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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 14 North Carolina seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 8 5
Seats won 7 7
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 2
Popular vote 1,956,906 1,795,170
Percentage 52.03% 47.73%
Swing Increase 2.62% Decrease 2.23%

     Democratic hold      Democratic gain
     Republican hold

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 8, 2022, to elect U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina, concurrent with nationwide elections to the House of Representatives and U.S. Senate (including in North Carolina), alongside legislative elections to the state house and senate. Primaries were held on May 17, 2022.[1]

Background

[edit]

As a result of population growth over the preceding decade, the state's Congressional delegation increased from thirteen seats to fourteen in 2022. Republican-drawn districts adopted by the state legislature were struck down by the North Carolina Supreme Court as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander, and court-drawn maps issued in their place.[2] Democrats flipped the redrawn 13th district from Republican control, and won the newly created 14th district, yielding an even 7–7 House delegation.

District 1

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 1st congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Don Davis Sandy Smith
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 134,996 122,780
Percentage 52.4% 47.6%

County results
Davis:      50–60%      60–70%
Smith:      50–60%      60–70%

Precinct results
Davis:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

G. K. Butterfield
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Davis
Democratic

The incumbent was Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who was re-elected with 54.2% of the vote in 2020.[3]

The 1st district includes Vance, Warren, Franklin, Halifax, Northampton, Nash, Wilson, Edgecombe, Greene, Martin, Bertie, Hertford, Gates, Chowan, Perquimans, Pasquotank, Washington, and Tyrell counties. It also includes the majority of Pitt County.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Don Davis

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Don
Davis
Erica
Smith
Other Undecided
GQR Research (D)[32][A] May 6–8, 2022 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 31% 3% 22%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Don Davis 42,693 63.2
Democratic Erica D. Smith 21,012 31.1
Democratic Jason Spriggs 2,123 3.1
Democratic Julian Bishop Sr. 1,752 2.6
Total votes 67,580 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Sandy Smith, business owner, farmer, and nominee for this district in 2020[6][34]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Sandy Smith

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sandy Smith 13,621 31.4
Republican Sandy Roberson 11,603 26.7
Republican Billy Strickland 6,050 13.9
Republican Brent Roberson 5,992 13.8
Republican Brad Murphy 4,128 9.5
Republican Will Aiken 1,285 3.0
Republican Ernest Reeves 523 1.2
Republican Henry Williams II 202 0.5
Total votes 43,404 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Likely D October 25, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Likely D October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Lean D October 12, 2022
Politico[42] Likely D May 23, 2022
RCP[43] Tossup September 29, 2022
Fox News[44] Lean D September 20, 2022
DDHQ[45] Lean D October 18, 2022
538[46] Solid D October 26, 2022
The Economist[47] Likely D September 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Don
Davis (D)
Sandy
Smith (R)
Undecided
GQR Research (D)[48][A] October 10–13, 2022 402 (LV) 54% 39% 7%
RMG Research[49] June 4–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 45% 39% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
GQR Research (D)[48][A] October 10–13, 2022 402 (LV) 52% 43% 5%

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 1st congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Don Davis 134,996 52.4
Republican Sandy Smith 122,780 47.6
Total votes 257,776 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Deborah Ross Christine Villaverde
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 190,714 104,155
Percentage 64.7% 35.3%

Precinct results
Ross:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Villaverde:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Deborah Ross
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Deborah Ross
Democratic

The incumbent was Democrat Deborah Ross, who was elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2020.[3]

The 2nd district includes most of Wake County, including the state capital of Raleigh and surrounding towns such as Apex and Cary.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Michael Camero - Democratic party North Carolina District 2

Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Christine Villaverde, disaster response consultant and former police officer[51][34][5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Max Ganorkar, stay-at-home dad[5]
  • Adina Safta, realtor[5]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Villaverde 19,650 55.1
Republican Max Ganorkar 9,133 25.6
Republican Adina Safta 6,872 19.3
Total votes 35,655 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid D March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 2nd congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deborah Ross (incumbent) 190,714 64.7
Republican Christine Villaverde 104,155 35.3
Total votes 294,869 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Greg Murphy Barbara Gaskins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 166,520 82,378
Percentage 66.9% 33.1%

County results
Murphy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Precinct results
Murphy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gaskins:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Murphy
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Murphy
Republican

The incumbent was Republican Greg Murphy, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2020.[3]

The 3rd district includes Beaufort, Camden, Carteret, Craven, Currituck, Dare, Hyde, Jones, Lenoir, Pamlico, Sampson counties, as well as portions of Pitt and Wayne counties.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Tony Cowden, small business owner[5]
  • Eric Earhart[5]
  • Brian Michael Friend[5]
  • George Papastrat, business owner[5]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Murphy (incumbent) 50,123 75.7
Republican Tony Cowden 9,332 14.1
Republican Eric Earhart 3,274 4.9
Republican George Papastrat 1,789 2.7
Republican Brian Michael Friend 1,698 2.6
Total votes 66,216 100.0

Endorsements

[edit]
Greg Murphy

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Barbara Gaskins, nonprofit founder[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Joe Swartz, U.S. Army veteran[5]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Barbara Gaskins 23,051 80.8
Democratic Joe Swartz 5,495 19.2
Total votes 28,546 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Barbara Gaskins (D)

Labor unions

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 3rd congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Murphy (incumbent) 166,520 66.9
Democratic Barbara Gaskins 82,378 33.1
Total votes 248,898 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 4th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Valerie Foushee Courtney Geels
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 194,983 96,442
Percentage 66.9% 33.1%

County results
Foushee:      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Geels:      50–60%      60–70%

Precinct results
Foushee:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Geels:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

David Price
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Valerie Foushee
Democratic

The incumbent was Democrat David Price, who was re-elected with 67.3% of the vote in 2020.[3] On October 18, 2021, he announced his retirement.[57]

The 4th district includes Durham, Orange, Alamance, Granville, and Person counties, as well as a small section of Caswell County.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Clay Aiken

Individuals

Organizations

Valerie Foushee

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Newspapers

Organizations

Labor unions

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Clay
Aiken
Nida
Allam
Valerie
Foushee
Other Undecided
Impact Research (D)[88][B] April 25–28, 2022 425 (LV) ± 4.8% 10% 16% 35% 8% 30%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Valerie Foushee 40,806 46.1
Democratic Nida Allam 32,731 37.0
Democratic Clay Aiken 6,529 7.4
Democratic Ashley Ward 4,767 5.4
Democratic Richard Watkins III 1,155 1.3
Democratic Crystal Cavalier 1,116 1.3
Democratic Stephen Valentine 1,023 1.2
Democratic Matt Grooms 435 0.5
Total votes 88,562 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Courtney Geels, healthcare worker[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Courtney Geels

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Courtney Geels 19,645 64.5
Republican Robert Thomas 10,793 35.5
Total votes 30,438 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid D March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 4th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Valerie Foushee 194,983 66.9
Republican Courtney Geels 96,442 33.1
Total votes 291,425 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 5th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Virginia Foxx Kyle Parrish
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 175,279 102,269
Percentage 63.15% 36.85%

County results
Foxx:      70–80%      80–90%
Parrish:      50–60%

Precinct results
Foxx:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Parrish:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Virginia Foxx
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Virginia Foxx
Republican

The incumbent was Republican Virginia Foxx, who was re-elected with 66.9% of the vote in 2020.

The 5th district includes Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Davie, Mitchell, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes, and Yadkin counties. It also includes portions of Caldwell and Forsyth counties.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Michael Ackerman, former CCSO deputy[91]

Endorsements

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Virginia Foxx (incumbent) 61,680 76.6
Republican Michael Ackerman 18,868 23.4
Total votes 80,548 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Kyle Parrish, IT worker[5]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kyle Parrish (D)

Labor unions

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 5th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Virginia Foxx (incumbent) 175,279 63.1
Democratic Kyle Parrish 102,269 36.9
Total votes 277,548 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 6th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 (5th) →
 
Nominee Kathy Manning Christian Castelli
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 139,553 116,635
Percentage 53.9% 45.0%

County results
Manning:      50–60%
Castelli:      40–50%      60–70%

Precinct results
Manning:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Castelli:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kathy Manning
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kathy Manning
Democratic

The incumbent was Democrat Kathy Manning, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2020.[3] On November 8th 2022 Manning won re-election to her house seat against Republican Christian Castelli by a vote of 139,553 (54%) to 116,635 (45%) [1].

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Christian Castelli, Army veteran[95]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lee Haywood

Individuals

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christian Castelli 15,450 36.2
Republican Lee Haywood 14,390 33.7
Republican Mary Ann Contogiannis 5,211 12.2
Republican Gerry Austin 2,568 6.0
Republican Laura Pichardo 1,889 4.4
Republican Marvin Boguslawski 1,716 4.0
Republican Bill Schuch 1,452 3.4
Total votes 42,676 100.0

Independents and third parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Thomas Watercott (Libertarian)[5]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Likely D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid D August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Likely D March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Lean D April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Likely D June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Likely D August 22, 2022
DDHQ[45] Likely D November 8, 2022
538[46] Solid D August 2, 2022
The Economist[47] Likely D September 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Manning (D)
Christian
Castelli (R)
Undecided
RMG Research[101] June 4–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 39% 12%

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 6th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Manning (incumbent) 139,553 53.9
Republican Christian Castelli 116,635 45.0
Libertarian Thomas Watercott 2,810 1.1
Total votes 258,998 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 7th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee David Rouzer Charles Graham
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 164,047 120,222
Percentage 57.7% 42.3%

County results
Rouzer:      50–60%      60–70%

Precinct results
Rouzer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Graham:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

David Rouzer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Rouzer
Republican

The incumbent was Republican David Rouzer, who was re-elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2020.[3]

The 7th district includes Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, and Robeson counties, as well as a portion of Cumberland County.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Max Southworth-Beckwith, businessman and U.S. Marine veteran[5]

Endorsements

[edit]
David Rouzer

U.S. presidents

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Rouzer (incumbent) 39,203 79.2
Republican Max Southworth-Beckwith 10,300 20.8
Total votes 49,503 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Jason Minnicozzi, assistant public defender[108] (running for N.C. Senate)

Endorsements

[edit]
Charles Graham

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charles Graham 13,054 31.2
Democratic Charles E. Evans 12,263 29.3
Democratic Steve Miller 9,744 23.3
Democratic Yushonda Midgette 6,738 16.1
Total votes 41,799 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid R November 7, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 7th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Rouzer (incumbent) 164,047 57.7
Democratic Charles Graham 120,222 42.3
Total votes 284,269 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 8th congressional district election

← 2020 (9th) November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Dan Bishop Scott Huffman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 183,998 79,192
Percentage 69.9% 30.1%

County results
Bishop:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Precinct results
Bishop:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Huffman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Bishop
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Bishop
Republican

Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Dan Bishop, who was re-elected with 55.6% of the vote in 2020.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan Bishop

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 8th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Bishop (incumbent) 183,998 69.9
Democratic Scott Huffman 79,192 30.1
Total votes 263,190 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 9th congressional district election

← 2020 (8th) November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Richard Hudson Ben Clark
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 131,453 101,202
Percentage 56.5% 43.5%

County results
Hudson:      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%
Clark:      50–60%      60–70%

Precinct results
Hudson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Clark:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Richard Hudson (Republican)
Ted Budd (Republican)

Elected U.S. Representative

Richard Hudson
Republican

Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, Republican Representatives Richard Hudson and Ted Budd were moved to the same district. Budd declared his candidacy for U.S. Senate.[117]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Richard Hudson

U.S. presidents

Newspapers

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Hudson (incumbent) 38,117 79.2
Republican Jennyfer Bucardo 4,175 8.7
Republican Michael Adriani 3,950 8.2
Republican Francisco Rios 1,891 3.9
Total votes 48,133 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R April 19, 2022
Politico[42] Likely R April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 9th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Hudson (incumbent) 131,453 56.5
Democratic Ben Clark 101,202 43.5
Total votes 232,655 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 10th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Patrick McHenry Pam Genant
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 194,681 73,174
Percentage 72.6% 27.3%

County results
McHenry:      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%

Precinct results
McHenry:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Genant:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Patrick McHenry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Patrick McHenry
Republican

The incumbent was Republican Patrick McHenry, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2020.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jeff Gregory[5]
  • Michael Magnotta[5]
  • Gary Robinson[5]
  • Richard Speer, U.S. Army veteran[5]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Patrick McHenry

U.S. presidents

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Patrick McHenry (incumbent) 49,973 68.1
Republican Gary Robinson 11,671 15.9
Republican Michael Magnotta 4,703 6.4
Republican Jeff Gregory 3,649 5.0
Republican Richard Speer 3,381 4.6
Total votes 73,377 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Pam Genant, nurse and former Army officer[133][5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Michael Felder[5]

Endorsements

[edit]
Pam Genant

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pam Genant 13,028 77.5
Democratic Michael Felder 3,790 22.5
Total votes 16,818 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 10th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Patrick McHenry (incumbent) 194,681 72.6
Democratic Pam Genant 73,174 27.3
Write-in 352 0.1
Total votes 268,207 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 11th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Chuck Edwards Jasmine Beach-Ferrara
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 174,232 144,165
Percentage 53.8% 44.5%

County results
Edwards:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Beach-Ferrara:      60–70%

Precinct results
Edwards:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Beach-Ferrara:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Madison Cawthorn
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Chuck Edwards
Republican

The incumbent was Republican Madison Cawthorn, who was elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[3] Due to Cawthorn's role in the January 6 United States Capitol attack, and other controversies, he was primaried by North Carolina State Senator Chuck Edwards. Cawthorn was defeated by Edwards in the primary election.

The 11th district includes Cherokee, Graham, Clay, Macon, Swain, Jackson, Haywood, Transylvania, Henderson, Buncombe, Madison, Yancey, Polk, and McDowell counties, as well as the western half of Rutherford County.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chuck Edwards

U.S. senators

State legislators

Declined to endorse

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matthew
Burril
Madison
Cawthorn
Chuck
Edwards
Rod
Honeycutt
Bruce
O'Connell
Wendy
Nevarez
Kristie
Sluder
Michele
Woodhouse
Other Undecided
Differentiators Data (R)[150][C] April 25–26, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 4% 38% 21% 5% 2% 5% 0% 5% 21%
Differentiators Data (R)[151][C] March 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 3% 49% 14% 4% 1% 2% 1% 3% 23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[152][D] March 10–13, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 52% 20% 11% 17%
Spry Strategies (R)[153][E] March 2022 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 5% 62% 10% 2% 6% 3% 1% 11%

Results

[edit]

Edwards:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Cawthorn:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%
Nevarez:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%
O'Connell:      30–40%
Honeycutt:      20–30%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%

Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chuck Edwards 29,496 33.4
Republican Madison Cawthorn (incumbent) 28,112 31.9
Republican Matthew Burril 8,341 9.5
Republican Bruce O'Connell 6,037 6.8
Republican Rod Honeycutt 5,775 6.5
Republican Michele Woodhouse 4,668 5.3
Republican Wendy Nevarez 4,525 5.1
Republican Kristie Sluder 1,304 1.5
Total votes 88,258 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jasmine Beach-Ferrara 32,478 59.7
Democratic Katie Dean 13,957 25.6
Democratic Jay Carey 3,858 7.1
Democratic Bo Hess 2,082 3.8
Democratic Marco Gutierrez 1,040 1.9
Democratic Bynum Lunsford 1,002 1.8
Total votes 54,417 100.0

Independents and third parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • David Coatney (Libertarian)[165]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid R February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid R March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe R March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid R May 23, 2022
RCP[43] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Likely R November 4, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Chuck
Edwards (R)
Jasmine
Beach-Ferrara (D)
David
Coatney (L)
Undecided
Survey 160 (D)[166][F] May 18–20, 2022 308 (LV) ± 6.0% 46% 40% 6% 8%

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 11th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chuck Edwards 174,232 53.8
Democratic Jasmine Beach-Ferrara 144,165 44.5
Libertarian David Coatney 5,515 1.7
Total votes 323,912 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 12th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Alma Adams Tyler Lee
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 140,494 83,414
Percentage 62.75% 37.25%

Results
Adams:      60–70%
Lee:      50–60%

Precinct results
Adams:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Lee:      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      50%

U.S. Representative before election

Alma Adams
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alma Adams
Democratic

The incumbent was Democrat Alma Adams, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • John Sharkey[5]

Endorsements

[edit]
Alma Adams

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alma Adams (incumbent) 37,984 91.7
Democratic John Sharkey 3,460 8.3
Total votes 41,444 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Tyler Lee, real estate investor[170]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Andrew Huffman[5]
  • Nalini Joseph[5]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tyler Lee 10,388 42.9
Republican Andrew Huffman 8,311 34.3
Republican Nalini Joseph 5,543 22.9
Total votes 24,242 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid D February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid D March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe D March 2, 2022
Politico[42] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 12th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alma Adams (incumbent) 140,494 62.8
Republican Tyler Lee 83,414 37.2
Total votes 223,908 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 13th congressional district election

November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Wiley Nickel Bo Hines
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 143,090 134,256
Percentage 51.6% 48.4%

Results
Nickel:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hines:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant
(new district)

Elected U.S. Representative

Wiley Nickel
Democratic

Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this is a new district with no incumbent.

The 13th district includes all of Johnston County, the southern half of Wake County, the western half of Wayne County, and the eastern half of Harnett County.

Former U.S. Representative Renee Ellmers finished fifth in the primary

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Bo Hines

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Kent Keirsey

U.S. senators

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
DeVan
Barbour
Tony
Cowden
Kelly
Daughtry
Bo
Hines
Alan
Swain
John
Szoka
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[179] February 2022 – (LV) 7% 1% 14% 9% 6% 11% 51%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bo Hines 17,602 32.1
Republican DeVan Barbour 12,426 22.6
Republican Kelly Daughtry 9,300 16.9
Republican Kent Keirsey 6,223 11.3
Republican Renee Ellmers 5,176 9.4
Republican Chad Slotta 3,074 5.6
Republican Jessica Morel 738 1.3
Republican Kevin Alan Wolff 344 0.6
Total votes 54,883 100.0
Former state senator Sam Searcy finished second in the primary

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jamie Campbell Bowles[5]
  • Nathan Click, Air Force veteran and small business owner[180][62]
  • Denton Lee, teacher and unaffiliated candidate for North Carolina's 26th General Assembly District in 2020[5]
  • Sam Searcy, former state senator (2019–2020)[181]
Endorsements
[edit]
Wiley Nickel

State officials

State legislators

Newspapers and publications

Organizations

Labor unions

Sam Searcy

Newspapers and publications

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Wiley Nickel 23,155 51.6
Democratic Sam Searcy 10,284 22.9
Democratic Jamie Campbell Bowles 4,217 9.4
Democratic Nathan Click 3,866 8.6
Democratic Denton Lee 3,311 7.4
Total votes 44,833 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Tossup February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Tossup March 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Lean R July 28, 2022
Politico[42] Tossup April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Lean R June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Lean R November 1, 2022
DDHQ[45] Likely R July 20, 2022
538[46] Likely R October 21, 2022
The Economist[47] Tossup September 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Bo
Hines (R)
Wiley
Nickel (D)
Undecided
[b]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[188] August 6 – October 24, 2022 October 26, 2022 41.8% 42.6% 15.6% Nickel +0.9

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bo
Hines (R)
Wiley
Nickel (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA (R)[189][G] October 21–24, 2022 584 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 44% 13%
Global Strategy Group (D)[190] August 29 – September 1, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 44% 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[191] August 23–24, 2022 506 (V) ± 4.4% 40% 40% 20%
RMG Research[192] July 31 – August 6, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 39% 3% 14%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[193][H] May 18–19, 2022 429 (LV) ± 4.7% 43% 45% 12%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Change Research (D)[194][I] October 19, 2022 45% 43% 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[195][I] October 18, 2022 42% 42% 16%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[193][H] May 18–19, 2022 429 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 45% 7%

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 13th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Wiley Nickel 143,090 51.6
Republican Bo Hines 134,256 48.4
Total votes 277,346 100.0
Democratic win (new seat)

District 14

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 14th congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Nominee Jeff Jackson Pat Harrigan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 148,738 109,014
Percentage 57.7% 42.3%

Jackson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Harrigan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant
(new district)

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Jackson
Democratic

Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this is a new district with no incumbent.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeff Jackson 34,724 86.1
Democratic Ramin Mammadov 5,598 13.9
Total votes 40,322 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Harrigan 27,638 75.6
Republican Jonathan Simpson 8,909 24.4
Total votes 36,547 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Solid D (flip) February 23, 2022
Inside Elections[40] Solid D (flip) August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Safe D (flip) September 29, 2022
Politico[42] Likely D (flip) April 5, 2022
RCP[43] Likely D (flip) June 9, 2022
Fox News[44] Solid D (flip) October 11, 2022
DDHQ[45] Likely D (flip) July 20, 2022
538[46] Solid D (flip) September 29, 2022
The Economist[47] Safe D (flip) September 28, 2022

Results

[edit]
2022 North Carolina's 14th congressional district election[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeff Jackson 148,738 57.7
Republican Pat Harrigan 109,014 42.3
Total votes 257,752 100.0
Democratic win (new seat)

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Davis's campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Foushee
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by GOPAC, which has not endorsed any candidate in the Republican primary for the 11th congressional district
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Edwards's campaign
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Cawthorn's campaign
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Beach-Ferrara's campaign
  7. ^ This poll was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
  8. ^ a b This poll was conducted in-house by and for the DCCC.
  9. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC.

References

[edit]
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Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates

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Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates