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2012 United States presidential election in Montana

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2012 United States presidential election in Montana

← 2008 November 6, 2012 2016 →
 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 267,928 201,839
Percentage 55.30% 41.66%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Montana voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Romney carried Montana with 55.30% of the vote to Obama's 41.66%, with a 13.64% margin of victory. Montana was the second-best state performance for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, carrying about 3% of the vote.

Romney performed much better than John McCain had in 2008, when he narrowly won over Obama with only a 2.38% margin of victory. Romney also won over five counties that voted for Obama in 2008. Most of the counties Obama won were either majority Native American (such as Big Horn, Blaine, Glacier, and Roosevelt) or have some of Montana's most populous cities and towns, such as Missoula County (containing its namesake city, the second largest in the state and home of the University of Montana) and Silver Bow County (home to Butte and Montana Tech). As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time that a Republican has won Gallatin County or that a Democrat has won Hill County or Roosevelt County.

Obama remains the only Democrat since statehood to win two terms in the White House without carrying Montana either time.[1]

Primary elections

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Democratic primary

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Republican primary

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2012 Montana Republican presidential caucuses

← 2008 June 16, 2012 (2012-06-16) 2016 →
 
Candidate Mitt Romney Ron Paul Rick Santorum
Home state Massachusetts Texas Pennsylvania

Montana results by county
  Mitt Romney
(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)
Members of the Montana delegation at the 2012 Republican National Convention

The Republican caucuses took place on June 14 to 16, 2012 as the Montana state convention. Ten days before, the state delegates were selected by the central committee in each county[2][3][4] 23 delegates were to have been chosen, for a total of 26 delegates to go to the national convention. Prior to selecting delegates, a non-binding primary election was held June 5, 2012. Results were announced before the Republican National Convention in August.

2012 Montana Republican presidential primary[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Mitt Romney 96,121 68.4%
Ron Paul 20,227 14.4%
Rick Santorum 12,546 8.9%
Newt Gingrich 6,107 4.3%
No Preference 5,456 3.9%
Unpledged delegates: 25
Total: 140,457 26
Key: Withdrew prior to contest

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Huffington Post[6] Safe R November 6, 2012
CNN[7] Safe R November 6, 2012
New York Times[8] Safe R November 6, 2012
Washington Post[9] Safe R November 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[10] Solid R November 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Solid R November 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[12] Solid R November 6, 2012

Results

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2012 United States presidential election in Montana[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mitt Romney 267,928 55.30
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) 201,839 41.66
Libertarian Gary Johnson 14,165 2.93
Others Others 116 0.02
Total votes 484,048 100.0

By county

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County Mitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Beaverhead 3,289 68.35% 1,371 28.49% 152 3.16% 1,918 39.86% 4,812
Big Horn 1,667 36.04% 2,882 62.30% 77 1.66% -1,215 -26.26% 4,626
Blaine 1,178 41.20% 1,616 56.52% 65 2.28% -438 -15.32% 2,859
Broadwater 2,152 71.47% 764 25.37% 95 3.16% 1,388 46.10% 3,011
Carbon 3,533 60.42% 2,146 36.70% 168 2.88% 1,387 23.72% 5,847
Carter 678 85.18% 96 12.06% 22 2.76% 582 73.12% 796
Cascade 18,345 53.06% 15,232 44.05% 999 2.89% 3,113 9.01% 34,576
Chouteau 1,758 62.32% 978 34.67% 85 3.01% 780 27.65% 2,821
Custer 3,373 62.87% 1,833 34.17% 159 2.96% 1,540 28.70% 5,365
Daniels 740 73.49% 237 23.54% 30 2.97% 503 49.95% 1,007
Dawson 3,029 68.48% 1,219 27.56% 175 3.96% 1,810 40.92% 4,423
Deer Lodge 1,448 32.47% 2,860 64.13% 152 3.40% -1,412 -31.66% 4,460
Fallon 1,128 80.23% 237 16.86% 41 2.91% 891 63.37% 1,406
Fergus 4,257 70.12% 1,640 27.01% 174 2.87% 2,617 43.11% 6,071
Flathead 28,309 64.47% 13,892 31.64% 1,708 3.89% 14,417 32.83% 43,909
Gallatin 24,358 50.84% 21,961 45.84% 1,589 3.32% 2,397 5.00% 47,908
Garfield 622 88.73% 66 9.42% 13 1.85% 556 79.31% 701
Glacier 1,415 31.76% 2,924 65.63% 116 2.61% -1,509 -33.87% 4,455
Golden Valley 351 73.28% 110 22.96% 18 3.76% 241 50.32% 479
Granite 1,107 64.93% 533 31.26% 65 3.81% 574 33.67% 1,705
Hill 3,164 46.36% 3,403 49.86% 258 3.78% -239 -3.50% 6,825
Jefferson 4,055 62.18% 2,272 34.84% 194 2.98% 1,783 27.34% 6,521
Judith Basin 854 70.29% 337 27.74% 24 1.97% 517 42.55% 1,215
Lake 7,135 53.63% 5,805 43.63% 364 2.74% 1,330 10.00% 13,304
Lewis and Clark 16,803 50.43% 15,620 46.88% 895 2.69% 1,183 3.55% 33,318
Liberty 702 70.34% 257 25.75% 39 3.91% 445 44.59% 998
Lincoln 6,057 68.13% 2,552 28.71% 281 3.16% 3,505 39.42% 8,890
Madison 3,130 69.06% 1,289 28.44% 113 2.50% 1,841 40.62% 4,532
McCone 745 75.03% 223 22.46% 25 2.51% 522 52.57% 993
Meagher 670 68.93% 269 27.67% 33 3.40% 401 41.26% 972
Mineral 1,216 60.17% 700 34.64% 105 5.19% 516 25.53% 2,021
Missoula 22,652 39.58% 32,824 57.35% 1,756 3.07% -10,172 -17.77% 57,232
Musselshell 1,833 76.15% 492 20.44% 82 3.41% 1,341 55.71% 2,407
Park 4,709 53.71% 3,783 43.15% 276 3.14% 926 10.56% 8,768
Petroleum 240 80.54% 49 16.44% 9 3.02% 191 64.10% 298
Phillips 1,688 75.76% 471 21.14% 69 3.10% 1,217 54.62% 2,228
Pondera 1,673 61.53% 975 35.86% 71 2.61% 698 25.67% 2,719
Powder River 833 81.11% 170 16.55% 24 2.34% 663 64.56% 1,027
Powell 1,806 65.03% 888 31.98% 83 2.99% 918 33.05% 2,777
Prairie 520 73.97% 167 23.76% 16 2.27% 353 50.21% 703
Ravalli 14,307 64.41% 7,285 32.80% 620 2.79% 7,022 31.61% 22,212
Richland 3,510 75.52% 1,002 21.56% 136 2.92% 2,508 53.96% 4,648
Roosevelt 1,514 41.23% 2,086 56.81% 72 1.96% -572 -15.58% 3,672
Rosebud 2,004 56.88% 1,422 40.36% 152 2.76% 582 16.52% 3,523
Sanders 3,980 67.45% 1,720 29.15% 201 3.40% 2,260 38.30% 5,901
Sheridan 1,207 62.60% 665 34.49% 56 2.91% 542 28.11% 1,928
Silver Bow 5,430 32.41% 10,857 64.79% 469 2.80% -5,427 -32.38% 16,756
Stillwater 3,337 70.97% 1,248 26.54% 117 2.49% 2,089 44.43% 4,702
Sweet Grass 1,594 75.30% 475 22.44% 48 2.26% 1,119 52.86% 2,117
Teton 2,113 64.40% 1,082 32.98% 86 2.62% 1,031 31.42% 3,281
Toole 1,440 68.51% 582 27.69% 80 3.80% 858 40.82% 2,102
Treasure 319 70.11% 114 25.05% 22 4.84% 205 45.06% 455
Valley 2,337 60.56% 1,385 35.89% 137 3.55% 952 24.67% 3,859
Wheatland 693 69.86% 272 27.42% 27 2.72% 421 42.44% 992
Wibaux 421 77.39% 98 18.01% 25 4.60% 323 59.38% 544
Yellowstone 40,500 58.86% 26,403 38.37% 1,904 2.77% 14,097 20.49% 68,807
Totals 267,928 55.30% 201,839 41.66% 14,717 3.04% 66,089 13.64% 484,484
County Flips:
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

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Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated, the At-Large District. This district covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Romney Obama Representative
At-large 55.35% 41.7% Steve Daines

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Leip, Dave. "Montana Election Results". US Election Atlas. Retrieved October 2, 2022.
  2. ^ "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 11, 2012.
  3. ^ "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  4. ^ "Montana Republican Delegation 2012".
  5. ^ unofficial election results Archived 2014-10-21 at the Wayback Machine. Secretary of State. June 22, 2012. Retrieved July 2, 2012.
  6. ^ "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
  7. ^ "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN. Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
  8. ^ "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
  9. ^ "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  10. ^ "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
  11. ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  12. ^ "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  13. ^ Election results
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