | Feb 2022 | 1,066 | 15.4 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 26.4 | 10.3 | 7.1 | 7.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.0 | 44.4 | 33.9 | 21.7 |
| Sanep | 20–26 Jan 2022 | 1,839 | 14.7 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 29.1 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 11.3 | – | 1.8 | – | – | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | – | 6.9 | 14.4 | 39.4 | 40.4 | 17.3 |
| Sanep | 18–24 Nov 2021 | 1,912 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 27.6 | 10.7 | 7.6 | 9.9 | – | – | 3.2 | – | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.0 | – | 6.5 | 13.5 | 42.9 | 35.2 | 19.6 |
| Kantar CZ | 1–19 Nov 2021 | 935 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 2.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 4.0 | 3.5 | – | – | 4.0 | 11.5 | 47.0 | 36.5 | 16.5 |
| 2021 legislative election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | N/A | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 4.7 | N/A | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | N/A | 2.9 | 0.7 | 43.4 | 36.7 | 19.7 | ||||
Seat projections
[edit]The Czech Chamber of Deputies has 200 seats, 101 seats are needed for a majority.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
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Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 – 31 Oct 2024 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 27 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 57 | 143 |
| Median | 1 – 30 Sep 2024 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 89 | 111 |
| Median | 1 – 31 Aug 2024 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 25 | 25 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 84 | 116 |
| Median | 1 – 31 July 2024 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 80 | 120 |
| Median | 1 – 30 Jun 2024 | 30 | 0 | 13 | 74 | 22 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 91 | 109 |
| Kantar CZ | 10 – 21 Jun 2024 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 18 | 25 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 86 | 114 |
| Median | 6 – 31 May 2024 | 31 | 0 | 15 | 79 | 24 | 29 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 99 | 101 |
| Kantar CZ | 22 Apr – 10 May 2024 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 15 | 26 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 82 | 118 |
| Median | 5 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 84 | 116 |
| Median | 5 Mar – 3 Apr 2024 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 17 | 30 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 88 | 112 |
| Median | 1 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 | 31 | 0 | 15 | 79 | 22 | 29 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 97 | 103 |
| Kantar CZ | 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 35 | 0 | 9 | 95 | 15 | 24 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 83 | 117 |
| Median | 15 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 30 | 0 | 14 | 79 | 17 | 33 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 94 | 106 |
| Median | 29 Nov – 30 Dec 2023 | 33 | 0 | 15 | 87 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 90 | 110 |
| Median | 3 – 31 Oct 2023 | 35 | 0 | 15 | 87 | 15 | 23 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 86 | 114 |
| Median | 5 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | 35 | 0 | 13 | 85 | 16 | 29 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 91 | 109 |
| Median | 1 Jul – 8 Aug 2023 | 35 | 0 | 12 | 77 | 16 | 29 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 92 | 108 |
| Median | 12–30 Jun 2023 | 37 | 0 | 14 | 87 | 15 | 26 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 92 | 108 |
| Median | 1 May – 2 Jun 2023 | 37 | 0 | 14 | 87 | 15 | 26 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 92 | 108 |
| Kantar CZ | 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 14 | 25 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 88 | 112 |
| Median | 2 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | 38 | 0 | 12 | 85 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 91 | 109 |
| STEM | 1–18 Sep 2022 | 37 | 0 | 11 | 82 | 11 | 22 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 81 | 119 |
| 2021 legislative election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | 71 | 72 | 37 | 20 | 0 | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 108 | 92 | ||||
| 34 | 23 | 14 | 72 | 33 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 38 | |||||
Hypothetical scenarios
[edit]European Parliament election coalitions
[edit]The polls in this section took place following the 2024 European Parliament elections. The SPOLU coalition was reformed; Přísaha joined with the Motorists; KSČM created the Stačilo! coalition; SPD and Tricolour formed a joint list.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| SANEP | 5 – 11 Sep 2024 | 2,250 | 19.5 | 30.2 | 8.4 | 7.1 | – | 13.8 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 10.5 | ||||
| 2024 regional elections | 20–21 Sep 2024 | N/A | 24.4 | 35.4 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 0.3 | 2.0 | – | 3.5 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 11.0 | ||||
| NMS | 1–8 Aug 2024 | 1,291 | 21.4 | 29.3 | 9.6 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 7.9 | |||||
| 2024 European Parliament Election | 7–8 Jun 2024 | N/A | 22.3 | 26.1 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2021 legislative election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | N/A | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | N/A | 9.6 | 2.8 | 4.7 | N/A | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||||
Polls including SPOLU
[edit]The polls in this section took place after the Pirates and Mayors alliance, which ran in the 2021 election, ruled out working together at the next election.[3] They show the polls if the ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 join to continue the SPOLU alliance that contested the 2021 election and came in first place, over ANO. These polls took place prior to the announcement SPOLU would be recreated in the next election.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Kantar CZ | 30 Sep – 11 Oct 2024 | 1,019 | 20.0 | 36.5 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 2.5 | 4.5 | 16.5 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 10 – 21 Jun 2024 | 1,035 | 22.5 | 34.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | – | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 4.5 | 12.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 22 Apr – 10 May 2024 | 1,008 | 22.5 | 32.5 | 7.5 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | – | – | 2.5 | – | – | 6.0 | 10.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 18 Mar – 5 Apr 2024 | 1,015 | 21.5 | 35.5 | 6.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | 2.5 | 14.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,015 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 7.5 | 10.0 | 9.0 | – | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 5.5 | 19.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 15 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 | 1,013 | 22.5 | 35.5 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | 2.5 | – | – | – | 2.0 | 13.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 16 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 21.5 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | – | – | – | 2.0 | – | 6.0 | 11.5 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 11–29 Sep 2023 | 982 | 19.5 | 33.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | – | 3.0 | 14.0 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 15 May – 2 Jun 2023 | 955 | 24.0 | 33.5 | 6.0 | 11.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | – | 3.0 | 9.5 | |||
| Kantar CZ | 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 | 964 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 6.5 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | 2.0 | 6.0 | |||
| Kantar CZ | 20 Mar – 6 Apr 2023 | 951 | 27.5 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 5.0 | 2.0 | |||
| 2021 legislative election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | N/A | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||||
Polls including SPOLU and PirSTAN
[edit]The polls in this section include both the SPOLU alliance and the Pirates and Mayors alliance.
Graphical summary
[edit]
Polls
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Kantar CZ | 13 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 | 951 | 31.0 | 30.5 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | – | – | – | 7.0 | 0.5 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 17 Oct – 4 Nov 2022 | 1,200 | 31.5 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 3.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 12–30 Sep 2022 | 997 | 28.5 | 31.5 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 5.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 15 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 | 893 | 29.0 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | – | – | – | 7.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 16 May – 2 Jun 2022 | 962 | 28.5 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 5.5 | 1.0 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 8–29 Apr 2022 | 1,200 | 33.5 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 4.5 | 5.0 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 14 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 1,200 | 31.5 | 29.0 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 2.5 | ||||
| Median | 1 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 | 1,159 | 26.5 | 27.5 | 16.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 4.0 | 1.0 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 14 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 | 1,200 | 32.5 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 2.0 | 5.0 | ||||
| Median | 1 Nov – 2 Dec 2021 | 1,073 | 26.0 | 29.5 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | – | – | 3.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| Kantar CZ | 1–19 Nov 2021 | 935 | 28.0 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 3.0 | Tie | ||||
| 2021 legislative election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | N/A | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | N/A | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||||
Seat projections
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
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|
Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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| |||||||||
| Kantar CZ | 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 49 | 93 | 14 | 23 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 | 63 | 75 | 13 | 22 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | ||
| Kantar CZ | 1–19 Nov 2021 | 71 | 71 | 38 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Tie | ||||
| 2021 legislative election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | 71 | 72 | 37 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||||
| 34 | 23 | 14 | 72 | 33 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | ||
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Je rozhodnuto: komunisté podpoří STAČILO!". 16 November 2024. Retrieved 19 November 2024.
- ^ Svorník, Petr (28 October 2024). "Fiala, Pekarová a Výborný stvrdili společnou kandidátku, chtějí porazit „levicový populismus"". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Borgis. Retrieved 28 October 2024.
- ^ "Rakušan: Příště půjdeme do voleb bez Pirátů". Novinky.cz (in Czech). 6 November 2021. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
