2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
(Redirected from Draft:Bryan Holder)
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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Iowa |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. These were the first congressional elections held in Iowa after the 2020 redistricting cycle.
Republicans won all four House seats, making this the first time since 1994 that Democrats had been completely shut out of Iowa's House delegation.This also marks the first time since 1956 that there are no Democrats in Iowa's Congressional delegation.
Background
[edit]In the 2020 elections, Republicans flipped the 1st and 2nd congressional districts while holding the 4th, while Democrats only managed to hold onto the 3rd. Iowa is considered to be an important state in the 2022 midterm elections, as Republicans only needed a net gain of five seats to flip the House of Representatives, and the 3rd district had one of the closest House elections won by a Democrat in 2020. At an event in 2021, United States Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), claimed that the "road to the majority...comes through Iowa."[1] However, Democrats remained optimistic, with former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer saying she "couldn't be more excited" about the roster of Iowa Democrats running for Congress in 2022.[2]
District 1
[edit] | |||||||||||||||||
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 Results by county Miller-Meeks: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Bohannan: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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After redistricting, most of the old 2nd district became the 1st district. The reconfigured 1st covers southeastern Iowa, and includes Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The 1st district was based in northeastern Iowa, and included the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. First-term Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks sought reelection in this district. Miller-Meeks flipped the 2nd district with 49.9% of the vote in 2020, defeating Democratic nominee Rita Hart by just six votes out of more than 394,000 cast, a margin of 0.002%.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mariannette Miller-Meeks, incumbent U.S. Representative[4][5]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Kyle Kuehl, business owner[6]
Endorsements
[edit]Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Federal officials
- Terry Branstad, former U.S. Ambassador to China and former governor of Iowa[4]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas[4]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa[7]
- Randy Feenstra, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 4th congressional district[4]
- Chuck Grassley, U.S. Senator from Iowa[7]
- Ashley Hinson, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district[4]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina[8]
- Matthew Whitaker, former acting U.S. Attorney General, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa, nominee for Iowa State Treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[4]
Statewide officials
- Jeff Kaufmann, chair of the Iowa Republican Party and former Assistant Minority Leader and Speaker pro tempore of the Iowa House of Representatives[4]
- Kim Reynolds, Governor of Iowa[9]
Organizations
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent) | 41,260 | 98.7 | |
| Write-in | 546 | 1.3 | ||
| Total votes | 41,806 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Christina Bohannan, state representative[14]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Joseph Kerner[15] (ran for state house)[16]
Declined
[edit]- Rita Hart, former state senator, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018, and nominee for this district in 2020[14]
Endorsements
[edit]Christina Bohannan
Federal officials
- Cindy Axne, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)[17]
- Jim Leach, former U.S. Representative for this district (1977–2007) (Democrat, served in Congress as a Republican)[18]
- Dave Loebsack, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district (2007–2021)[19]
Organizations
- 314 Action[20]
- EMILY's List[21]
- Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund[22]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[23]
- League of Conservation Voters[24]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[25]
- New Democrat Coalition Action Fund[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[27]
Labor unions
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Christina Bohannan | 37,475 | 99.7 | |
| Write-in | 110 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 37,585 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]
Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | Christina Bohannan | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 26, 2022 | Iowa PBS | Kay Henderson | [29] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Lean R | October 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[31] | Lean R | September 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
| Politico[33] | Lean R | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[34] | Lean R | September 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[35] | Lean R | October 18, 2022 |
| DDHQ[36] | Solid R | September 6, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[37] | Likely R | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist[38] | Lean R | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) |
