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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Chris Van Hollen Chris Chaffee
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,316,897 682,293
Percentage 65.77% 34.07%
Van Hollen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Chaffee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

Elections in Maryland
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee.[2]

Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen.[3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner[5]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Van Hollen

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Van Hollen
  •   60–70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 535,014 80.81%
Democratic Michelle Laurence Smith 127,089 19.19%
Total votes 662,103 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Chris Chaffee, homebuilding contractor and perennial candidate[a][34][35]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Chaffee

Organizations

Nnabu Eze

Organizations

Lorie Friend

State legislators

Reba Hawkins

Organizations

Joseph Perez

Organizations

James Tarantin

State legislators

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Chaffee
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Friend
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Thormann
  •   10–20%
  Tarantin
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Chaffee 50,514 20.78%
Republican Lorie Friend 35,714 14.69%
Republican John Thormann 33,290 13.69%
Republican Joseph Perez 26,359 10.84%
Republican George Davis 21,095 8.68%
Republican James Tarantin 20,514 8.44%
Republican Reba Hawkins 18,057 7.43%
Republican Jon McGreevey 14,128 5.81%
Republican Todd Puglisi 13,550 5.57%
Republican Nnabu Eze 9,917 4.08%
Total votes 243,138 100.0%

Other candidates

[edit]

Write-in

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Scottie Griffin (Democratic)[34]
  • Andrew Wildman (unaffiliated)[34]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[47] Solid D July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Safe D June 15, 2022
Politico[49] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[50] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[51] Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ[52] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[53] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[54] Safe D September 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Van Hollen (D)

Executive branch officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Chris Chaffee (R)

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Van Hollen (D) 		Chris
Chaffee (R) 		Other Undecided
Goucher College[62] September 8–12, 2022 748 (LV) ± 3.6% 56% 33% 2%[d] 8%
Hypothetical polling

Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Van Hollen (D) 		Larry
Hogan (R) 		Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[63][A] November 29 – December 1, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 49% – 14%
Change Research (D)[64] September 29 – October 1, 2020 650 (V) ± 4.6% 50% 34% – 16%
University of Maryland/Washington Post[65] October 9–14, 2019 819 (RV) ± 4.5% 42% 50% 3%[e] 5%

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in Maryland[66]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 1,316,897 65.77% +4.88%
Republican Chris Chaffee 682,293 34.07% −1.60%
Write-in 3,146 0.16% +0.02%
Total votes 2,002,336 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Chris Van Hollen
Democratic 		Chris Chaffee
Republican 		Write-in Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # %
Allegany 7,244 33.56 14,326 66.36 17 0.08 -7,082 -32.81 21,587
Anne Arundel 123,696 57.39 91,471 42.44 377 0.17 32,225 14.95 215,544
Baltimore 175,417 64.23 97,307 35.63 402 0.15 78,110 28.60 273,126
Baltimore City 129,257 90.15 13,849 9.66 280 0.19 115,408 80.49 143,386
Calvert 17,007 45.44 20,382 54.46 37 0.10 -3,375 -9.02 37,426
Caroline 3,586 33.65 7,054 66.20 16 0.15 -3,468 -32.55 10,656
Carroll 27,775 38.78 43,761 61.10 90 0.13 -15,986 -22.32 71,626
Cecil 12,132 36.86 20,725 62.97 56 0.17 -8,593 -26.11 32,913
Charles 38,270 70.12 16,207 29.70 97 0.18 22,063 40.43 54,574
Dorchester 4,947 43.12 6,511 56.75 15 0.13 -1,564 -13.63 11,473
Frederick 58,708 55.26 47,406 44.62 119 0.11 11,302 10.64 106,233
Garrett 2,608 23.16 8,647 76.78 7 0.06 -6,039 -53.62 11,262
Harford 45,273 43.90 57,713 55.96 150 0.14 -12,440 -12.06 103,136
Howard 92,205 70.90 37,617 28.92 230 0.18 54,588 41.97 130,052
Kent 4,461 52.95 3,950 46.88 14 0.17 511 6.07 8,425
Montgomery 276,482 80.59 65,956 19.23 634 0.18 210,526 61.36 343,072
Prince George's 218,726 91.04 21,127 8.79 398 0.17 197,599 82.25 240,251
Queen Anne's 8,710 38.19 14,064 61.67 31 0.14 -5,354 -23.48 22,805
Somerset 2,656 39.02 4,146 60.91 5 0.07 -1,490 -21.89 6,807
St. Mary's 15,656 41.67 21,869 58.21 43 0.11 -6,213 -16.54 37,568
Talbot 9,028 51.33 8,548 48.60 13 0.07 480 2.73 17,589
Washington 19,420 40.00 29,072 59.87 64 0.13 -9,652 -19.88 48,556
Wicomico 14,296 46.98 16,104 52.92 32 0.10 -1,808 -5.94 30,432
Worcester 9,337 39.17 14,481 60.75 19 0.08 -5,144 -21.58 23,837
Totals 1,316,897 65.77 682,293 34.07 3,146 0.16 634,604 31.69 2,002,336

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Van Hollen won 7 of 8 congressional districts.[67]

District Van Hollen Chaffee Representative
1st 42.7% 57.2% Andy Harris
2nd 60.8% 39.1% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 62.3% 37.5% John Sarbanes
4th 91% 8.9% Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
5th 67.1% 32.8% Steny Hoyer
6th 54.4% 45.5% David Trone
7th 83.4% 16.4% Kweisi Mfume
8th 81.9% 17.9% Jamie Raskin

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Candidate for Maryland's 5th congressional district in 2010 and nominee in 2014; candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018
  2. ^ Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Maryland's 4th congressional district in 2020; Green nominee for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2016
  3. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 2%
  5. ^ "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was paid for by the Senate Leadership Fund

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Voting in Maryland". State Board of Elections. State of Maryland. Archived from the original on July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 16, 2022. Note Archived site contains Primary Election information, but not 'current' version.
  2. ^ a b Kurtz, Josh (April 16, 2021). "Mizeur Collects $350K for Congressional Bid; Aruna Miller Raising Money for Possible House Run". Maryland Matters. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  3. ^ "2022 race calls". Associated Press. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
  4. ^ Kurtz, Josh (February 15, 2022). "Political Notes: A Barnburner in Southern Md., Van Hollen Makes It Official, Masking Changes, Senator Pulls Chief Judge Bill". Maryland Matters. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
  5. ^ "Michelle Smith for Senate". September 11, 2020. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  6. ^ a b "AFSCME Maryland Announces Endorsements for Federal, State, and County Offices". afscmemd.org. American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3. June 10, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  7. ^ a b "2022 ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS FOR THE PRIMARY ELECTION". afscme67.org. American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees Local 67. Archived from the original on October 5, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  8. ^ a b "Labor-Endorsed Candidates for 2022 Primary Election". md.aft.org. American Federation of Teachers Maryland. June 15, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  9. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates 2022". mddclabor.org. Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO. May 18, 2022. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  10. ^ a b "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  11. ^ a b "Endorsements". seiu500.org. Service Employees International Union Local 500. Archived from the original on June 23, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  12. ^ a b "MD 2022 Election Endorsements/Respaldos políticos de la elección de MD de 2022". local25union.org. UNITE HERE Local 25. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "United Food & Commercial Workers Unions Announce Endorsements in Maryland". ufcw400.org. United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400. June 1, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  14. ^ a b "2022 Endorsements". bendthearc.us. Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "Brady PAC Endorses 113 House and Senate Gun Safety Champions for Election in 2022". bradypac.org. Brady Campaign. March 17, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  16. ^ a b Chartrand, KC (March 2, 2022). "CCAN Action Fund Endorses Climate Champion Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) for Re-election to the US Senate". Chesapeake Climate Action Network Action Fund. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  17. ^ a b "Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World".
  18. ^ a b c d "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Chris Van Hollen for Re-Election". End Citizens United. February 23, 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  19. ^ a b "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  20. ^ a b "Endorsements". Giffords. Retrieved January 31, 2022.
  21. ^ a b HRC Staff (June 1, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Nine Pro-LGBTQ+ Equality U.S. Senators for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved June 23, 2022.
  22. ^ a b "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  23. ^ a b Kassel, Matthew (November 30, 2021). "JDCA announces first slate of 2022 endorsements". Jewish Insider. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
  24. ^ a b "JStreetPAC Candidates". jstreetpac.org. J Street. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  25. ^ "Maryland Realtors RPAC Announces Support for July 19 Primary Candidates" (PDF). mdrealtor.org. Maryland Realtors Political Action Committee. Retrieved July 5, 2022.
  26. ^ a b "Endorsements". prochoiceamerica.org. NARAL Pro-Choice America. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  27. ^ a b "2022 Federal Endorsements". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
  28. ^ a b Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  29. ^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  30. ^ a b "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  31. ^ a b "Endorsements". turnoutpac.org. Progressive Turnout Project. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  32. ^ a b "Sierra Club Endorsements".
  33. ^ a b "Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections. July 19, 2022. Retrieved August 15, 2022.
  34. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". 2022 Gubernatorial Election. August 24, 2022. Archived from the original on October 16, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  35. ^ a b c Gunzburger, Ron. "Online Guide to Maryland Elections, Candidates & Politics". Politics1. Archived from the original on September 5, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  36. ^ "Nnabu Eze". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 13, 2021.
  37. ^ Kaplan, Alex (June 2, 2021). "Here are the QAnon supporters running for Congress in 2022". Media Matters for America. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  38. ^ "Sheriff: US Senate candidate falsely reported child sex trafficking in Harford Co". WMAR-TV. July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2022.
  39. ^ "MD Republican Senate candidate charged with making a false report after allegedly claiming adult bookstore trafficked children". CBS News. July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
  40. ^ "James Tarantin". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on October 28, 2021. Retrieved October 28, 2021.
  41. ^ "Harris: 'This was a sham, snap impeachment'". WBAL-TV 11. January 16, 2021. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  42. ^ "AP source: GOP Maryland Gov. Hogan won't run for Senate". WBAL. February 8, 2022. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
  43. ^ a b c d e "Maryland Right to Life Pro-Life Voter Guide 2022". mdrtl.org. Maryland Right to Life. Archived from the original on July 5, 2022. Retrieved July 28, 2022.
  44. ^ a b c "Senatorial candidate Lorie R. Friend receives multiple endorsements". The Garrett County Republican. July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 15, 2022.
  45. ^ "Delegate Trent Kittleman Endorses James Tarantin For United States Senate". WICZ-TV. October 19, 2021. Retrieved April 6, 2022.[permanent dead link‍]
  46. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  47. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  48. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  49. ^ "Maryland Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  50. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  51. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  52. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  53. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  54. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  55. ^ Wood, Pamela (August 25, 2022). "Biden rallies Maryland Democrats and stumps for Wes Moore in Montgomery County". Baltimore Banner. Retrieved August 25, 2022.
  56. ^ "Politics and Local 26". ibewlocal26.org. International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  57. ^ "Maryland – UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Auto Workers. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  58. ^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements". everytown.org. Everytown for Gun Safety. July 28, 2022. Retrieved July 28, 2022.
  59. ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Chris Van Hollen and David Trone for Congress". www.lcv.org. July 27, 2022.
  60. ^ "AFRO Ballot". Baltimore Afro-American. October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  61. ^ Editorial Board (October 21, 2022). "Here's who The Post endorses for Congress in Maryland". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 22, 2022.
  62. ^ Goucher College
  63. ^ WPA Intelligence (R)
  64. ^ Change Research (D)
  65. ^ University of Maryland/Washington Post
  66. ^ "Official 2022 Gubernatorial General Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections.
  67. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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