Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Given the large number of potential candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, and do not include Republican-leaning independents. The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Open-ended polls are included and marked with an asterisk (*), but closed-ended versions of such polls are listed where possible. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version used for debate qualification is prioritized, then the version among likely voters, then registered voters, then adults.
Background
[edit]The Democratic National Committee has determined that candidates may qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019, up until June 12, 2019, or by a fundraising threshold requiring at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states. Should more than 20 candidates meet either threshold, then candidates meeting both thresholds will be given highest priority for entry into the debates, followed by those with the highest polling average and those with the most donors. The pollsters and sponsors of polls designated for consideration by the DNC are the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University.[1] Open-ended polls do not count towards the polling threshold.[2]
For the third and fourth primary debates, candidates will be required to meet both polling and fundraising thresholds, with the prior considering only polls between June 28 and August 28, 2019, and increased to 4 qualifying polls at 2% support, now excluding surveys sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Reuters; the latter requirement has also been increased, to 130,000 unique donors with at least 400 in 20 different states.[3]
Individuals who have been included in national Democratic primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Stacey Abrams, Michael Avenatti, Sherrod Brown, Hillary Clinton, Mark Cuban, Andrew Cuomo, Al Franken, Eric Garcetti, Tim Kaine, Jason Kander, Joe Kennedy III, John Kerry, Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe, Chris Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Howard Schultz, Oprah Winfrey, and Mark Zuckerberg.
Polling in the four early primary states
[edit]The following Morning Consult[4] weekly poll archive[5][6][7] graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the early primary states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina) since February 2019.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling for Super Tuesday
[edit]The following Morning Consult[8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15] graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the March 3, 2020 Super Tuesday states (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia) since January 7, 2020.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Primary and caucus calendar
[edit]The following dates reflect either the confirmed or expected dates of Democratic primaries and caucuses in 2020. Those for contests in U.S. territories with no date yet set are based on dates estimated by The Green Papers based on past years. The pledged delegate numbers listed below are based on the presidential votes in 2008, 2012, and 2016, as well as the number of electoral votes of each state in 2020. The number of DNC members and distinguished party leaders in the count of unpledged PLEO (party leaders and elected officials) delegates is based on the 2016 Democratic National Convention, while the number of unpledged officeholders (governors, members of Congress, and their equivalents in non-state jurisdictions) reflects their current total. The numbers of pledged delegates do not yet account for delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[16][17][18]
States listed with a lavender background and an asterisk (*) do not yet have a date set by existing statute. States with a light yellow background and a dagger (†) are set to shift their primary or caucus date following the expected passage of legislation moving the dates of their contests. If not already listed as such, the date to which the contest is expected to be moved is listed in parentheses. Party-run primaries (also described as either a firehouse primary or caucus in some jurisdictions) are listed with two asterisks (**).[16][17][18]
Date | State/territory | Type | Eligibility | P | U | T |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 3 | Iowa | Caucus | Closed | 41 | 8 | 49 |
Feb 11 | New Hampshire | Primary | Mixed | 24 | 9 | 33 |
Feb 22 | Nevada | Caucus | Closed | 36 | 12 | 48 |
Feb 29 | South Carolina | Primary | Open | 54 | 9 | 63 |
Mar 3 | Alabama | Primary | Open | 52 | 9 | 61 |
American Samoa* | Caucus | Open | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
Arkansas | Primary | Open | 31 | 5 | 36 | |
California | Primary | Mixed | 416 | 79 | 495 | |
Colorado | Primary | Mixed | 67 | 13 | 80 | |
Maine | Primary | Closed | 24 | 8 | 32 | |
Massachusetts | Primary | Mixed | 91 | 23 | 114 | |
Minnesota | Primary | Closed | 75 | 17 | 92 | |
North Carolina | Primary | Mixed | 110 | 12 | 122 | |
Oklahoma | Primary | Mixed | 37 | 5 | 42 | |
Tennessee | Primary | Open | 64 | 9 | 73 | |
Texas | Primary | Closed | 228 | 34 | 262 | |
Utah | Primary | Mixed | 29 | 6 | 35 | |
Vermont | Primary | Open | 16 | 7 | 23 | |
Virginia | Primary | Open | 99 | 25 | 124 | |
Mar 3–10 | Democrats Abroad | Caucus** | Open | 13 | 4 | 17 |
Mar 10 | Idaho | Primary | Closed | 20 | 5 | 25 |
Michigan | Primary | Open | 125 | 22 | 147 | |
Mississippi | Primary | Open | 36 | 5 | 41 | |
Missouri | Primary | Open | 68 | 10 | 78 | |
North Dakota | Caucus** | Open | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
Washington | Primary | Closed | 89 | 18 | 107 | |
Mar 14 | Northern Marianas* | Caucus | Closed | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Mar 17 | Arizona | Primary | Closed | 67 | 11 | 78 |
Florida | Primary | Closed | 219 | 29 | 248 | |
Illinois | Primary | Open | 155 | 29 | 184 | |
Apr 7 | Wisconsin | Primary | Open | 84 | 13 | 90 |
Apr 10 | Alaska | Primary** | Closed | 15 | 4 | 18 |
Apr 17 | Wyoming | Caucus | Closed | 13 | 4 | 17 |
Apr 28 | Ohio | Primary | Mixed | 136 | 17 | 153 |
May 2 | Guam* | Caucus | Closed | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Kansas | Primary** | Closed | 39 | 6 | 39 | |
May 12 | Nebraska | Primary | Mixed | 29 | 4 | 29 |
May 19 | Oregon | Primary | Closed | 61 | 14 | 66 |
May 22 | Hawaii | Primary** | Closed | 24 | 9 | 31 |
Jun 2 | Delaware | Primary | Closed | 21 | 11 | 28 |
District of Columbia† | Primary | Closed | 20 | 26 | 43 | |
Indiana | Primary | Open | 82 | 7 | 77 | |
Maryland | Primary | Closed | 96 | 23 | 102 | |
Montana | Primary | Open | 19 | 6 | 22 | |
New Mexico | Primary | Closed | 34 | 11 | 40 | |
Pennsylvania | Primary | Closed | 186 | 23 | 176 | |
Rhode Island | Primary | Mixed | 26 | 9 | 30 | |
South Dakota | Primary | Mixed | 16 | 5 | 19 | |
Jun 6 | Virgin Islands* | Caucus | Closed | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Jun 9 | Georgia | Primary | Open | 105 | 15 | 120 |
West Virginia | Primary | Mixed | 28 | 6 | 30 | |
Jun 23 | Kentucky | Primary | Closed | 54 | 6 | 52 |
New York† | Primary | Closed | 273 | 46 | 270 | |
Jul 7 | New Jersey | Primary | Mixed | 126 | 21 | 128 |
Jul 11 | Louisiana | Primary | Closed | 54 | 7 | 57 |
Jul 12 | Puerto Rico | Primary | Open | 51 | 8 | 59 |
Aug 11 | Connecticut | Primary | Closed | 60 | 15 | 64 |
N/A | Unassigned | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
Total delegates | 3,979 | 765 | 4,744 |
Iowa caucus
[edit]The Iowa Democratic caucus was held on February 3, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win[19] | Feb 3, 2020 | Jan 22 – Feb 2, 2020 | 22.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6%[b] | 5.6% |
RealClear Politics[20] | Feb 3, 2020 | Jan 20 – Feb 2, 2020 | 23.0% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5%[c] | 7.6% |
FiveThirtyEight[21] | Feb 3, 2020 | until Feb 2, 2020[d] | 22.2% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9%[e] | 6.6% |
Average | 22.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0%[f] | 6.6% |
The results of a final poll from The Des Moines Register were not released as scheduled on February 1, after an interviewee complained that Pete Buttigieg was not given as a poll option during their interview, with the omission reportedly attributed to human error. As the polling firm was unable to determine whether the mistake was an isolated incident or not, pollster Ann Selzer decided to withhold the results of the poll altogether, marking the first time in 76 years that the final pre-caucus poll was not released by the Register.[22][23] The poll was later leaked on Twitter, with results confirmed by FiveThirtyEight showing Sanders in the lead with 22%, followed by Warren with 18%, Buttigieg with 16% and Biden with 13%.[24]
Polling from December 1, 2019, to February 3, 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Emerson College[25] | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 28% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 2% | – |
Data for Progress[26] [1] | Jan 28 – Feb 2, 2020 | 2,394 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 24%[h] | 22% | – | – | 28% | – | 25% | – | – | – |
18% | 18% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 4% | 19% | 6% | 2%[i] | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS News[27] (MRP) | Jan 22–31, 2020 | 1,835 (RV) | ± 3% | 25% | 21% | [j] | 5% | 25% | [j] | 16% | [j] | [j] | [j] |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America[28] | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46%[k] | – | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 14% |
15% | 19% | 3% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 2%[l] | 12% | ||||
American Research Group[29] | Jan 27–30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 9% | 2% | 16% | 23% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 4%[m] | 6% |
Civiqs/Data for Progress[30] | Jan 26–29, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 20%[n] | 18% | 1% | 0% | 31% | 2% | 25% | 1% | 1%[o] | 2% |
15% | 15% | 2% | 8% | 28% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 0%[p] | 2% | ||||
Park Street Strategies[31] | Jan 24–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 5% | <1%[q] | 6% |
Monmouth University[32] | Jan 23–27, 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 29%[r] | 20% | – | – | 25% | – | 19% | – | 1%[s] | 6% |
22%[t] | 17% | – | 12% | 22% | – | 16% | 5% | <1%[u] | 6% | ||||
23% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 1%[v] | 5% | ||||
Civiqs/Iowa State University[33] | Jan 23–27, 2020 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 2%[w] | 3%[x] |
Emerson College[34] | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 2%[y] | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today[35] | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25.4% | 17.6% | 0.8% | 5.6% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 13.6%[z] | – |
Change Research/Crooked Media[36] | Jan 22–26, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 22%[aa] | 23% | – | – | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | 5% |
18% | 19% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 2%[ab] | – | ||||
Siena College/New York Times[37] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23%[ac] | 23% | – | – | 30% | – | 19% | – | – | 8%[ad] |
17% | 18% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1%[ae] | 8% | ||||
Morningside College[38] | Jan 17–23, 2020 | 253 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 19% | 18% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 2%[af] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS News[39] | Jan 16–23, 2020 | 1401 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 7% | 26% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 2%[ag] | 1% |
Civiqs/Data for Progress[40][permanent dead link] | Jan 19–21, 2020 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 17% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 19% | 5% | 0%[ah] | 5% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America[41] | Jan 15–18, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 16% | 1% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 2%[ai] | – |
Neighbourhood Research and Media/Breitbart[42] | Jan 14–17, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23% | 17% | –[aj] | 11% | 10% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 6%[ak] | 13% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University[43] | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28%[al] | 25% | – | – | 24% | – | 16% | – | 2%[am] | 4% |
24% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 4%[an] | 5% | ||||
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register[44] | January 2–8, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 15% | 16% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 17% | 5% | 2%[ao] | 11% |
YouGov/CBS News[45] | Dec 27, 2019 – Jan 3, 2020 | 953 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 23% | 23% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 2%[ap] | 1% |
KG Polling[46] | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 24% | 12% | – | 5% | 31% | – | 13% | 10% | – | 5%[aq] |
Civiqs/Iowa State University[47] | Dec 12–16, 2019 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 15% | 24% | 3% | 4% | 21% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4%[ar] | 4% |
Emerson College[48] | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 325 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 23% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 8%[as] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race |
Polling during November 2019 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Civiqs/Iowa State University[49] | Nov 15–19, 2019 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 26% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 18% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 6%[at] | 3% |
Des Moines Register/CNN[50] | Nov 8–13, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 6%[au] | 5% |
YouGov/CBS News[51] | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 856 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 22% | 21% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 4%[av] | – |
Monmouth University[52] | Nov 7–11, 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 19% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 6%[aw] | 8% |
University of Iowa[53] | Oct 28 – Nov 10, 2019 | 465 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 15% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 2%[ax] | 13% |
Public Policy Polling[54] | Nov 5–6, 2019 | 715 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | – | 3% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 21% | 3% | – | 10% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | Oct 30 – Nov 5, 2019 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 17% | 3% | 20% | 3% | 4%[ay] | 8% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race |
Polling before November 2019 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
Siena College/New York Times[56] | Oct 25–30, 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 22% | 8%[az] | 6% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University[57] | Oct 18–22, 2019 | 598 (LV) | ± 5% | 12% | 1% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 28% | 8%[bb] | 4% |
Suffolk University/USA Today[58] | Oct 16–18, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 7%[bc] | 29% |
Emerson College[59] | Oct 13–16, 2019 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 23% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 13% | 23% | 15%[bd] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[60] | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 548 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 22% | 2% | 17% | 3% | –[be] | 1% | 5% | 25% | 26%[bf] | –[be] |
YouGov/CBS News[61] | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 729 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 22% | 2% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 22% | 7%[bg] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register[62] [2] | Sep 14–18, 2019 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 11%[bh] | 14% |
David Binder Research[63] | Sep 14–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 9%[bi] | 6% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University[64] | Sep 13–17, 2019 | 572 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 16% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 24% | 11%[bj] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS News[65] | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 835 | ± 4.3% | 29% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 17% | 9%[bk] | – |
Change Research[66] | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 621 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 28% | 9%[bl] | – |
Monmouth University[67] | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 3% | <1% | 9% | 19% | 11%[bm] | 10% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[68] | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 630 | ± 3.3% | 23% | 2% | 7% | 12% | – | 2% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 16% |
YouGov/CBS News[69] | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 706 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 17% | 9%[bn] | – |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research[70] | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 (LV) | – | 16% | 1% | 25% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 18% | 5%[bo] | – |
David Binder Research[71] | Jun 29 – Jul 1, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 20% | 9%[bp] | 9% |
Suffolk University/USA Today[72] | Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 13% | 6%[bq] | 21% |
Change Research[73] | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 (LV) | – | 27% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 20% | 7%[br] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register[74] | Jun 2–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 16% | 15% | 6%[bs] | 6% |
Change Research[75] | May 15–19, 2019 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 12% | 9%[bt] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[76] | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 576 | ± 4.1% | 35% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 10% | – | 16% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gravis Marketing[77] | Apr 17–18, 2019 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 7%[bu] | 16% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University[78] | Apr 4–9, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | 27% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 16% | 7% | 7%[bv] | 12% |
David Binder Research[79] | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 9%[bw] | 7% |
Emerson College[80] | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 249 | ± 6.2% | 25% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 9% | 8%[bx] | – |
Public Policy Polling (D)[81][by] | Mar 14–15, 2019 | 678 | – | 29% | 4% | – | 5% | 6% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 22% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register[82] | Mar 3–6, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 27% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 9% | 5%[bz] | 10% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[83] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 558 | ± 3.6% | 25% | 4% | – | 17% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 1%[ca] | 25% |
Emerson College[84] | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 | 260 | ± 6.0% | 29% | 4% | 0% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 15%[cb] | – |
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gabbard announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research[85] | Dec 13–17, 2018 | 1,291 (LV) | – | 20% | 4% | – | 7% | 5% | 19% | 20% | 7% | 18%[cc] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register[86] | Dec 10–13, 2018 | 455 | ± 4.6% | 32% | 4% | – | 5% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 8% | 7%[cd] | 6% |
David Binder Research[87] | Dec 10–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 30% | 6% | – | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 8%[ce] | 6% |
David Binder Research[88] | Sep 20–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 8% | – | 10% | – | – | 12% | 16% | 6%[cf] | 9% |
Yang announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[89][cg] | Mar 3–6, 2017 | 1,062 | – | – | 17% | – | 3% | 11% | – | – | – | 34%[ch] | 32% |
New Hampshire primary
[edit]The New Hampshire Democratic primary was held on February 11, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win[90] | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 4–9, 2020 | 27.3% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9%[ci] | 6.4% |
RealClear Politics[91] | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 28.7% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3%[cj] | 6.3% |
FiveThirtyEight[92] | Feb 10, 2020 | until Feb 10, 2020[d] | 26.0% | 21.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5%[ck] | 5.8% |
Average | 27.3% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2%[cl] | 6.2% | ||
New Hampshire primary results (February 11, 2020) | 25.6% | 24.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 19.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7%[cm] | – |
Polling from January 1, 2020, to February 11, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
New Hampshire primary (popular vote) | Feb 11, 2020 | – | – | 8.4% | 24.3% | 3.3% | 19.7% | 25.6% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 2.7%[cn] | – | |||
AtlasIntel[93] | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 431 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 24% | 3% | 14% | 24% | 1% | 11% | 5% | – | 6% | |||
Data For Progress[94][co] | Feb 7–10, 2020 | 1296 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 9% | 26% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 3% | 14% | 5% | – | – | |||
American Research Group[95] | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 5%[cp] | 2% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[96] | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 14% | 30% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 4%[cq] | – | |||
Change Research[97] | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 9% | 21% | 6% | 8% | 30% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 1%[cr] | 9% | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[98] | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 3%[cs] | 7% | |||
Elucd[99] | Feb 7–9, 2020 | 492 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | 20% | –[ct] | 12% | 26% | –[cu] | 10% | –[cv] | –[cw] | 15% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN[100] | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 22% | 5% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 1%[cx] | 10% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[101] | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 4%[cy] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[102] | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 3%[cz] | 12% | |||
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[103] | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 512 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 3% | 3%[da] | 13% | |||
YouGov/CBS News[104] | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 848 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 3%[db] | – | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN[105] | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 384 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 28% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2%[dc] | 11% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[106] | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 9% | 31% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 3%[dd] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[107] | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 25% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 4%[de] | 9% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell[108] | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 25% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 5%[df] | 4% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN[109] | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 28% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3%[dg] | 11% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[110] | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 3%[dh] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[111] | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 4%[di] | 12% | |||
Marist/NBC News[112] | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 25% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 3%[dj] | 5% | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[113] | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 1%[dk] | 15% | |||
Monmouth University[114] | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 20% | 4% | 9% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 2%[dl] | 5% | |||
17%[dm] | 22% | – | 13% | 27% | – | 13% | – | 3%[dn] | 4% | |||||||
19%[do] | 28% | – | – | 28% | – | 16% | – | 3%[dp] | 5% | |||||||
Emerson College/WHDH[115] | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 11% | 31% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 2%[dq] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[116] | Feb 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 1%[dr] | 14% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[117] | Feb 2–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 32% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 3%[ds] | – | |||
Iowa caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[118] | Feb 2–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 3%[dt] | 14% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[119] | Feb 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 12% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 4%[du] | – | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[120] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 29% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 2%[dv] | – | |||
Saint Anselm College[121] | Jan 29 – Feb 2, 2020 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2%[dw] | 11% | |||
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[122] [3] | Jan 29 – Feb 1, 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 31% | No voters | 17% | 1% | 5%[dx] | 7% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell[123] | Jan 28–31, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 1%[dy] | 4% | |||
YouGov/UMass Amherst/WCVB[124] | Jan 17–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 25% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2%[dz] | 3% | |||
American Research Group[125] | Jan 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 8%[ea] | 6% | |||
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[122] | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 29% | 0% | 16% | 1% | 7%[eb] | 9% | |||
Marist/NBC News[126] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 697 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 2%[ec] | 7% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN[127] | Jan 15–23, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 2%[ed] | 10% | |||
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR[128] | Jan 17–21, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 29% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 4%[ee] | 5%[ef] | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[129] | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3%[eg] | 24% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH[130] | Jan 13–16, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 14% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 23% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 7%[eh] | – | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[131] | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | – | 26% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 7%[ei] | 12% | |||
Patinkin Research Strategies/Yang 2020[132][ej] | Jan 5–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 3%[ek] | 7% | |||
Monmouth University[133] | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 3%[el] | 7% | |||
21%[em] | 20% | – | 7% | 21% | – | 15% | 5% | 5%[en] | 8% | |||||||
24%[eo] | 23% | – | – | 21% | – | 18% | – | 5%[ep] | 8% | |||||||
YouGov/CBS News[134] | Dec 27, 2019 – Jan 3, 2020 |
487 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 3%[eq] | – |
Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR[135] | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 442 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 1% | 18% | 5% | – | 3% | – | <1% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 11%[er] | 12%[es] |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[136] | Nov 22–26, 2019 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 14% | 2% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 2% | – | 0% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 7%[et] | – |
Boston Globe/Suffolk University[137] | Nov 21–24, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | 16% | 14% | 4% | 6%[eu] | 21% |
Saint Anselm College[138] | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 255 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 3% | 1% | 6% | – | 0% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 5%[ev] | 13% |
Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News[139] | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 535 (RV) | ± 5% | 22% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 20% | 31% | 1% | 1%[ew] | – |
Quinnipiac University[140] | Nov 6–10, 2019 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.8 | 20% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 4% | 5%[ex] | 14% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire/CNN[141] | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 574 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 21% | 18% | 5% | 4%[ey] | 10% |
Boston Herald/FPU[142] | Oct 9–13, 2019 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | – | 22% | 25% | 1% | 4%[ez] | 7% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[143] | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 2% | 7% | –[fa] | 2% | –[fa] | 1% | – | 9% | 25% | 2% | 32% | –[fa] |
YouGov/CBS News[144] | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 506 | ± 5.4% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 17% | 32% | 5% | 5%[fb] | – |
Saint Anselm College[145] | Sep 25–29, 2019 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 24% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 3% | <1% | – | 11% | 25% | 2% | 3%[fc] | 9% |
Monmouth University[146] | Sep 17–21, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – | 12% | 27% | 2% | 3%[fd] | 9% |
HarrisX/No Labels[147] | Sep 6–11, 2019 | 595 | ± 4.0% | 22% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 21% | 15% | 2% | 5%[fe] | 14% |
Boston Herald/FPU[148] | Sep 4–10, 2019 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | – | 29% | 17% | 5% | 2%[ff] | 9% |
Emerson College[149] | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 483 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 1% | – | 13% | 21% | 3% | 7%[fg] | – |
YouGov/CBS News[150] | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 526 | ± 5.2% | 26% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 25% | 27% | 1% | 1%[fh] | – |
Gravis Marketing[151] | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 250 | ± 6.2% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | 21% | 12% | 4% | 8%[fi] | 11% |
Suffolk University[152] | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 21% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | – | 17% | 14% | 1% | 6%[fj] | 21% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[153] | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 587 | ± 3.3% | 21% | 1% | 8% | – | 13% | – | 0% | – | 13% | 16% | 1% | 7% | 19% |
YouGov/CBS News[154] | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 530 | ± 5% | 27% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 2% | – | 20% | 18% | 1% | 5%[fk] | – |
University of New Hampshire/CNN[155] | Jul 8–15, 2019 | 386 | ± 5.0% | 24% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 2% | – | 19% | 19% | 1% | 4%[fl] | 9% |
Saint Anselm College[156] | Jul 10–12, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | 21% | 1% | 12% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 0% | – | 10% | 17% | 5% | 3%[fm] | 11% |
Change Research[157] | Jul 6–9, 2019 | 1,084 | ± 3.0% | 19% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 1% | – | 20% | 22% | 1% | 3%[fn] | – |
Change Research[158] | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 | – | 13% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 2% | – | 26% | 24% | 2% | 4%[fo] | – |
Change Research[159] | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 | – | 24% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 28% | 21% | 1% | 3%[fp] | – |
YouGov/CBS News[160] | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 502 | ± 4.9% | 33% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 4% | – | 20% | 17% | 1% | 2%[fq] | – |
Tel Opinion Research[161]* | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 1% | – | 12% | 11% | – | – | 28% |
Monmouth University[162] | May 2–7, 2019 | 376 | ± 5.1% | 36% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | 18% | 8% | 1% | 2%[fr] | 11% |
Change Research[163] | May 3–5, 2019 | 864 | ± 3.3% | 26% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | – | 30% | 9% | 2% | 4%[fs] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[164] | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 1% | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 3% | – | 16% | 9% | – | – | 19% |
Suffolk University[165] | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 20% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | 12% | 8% | 1% | 4%[ft] | 27% |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire[166] | Apr 10–18, 2019 | 241 | ± 6.3% | 18% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | – | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5%[fu] | 12% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Saint Anselm College[167] | Apr 3–8, 2019 | 326 | ± 5.4% | 23% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | – | 16% | 9% | – | 9%[fv] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire[168] | Feb 18–26, 2019 | 240 | ± 6.3% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | – | 26% | 7% | – | 6%[fw] | 14% |
Emerson College[169] | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 405 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 5% | 1% | – | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | 27% | 9% | – | 10%[fx] | – |
Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst[170] | Feb 7–15, 2019 | 337 | ± 6.4% | 28% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 1% | 6% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 9%[fy] | 9% |
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[171] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 518 | ± 4.1% | 22% | 4% | – | – | 13% | 2% | 2% | – | 13% | 9% | – | 0%[fz] | 35% |
Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Gabbard announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research[172] | Jan 2–3, 2019 | 1,162 | – | 24% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 9% | – | 26% | 11% | – | 22%[ga] | – |
University of New Hampshire[173] | Aug 2–19, 2018 | 198 | ± 7.0% | 19% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 30% | 17% | – | 12%[gb] | 12% |
Suffolk University[174] | Apr 26–30, 2018 | 295 | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 4% | – | – | 4% | 13% | 26% | – | 4%[gc] | 18% |
30% | 10% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 8% | 25% | – | – | 6%[gd] | 12% | ||||
University of New Hampshire[175] | Apr 13–22, 2018 | 188 | ± 7.1% | 26% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 1% | – | – | 28% | 11% | – | 9%[ge] | 13% |
University of New Hampshire[176] | Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | 35% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 0% | – | – | 24% | 15% | – | 7%[gf] | 15% |
Yang announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire[177] | Oct 3–15, 2017 | 212 | ± 6.7% | 24% | 6% | – | – | 1% | 1% | – | – | 31% | 13% | – | 14%[gg] | 11% |
Head-to-head polls | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Undecided | |
Tel Opinion Research[161] | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 21% | – | – | 15% | |
66% | – | 22% | – | 13% | |||||
58% | – | – | 29% | 13% | |||||
American Research Group[178] | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 47% | – | 45% | – | 7% | |
58% | – | – | 33% | 8% |
Nevada caucus
[edit]The Nevada Democratic caucus was held on February 22, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tom Steyer |
Amy Klobuchar |
Others | Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win[179] | Feb 21, 2020 | Feb 14–21, 2020 | 30.0% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 1.3%[gh] | 4.9% | |
RealClear Politics[180] | Feb 21, 2020 | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 32.5% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 2.0%[gi] | 1.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight[181] | Feb 21, 2020 | until Feb 21, 2020[d] | 30.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.0%[gj] | –[gk] | |
Average | 31.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.7%[gl] | 2.0% | |||
Nevada caucus results, first alignment (February 22, 2020) | 34.0% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 1.5%[gm] | – |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Nevada Democratic Caucus | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
Nevada caucuses (first alignment vote) | Feb 22, 2020 | – | – | 17.6% | – | 15.4% | – | 9.6% | – | 34% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 0.6% | 1%[gn] | – | |
Data for Progress[182][4][go] | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 1010 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 16% | – | 15% | – | 8% | – | 35% | 8% | 16% | – | 2%[gp] | – | |
AtlasIntel[183] | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | – | 14% | – | 5% | – | 38% | 11% | 9% | – | 7%[gq] | 5% | |
Emerson College[184] | Feb 19–20, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 16% | – | 17% | – | 11% | – | 30% | 10% | 12% | – | 4%[gr] | – | |
Early voting occurred in the Nevada caucuses[185] | ||||||||||||||||
Point Blank Political[186] | Feb 13–15, 2020 | 256 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 14.3% | – | 12.6% | – | 15.6% | – | 13% | 18.6% | 7.1% | – | 1.7%[gs] | 17.1% | |
Beacon Research/Tom Steyer[187] | Feb 12–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 13% | – | 7% | – | 24% | 18% | 10% | – | 4%[gt] | 6% | |
Data for Progress[188][5][gu] | Feb 12–15, 2020 | 766 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 14% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | 35% | 10% | 16% | – | 2%[gv] | – | |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP Nevada[189] | Feb 11–13, 2020 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 10% | – | 25% | 11% | 13% | – | 5%[gw] | 8% | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/USA Today[190][6] | Jan 8–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 2% | 8% | – | 4% | – | 18% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 4%[gx] | 22% | |
https://www.yang2020.com/wp-content/uploads/Myers-Research-Nevada.pdf Archived January 11, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 635 | ± 4.0% | 23% | 3% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 17% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 13%[gy] | 6% | |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News[191] | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 33% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% | – | 23% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 2%[gz] | – | |
Fox News[192] | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 627 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 2% | – | 18% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 4%[ha] | 10% | |
Emerson Polling[193] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | – | 19% | 3% | 22% | 5% | 10%[hb] | – | |
Mellman Group/The Nevada Independent[194] | Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 3%[hc] | 9% | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
CNN/SSRS[195] | Sep 22–26, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 22% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 22% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 3%[hd] | 13% | |
Suffolk University/USA Today[196] | Sep 19–23, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 23% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 3% | 4%[he] | 21% | |
YouGov/CBS News[197] | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 9%[hf] | – | |
Gravis Marketing[198] | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 382 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 2% | 13%[hg] | 9% | |
Change Research[199] | Aug 2–8, 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 26% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 5%[hh] | – | |
Morning Consult[200] | Jul 1–21, 2019 | 749 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 10%[hi] | – | |
Steyer announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Monmouth University[201] | Jun 6–11, 2019 | 370 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 36% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 13% | – | 19% | 2% | 3%[hj] | 8% | |
Change Research[202] | May 9–12, 2019 | 389 (LV) | – | 29% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 24% | – | 12% | 1% | 4%[hk] | – | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[203] | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 26% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 10% | 23% | – | 10% | 3% | 9%[hl] | – |
South Carolina primary
[edit]The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 29, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[hm] |
270 to Win[204] | Feb 28, 2020 | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 35.8% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% |
RealClear Politics[205] | Feb 28, 2020 | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 39.7% | 24.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | –[hn] |
FiveThirtyEight[206] | Feb 28, 2020 | until Feb 27, 2020[d] | 38.4% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 7.7%[ho] |
Average | 38.0% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 4.9%[hp] | ||
South Carolina primary results (February 29, 2020) | 48.7% | 19.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | – |
Polling in January and February 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
South Carolina primary (popular vote) | Feb 29, 2020 | – | – | 48.65% | – | 8.2% | 1.26% | 3.13% | 19.77% | 11.34% | 7.07% | 0.2% | 0.38%[hq] | – | |
Atlas Intel[207] | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | – | 8% | 2% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 7% | – | 2% | 6% | |
Emerson College[208] | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | – | 11% | 2% | 6% | 25% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | |
Trafalgar Group[209] | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43.9% | – | 9.6% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | – | – | – | |
Data for Progress[210] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 1416 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 34% | – | 13% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | |
Change Research[211] [7]/ Post and Courier |
Feb 23–27, 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 28% | – | 11% | 5% | 4% | 24% | 16% | 12% | – | – | 1% | |
Starboard Communications[212] | Feb 26, 2020 | 1,102 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 40% | – | 9% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 9% | – | – | 12% | |
Tenth Democratic primary debate | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University[213] | Feb 23–25, 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | – | 6% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 15% | 8% | – | 0% | 15% | |
Clemson University[214] | Feb 17–25, 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | – | 8% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 8% | – | – | 12% | |
East Carolina University[215] | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 1,142 (LV) | ± 3.37% | 31% | – | 6% | 2% | 2% | 23% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 8% | |
Public Policy Polling[216] | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 866 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | – | 7% | 6% | 3% | 21% | 7% | 8% | – | – | 11%[hr] | |
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News[217] | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 1,238 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 10% | 1% | 4% | 23% | 18% | 12% | – | 3%[hs] | 1% | |
Marist Poll/NBC News[218] | Feb 18–21, 2020 | 539 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 9% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 15% | 8% | – | 2%[ht] | 9% | |
997 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | – | 9% | 3% | 5% | 24% | 15% | 8% | – | 2%[hu] | 9% | |||
Winthrop University[219] | Feb 9–19, 2020 | 443 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 24% | – | 7% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 1%[hv] | 2%[hw] | 22% | |
University of Massachusetts Lowell[220] | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 23% | – | 11% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 11% | – | 4%[hx] | 4% | |
Change Research/The Welcome Party[221] | Feb 12–14, 2020 | 1015 (LV) | – | 23% | – | 15% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 20% | 9% | – | – | 1% | |
East Carolina University[222] | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 7% | – | 0% | 8% | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Iowa caucus | |||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics[223] | Jan 31 – Feb 3, 2020 | 277 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 0%[hy] | 8% | |
East Carolina University[224] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 469 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 37% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0%[hz] | 10% | |
Change Research/ Post and Courier[225] |
Jan 26–29, 2020 | 651 (LV) | ± 4% | 25% | – | 7% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 3% | 1%[ia] | 10% | |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
GQR Research/Unite the Country[226][ib] | Jan 9–13, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 36%[ic] | –[id] | 5%[ie] | –[if] | –[ig] | 15%[ih] | 12%[ii] | 10%[ij] | –[ik] | –[il] | –[im] | |
Fox News[227] | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 3%[in] | 11% |
Polling before January 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
Change Research/ Post and Courier[228] |
Dec 6–11, 2019 | 392 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 5% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 5% | 19% | 13%[io] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/FairVote[229] [8] | Nov 22 – Dec 2, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 39% | 2% | 10% | 2% | – | 13% | 7% | 10% | 13%[ip] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University[230] | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 768 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 33% | 2% | 6% | 3% | – | 11% | 5% | 13% | 7%[iq] | 18% |
YouGov/CBS News[231] | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 933 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 2% | 8% | 5% | – | 15% | 2% | 17% | 6%[ir] | – |
University of North Florida[232] |
Nov 5–13, 2019 | 426 (LV) | – | 36% | 2% | 3% | 4% | – | 10% | 8% | 10% | 6%[is] | 23% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University[233] | Oct 16–21, 2019 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 16% | 7%[it] | 15% |
Change Research/ Post and Courier[234] |
Oct 15–21, 2019 | 731 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 1% | 13% | 5% | 19% | 11%[iu] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus[235] |
Oct 8–10, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 8% | – | 16% | 33%[iv] | –[iw] |
YouGov/CBS News[236] | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 915 (RV) | ±3.9% | 43% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 2% | 18% | 6%[ix] | – |
Gravis Marketing[237] | Oct 3–7, 2019 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10%[iy] | 19% |
Fox News[238] | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 8%[iz] | 16% |
Winthrop University[219] | Sep 21–30, 2019 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 6%[ja] | 12% |
CNN/SSRS[239] | Sep 22–26, 2019 | 406 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 37% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 16% | 4%[jb] | 10% |
YouGov/CBS News[240] | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 849 (RV)[jc] | ± 4.3% | 43% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 18% | 1% | 14% | 9%[jd] | – |
Change Research[241] | Aug 9–12, 2019 | 521 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 16% | 1% | 17% | 7%[je] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus[242] |
Jul 23–25, 2019 | 554 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 31% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 9% | – | 12% | 8%[jf] | 24% |
Monmouth University[243] | Jul 18–22, 2019 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 9% | 3%[jg] | 17% |
YouGov/CBS News[244] | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 997 (RV)[jh] | ± 3.8% | 39% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 9%[ji] | – |
Fox News[245] | Jul 7–10, 2019 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% | 3%[jj] | 20% |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research[246] | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 421 (LV) | – | 27% | 6% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 15% | 8%[jk] | – |
Change Research[247] | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 (LV) | – | 39% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 5%[jl] | – |
Change Research[248] | Jun 11–14, 2019 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 37% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 9% | – | 17% | 8%[jm] | – |
YouGov/CBS News[249] | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 552 (LV) | – | 45% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 18% | – | 8% | 8%[jn] | – |
Zogby Analytics[250] | May 23–29, 2019 | 183 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 13% | – | 12% | 4%[jo] | – |
Tel Opinion Research[251]* | May 22–24, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 2% | 3% | 7% | – | 10% | – | 8% | – | 32% |
Crantford Research[252] | May 14–16, 2019 | 381 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 4% | 8% | 10% | – | 7% | – | 8% | – | – |
Change Research[253] | May 6–9, 2019 | 595 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 15% | – | 8% | 5%[jp] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus[254] |
Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 12% | – | 5% | 1%[jq] | 20% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research[255] | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2019 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 14% | – | 6% | 12%[jr] | – |
– | 12% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 24% | – | 11% | 12%[js] | – | ||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Emerson College[256] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 | 291 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 37% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 21% | – | 5% | 16%[jt] | – |
Change Research[257] | Feb 15–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 10% | – | 13% | 8% | 14% | – | 9% | 12%[ju] | – |
– | 28% | 1% | 35% | – | – | – | 20% | 18%[jv] | – | ||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus[258] |
Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 5% | – | 12% | 2% | 8% | – | 4% | 2%[jw] | 31% |
Head-to-head polling | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
YouGov/FairVote[229][9][jx] | Nov 22 – Dec 2, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 73% | 27% | – | – | – | – |
66% | – | 34% | – | – | – | ||||
61% | – | – | 29% | [jy] | 6% | ||||
– | 39% | 61% | – | – | – | ||||
– | 36% | – | 64% | – | – | ||||
– | – | 54% | 46% | – | – | ||||
Tel Opinion Research[251] | May 22–24, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 71% | 10% | – | – | – | 19% |
70% | – | 15% | – | – | 16% | ||||
67% | – | – | 15% | – | 18% |
Alabama primary
[edit]The Alabama Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[259] | March 3, 2020 | February 28 – March 2, 2020 | 44.5% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 4.5% | |||
RealClear Politics[260] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[261] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 40.2% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 0.5% | 14.1% | |||
Average | 42.35% | 19.7% | 16.95% | 10.95% | 0.75% | 9.3% | |||||
Alabama primary results (March 3, 2020) | 63.3% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 2.6% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Alabama Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[262] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 949 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 18% | – | 3% | – | – | 20% | 10% | 8%[jz] | – | |||
Data for Progress[263] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 | 237 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 47% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 12% | 2%[ka] | – | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey[264] | July 2–16, 2019 | 257 | ± 7.8% | 36% | – | 2% | 5% | 13% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 10%[kb] | – | |||
Change Research[265] | March 20–23, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 42% | – | 9% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 4%[kc] | – | |||
– | – | 14% | 4% | 16% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 9%[kd] | – |
Arkansas primary
[edit]The Arkansas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[266] | March 3, 2020 | February 6–March 2, 2020 | 27.7% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 19.5% | |||
RealClear Politics[267] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[268] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 27.5% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 20.6% | |||
Average | 27.6% | 21.65% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 0.4% | 20.05% | |||||
Arkansas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 40.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 10.0% | 0.7% | 9.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[269] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 714 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 28% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 13%[ke] | – | ||||||
Data for Progress[270] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 22% | 2% | 23% | 15% | 2%[kf] | – | ||||||
The Progress Campaign (D)[271][10] | Feb 21–25, 2020 | 209 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 6%[kg] | 10%[kh] | ||||||
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[272] | February 6–7, 2020 | 496 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 10.1%[ki] | 11% |
California primary
[edit]The California Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[273] | March 3, 2020 | February 20 – March 1, 2020 | 33.0% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 1.2% | 16.4% | |||
RealClear Politics[274] | March 3, 2020 | February 28 – March 2, 2020 | 35.0% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 1.5% | 10.5%[kj] | |||
FiveThirtyEight[275] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 31.2% | 21.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 0.7% | 16.8% | |||
Average | 33.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 1.1% | 14.5% | |||||
California primary results (March 3, 2020) | 36.0% | 27.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 0.6% | 10.2% |
Polling from January 1 to March 3, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Swayable[276] | March 1–2, 2020 | 3,388 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 28.7% | 4.0% | 9.6% | – | 6.0%[kk] | – | ||
Data for Progress[277] | February 28 – March 2, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 32% | – | 16% | – | 1%[kl] | – | ||
AtlasIntel[278] | February 24 – March 2, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 26% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 34% | – | 15% | – | 2%[km] | 4% | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Point Blank Political[279] | February 29 – March 1, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 34% | 1% | 14% | – | 1%[kn] | 9% | ||
Emerson College/Nexstar[280] | February 29 – March 1, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 38% | 2% | 16% | – | 1%[ko] | – | ||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls. | |||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News[281] | February 27–29, 2020 | 1,411 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 31% | 3% | 18% | – | 4%[kp] | – | ||
Suffolk University[282] | February 26–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 14% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 35% | 3% | 12% | – | 3%[kq] | – | ||
YouGov/[[Hoover Institution/Stanford University]][283] |
February 26–28, 2020 | 1,020 (LV) | – | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 28% | 4% | 18% | – | 3%[kr] | – | ||
Point Blank Political[284] | February 26–28, 2020 | 2,276 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 34% | 3% | 14% | – | 1%[ks] | 10% | ||
40%[kt] | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||||
– | 32%[ku] | – | – | 57% | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||||
– | – | – | – | 46%[kv] | – | 36% | – | – | 16% | ||||||
CNN/SSRS[285] | February 22–26, 2020 | 488 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 35% | 3% | 14% | – | 3%[kw] | 8% | ||
Tenth Democratic primary debate | |||||||||||||||
Point Blank Political[286] | February 23–25, 2020 | 2,098 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 34% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[kx] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times[287] | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 3,002 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 34% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 2%[ky] | 7% | ||
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News[288] | February 20–23, 2020 | 1,069 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 37% | 3% | 20% | 4%[kz] | 3%[la] | – | ||
University of Massachusetts Lowell[289] | February 12–20, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 2% | 16% | – | 7%[lb] | 6% | ||
Monmouth University[290] | February 16–19, 2020 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 24% | 5% | 10% | – | 3%[lc] | 13% | ||
36%[ld] | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | – | 15%[le] | 5% | ||||||
– | 31%[lf] | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | 14%[lg] | 6% | ||||||
– | – | 26%[lh] | – | 51% | – | – | – | 16%[li] | 7% | ||||||
– | – | – | 24%[lj] | 54% | – | – | – | 16%[lk] | 6% | ||||||
Public Policy Institute of California[291] | February 7–17, 2020 | 573 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 32% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[ll] | 8% | ||
SurveyUSA[292] | February 13–16, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 25% | 3% | 9% | – | 1%[lm] | 9% | ||
YouGov/USC[293] | February 1–15, 2020 | – | – | 21% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 20% | – | 2%[ln] | 9%[lo] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls. | |||||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[294] | February 6–9, 2020 | 843 (LV) | – | 8%[lp] | 8% | 15% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 6%[lq] | 3%[lr] | ||
11% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 29% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 5%[ls] | 1%[lt] | ||||||
Iowa Caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News[295] | January 25–27, 2020 | 1,967 (LV) | – | 15% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 30% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 4%[lu] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times[296] | January 15–21, 2020 | 2,895 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 26.3% | 1.8% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 3.6%[lv] | 11.7% | ||
SurveyUSA[297] | January 14–16, 2020 | 565 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 20% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 2%[lw] | 4% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Public Policy Institute of California/Mercury News[298] | January 3–12, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 27% | – | 23% | 3% | 5%[lx] | 7% | ||
Tulchin Research/USC Rossier/The Hill[299] | January 3–10, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 25% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 2%[ly] | 6% | ||
Capitol Weekly[300] | January 1–9, 2020 | 1,053 (LV) | – | 20% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 3%[lz] | – |
Polling before 1 January 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Change Research/KQED News[301] | December 6–10, 2019 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 19% | 3% | 12% | – | – | 26% | 23% | 4% | 13%[ma] | – |
CNN/SSRS[302] | December 4–8, 2019 | 508 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 17% | 6% | 12%[mb] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly[303] | December 3–7, 2019 | 581 (LV) | –[mc] | 19% | 2% | 14% | – | – | 19% | 23% | 5% | 17%[md] | 1% |
19% | 2% | 13% | 4% | – | 19% | 21% | 5% | 17%[me] | 0% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times[304] | November 21–27, 2019 | 1,252 (LV) | – | 14% | 1% | 12% | 7% | – | 24% | 22% | 3% | 12%[mf] | 9% |
SurveyUSA[305] | November 20–22, 2019 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 8% | 10% | – | 18% | 13% | 5% | 11%[mg] | 5% |
Capitol Weekly[306] | November 1–12, 2019 | 695 (LV) | – | 18% | 1% | 14% | 6% | – | 21% | 27% | 4% | 8%[mh] | 1% |
[[Public Policy Institute of California]][307] |
November 3–12, 2019 | 682 (LV) | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | 8% | – | 17% | 23% | 5% | 6%[mi] | 9% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Change Research[308] | October 15–18, 2019 | 1,631 (LV) | – | 19% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 3% | 6%[mj] | – |
SurveyUSA[309] | October 15–16, 2019 | 553 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 33% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 5%[mk] | 8% |
Capitol Weekly[310] | October 1–14, 2019 | 590 (LV) | – | 21% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 15% | 35% | 3% | 9%[ml] | – |
[[Public Policy Institute of California]][311] |
September 16–25, 2019 | 692 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 7%[mm] | 9% |
Berkeley IGS/LA Times[312] | September 13–18, 2019 | 2,272 | – | 20% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 29% | 2% | 5%[mn] | 8% |
Emerson College[313] | September 13–16, 2019 | 424 | ± 4.7% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 4%[mo] | – |
SurveyUSA[314] | September 13–15, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 4%[mp] | 7% |
Change Research/KQED[315] | September 12–15, 2019 | 3,325 | ± 1.7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 23% | 25% | 3% | 5%[mq] | – |
Capitol Weekly[316] | September 1–13, 2019 | 599 | – | 18% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 21% | 29% | 4% | 5%[mr] | – |
Capitol Weekly[317] | September 1–13, 2019 | 5,510 | – | 18% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 17% | 33% | 3% | 7%[ms] | – |
SurveyUSA[318] | August 1–5, 2019 | 528 | ± 6.3% | 25% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 21% | 1% | 1%[mt] | 10% |
PPIC[319] | July 14–23, 2019 | 766 | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | 5% | 19% | – | 12% | 15% | – | 14%[mu] | 25% |
YouGov/CBS News[320] | July 9–18, 2019 | 1,514 | ± 2.9% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 16% | 19% | 1% | 9%[mv] | – |
Quinnipiac University[321] | July 10–15, 2019 | 519 | ± 5.7% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 2%[mw] | 10% |
Capitol Weekly[317] | July 1–15, 2019 | 816 | – | 20% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 1% | 7%[mx] | – |
Change Research[322] | July 9–11, 2019 | 1,609 | ± 2.5% | 17% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 20% | 22% | 2% | 5%[my] | – |
Swalwell withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[323] | June 1–30, 2019 | 813 | – | 23% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 19% | 23% | 2% | 9%[mz] | – |
UC Berkeley[324] | June 4–10, 2019 | 2,131 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 1% | 10% | 13% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 1% | 3%[na] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly[323] | May 1–31, 2019 | 1,180 | – | 29% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 6%[nb] | – |
Change Research[325] | May 25–28, 2019 | 1,649 | ± 2.4% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 3% | 23% | 12% | 1% | 2%[nc] | – |
Capitol Weekly[323] | April 15–30, 2019 | 1,204 | – | 20% | 2% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 20% | 10% | – | 9%[nd] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Change Research[326] | April 6–9, 2019 | 2,003 | ± 2.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 7%[ne] | – |
– | 5% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 5%[nf] | – | ||||
Swalwell announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University[327] | April 3–8, 2019 | 482 | ± 5.9% | 26% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[ng] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Change Research[328] | February 9–11, 2019 | 948 | – | 26% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 7%[nh] | – |
– | 7% | 2% | 53% | – | – | 23% | 1% | 15%[ni] | – |
Colorado primary
[edit]The Colorado Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[a] | ||||
270 to Win[329] | March 3, 2020 | Feb 24–Mar 2, 2020 | 29.3% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 22.1% | ||||
RealClear Politics[330] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | ||||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[331] | March 3, 2020 | until March 3, 2020[d] | 26.8% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 0.5% | 22.4% | ||||
Average | 28.0% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 0.8% | 22.1% | ||||||
Colorado primary results (March 3, 2020) | 37.0% | 24.6% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Colorado Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Michael Bennet |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
John Hickenlooper |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[332] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 20% | 19% | 12% | – | – | 29% | 12% | – | 7%[nj] | – | ||
Data for Progress[333] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 18% | 16% | 8% | – | – | 32% | 21% | – | 5%[nk] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elucd[334] | Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 9% | 10% | – | – | 34% | 14% | – | 9%[nl] | 14% | ||
Magellan Strategies[335] | Feb 24–25, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | 11% | 11% | 12% | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | 9%[nm] | 15% | ||
Data for Progress[336] | Feb 23–25, 2020 | 471 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 10% | 14% | 14% | – | – | 34% | 20% | – | 7%[nn] | 1% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[337] | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 1% | 25% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 26% | 20% | 4% | 8%[no] | – | ||
Hickenlooper withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling[338] | Jul 12–14, 2019 | 519 (LV) | – | 5% | 22% | – | 7% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 0% | 14%[np] | – |
Maine primary
[edit]The Maine Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Undecided[a] | ||
270 to Win[339] | Mar 3, 2020 | Feb 10–Mar 2, 2020 | 28.7% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 17.0% | ||
RealClear Politics[340] | Mar 3, 2020 | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 38.5% | 24.5% | 14.0% | 18.0% | –[nq] | 5.0% | ||
FiveThirtyEight[341] | Mar 3, 2020 | until Mar 2, 2020 [d] | 31.1% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 0.7% | 19.6% | ||
Average | 32.8% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 11.9% | ||||
Maine primary results (March 3, 2020) | 32.4% | 33.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 0.9% | 5.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Maine Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[342] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 209 (LV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 28% | 10% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 3%[nr] | – | ||||
Change Research[343] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 507 (LV) | – | 24% | 10% | – | – | 43% | 16% | – | 7%[ns] | – | ||||
Data for Progress[344] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 385 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 25% | 18% | 1% | – | 34% | 20% | – | 2%[nt] | – | ||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SocialSphere/Colby College[345] | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 350 (LV) | – | 12% | 14% | 16% | – | 25% | 9% | 2% | 10%[nu] | 12% | ||||
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Maine People's Resource Center[346] | Oct 14–21, 2019 | 728 (LV) | ± 3.63% | 26.8% | – | 9.1% | 5.0% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 1.7% | 11.4%[nv] | 4.4% | ||||
Public Policy Polling[347] | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 19% | – | 9% | 4% | 12% | 31% | 3% | 20%[nw] | –[nx] | ||||
Gravis Marketing[348] | Jun 24, 2019 | 243 | ± 6.3% | 25% | – | 8% | 2% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 15%[ny] | 11% |
Massachusetts primary
[edit]The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Others/ Undecided[nz] | |
270 to Win[349] | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 22.4% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 1.8% | 26.2% | |
FiveThirtyEight[350] | March 3, 2020 | until March 3, 2020 [d] | 24.4% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 0.4% | 21.6% | |
Average | 23.4% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 1.1% | 23.9% | |||
Massachusetts primary results (March 3, 2020) | 26.6% | 21.4% | 33.4% | 11.7% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Massachusetts Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |
Klobuchar withdraws from the race; endorses Biden | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[351] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 917 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 18% | – | 11% | – | 5% | – | – | 27% | 15% | 8%[oa] | – | |
Data for Progress[352] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 26% | 15% | – | 2% | – | 1% | – | – | 26% | 28% | 2%[ob] | – | |
Buttigieg withdraws from the race; endorses Biden | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV[353] | Feb 26–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | - | 11.0% | 13.0% | – | 12.4% | – | 5.0% | – | – | 24.2% | 22.2% | 3.6%[oc] | 8.6% | |
WBUR/MassINC[354] | Feb 23–26, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 13% | - | 14% | - | 6% | - | - | 25% | 17% | 9%[od] | 8% | |
UMass Amherst[355] | Feb 18–24, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 9% | - | 14% | - | 7% | - | - | 25% | 23% | 8%[oe] | 3% | |
Falchuk & DiNatale[356] | Feb 16–18, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 13% | – | 14% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 5%[of] | 8% | |
University of Massachusetts Lowell[357] | Feb 12–19, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 14% | 12% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | – | 21% | 20% | 6%[og] | 4% | |
Patrick withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Falchuk & DiNatale[358] | Jan 27–30, 2020 | 334 (LV) | – | 16% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 12% | 23% | 7%[oh] | – | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
WBUR[359] | Oct 16–20, 2019 | 456 | ± 4.6% | 18% | – | 0% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | – | 13% | 33% | 7%[oi] | 15% | |
Suffolk University[360] | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 500 | - | 26% | – | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 24% | 6%[oj] | 25% | |
Moulton withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University[361] | Jun 5–9, 2019 | 370 | ± 5.1% | 22% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 6% | 10% | 5%[ok] | 42% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Moulton announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[362] | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 371 | ± 5.0% | 23% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 8% | – | 26% | 14% | 8%[ol] | – | |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst[363] | Nov 7–14, 2018 | 655 | – | 19% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 1%[om] | 27% |
Hypothetical polling with only Biden, Sanders and Warren | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Undecided |
Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatalie/Commonwealth Magazine[364] | Oct 23–25, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 35% | 13% | 41% | 11% |
Minnesota primary
[edit]The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18] Amy Klobuchar led in pre-election polling, but withdrew from the race the night before the election and endorsed Joe Biden (who went on to win Minnesota).
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[a] | |||
270 to Win[365] | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 19.5% | |||
FiveThirtyEight[366] | Mar 2, 2020 | until Mar 2, 2020[d] | 24.4% | 26.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 17.2% | |||
Average | 26.2% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 18.3% | |||||
Minnesota Primary results (March 3, 2020) | 5.6% | 29.9% | 15.4% | 38.6% | 8.3% | 0.3% | 1.8% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Minnesota Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[367] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,472 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 14% | 4% | – | 21% | – | 27% | 8% | 6%[on] | – | |||
Data for Progress[368] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.84% | 27% | 16% | – | – | 2% | – | 32% | 21% | 1%[oo] | – | |||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune/[[ MPR News Minnesota]][369] |
Feb 17–20, 2020 | 500(LV) | ± 4.5% | 8% | 3% | 3% | – | 29% | – | 23% | 11% | 2%[op] | 21% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell[370] | Feb 12–19, 2020 | 450(LV) | ± 6.4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | – | 27% | – | 21% | 16% | 4%[oq] | 4% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
St. Cloud State University[371] | Oct 14-Nov 1, 2019 | 177 (LV) | – | 15% | – | 2% | – | 15% | – | 12% | 15% | – | – | |||
Kaiser Family Foundation[372] | Sep 23–Oct 15, 2019 | 249 | – | 14% | – | 7% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 13% | 25% | 5%[or] | 21% | |||
Change Research[373] | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 772 | ± 3.7% | 20% | – | 11% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 5%[os] | – |
North Carolina primary
[edit]The North Carolina Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date Updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[374] | March 3, 2020 | February 21–March 2, 2020 | 27.8% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 17.0% | |||
RealClear Politics[375] | March 3, 2020 | February 27–March 2, 2020 | 36.7% | 23.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 1.0% | 14.0% | |||
FiveThirtyEight[376] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 34.5% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 0.2% | 17.5% | |||
Average | 33.0% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 16.2% | |||||
North Carolina primary results (March 3, 2020) | 43.0% | 24.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 8.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 North Carolina Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Spry Strategies/Civitas[377] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 11% | – | 3% | – | 18% | 7% | – | 6%[ot] | 11% | |||
Swayable[378] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,209 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 18% | – | 4% | – | 23% | 10% | – | 10%[ou] | – | |||
Data for Progress[379] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 334 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 36% | 18% | – | 3% | – | 27% | 14% | – | 3%[ov] | – | |||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elucd[380] | Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 25% | 15% | – | 6% | – | 26% | 12% | – | 6%[ow] | 10% | |||
East Carolina University[381] | Feb 27–28, 2020 | 499 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 29% | 14% | – | 4% | – | 25% | 11% | – | 9%[ox] | 9% | |||
High Point University[382] | Feb 21–28, 2020 | 274 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | – | 8% | – | 28% | 12% | – | 13%[oy] | 7% | |||
472 (RV) | – | 14% | 18% | – | 8% | – | 31% | 11% | – | 11%[oz] | 7% | |||||
Spry Strategies/Civitas[383] | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 27% | 16% | – | 4% | – | 19% | 11% | – | 10%[pa] | 15% | |||
Marist College[384] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 24% | 15% | – | 7% | – | 26% | 11% | – | 8%[pb] | 7% | |||
974 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 22% | 15% | – | 7% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 9%[pc] | 8% | |||||
Data for Progress[385] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 25% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 8%[pd] | – | |||
Public Policy Polling[386] | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 852 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 17% | – | 9% | – | 20% | 11% | – | 8%[pe] | 11%[pf] | |||
Meredith College[387] | Feb 16–24, 2020 | 430 (LV) | – | 17.9% | 17.0% | 0.7% | 10.0% | – | 19.5% | 10.9% | – | 7.6%[pg] | 16.5%[ph] | |||
Spry Strategies/Civitas[388] | Feb 21–23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 3.75% | 20% | 20% | – | 3% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 13%[pi] | 14% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell[389] | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 16% | 19% | – | 10% | – | 23% | 13% | – | 13%[pj] | 6% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL News[390] | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 20% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 22% | 8% | – | 7%[pk] | 11% | |||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
High Point University[391] | Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 | 225 (LV) | – | 24% | 16% | 0% | 8% | – | 20% | 11% | 3% | 9%[pl] | 8% | |||
399 (RV) | – | 19% | 13% | 1% | 6% | – | 25% | 12% | 4% | 8%[pm] | 12% | |||||
Public Policy Polling[392] | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 604 (LV) | – | 25% | 14% | – | 9% | – | 16% | 12% | 5% | 7%[pn] | 13%[po] | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling[393] | Jan 10–12, 2020 | 509 (LV) | – | 31% | 8% | 1% | 6% | – | 18% | 15% | 5% | 6%[pp] | 11%[pq] | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg launches his campaign | ||||||||||||||||
Fox News[394] | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 669 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 15% | 2% | 8%[pr] | 10% | |||
HighPoint University[395] | Nov 1–7, 2019 | 347[ps] | ± 6.4% | 33% | – | 2% | 4% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 6%[pt] | 10% | |||
1,049[pu] | ± 3.6% | 18% | – | 2% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7%[pv] | 23% | |||||
Siena Research/New York Times[396] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 324 | – | 29% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 3%[pw] | 32% | |||
High Point University[397] | Sep 13–19, 2019 | 348 (A) | – | 31% | – | 4% | 3% | 6% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 3%[px] | 9% | |||
SurveyUSA/Civitas[398] | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 534 | ± 6.1% | 36% | – | 1% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 1% | 2%[py] | 17% | |||
Emerson College[399] | May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 | 397 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 22% | 15% | 1% | 7%[pz] | – |
Oklahoma primary
[edit]The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[400] | March 3, 2020 | February 17–March 2, 2020 | 28.0% | 23.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 18.5% | |||
RealClear Politics[401] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[402] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 30.6% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 18.9% | |||
Average | 29.3% | 22.9% | 14.85% | 12.95% | 1.3% | 18.7% | |||||
Oklahoma primary results (March 3, 2020) | 38.7% | 25.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 1.7% | 6.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Oklahoma Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[403] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 472 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 38% | 11% | 1% | – | 1% | 26% | 13% | 9%[qa] | – | ||||
Data for Progress[404] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | 19% | – | – | – | 28% | 16% | 2%[qb] | – | ||||
SoonerPoll[405] | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 409 | 4.84% | 21% | 20% | 10% | – | 7% | 13% | 9% | 2%[qc] | 19% | ||||
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associated[406] | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 172 (LV) | – | 12% | 20% | 1% | – | 6% | 14% | 8% | 21%[qd] | 9% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SoonerPoll[407] | Jul 17–27, 2019 | 152 | – | 26% | – | 6% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 11%[qe] | 34% |
Tennessee primary
[edit]The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[408] | March 3, 2020 | February 28–March 2, 2020 | 31.0% | 27.0% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 0.5% | 11.0% | |||
RealClear Politics[409] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[410] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 29.0% | 24.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 0.2% | 18.1% | |||
Average | 30.0% | 25.85% | 17.1% | 12.15% | 0.35% | 14.55% | |||||
Tennessee primary results (March 3, 2020) | 41.7% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 0.4% | 7.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Tennessee Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[411] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,527 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 17% | 8% | – | 27% | 9% | 11%[qf] | – | |||||
Data for Progress[412] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 368 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 34% | 20% | 2% | – | 27% | 15% | 3%[qg] | – | |||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey[413] | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 128 | ± 11.2% | 33% | – | 6% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 11%[qh] | – |
Texas primary
[edit]The Texas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win[414] | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 17-Mar 1, 2020 | 30.2% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 1.0% | 12.8% | |
RealClear Politics[415] | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 27-Mar 1, 2020 | 29.5% | 28.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 8.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight[416] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020 [d] | 28.2% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 0.4% | 16.1% | |
Average | 29.0% | 26.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
Texas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 30.0% | 34.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 0.4% | 9.3% |
Polling from January 1, 2020, to March 3, 2020 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Swayable[417] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,378 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 28% | 12% | – | 6%[qi] | – | ||
Data for Progress[418] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 30% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 28% | 15% | – | 1%[qj] | – | ||
AtlasIntel[419] | Feb 24-Mar 2, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 35% | 9% | – | 3%[qk] | 4% | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Emerson College/Nexstar[420] | Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 31% | 14% | – | 5%[ql] | – | ||
Elucd[421] | Feb 26-Mar 1, 2020 | 833 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 31% | 13% | – | – | 11% | ||
YouGov/CBS News[422] | Feb 27–29, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 30% | 17% | – | 2%[qm] | – | ||
Marist College[423] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 556 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 34% | 10% | – | 2%[qn] | 9% | ||
1,050 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 35% | 8% | – | 3%[qo] | 9% | ||||
Data for Progress[424] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 13% | – | 2%[qp] | – | ||
CNN/SSRS[425] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 387 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 29% | 15% | – | 0% | 5%[qq] | ||
Latino Decisions/Univision/ University of Houston[426] |
Feb 21–26, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 20% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 26% | 11% | – | 7%[qr] | 6% | ||
University of Texas at Tyler[427] | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 19% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 29% | 10% | – | 2%[qs] | 5% | ||
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas[428] | Feb 24–25, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | –[qt] | 11% | 7% | 25% | 17% | – | 4%[qu] | 5%[qv] | ||
24% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 24% | 14% | – | 2%[qw] | 5%[qx] | ||||||
Nevada caucuses | ||||||||||||||
University of Massachusetts Lowell[429] | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 20% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 23% | 14% | – | 6%[qy] | 3% | ||
YouGov/University of Houston[430] | Feb 6–18, 2020 | 1,352 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17% | – | 8%[qz] | 5% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[431] | Jan 31-Feb 9, 2020 | 575 (LV) | ± 4.09% | 22% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 13%[ra] | – | ||
University of Texas At Tyler/Dallas News[432] | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 372 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 17% | 3% | 5%[rb] | – | ||
Data for Progress[433][11][A] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 26% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 3% | 3%[rc] | 12% | ||
Texas Lyceum[434][permanent dead link] | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 28% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 26% | 13% | 0% | 5%[rd] | 7% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race |
Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Julian Castro |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
CNN/SSRS[435] | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 327 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 35% | 2% | 9% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 15% | 13% | 3% | 11%[re] | 9% | |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas at Tyler[436] | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 427 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 18% | 19% | 2% | 4%[rf] | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune[437] |
Oct 18–27, 2019 | 541 | ± 4.2% | 23% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 4%[rg] | 5% | |
University of Texas at Tyler[438] | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 474 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 1% | 5%[rh] | – | |
Texas Tribune[439] | Aug 29–Sep 15, 2019 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 4%[ri] | 6% | |
Quinnipiac University[440] | Sep 4–9, 2019 | 456 | ± 5.5% | 28% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 1 | 1%[rj] | 12% | |
Univision/University of Houston[441] | Aug 31– Sep 6, 2019 | 1004 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 5% | – | 19% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 4%[rk] | 10% | |
Ragnar Research[442] | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 23% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 7% | – | 12% | 12% | 15% | –[rl] | 7%[rm] | 18% | |
Climate Nexus[443] | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 639 | – | 24% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | – | 21% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 5%[rn] | 9% | |
TEXAS LYCEUM[444] | Aug 16–25, 2019 | 358 | ± 5.2% | 24% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 2% | 8%[ro] | 2% | |
Emerson College[445] | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 28% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | <1% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 3% | 5%[rp] | – | |
YouGov/CBS News[446] | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 910 | ± 4.2% | 27% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 1% | 6%[rq] | – | |
YouGov/University of Texas[447] | May 31 – Jun 9, 2019 | 483 | ± 5.0% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 8%[rr] | 7% | |
Quinnipiac University[448] | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 407 | ± 5.8% | 30% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | <1% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 5%[rs] | 8% | |
Change Research[449] | May 30 – Jun 3, 2019 | 1,218 | ± 2.8% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 27% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 2%[rt] | – | |
Emerson College[450] | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 342 | ± 5.3% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 11%[ru] | – | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research[451] | Apr 18–22, 2019 | 1,578 | ± 2.5% | 20% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 25% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 2%[rv] | – | |
– | 4% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 33% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 0%[rw] | – |
Utah primary
[edit]The Utah Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win[452] | March 3, 2020 | Feb 22–March 2, 2020 | 26.3% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 1.5% | 20.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight[453] | March 3, 2020 | Until March 2, 2020[d] | 26.3% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 1.3% | 20.9% | |
Average | 26.3% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 20.5% | |||
Utah primary results (March 3, 2020) | 36.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 0.8% | 13.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Utah Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[454] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 143 (LV) | ± 9.0% | 27% | 29% | 7% | 6% | 22% | 6% | – | 2%[rx] | – | ||||
Data for Progress[455] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 622 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 29% | 19% | – | 2%[ry] | – | ||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
HarrisX/University of Utah/Deseret News[456] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 298 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 6% | 19% | 18% | 4% | 28% | 15% | – | 1%[rz] | 8% | ||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Salt Lake Tribune/Suffolk[457] | Jan 18–22, 2020 | 132 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 4%[sa] | 21% |
Vermont primary
[edit]The Vermont Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win[458] | March 3, 2020 | February 4–March 2, 2020 | 52.0% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 1.0% | 12.0% | |||
RealClear Politics[459] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[460] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 53.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
Average | 52.5% | 14.1% | 10.55% | 9.6% | 0.95% | 12.3% | |||||
Vermont primary results (March 3, 2020) | 50.6% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 4.8% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Vermont Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided | |||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[461] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 147 (LV) | ± 11.0% | 11% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 48% | 17% | 2%[sb] | – | |||||
Data for Progress[462] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 236 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 16% | 8% | 1% | – | 57% | 16% | 2%[sc] | – | |||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Vermont Public Radio[463] | Feb 4–10, 2020 | 332 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 51% | 13% | 2%[sd] | 7% |
Virginia primary
[edit]The Virginia Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[a] | ||
270 to Win[464] | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 28.8% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 23.9%[se] | ||
RealClear Politics[465] | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 44.0% | 24.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 2.5% | ||
FiveThirtyEight[466] | Mar 3, 2020 | until Mar 3, 2020 [d] | 39.9% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 0.5% | 13.1% | ||
Average | 37.6% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 0.4% | 13.2% | ||||
Virginia primary results (March 3, 2020) | 53.3% | 23.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Virginia Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[467] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,435 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 20% | – | 4% | – | 3% | – | 20% | 11% | 6%[sf] | – | ||
AtlasIntel[468] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 11% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 28% | 10% | 3%[sg] | 4% | ||
Change Research[469] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 45% | 10% | – | – | – | 4% | – | 25% | 13% | 3%[sh] | – | ||
Data for Progress[470] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 327 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 39% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 17% | 1%[si] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress[471] | Feb 23 – 25, 2020 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 19% | 17% | – | 12% | – | 5% | – | 28% | 17% | 2%[sj] | – | ||
Monmouth University[472] | Feb 13 – 16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 9% | – | 22% | 5% | 1%[sk] | 11% | ||
51%[sl] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | 4%[sm] | 7% | ||||||
– | 47%[sn] | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 5%[so] | 7% | ||||||
– | – | – | 42%[sp] | – | – | – | 44% | – | 7%[sq] | 7% | ||||||
– | – | – | – | – | 42%[sr] | – | 45% | – | 6%[ss] | 7% | ||||||
Christopher Newport University[473] | Feb 3 – 23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 13% | – | 8% | – | 5% | – | 17% | 8% | 6%[st] | 16%[su] | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Mary Washington[474] | Sep 3 – 15, 2019 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 23% | – | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 9% | 46%[sv] | – | ||
Hampton University[475] | May 29 – Jun 6, 2019 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 10%[sw] | – | ||
Change Research[476] | Apr 26–30, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | – | 3% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 10% | 5%[sx] | – |
Idaho primary
[edit]The Idaho Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable[477] | Mar 8–9, 2020 | 833 (LV) | ± 7% | 52% | 2% | 37% | 9% | – |
Data for Progress[478] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 2% | 47% | – | – |
Michigan primary
[edit]The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[sy] | |
270 to Win[479] | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 57.0% | 32.3% | 1.3% | 9.4% | |
RealClear Politics[480] | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 55.7% | 33.3% | 1.3% | 9.7% | |
FiveThirtyEight[481] | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020[sz] | 55.3% | 31.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | |
Average | 56.0% | 32.5% | 1.3% | 10.2% | |||
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020) | 52.9% | 36.4% | 0.6% | 10.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
Swayable[482] | Mar 9, 2020 | 3,126 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 10%[ta] | – | |
AtlasIntel[483] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 1% | – | 3%[tb] | 5% | |
Data for Progress[484] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | 2%[tc] | – | |
Mitchell Research & Communications[485] | Mar 8, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 1% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 3%[td] | 5% | |
Target Insyght[486] | Mar 8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 65% | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 24% | 3% | – | 3%[te] | 1% | |
Concord Public Opinion Partners/[[ The Welcome Party]][487] |
Mar 7–8, 2020 | 305 (LV) | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 1%[tf] | 22% | |
YouGov/Yahoo News[488] | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[tg] | ± 5.8% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | |
Monmouth University[489] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 3% | – | <1% | – | <1% | – | 36% | 1% | – | 7%[th] | 2% | |
ROI Rocket[490] | Mar 4–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | |
The Progress Campaign (D)[491][12] | Mar 3–7, 2020 | 417 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | 1% | 4%[ti] | |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[492] | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | 9%[tj] | 13%[tk] | |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV[493] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 11% | – | 6% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 7% | – | 6%[tl] | 16% | |
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[494] | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 662 (LV) | – | 16% | 13% | – | 11% | – | 8% | – | 25% | 13% | – | – | 14%[tm] | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/[[Oakland University]]/Ohio Northern University[495] |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 477 (RV) | – | 27% | 9.1% | – | 6.3% | – | 1.9% | – | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.3%[tn] | 10.6% | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[496] | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 34% | – | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | – | 28% | 19% | 2% | 3%[to] | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Siena Research/New York Times[497] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 203 | – | 30% | – | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 1%[tp] | 23% | |
Kaiser Family Foundation[498] | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 208 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 25% | 1% | 0%[tq] | 27% | |
Denno Research[499] | Sep 21–24, 2019 | 217 | – | 27% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 1% | 4%[tr] | 23%[ts] | |
Climate Nexus[500] | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | – | 35% | – | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 1% | 2%[tt] | 13%[tu] | |
Zogby Analytics[501] | May 23–29, 2019 | 268 | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 5%[tv] | – | |
Denno Research[502] | May 8–10, 2019 | 235 | – | 37% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4%[tw] | 23% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[503] | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 317 | ± 5.5% | 40% | – | 3% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 11% | – | 4%[tx] | – |
Mississippi primary
[edit]The Mississippi Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270toWin[504] | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 72.5% | 25.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight[505] | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[d] | 70.7% | 23.4% | 0.4% | 5.5% | |
Average | 71.6% | 24.2% | 0.5% | 3.7% | |||
Mississippi primary results (March 10, 2020) | 81.1% | 14.8% | 0.4% | 3.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Mississippi Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||||
Swayable[506] | Mar 8–9, 2020 | 1,247 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 68% | – | – | – | 28% | – | 4%[ty] | – | |||||
Data for Progress[507] | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 340 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 77% | – | – | – | 22% | – | 1%[tz] | – | |||||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[508] | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 282 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 5%[ua] | 3% | |||||
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College[509] | Jun 20–21, 2019 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6%[ub] | 21% |
Missouri primary
[edit]The Missouri Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
270 to Win[510] | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 57.6% | 34.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% |
RealClear Politics[511] | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 61.0% | 30.7% | 2.5% | 5.8% |
FiveThirtyEight[512] | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[d] | 60.3% | 32.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% |
Average | 59.6% | 32.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | ||
Missouri primary results (March 10, 2020) | 60.1% | 34.6% | 0.7% | 4.6% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Missouri Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
Swayable[513] | Mar 9, 2020 | 2,037 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 8%[uc] | – | |||
Øptimus[514] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 68% | – | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 3%[ud] | – | |||
Data for Progress[515] | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 348 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | 2%[ue] | – | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[516] | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 10%[uf] | 6% | |||
Emerson Polling/Nexstar[517] | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | 8%[ug] | <6% | |||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
The Progress Campaign (D)[518][13] | Feb 16–23, 2020 | 294 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 29% | 14% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 23% | 12% | 4%[uh] | – | |||
Americana Analytics[519] | Feb 20–21, 2020 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 22% | 17% | 11% | – | 9% | – | 11% | 10% | 1%[ui] | 17% | |||
Remington Research Group[520] | Jan 22–23, 2020 | 1,460 (LV) | – | 39% | 14% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 7% | 9% | 3%[uj] | 14% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Show Me Victories[521] | Sept 13–16, 2019 | 400 | ± 5% | 34% | – | 10% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 8%[uk] | – | |||
Remington Research Group[522] | Jul 10–11, 2019 | 1,122 | – | 43% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 19% |
North Dakota caucus
[edit]The North Dakota Democratic caucus is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable[523] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 9% | 65% | 0% | 31% | 4% | – |
Washington primary
[edit]The Washington Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[ul] | |
270 to Win[524] | Mar 10, 2020 | Feb 15 – Mar 9, 2020 | 33.5% | 34.0% | 1.3% | 34.7% | |
RealClear Politics[525] | Mar 9, 2020 | No averages at this time | |||||
FiveThirtyEight[526] | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020[d] | 39.8% | 37.1% | 1.4% | 21.7% | |
Average | 36.65% | 36.55% | 1.35% | 28.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Washington Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Jay Inslee |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Swayable[527] | Mar 9, 2020 | 1,840 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 25%[um] | – | ||
Data for Progress[528] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 497 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 6% | – | 2%[un] | – | ||
Survey USA/KING-TV[529] | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | 10% | – | 13%[uo] | 5% | ||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress[530] | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 5%[up] | – | 3%[uq] | – | ||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elway Research/Cascade Public Media[531] | Feb 15–18, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 10% | 15% | 9% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 2%[ur] | 22% | ||
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Survey USA/KING-TV[532] | Jan 26–28, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 21% | 12% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 2%[us] | 7% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Inslee withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics[533] | Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 19% | – | 5% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 11%[ut] | 16% |
Arizona primary
[edit]The Arizona Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
270 to Win[534] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 3–16, 2020 | 50.6% | 29.4% | 1.0% | 19.0% |
RealClear Politics[535] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–15, 2020 | 51.7% | 33.7% | 1.0% | 13.6% |
FiveThirtyEight[536] | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[d] | 51.6% | 26.9% | 1.1% | 20.4% |
Average | 51.3% | 30.0% | 1.0% | 17.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arizona Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Swayable[537] | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | 19%[uu] | – | ||||
Marist/NBC News[538] | Mar 10–15, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 53% | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 8%[uv] | 3% | ||||
913 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 9%[uw] | 5% | ||||||
Monmouth University[539] | Mar 11–14, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 5% | 3% | – | 31% | 3% | – | 2%[ux] | 5% | ||||
Latino Decisions/Univision/[[ Arizona State University]][540] |
Mar 6–11, 2020 | 541 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 57%[uy] | – | – | – | 38%[uy] | – | – | – | 5%[uy] | ||||
51% | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | 6%[uz] | 8% | ||||||||
Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights[541] | Mar 3–4, 2020 | 398 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 12% | – | – | 17% | 13% | – | 4%[va] | 9% | ||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights[542] | Oct 31 – Nov 8, 2019 | 260 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 29% | – | 9% | 5% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 19%[vb] | – | ||||
Emerson Polling[543] | Oct 25–28, 2019 | 339 | ± 5.2% | 28% | – | 12% | 4% | 21% | 21% | 5% | 7%[vc] | – | ||||
Siena Research/New York Times[544] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 209 | – | 24% | – | 5% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 1% | 1%[vd] | 31% | ||||
Change Research[545] | Sep 27–28, 2019 | 396 (LV) | – | 15% | – | 13% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 8% | 7%[ve] | – | ||||
Bendixen&Amandi[546] | Sep 9–12, 2019 | 250 | ± 4.3% | 29% | – | 5% | 4% | 18% | 24% | 2% | 8%[vf] | 10% | ||||
Zogby Analytics[547] | May 23–29, 2019 | 197 | ± 7.0% | 35% | – | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 0% | 11%[vg] | – |
Florida primary
[edit]The Florida Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win[548] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 5–16, 2020 | 65.5% | 23.0% | 1.8% | 9.7% | |
RealClear Politics[549] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 64.7% | 25.7% | 2.0% | 7.6% | |
FiveThirtyEight[550] | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020 [d] | 63.8% | 24.7% | 1.4% | 10.1% | |
Average | 64.7% | 24.5% | 1.7% | 9.1% |
Polling from February 12, 2020, to March 17, 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided | ||
Swayable[551] | Mar 16, 2020 | 4,035 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 64% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 12%[vh] | – | ||
AtlasIntel[552] | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 4%[vi] | 2% | ||
Point Blank Political[553] | Mar 11–13, 2020 | 3,165 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[uy] | – | – | – | 32%[uy] | – | – | 7% | ||
57% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 29% | 4% | 1%[vj] | 5% | ||||||
Emerson College/Nexstar[554] | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 65% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 2%[vk] | 6% | ||
Gravis Marketing[555] | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 66% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 9% | ||
ROI Rocket[556] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 877 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | –[vl] | –[vl] | ||
Latino Decisions/Univision[557] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 67%[uy] | – | – | – | 32%[uy] | – | – | 2% | ||
63% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 8%[vm] | 4% | ||||||
University of North Florida[558] | Mar 5–10, 2020 | 1,502 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 66% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 2% | 1%[vn] | 7% | ||
St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com[559] | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 2,480 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 69% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 0%[vo] | 9% | ||
Point Blank Political[560] | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 3,376 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[uy] | – | – | – | 32%[uy] | – | – | 7% | ||
55% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 29% | 4% | 2%[vp] | 7% | ||||||
Florida Atlantic University[561] | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 399 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 3%[vq] | 10% | ||
Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com[562] | Mar 4, 2020 | 1,882 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 0%[vr] | 6% | ||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
St Pete Polls[563] | Feb 25–26, 2020 | 2,788 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 1%[vs] | 10% | ||
Saint Leo University[564] | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 342 (LV) | – | 25% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 17% | 7% | 4%[vt] | 7% | ||
Florida Southern College[565] | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.54% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 1%[vu] | 9% | ||
St Pete Polls[563] | Feb 18–19, 2020 | 2,412 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 27% | 32% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 2%[vv] | 10% | ||
Tel Opinion Research/Politico/[[ Let’s Preserve the American Dream]][566] |
Feb 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% | 26% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 5%[vw] | 16% | ||
St Pete Polls[567] | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 3,047 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 26% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 1%[vx] | 11% |
Polling before February 11, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls[568] | Jan 27–28, 2020 | 2,590 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 41% | 17% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2%[vy] | 10% |
Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico[569] | Jan 21–23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[vz] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 18% | – | – | 20% |
29% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 4% | – | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2%[wa] | 28% | ||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University[570] | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 16% | 10% | 5% | 5%[wb] | 4%[wc] |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Siena College/New York Times[571] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 1%[wd] | 29% |
Tel Opinion Research[572] | Sep 15–18, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.54% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% | – | – | 18% |
37% | – | – | 5% | 6% | – | – | 9% | 18% | 2% | – | 20% | ||||
24% | – | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3%[we] | 49% | ||||
Florida Atlantic University[573] | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 34% | – | 1% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 24% | 2% | 8%[wf] | 6% |
St. Pete Polls[574] | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 2,022 | ± 2.2% | 47% | – | 3% | 8% | 6% | – | 2% | 8% | 12% | – | 7% | 6% |
Change Research[575] | Jun 16–17, 2019 | 1,130 | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | 2% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 3% | 2%[wg] | – |
Quinnipiac University[576] | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 417 | ± 5.8% | 41% | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 12% | <1% | 1%[wh] | 12% |
Climate Nexus[577] | Jun 7–11, 2019 | 676 | ± 2.6% | 32% | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 10% | 2% | 9%[wi] | 14% |
Zogby Analytics[578] | May 23–29, 2019 | 228 | ± 6.5% | 34% | – | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[wj] | – |
Florida Atlantic University[579] | May 16–19, 2019 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 14%[wk] | – |
Tel Opinion Research[580]* | May 8, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | – | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 28% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Tel Opinion Research[580]* | Mar 21, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 31% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Bendixen & Amandi International[581] | Mar 1–4, 2019 | 300 | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 0%[wl] | 46% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Saint Leo University[582] | May 25–31, 2018 | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 11% | 7% | – | 34%[wm] | 17% |
Illinois primary
[edit]The Illinois Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[a] | |||||
270toWin[583] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 7–16, 2020 | 58.6% | 30.2% | 2.0% | 9.2% | |||||
RealClear Politics[584] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 60.0% | 30.5% | –[wn] | 9.5% | |||||
FiveThirtyEight[585] | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[d] | 61.5% | 26.6% | 1.5% | 10.4% | |||||
Average | 60.0% | 29.1% | 1.8% | 9.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Swayable[586] | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,861 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 10%[wo] | – | ||||
Emerson College/Nexstar[587] | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 567 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 2%[wp] | 6% | ||||
Gravis Marketing[588] | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 12% | ||||
ROI Rocket[589] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 960 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | –[vl] | –[vl] | ||||
Victory Research[590] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 55% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 1%[wq] | 8% | ||||
Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club[591] | Mar 8, 2020 | 457(LV) | ± 4.58% | 64% | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | 4%[wr] | –[ws] | ||||
55% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 2%[wt] | 16% | ||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Research[592] | Feb 17–19, 2020 | 1,200(LV) | ± 2.83% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | – | 6.3% | 25.6% | 6.6% | 4.4%[wu] | 10.9% | ||||
Southern Illinois University[593] | Feb 10–17, 2020 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 14% | 17% | 13% | – | 8% | 22% | 6% | 2%[wv] | 17% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Research[594] | Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2019 | 1,500 (RV) | ±2.83% | 23.2% | 3.6% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 12.3%[ww] | 6.9% | ||||
Victory Research[595] | Jul 26–29, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 36.1% | – | 9.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.2%[wx] | 7.3% |
Wisconsin primary
[edit]The Wisconsin Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 7, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[a] | ||||||
270 to Win[596] | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
RealClear Politics[597] | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight[598] | April 5, 2020 | until March 29, 2020 [d] | 51.6% | 36.0% | 12.4% | ||||||
Average | 54.1% | 36.7% | 9.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Wisconsin Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided | ||
Marquette University Law School[599][14] | Mar 24–29, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 4%[wy] | ||
Public Policy Polling[600] | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 898(LV) | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | – | 3%[wz] | 3% | ||
YouGov/Yahoo News[601] | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[tg] | ± 6.4% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | ||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School[602] | Feb 19–23, 2020 | 490 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 17% | – | 13% | – | 11% | 29% | 9% | – | 2%[xa] | 4% | ||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[603] | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 428 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 12% | – | 9% | 30% | 12% | – | – | 11%[xb] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University[604] | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 464 (RV) | – | 21.8% | 8.4% | – | 7.7% | – | 3% | 28.4% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 2.5%[xc] | 10.9% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School[605][15] | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 6% | 1% | 15% | – | 4% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 3%[xd] | 9% | ||
Fox News[606] | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | 7% | 3% | 9% | – | 4% | 21% | 13% | 3% | 6%[xe] | 10% | ||
Marquette University Law School[607][16] | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 19% | 16% | 3% | 3%[xf] | 11% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School[608] | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 801 (RV) | – | 30% | – | 3% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 6%[xg] | 10% | ||
Siena Research/New York Times[609] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 292 | – | 23% | – | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 2% | 2%[xh] | 19% | ||
Kaiser Family Foundation[610] | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 274 (LV) | – | 17% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 1%[xi] | 35% | ||
Fox News[611] | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 5%[xj] | 9% | ||
Marquette University Law School[612] | Aug 25–29, 2019 | 444 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 28% | – | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 17% | 2% | 5%[xk] | 13% | ||
Change Research[613] | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 935 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 24% | 29% | 2% | 5%[xl] | – | ||
Change Research[614] | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 1261 (LV) | – | 18% | – | 3% | 15% | 17% | 1% | 19% | 19% | 1% | 6%[xm] | – | ||
Zogby Analytics[615] | May 23–29, 2019 | 238 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 2%[xn] | – | ||
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics[616] | Apr 15–18, 2019 | 485 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | – | 4% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 11%[xo] | 14% | ||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[617] | Mar 15–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 14% | 1% | 10%[xp] | – |
Ohio primary
[edit]The Ohio Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18] Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the primary was delayed. Initially, the Governor suggested the primary be held on June 2, 2020,[618] however, further deliberations resulted in the legislature and Governor agreeing on suspending in-person voting, and selecting a mail-in ballot deadline of April 28, 2020.[619]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win[620] | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
RealClear Politics[621] | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
FiveThirtyEight[622] | Mar 16, 2020 | until Mar 13, 2020 [d] | 58.7% | 32.3% | 9.0% | |
Average | 57.9% | 34.1% | 8.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Ohio Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
Sanders suspends his campaign: Politico Story | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[623] | Mar 16, 2020 | 2,027 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 66% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 10%[xq] | – | |||
Marist/NBC News[624] | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 58% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 4%[xr] | 4% | |||
830 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 4%[xs] | 4% | |||||
Emerson College/Nexstar[625] | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 1%[xt] | 7% | |||
ROI Rocket[626] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 61% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | –[vl] | –[vl] | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Iowa Caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/[[Oakland<br]]/[[>University/Ohio Northern University]][627] | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 428 (RV) | – | 32.1% | 10.1% | – | 6.1% | – | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 5.7%[xu] | 9.8% | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Williamson withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Ryan withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Climate Nexus[628] | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 32% | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17%[xv] | –[note 1] | |||
Emerson[629] | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 29% | – | 0% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 3% | 5%[xw] | 2% | |||
Quinnipiac[630] | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 556 | ± 5.1% | 31% | – | 1% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 6%[xx] | 11% | |||
Zogby Analytics[631] | May 23–29, 2019 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 29% | – | 3% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 6%[xy] | – |
Kansas primary
[edit]The Kansas Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 2, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends campaign | ||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||
Public Policy Polling[632] | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 550 (LV) | – | 59% | 3% | 35% | – | 4% |
Oregon primary
[edit]The Oregon Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 19, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Undecided | Beto O'Rourke |
Kamala Harris |
Elizabeth Warren |
Cory Booker |
Andrew Yang |
Pete Buttigieg |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Analytics[633] | Mar 18–19, 2019 | 238 | ± 6.4% | 27% | 26% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% [xz] |
Delaware primary
[edit]The Delaware Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[634]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Data For Progress[635] | Nov 15–25, 2019 | 481 (LV) | –[ya] | 35% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 10%[yb] | 15% |
Indiana primary
[edit]The Indiana Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on May 5, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[636]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||
O'Rourke, Harris, Buttigieg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||
We Ask America[637] | Apr 29–May 5, 2019 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 33% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 23% | 2% | 1%[yc] | 15% |
Maryland primary
[edit]The Maryland Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[638]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||||
Gonzales Research & Media Services[639] | Feb 22–28, 2020 | 331 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 19% | 15% | 5% | – | 4% | 23% | 8% | – | 27% | |||
Goucher College[640] | Feb 13–19, 2020 | 371 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 18% | 16% | 7% | – | 6% | 24% | 6% | 4%[yd] | 18% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Goucher College[640] | Sept 13–19, 2019 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 33% | – | 5% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 9%[ye] | 15% |
Montana primary
[edit]The Montana Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18] Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Steve Bullock |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke, Bullock, Harris, Yang, Buttigieg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
Montana State University Billings[641] | Oct 7–16, 2019 | 40 (LV) | – | 15% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 40% | No voters | 2%[yf] | 25% |
New Mexico primary
[edit]The New Mexico democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, Warren, and Gabbard withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||
Booker and Yang withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||
Emerson Polling[642] | Jan 3–6, 2020 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 11%[yg] | - |
Pennsylvania primary
[edit]The Pennsylvania Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 2, 2020.[643]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[a] | ||||||
270 to Win[644] | Mar 18, 2020 | Feb 11–Mar 8, 2020 | 39.5% | 28.0% | 32.5% | ||||||
RealClear Politics[645] | Feb 23, 2020 | Jan 20–Feb 20, 2020 | 39.5% | 28.0% | 32.5% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight[646] | Mar 8, 2020 | until Feb 20, 2020[d] | 54.4% | 29.3% | 16.3% | ||||||
Average | 44.5% | 28.4% | 27.1% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||
YouGov/Yahoo News[647] | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[tg] | ± 5.1% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – |
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[648] | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 537 (LV) | – | 20% | 19% | – | 12% | – | – | 25% | 9% | 5%[yh] | 10%[yi] |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College[649] | Jan 20–26, 2020 | 292 (RV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | 15% | 14% | 18%[yj] | 19% |
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University]][650] |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 502 (RV) | – | 31.3% | 9.1% | – | 6.5% | – | – | 20.5% | 11.5% | 8.8%[yk] | 11% |
Harris and Booker withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College[651] | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 226 (RV) | ± 8.9% | 30% | – | 1% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 18% | 15%[yl] | 16% |
Siena Research/New York Times[652] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 304 | – | 28% | – | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 16% | 3%[ym] | 30% |
Kaiser Family Foundation[653] | Sep 23–Oct 15, 2019 | 246 (LV) | – | 27% | – | 1% | 3% | 4% | No voters | 14% | 18% | 5%[yn] | 29% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc.[654] | Sep 30–Oct 6, 2019 | 307 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 17% | – | 0% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 7%[yo] | 52% |
Franklin & Marshall College[655] | Jul 29–Aug 4, 2019 | 295 | ± 8.7% | 28% | – | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 3%[yp] | 19% |
Zogby Analytics[656] | May 23–29, 2019 | 246 | ± 6.3% | 46% | – | 2% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 8% | 2%[yq] | – |
Quinnipiac University[657] | May 9–14, 2019 | 431 | ± 6.2% | 39% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 3%[yr] | 12% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Muhlenberg College[658] | Apr 3–10, 2019 | 405 | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 8% | 9%[ys] | 20% |
Emerson College[659] | Mar 26–28, 2019 | 359 | ± 5.1% | 39% | – | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 20% | 11% | 10%[yt] | – |
Georgia primary
[edit]The Georgia Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 24, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, first to May 19, 2020,[660] and then further delayed to June 9, 2020.[661]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Undecided[a] | ||||
FiveThirtyEight[662] | Mar 14, 2020 | until Feb 13, 2020[d] | 67.3% | 30.1% | 2.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||
The Progress Campaign (D) | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 63% | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 2.3%[yu] |
University of Georgia[663] | Mar 4–14, 2020 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 66% | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 1%[yv] | 11% |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Landmark Communications[664] | Feb 12, 2020 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 32% | 14% | 5% | – | 14% | 4% | – | 6%[yw] | 26% |
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
SurveyUSA[665] | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 536 | ± 5.2% | 36% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | – | 5% | 9% |
Climate Nexus[666] | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 457 | ± 3.6% | 31% | – | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 2% | 11%[yx] | 19% |
Landmark Communications[667] | Sep 18–21, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.1% | 41% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 17% | 2% | 6%[yy] | 15% |
Change Research[668] | Sep 7–11, 2019 | 755 | ± 3.6% | 33% | – | 7% | 7% | 17% | 22% | 3% | 10%[yz] | – |
SurveyMonkey[669] | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 402 | ± 6.4% | 31% | – | 5% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 11%[za] | 9% |
New York primary
[edit]The New York Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 23, 2020.[670]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[a] | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight[671] | Mar 18, 2020 | until Mar 18, 2020 [d] | 51.7% | 28.9% | 21.4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College Research Institute[672] | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 315 (RV) | – | 13% | 21% | 9% | – | 9% | 25% | 11% | 1%[zb] | 11% |
Iowa caucus is held | ||||||||||||
Civis Analytics/Data For Progress[673] | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 845 (LV) | – | 30% | 17% | 7% | – | 2% | 17% | 14% | 15%[zc] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College[674] | Nov 12–18, 2019 | 797 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 24% | – | 5% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 14% | 12%[zd] | 29%[ze] |
Siena College[675] | Oct 6–10, 2019 | 340 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 21% | – | 4% | 4% | 1% | 16% | 21% | 10%[zf] | 24%[zg] |
de Blasio withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College[676]* | Sep 8–12, 2019 | 359 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 22% | – | 3% | 4% | 1% | 15% | 17% | 4%[zh] | 34% |
Gillibrand withdraws from the race |
Head-to-head polls
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Bill de Blasio |
Kirsten Gillibrand |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[677] | Jun 2–6, 2019 | 385 | – | 25% | 56% | 11% | 8% |
New Jersey primary
[edit]The New Jersey Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for July 7, 2020.[678]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Undecided[a] | ||||
FiveThirtyEight[679] | Mar 8, 2020 | until Feb 18, 2020[d] | 35.5% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Super Tuesday | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||
FDU[680][17] | Feb 12–16, 2020 | 357 (RV) | – | 16% | 23% | – | 10% | – | – | 25% | 8% | 7%[zi] | 11% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Iowa caucuses | |||||||||||||
Emerson College[681] | Jan 16–19, 2020 | 388 | ± 4.9% | 28% | 9% | – | 6% | – | – | 25% | 15% | 16%[zj] | – |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University[682] | Sep 12–16, 2019 | 713 | ± 3.7% | 26% | – | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 7%[zk] | 8% |
Change Research[683] | Aug 16–20, 2019 | 1176 | ± 2.9% | 26% | – | 5% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 21% | 23% | 3%[zl] | – |
Connecticut primary
[edit]The Connecticut Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, first to June 2, 2020,[684] and then further delayed to August 11, 2020.[685]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[686] | Mar 24–Apr 3, 2020 | – (RV)[zm] | – | 52.0% | 32.5% | – | – | 1.4%[zn] | 14.1% | |||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[687] | Feb 24–Mar 12, 2020 | 383 (RV) | – | 42.1% | 24.5% | – | – | 19.5%[zo] | 13.8% | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[688][18] | Dec 16, 2019–Jan 2, 2020 | 348 (RV) | – | 33.0% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 3.4%[zp] | 15.2% |
Notes
[edit]- ^ The poll did not provide separate information for this entry, so it is grouped under 'other'.
Partisan clients
- ^ By the time of the sampling period, Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
Additional candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Gabbard with 1.8%; Bloomberg with 1.3%; Bennet with 0.5%; Patrick not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.0%; Bennet and Patrick not reported
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Gabbard and Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.3%; Patrick with 0.0%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ After reallocation of delegates from candidates estimated to not clear the viability threshold in each precinct
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%
- ^ a b c d e Data not yet released, but all other candidates each have <5%
- ^ If the contest came down to Biden and Sanders
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Re-allocating support to second choice for candidates receiving <15% of first choice votes
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with <1%
- ^ If only the four candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ^ "None of these/won't caucus" with 1%
- ^ If only the six candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ^ "None of these/won't caucus" with <1%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; other with <1%; "no one" with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Reported as "Unsure"
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; Someone Else with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 0.2%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.0%; "Other/Please Specify" with 0.4%; "Don't Know/Refused" with 13%
- ^ If voters could choose only one of Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders or Warren
- ^ Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ^ If the field is narrowed to these top four candidates
- ^ Listed as "don't know/refused"
- ^ Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Bloomberg with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Not listed separately from "others"
- ^ Trump with 5%; "others" with 2%
- ^ If the only viable candidates to caucus for were the four listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ Booker with 4%, Bennet and Delaney with <1%, Patrick with 0%, Other with <1%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Includes "refused"
- ^ Booker with 3%; Castro with 1%; Delaney, Bloomberg, Bennet, Williamson with 0%
- ^ Booker with 4%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Bullock, Castro and Williamson with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; none with 2%
- ^ Booker, Bullock, and Castro with 1%, Messam, Delaney, Bennet, Williamson, and Sestak with 0%, "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bullock and Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bloomberg, Delaney, and Williamson with <1%; Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Delaney, O'Rourke and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Bennett, Booker, Bullock and Castro with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 3%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ As evidenced by Sestak being listed in second choices but not first preferences and the lack of an 'other' column in the first preferences topline
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard and Yang with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters[ba]
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 3%; Yang with 1%; Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam and Sestak with no voters; refused with 0%
- ^ Yang with 5%; Bullock with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet and Williamson with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with no voters; everyone else with 4%
- ^ a b The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Yang with 1%; a different Democratic candidate, don't know, or refused with 25%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet, Gabbard, Williamson, and Ryan with 1%, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Yang with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 2%, Bullock, Castro, and Delaney with 1%, Bennet, de Blasio, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "none of these" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Yang with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard, and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gillibrand and Yang with 2%; Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Inslee, O'Rourke, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Steyer with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with <1%; Messam and Moulton with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio and Messam with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Ryan, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, and Inslee with <1%; Bennet, Hickenlooper, McAuliffe, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet and McAuliffe with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Gillibrand and Yang with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ Poll sponsored by End Citizens United
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Inslee with 1%; Bloomberg, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%
- ^ Gillibrand with 1%
- ^ Brown with 4%; Castro with 2%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 1%; Gabbard and Yang with 0%; others with 8%
- ^ Kennedy with 5%; Clinton with 4%; Brown with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Gillibrand, Kerry, and Swalwell with 1%; Holder, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Brown, Castro, Delaney, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, Steyer, Swalwell, and Yang with <1%
- ^ Brown with 3%; Bloomberg and Kerry with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Garcetti with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Gillibrand and Holder with 2%; Avenatti and Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Landrieu, and Patrick with <1%; others with 1%
- ^ Poll sponsored by O'Say Can You See PAC, the PAC that supported O'Malley in 2016
- ^ O'Malley with 18%; Cuomo with 8%; Castro and Sandberg with 4%; Gillibrand with 3%; Schultz with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bloomberg with 0.5%
- ^ Patrick with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 2.3%; Patrick with 0.7%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Bloomberg with 0.9%; Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson with 0.0%; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ^ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; other with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; other with 2%; refused with 0%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Bennet and Bloomberg with 0%; Patrick with no voters; other with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 1%; others with 1%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with <1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ If the primary came down to the five candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ^ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 4%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg (explicitly as a write in) and Patrick with 2%; Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 3%; Delaney not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with <1%
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Delaney with 0%; some other candidate with 2%; would not vote with <1%
- ^ Listed as "Don't know/refused"
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with no voters; "someone else" with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg with 4%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with no voters; other with 1%
- ^ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ^ Booker with 2%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; Patrick and "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ If the primary came down to the seven candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these" with 3%; Booker with 2%
- ^ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these" with 5%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%; someone else with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- ^ Includes "refused"
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Delaney and Sestak and with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; refused with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 5%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%, "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet and Castro, with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney and other with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Castro with 0% and Williamson with 0%; other with 3%
- ^ a b c The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Ryan with 1%, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Bullock, Bennet and Williamson with less than 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Castro, Delaney and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Messam and Sestak with 0%; "no one" with 1%;
- ^ Steyer with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro with 1%; others with 2%
- ^ Delaney with 3%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg, Brown, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
- ^ Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
- ^ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
- ^ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 2.0%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 9.1%; Gabbard with 1.9%
- ^ Individual candidate numbers add up to more than 100%
- ^ Bloomberg with 3.0%; Gabbard with 1.7%
- ^ Uncommitted with 0.4%; Gabbard with 0.3%; Yang with 0.6%; Bennet and Patrick with 0.1%; Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ Uncomitted with 0.4%; Gabbard with 0.3%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.7%
- ^ others with 4%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; Other with 5%
- ^ Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with 0%; Bennet and Williamson with no voters; other with 0%; refused with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; others with 0%; none with 8%
- ^ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 2%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 7%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; "refused" with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Bennet, de Blasio, and Gabbard with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; others with 4%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Abrams, Castro, Gabbard, and Swalwell with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Gillibrand with 1%; Hickenlooper and Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined; Bloomberg included as write-in votes are not permitted in SC primaries
- ^ Candidate percentages add up to more than 100%
- ^ Bloomberg 10.3%; Write-in votes are not permitted in SC primaries; this appears to be based on trendline regression
- ^ Bloomberg only in 538, so no average can be made
- ^ Bennet with 0.14%; Booker with 0.12%; Delaney with 0.07%; Patrick with 0.05%
- ^ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ Accumulated responses until he withdrew; name not included afterwards.
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Bennet and Patrick were included until they withdrew; Bennet received no voters; Patrick accumulated few enough to round down to 0%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ The poll's sponsor, Unite the Country, is a pro-Biden super PAC.
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None of the above" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bloomberg with 3%; Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Bloomberg and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; Bullock and Castro with no voters
- ^ Yang with 4%; Gabbard, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 4%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%
- ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Bennet, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, and Sestak with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Messam with < 0.5%; Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, Castro and "Someone else" with 1%; Delaney, Sestak and Bennet with 0%; Bullock, Messam, Ryan and Williamson with less than 0.5%
- ^ Bennet, Klobuchar, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ^ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ^ de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 1%; "A different Democratic candidate" with 7%
- ^ Bennet and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with <1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ^ Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Gravel, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 3%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%
- ^ Abrams with 7%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Inslee, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%: Brown and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, and Delaney with 0%; others with 8%
- ^ Brown and Holder with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Castro with 4%; Delaney with 3%; Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand and Yang with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ But for the Biden vs Warren matchup, 'undecided' and 'other' voters are not included in the listed percentages for this poll.
- ^ Would not vote with 4%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Sestak with 3%; Bennet with 2%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Castro, Klobuchar, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Messam and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%
- ^ Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
- ^ Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%
- ^ includes Buttigieg with 6.0%; Klobuchar with 4.0%; Steyer not averaged
- ^ Gabbard with 0.1%; "Other" with 5.9%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "None/No one" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Others" with 1%
- ^ Included in poll despite being withdrawn because he is still on the ballot.
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Williamson, Patrick, Sestak, Delaney, Greenstein, Ellinger, Boyd, and De La Fuente with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 5%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 4%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ Tulsi Gabbard 1%; someone else 1%
- ^ "Some other Democrat" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "someone else/skipped"
- ^ Answers listed in this row are for the question, "If electability wasn't a concern, who would you support?"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker, Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.4%; Bennet with 0.9%; Booker with 0.8%; "All others" with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; others with 0%
- ^ someone else (included Bloomberg) 6%
- ^ Booker and "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; no response with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg, Castro and Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None/No one" with 1%
- ^ The top row presents results which exclude Kamala Harris as an option.
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Patrick with no voters
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Steyer with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Patrick, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; other with 4%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Steyer, and some other Democrat with 1%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 2%; Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio and Ryan with 0%; no response with 2%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%;
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Castro, Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ "Anyone" with 2%; "None of them" with 5%; "Others" with 7%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Klobuchar, Steyer, Williamson with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%, others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, & Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell & Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar & Inslee with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard & Hickenlooper with 2%; Bennet, Gillibrand & Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Inslee with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Castro with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Williamson with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; "Others" with 4%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; de Blasio, Gabbard, O'Rourke, Ryan , Williamson, and "Someone else" with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ O’Rourke with 1%; Booker, Castro, Inslee, de Blasio, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, Steyer, Williamson, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard not averaged
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 0%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick and "Someone else" with no voters
- ^ "Other" with 6.5%; Booker with 2.7% and O'Rourke with 2.2%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Castro and O'Rourke with 1%; "someone else/undecided" with 16%
- ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Ryan with 4%; Booker and Williamson with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Gillibrand, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Hickenlooper Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Calculated by subtracting polled candidates from 100%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2.4%; Gabbard with 0.8%; refused with 0.4%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 2%; Would not vote with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Yang with 3%; Booker with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Delaney, Steyer and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Yang with 1%; de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; refused with 1%
- ^ Gabbard, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Moulton with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer and "Another Candidate" with 0%
- ^ Yang with 4%; Booker with 1%; Steyer, Castro, and Refused to answer with 0%; Someone else not reported
- ^ Yang with 2%; Booker, Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 4%; Booker and Patrick with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Booker with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; "Another Candidate" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Klobuchar with 4.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Yang with 0.7%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Williamson with 0.5%; Castro and Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ "No preference" with 3.7%; "Don't know" with 11.2%; "No answer/Refused" with 1.6%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; "Another Candidate" with 7%
- ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Gabbard and Steyer with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; others with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Steyer and Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5% and Steyer with 2%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 3%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 3%
- ^ Democrats only
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; refused with 6%
- ^ All adults
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 1%; refused with 21%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%
- ^ Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; O'Rourke with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with <1%, Patrick with <1% and Steyer with 1%
- ^ "Likely not voting" with 14%; "other candidates" with 7%
- ^ Booker and Bennet with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Gillibrand, Bullock, Delaney, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ None/No one 1%; No opinion 4%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Respondents were asked who they would vote for if Bloomberg were not a candidate.
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 1%; "No one/None of them" with 4%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; others with 8%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; De La Fuente, Delaney, Gabbard and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Booker with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; "none of the above" with 4%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Sestak and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0; Bennet, Bullock, and Messam with no voters
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Steyer with 1%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Steyer, Gabbard, Bennet, Delaney with 1%; Rest with 0%
- ^ Not listed separately
- ^ Gabbard with 4%
- ^ Gabbard, Ryan, Steyer, Delaney and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Bullock with 2%; Gabbard, Ryan, Bennet, McAuliffe, Moulton, Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan with 1%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Hickenlooper, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with <1%
- ^ Abrams with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel and Hickenlooper with 1%; Messam, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 7%
- ^ Abrams and Swalwell with 1%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Other" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Not specified in release
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Compared to the other figures, this might be unusually high
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 3%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 4%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 5%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 5%; Steyer with 1%; Michael Bennet with 0%
- ^ Undecided with 13%; Don't know/Refused with 3%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Castro with 1%; Non-voter/no answer with 43%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; Messam with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 9%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%; "Uncommitted" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ a b c Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%; "Uncommitted" with 6%
- ^ Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
- ^ "Other" with 9%
- ^ "Declined" with 13%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Delaney, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%; Castro and Sestak with no voters; "Refused" with 5%
- ^ "Not sure/other" with 14%
- ^ Steyer with 1.7%; Delaney with 1.6%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; Someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro and Steyer with no voters; someone else with 0%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Gabbard, Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 3%; Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 10%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Someone else/undecided" with 6%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
- ^ Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Other with 24%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "Some Other Democrat" with 13%
- ^ Estimated early vote share; respondents in the poll who indicated Warren as their first choice but that they had not yet voted were assigned to their indicated second choice.
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Booker with no voters; "other" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 0%; "Some Other Democrat" with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1% ; Someone else with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 18%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i In a two-person race
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ "Another Candidate" with 4%
- ^ Booker, Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, O'Rourke and Steyer with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Bullock and Williamson with no voters; other with 7%
- ^ Gabbard, Klobuchar and O'Rourke with 2%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Booker, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 4%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker, Castro, Delaney, and O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 10%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f Not yet released
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 6%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Yang with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Steyer with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer with 1%; "None of these" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Bennet, and Yang with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ If only Biden, Sanders and Warren remained as candidates
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, and Gabbard 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "someone else/unsure"
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Listed as others
- ^ Messam with 3%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Messam with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, and Moulton with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 9%
- ^ Brown, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Winfrey with 17%; Holder with 5%; Brown with 3%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Murphy with 2%; Bullock, Landrieu, Patrick, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 2%
- ^ Gabbard not averaged
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%
- ^ Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
- ^ Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%
- ^ Don't know with 2%; Refused to answer with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ "Not sure/other" with 11%
- ^ Gabbard with 0.8%; Patrick with 0.6%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.4%; Steyer with 0.3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; Bennet and Delaney not reported
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; none of the above with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Bullock, Steyer, Williamson, someone else, Would not vote, and Refused with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 1%; Steyer with 0%; Castro with no voters; other with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Other with <1%; Castro and Messam with 0%; None of the above with 1%
- ^ "Someone else", Bullock, Gillibrand, O'Rourke, Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Gabbard, Delaney, Castro, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Steyer, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 5%; Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ O'Rourke with 6%; Gillibrand with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 6%; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2.2%; Klobuchar with 1.5%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Castro, Delaney, O'Rourke, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Messam and Sestak with 0%; Other/Unsure with 10%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Bullock with 1%; Ryan, Bennett, Klobuchar, Sestak, Steyer, Castro, and Messam with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%
- ^ Not reported by source
- ^ Bloomberg, Delaney, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Booker with 1%; Klobuchar with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with <1%; Steyer with 0%; "Refused" with 4%
- ^ Booker, Delaney, O'Rourke, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Other with <1%; Refused to answer with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 10%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; "Others" not reported separately
- ^ contains also "others"
- ^ Yang and Klobuchar with 5%; "Other" with 2%; "None" with 6%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2.5%; Bennet with 1.2%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Yang with 1%; Bullock with <1%; none with 8%; other with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with no voters; refused with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Yang with 0%; someone else/none with 3%; refused to answer with 1%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard, and "Other" with 1%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%; others with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; others with 6%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Gillibrand with 2%; Castro and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ Listed as "other/undecided"
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Booker and Williamson with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Steyer with 1%; Sestak with 0%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Gabbard, and Williamson with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Castro with 3%; Booker, Bullock, and Klobuchar with 2%; O'Rourke and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Steyer and Yang with 4%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%
- ^ Booker and Yang with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Patrick, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ also includes "refused"
- ^ Yang with 3%; Booker, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio and Gabbard with <1%; other with 4%
- ^ also includes "refused"
- ^ Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Booker, de Blasio, Castro and O'Rourke with less than 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%, Steyer with 2%, Gabbard with 0%, someone else at 1%
- ^ Yang with 6%, Klobuchar with 3%, Gabbard with 3%, Delaney with 2%, someone else at 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; de Blasio, Klobuchar and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, O’Rourke, Ryan, Steyer and Williamson with <1%
- ^ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 1%
- ^ Not specified in release.
- ^ Other with 1.4%
- ^ Other with 19.5%
- ^ Other with 3.4%
References
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- ^ Shepard, Steven; Schneider, Elena (February 1, 2020). "Des Moines Register poll scrapped after apparent mishap". Politico. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved February 1, 2020.
- ^ Lerer, Lisa; Martin, Jonathan; Grynbaum, Michael M. (February 1, 2020). "Des Moines Register Poll of Iowa Caucusgoers Abruptly Shelved". The New York Times. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
- ^ Clare Malone [@ClareMalone] (February 4, 2020). "We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll: Sanders 22% Warren 18% Buttigieg 16% Biden 13%" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Civiqs/Data for Progress
- ^ Park Street Strategies Archived April 21, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Civiqs/Iowa State University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
- ^ Change Research/Crooked Media
- ^ Siena College/New York Times
- ^ "Morningside College" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 29, 2020. Retrieved January 29, 2020.
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Civiqs/Data for Progress
- ^ David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America
- ^ Neighbourhood Research and Media/Breitbart
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ KG Polling
- ^ Civiqs/Iowa State University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Civiqs/Iowa State University
- ^ Des Moines Register/CNN
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ University of Iowa
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Siena College/New York Times
- ^ Civiqs/Iowa State University
- ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register
- ^ David Binder Research
- ^ Civiqs/Iowa State University
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Change Research
- ^ David Binder Research
- ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived May 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Gravis Marketing Archived April 22, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ David Binder Research
- ^ Emerson College Archived May 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register
- ^ David Binder Research
- ^ David Binder Research
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Data For Progress
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ Elucd
- ^ University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH Archived February 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ Marist/NBC News
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ a b Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ YouGov/UMass Amherst/WCVB
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Marist/NBC News
- ^ University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ MassINC Polling Group/WBUR
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH Archived January 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10
- ^ Patinkin Research Strategies/Yang 2020 Archived January 11, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ MassINC Polling Group/WBUR
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Boston Globe/Suffolk University
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ Boston Herald/FPU
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ HarrisX/No Labels
- ^ Boston Herald/FPU
- ^ Emerson College Archived September 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Change Research Archived July 13, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Change Research
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ a b Tel Opinion Research
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived May 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Emerson College Archived February 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ YouGov/UMass Amherst
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
- ^ Change Research
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ "Important Election Dates & Deadlines in Nevada". Rock the Vote. February 2, 2018. Archived from the original on March 20, 2020. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
- ^ Point Blank Political
- ^ Beacon Research/Tom Steyer
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP Nevada
- ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Emerson Polling
- ^ Mellman Group/The Nevada Independent
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Atlas Intel
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Starboard Communications
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Clemson University
- ^ East Carolina University
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Marist Poll/NBC News
- ^ a b Winthrop University
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Change Research/The Welcome Party
- ^ East Carolina University
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ East Carolina University
- ^ Change Research/
Post and Courier - ^ GQR Research/Unite the Country
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Change Research/
Post and Courier - ^ a b YouGov/FairVote
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ "University of
North Florida" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 18, 2019. Retrieved November 18, 2019. - ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Change Research/
Post and Courier - ^ Firehouse Strategies/
Øptimus - ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Fox News
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/
Øptimus - ^ Monmouth University
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Change Research
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ a b Tel Opinion Research
- ^ Crantford Research
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/
Øptimus Archived May 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine - ^ Change Research
- ^ Emerson College Archived April 27, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Firehouse Strategies/
Øptimus - ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ Change Research
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
- ^ Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Point Blank Political
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ YouGov/Hoover
Institution/Stanford University - ^ Point Blank Political
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Point Blank Political
- ^ Berkeley IGS/LA Times
- ^ Change Research/KQED News
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ YouGov/USC
- ^ Capitol Weekly
- ^ Change Research/KQED News
- ^ Berkeley IGS/LA Times
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California/Mercury News
- ^ Tulchin Research/USC Rossier/The Hill
- ^ Capitol Weekly
- ^ Change Research/KQED News
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Capitol Weekly
- ^ Berkeley IGS/LA Times
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Capitol Weekly
- ^ Public Policy Institute of
California - ^ Change Research Archived 2019-10-24 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Capitol Weekly
- ^ Public Policy Institute of
California - ^ Berkeley IGS/LA Times
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Change Research/KQED
- ^ Capitol Weekly
- ^ a b Capitol Weekly
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ PPIC
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ "Quinnipiac University". Archived from the original on July 18, 2019. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
- ^ Change Research Archived 2019-07-31 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil Mehta (28 June 2018). "California Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2019-09-01.
- ^ UC Berkeley
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Change Research
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Elucd
- ^ Magellan Strategies
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ SocialSphere/Colby College
- ^ Maine People's Resource Center
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV
- ^ WBUR/MassINC
- ^ UMass Amherst
- ^ Falchuk & DiNatale
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Falchuk & DiNatale
- ^ WBUR
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Emerson College Archived 2019-04-20 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ YouGov/UMass Amherst
- ^ Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatalie/Commonwealth Magazine
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune/
MPR News Minnesota - ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ St. Cloud State University
- ^ Kaiser Family Foundation
- ^ Change Research
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Spry Strategies/Civitas
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Elucd
- ^ East Carolina University
- ^ High Point University Archived 2020-03-02 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Spry Strategies/Civitas
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Meredith College
- ^ Spry Strategies/Civitas
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ SurveyUSA/WRAL News
- ^ High Point University Archived 2020-02-12 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Fox News
- ^ HighPoint University Archived 2019-11-15 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Siena Research/New York Times
- ^ High Point University
- ^ SurveyUSA/Civitas
- ^ Emerson College Archived 2019-06-04 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associated
- ^ SoonerPoll Archived August 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar Archived March 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Elucd
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Latino Decisions/Univision/
University of Houston - ^ University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ YouGov/University of Houston
- ^ YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
- ^ University of Texas At Tyler/Dallas News
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Texas Lyceum
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ University of Texas/
Texas Tribune - ^ University of Texas at Tyler
- ^ Texas Tribune
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Univision/UH
- ^ Ragnar Research Archived 2019-09-11 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Climate Nexus
- ^ TEXAS LYCEUM
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ YouGov/CBS News
- ^ YouGov/University of Texas
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Emerson College Archived 2019-07-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Change Research
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ HarrisX/University of Utah/Deseret News
- ^ Salt Lake Tribune/Suffolk
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Vermont Public Radio
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Christopher Newport University
- ^ University of Mary Washington
- ^ Hampton University
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Mitchell Research & Communications
- ^ Target Insyght
- ^ Concord Public Opinion Partners/
The Welcome Party - ^ YouGov/Yahoo News
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ ROI Rocket
- ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
- ^ EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press
- ^ GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV
- ^ YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
- ^ Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
University/Ohio Northern University - ^ Emerson College
- ^ Siena Research/New York Times
- ^ Kaiser Family Foundation
- ^ Denno Research
- ^ Climate Nexus
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Denno Research Archived 2019-05-29 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Emerson College Archived 2019-03-10 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ 270toWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ NBC News/SurveyMonkey
- ^ Chism Strategies/Millsaps College
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Øptimus
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Emerson Polling/Nexstar
- ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
- ^ Americana Analytics Archived February 26, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Remington Research Group
- ^ Show Me Victories
- ^ Remington Research Group
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived March 18, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Survey USA/KING-TV
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Elway Research/Cascade Public Media
- ^ Survey USA/KING-TV
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived March 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Marist/NBC News
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Latino Decisions/Univision/
Arizona State University - ^ "OH Predictive Insights". Archived from the original on March 12, 2020. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Emerson Polling
- ^ Siena Research/New York Times
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Bendixen&Amandi
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Point Blank Political
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar
- ^ "Gravis Marketing" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 15, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2020.
- ^ ROI Rocket
- ^ Latino Decisions/Univision
- ^ University of North Florida
- ^ St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com
- ^ Point Blank Political
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com
- ^ a b St Pete Polls
- ^ Saint Leo University
- ^ Florida Southern College
- ^ Tel Opinion Research/Politico/
Let’s Preserve the American Dream - ^ St Pete Polls
- ^ St. Pete Polls
- ^ Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Siena College/New York Times
- ^ Tel Opinion Research
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ St. Pete Polls
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Climate Nexus Archived 2019-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ a b Tel Opinion Research
- ^ Bendixen & Amandi International
- ^ Saint Leo University
- ^ 270toWin
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar
- ^ "Gravis Marketing" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 15, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2020.
- ^ ROI Rocket
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Southern Illinois University
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ YouGov/Yahoo News
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
- ^ Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Siena Research/New York Times
- ^ Kaiser Family Foundation
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Change Research Archived 2019-10-08 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Emerson College Archived 2019-04-20 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ McKenzie Caldwell (March 17, 2020). "Ohio primary election will now be held June 2". The Times-Gazette. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ Tobias, Andrew J. (March 25, 2020). "Ohio lawmakers sets all-mail primary election through April 28; legal challenge still possible". cleveland. Cleveland Plain Dealer.
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Marist/NBC News
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar
- ^ ROI Rocket
- ^ Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
University/Ohio Northern University - ^ Climate Nexus
- ^ Emerson
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Chase, Randall (March 24, 2020). "Delaware presidential primary delayed because of coronavirus". AP NEWS.
- ^ Data For Progress
- ^ Sikich, Chris (March 20, 2020). "Governor is moving Indiana primary election to June 2". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
- ^ We Ask America
- ^ Alice Miranda Ollstein; Zach Montellaro (March 17, 2020). "Maryland postpones April 28 primary election over coronavirus". Politico. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ Gonzales Research & Media Services
- ^ a b Goucher College
- ^ Montana State University Billings Archived 2019-10-25 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Emerson Polling
- ^ Levy, Marc; Scolforo, Mark (March 25, 2020). "Pennsylvania lawmakers vote to delay primary election". AP NEWS. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ YouGov/Yahoo News
- ^ YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
- ^ Franklin & Marshall College
- ^ Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
University/Ohio Northern University - ^ Franklin & Marshall College
- ^ Siena Research/New York Times
- ^ Kaiser Family Foundation
- ^ Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc. Archived 2019-10-31 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Franklin & Marshall College
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ "Muhlenberg College" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 29, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- ^ Emerson College Archived 2019-04-20 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Bluestein, Greg (March 14, 2020). "Georgia delays presidential primary due to coronavirus pandemic". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved March 14, 2020.
- ^ Mark Niesse (April 9, 2020). "Georgia primary delayed again to June 9 during coronavirus emergency". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ University of Georgia
- ^ Landmark
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Climate Nexus
- ^ Landmark
- ^ Change Research Archived 2019-12-14 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ Meg Cunningham (March 28, 2020). "New York presidential primary postponed amid record numbers of coronavirus cases". ABC News. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Siena College Research Institute
- ^ Civis Analytics/Data For Progress
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Friedman, Matt (April 8, 2020). "Murphy officially delays New Jersey primary to July 7: 'I don't want a Wisconsin'". Politico. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ FDU
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Change Research Archived 2019-08-27 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Sullivan, Kate (March 19, 2020). "Connecticut governor says primaries moved to June". CNN. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
- ^ Ken Dixon (April 17, 2020). "Connecticut's presidential primary will be delayed further by coronavirus: August 11". Connecticut Post. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
- ^ GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
- ^ GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
- ^ GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
See also
[edit]- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Democratic National Convention
- Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election