Christina Bohannan (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[39][A] | June 30 – July 4, 2022 | 375 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 39% | 38% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[40][B] | April 5–6, 2022 | 534 (V) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[41] | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 50% | 41% | 1% | 8% |
| Selzer & Co.[42] | July 10–13, 2022 | 149 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent) | 162,947 | 53.3 | |
| Democratic | Christina Bohannan | 142,173 | 46.6 | |
| Write-in | 260 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 305,380 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
[edit] | |||||||||||||||||
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 Results by county Hinson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Mathis: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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After redistricting, most of the old 1st district became the 2nd district. The reconfigured 2nd is located in northeastern Iowa and includes Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo and Mason City. Freshman Republican Ashley Hinson, who flipped the district with 51.2% of the vote in 2020, sought reelection in the 2nd.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Ashley Hinson, incumbent U.S. Representative[44][45]
Endorsements
[edit]Ashley Hinson
Federal officials
- Terry Branstad, former U.S. Ambassador to China and former governor of Iowa[46]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas and candidate for president in 2016[44]
- Randy Feenstra, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 4th congressional district[46]
- Chuck Grassley, U.S. Senator from Iowa[44]
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district[44]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida and candidate for president in 2016[47]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina[8]
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States[48]
Statewide officials
Individuals
- Ronna McDaniel, chair of the Republican National Committee[46]
Organizations
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ashley Hinson (incumbent) | 39,897 | 99.3 | |
| Write-in | 284 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 40,181 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Liz Mathis, state senator[49]
Declined
[edit]- Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. Representative (ran for the U.S. Senate)[50]
Endorsements
[edit]Liz Mathis
Federal officials
- Cindy Axne, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district[51]
- Bruce Braley, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014[51]
- Roxanne Conlin, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010[51]
- Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district[51]
- Dave Loebsack, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district[51]
Statewide officials
- Mike Fitzgerald, Iowa State Treasurer[51]
- Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor of Iowa and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[51]
- Tom Miller, Iowa Attorney General[51]
- Sally Pederson, former lieutenant governor of Iowa[51]
- Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor[51]
State legislators
- Ako Abdul-Samad, state representative[51]
- Marti Anderson, state representative[51]
- Liz Bennett, state representative[51]
- Deborah Berry, former state representative[51]
- Tony Bisignano, state senator[51]
- Christina Bohannan, state representative and candidate for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2022[51]
- Joe Bolkcom, Assistant Minority Leader of the Iowa Senate[51]
- Wes Breckenridge, state representative[51]
- Timi Brown-Powers, state representative[51]
- Sue Cahill, state representative[51]
- Claire Celsi, state senator[51]
- Molly Donahue, state representative[51]
- Bill Dotzler, Assistant Minority Leader of the Iowa Senate[51]
- Bob Dvorsky, former state senator[51]
- Tracy Ehlert, state representative[51]
- Ro Foege, former state representative[51]
- John Forbes, state representative[51]
- Ruth Ann Gaines, state representative[51]
- Eric Giddens, state senator[51]
- Eric Gjerde, state representative[51]
- Mike Gronstal, former state senator[51]
- Chris Hall, state representative[51]
- Beverly Hannon, former state senator[51]
- Steve Hansen, state representative[51]
- Rita Hart, former state senator, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018, and nominee for this district in 2020[51]
- Bill Heckroth, former state senator[51]
- Rob Hogg, state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[51]
- Wally Horn, former state senator[51]
- Bruce Hunter, state representative[51]
- Chuck Isenhart, state representative[51]
- Dave Jacoby, state representative[51]
- Lindsay James, state representative[51]
- Pam Jochum, state senator[51]
- Doris Kelley, former state representative[51]
- Kevin Kinney, state senator[51]
- Bob Kressig, state senator[51]
- Monica Kurth, state representative[51]
- Jim Lykam, state senator[51]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[51]
- Charlie McConkey, state representative[51]
- Andy McKean, former state representative[51]
- Brian Meyer, state representative[51]
- Amy Nielsen, state representative[51]
- Rick Olson, state representative[51]
- Tyler Olson, Cedar Rapids city councilor, former state representative, and former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party[51]
- Bob Osterhaus, former state representative[51]
- Janet Petersen, state senator[51]
- Todd Prichard, state representative[51]
- Amanda Ragan, state senator[51]
- Patti Ruff, former state representative[51]
- Kirsten Running-Marquardt, state representative[51]
- Bob Rush, former state senator[51]
- Brian Schoenjahn, former state senator[51]
- Jackie Smith, state senator[51]
- Mark Smith, former state representative[51]
- Steve Sodders, mayor of State Center and former state senator[51]
- Art Staed, state representative[51]
- Sally Stutsman, former state representative[51]
- Kristin Sunde, state representative[51]
- Todd Taylor, state senator[51]
- Jane Teaford, former state representative[51]
- Phyllis Thede, state representative[51]
- Roger Thomas, former state representative[51]
- Sarah Trone Garriott, state senator[51]
- Zach Wahls, Minority Leader of the Iowa Senate[52]
- Beth Wessel-Kroeschell, state representative[51]
- Nate Willems, former state senator[51]
- Dave Williams, state representative[51]
- Cindy Winckler, state representative[51]
- William Witt, former state representative[51]
- Mary Wolfe, state representative[51]
Local officials
- Linda Langston, director of strategic relations at the National Association of Counties and former Linn County supervisor[51]
Individuals
- Deidre DeJear, nominee for Governor of Iowa in 2022 and nominee for Iowa Secretary of State in 2018[51]
- Theresa Greenfield, real estate broker and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[51]
- Andy McGuire, former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party[51]
- Monica Vernon, former mayor pro tem of Cedar Rapids[51]
- Christie Vilsack, former First Lady of Iowa and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2012[51]
Organizations
- EMILY's List[21]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[23]
- League of Conservation Voters[24]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[53]
- New Democrat Coalition Action Fund[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[27]
Labor unions
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Liz Mathis | 40,737 | 99.6 | |
| Write-in | 150 | 0.4 | ||
| Total votes | 40,887 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Lean R | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[31] | Tilt R | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
| Politico[33] | Lean R | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[34] | Likely R | September 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[35] | Likely R | August 22, 2022 |
| DDHQ[36] | Solid R | September 6, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[37] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
| The Economist[38] | Lean R | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
| Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Liz Mathis (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[55][C] | July 19–20, 2022 | 594 (V) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[56][C] | February 2–3, 2022 | 623 (V) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[41] | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[55][C] | July 19–20, 2022 | 594 (V) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
| Selzer & Co.[42] | July 10–13, 2022 | 149 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 54% | 42% | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[56][C] | February 2–3, 2022 | 623 (V) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ashley Hinson (incumbent) | 172,181 | 54.1 | |
| Democratic | Liz Mathis | 145,940 | 45.8 | |
| Write-in | 278 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 318,399 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
[edit] | |||||||||||||||||
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 Results by county Nunn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Axne: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The new 3rd is still anchored in Des Moines, but now covers south-central Iowa. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who was re-elected with 48.9% of the vote in 2020.[3]
During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of then-candidate Zach Nunn.[57]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. Representative[58]
Endorsements
[edit]Cindy Axne
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[59]
- EMILY's List[60]
- Feminist Majority PAC[61]
- Giffords[62]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[63]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[64]
- League of Conservation Voters[65]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[66]
- National Women's Political Caucus[67]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[68]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[69]
- Sierra Club[70]
Labor unions
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 47,710 | 99.5 | |
| Write-in | 252 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 47,962 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Mary Ann Hanusa, former state representative[75] (running for State Auditor)[76]
Endorsements
[edit]Nicole Hasso
U.S. Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) and candidate for President in 2016[77]
Zach Nunn
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pompeo, 70th U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021) and former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018)[78]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[79]
- Ryan Zinke, 52nd U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019) and U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017)[80]
Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity[10]
- SEAL PAC[81]
Debates and forums
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Hasso | Leffler | Nunn | |||||
| 1 | May 3, 2022 | Polk County Republican Party WHO-DT |
Dave Price | Youtube (Part 1)[82] YouTube (Part 2) |
P | P | P |
| 2[83] | May 14, 2022 | KCCI | Stacey Horst and Laura Terrell | Youtube[84] | P | P | P |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mary Ann Hanusa |
Nicole Hasso |
Zach Nunn |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group (R)[85][D] | September 9, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 13% | 3% | 24% | 60% |
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Zach Nunn | 30,502 | 65.8 | |
| Republican | Nicole Hasso | 8,991 | 19.4 | |
| Republican | Gary Leffler | 6,800 | 14.7 | |
| Write-in | 89 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 46,382 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Lean R (flip) | September 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[31] | Tilt R (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Lean R (flip) | September 7, 2022 |
| Politico[33] | Lean R (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[34] | Lean R (flip) | September 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[35] | Lean R (flip) | August 22, 2022 |
| DDHQ[36] | Tossup | September 23, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[37] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist[38] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Cindy Axne (D) |
Zach Nunn (R) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[86] | July 9 – October 25, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | 44.3% | 46.4% | 9.3% | Nunn +2.1 |
Graphical summary
| Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Cindy Axne (D) |
Zach Nunn (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group (R)[87][D] | October 24–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[88][D] | September 21–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
| Impact Research (D)[89][E] | September 7–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | – | 5% |
| RMG Research[90] | July 29 – August 5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 8% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[91][F] | July 9–11, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[85][D] | September 9, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[41] | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 49% | 48% | 0% | 3% |
| Selzer & Co.[42] | July 10–13, 2022 | 150 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Zach Nunn | 156,262 | 50.2 | |
| Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 154,117 | 49.6 | |
| Write-in | 534 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 310,913 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
District 4
[edit] | |||||||||||||||||
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 Results by county Feenstra: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Melton: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 4th district was based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The redrawn 4th also covers much of southwestern Iowa, including Council Bluffs. The incumbent was Republican Randy Feenstra, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2020.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Randy Feenstra, incumbent U.S. Representative[92]
Endorsements
[edit]Randy Feenstra
Executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[92]
- Mike Pence, former vice president of the United States[93]
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States[94]
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Randy Feenstra (incumbent) | 51,271 | 98.9 | |
| Write-in | 596 | 1.1 | ||
| Total votes | 51,867 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Ryan Melton, Nationwide insurance supervisor[95]
Declined
[edit]- J. D. Scholten, former professional baseball player and nominee for this district in 2018 and 2020 (running for state house)[96]
Primary results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ryan Melton | 20,794 | 99.7 | |
| Write-in | 69 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 20,863 | 100.0 | ||
Other parties and independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Bryan Jack Holder, photographer and perennial candidate (Liberty)
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]General election
[edit]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid R | September 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[31] | Solid R | September 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
| Politico[33] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[34] | Safe R | September 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[35] | Solid R | August 22, 2022 |
| DDHQ[36] | Solid R | September 6, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[37] | Solid R | September 7, 2022 |
| The Economist[38] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[41] | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 62% | 33% | 1% | 4% |
| Selzer & Co.[42] | July 10–13, 2022 | 149 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 55% | 36% | – | 8% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Randy Feenstra (incumbent) | 186,467 | 67.3 | |
| Democratic | Ryan Melton | 84,230 | 30.4 | |
| Liberty Caucus | Bryan Jack Holder | 6,035 | 2.2 | |
| Write-in | 276 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 277,008 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Michael Franken's campaign for U.S. Senate
- ^ This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Bohannan
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Mathis's campaign
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Nunn's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Axne's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Nunn's campaign committee
References
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External links
[edit]- "League of Women Voters of Iowa". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Iowa 2021 & 2022 Elections, OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Cindy Axne (D) for Congress Archived May 1, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Zach Nunn (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates